ICML 2026 论文列表

International Conference on Machine Learning

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6,341篇论文

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主题: 社会层面 · accountability transparency and interpretability · 541 篇论文 · 重置筛选

Reading Between the Tokens: Improving Preference Predictions through Mechanistic Forecasting

Sarah Ball, Simeon Allmendinger, Frauke Kreuter, Niklas Kühl

展开摘要

Large language models are increasingly used to predict human preferences in both scientific and business endeavors, yet current approaches rely exclusively on analyzing model outputs without considering the underlying mechanisms. Using election forecasting as a test case, we introduce *mechanistic forecasting*, a method that demonstrates that probing internal model representations offers a fundamentally different---and sometimes more effective--- approach to preference prediction. Examining over 24 million configurations across 7 models, 6 national elections, multiple persona attributes, and prompt variations, we systematically analyze how demographic and ideological information activates latent party-encoding components within the respective models. We find that leveraging this internal knowledge via mechanistic forecasting, opposed to solely relying on surface-level predictions, can improve prediction accuracy. The effects vary across demographic versus opinion-based attributes, political parties, national contexts, and models. Our findings demonstrate that the latent representational structure of LLMs contains systematic, exploitable information about human preferences, establishing a new paradigm for using language models in social science prediction tasks.

Poster
WatchLog: Efficient and Interpretable Event Reasoning for Endpoint Detection and Response Logs with Multimodal LLMs

Hongyi Zhou, Jianfeng Pan, Min Peng, Shaomang Huang, Xuling Zhang

展开摘要

Endpoint Detection and Response (EDR) systems are crucial for identifying malicious activities on endpoint devices, yet existing methods struggle to efficiently model ultra-long log sequences and to provide interpretable reasoning for security analysts. We propose WatchLog, a novel framework that represents raw logs as video-structured data, enabling scalable and expressive video-language modeling of endpoint behaviors. Each event is encoded as a key–value-guided image, and the resulting images are temporally organized into a video sequence. To capture long-range dependencies, WatchLog employs a temporal cross-attention adapter that enables pixel-wise interaction across time. The adapter acts as an auxiliary temporal reasoning pathway, aligning spatial representations with relevant temporal contexts while preserving the original behavioral semantics. We adopt a two-stage pre-training strategy followed by supervised fine-tuning to generate behavior explanations grounded in event-level semantics and detection outcomes. Experiments on our newly constructed EDR8M-20R dataset and a public benchmark demonstrate that WatchLog consistently outperforms state-of-the-art methods in detection accuracy and recall, while offering more interpretable reasoning traces and significantly improved inference efficiency. Extensive ablation studies further support the robustness and interpretability of the proposed method.

Poster
When Random Saliency Looks Trained: Architectural Center Bias in CNN Interpretability

Keying Kuang, Iain Carmichael, Elizabeth Purdom

展开摘要

Saliency maps are widely used to interpret image classification models and build trust in their predictions; however, their reliability remains a central concern, as randomized networks can produce saliency maps that closely resemble those of trained models. We identify a previously underappreciated architectural contributor to this phenomenon: a *center-focused saliency bias* induced by common convolutional design choices. Through controlled ablations, we show that architectural components such as zero padding and receptive field growth induce a center-focused saliency prior that is already present in randomly initialized CNNs and under randomized inputs. In contrast, this behavior is largely absent in non-convolutional architectures such as Vision Transformers (ViTs) and multilayer perceptrons (MLPs). To investigate the interaction between architectural priors and learning, we introduce a corner-shift benchmark and a Center-Shift Index that quantify how saliency redistributes under object relocation. We show that training can partially shift saliency toward object regions, while randomized models remain dominated by architectural center bias, providing one mechanism by which trained-random similarity can be inflated and clarifying how architectural priors can confound standard saliency evaluations.

Poster
Mechanistic Anomaly Detection via Functional Attribution

Hugo Lyons Keenan, Christopher Leckie, Sarah Monazam Erfani

展开摘要

We can often verify the correctness of neural network outputs using ground truth labels, but we cannot reliably determine whether the output was produced by normal or anomalous internal mechanisms. Mechanistic anomaly detection (MAD) aims to flag these cases, but existing methods either depend on latent space analysis, which is vulnerable to obfuscation, or are specific to particular architectures and modalities. We reframe MAD as a functional attribution problem: asking to what extent samples from a trusted set can explain the model's output, where attribution failure signals anomalous behavior. We operationalize this using influence functions, measuring functional coupling between test samples and a small reference set via parameter-space sampling. We evaluate across multiple anomaly types and modalities. For backdoors in vision models, our method achieves state-of-the-art detection on BackdoorBench, with an average Defense Effectiveness Rating (DER) of 0.93 across seven attacks and four datasets (next best 0.83). For LLMs, we similarly achieve a significant improvement over baselines for several backdoor types, including on explicitly obfuscated models. Beyond backdoors, preliminary evidence shows our method can detect adversarial and out-of-distribution samples, and distinguishes multiple anomalous mechanisms within a single model. Our results establish functional attribution as an effective, modality-agnostic tool for detecting anomalous behavior in deployed models.

Poster
The Truth Lies Somewhere in the Middle (of the Generated Tokens)

Sophie L. Wang, Phillip Isola, Brian Cheung

展开摘要

How should the sequence of hidden states produced during autoregressive generation be compressed into a representation that reflects the model’s internal state? We study representations derived from generated tokens and compare them to grounded embeddings across several domains. We find that pooling embeddings across tokens produces more informative representations than any individual token. This observation is consistent with semantic information being distributed across generated tokens rather than localized to a single position. In this setting, alignment provides a way to study how a model’s internal representations evolve and pooling offers a more reliable summary of the model's state across generation.

Poster
SemBind: Binding Diffusion Watermarks to Semantics Against Black-Box Forgery Attacks

Xin Zhang, Zijin Yang, Kejiang Chen, Linfeng Ma, Weiming Zhang, Nenghai Yu

展开摘要

Latent-based watermarks, embedded during the generation process of latent diffusion models (LDMs), facilitate detection and attribution of generated images. However, recent black-box forgery attacks can implant a provider's watermark into images not generated by that provider, using at least one watermarked image and black-box access to the model, thereby undermining provenance and trust. We propose SemBind, the first defense framework for latent-based watermarks against black-box forgery, which binds latent watermark signals to image semantics through a contrastively trained semantic masker. The masker produces near-invariant codes for semantically matched prompts and near-orthogonal codes across different prompts, enabling SemBind to modulate the target latent before applying standard latent-based watermarking schemes. Across four mainstream latent-based watermarking methods, SemBind substantially reduces false acceptance under black-box forgery while preserving image quality and offering a tunable robustness--security trade-off via a simple mask-ratio parameter. Code is available at https://github.com/XinZhang1999/SemBind.

Poster
ST-TGExplainer: Disentangling Stability and Transition Patterns for Temporal GNN Interpretability

Hongjiang Chen, Xin Zheng, Pengfei Jiao, Huan Liu, Zhidong Zhao, Huaming Wu, Feng Xia, Shirui Pan

展开摘要

Temporal graph neural networks (TGNNs) have gained significant traction for solving real-world temporal graph tasks. However, their interpretability remains limited, as most TGNNs fail to identify which historical interactions most influence a given prediction. Despite promising progress on interpretable TGNNs, existing methods predominantly focus on previously seen historical interactions, which we term stability patterns, while overlooking newly emerging first-time interactions, which we term transition patterns. Both types of patterns are essential for faithful temporal explanations. To address this limitation, we propose ST-TGExplainer, a self-explainable TGNN that disentangles Stability and Transition patterns in temporal graphs for a more faithful Temporal GNN Explainer. Guided by a disentangled information bottleneck objective, ST-TGExplainer learns a compact explanatory subgraph that remains predictive of the event label while explicitly suppressing label-conditioned redundancy between stability and transition patterns. Extensive experiments demonstrate that ST-TGExplainer achieves strong predictive performance and yields more faithful explanations. Code is available at https://github.com/hjchen-hdu/ST-TGExplainer.

Poster
Functional Decomposition and Shapley Interactions for Interpreting Survival Models

Sophie Hanna Langbein, Hubert Baniecki, Fabian Fumagalli, Niklas Koenen, Marvin N. Wright, Julia Herbinger

展开摘要

Hazard and survival functions are natural, interpretable targets in time-to-event prediction tasks such as patient survival and disease progression modeling, but their inherent non-additivity fundamentally limits standard additive explanation methods. We introduce Survival Functional Decomposition (SurvFD), a principled approach for analyzing feature interactions in machine learning survival models. By decomposing higher-order effects into time-dependent and time-independent components, SurvFD offers a previously unrecognized perspective on survival explanations, explicitly characterizing when and why additive explanations fail. Building on this theoretical decomposition, we propose SurvSHAP-IQ, which extends Shapley interactions to time-indexed functions, providing a practical estimator for higher-order, time-dependent interactions. We validate the framework on simulated data and demonstrate its utility through cancer survival applications, including multi-modal breast cancer prognosis combining histopathology with clinical features. Together, SurvFD and SurvSHAP-IQ establish an interaction- and time-aware interpretability approach for survival modeling, with broad applicability across medicine, healthcare and other time-to-event prediction tasks.

Poster
Breaking the Block: Preserving Data Continuity to Train Superior SAEs for Instruct Models

Jiaming Li, Haoran Ye, Yukun Chen, Xinyue Li, Lei Zhang, Hamid Alinejad-Rokny, Jimmy Chih-Hsien Peng, Min Yang

展开摘要

Sparse Autoencoders (SAEs) are a cornerstone of mechanistic interpretability. Existing training methods inherit the Block Training paradigm from LLM pre-training, which introduces destructive gradient noise in instruct models due to attention leakage from unrelated contexts. Using GSNR analysis, we theoretically characterize this issue and propose $\underline{\textbf{F}}$inetuning-$\underline{\textbf{a}}$ligned $\underline{\textbf{S}}$equential $\underline{\textbf{T}}$raining ($\textit{FAST}$), a sequential training paradigm specifically designed for instruct models. $\textit{FAST}$ aligns SAE training with the data distribution and activation patterns of instruct models, substantially improving both reconstruction fidelity and feature interpretability. Experimental results show that $\textit{FAST}$ achieves higher GSNR, a significantly lower log-scaled MSE of 0.6468 compared to the baseline’s 5.1985, and a near-zero Delta Loss (-0.51\% to 0.37\%). Moreover, on Llama-3.2-3B-it, $\textit{FAST}$ produces 21.1\% high-quality features, substantially outperforming baseline methods that achieve 7.0\% and 10.2\%. We further find that intervening on special token activations through SAEs can improve generation quality, revealing new opportunities for fine-grained control. Our codes are available as open source at https://github.com/Geaming2002/FAST.

Poster
From Rashomon Theory to PRAXIS: Efficient Decision Tree Rashomon Sets

Zakk Heile, Hayden McTavish, Varun Babbar, Margo Seltzer, Cynthia Rudin

展开摘要

Standard machine learning pipelines often admit many near-optimal models. These "Rashomon sets" pose a range of challenges and opportunities for uncertainty-aware, robust decision making. They allow users to incorporate domain knowledge and preferences that would otherwise be difficult to specify directly in an objective, and they quantify diversity among valid models for a given training dataset and objective function. However, computation of Rashomon sets, even for simple, interpretable model classes such as sparse decision trees, continues to require immense memory and runtime resources. We present PRAXIS, an algorithm to approximate this Rashomon set with orders of magnitude improvement in runtime and memory usage. We validate that PRAXIS regularly recovers almost all of the full Rashomon set. PRAXIS allows researchers and practitioners to scalably model the Rashomon set for real-world datasets.

Poster
Locate then Correct: Debiasing Attention Heads in CLIP

Wei Jie Yeo, Rui Mao, Moloud Abdar, Erik Cambria, Ranjan Satapathy

展开摘要

Multimodal models like CLIP have gained significant attention due to their remarkable zero-shot performance across various tasks. However, studies have revealed that CLIP can inadvertently learn spurious associations between target variables and confounding factors. To address this, we introduce \textsc{Locate-Then-Correct} (LTC), a contrastive framework that identifies spurious attention heads in Vision Transformers via mechanistic insights and mitigates them through targeted ablation. Furthermore, LTC identifies salient, task-relevant attention heads, enabling the integration of discriminative features through orthogonal projection to improve classification performance. We evaluate LTC on benchmarks with inherent background and gender biases, achieving over a > 50% gain in worst-group accuracy compared to non-training post-hoc baselines. Additionally, we visualize the representation of selected heads and find that the presented interpretation corroborates our contrastive mechanism for identifying both spurious and salient attention heads.

Poster
Balancing Plasticity and Stability with Fast and Slow Successor Features

Raymond Chua, Doina Precup, Blake Aaron Richards

展开摘要

A hallmark of intelligence is the ability to adapt in non-stationary environments, yet deep Reinforcement Learning (RL) agents often struggle in such settings. Prior studies introduce non-stationarity through abrupt shifts in features or dynamics, whereas real-world environments often evolve gradually through continual drift. This distinction has important implications for the ``stability-plasticity dilemma'' in RL, as abrupt task changes may demand more plasticity than naturalistic settings. To address this, we modify existing 3D Miniworld and MuJoCo environments to incorporate naturalistic, continual non-stationarity, and use them to examine how stability and adaptation affect performance under continuous environmental change. We find that methods favoring stability, such as synaptic consolidation, outperform approaches focused on plasticity, such as parameters resetting. Motivated by this result, and prior evidence that Successor Features (SFs) reduce interference, we investigate whether SFs are better consolidation targets than Q-values. Across both environments, applying neuro-inspired synaptic consolidation to SFs yields superior performance on continually changing settings. Moreover, consolidation is most effective when SFs are stabilized across multiple timescales, which capture complementary aspects of gradual environmental change. Together, these results suggest that stability is more critical in continual learning when changes are gradual, and that multi-timescale consolidation of predictive representations is an effective approach.

Poster
Revisiting Robustness for LLM Safety Alignment via Selective Geometry Control

Yonghui Yang, Wenjian Tao, Jilong Liu, Xingyu Zhu, Junfeng Fang, Huang Weibiao, Le Wu, Richang Hong, Tat-Seng Chua

展开摘要

Safety alignment of large language models remains brittle under domain shift and noisy preference supervision. Most existing robust alignment methods focus on uncertainty in alignment data, while overlooking optimization-induced fragility in preference-based objectives. In this work, we revisit robustness for LLM safety alignment from an optimization geometry perspective, and argue that robustness failures cannot be addressed by data-centric methods alone. We propose \textit{ShaPO}, a geometry-aware preference optimization framework that enforces worst-case alignment objectives via selective geometry control over alignment-critical parameter subspace. By avoiding uniform geometry constraints, ShaPO mitigates the over-regularization that can harm robustness under distribution shift. We instantiate ShaPO at two levels: token-level ShaPO stabilizes likelihood-based surrogate optimization, while reward-level ShaPO enforces reward-consistent optimization under noisy supervision. Across diverse safety benchmarks and noisy preference settings, ShaPO consistently improves safety robustness over popular preference optimization methods. Moreover, ShaPO composes cleanly with data-robust objectives, yielding additional gains and empirically supporting the proposed optimization-geometry perspective. The code is available at \url{https://github.com/liujilong0116/ShaPO}.

Poster
RLCracker: Evaluating the Worst-Case Vulnerability of LLM Watermarks with Adaptive RL Attacks

Hanbo Huang, Yiran Zhang, Hao ZHENG, Xuan Gong, Yihan Li, Lin Liu, Zhuotao Liu, Shiyu Liang

展开摘要

Large language model (LLM) watermarking has shown promise in detecting AI-generated content and mitigating misuse, with prior work claiming robustness against paraphrasing and text editing. In this paper, we argue that existing evaluations are not sufficiently adversarial, obscuring critical vulnerabilities and overstating the security. To address this, we introduce the *adaptive robustness radius*, a formal metric that quantifies the worst-case resilience of watermarks against adaptive adversaries. By lifting the paraphrase space into a KL-divergence ball, we approximate this radius and theoretically demonstrate that optimizing the attack context and model parameters can significantly reduce the approximated radius, making watermarks highly vulnerable to paraphrase attacks. Leveraging this insight, we propose RLCracker, a reinforcement learning (RL)–based adaptive attack that erases watermarks while preserving semantic fidelity. RLCracker requires only *limited* watermarked examples and *zero* access to the detector. Despite weak supervision, it empowers a 3B model to achieve 98.5\% removal success with minimal semantic shift on 1,500-token Unigram-marked texts after training on only *100* short samples. This performance dramatically exceeds 6.75\% by GPT-4o and generalizes across five model sizes over ten watermarking schemes. Our code is available in this repository.

Poster
Three Years of r/ChatGPT: Societal Impact Evaluations from Social Media Data

Jessica Dai, Sean Garcia, Emma Pierson, Benjamin Recht, Nika Haghtalab

展开摘要

ChatGPT was launched on November 30, 2022; the r/ChatGPT subreddit was created just one day later. Since then, chatbot-based AI products have gone from niche proofs-of-concept to widely-used household names. However, the ways in which adoption has developed, especially among non-experts, remains poorly understood. In this paper, we propose a principled framework for using social media as a data source for understanding the societal impact of widely-adopted consumer AI products, as well as a general approach to monitoring for societally-impactful trends in real time. We apply our framework to conduct what is, to the best of our knowledge, the first longitudinal study of r/ChatGPT. We find that, overall, r/ChatGPT posts over time illustrate the normalization of ChatGPT as an everyday consumer product rather than an exceptional, novel technology. However, our retrospective analysis also finds that posts about using ChatGPT for mental health support, and posts about developing emotional attachments to ChatGPT, both rise steadily in frequency immediately after the launch of GPT-4o in May 2024. We show that our real-time method can detect the increase in emotional engagement as early as October 2024—months before OpenAI made any (public) acknowledgment of this impact.

Poster
Fair Transit Stop Placement: A Clustering Perspective and Beyond

Haris Aziz, Ling Gai, Yuhang Guo, Jeremy Vollen

展开摘要

We study the transit stop placement (TrSP) problem in general metric spaces, where agents travel between source–destination pairs and may either walk directly or utilize a shuttle service via selected transit stops. We investigate fairness in TrSP through the lens of justified representation (JR) and the core, and uncover a structural correspondence with fair clustering. Specifically, we show that a constant-factor approximation to proportional fairness in clustering can be used to guarantee a constant-factor bi-parameterized approximation to core. We establish a lower bound of $1.366$ on the approximability of JR, and moreover show that no clustering algorithm can approximate JR within a factor better than $3$. Going beyond clustering, we propose the Expanding Cost Algorithm, which achieves a tight $2.414$-approximation for JR, but does not give any bounded core guarantee. In light of this, we introduce a parameterized algorithm that interpolates between these approaches, and enables a tunable trade-off between JR and core. Finally, we complement our results with an experimental analysis using small-market public carpooling data.

Poster
The Cylindrical Representation Hypothesis for Language Model Steering

Lang Gao, Jinghui Zhang, Wei Liu, Fengxian Ji, Chenxi Wang, Zirui Song, Akash Ghosh, Youssef Mohamed, Preslav Nakov, Xiuying Chen

展开摘要

Steering is widely used for controlling large language models, yet its effects are often unstable and difficult to predict. Existing theoretical accounts are largely based on the Linear Representation Hypothesis (LRH), which assumes that concepts can be orthogonalized for lossless control. However, this assumption rarely holds in practice and cannot explain the variability of steering outcomes. We propose the Cylindrical Representation Hypothesis (CRH), a geometric extension of LRH that relaxes the orthogonality assumption while preserving linear concept representations. We show that overlapping concept contributions naturally induce a sample-specific cylindrical structure consisting of a central axis, a normal plane, and sensitive sectors. The central axis captures the primary semantic transition associated with a target concept, while the normal plane governs steering sensitivity. Within this plane, some sectors facilitate concept activation, while others suppress or delay it. CRH reveals an asymmetry in steering predictability: the normal plane can be inferred from difference vectors, but the sensitive sectors cannot, introducing an intrinsic source of uncertainty. This explains why steering outcomes vary across samples even when intervention directions are well aligned. Experiments spanning 100 concepts, multiple models, and diverse steering methods provide consistent evidence for the predicted cylindrical structure, suggesting that steering variability arises from representation geometry rather than imperfect steering vectors. Our code is available at: https://github.com/mbzuai-nlp/CRH.

Poster
Spurious Rewards Paradox: Mechanistically Understanding How RLVR Activates Memorization Shortcuts in LLMs

Lecheng Yan, Ruizhe Li, Guanhua Chen, Qing Li, Jiahui Geng, Wenxi Li, Longyue Wang, Chenyang Lyu

展开摘要

Reinforcement Learning with Verifiable Rewards (RLVR) is highly effective for enhancing LLM reasoning, yet recent evidence shows models like Qwen2.5 achieve significant gains even with spurious rewards. We investigate this phenomenon and identify ``Perplexity Paradox'': spurious RLVR triggers a divergence where answer-token perplexity drops while prompt-side coherence degrades, suggesting model is bypassing reasoning in favor of memorization. Using a suite of mechanistic interpretability tools, including Path Patching and Logit Lens, we identify a previously unknown Anchor–Adapter circuit. This circuit enables model to bypass reasoning and directly retrieve memorized solutions under spurious RLVR. We localize a Functional Anchor in middle layers (L18–20) that triggers retrieval of memorized solutions, followed by Structural Adapters in later layers (L21+) that transform representations to accommodate shortcut signal. Finally, we demonstrate that scaling specific MLP keys within this circuit allows for bidirectional causal steering, i.e., artificially amplifying or suppressing contamination-driven performance. Our results provide a mechanistic roadmap for identifying and mitigating data contamination in RLVR-tuned models.

Poster
Private Learning with Public Feature Conditioning

Shuli Jiang, Walid Krichene, Nicolas Mayoraz

展开摘要

We study differentially private (DP) regression in settings where each data sample includes public, non-sensitive features—common in applications like recommendation or advertising systems. While such label DP or DP with semi-sensitive features settings have been primarily explored in the context of classification, effective approaches for regression remain underexplored. We introduce $\textsf{Cond-DP}$, a conditioned variant of $\textsf{DPSGD}$ that leverages the structure of public feature matrices to improve optimization under privacy constraints. Motivated by the observation that these public features often exhibit rapidly decaying spectra, $\textsf{Cond-DP}$ incorporates a data-driven conditioning matrix to reshape the optimization landscape and accelerate convergence. We provide convergence guarantees for convex, strongly convex and non-convex settings, and recover standard $\textsf{DPSGD}$ as a special case when the conditioning matrix is the identity. We show how to construct an effective conditioning matrix for $\textsf{Cond-DP}$ directly from public features, enabling faster convergence than $\textsf{DPSGD}$ in private linear regression, without incurring additional privacy cost. Empirically, $\textsf{Cond-DP}$ with this conditioning matrix consistently outperforms state-of-the-art baselines across a wide range of datasets and model architectures under label DP, demonstrating strong and robust performance in practice.

Poster
Deep Single-Index Fréchet Regression

Muqing Cui, Yidong Zhou, Su I Iao, Hans-Georg Müller

展开摘要

Predicting outputs that are located in non-Euclidean spaces, such as probability distributions, networks, and symmetric positive-definite matrices, is becoming increasingly important in modern data analysis, particularly when inputs are high-dimensional. We propose DeSI (Deep Single-Index Fréchet Regression), a semiparametric framework for regression with metric space-valued outputs and multivariate inputs that assumes a single-index structure for the conditional Fréchet mean. DeSI estimates an interpretable index direction, which quantifies the relative importance of inputs, using a deep neural network, and performs Fréchet regression along the resulting one-dimensional index in the target metric space. This structure mitigates the curse of dimensionality while retaining interpretability, which stands in contrast to standard deep neural networks. We establish theoretical guarantees for DeSI, including uniform approximation and convergence rates, and demonstrate its strong predictive performance through simulations on distributions, networks, and symmetric positive-definite matrices, as well as an application to compositional mood data from New Jersey.

Poster