NeurIPS 2025 Papers

Conference on Neural Information Processing Systems

Decision breakdown

5,812papers

Counted from the official paper list; may differ slightly from the number the conference announced.

  • Oral
    931.6%
  • Spotlight
    73912.7%
  • Poster
    4,98085.7%

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FALQON: Accelerating LoRA Fine-tuning with Low-Bit Floating-Point Arithmetic

Kanghyun Choi, Hyeyoon Lee, SunJong Park, Dain Kwon, Jinho Lee

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Low-bit floating-point (FP) formats, such as FP8, provide significant acceleration and memory savings in model training thanks to native hardware support on modern GPUs and NPUs. However, we analyze that FP8 quantization offers speedup primarily for large-dimensional matrix multiplications, while inherent quantization overheads diminish speedup when applied to low-rank adaptation (LoRA), which uses small-dimensional matrices for efficient fine-tuning of large language models (LLMs). To address this limitation, we propose FALQON, a novel framework that eliminates the quantization overhead from separate LoRA computational paths by directly merging LoRA adapters into an FP8-quantized backbone during fine-tuning. Furthermore, we reformulate the forward and backward computations for merged adapters to significantly reduce quantization overhead, and introduce a row-wise proxy update mechanism that efficiently integrates substantial updates into the quantized backbone. Experimental evaluations demonstrate that FALQON achieves approximately a 3$\times$ training speedup over existing quantized LoRA methods with a similar level of accuracy, providing a practical solution for efficient large-scale model fine-tuning. Moreover, FALQON’s end-to-end FP8 workflow removes the need for post-training quantization, facilitating efficient deployment. Code is available at https://github.com/iamkanghyunchoi/falqon.

Poster
PDPO: Parametric Density Path Optimization

Sebastian Gutierrez Hernandez, Peng Chen, Hao-Min Zhou

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We introduce Parametric Density Path Optimization (PDPO), a novel method for computing action-minimizing paths between probability densities. The core idea is to represent the target probability path as the pushforward of a reference density through a parametric map, transforming the original infinite-dimensional optimization over densities to a finite-dimensional one over the parameters of the map. We derive a static formulation of the dynamic problem of action minimization and propose cubic spline interpolation of the path in parameter space to solve the static problem. Theoretically, we establish an error bound of the action under proper assumptions on the regularity of the parameter path. Empirically, we find that using 3–5 control points of the spline interpolation suffices to accurately resolve both multimodal and high-dimensional problems. We demonstrate that PDPO can flexibly accommodate a wide range of potential terms, including those modeling obstacles, mean-field interactions, stochastic control, and higher-order dynamics. Our method outperforms existing state-of-the-art approaches in benchmark tasks, demonstrating superior computational efficiency and solution quality.

Poster
BioCLIP 2: Emergent Properties from Scaling Hierarchical Contrastive Learning

Jianyang Gu, Samuel Stevens, Elizabeth G Campolongo, Matthew J Thompson, Net Zhang, Jiaman Wu, Andrei Kopanev, Zheda Mai, Alexander E. White, James Balhoff, Wasla Dahdul, Daniel Rubenstein, Hilmar Lapp, Tanya Berger-Wolf, Wei-Lun Chao, Yu Su

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Foundation models trained at scale exhibit remarkable emergent behaviors, learning new capabilities beyond their initial training objectives. We find such emergent behaviors in biological vision models via large-scale contrastive vision-language training. To achieve this, we first curate TreeOfLife-200M, comprising 214 million images of living organisms, the largest and most diverse biological organism image dataset to date. We then train BioCLIP 2 on TreeOfLife-200M to distinguish different species. Despite the narrow training objective, BioCLIP 2 yields extraordinary accuracy when applied to various biological visual tasks such as habitat classification and trait prediction. We identify emergent properties in the learned embedding space of BioCLIP 2. At the inter-species level, the embedding distribution of different species aligns closely with functional and ecological meanings (e.g., beak sizes and habitats). At the intra-species level, instead of being diminished, the intra-species variations (e.g., life stages and sexes) are preserved and better separated in subspaces orthogonal to inter-species distinctions. We provide formal proof and analyses to explain why hierarchical supervision and contrastive objectives encourage these emergent properties. Crucially, our results reveal that these properties become increasingly significant with larger-scale training data, leading to a biologically meaningful embedding space.

Spotlight
Efficient Prompt Compression with Evaluator Heads for Long-Context Transformer Inference

Weizhi Fei, Xueyan Niu, XIE GUOQING, Yingqing Liu, Bo Bai, Wei Han

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Although applications involving long-context inputs are crucial for the effective utilization of large language models (LLMs), they also result in increased computational costs and reduced performance. To address this challenge, we propose an efficient, training-free prompt compression method that retains key information within compressed prompts. We identify specific attention heads in transformer-based LLMs, which we designate as evaluator heads, that are capable of selecting tokens in long inputs that are most significant for inference. Building on this discovery, we develop EHPC, an Evaluator Head-based Prompt Compression method, which enables LLMs to rapidly "skim through'' input prompts by leveraging only the first few layers with evaluator heads during the pre-filling stage, subsequently passing only the important tokens to the model for inference. EHPC achieves state-of-the-art results across two mainstream benchmarks: prompt compression and long-context inference acceleration. Consequently, it effectively improves performance with the reduced costs associated with commercial API calls compared to prompt compressing methods. We further demonstrate that EHPC attains competitive results compared to key-value cache-based acceleration methods, thereby highlighting its potential to enhance the efficiency of LLMs for long-context tasks.

Spotlight
Logic-in-Frames: Dynamic Keyframe Search via Visual Semantic-Logical Verification for Long Video Understanding

Weiyu Guo, Ziyang Chen, Shaoguang Wang, Jianxiang He, Yijie Xu, Jinhui Ye, Ying Sun, Hui Xiong

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Understanding long video content is a complex endeavor that often relies on densely sampled frame captions or end-to-end feature selectors, yet these techniques commonly overlook the logical relationships between textual queries and visual elements. In practice, computational constraints necessitate coarse frame subsampling, a challenge analogous to “finding a needle in a haystack.” To address this issue, we introduce a semantics-driven search framework that reformulates keyframe selection under the paradigm of Visual Semantic-Logical Search (VSLS). Specifically, we systematically define four fundamental logical dependencies: 1) spatial co-occurrence, 2) temporal proximity, 3) attribute dependency, and 4) causal order. These relations dynamically update frame sampling distributions through an iterative refinement process, enabling context-aware identification of semantically critical frames tailored to specific query requirements. Our method establishes new state-of-the-art performance on the manually annotated benchmark in keyframe selection metrics. Furthermore, when applied to downstream video question-answering tasks, the proposed approach demonstrates the best performance gains over existing methods on LongVideoBench and Video-MME, validating its effectiveness in bridging the logical gap between textual queries and visual-temporal reasoning. The code will be publicly available.

Poster
The Future Unmarked: Watermark Removal in AI-Generated Images via Next-Frame Prediction

Huming Qiu, Zhaoxiang Wang, Mi Zhang, Xiaohan Zhang, Xiaoyu You, Min Yang

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Image watermarking embeds imperceptible signals into AI-generated images for deepfake detection and provenance verification. Although recent semantic-level watermarking methods demonstrate strong resistance against conventional pixel-level removal attacks, their robustness against more advanced removal strategies remains underexplored, raising concerns about their reliability in practical scenarios. Existing removal attacks primarily operate in the pixel domain without altering image semantics, which limits their effectiveness against semantic-level watermarks. In this paper, we propose Next Frame Prediction Attack (NFPA), the first semantic-level removal attack. Unlike pixel-level attacks, NFPA formulates watermark removal as a video generation task: it treats the watermarked image as the initial frame and aims to subtly manipulate the image semantics to generate the next-frame image, i.e., the unwatermarked image. We conduct a comprehensive evaluation on eight state-of-the-art image watermarking schemes, demonstrating that NFPA consistently outperforms thirteen removal attack baselines in terms of the trade-off between watermark removal and image quality. Our results reveal the vulnerabilities of current image watermarking methods and highlight the urgent need for more robust watermarks.

Poster
Deeper with Riemannian Geometry: Overcoming Oversmoothing and Oversquashing for Graph Foundation Models

Li Sun, Zhenhao Huang, Ming Zhang, Philip S. Yu

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Message Passing Neural Networks (MPNNs) are the building block of graph foundation models, but fundamentally suffer from oversmoothing and oversquashing. There has recently been a surge of interest in fixing both issues. Existing efforts primarily adopt global approaches, which may be beneficial in some regions but detrimental in others, ultimately leading to the suboptimal expressiveness. In this paper, we begin by revisiting oversquashing through a global measure -- spectral gap $\lambda$ -- and prove that the increase of $\lambda$ leads to gradient vanishing with respect to the input features, thereby undermining the effectiveness of message passing. Motivated by such theoretical insights, we propose a local approach that adaptively adjusts message passing based on local structures. To achieve this, we connect local Riemannian geometry with MPNNs, and establish a novel nonhomogeneous boundary condition to address both oversquashing and oversmoothing. Building on the Robin condition, we design a GBN network with local bottleneck adjustment, coupled with theoretical guarantees. Extensive experiments on homophilic and heterophilic graphs show the expressiveness of GBN. Furthermore, GBN does not exhibit performance degradation even when the network depth exceeds $256$ layers.

Poster
Semantic and Visual Crop-Guided Diffusion Models for Heterogeneous Tissue Synthesis in Histopathology

Saghir Alfasly, Wataru Uegami, MD ENAMUL HOQ, Ghazal Alabtah, Hamid Tizhoosh

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Synthetic data generation in histopathology faces unique challenges: preserving tissue heterogeneity, capturing subtle morphological features, and scaling to unannotated datasets. We present a latent diffusion model that generates realistic heterogeneous histopathology images through a novel dual-conditioning approach combining semantic segmentation maps with tissue-specific visual crops. Unlike existing methods that rely on text prompts or abstract visual embeddings, our approach preserves critical morphological details by directly incorporating raw tissue crops from corresponding semantic regions. For annotated datasets (i.e., Camelyon16, Panda), we extract patches ensuring 20-80% tissue heterogeneity. For unannotated data (i.e., TCGA), we introduce a self-supervised extension that clusters whole-slide images into 100 tissue types using foundation model embeddings, automatically generating pseudo-semantic maps for training. Our method synthesizes high-fidelity images with precise region-wise annotations, achieving superior performance on downstream segmentation tasks. When evaluated on annotated datasets, models trained on our synthetic data show competitive performance to those trained on real data, demonstrating the utility of controlled heterogeneous tissue generation. In quantitative evaluation, prompt‐guided synthesis reduces Fréchet Distance by up to 6× on Camelyon16 (from 430.1 to 72.0) and yields 2–3× lower FD across Panda and TCGA. Downstream DeepLabv3+ models trained solely on synthetic data attain test IoU of 0.71 and 0.95 on Camelyon16 and Panda, within 1–2% of real‐data baselines (0.72 and 0.96). By scaling to 11,765 TCGA whole‐slide images without manual annotations, our framework offers a practical solution for an urgent need for generating diverse, annotated histopathology data, addressing a critical bottleneck in computational pathology.

Poster
Visual Jenga: Discovering Object Dependencies via Counterfactual Inpainting

Anand Bhattad, Konpat Preechakul, Alexei A. Efros

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This paper proposes a novel scene understanding task called Visual Jenga. Drawing inspiration from the game Jenga, the proposed task involves progressively removing objects from a single image until only the background remains. Just as Jenga players must understand structural dependencies to maintain tower stability, our task reveals the intrinsic relationships between scene elements by systematically exploring which objects can be removed while preserving scene coherence in both physical and geometric sense. As a starting point for tackling the Visual Jenga task, we propose a simple, data-driven, training-free approach that is surprisingly effective on a range of real-world images. The principle behind our approach is to utilize the asymmetry in the pairwise relationships between objects within a scene and employ a large inpainting model to generate a set of counterfactuals to quantify the asymmetry.

Poster
DIFFSSR: Stereo Image Super-resolution Using Differential Transformer

Dafeng Zhang

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In the field of computer vision, the task of stereo image super-resolution (StereoSR) has garnered significant attention due to its potential applications in augmented reality, virtual reality, and autonomous driving. Traditional Transformer-based models, while powerful, often suffer from attention noise, leading to suboptimal reconstruction issues in super-resolved images. This paper introduces DIFFSSR, a novel neural network architecture designed to address these challenges. We introduce the Diff Cross Attention Block (DCAB) and the Sliding Stereo Cross-Attention Module (SSCAM) to enhance feature integration and mitigate the impact of attention noise. The DCAB differentiates between relevant and irrelevant context, amplifying attention to important features and canceling out noise. The SSCAM, with its sliding window mechanism and disparity-based attention, adapts to local variations in stereo images, preserving details, and addressing the performance degradation due to misalignment of horizontal epipolar lines in stereo images. Extensive experiments on benchmark datasets demonstrate that DIFFSSR outperforms state-of-the-art methods, including NAFSSR and SwinFIRSSR, in terms of both quantitative metrics and visual quality.

Poster
Iterative Tool Usage Exploration for Multimodal Agents via Step-wise Preference Tuning

Pengxiang Li, Zhi Gao, Bofei Zhang, Yapeng Mi, Xiaojian Ma, Chenrui Shi, Tao Yuan, Yuwei Wu, Yunde Jia, Song-Chun Zhu, Qing Li

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Multimodal agents, which integrate a controller (e.g., a vision language model) with external tools, have demonstrated remarkable capabilities in tackling complex multimodal tasks. Existing approaches for training these agents, both supervised fine-tuning and reinforcement learning, depend on extensive human-annotated task-answer pairs and tool trajectories. However, for complex multimodal tasks, such annotations are prohibitively expensive or impractical to obtain. In this paper, we propose an iterative tool usage exploration method for multimodal agents without any pre-collected data, namely SPORT, via step-wise preference optimization to refine the trajectories of tool usage. Our method enables multimodal agents to autonomously discover effective tool usage strategies through self-exploration and optimization, eliminating the bottleneck of human annotation. SPORT has four iterative components: task synthesis, step sampling, step verification, and preference tuning. We first synthesize multimodal tasks using language models. Then, we introduce a novel trajectory exploration scheme, where step sampling and step verification are executed alternately to solve synthesized tasks. In step sampling, the agent tries different tools and obtains corresponding results. In step verification, we employ a verifier to provide AI feedback to construct step-wise preference data. The data is subsequently used to update the controller for tool usage through preference tuning, producing a SPORT agent. By interacting with real environments, the SPORT agent gradually evolves into a more refined and capable system. Evaluation in the GTA and GAIA benchmarks shows that the SPORT agent achieves 6.41% and 3.64% improvements, underscoring the generalization and effectiveness introduced by our method.

Poster
Beyond $\tilde{O}(\sqrt{T})$ Constraint Violation for Online Convex Optimization with Adversarial Constraints

Abhishek Sinha, Rahul Vaze

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We study Online Convex Optimization with adversarial constraints (COCO). At each round a learner selects an action from a convex decision set and then an adversary reveals a convex cost and a convex constraint function. The goal of the learner is to select a sequence of actions to minimize both regret and the cumulative constraint violation (CCV) over a horizon of length $T$. The best-known policy for this problem achieves $O(\sqrt{T})$ regret and $\tilde{O}(\sqrt{T})$ CCV. In this paper, we improve this by trading off regret to achieve substantially smaller CCV. This trade-off is especially important in safety-critical applications, where satisfying the safety constraints is non-negotiable. Specifically, for any bounded convex cost and constraint functions, we propose an online policy that achieves $\tilde{O}(\sqrt{dT}+ T^\beta)$ regret and $\tilde{O}(dT^{1-\beta})$ CCV, where $d$ is the dimension of the decision set and $\beta \in [0,1]$ is a tunable parameter. We begin with a special case, called the $\textsf{Constrained Expert}$ problem, where the decision set is a probability simplex and the cost and constraint functions are linear. Leveraging a new adaptive small-loss regret bound, we propose a computationally efficient policy for the $\textsf{Constrained Expert}$ problem, that attains $O(\sqrt{T\ln N}+T^{\beta})$ regret and $\tilde{O}(T^{1-\beta} \ln N)$ CCV for $N$ number of experts. The original problem is then reduced to the $\textsf{Constrained Expert}$ problem via a covering argument. Finally, with an additional $M$-smoothness assumption, we propose a computationally efficient first-order policy attaining $O(\sqrt{MT}+T^{\beta})$ regret and $\tilde{O}(MT^{1-\beta})$ CCV.

Poster
Mint: A Simple Test-Time Adaptation of Vision-Language Models against Common Corruptions

Wenxuan Bao, Ruxi Deng, Jingrui He

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Pretrained vision-language models such as CLIP achieve strong zero-shot generalization but remain vulnerable to distribution shifts caused by input corruptions. In this work, we investigate how corruptions affect CLIP’s image embeddings and uncover a consistent phenomenon we term as embedding variance collapse, where both intra-class and inter-class variances shrink as corruption severity increases. We find that this collapse is closely tied to performance degradation, with inter-class variance strongly correlated with classification accuracy. To explain this phenomenon, we analyze how corruptions alter the structure of the embedding space. Our theoretical results suggest that the visual encoder tends to encode corruption-related signals, which dilute class-discriminative features and compress the representation geometry. We further show that maximizing inter-class variance, even when estimated from pseudo-labels, can provably enhance embedding quality. Based on this insight, we propose Mint, a simple test-time adaptation method that maximizes pseudo-label-based inter-class variance on the fly using a mean accumulator and a gradient accumulator. Mint operates effectively with small batch sizes and consistently improves performance across multiple corruption benchmarks and CLIP architectures. Our code is available at https://github.com/baowenxuan/Mint.

Poster
Novel Exploration via Orthogonality

Andreas Theophilou, Özgür Şimşek

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Efficient exploration remains one of the key open problems in reinforcement learning. Discovering novel states or transitions efficiently requires policies that effectively direct the agent away from regions of the state space that are already well explored. We introduce Novel Exploration via Orthogonality (NEO), an approach that automatically uncovers not only which regions of the environment are novel but also how to reach them by leveraging Laplacian representations. NEO uses the eigenvectors of a modified graph Laplacian to induce gradient flows from states that are frequently visited (less novel) to states that are seldom visited (more novel). We show that NEO’s modified Laplacian yields eigenvectors whose extreme values align with the most novel regions of the state space. We provide bounds for the eigenvalues of the modified Laplacian; and we show that the smoothest eigenvectors with real eigenvalues below certain thresholds provide guaranteed gradients to novel states for both undirected and directed graphs. In an empirical evaluation in online, incremental settings, NEO outperformed related state-of-the- art approaches, including eigen-options and cover options, in a large collection of undirected and directed domains with varying structures.

Poster
MISA: Memory-Efficient LLMs Optimization with Module-wise Importance Sampling

Yuxi Liu, Renjia Deng, Yutong He, Xue Wang, Tao Yao, Kun Yuan

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The substantial memory demands of pre-training and fine-tuning large language models (LLMs) require memory-efficient optimization algorithms. One promising approach is layer-wise optimization, which treats each transformer block as a single layer and optimizes it sequentially, while freezing the other layers to save optimizer states and activations. Although effective, these methods ignore the varying importance of the modules within each layer, leading to suboptimal performance. Moreover, layer-wise sampling provides only limited memory savings, as at least one full layer must remain active during optimization. To overcome these limitations, we propose **M**odule-wise **I**mportance **SA**mpling (**MISA**), a novel method that divides each layer into smaller modules and assigns importance scores to each module. MISA uses a weighted random sampling mechanism to activate modules, provably reducing gradient variance compared to layer-wise sampling. Additionally, we establish an $\mathcal{O}(1/\sqrt{K})$ convergence rate under non-convex and stochastic conditions, where $K$ is the total number of training steps, and provide a detailed memory analysis showcasing MISA's superiority over existing baseline methods. Experiments on diverse learning tasks validate the effectiveness of MISA.

Poster
Prompt Tuning Decision Transformers with Structured and Scalable Bandits

Finn Rietz, Oleg Smirnov, Sara Karimi, Lele Cao

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Prompt tuning has emerged as a key technique for adapting large pre-trained Decision Transformers (DTs) in offline Reinforcement Learning (RL), particularly in multi-task and few-shot settings. The Prompting Decision Transformer (PDT) enables task generalization via trajectory prompts sampled uniformly from expert demonstrations -- without accounting for prompt informativeness. In this work, we propose a bandit-based prompt-tuning method that learns to construct optimal trajectory prompts from demonstration data at inference time. We devise a structured bandit architecture operating in the trajectory prompt space, achieving linear rather than combinatorial scaling with prompt size. Additionally, we show that the pre-trained PDT itself can serve as a powerful feature extractor for the bandit, enabling efficient reward modeling across various environments. We theoretically establish regret bounds and demonstrate empirically that our method consistently enhances performance across a wide range of tasks, high-dimensional environments, and out-of-distribution scenarios, outperforming existing baselines in prompt tuning.

Poster
MAPLE: Multi-scale Attribute-enhanced Prompt Learning for Few-shot Whole Slide Image Classification

Junjie Zhou, Wei Shao, Yagao Yue, Wei Mu, Peng Wan, Qi Zhu, Daoqiang Zhang

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Prompt learning has emerged as a promising paradigm for adapting pre-trained vision-language models (VLMs) to few-shot whole slide image (WSI) classification by aligning visual features with textual representations, thereby reducing annotation cost and enhancing model generalization. Nevertheless, existing methods typically rely on slide-level prompts and fail to capture the subtype-specific phenotypic variations of histological entities (e.g., nuclei, glands) that are critical for cancer diagnosis. To address this gap, we propose Multi-scale Attribute-enhanced Prompt Learning (MAPLE), a hierarchical framework for few-shot WSI classification that jointly integrates multi-scale visual semantics and performs prediction at both the entity and slide levels. Specifically, we first leverage large language models (LLMs) to generate entity-level prompts that can help identify multi-scale histological entities and their phenotypic attributes, as well as slide-level prompts to capture global visual descriptions. Then, an entity-guided cross-attention module is proposed to generate entity-level features, followed by aligning with their corresponding subtype-specific attributes for fine-grained entity-level prediction. To enrich entity representations, we further develop a cross-scale entity graph learning module that can update these representations by capturing their semantic correlations within and across scales. The refined representations are then aggregated into a slide-level representation and aligned with the corresponding prompts for slide-level prediction. Finally, we combine both entity-level and slide-level outputs to produce the final prediction results. Results on three cancer cohorts confirm the effectiveness of our approach in addressing few-shot pathology diagnosis tasks.

Poster
Alligat0R: Pre-Training through Covisibility Segmentation for Relative Camera Pose Regression

Thibaut Loiseau, Guillaume Bourmaud, Vincent Lepetit

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Pre-training techniques have greatly advanced computer vision, with CroCo’s cross-view completion approach yielding impressive results in tasks like 3D reconstruction and pose regression. However, cross-view completion is ill-posed in non-covisible regions, limiting its effectiveness. We introduce Alligat0R, a novel pre-training approach that replaces cross-view learning with a covisibility segmentation task. Our method predicts whether each pixel in one image is covisible in the second image, occluded, or outside the field of view, making the pre-training effective in both covisible and non-covisible regions, and provides interpretable predictions. To support this, we present Cub3, a large-scale dataset with 5M image pairs and dense covisibility annotations derived from the nuScenes and ScanNet datasets. Cub3 includes diverse scenarios with varying degrees of overlap. The experiments show that our novel pre-training method Alligat0R significantly outperforms CroCo in relative pose regression. Alligat0R and Cub3 will be made publicly available.

Spotlight
Rebalancing Return Coverage for Conditional Sequence Modeling in Offline Reinforcement Learning

Wensong Bai, Chufan Chen, Yichao Fu, Qihang Xu, Chao Zhang, Hui Qian

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Recent advancements in offline reinforcement learning (RL) have underscored the capabilities of conditional sequence modeling (CSM), a paradigm that models the action distribution conditioned on both historical trajectories and target returns associated with each state. However, due to the imbalanced return distribution caused by suboptimal datasets, CSM is grappling with a serious distributional shift problem when conditioning on high returns. While recent approaches attempt to empirically tackle this challenge through return rebalancing techniques such as weighted sampling and value-regularized supervision, the relationship between return rebalancing and the performance of CSM methods is not well understood. In this paper, we reveal that both expert-level and full-spectrum return-coverage critically influence the performance and sample efficiency of CSM policies. Building on this finding, we devise a simple yet effective return-coverage rebalancing mechanism that can be seamlessly integrated into common CSM frameworks, including the most widely used one, Decision Transformer (DT). The resulting CSM algorithm, referred to as Return-rebalanced Value-regularized Decision Transformer (RVDT), integrates both implicit and explicit return-coverage rebalancing mechanisms, and achieves state-of-the-art performance in the D4RL experiments.

Poster
DiffLiG: Diffusion-enhanced Liquid Graph with Attention Propagation for Grid-to-Station Precipitation Correction

Yuxiang Li, Yang Zhang, Guowen Li, Mengxuan Chen, Meng Jin, Fang Wang, Haohuan Fu, Juepeng Zheng

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Modern precipitation forecasting systems, including reanalysis datasets, numerical models, and AI-based approaches, typically produce coarse-resolution gridded outputs. The process of converting these outputs to station-level predictions often introduces substantial spatial biases relative to station-level observations, especially in complex terrains or under extreme conditions. These biases stem from two core challenges: (i) $\textbf{station-level heterogeneity}$, with site-specific temporal and spatial dynamics; and (ii) $\textbf{oversmoothing}$, which blurs fine-scale variability in graph-based models. To address these issues, we propose $\textbf{DiffLiG}$ ($\underline{Diff}$usion-enhanced $\underline{Li}$quid $\underline{G}$raph with Attention Propagation), a graph neural network designed for precise spatial correction from gridded forecasts to station observations. DiffLiG integrates a GeoLiquidNet that adapts temporal encoding via site-aware OU dynamics, a graph neural network with a dynamic edge modulator that learns spatially adaptive connectivity, and a Probabilistic Diffusion Selector that generates and refines ensemble forecasts to mitigate oversmoothing. Experiments across multiple datasets show that DiffLiG consistently outperforms other methods, delivering more accurate and robust corrections across diverse geographic and climatic settings. Moreover, it achieves notable gains on other key meteorological variables, underscoring its generalizability and practical utility.

Poster