UAI 2021 论文列表

Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence

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Deep kernels with probabilistic embeddings for small-data learning

Ankur Mallick, Chaitanya Dwivedi, Bhavya Kailkhura, Gauri Joshi, T. Yong-Jin Han

展开摘要

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are known to provide accurate predictions and uncertainty estimates even with small amounts of labeled data by capturing similarity between data points through their kernel function. However traditional GP kernels are not very effective at capturing similarity between high dimensional data points. Neural networks can be used to learn good representations that encode intricate structures in high dimensional data, and can be used as inputs to the GP kernel. However the huge data requirement of neural networks makes this approach ineffective in small data settings. To solves the conflicting problems of representation learning and data efficiency, we propose to learn deep kernels on probabilistic embeddings by using a probabilistic neural network. Our approach maps high-dimensional data to a probability distribution in a low dimensional subspace and then computes a kernel between these distributions to capture similarity. To enable end-to-end learning, we derive a functional gradient descent procedure for training the model. Experiments on a variety of datasets show that our approach outperforms the state-of-the-art in GP kernel learning in both supervised and semi-supervised settings. We also extend our approach to other small-data paradigms such as few-shot classification where it outperforms previous approaches on mini-Imagenet and CUB datasets.

Poster
Decentralized multi-agent active search for sparse signals

Ramina Ghods, Arundhati Banerjee, Jeff Schneider

展开摘要

Active search refers to the problem of efficiently locating targets in an unknown environment by actively making data-collection decisions. In this paper, we are focusing on multiple aerial robots (agents) detecting targets such as gas leaks, radiation sources or human survivors of disasters. One of the main challenges of active search with multiple agents in unknown environments is impracticality of central coordination due to the difficulties of connectivity maintenance. In this paper, we propose two distinct active search algorithms that allow for multiple robots to independently make data-collection decisions without a central coordinator. Throughout we consider that targets are sparsely located around the environment in keeping with compressive sensing assumptions and its applicability in real world scenarios. Additionally, while most common sensing algorithms assume that agents can sense the entire environment (e.g. compressive sensing) or sense point-wise (e.g. Bayesian Optimization) at a time, we make a realistic assumption that each agent can only sense a contiguous region of space at each time step. We provide simulation results as well as theoretical analysis to demonstrate the efficacy of our proposed algorithms.

Poster
Correlated weights in infinite limits of deep convolutional neural networks

Adrià Garriga-Alonso, Mark van der Wilk

展开摘要

Infinite width limits of deep neural networks often have tractable forms. They have been used to analyse the behaviour of finite networks, as well as being useful methods in their own right. When investigating infinitely wide convolutional neural networks (CNNs), it was observed that the correlations arising from spatial weight sharing disappear in the infinite limit. This is undesirable, as spatial correlation is the main motivation behind CNNs. We show that the loss of this property is not a consequence of the infinite limit, but rather of choosing an independent weight prior. Correlating the weights maintains the correlations in the activations. Varying the amount of correlation interpolates between independent-weight limits and mean-pooling. Empirical evaluation of the infinitely wide network shows that optimal performance is achieved between the extremes, indicating that correlations can be useful.

Poster
Convergence behavior of belief propagation: estimating regions of attraction via Lyapunov functions

Harald Leisenberger, Christian Knoll, Richard Seeber, Franz Pernkopf

展开摘要

In this work, we estimate the regions of attraction for belief propagation. This extends existing stability analysis and provides initial message values for which belief propagation is guaranteed to converge. Our approach utilizes the theory of Lyapunov functions that, however, does not readily yield useful regions of attraction. Therefore, we utilize polynomial sum-of-squares relaxations and provide an algorithm that computes valid Lyapunov functions. This admits a novel way of studying the solution space of belief propagation. Finally, we apply our approach to small-scale models and discuss the effect of the potentials on the regions of attraction.

Poster
Contrastive prototype learning with augmented embeddings for few-shot learning

Yizhao Gao, Nanyi Fei, Guangzhen Liu, Zhiwu Lu, Tao Xiang

展开摘要

Most recent few-shot learning (FSL) methods are based on meta-learning with episodic training. In each meta-training episode, a discriminative feature embedding and/or classifier are first constructed from a support set in an inner loop, and then evaluated in an outer loop using a query set for model updating. This query set sample centered learning objective is however intrinsically limited in addressing the lack of training data problem in the support set. In this paper, a novel contrastive prototype learning with augmented embeddings (CPLAE) model is proposed to overcome this limitation. First, data augmentations are introduced to both the support and query sets with each sample now being represented as an augmented embedding (AE) composed of concatenated embeddings of both the original and augmented versions. Second, a novel support set class prototype centered contrastive loss is proposed for contrastive prototype learning (CPL). With a class prototype as an anchor, CPL aims to pull the query samples of the same class closer and those of different classes further away. This support set sample centered loss is highly complementary to the existing query centered loss, fully exploiting the limited training data in each episode. Extensive experiments on several benchmarks demonstrate that our proposed CPLAE achieves new state-of-the-art.

Poster
Contingency-aware influence maximization: A reinforcement learning approach

Haipeng Chen, Wei Qiu, Han-Ching Ou, Bo An, Milind Tambe

展开摘要

The influence maximization (IM) problem aims at finding a subset of seed nodes in a social network that maximize the spread of influence. In this study, we focus on a sub-class of IM problems, where whether the nodes are willing to be the seeds when being invited is uncertain, called contingency-aware IM. Such contingency aware IM is critical for applications for non-profit organizations in low resource communities (e.g., spreading awareness of disease prevention). Despite the initial success, a major practical obstacle in promoting the solutions to more communities is the tremendous runtime of the greedy algorithms and the lack of high performance computing (HPC) for the non-profits in the field – whenever there is a new social network, the non-profits usually do not have the HPCs to recalculate the solutions. Motivated by this and inspired by the line of works that use reinforcement learning (RL) to address combinatorial optimization on graphs, we formalize the problem as a Markov Decision Process (MDP), and use RL to learn an IM policy over historically seen networks, and generalize to unseen networks with negligible runtime at test phase. To fully exploit the properties of our targeted problem, we propose two technical innovations that improve the existing methods, including state-abstraction and theoretically grounded reward shaping. Empirical results show that our method achieves influence as high as the state-of-the-art methods for contingency-aware IM, while having negligible runtime at test phase.

Poster
Contextual policy transfer in reinforcement learning domains via deep mixtures-of-experts

Michael Gimelfarb, Scott Sanner, Chi-Guhn Lee

展开摘要

In reinforcement learning, agents that consider the context or current state when transferring source policies have been shown to outperform context-free approaches. However, existing approaches suffer from limitations, including sensitivity to sparse or delayed rewards and estimation errors in values. One important insight is that explicit learned models of the source dynamics, when available, could benefit contextual transfer in such settings. In this paper, we assume a family of tasks with shared sub-goals but different dynamics, and availability of estimated dynamics and policies for source tasks. To deal with possible estimation errors in dynamics, we introduce a novel Bayesian mixture-of-experts for learning state-dependent beliefs over source task dynamics that match the target dynamics using state transitions collected from the target task. The mixture is easy to interpret, is robust to estimation errors in dynamics, and is compatible with most RL algorithms. We incorporate it into standard policy reuse frameworks and demonstrate its effectiveness on benchmarks from OpenAI gym.

Poster
Constrained labeling for weakly supervised learning

Chidubem Arachie, Bert Huang

展开摘要

Curation of large fully supervised datasets has become one of the major roadblocks for machine learning. Weak supervision provides an alternative to supervised learning by training with cheap, noisy, and possibly correlated labeling functions from varying sources. The key challenge in weakly supervised learning is combining the different weak supervision signals while navigating misleading correlations in their errors. In this paper, we propose a simple data-free approach for combining weak supervision signals by defining a constrained space for the possible labels of the weak signals and training with a random labeling within this constrained space. Our method is efficient and stable, converging after a few iterations of gradient descent. We prove theoretical conditions under which the worst-case error of the randomized label decreases with the rank of the linear constraints. We show experimentally that our method outperforms other weak supervision methods on various text- and image-classification tasks.

Poster
Constrained differentially private federated learning for low-bandwidth devices

Raouf Kerkouche, Gergely Ács, Claude Castelluccia, Pierre Genevès

展开摘要

Federated learning becomes a prominent approach when different entities want to learn collaboratively a common model without sharing their training data. %Compared to traditional machine learning, it does not require to collect and centralize all data before training a common model. However, Federated learning has two main drawbacks. First, it is quite bandwidth inefficient as it involves a lot of message exchanges between the aggregating server and the participating entities. This bandwidth and corresponding processing costs could be prohibitive if the participating entities are, for example, mobile devices. Furthermore, although federated learning improves privacy by not sharing data, recent attacks have shown that it still leaks information about the training data. This paper presents a novel privacy-preserving federated learning scheme. The proposed scheme provides theoretical privacy guarantees, as it is based on Differential Privacy. Furthermore, it optimizes the model accuracy by constraining the model learning phase on few selected weights. Finally, as shown experimentally, it reduces the upstream

Poster
Confidence in causal discovery with linear causal models

David Strieder, Tobias Freidling, Stefan Haffner, Mathias Drton

展开摘要

Structural causal models postulate noisy functional relations among a set of interacting variables. The causal structure underlying each such model is naturally represented by a directed graph whose edges indicate for each variable which other variables it causally depends upon. Under a number of different model assumptions, it has been shown that this causal graph and, thus also, causal effects are identifiable from mere observational data. For these models, practical algorithms have been devised to learn the graph. Moreover, when the graph is known, standard techniques may be used to give estimates and confidence intervals for causal effects. We argue, however, that a two-step method that first learns a graph and then treats the graph as known yields confidence intervals that are overly optimistic and can drastically fail to account for the uncertain causal structure. To address this issue we lay out a framework based on test inversion that allows us to give confidence regions for total causal effects that capture both sources of uncertainty: causal structure and numerical size of nonzero effects. Our ideas are developed in the context of bivariate linear causal models with homoscedastic errors, but as we exemplify they are generalizable to larger systems as well as other settings such as, in particular, linear non-Gaussian models.

Poster
Conditionally independent data generation

Kartik Ahuja, Prasanna Sattigeri, Karthikeyan Shanmugam, Dennis Wei, Karthikeyan Natesan Ramamurthy, Murat Kocaoglu

展开摘要

Conditional independence (CI) is a fundamental concept with wide applications in machine learning and causal inference. Although the problems of testing CI and estimating divergences have been extensively studied, the complementary problem of generating data that satisfies CI has received much less attention. A special case of the generation problem is to produce conditionally independent predictions. Given samples from an input data distribution, we formulate the problem of generating samples from a distribution that is close to the input distribution and satisfies CI. We establish a characterization of CI in terms of a general divergence identity. Based on one version of this identity, an architecture is proposed that leverages the capabilities of generative adversarial networks (GANs) to enforce CI in an end-to-end differentiable manner. As one illustration of the problem formulation and architecture, we consider applications to notions of fairness that can be written as CIs, specifically equalized odds and conditional statistical parity. We demonstrate conditionally independent prediction that trades off adherence to fairness criteria against classification accuracy.

Poster
Condition number bounds for causal inference

Spencer L. Gordon, Vinayak M. Kumar, Leonard J Schulman, Piyush Srivastava

展开摘要

An important achievement in the field of causal inference was a complete characterization of when a causal effect, in a system modeled by a causal graph, can be determined uniquely from purely observational data. The identification algorithms resulting from this work produce exact

Poster
Compositional abstraction error and a category of causal models

Eigil F. Rischel, Sebastian Weichwald

展开摘要

Interventional causal models describe several joint distributions over some variables used to describe a system, one for each intervention setting. They provide a formal recipe for how to move between the different joint distributions and make predictions about the variables upon intervening on the system. Yet, it is difficult to formalise how we may change the underlying variables used to describe the system, say moving from fine-grained to coarse-grained variables. Here, we argue that compositionality is a desideratum for such model transformations and the associated errors: When abstracting a reference model M iteratively, first obtaining M’ and then further simplifying that to obtain M”, we expect the composite transformation from M to M” to exist and its error to be bounded by the errors incurred by each individual transformation step. Category theory, the study of mathematical objects via compositional transformations between them, offers a natural language to develop our framework for model transformations and abstractions. We introduce a category of finite interventional causal models and, leveraging theory of enriched categories, prove the desired compositionality properties for our framework.

Poster
Competitive policy optimization

Manish Prajapat, Kamyar Azizzadenesheli, Alexander Liniger, Yisong Yue, Anima Anandkumar

展开摘要

A core challenge in policy optimization in competitive Markov decision processes is the design of efficient optimization methods with desirable convergence and stability properties. We propose competitive policy optimization (CoPO), a novel policy gradient approach that exploits the game-theoretic nature of competitive games to derive policy updates. Motivated by the competitive gradient optimization method, we derive a bilinear approximation of the game objective. In contrast, off-the-shelf policy gradient methods utilize only linear approximations, and hence do not capture players’ interactions. We instantiate CoPO in two ways: (i) competitive policy gradient, and (ii) trust-region competitive policy optimization. We theoretically study these methods, and empirically investigate their behavior on a set of comprehensive, yet challenging, competitive games. We observe that they provide stable optimization, convergence to sophisticated strategies, and higher scores when played against baseline policy gradient methods.

Poster
Communication efficient parallel reinforcement learning

Mridul Agarwal, Bhargav Ganguly, Vaneet Aggarwal

展开摘要

We consider the problem where $M$ agents interact with $M$ identical and independent environments with $S$ states and $A$ actions using reinforcement learning for $T$ rounds. The agents share their data with a central server to minimize their regret. We aim to find an algorithm that allows the agents to minimize the regret with infrequent communication rounds. We provide dist-UCRL which runs at each agent and prove that the total cumulative regret of $M$ agents is upper bounded as $\Tilde{O}(DS\sqrt{MAT})$ for a Markov Decision Process with diameter $D$, number of states $S$, and number of actions $A$. The agents synchronize after their visitations to any state-action pair exceeds a certain threshold. Using this, we obtain a bound of $O\left(MSA\log(MT)\right)$ on the total number of communications rounds. Finally, we evaluate the algorithm against multiple environments and demonstrate that the proposed algorithm performs at par with an always communication version of the UCRL2 algorithm, while with significantly lower communication.

Poster
Combining pseudo-point and state space approximations for sum-separable Gaussian Processes

Will Tebbutt, Arno Solin, Richard E Turner

展开摘要

Gaussian processes (GPs) are important probabilistic tools for inference and learning in spatio-temporal modelling problems such as those in climate science and epidemiology. However, existing GP approximations do not simultaneously support large numbers of off-the-grid spatial data-points and long time-series which is a hallmark of many applications. Pseudo-point approximations, one of the gold-standard methods for scaling GPs to large data sets, are well suited for handling off-the-grid spatial data. However, they cannot handle long temporal observation horizons effectively reverting to cubic computational scaling in the time dimension. State space GP approximations are well suited to handling temporal data, if the temporal GP prior admits a Markov form, leading to linear complexity in the number of temporal observations, but have a cubic spatial cost and cannot handle off-the-grid spatial data. In this work we show that there is a simple and elegant way to combine pseudo-point methods with the state space GP approximation framework to get the best of both worlds. The approach hinges on a surprising conditional independence property which applies to space–time separable GPs. We demonstrate empirically that the combined approach is more scalable and applicable to a greater range of spatio-temporal problems than either method on its own.

Poster
Combinatorial semi-bandit in the non-stationary environment

Wei Chen, Liwei Wang, Haoyu Zhao, Kai Zheng

展开摘要

In this paper, we investigate the non-stationary combinatorial semi-bandit problem, both in the switching case and in the dynamic case. In the general case where (a) the reward function is non-linear, (b) arms may be probabilistically triggered, and (c) only approximate offline oracle exists (Wang and Chen, NIPS 2017), our algorithm achieves $\tilde{O}(m\sqrt{N T}/\Delta_{\min})$ distribution-dependent regret in the switching case, and $\tilde{O}({V}^{1/3}T^{2/3})$ distribution-independent regret in the dynamic case, where ${N}$ is the number of switchings and ${V}$ is the sum of the total “distribution changes”, $m$ is the total number of arms, and $\Delta_{\min}$ is a gap variable dependent on the distributions of arm outcomes. The regret bounds in both scenarios are nearly optimal, but our algorithm needs to know the parameter ${N}$ or ${V}$ in advance. We further show that by employing another technique, our algorithm no longer needs to know the parameters ${N}$ or ${V}$ but the regret bounds could become suboptimal. In a special case where the reward function is linear and we have an exact oracle, we apply a new technique to design a parameter-free algorithm that achieves nearly optimal regret both in the switching case and in the dynamic case without knowing the parameters in advance.

Poster
Classification with abstention but without disparities

Nicolas Schreuder, Evgenii Chzhen

展开摘要

Classification with abstention has gained a lot of attention in recent years as it allows to incorporate human decision-makers in the process. Yet, abstention can potentially amplify disparities and lead to discriminatory predictions. The goal of this work is to build a general purpose classification algorithm, which is able to abstain from prediction, while avoiding disparate impact. We formalize this problem as risk minimization under fairness and abstention constraints for which we derive the form of the optimal classifier. Building on this result, we propose a post-processing classification algorithm, which is able to modify any off-the-shelf score-based classifier using only unlabeled sample. We establish finite sample risk, fairness, and abstention guarantees for the proposed algorithm. In particular, it is shown that fairness and abstention constraints can be achieved independently from the initial classifier as long as sufficiently many unlabeled data is available. The risk guarantee is established in terms of the quality of the initial classifier. Our post-processing scheme reduces to a sparse linear program allowing for an efficient implementation, which we provide. Finally, we validate our method empirically showing that moderate abstention rates allow to bypass the risk-fairness trade-off.

Poster
Class balancing GAN with a classifier in the loop

Harsh Rangwani, Konda Reddy Mopuri, R. Venkatesh Babu

展开摘要

Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) have swiftly evolved to imitate increasingly complex image distributions. However, majority of the developments focus on performance of GANs on balanced datasets. We find that the existing GANs and their training regimes which work well on balanced datasets fail to be effective in case of imbalanced (i.e. long-tailed) datasets. In this work we introduce a novel theoretically motivated Class Balancing regularizer for training GANs. Our regularizer makes use of the knowledge from a pre-trained classifier to ensure balanced learning of all the classes in the dataset. This is achieved via modelling the effective class frequency based on the exponential forgetting observed in neural networks and encouraging the GAN to focus on underrepresented classes. We demonstrate the utility of our regularizer in learning representations for long-tailed distributions via achieving better performance than existing approaches over multiple datasets. Specifically, when applied to an unconditional GAN, it improves the FID from $13.03$ to $9.01$ on the long-tailed iNaturalist-$2019$ dataset.

Poster
Certification of iterative predictions in Bayesian neural networks

Matthew Wicker, Luca Laurenti, Andrea Patane, Nicola Paoletti, Alessandro Abate, Marta Kwiatkowska

展开摘要

We consider the problem of computing reach-avoid probabilities for iterative predictions made with Bayesian neural network (BNN) models. Specifically, we leverage bound propagation techniques and backward recursion to compute lower bounds for the probability that trajectories of the BNN model reach a given set of states while avoiding a set of unsafe states. We use the lower bounds in the context of control and reinforcement learning to provide safety certification for given control policies, as well as to synthesize control policies that improve the certification bounds. On a set of benchmarks, we demonstrate that our framework can be employed to certify policies over BNNs predictions for problems of more than $10$ dimensions, and to effectively synthesize policies that significantly increase the lower bound on the satisfaction probability.

Poster