NeurIPS 2024 论文列表

Conference on Neural Information Processing Systems

录用类型

4,562篇论文

按官方录用论文列表统计,可能与会议公布的数字略有出入。

  • Oral
    721.6%
  • Spotlight
    3828.4%
  • Poster
    4,06489.1%
  • 其他 / 未标注
    441.0%

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Evaluating language models as risk scores

André F Cruz, Moritz Hardt, Celestine Mendler-Dünner

展开摘要

Current question-answering benchmarks predominantly focus on accuracy in realizable prediction tasks. Conditioned on a question and answer-key, does the most likely token match the ground truth? Such benchmarks necessarily fail to evaluate LLMs' ability to quantify ground-truth outcome uncertainty. In this work, we focus on the use of LLMs as risk scores for unrealizable prediction tasks. We introduce folktexts, a software package to systematically generate risk scores using LLMs, and evaluate them against US Census data products. A flexible API enables the use of different prompting schemes, local or web-hosted models, and diverse census columns that can be used to compose custom prediction tasks. We evaluate 17 recent LLMs across five proposed benchmark tasks. We find that zero-shot risk scores produced by multiple-choice question-answering have high predictive signal but are widely miscalibrated. Base models consistently overestimate outcome uncertainty, while instruction-tuned models underestimate uncertainty and produce over-confident risk scores. In fact, instruction-tuning polarizes answer distribution regardless of true underlying data uncertainty. This reveals a general inability of instruction-tuned models to express data uncertainty using multiple-choice answers. A separate experiment using verbalized chat-style risk queries yields substantially improved calibration across instruction-tuned models. These differences in ability to quantify data uncertainty cannot be revealed in realizable settings, and highlight a blind-spot in the current evaluation ecosystem that folktexts covers.

Poster
A Data-Centric Perspective on Evaluating Machine Learning Models for Tabular Data

Andrej Tschalzev, Sascha Marton, Stefan Lüdtke, Christian Bartelt, Heiner Stuckenschmidt

展开摘要

Tabular data is prevalent in real-world machine learning applications, and new models for supervised learning of tabular data are frequently proposed. Comparative studies assessing performance differences typically have model-centered evaluation setups with overly standardized data preprocessing. This limits the external validity of these studies, as in real-world modeling pipelines, models are typically applied after dataset-specific preprocessing and feature engineering. We address this gap by proposing a data-centric evaluation framework. We select 10 relevant datasets from Kaggle competitions and implement expert-level preprocessing pipelines for each dataset. We conduct experiments with different preprocessing pipelines and hyperparameter optimization (HPO) regimes to quantify the impact of model selection, HPO, feature engineering, and test-time adaptation. Our main findings reveal: 1) After dataset-specific feature engineering, model rankings change considerably, performance differences decrease, and the importance of model selection reduces. 2) Recent models, despite their measurable progress, still significantly benefit from manual feature engineering. This holds true for both tree-based models and neural networks. 3) While tabular data is typically considered static, samples are often collected over time, and adapting to distribution shifts can be important even in supposedly static data. These insights suggest that research efforts should be directed toward a data-centric perspective, acknowledging that tabular data requires feature engineering and often exhibits temporal characteristics.

Poster
WikiDBs: A Large-Scale Corpus Of Relational Databases From Wikidata

Liane Vogel, Jan-Micha Bodensohn, Carsten Binnig

展开摘要

Deep learning on tabular data, and particularly tabular representation learning, has recently gained growing interest. However, representation learning for relational databases with multiple tables is still an underexplored area, which may be attributed to the lack of openly available resources. To support the development of foundation models for tabular data and relational databases, we introduce WikiDBs, a novel open-source corpus of 100,000 relational databases. Each database consists of multiple tables connected by foreign keys. The corpus is based on Wikidata and aims to follow certain characteristics of real-world databases. In this paper, we describe the dataset and our method for creating it. By making our code publicly available, we enable others to create tailored versions of the dataset, for example, by creating databases in different languages. Finally, we conduct a set of initial experiments to showcase how WikiDBs can be used to train for data engineering tasks, such as missing value imputation and column type annotation.

Spotlight
Interpretable Mesomorphic Networks for Tabular Data

Arlind Kadra, Sebastian Pineda Arango, Josif Grabocka

展开摘要

Even though neural networks have been long deployed in applications involving tabular data, still existing neural architectures are not explainable by design. In this paper, we propose a new class of interpretable neural networks for tabular data that are both deep and linear at the same time (i.e. mesomorphic). We optimize deep hypernetworks to generate explainable linear models on a per-instance basis. As a result, our models retain the accuracy of black-box deep networks while offering free-lunch explainability for tabular data by design. Through extensive experiments, we demonstrate that our explainable deep networks have comparable performance to state-of-the-art classifiers on tabular data and outperform current existing methods that are explainable by design.

Poster