ICML 2026 论文列表

International Conference on Machine Learning

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6,341篇论文

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Understanding the Gaps in Satisficing Bandits

Chloé Rouyer, Ronald Ortner, Peter Auer

展开摘要

We study a variant of the stochastic multi-armed bandit problem in which the learner aims to identify and play an arbitrary arm whose expected reward exceeds a known satisficing threshold $S$, rather than optimizing against the best arm. Prior work has shown that when such a satisficing arm exists, time-independent bounds on the satisficing regret are achievable, but these guarantees deteriorate when an arm lies close to the threshold. We focus on instances in which the excess gap $\Delta_*$ (gap between the best arm and the threshold) is small relative to the suboptimality gaps $\Delta_i$, a regime that exposes this limitation. To capture this challenge, we introduce a refined notion of regret and propose a new algorithm, uncertain-UCB, which achieves *satisficing* pseudo-regret of $ O \left(\sum_{i: \Delta_i > \Delta_*} \frac{\ln(K/\Delta_*)}{\Delta_i}\right), $ while recovering standard pseudo-regret bounds when no arm exceeds the threshold. Further, we establish a near-matching lower bound in the small excess-gap regime, showing that any algorithm incurs at least $ \Omega \left(\sum_{i: \Delta_i > \Delta_*} \frac{\ln \big(\frac{\Delta}{(K-1) \Delta_* }\big)}{\Delta_i}\right) $ satisficing pseudo-regret.

Poster
Upper-Linearizability of Online Non-Monotone DR-Submodular Maximization over Down-Closed Convex Sets

Yiyang Lu, Hareshkumar Jadav, Mohammad Pedramfar, Ranveer Singh, Vaneet Aggarwal

展开摘要

We study online maximization of non-monotone Diminishing-Return(DR)-submodular functions over down-closed convex sets, a regime where existing projection-free online methods suffer from suboptimal regret and limited feedback guarantees. Our main contribution is a new structural result showing that this class is $1/e$-Upper-Linearizable under carefully designed exponential reparametrization, scaling parameter, and surrogate potential, enabling a reduction to online linear optimization. As a result, we obtain optimal $O(T^{1/2})$ static regret with a single gradient query per round and unlock adaptive and dynamic regret guarantees, together with improved rates under semi-bandit, bandit, and zeroth-order feedback. Across all feedback models, our bounds strictly improve the state of the art.

Poster
Efficient Online Influence Maximization under the Independent Cascade Model with Node-Level Feedback

Arpit Agarwal, Varad Deolankar, Rohan Ghuge

展开摘要

Influence maximization is an important research area in social network analysis, where the goal is to select a small set of seed nodes so as to maximize the expected spread of influence under a stochastic diffusion process. Classical approximation algorithms for this problem rely on full knowledge of the underlying influence probabilities and operate in an offline manner. In many real-world settings, however, these probabilities are unknown and must be learned from data, raising the question: \emph{can one still obtain strong performance guarantees while simultaneously learning the diffusion model parameters through repeated interactions?} In this paper, we study the problem of \emph{online influence maximization} under the independent cascade model, where influence probabilities are unknown and feedback is limited to \emph{node-level} activation outcomes. Prior work relies on a \emph{pair oracle} which needs to perform a joint optimization over seed sets and feasible parameters. This oracle is difficult to implement in practice and it was open whether one can achieve sublinear regret using only a \emph{standard} offline oracle. We resolve this question by designing an online learning algorithm that achieves $\widetilde{O}(\sqrt{T})$ regret using only a \emph{standard} offline oracle. Finally, we validate our theoretical results via experiments on real and synthetic data.

Poster
A Stronger Benchmark for Online Bilateral Trade: From Fixed Prices to Distributions

Anna Lunghi, Mattia Piccinato, Matteo Castiglioni, Alberto Marchesi

展开摘要

We study online bilateral trade, where a learner facilitates repeated exchanges between a buyer and a seller to maximize the Gain From Trade (GFT), i.e., the social welfare. In doing so, the learner must guarantee not to subsidize the market. This constraint is usually imposed per round through Weak Budget Balance (WBB). Despite that, (Bernasconi et al.,2024) shows that a Global Budget Balance (GBB) constraint on the profit--enforced over the entire time horizon--can improve the GFT by a multiplicative factor of two. While this might appear to be a marginal relaxation, this implies that all existing WBB-focused algorithms suffer linear regret when measured against the GBB optimum. In this work, we provide the first algorithm to achieve sublinear regret against the GBB benchmark in stochastic environments under one-bit feedback. In particular, we show that when the joint distribution of valuations has a bounded density, our algorithm achieves $\widetilde{\mathcal{O}}(T^{3/4})$ regret. Our result shows that there is no separation between the one-dimensional problem of learning the optimal WBB price and the two-dimensional problem of learning the optimal GBB distribution over *couples* of prices.

Poster
MePo: Meta Post-Refinement for Rehearsal-Free General Continual Learning

Guanglong Sun, Hongwei Yan, Liyuan Wang, Zhiqi KANG, Shuang Cui, Hang Su, Jun Zhu, Yi Zhong

展开摘要

To cope with uncertain changes of the external world, intelligent systems must continually learn from complex, evolving environments and respond in real time. This ability, collectively known as general continual learning (GCL), encapsulates practical challenges such as online datastreams and blurry task boundaries. Although leveraging pretrained models (PTMs) has greatly advanced conventional continual learning (CL), these methods remain limited in reconciling the diverse and temporally mixed information along a single pass, resulting in sub-optimal GCL performance. Inspired by meta-plasticity and reconstructive memory in neuroscience, we introduce here an innovative approach named **Me**ta **Po**st-Refinement (MePo) for PTMs-based GCL. This approach constructs pseudo task sequences from pretraining data and develops a bi-level meta-learning paradigm to refine the pretrained backbone, which serves as a prolonged pretraining phase but greatly facilitates rapid adaptation of representation learning to downstream GCL tasks. MePo further initializes a meta covariance matrix as the reference geometry of pretrained representation space, enabling GCL to exploit second-order statistics for robust output alignment. MePo serves as a plug-in strategy that achieves significant performance gains across a variety of GCL benchmarks and pretrained checkpoints in a rehearsal-free manner (e.g., 15.10%, 13.36%, and 12.56% on CIFAR-100, ImageNet-R, and CUB-200 under Sup-21/1K). Our source code is available at \href{https://github.com/SunGL001/MePo}{MePo}.

Poster
Stochastic Linear Bandits with Parameter Noise

Daniel Ezer, Alon Cohen, Yishay Mansour

展开摘要

We study the stochastic linear bandits with parameter noise model, in which the reward of action $a$ is $a^\top \theta$ where $\theta$ is sampled i.i.d. We show a regret upper bound of $\widetilde{O} (\sqrt{d T \log(K/\delta) \sigma^2_{\max}})$ for a horizon $T$, general action set of size $K$ of dimension $d$, and where $\sigma^2_{\max}$ is the maximal variance of the reward for any action. We further provide a lower bound of $\widetilde{\Omega} (d \sqrt{T \sigma_{\max}^2})$ which is tight (up to logarithmic factors) whenever $\log K \approx d$. For more specific action sets, $\ell_p$ unit balls with $p \leq 2$ and dual norm $q$, we show that the minimax regret is $\widetilde{\Theta} (\sqrt{dT \sigma_q^2})$, where $\sigma_q^2$ is a variance-dependent quantity that is always at most $4$. This is in contrast to the minimax regret attainable for such sets in the classic additive noise model where the regret is of order $d \sqrt{T}$. Surprisingly, we show that this optimal (up to logarithmic factors) regret bound is attainable using a very simple explore-exploit algorithm.

Poster
Non-Stationary Online Structured Prediction with Surrogate Losses

Shinsaku Sakaue, Han Bao, Yuzhou Cao

展开摘要

Online structured prediction, including online classification as a special case, is the task of sequentially predicting labels from input features. In this setting, the *surrogate regret*—the cumulative excess of the actual target loss (e.g., the 0-1 loss) over the surrogate loss (e.g., the logistic loss) incurred by the best fixed estimator—has gained attention because it admits a finite bound independent of the time horizon $T$. However, such guarantees break down in *non-stationary* environments, where every fixed estimator may incur surrogate loss that grows linearly with $T$. To address this limitation, we obtain an upper bound of $F_T+O(1+P_T)$ on the cumulative target loss, where $F_T$ is the cumulative surrogate loss of any comparator sequence and $P_T$ is its *path length*. This bound depends on $T$ only through $F_T$ and $P_T$, thus offering stronger guarantees under non-stationarity. Our core idea is to combine the dynamic regret analysis of online gradient descent (OGD) with the *exploit-the-surrogate-gap* technique. This viewpoint sheds light on the usefulness of a Polyak-style learning rate for OGD, which systematically yields target-loss bounds and performs well empirically. We then extend our approach to broader settings beyond prior work via the *convolutional Fenchel–Young loss*. Finally, a lower bound shows that the dependence on $F_T$ and $P_T$ is tight.

Poster
Learning-Augmented Online Minimization with Dual Predictions

Christian Coester, Alexa Tudose, Alexander Turoczy

展开摘要

We present learning-augmented algorithms for two general classes of online minimization problems: metrical task systems and laminar set cover. Both algorithms achieve improved theoretical guarantees using machine-learned predictions of an optimal solution to the dual linear program. Unlike optimal primal solutions, which can change drastically under tiny instance perturbations, these dual solutions are much more stable, which ensures the existence of good (and learnable) predictions for families of similar instances. While previous work has used dual predictions in offline settings and for online maximization problems, our algorithms are, to the best of our knowledge, the first demonstration that such dual predictions can be effective for online minimization. Our theoretical results are complemented by experiments on the $k$-server problem and the parking permit problem.

Poster
Online Change Point Detection for Multivariate Inhomogeneous Poisson Processes Time Series

Xiaokai Luo, Haotian Xu, Carlos Misael Madrid Padilla, OSCAR HERNAN MADRID PADILLA

展开摘要

We study online change point detection for multivariate inhomogeneous Poisson point process time series. This setting arises commonly in applications such as earthquake seismology, climate monitoring, and epidemic surveillance, yet remains underexplored in the machine learning and statistics literature. We propose a method that uses low-rank matrices to represent the multivariate Poisson intensity functions, resulting in an adaptive nonparametric detection procedure. Our algorithm is single-pass and requires only constant computational cost per new observation, independent of the elapsed length of the time series. We provide theoretical guarantees to control the overall false alarm probability and characterize the detection delay under temporal dependence. We also develop a new Matrix Bernstein inequality for temporally dependent Poisson point process time series, which may be of independent interest. Numerical experiments demonstrate that our method is both statistically robust and computationally efficient.

Poster
Beyond Point-wise Neural Collapse: A Topology-Aware Hierarchical Classifier for Class-Incremental Learning

HuiYu Yi, Xu Zhiming, Dunwei Tu, Zhicheng Wang, Baile Xu, Furao Shen

展开摘要

The Nearest Class Mean (NCM) classifier is widely favored in Class-Incremental Learning (CIL) for its superior resistance to catastrophic forgetting compared to Fully Connected layers. While Neural Collapse (NC) theory supports NCM's optimality by assuming features collapse into single points, non-linear feature drift and insufficient training in CIL often prevent this ideal state. Consequently, classes manifest as complex manifolds rather than collapsed points, rendering the single-point NCM suboptimal. To address this, we propose Hierarchical-Cluster SOINN (HC-SOINN), a novel classifier that captures the topological structure of these manifolds via a ``local-to-global'' representation. Furthermore, we introduce Structure-Topology Alignment via Residuals (STAR) method, which employs a fine-grained pointwise trajectory tracking mechanism to actively deform the learned topology, allowing it to adapt precisely to complex non-linear feature drift. Theoretical analysis and Procrustes distance experiments validate our framework's resilience to manifold deformations. We integrated HC-SOINN into seven state-of-the-art methods by replacing their original classifiers, achieving consistent improvements that highlight the effectiveness and robustness of our approach. Code is available at \url{https://github.com/yhyet/HC_SOINN}.

Poster
Ultrafast On-Chip Online Learning via Spline Locality in Kolmogorov–Arnold Networks

Duc Hoang, Aarush Gupta, Philip Harris

展开摘要

Ultrafast online learning is essential for high-frequency systems, such as controls for quantum computing and nuclear fusion, where adaptation must occur on sub-microsecond timescales. Meeting these requirements demands low-latency, fixed-precision computation under strict memory constraints, a regime in which conventional Multi-Layer Perceptrons (MLPs) are both inefficient and numerically unstable. We identify key properties of Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KANs) that align with these constraints. Specifically, we show that: (i) KAN updates exploiting B-spline locality are sparse, enabling superior on-chip resource scaling, and (ii) KANs are inherently robust to fixed-point quantization. By implementing fixed-point online training on Field-Programmable Gate Arrays (FPGAs), a representative platform for on-chip computation, we demonstrate that KAN-based online learners are significantly more efficient and expressive than MLPs across a range of low-latency and resource-constrained tasks. To our knowledge, this work is the first to demonstrate model-free online learning at sub-microsecond latencies.

Poster
Optimal Learning from Label Proportions with General Loss Functions

Lorne Applebaum, Travis Dick, Claudio Gentile, Haim Kaplan, Tomer Koren

展开摘要

Motivated by problems in online advertising, we address the task of Learning from Label Proportions (LLP). We introduce a novel and versatile low-variance debiasing methodology to learn from aggregate label information, significantly advancing the state of the art in LLP. Our debiasing approach exhibits remarkable flexibility, seamlessly accommodating a broad spectrum of practically relevant loss functions across both binary and multi-class classification settings. By carefully combining our estimators with standard techniques, we improve sample complexity guarantees for a large class of losses of practical relevance. We also empirically validate the efficacy of our proposed approach across a diverse array of benchmark datasets, demonstrating compelling empirical advantages over standard baselines.

Poster
Online Compatible Reward Identification from Preference Feedback

Simone Drago, Marco Mussi, Alberto Maria Metelli

展开摘要

In reinforcement learning, human preference feedback is emerging as a viable alternative to expert-designed reward functions, which can be difficult to engineer in real-world problems. However, despite the growing importance of preference feedback, how to effectively *elicit* preferences remains a fundamental open problem. This work focuses on the *compatible reward identification* task. The aim is to derive, starting from preference feedback, a reward function compatible with the observed preferences and accurate across the *entire* state-action space, ensuring higher transferability, safety, and interpretability. Indeed, the most common *reinforcement learning from human feedback* objective is to learn the *optimal policy*, requiring accuracy only in the portion of the state-action space that the agent visits. However, this goal cannot provide the same guarantees as compatible reward identification. First, we discuss commonalities and differences between the two goals. Then, we consider deterministic preferences, deriving the minimum number of interactions needed to identify the set of compatible rewards, and showing that using fewer queries may lead to arbitrarily large suboptimality. Finally, we focus on stochastic preferences generated via the Bradley-Terry (BT) model. We introduce the concepts of *query basis* and its *index*, relating them to the problem complexity. Upon this, we discuss the connection between the index of a basis and the BT model, as well as the limitations that the model induces in this setting. Additionally, we devise an algorithm to identify a nearly-optimal query basis with polynomial human query complexity.

Poster
Online Conformal Prediction via Universal Portfolio Algorithms

Tuo Liu, Edgar Dobriban, Francesco Orabona

展开摘要

Online conformal prediction (OCP) seeks prediction intervals that achieve long-run $1-\alpha$ coverage for arbitrary (possibly adversarial) data streams, while remaining as informative as possible. Existing OCP methods often require manual learning-rate tuning to work well, and may also require algorithm-specific analyses. Here, we develop a general regret-to-coverage theory for interval-valued OCP based on the $(1-\alpha)$-pinball loss. Our first contribution is to identify *linearized regret* as a key notion, showing that controlling it implies coverage bounds for any online algorithm. This relies on a black-box reduction that depends only on the Fenchel conjugate of an upper bound on the linearized regret. Building on this theory, we propose UP-OCP, a parameter-free method for OCP, via a reduction to a two-asset portfolio selection problem, leveraging universal portfolio algorithms. We show strong finite-time bounds on the miscoverage of UP-OCP, even for polynomially growing predictions. Extensive experiments support that UP-OCP delivers consistently better size/coverage trade-offs than prior online conformal baselines.

Spotlight
Fixed Budget is No Harder Than Fixed Confidence in Best-Arm Identification up to Logarithmic Factors

Kapilan Balagopalan, Yinan Li, Yao Zhao, Tuan Ngo Nguyen, Anton Daitche, houssam nassif, Kwang-Sung Jun

展开摘要

The best-arm identification (BAI) problem is one of the most fundamental problems in interactive machine learning, which has two flavors: the fixed-budget setting (FB) and the fixed-confidence setting (FC). For $K$-armed bandits with a unique best arm, the optimal sample complexities for both settings have been settled down and they match up to logarithmic factors. This prompts an interesting research question about the generic, potentially structured BAI problems: is FB harder than FC or the other way around? In this paper, we show that FB is no harder than FC up to logarithmic factors. We do this constructively: we propose a novel algorithm called FC2FB (fixed confidence to fixed budget), which is a meta algorithm that takes in an FC algorithm $\mathcal{A}$ and turn it into an FB algorithm. We prove that FC2FB enjoys a sample complexity that matches, up to logarithmic factors, that of the sample complexity of $\mathcal{A}$. This means that the optimal FC sample complexity is an upper bound of the optimal FB sample complexity up to logarithmic factors. Our result not only reveals a fundamental relationship between FB and FC, but also has a significant implication: FC2FB combined with existing state-of-the-art FC algorithms, leads to improved sample complexity for a number of FB problems.

Poster
CUPID in the Model Zoo: Online Matchmaking for Selecting Your Dream LLM

Son Nguyen, Xinyuan Liu, Ransalu Senanayake

展开摘要

Users increasingly face the challenge of selecting an appropriate LLM for a given task from a rapidly growing pool of LLMs, each with distinct but often opaque latent properties. Compounding this challenge, users may lack the vocabulary or awareness to explicitly articulate the characteristics they value in an LLM's responses or deployment. We propose an interaction-efficient active learning framework in which a dueling bandit algorithm iteratively selects pairs of LLMs, collects user feedback about their responses, and updates its belief about the user's latent preferences. We introduce a novel belief-aware upper confidence bound strategy that balances exploration of the model pool with exploitation of inferred preferences, enabling efficient alignment between user needs and LLM capabilities under user-specified cost and time budgets. Through diverse experiments on LLMs and human studies, we experimentally verify that our model can efficiently match users to LLMs at a lower cost.

Poster
Universal Multiclass Transductive Online Learning

Steve Hanneke, Hongao Wang

展开摘要

We consider the problem of universal transductive online classification with a possibly unbounded label space. This setting considers online learning, with the sequence of instances (without labels) known to the learner in advance. We say a concept class $\mathcal{H}$ is learnable if there is a learning algorithm $\mathcal{A}$, such that for every realizable sequence, the number of mistakes made by $\mathcal{A}$ grows at most sublinearly with the number of predictions. We characterize the learnability of this setting and show that there are only two possible optimal rates for the learnable classes: either bounded or increasing logarithmically. We introduce a new combinatorial structure, called "Level-Constrained-Littlestone-Littlestone (LCLL) tree", which, along with the indifference property, characterizes the learnability. We also extend the learnability result to the agnostic case and the case where only the stochastic process that generates the instance sequence is known.

Poster
Online Rubrics Elicitation from Pairwise Comparisons

MohammadHossein Rezaei, Robert Vacareanu, Zihao Wang, Clinton Wang, Bing Liu, Yunzhong He, Afra Feyza Akyürek

展开摘要

Rubrics provide a flexible way to train LLMs on open-ended long-form answers where verifiable rewards are not applicable and human preferences provide coarse signals. Prior work shows that reinforcement learning with rubric-based rewards leads to consistent gains in LLM post-training. Most existing approaches rely on rubrics that remain static over the course of training. Such static rubrics, however, are vulnerable to reward-hacking type behaviors and fail to capture emergent desiderata that arise during training. We introduce Online Rubrics Elicitation (OnlineRubrics), a method that dynamically curates evaluation criteria in an online manner through pairwise comparisons of responses from current and reference policies. This online process enables continuous identification and mitigation of errors as training proceeds. Empirically, this approach yields consistent improvements of up to 8% over training exclusively with static rubrics across AlpacaEval, GPQA, ArenaHard as well as the validation sets of expert questions and rubrics. We qualitatively analyze the elicited criteria and identify prominent themes such as transparency, practicality, organization, and reasoning.

Poster
Clipped Q-Learning: Your Value Clipping Is Secretly A Robust Operator

Zhishuai Liu, Pan Xu

展开摘要

We study a simple yet principled modification of classical Q-learning that clips the value estimate in the Bellman backup by a threshold $\lambda$. The resulting algorithm, clipped Q-learning, is motivated by a key theoretical insight: the clipped Bellman backup is an unbiased one-sample estimation of a robust Bellman operator arising naturally from a transition-regularized MDP framework. This formulation corresponds to optimizing performance against a specific class of adversarial dynamics perturbations at the test time that reallocate transition probability mass away from high-value states, thereby inducing conservative but stable decision making. Under this interpretation, clipped Q-learning can be viewed as tracking the fixed point of the robust Bellman equation and learning policies that hedge against adversarial dynamics shifts at test time. We analyze two clipped Q-learning variants with an optimistic exploration bonus and establish polynomial regret guarantees, demonstrating statistical efficiency. Beyond the tabular setting, our framework suggests that value clipping is a modular mechanism that can be incorporated into general value-based RL algorithms with function approximation. As a proof of concept, we evaluate a clipped Double DQN algorithm on a control task and observe robustness improvements consistent with our theoretical predictions.

Poster
Anytime-Valid Inference for Online Ranking of Large Language Models

Runzhe Gu, Wenguang Sun, Bowen Gang, Xintao Xia

展开摘要

Online evaluation of large language models increasingly relies on sequentially collected pairwise preferences, enabling human-aligned assessment and continuous data collection until closely performing models can be reliably distinguished. However, adaptive sampling and continuous monitoring invalidate classical fixed-sample inference, rendering existing ranking procedures largely heuristic. We propose SERPANT (Sequential E-value Ranking and Pruning via Adaptive Null Testing), a principled framework for online LLM ranking with anytime-valid guarantees. SERPANT formulates model comparison as a collection of pairwise hypothesis tests and constructs e-processes to ensure family-wise error rate control at any monitoring time. Anytime validity provides a theoretical justification for early stopping, enabling substantial cost savings from expensive human annotation. To improve efficiency, we introduce a novel tournament-based sampling strategy that adaptively selects comparisons based on past outcomes. The proposed framework is also extended to top-k model identification.

Poster