NeurIPS 2025 Papers

Conference on Neural Information Processing Systems

Decision breakdown

5,812papers

Counted from the official paper list; may differ slightly from the number the conference announced.

  • Oral
    931.6%
  • Spotlight
    73912.7%
  • Poster
    4,98085.7%

Browse all papers

Statistically Valid Post-Deployment Monitoring Should Be Standard for AI-Based Digital Health

Pavel Dolin, Weizhi Li, Gautam Dasarathy, Visar Berisha

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This position paper argues that post-deployment monitoring in clinical AI is underdeveloped and proposes statistically valid and label-efficient testing frameworks as a principled foundation for ensuring reliability and safety in real-world deployment. A recent review found that only 9\% of FDA-registered AI-based healthcare tools include a post-deployment surveillance plan. Existing monitoring approaches are often manual, sporadic, and reactive, making them ill-suited for the dynamic environments in which clinical models operate. We contend that post-deployment monitoring should be grounded in label-efficient and statistically valid testing frameworks, offering a principled alternative to current practices. We use the term "statistically valid" to refer to methods that provide explicit guarantees on error rates (e.g., Type I/II error), enable formal inference under pre-defined assumptions, and support reproducibility—features that align with regulatory requirements. Specifically, we propose that the detection of changes in the data and model performance degradation should be framed as distinct statistical hypothesis testing problems. Grounding monitoring in statistical rigor ensures a reproducible and scientifically sound basis for maintaining the reliability of clinical AI systems. Importantly, it also opens new research directions for the technical community---spanning theory, methods, and tools for statistically principled detection, attribution, and mitigation of post-deployment model failures in real-world settings.

Poster
Adaptive Frontier Exploration on Graphs with Applications to Network-Based Disease Testing

Davin Choo, Yuqi Pan, Tonghan Wang, Milind Tambe, Alastair van Heerden, Cheryl Johnson

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We study a sequential decision-making problem on a $n$-node graph $\mathcal{G}$ where each node has an unknown label from a finite set $\mathbf{\Omega}$, drawn from a joint distribution $\mathcal{P}$ that is Markov with respect to $\mathcal{G}$. At each step, selecting a node reveals its label and yields a label-dependent reward. The goal is to adaptively choose nodes to maximize expected accumulated discounted rewards. We impose a frontier exploration constraint, where actions are limited to neighbors of previously selected nodes, reflecting practical constraints in settings such as contact tracing and robotic exploration. We design a Gittins index-based policy that applies to general graphs and is provably optimal when $\mathcal{G}$ is a forest. Our implementation runs in $\mathcal{O}(n^2 \cdot |\mathbf{\Omega}|^2)$ time while using $\mathcal{O}(n \cdot |\mathbf{\Omega}|^2)$ oracle calls to $\mathcal{P}$ and $\mathcal{O}(n^2 \cdot |\mathbf{\Omega}|)$ space. Experiments on synthetic and real-world graphs show that our method consistently outperforms natural baselines, including in non-tree, budget-limited, and undiscounted settings. For example, in HIV testing simulations on real-world sexual interaction networks, our policy detects nearly all positive cases with only half the population tested, substantially outperforming other baselines.

Poster
Detecting Data Deviations in Electronic Health Records

Kaiping Zheng, Horng-Ruey Chua, Beng Chin Ooi

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Data deviations in electronic health records (EHR) refer to discrepancies between recorded entries and a patient’s actual physiological state, indicating a decline in EHR data fidelity. Such deviations can result from pre-analytical variability, documentation errors, or unvalidated data sources. Effectively detecting data deviations is clinically valuable for identifying erroneous records, excluding them from downstream clinical workflows, and informing corrective actions. Despite its importance and practical relevance, this problem remains largely underexplored in existing research. To bridge this gap, we propose a bi-level knowledge distillation approach centered on a task-agnostic formulation of EHR data fidelity as an intrinsic measure of data reliability. Our approach performs layered knowledge distillation in two levels: from a computation-intensive, task-specific data Shapley oracle to a neural oracle for individual tasks, and then to a unified EHR data fidelity predictor. This design enables the integration of task-specific insights into a holistic assessment of a patient’s EHR data fidelity from a multi-task perspective. By tracking the outputs of this learned predictor, we detect potential data deviations in EHR data. Experiments on both real-world EHR data from National University Hospital in Singapore and the public MIMIC-III dataset consistently validate the effectiveness of our approach in detecting data deviations in EHR data. Case studies further demonstrate its practical value in identifying clinically meaningful data deviations.

Poster
SMMILE: An expert-driven benchmark for multimodal medical in-context learning

Melanie Rieff, Maya Varma, Ossian Rabow, Subathra Adithan, Julie Kim, Ken Chang, Hannah Lee, Nidhi Rohatgi, Christian Bluethgen, Mohamed S Muneer, Jean-Benoit Delbrouck, Michael Moor

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Multimodal in-context learning (ICL) remains underexplored despite significant potential for domains such as medicine. Clinicians routinely encounter diverse, specialized tasks requiring adaptation from limited examples, such as drawing insights from a few relevant prior cases or considering a constrained set of differential diagnoses. While multimodal large language models (MLLMs) have shown advances in medical visual question answering (VQA), their ability to learn multimodal tasks from context is largely unknown. We introduce SMMILE, the first expert-driven multimodal ICL benchmark for medical tasks. Eleven medical experts curated problems, each including a multimodal query and multimodal in-context examples as task demonstrations. SMMILE encompasses 111 problems (517 question-image-answer triplets) covering 6 medical specialties and 13 imaging modalities. We further introduce SMMILE++, an augmented variant with 1038 permuted problems. A comprehensive evaluation of 15 MLLMs demonstrates that most models exhibit moderate to poor multimodal ICL ability in medical tasks. In open-ended evaluations, ICL contributes only an 8% average improvement over zero-shot on SMMILE and 9.4% on SMMILE++. We observe a susceptibility for irrelevant in-context examples: even a single noisy or irrelevant example can degrade performance by up to 9.5%. Moreover, we observe that MLLMs are affected by a recency bias, where placing the most relevant example last can lead to substantial performance improvements of up to 71%. Our findings highlight critical limitations and biases in current MLLMs when learning multimodal medical tasks from context. SMMILE is available at https://smmile-benchmark.github.io.

Poster
CGBench: Benchmarking Language Model Scientific Reasoning for Clinical Genetics Research

Owen Queen, Harrison G Zhang, James Zou

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Variant and gene interpretation are fundamental to personalized medicine and translational biomedicine. However, traditional approaches are manual and labor-intensive. Generative language models (LMs) can facilitate this process, accelerating the translation of fundamental research into clinically-actionable insights. While existing benchmarks have attempted to quantify the capabilities of LMs for interpreting scientific data, these studies focus on narrow tasks that do not translate to real-world research. To meet these challenges, we introduce CGBench, a robust benchmark that tests reasoning capabilities of LMs on scientific publications. CGBench is built from ClinGen, a resource of expert-curated literature interpretations in clinical genetics. CGBench measures the ability to 1) extract relevant experimental results following precise protocols and guidelines, 2) judge the strength of evidence, and 3) categorize and describe the relevant outcome of experiments. We test 8 different LMs and find that while models show promise, substantial gaps exist in literature interpretation, especially on fine-grained instructions. Reasoning models excel in fine-grained tasks but non-reasoning models are better at high-level interpretations. Finally, we measure LM explanations against human explanations with an LM judge approach, revealing that models often hallucinate or misinterpret results even when correctly classifying evidence. CGBench reveals strengths and weaknesses of LMs for precise interpretation of scientific publications, opening avenues for future research in AI for clinical genetics and science more broadly.

Poster
Fine-grained List-wise Alignment for Generative Medication Recommendation

Chenxiao Fan, Chongming Gao, Wentao Shi, Yaxin Gong, Zhao Zihao, Fuli Feng

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Accurate and safe medication recommendations are critical for effective clinical decision-making, especially in multimorbidity cases. However, existing systems rely on point-wise prediction paradigms that overlook synergistic drug effects and potential adverse drug-drug interactions (DDIs). We propose FLAME, a fine-grained list-wise alignment framework for large language models (LLMs), enabling drug-by-drug generation of drug lists. FLAME formulates recommendation as a sequential decision process, where each step adds or removes a single drug. To provide fine-grained learning signals, we devise step-wise Group Relative Policy Optimization (GRPO) with potential-based reward shaping, which explicitly models DDIs and optimizes the contribution of each drug to the overall prescription. Furthermore, FLAME enhances patient modeling by integrating structured clinical knowledge and collaborative information into the representation space of LLMs. Experiments on benchmark datasets demonstrate that FLAME achieves state-of-the-art performance, delivering superior accuracy, controllable safety–accuracy trade-offs, and strong generalization across diverse clinical scenarios. Our code is available at https://github.com/cxfann/Flame.

Spotlight
Beyond Average Value Function in Precision Medicine: Maximum Probability-Driven Reinforcement Learning for Survival Analysis

Jianqi Feng, Chengchun Shi, Zhenke Wu, Xiaodong Yan, Wei Zhao

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Constructing multistage optimal decisions for alternating recurrent event data is critically important in medical and healthcare research. Current reinforcement learning (RL) algorithms have only been applied to time-to-event data, with the objective of maximizing expected survival time. However, alternating recurrent event data has a different structure, which motivates us to model the probability and frequency of event occurrences rather than a single terminal outcome. In this paper, we introduce an RL framework specifically designed for alternating recurrent event data. Our goal is to maximize the probability that the duration between consecutive events exceeds a clinically meaningful threshold. To achieve this, we identify a lower bound of this probability, which transforms the problem into maximizing a cumulative sum of log probabilities, thus enabling direct application of standard RL algorithms. We establish the theoretical properties of the resulting optimal policy and demonstrate through numerical experiments that our proposed algorithm yields a larger probability of that the time between events exceeds a critical threshold compared with existing state-of-the-art algorithms.

Poster