NeurIPS 2025 Papers

Conference on Neural Information Processing Systems

Decision breakdown

5,812papers

Counted from the official paper list; may differ slightly from the number the conference announced.

  • Oral
    931.6%
  • Spotlight
    73912.7%
  • Poster
    4,98085.7%

Browse all papers

BeyondMix: Leveraging Structural Priors and Long-Range Dependencies for Domain-Invariant LiDAR Segmentation

Yujia Chen, Rui Sun, Wangkai Li, Huayu Mai, Si Chen, Zhuoyuan Li, Zhixin Cheng, Tianzhu Zhang

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Domain adaptation for LiDAR semantic segmentation remains challenging due to the complex structural properties of point cloud data. While mix-based paradigms have shown promise, they often fail to fully leverage the rich structural priors inherent in 3D LiDAR point clouds. In this paper, we identify three critical yet underexploited structural priors: permutation invariance, local consistency, and geometric consistency. We introduce BeyondMix, a novel framework that harnesses the capabilities of State Space Models (specifically Mamba) to construct and exploit these structural priors while modeling long-range dependencies that transcend the limited receptive fields of conventional voxel-based approaches. By employing space-filling curves to impose sequential ordering on point cloud data and implementing strategic spatial partitioning schemes, BeyondMix effectively captures domain-invariant representations. Extensive experiments on challenging LiDAR semantic segmentation benchmarks demonstrate that our approach consistently outperforms existing state-of-the-art methods, establishing a new paradigm for unsupervised domain adaptation in 3D point cloud understanding.

Poster
Continual Model Merging without Data: Dual Projections for Balancing Stability and Plasticity

Enneng Yang, Anke Tang, Li Shen, Guibing Guo, Xingwei Wang, Xiaochun Cao, Jie Zhang

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Model merging integrates multiple expert models with diverse capabilities into a unified framework, facilitating collaborative learning. However, most existing methods assume simultaneous access to all models, which is often impractical in real-world scenarios where models are received sequentially. While some studies have investigated continual model merging (CMM)--which involves sequentially merging multiple models--the challenge of balancing prior knowledge (stability) and incorporating new tasks (plasticity) remains unresolved. This paper, for the first time, formally defines the stability and plasticity of CMM from the perspective of orthogonal projection. Subsequently, we analyze the relationships among the spaces spanned by task data, historical gradients, and accumulated gradients. Building on this, we propose a data-free \textbf{D}ual \textbf{O}rthogonal \textbf{P}rojection (DOP) method, which eliminates data dependence and mitigates interference between the merged model and models for old and new tasks by projecting their parameter differences onto their respective approximate data spaces. Finally, to solve potential conflicts between stability and plasticity, we reformulate DOP as a multi-objective optimization problem and employ a multi-gradient descent algorithm to obtain a Pareto-optimal solution. Extensive experiments across multiple architectures and task configurations validate that our approach significantly outperforms state-of-the-art CMM methods.

Poster
Composing Linear Layers from Irreducibles

Travis Pence, Daisuke Yamada, Vikas Singh

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Contemporary large models often exhibit behaviors suggesting the presence of low-level primitives that compose into modules with richer functionality, but these fundamental building blocks remain poorly understood. We investigate this compositional structure in linear layers by asking: \textit{can we identify/synthesize linear transformations from a minimal set of geometric primitives?} Using Clifford algebra, we show that linear layers can be expressed as compositions of bivectors---geometric objects encoding oriented planes---and introduce a differentiable algorithm that decomposes them into products of rotors. This construction uses only $\mathcal{O}(\log^2 d)$ parameters, versus $\mathcal{O}(d^2)$ required by dense matrices. Applied to the key, query, and value projections in LLM attention layers, our rotor-based layers match the performance of strong baselines such as block-Hadamard and low-rank approximations. Our findings provide an algebraic perspective on how these geometric primitives can compose into higher-level functions within deep models.

Poster
Model Inversion with Layer-Specific Modeling and Alignment for Data-Free Continual Learning

Ruilin Tong, Haodong Lu, Yuhang Liu, Dong Gong

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Continual learning (CL) aims to incrementally train a model to a sequence of tasks while maintaining performance on previously seen ones. Despite effectiveness in mitigating forgetting, data storage and replay may be infeasible due to privacy or security constraints, and are impractical or unavailable for arbitrary pre-trained models. Data-free or examplar-free CL aims to continually update models with new tasks without storing previous data. In addition to regularizing updates, we employ model inversion to synthesize data from the trained model, anchoring learned knowledge through replay without retaining old data. However, model inversion in predictive models faces two key challenges. First, generating inputs (e.g., images) solely from highly compressed output labels (e.g., classes) often causes drift between synthetic and real data. Replaying on such synthetic data can contaminate and erode knowledge learned from real data, further degrading inversion quality over time. Second, performing inversion is usually computationally expensive, as each iteration requires backpropagation through the entire model and many steps are needed for convergence. These problems are more severe with large pre-trained models such as Contrastive Language-Image Pre-training (CLIP) models. To improve model inversion efficiency, we propose Per-layer Model Inversion (PMI) approach inspired by the faster convergence of single-layer optimization. The inputs optimized from PMI provide strong initialization for full-model inversion, significantly reducing the number of iterations required for convergence. To address feature distribution shift, we model class-wise feature distribution using a Gaussian distribution and preserve distributional information with a contrastive model. Sampling features for inversion ensures alignment between synthetic and real feature distributions. Combining PMI and feature modeling, we demonstrate the feasibility of incrementally training models on new classes by generating data from pseudo image features mapped through semantic-aware feature projection. Our method shows strong effectiveness and compatibility across multiple CL settings.

Poster
Asymptotic theory of SGD with a general learning-rate

Or Goldreich, Ziyang Wei, Soham Bonnerjee, Jiaqi Li, Wei Biao Wu

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Stochastic gradient descent (SGD) with polynomially decaying step‐sizes has long underpinned theoretical analyses, yielding a broad spectrum of statistically attractive guarantees. Yet in practice, such schedules find rare use due to their prohibitively slow convergence, revealing a persistent gap between theory and empirical performance. In this paper, we introduce a unified framework that quantifies the uncertainty of online SGD under arbitrary learning‐rate choices. In particular, we provide the first comprehensive convergence characterizations for two widely used but theoretically under-examined schemes—cyclical learning rates and linear decay to zero. Our results not only explain the observed behavior of these schedules but also facilitate principled tools for statistical inference and algorithm design. All theoretical findings are corroborated by extensive simulations across diverse settings.

Poster
Sampled Estimators For Softmax Must Be Biased

Li-Chung Lin, Yaxu Liu, Chih-Jen Lin

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Models requiring probabilistic outputs are ubiquitous and used in fields such as natural language processing, contrastive learning, and recommendation systems. The standard method of designing such a model is to output unconstrained logits, which are normalized into probabilities with the softmax function. The normalization involves computing a summation across all classes, which becomes prohibitively expensive for problems with a large number of classes. An important strategy to reduce the cost is to sum over a sampled subset of classes in the softmax function, known as the sampled softmax. It was known that the sampled softmax is biased; the expectation taken over the sampled classes is not equal to the softmax function. Many works focused on reducing the bias by using a better way of sampling the subset. However, while sampled softmax is biased, it is unclear whether an unbiased function different from sampled softmax exists. In this paper, we show that all functions that only access a sampled subset of classes must be biased. With this result, we prevent efforts in finding unbiased loss functions and validate that past efforts devoted to reducing bias are the best we can do.

Poster
Bridging Symmetry and Robustness: On the Role of Equivariance in Enhancing Adversarial Robustness

Longwei Wang, Ifrat Ikhtear Uddin, KC Santosh, Chaowei Zhang, Xiao Qin, Yang Zhou

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Adversarial examples reveal critical vulnerabilities in deep neural networks by exploiting their sensitivity to imperceptible input perturbations. While adversarial training remains the predominant defense strategy, it often incurs significant computational cost and may compromise clean-data accuracy. In this work, we investigate an architectural approach to adversarial robustness by embedding group-equivariant convolutions—specifically, rotation- and scale-equivariant layers—into standard convolutional neural networks (CNNs). These layers encode symmetry priors that align model behavior with structured transformations in the input space, promoting smoother decision boundaries and greater resilience to adversarial attacks. We propose and evaluate two symmetry-aware architectures: a parallel design that processes standard and equivariant features independently before fusion, and a cascaded design that applies equivariant operations sequentially. Theoretically, we demonstrate that such models reduce hypothesis space complexity, regularize gradients, and yield tighter certified robustness bounds under the CLEVER (Cross Lipschitz Extreme Value for nEtwork Robustness) framework. Empirically, our models consistently improve adversarial robustness and generalization across CIFAR-10, CIFAR-100, and CIFAR-10C under both FGSM and PGD attacks, without requiring adversarial training. These findings underscore the potential of symmetry-enforcing architectures as efficient and principled alternatives to data augmentation-based defenses.

Spotlight
Disentangled Representation Learning via Modular Compositional Bias

Whie Jung, Dong Hoon Lee, Seunghoon Hong

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Recent disentangled representation learning (DRL) methods heavily rely on factor-specific strategies—either learning objectives for attributes or model architectures for objects—to embed inductive biases. Such divergent approaches result in significant overhead when novel factors of variation do not align with prior assumptions, such as statistical independence or spatial exclusivity, or when multiple factors coexist, as practitioners must redesign architectures or objectives. To address this, we propose a compositional bias, a modular inductive bias decoupled from both objectives and architectures. Our key insight is that different factors obey distinct "recombination rules" in the data distribution: global attributes are mutually exclusive, *e.g.,* a face has one nose, while objects share a common support (any subset of objects can co-exist). We therefore randomly remix latents according to factor-specific rules, *i.e.,* a mixing strategy, and force the encoder to discover whichever factor structure the mixing strategy reflects through two complementary objectives: (i) a prior loss that ensures every remix decodes into a realistic image, and (ii) the compositional consistency loss introduced by Wiedemer et al., which aligns each composite image with its corresponding composite latent. Under this general framework, simply adjusting the mixing strategy enables disentanglement of attributes, objects, and even both, without modifying the objectives or architectures. Extensive experiments demonstrate that our method shows competitive performance in both attribute and object disentanglement, and uniquely achieves joint disentanglement of global style and objects. Code is available at https://github.com/whieya/Compositional-DRL.

Poster
Minimal Semantic Sufficiency Meets Unsupervised Domain Generalization

Tan Pan, Kaiyu Guo, Dongli Xu, Zhaorui Tan, Chen Jiang, Deshu Chen, Xin Guo, Brian C. Lovell, Limei Han, Yuan Cheng, Mahsa Baktashmotlagh

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The generalization ability of deep learning has been extensively studied in supervised settings, yet it remains less explored in unsupervised scenarios. Recently, the Unsupervised Domain Generalization (UDG) task has been proposed to enhance the generalization of models trained with prevalent unsupervised learning techniques, such as Self-Supervised Learning (SSL). UDG confronts the challenge of distinguishing semantics from variations without category labels. Although some recent methods have employed domain labels to tackle this issue, such domain labels are often unavailable in real-world contexts. In this paper, we address these limitations by formalizing UDG as the task of learning a Minimal Sufficient Semantic Representation: a representation that (i) preserves all semantic information shared across augmented views (sufficiency), and (ii) maximally removes information irrelevant to semantics (minimality). We theoretically ground these objectives from the perspective of information theory, demonstrating that optimizing representations to achieve sufficiency and minimality directly reduces out-of-distribution risk. Practically, we implement this optimization through Minimal-Sufficient UDG (MS-UDG), a learnable model by integrating (a) an InfoNCE-based objective to achieve sufficiency; (b) two complementary components to promote minimality: a novel semantic-variation disentanglement loss and a reconstruction-based mechanism for capturing adequate variation. Empirically, MS-UDG sets a new state-of-the-art on popular unsupervised domain-generalization benchmarks, consistently outperforming existing SSL and UDG methods, without category or domain labels during representation learning.

Poster
Active Target Discovery under Uninformative Priors: The Power of Permanent and Transient Memory

Anindya Sarkar, Binglin Ji, Yevgeniy Vorobeychik

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In many scientific and engineering fields, where acquiring high-quality data is expensive—such as medical imaging, environmental monitoring, and remote sensing—strategic sampling of unobserved regions based on prior observations is crucial for maximizing discovery rates within a constrained budget. The rise of powerful generative models, such as diffusion models, has enabled active target discovery in partially observable environments by leveraging learned priors—probabilistic representations that capture underlying structure from data. With guidance from sequentially gathered task-specific observations, these models can progressively refine exploration and efficiently direct queries toward promising regions. However, in domains where learning a strong prior is infeasible due to extremely limited data or high sampling cost (such as rare species discovery, diagnostics for emerging diseases, etc.), these methods struggle to generalize. To overcome this limitation, we propose a novel approach that enables effective active target discovery even in settings with uninformative priors, ensuring robust exploration and adaptability in complex real-world scenarios. Our framework is theoretically principled and draws inspiration from neuroscience to guide its design. Unlike black-box policies, our approach is inherently interpretable, providing clear insights into decision-making. Furthermore, it guarantees a strong, monotonic improvement in prior estimates with each new observation, leading to increasingly accurate sampling and reinforcing both reliability and adaptability in dynamic settings. Through comprehensive experiments and ablation studies across various domains, including species distribution modeling and remote sensing, we demonstrate that our method substantially outperforms baseline approaches.

Poster
Active Seriation: Efficient Ordering Recovery with Statistical Guarantees

James Cheshire, Yann Issartel

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We consider the problem of active seriation, where the goal is to recover an unknown ordering of $n$ items based on noisy observations of pairwise similarities. The similarities are assumed to correlate with the underlying ordering: pairs of items that are close in the ordering tend to have higher similarity scores, and vice versa. In the active setting, the learner sequentially selects which item pairs to query and receives noisy similarity measurements. We propose a novel active seriation algorithm that provably recovers the correct ordering with high probability. Furthermore, we provide optimal performance guarantees in terms of both the probability of error and the number of observations required for successful recovery.

Poster
CLIPTTA: Robust Contrastive Vision-Language Test-Time Adaptation

Marc Lafon, Gustavo Adolfo Vargas Hakim, Clément Rambour, Christian Desrosiers, Nicolas THOME

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Vision-language models (VLMs) like CLIP exhibit strong zero-shot capabilities but often fail to generalize under distribution shifts. Test-time adaptation (TTA) allows models to update at inference time without labeled data, typically via entropy minimization. However, this objective is fundamentally misaligned with the contrastive image-text training of VLMs, limiting adaptation performance and introducing failure modes such as pseudo-label drift and class collapse. We propose CLIPTTA, a new gradient-based TTA method for vision-language models that leverages a soft contrastive loss aligned with CLIP’s pre-training objective. We provide a theoretical analysis of CLIPTTA’s gradients, showing how its batch-aware design mitigates the risk of collapse. We further extend CLIPTTA to the open-set setting, where both in-distribution (ID) and out-of-distribution (OOD) samples are encountered, using an Outlier Contrastive Exposure (OCE) loss to improve OOD detection. Evaluated on 75 datasets spanning diverse distribution shifts, CLIPTTA consistently outperforms entropy-based objectives and is highly competitive with state-of-the-art TTA methods, outperforming them on a large number of datasets and exhibiting more stable performance across diverse shifts.

Poster
Generalization Guarantees for Learning Score-Based Branch-and-Cut Policies in Integer Programming

Hongyu Cheng, Amitabh Basu

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Mixed-integer programming (MIP) provides a powerful framework for optimization problems, with Branch-and-Cut (B&C) being the predominant algorithm in state-of-the-art solvers. The efficiency of B&C critically depends on heuristic policies for making sequential decisions, including node selection, cut selection, and branching variable selection. While traditional solvers often employ heuristics with manually tuned parameters, recent approaches increasingly leverage machine learning, especially neural networks, to learn these policies directly from data. A key challenge is to understand the theoretical underpinnings of these learned policies, particularly their generalization performance from finite data. This paper establishes rigorous sample complexity bounds for learning B&C policies where the scoring functions guiding each decision step (node, cut, branch) have a certain piecewise polynomial structure. This structure generalizes the linear models that form the most commonly deployed policies in practice and investigated recently in a foundational series of theoretical works by Balcan et al. Such piecewise polynomial policies also cover the neural network architectures (e.g., using ReLU activations) that have been the focal point of contemporary practical studies. Consequently, our theoretical framework closely reflects the models utilized by practitioners investigating machine learning within B&C, offering a unifying perspective relevant to both established theory and modern empirical research in this area. Furthermore, our theory applies to quite general sequential decision making problems beyond B&C.

Poster
On the Relation between Rectified Flows and Optimal Transport

Johannes Hertrich, Antonin Chambolle, Julie Delon

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This paper investigates the connections between rectified flows, flow matching, and optimal transport. Flow matching is a recent approach to learning generative models by estimating velocity fields that guide transformations from a source to a target distribution. Rectified flow matching aims to straighten the learned transport paths, yielding more direct flows between distributions. Our first contribution is a set of invariance properties of rectified flows and explicit velocity fields. In addition, we also provide explicit constructions and analysis in the Gaussian (not necessarily independent) and Gaussian mixture settings and study the relation to optimal transport. Our second contribution addresses recent claims suggesting that rectified flows, when constrained such that the learned velocity field is a gradient, can yield (asymptotically) solutions to optimal transport problems. We study the existence of solutions for this problem and demonstrate that they only relate to optimal transport under assumptions that are significantly stronger than those previously acknowledged. In particular, we present several counterexamples that invalidate earlier equivalence results in the literature, and we argue that enforcing a gradient constraint on rectified flows is, in general, not a reliable method for computing optimal transport maps.

Poster
A faster training algorithm for regression trees with linear leaves, and an analysis of its complexity

Kuat Gazizov, Miguel Á. Carreira-Perpiñán

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We consider the Tree Alternating Optimization (TAO) algorithm to train regression trees with linear predictors in the leaves. Unlike the traditional, greedy recursive partitioning algorithms such as CART, TAO guarantees a monotonic decrease of the objective function and results in smaller trees of much better accuracy. We modify the TAO algorithm so that it produces exactly the same result but is much faster, particularly for high input dimensionality or deep trees. The idea is based on the fact that, at each iteration of TAO, each leaf receives only a subset of the training instances. Thus, the optimization of the leaf model can be done exactly but faster by using the Sherman-Morrison-Woodbury formula. This has the unexpected advantage that, once a tree exceeds a critical depth, then making it deeper makes it faster to train, even though the tree is larger and has more parameters. Indeed, this can make learning a nonlinear model (the tree) asymptotically faster than a regular linear regression model. We analyze the corresponding computational complexity and verify the speedups experimentally in various datasets. The argument can be applied to other types of trees, whenever the optimization of a node can be computed in superlinear time of the number of instances.

Poster
Fast MRI for All: Bridging Access Gaps by Training without Raw Data

Yasar Utku Alcalar, Merve Gulle, Mehmet Akcakaya

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Physics-driven deep learning (PD-DL) approaches have become popular for improved reconstruction of fast magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) scans. Though PD-DL offers higher acceleration rates than existing clinical fast MRI techniques, their use has been limited outside specialized MRI centers. A key challenge is generalization to rare pathologies or different populations, noted in multiple studies, with fine-tuning on target populations suggested for improvement. However, current approaches for PD-DL training require access to raw k-space measurements, which is typically only available at specialized MRI centers that have research agreements for such data access. This is especially an issue for rural and under-resourced areas, where commercial MRI scanners only provide access to a final reconstructed image. To tackle these challenges, we propose Compressibility-inspired Unsupervised Learning via Parallel Imaging Fidelity (CUPID) for high-quality PD-DL training using only routine clinical reconstructed images exported from an MRI scanner. CUPID evaluates output quality with a compressibility-based approach while ensuring that the output stays consistent with the clinical parallel imaging reconstruction through well-designed perturbations. Our results show CUPID achieves similar quality to established PD-DL training that requires k-space data while outperforming compressed sensing (CS) and diffusion-based generative methods. We further demonstrate its effectiveness in a zero-shot training setup for retrospectively and prospectively sub-sampled acquisitions, attesting to its minimal training burden. As an approach that radically deviates from existing strategies, CUPID presents an opportunity to provide broader access to fast MRI for remote and rural populations in an attempt to reduce the obstacles associated with this expensive imaging modality. Code is available at https://github.com/ualcalar17/CUPID.

Spotlight
Graph Few-Shot Learning via Adaptive Spectrum Experts and Cross-Set Distribution Calibration

Yonghao Liu, Yajun Wang, Chunli Guo, Wei Pang, Ximing Li, Fausto Giunchiglia, Xiaoyue Feng, Renchu Guan

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Graph few-shot learning has attracted increasing attention due to its ability to rapidly adapt models to new tasks with only limited labeled nodes. Despite the remarkable progress made by existing graph few-shot learning methods, several key limitations remain. First, most current approaches rely on predefined and unified graph filters (e.g., low-pass or high-pass filters) to globally enhance or suppress node frequency signals. Such fixed spectral operations fail to account for the heterogeneity of local topological structures inherent in real-world graphs. Moreover, these methods often assume that the support and query sets are drawn from the same distribution. However, under few-shot conditions, the limited labeled data in the support set may not sufficiently capture the complex distribution of the query set, leading to suboptimal generalization. To address these challenges, we propose GRACE, a novel Graph few-shot leaRning framework that integrates Adaptive spectrum experts with Cross-sEt distribution calibration techniques. Theoretically, the proposed approach enhances model generalization by adapting to both local structural variations and cross-set distribution calibration. Empirically, GRACE consistently outperforms state-of-the-art baselines across a wide range of experimental settings. Our code can be found here.

Poster
Entropy-Calibrated Label Distribution Learning

Yunan Lu, Bowen Xue, Xiuyi Jia, Lei Yang

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Label Distribution Learning (LDL) has emerged as a powerful framework for estimating complete conditional label distributions, providing crucial reliability for risk-sensitive decision-making tasks. While existing LDL algorithms exhibit competent performance under the conventional LDL performance evaluation methods, two key limitations remain: (1) current algorithms systematically underperform on the samples with low-entropy label distributions, which can be particularly valuable for decision making, and (2) the conventional performance evaluation methods are inherently biased due to the numerical imbalance of samples. In this paper, through empirical and theoretical analyses, we find that excessive cohesion between anchor vectors contributes significantly to the observed entropy bias phenomenon in LDL algorithms. Accordingly, we propose an inter-anchor angular regularization term that mitigates cohesion among anchor vectors by penalizing over-small angles. Besides, to alleviate the numerical imbalance of high-entropy samples in test set, we propose an entropy-calibrated aggregation strategy that obtains the overall model performance by evaluating performance on the low-entropy and high-entropy subsets of the overall test set separately. Finally, we conduct extensive experiments on various real-world datasets to demonstrate the effectiveness of our proposal.

Poster
Tradeoffs between Mistakes and ERM Oracle Calls in Online and Transductive Online Learning

Idan Attias, Steve Hanneke, Arvind Ramaswami

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We study online and transductive online learning in settings where the learner can interact with the concept class only via Empirical Risk Minimization (ERM) or weak consistency oracles on arbitrary subsets of the instance domain. This contrasts with standard online models, where the learner has full knowledge of the concept class. The ERM oracle returns a hypothesis that minimizes the loss on a given subset, while the weak consistency oracle returns only a binary signal indicating whether the subset is realizable by a concept in the class. The learner's performance is measured by the number of mistakes and oracle calls. In the standard online setting with ERM access, we establish tight lower bounds in both the realizable and agnostic cases: $\Omega(2^{d_\mathrm{LD}})$ mistakes and $\Omega(\sqrt{T 2^{d_\mathrm{LD}}})$ regret, respectively, where $T$ is the number of timesteps and $d_\mathrm{LD}$ is the Littlestone dimension of the class. We further show how existing results for online learning with ERM access translate to the setting with a weak consistency oracle, at the cost of increasing the number of oracle calls by $O(T)$. We then consider the transductive online model, where the instance sequence is known in advance but labels are revealed sequentially. For general Littlestone classes, we show that the optimal mistake bound in the realizable case and in the agnostic case can be achieved using $O(T^{d_\mathrm{VC}+1})$ weak consistency oracle calls, where $d_\mathrm{VC}$ is the VC dimension of the class. On the negative side, we show that $\Omega(T)$ weak consistency queries are necessary for transductive online learnability, and that $\Omega(T)$ ERM queries are necessary to avoid exponential dependence on the Littlestone dimension. % Finally, for special families of concept classes, we demonstrate how to reduce the number of oracle calls using randomized algorithms while maintaining similar mistake bounds. In particular, for Thresholds on an unknown ordering, $O(\log T)$ ERM queries suffice, and for $k$-Intervals, $O(T^3 2^{2k})$ weak consistency queries suffice.

Spotlight
Scalable and adaptive prediction bands with kernel sum-of-squares

Louis Allain, Sébastien Da Veiga, Brian Staber

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Conformal Prediction (CP) is a popular framework for constructing prediction bands with valid coverage in finite samples, while being free of any distributional assumption. A well-known limitation of conformal prediction is the lack of adaptivity, although several works introduced practically efficient alternate procedures. In this work, we build upon recent ideas that rely on recasting the CP problem as a statistical learning problem, directly targeting coverage and adaptivity. This statistical learning problem is based on reproducible kernel Hilbert spaces (RKHS) and kernel sum-of-squares (SoS) methods. First, we extend previous results with a general representer theorem and exhibit the dual formulation of the learning problem. Crucially, such dual formulation can be solved efficiently by accelerated gradient methods with several hundreds or thousands of samples, unlike previous strategies based on off-the-shelf semidefinite programming algorithms. Second, we introduce a new hyperparameter tuning strategy tailored specifically to target adaptivity through bounds on test-conditional coverage. This strategy, based on the Hilbert-Schmidt Independence Criterion (HSIC), is introduced here to tune kernel lengthscales in our framework, but has broader applicability since it could be used in any CP algorithm where the score function is learned. Finally, extensive experiments are conducted to show how our method compares to related work. All figures can be reproduced with the accompanying code at https://www.gitlab.com/drti/ksos-bands.

Poster