UAI 2022 论文列表

Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence

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Generalized Bayesian quadrature with spectral kernels

Houston Warren, Rafael Oliveira, Fabio Ramos

展开摘要

Bayesian probabilistic integration, or Bayesian quadrature (BQ), has arisen as a popular means of numerical integral estimation with quantified uncertainty for problems where computational cost limits data availability. BQ leverages flexible Gaussian processes (GPs) to model an integrand which can be subsequently analytically integrated through properties of Gaussian distributions. However, BQ is inherently limited by the fact that the method relies on the use of a strict set of kernels for use in the GP model of the integrand, reducing the flexibility of the method in modeling varied integrand types. In this paper, we present spectral Bayesian quadrature, a form of Bayesian quadrature that allows for the use of any shift-invariant kernel in the integrand GP model while still maintaining the analytical tractability of the integral posterior, increasing the flexibility of BQ methods to address varied problem settings. Additionally our method enables integration with respect to a uniform expectation, effectively computing definite integrals of challenging integrands. We derive the theory and error bounds for this model, as well as demonstrate GBQ’s improved accuracy, flexibility, and data efficiency, compared to traditional BQ and other numerical integration methods, on a variety of quadrature problems.

Poster
GNN2GNN: Graph neural networks to generate neural networks

Andrea Agiollo, Andrea Omicini

展开摘要

The success of neural networks (NNs) is tightly linked with their architectural design—a complex problem by itself. We here introduce a novel framework leveraging Graph Neural Networks to Generate Neural Networks (GNN2GNN) where powerful NN architectures can be learned out of a set of available architecture-performance pairs. GNN2GNN relies on a three-way adversarial training of GNN, to optimise a generator model capable of producing predictions about powerful NN architectures. Unlike Neural Architecture Search (NAS) techniques proposing efficient searching algorithms over a set of NN architec- tures, GNN2GNN relies on learning NN architectural design criteria. GNN2GNN learns to propose NN architectures in a single step – i.e., training of the generator –, overcoming the recursive approach characterising NAS. Therefore, GNN2GNN avoids the expensive and inflexible search of efficient structures typical of NAS approaches. Extensive experiments over two state-of-the-art datasets prove the strength of our framework, showing that it can generate powerful architectures with high probability. Moreover, GNN2GNN outperforms possible counterparts for generating NN architectures, and shows flexibility against dataset quality degradation. Finally, GNN2GNN paves the way towards generalisation between datasets.

Poster
Future gradient descent for adapting the temporal shifting data distribution in online recommendation systems

Mao Ye, Ruichen Jiang, Haoxiang Wang, Dhruv Choudhary, Xiaocong Du, Bhargav Bhushanam, Aryan Mokhtari, Arun Kejariwal, Qiang Liu

展开摘要

One of the key challenges of learning an online recommendation model is the temporal domain shift, which causes the mismatch between the training and testing data distribution and hence domain generalization error. To overcome, we propose to learn a meta future gradient generator that forecasts the gradient information of the future data distribution for training so that the recommendation model can be trained as if we were able to look ahead at the future of its deployment. Compared with Batch Update, a widely used paradigm, our theory suggests that the proposed algorithm achieves smaller temporal domain generalization error measured by a gradient variation term in a local regret. We demonstrate the empirical advantage by comparing with various representative baselines.

Poster
Forget-me-not! Contrastive critics for mitigating posterior collapse

Sachit Menon, David Blei, Carl Vondrick

展开摘要

Variational autoencoders (VAEs) suffer from posterior collapse, where the powerful neural networks used for modeling and inference optimize the objective without meaningfully using the latent representation. We introduce inference critics that detect and incentivize against posterior collapse by requiring correspondence between latent variables and the observations. By connecting the critic’s objective to the literature in self-supervised contrastive representation learning, we show both theoretically and empirically that optimizing inference critics increases the mutual information between observations and latents, mitigating posterior collapse. This approach is straightforward to implement and requires significantly less training time than prior methods, yet obtains competitive results on three established datasets. Overall, the approach lays the foundation to bridge the previously disconnected frameworks of contrastive learning and probabilistic modeling with variational autoencoders, underscoring the benefits both communities may find at their intersection.

Poster
Fixing the Bethe approximation: How structural modifications in a graph improve belief propagation

Harald Leisenberger, Franz Pernkopf, Christian Knoll

展开摘要

Belief propagation is an iterative method for inference in probabilistic graphical models. Its well-known relationship to a classical concept from statistical physics, the Bethe free energy, puts it on a solid theoretical foundation. If belief propagation fails to approximate the marginals, then this is often due to a failure of the Bethe approximation. In this work, we show how modifications in a graphical model can be a great remedy for fixing the Bethe approximation. Specifically, we analyze how the removal of edges influences and improves belief propagation, and demonstrate that this positive effect is particularly distinct for dense graphs.

Poster
Finite-horizon equilibria for neuro-symbolic concurrent stochastic games

Rui Yan, Gabriel Santos, Xiaoming Duan, David Parker, Marta Kwiatkowska

展开摘要

We present novel techniques for neuro-symbolic concurrent stochastic games, a recently proposed modelling formalism to represent a set of probabilistic agents operating in a continuous-space environment using a combination of neural network based perception mechanisms and traditional symbolic methods. To date, only zero-sum variants of the model were studied, which is too restrictive when agents have distinct objectives. We formalise notions of equilibria for these models and present algorithms to synthesise them. Focusing on the finite-horizon setting, and (global) social welfare subgame-perfect optimality, we consider two distinct types: Nash equilibria and correlated equilibria. We first show that an exact solution based on backward induction may yield arbitrarily bad equilibria. We then propose an approximation algorithm called frozen subgame improvement, which proceeds through iterative solution of nonlinear programs. We develop a prototype implementation and demonstrate the benefits of our approach on two case studies: an automated car-parking system and an aircraft collision avoidance system.

Poster
Fine-Grained matching with multi-perspective similarity modeling for cross-modal retrieval

Xiumin Xie, Chuanwen Hou, Zhixin Li

展开摘要

Cross-modal retrieval relies on learning inter-modal correspondences. Most existing approaches focus on learning global or local correspondence and fail to explore fine-grained multi-level alignments. Moreover, it remains to be investigated how to infer more accurate similarity scores. In this paper, we propose a novel fine-grained matching with Multi-Perspective Similarity Modeling (MPSM) Network for cross-modal retrieval. Specifically, the Knowledge Graph Iterative Dissemination (KGID) module is designed to iteratively broadcast global semantic knowledge, enabling domain information to be integrated and relevant nodes to be associated, resulting in fine-grained modality representations. Subsequently, vector-based similarity representations are learned from multiple perspectives to model multi-level alignments comprehensively. The Relation Graph Reconstruction (SRGR) module is further developed to enhance cross-modal correspondence by constructing similarity relation graphs and adaptively reconstructing them. Extensive experiments on the Flickr30K and MSCOCO datasets validate that our model significantly outperforms several state-of-the-art baselines.

Poster
Fedvarp: Tackling the variance due to partial client participation in federated learning

Divyansh Jhunjhunwala, Pranay Sharma, Aushim Nagarkatti, Gauri Joshi

展开摘要

Data-heterogeneous federated learning (FL) systems suffer from two significant sources of convergence error: 1) client drift error caused by performing multiple local optimization steps at clients, and 2) partial client participation error caused by the fact that only a small subset of the edge clients participate in every training round. We find that among these, only the former has received significant attention in the literature. To remedy this, we propose FedVARP, a novel variance reduction algorithm applied at the server that eliminates error due to partial client participation. To do so, the server simply maintains in memory the most recent update for each client and uses these as surrogate updates for the non-participating clients in every round. Further, to alleviate the memory requirement at the server, we propose a novel clustering-based variance reduction algorithm ClusterFedVARP. Unlike previously proposed methods, both FedVARP and ClusterFedVARP do not require additional computation at clients or communication of additional optimization parameters. Through extensive experiments, we show that FedVARP outperforms state-of-the-art methods, and ClusterFedVARP achieves performance comparable to FedVARP with much less memory requirements.

Poster
Federated online clustering of bandits

Xutong Liu, Haoru Zhao, Tong Yu, Shuai Li, John C. S. Lui

展开摘要

Contextual multi-armed bandit (MAB) is an important sequential decision-making problem in recommendation systems. A line of works, called the clustering of bandits (CLUB), utilize the collaborative effect over users and dramatically improve the recommendation quality. Owing to the increasing application scale and public concerns about privacy, there is a growing demand to keep user data decentralized and push bandit learning to the local server side. Existing CLUB algorithms, however, are designed under the centralized setting where data are available at a central server. We focus on studying the federated online clustering of bandit (FCLUB) problem, which aims to minimize the total regret while satisfying privacy and communication considerations. We design a new phase-based scheme for cluster detection and a novel asynchronous communication protocol for cooperative bandit learning for this problem. To protect users’ privacy, previous differential privacy (DP) definitions are not very suitable, and we propose a new DP notion that acts on the user cluster level. We provide rigorous proofs to show that our algorithm simultaneously achieves (clustered) DP, sublinear communication complexity and sublinear regret. Finally, experimental evaluations show our superior performance compared with benchmark algorithms.

Poster
Feature selection for discovering distributional treatment effect modifiers

Yoichi Chikahara, Makoto Yamada, Hisashi Kashima

展开摘要

Finding the features relevant to the difference in treatment effects is essential to unveil the underlying causal mechanisms. Existing methods seek such features by measuring how greatly the feature attributes affect the degree of the {\it conditional average treatment effect} (CATE). However, these methods may overlook important features because CATE, a measure of the average treatment effect, cannot detect differences in distribution parameters other than the mean (e.g., variance). To resolve this weakness of existing methods, we propose a feature selection framework for discovering {\it distributional treatment effect modifiers}. We first formulate a feature importance measure that quantifies how strongly the feature attributes influence the discrepancy between potential outcome distributions. Then we derive its computationally efficient estimator and develop a feature selection algorithm that can control the type I error rate to the desired level. Experimental results show that our framework successfully discovers important features and outperforms the existing mean-based method.

Poster
Feature learning and random features in standard finite-width convolutional neural networks: An empirical study

Maxim Samarin, Volker Roth, David Belius

展开摘要

The Neural Tangent Kernel is an important milestone in the ongoing effort to build a theory for deep learning. Its prediction that sufficiently wide neural networks behave as kernel methods, or equivalently as random feature models arising from linearized networks, has been confirmed empirically for certain wide architectures. In this paper, we compare the performance of two common finite-width convolutional neural networks, LeNet and AlexNet, to their linearizations on common benchmark datasets like MNIST and modified versions of it, CIFAR-10 and an ImageNet subset. We demonstrate empirically that finite-width neural networks, generally, greatly outperform the finite-width linearization of these architectures. When increasing the problem difficulty of the classification task, we observe a larger gap which is in line with common intuition that finite-width neural networks perform feature learning which finite-width linearizations cannot. At the same time, finite-width linearizations improve dramatically with width, approaching the behavior of the wider standard networks which in turn perform slightly better than their standard width counterparts. Therefore, it appears that feature learning for non-wide standard networks is important but becomes less significant with increasing width. We furthermore identify cases where both standard and linearized networks match in performance, in agreement with NTK theory, and a case where a wide linearization outperforms its standard width counterpart.

Poster
Faster non-convex federated learning via global and local momentum

Rudrajit Das, Anish Acharya, Abolfazl Hashemi, sujay sanghavi, Inderjit S Dhillon, Ufuk Topcu

展开摘要

We propose \texttt{FedGLOMO}, a novel federated learning (FL) algorithm with an iteration complexity of $\mathcal{O}(\epsilon^{-1.5})$ to converge to an $\epsilon$-stationary point (i.e., $\mathbb{E}[\|\nabla f(x)\|^2] \leq \epsilon$) for smooth non-convex functions – under arbitrary client heterogeneity and compressed communication – compared to the $\mathcal{O}(\epsilon^{-2})$ complexity of most prior works. Our key algorithmic idea that enables achieving this improved complexity is based on the observation that the convergence in FL is hampered by two sources of high variance: (i) the global server aggregation step with multiple local updates, exacerbated by client heterogeneity, and (ii) the noise of the local client-level stochastic gradients. The first issue is particularly detrimental to FL algorithms that perform plain averaging at the server. By modeling the server aggregation step as a generalized gradient-type update, we propose a variance-reducing momentum-based global update at the server, which when applied in conjunction with variance-reduced local updates at the clients, enables \texttt{FedGLOMO} to enjoy an improved convergence rate. Our experiments illustrate the intrinsic variance reduction effect of \texttt{FedGLOMO}, which implicitly suppresses client-drift in heterogeneous data distribution settings and promotes communication efficiency.

Poster
Fast predictive uncertainty for classification with Bayesian deep networks

Marius Hobbhahn, Agustinus Kristiadi, Philipp Hennig

展开摘要

In Bayesian Deep Learning, distributions over the output of classification neural networks are often approximated by first constructing a Gaussian distribution over the weights, then sampling from it to receive a distribution over the softmax outputs. This is costly. We reconsider old work (Laplace Bridge) to construct a Dirichlet approximation of this softmax output distribution, which yields an analytic map between Gaussian distributions in logit space and Dirichlet distributions (the conjugate prior to the Categorical distribution) in the output space. Importantly, the vanilla Laplace Bridge comes with certain limitations. We analyze those and suggest a simple solution that compares favorably to other commonly used estimates of the softmax-Gaussian integral. We demonstrate that the resulting Dirichlet distribution has multiple advantages, in particular, more efficient computation of the uncertainty estimate and scaling to large datasets and networks like ImageNet and DenseNet. We further demonstrate the usefulness of this Dirichlet approximation by using it to construct a lightweight uncertainty-aware output ranking for ImageNet.

Poster
Fast inference and transfer of compositional task structures for few-shot task generalization

Sungryull Sohn, Hyunjae Woo, Jongwook Choi, Lyubing Qiang, Izzeddin Gur, Aleksandra Faust, Honglak Lee

展开摘要

We tackle real-world problems with complex structures beyond the pixel-based game or simulator. We formulate it as a few-shot reinforcement learning problem where a task is characterized by a subtask graph that defines a set of subtasks and their dependencies that are unknown to the agent. Different from the previous meta-RL methods trying to directly infer the unstructured task embedding, our multi-task subtask graph inferencer (MTSGI) first infers the common high-level task structure in terms of the subtask graph from the training tasks, and use it as a prior to improve the task inference in testing. Our experiment results on 2D grid-world and complex web navigation domains show that the proposed method can learn and leverage the common underlying structure of the tasks for faster adaptation to the unseen tasks than various existing algorithms such as meta reinforcement learning, hierarchical reinforcement learning, and other heuristic agents.

Poster
Expectation programming: Adapting probabilistic programming systems to estimate expectations efficiently

Tim Reichelt, Adam Golinski, Luke Ong, Tom Rainforth

展开摘要

We show that the standard computational pipeline of probabilistic programming systems (PPSs) can be inefficient for estimating expectations and introduce the concept of expectation programming to address this. In expectation programming, the aim of the backend inference engine is to directly estimate expected return values of programs, as opposed to approximating their conditional distributions. This distinction, while subtle, allows us to achieve substantial performance improvements over the standard PPS computational pipeline by tailoring computation to the expectation we care about. We realize a particular instance of our expectation programming concept, Expectation Programming in Turing (EPT), by extending the PPS Turing to allow so-called target-aware inference to be run automatically. We then verify the statistical soundness of EPT theoretically, and show that it provides substantial empirical gains in practice.

Poster
Evaluating high-order predictive distributions in deep learning

Ian Osband, Zheng Wen, Seyed Mohammad Asghari, Vikranth Dwaracherla, Xiuyuan Lu, Benjamin Van Roy

展开摘要

Most work on supervised learning research has focused on marginal predictions. In decision problems, joint predictive distributions are essential for good performance. Previous work has developed methods for assessing low-order predictive distributions with inputs sampled i.i.d. from the testing distribution. With low-dimensional inputs, these methods distinguish agents that effectively estimate uncertainty from those that do not. We establish that the predictive distribution order required for such differentiation increases greatly with input dimension, rendering these methods impractical. To accommodate high-dimensional inputs, we introduce dyadic sampling, which focuses on predictive distributions associated with random pairs of inputs. We demonstrate that this approach efficiently distinguishes agents in high-dimensional examples involving simple logistic regression as well as complex synthetic and empirical data.

Poster
Estimating transfer entropy under long ranged dependencies

Sahil Garg, Umang Gupta, Yu Chen, Syamantak Datta Gupta, Yeshaya Adler, Anderson Schneider, Yuriy Nevmyvaka

展开摘要

Estimating Transfer Entropy (TE) between time series is a highly impactful problem in fields such as finance and neuroscience. The well-known nearest neighbor estimator of TE potentially fails if temporal dependencies are noisy and long ranged, primarily because it estimates TE indirectly relying on the estimation of joint entropy terms in high dimensions, which is a hard problem in itself. Other estimators, such as those based on Copula entropy or conditional mutual information have similar limitations. Leveraging the successes of modern discriminative models that operate in high dimensional (noisy) feature spaces, we express TE as a difference of two conditional entropy terms, which we directly estimate from conditional likelihoods computed in-sample from any discriminator (timeseries forecaster) trained per maximum likelihood principle. To ensure that the in-sample log likelihood estimates are not overfit to the data, we propose a novel perturbation model based on locality sensitive hash (LSH) functions, which regularizes a discriminative model to have smooth functional outputs within local neighborhoods of the input space. Our estimator is consistent, and its variance reduces linearly in sample size. We also demonstrate its superiority w.r.t. state-of-the-art estimators through empirical evaluations on a synthetic as well as real world datasets from the neuroscience and finance domains.

Poster
Equilibrium aggregation: encoding sets via optimization

Sergey Bartunov, Fabian B. Fuchs, Timothy P Lillicrap

展开摘要

Processing sets or other unordered, potentially variable-sized inputs in neural networks is usually handled by aggregating a number of input tensors into a single representation. While a number of aggregation methods already exist from simple sum pooling to multi-head attention, they are limited in their representational power both from theoretical and empirical perspectives. On the search of a principally more powerful aggregation strategy, we propose an optimization-based method called Equilibrium Aggregation. We show that many existing aggregation methods can be recovered as special cases of Equilibrium Aggregation and that it is provably more efficient in some important cases. Equilibrium Aggregation can be used as a drop-in replacement in many existing architectures and applications. We validate its efficiency on three different tasks: median estimation, class counting, and molecular property prediction. In all experiments, Equilibrium Aggregation achieves higher performance than the other aggregation techniques we test.

Poster
Enhanced adaptive optics control with image to image translation

Jeffrey Smith, Jesse Cranney, Charles Gretton, Damien Gratadour

展开摘要

We aim to significantly enhance the science return of astronomical observatories, and in particular giant terrestrial optical telescopes. Observatories employ Adaptive Optics (AO) systems in order to acquire high sensitivity diffraction limited images of the sky. The incumbent “workhorse” for control of AO systems employs a linear real-time controller in a closed loop, with sensing of state performed via a (Shack-Hartmann) wavefront sensor (WFS). The actuators of a deformable mirror (DM) are driven, with the action performed in each iteration having a continuous representation as an array of DC voltages. The typical control regime is practical and scalable, nonetheless, there remains a residual uncompensated turbulence that leads to optical aberrations limiting the class of scientific assets that can be acquired. We have developed and trained a translational GAN model that accurately estimates residual perturbations from WFS images. Model inference occurs in 0.34 milliseconds using off-the-shelf GPU hardware, and is applicable for use in AO control where the control loop might be running at 500Hz. We develop an AO control regime with a second controller stage actuating a second DM controlled in an open loop according to the estimated residual turbulence. Using the open-source COMPASS tool for simulation, we are able to significantly improve the performance using our new regime.

Poster
Empirical bayes approach to truth discovery problems

Tsviel Ben Shabat, Reshef Meir, David Azriel

展开摘要

When aggregating information from conflicting sources, one’s goal is to find the truth. Most real-value truth discovery (TD) algorithms try to achieve this goal by estimating the competence of each source and then aggregating the conflicting information by weighing each source’s answer proportionally to her competence. However, each of those algorithms requires more than a single source for such estimation and usually does not consider different estimation methods other than a weighted mean. Therefore, in this work we formulate, prove, and empirically test the conditions for an Empirical Bayes Estimator (EBE) to dominate the weighted mean aggregation. Our main result demonstrates that EBE, under mild conditions, can be used as a second step of any TD algorithm in order to reduce the expected error.

Poster