NeurIPS 2026 论文列表

Conference on Neural Information Processing Systems

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6,437篇论文

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JEDI: Real-Time Jailbreak Defense for LLMs via In-Generation Detection and Intervention

Ruilin Xie, Bixin Li, Xinyu Chen, Yongqiang Tian, Wang Lulu

展开摘要

Large Language Models remain vulnerable to jailbreak attacks despite extensive efforts to ensure safety alignment. Streaming generation scenarios exacerbate this vulnerability by exposing harmful tokens to users immediately upon generation, a phenomenon known as prefix exposure. Existing defenses often fail to address this real-time constraint or impose substantial latency that degrades user experience. To bridge this gap, we propose JEDI, a real-time defense method that secures streaming outputs via in-generation detection and intervention. JEDI leverages representation engineering to monitor the LLM’s internal semantic drift, using a Cumulative Sum algorithm to identify persistent, harmful intent before it manifests in the output. Upon detecting a risk, the system dynamically injects a steering vector to redirect the generation trajectory toward a safe subspace. Extensive evaluations across 6 distinct models and 11 attack vectors demonstrate that JEDI achieves defense success rates ranging from 93.6\% to 99.4\%, outperforming state-of-the-art baselines. Furthermore, JEDI preserves model utility with a Time To First Token overhead of approximately 0.003 seconds, validating its viability for latency-sensitive applications. Our code and experimental results are available at: https://anonymous.4open.science/r/JEDI-93F9

Poster
Invisible Ink, Visible Lies: How Production Watermarking Causes LLMs to Hallucinate

Haocheng Ye, Aoting Hu, Xinwei Zhang, Xunzhu Tang, Shuchao Pang, Minhui Xue

展开摘要

Text watermarking helps identify AI-generated content, but its effect on factual reliability remains underexplored. In this paper, we study watermarking hallucination: factual errors induced or amplified by watermarking even when the required evidence is present in the context and the unwatermarked model can answer correctly. Using a controlled RAG setting, we compare paired unwatermarked and watermarked generations under the same condition. Across representative watermarking methods, including KGW, SWEET, DiPmark, GumbelSoft, Gumbel-Max, and SynthID-style watermarking, we find that watermarking hallucination is widespread: watermarked outputs can remain fluent while introducing factual errors. We attribute this failure mode to two mechanisms: (1) direct token-level bias, which can suppress fact-consistent tokens, and (2) prefix-induced drift, which accumulates through autoregressive decoding and weakens later attention to factual context. Motivated by this analysis, we propose Fact-Preserving Token Intervention (FPTI) and Fact-Preserving Attention Intervention (FPAI), two plug-in interventions that can be integrated into existing watermarking methods to improve factuality. Our experiments show that combining FPTI and FPAI mitigates around 90\% of watermark-induced hallucinations while preserving fluency and comparable decoding efficiency. Overall, this work highlights factuality as a first-class criterion in watermark evaluation, alongside detectability and robustness, and calls for careful factuality validation before deploying watermarks in fact-critical applications.

Poster
Intent2CAD: How Semantic-Parametric Supervision Shapes Text-to-CAD Generation

Jinbo Yang, Shikai Jing, Mingyue Yuan

展开摘要

Text-to-CAD generation aims to make CAD modeling more accessible by generating executable CAD programs from natural-language descriptions. However, practical CAD workflows require more than executable geometry: generated programs should also expose reusable structure that supports later modification. We introduce intent-oriented text-to-CAD generation, where design intent is expressed as recoverable code-level signals: semantic features, reusable parameters, and lightweight parametric relations. Rather than changing the model architecture or decoding procedure, we investigate how supervision representation granularity affects both CAD generation and zero-shot intent-preserving editing. To enable this study, we construct IntentCAD-100K, a 100K paired text--code dataset built by converting low-level CAD construction traces into executable CadQuery programs. We further construct IntentCAD-Edit-1K to evaluate zero-shot intent-preserving editing from the same representation perspective. Intent2CAD uses a two-stage conservative lifting pipeline: semantic lifting rewrites reliable primitive groups into feature-level operations, while parametric lifting exposes lightweight parametric relations. Under controlled fine-tuning, semantic lifting mainly improves generation reliability and feature recovery, reducing IR from 2.39% to 0.22% and achieving 99.96% API Recovery, while parametric lifting makes reusable relation structure explicit and further improves relation-aware zero-shot editing.

Poster
Intent Factored Generation: Unleashing the Diversity in Your Language Model

Eltayeb Ahmed, Uljad Berdica, Martha Elliott, Danijela Horak, Jakob Foerster

展开摘要

Obtaining meaningfully diverse high-quality samples from Large Language Models (LLMs) for a fixed prompt remains an open challenge. Current methods often only operate at the token-level, paraphrasing the same response. This is problematic as it leads to poor exploration on reasoning problems and to unengaging, repetitive conversational agents. To address this, we propose Intent Factored Generation (IFG), factorising the sampling process into two stages. First, we sample a semantically dense intent that anchors the sample, e.g., a summary or keywords. Second, we sample the final response conditioning on both the original prompt and the intent from the first stage. This factorisation allows the use a higher temperature during the intent step to promote conceptual diversity, and a lower temperature during the final generation to ensure the outputs are coherent. We find that prompting the model to explicitly state its intent for each step of the chain-of-thought before generating the step is beneficial for reasoning tasks. We show that our simple method is highly effective across a diverse set of tasks. We find that this method improves both exploration and final performance on math and code tasks, and combines well with Reinforcement Learning from Verifier Feedback (RLVF). We also show that our method can be used to increase the diversity of instruction-tuned models. Finally, we demonstrate that our method leads to higher quality diverse samples on a language modelling task, on a new dataset that we open-source. IFG is easy to implement, and can be used with off-the-shelf LLMs to improve the performance-diversity tradeoff. Full Implementation at https://anonymous.4open.science/r/IFG-Anon/

Poster
IntegrityBench: Can LLMs Be Trusted as Co-Scientists? A Research Integrity Benchmark

Sai Sidhanth Manoharan Jayanthi, Yash Tripathi, Silu Sharma, Shivank Garg, Lin Li

展开摘要

Language models are increasingly deployed as co-scientists in the real world, yet their ability to uphold research integrity, particularly under institutional pressures, remains unmeasured. We introduce IntegrityBench, a comprehensive benchmark evaluating three facets (misconduct classification, ethical action reasoning and artifact-grounded decision making), using 36 paired misconduct and ethical control tasks under a 5-level implicit-explicit pressure protocol across 3 domains and 4 research stages. Through a large-scale evaluation across 18 frontier model variants, we find that, under the strongest pressures, frontier models fail roughly one in three integrity-critical decisions. Surprisingly, neither scale nor reasoning can reliably enhance research integrity. Explicit pressures reliably induce compliance with misconduct while implicit contextual reframing more often causes over refusal of legitimate research tasks. Across tasks, models treat surface-level cues as evidence of misconduct without recognizing procedural justifications. Further, models failing to classify research requests accurately perform equally or better on artifact-grounded decision making (mean accuracy of 85.7 when classification fails versus 79.4 when it succeeds), demonstrating that the three facets might be structurally dissociated because accurate ethical actions don't require correct classification to precede them. Frontier models can appear helpful while displaying research integrity failures that create two distinct deployment risks: facilitating research misconduct and diminishing trust in AI-assisted research outputs.

Poster
Instantiation of Human Values in Image Generation

Maria Teresa De Rosa Palmini, Piera Riccio, Noa Garcia, Eva Cetinic

展开摘要

Text-to-image (T2I) models are increasingly embedded in everyday visual culture, yet little is known about how they translate abstract human values into visual scenes. We address this gap by introducing a framework, grounded in Schwartz’s theory of basic human values, for studying value instantiation: the process by which ideals such as success, care, or freedom are visually realized. Using person-centered prompts from 70 positive and negative value items, we generate 28,000 images across four state-of-the-art T2I models. We identify visual prototypes, recurring combinations of subjects, actions, and settings, and use them to quantify how narrowly models instantiate these values and how this breadth compares with human descriptions of the same items. We then map these prototypes onto a taxonomy of social configurations spanning setting, sociality, mode of engagement, and social register, revealing what is systematically foregrounded or omitted. Our results show that T2I models produce far more concentrated representations than humans do when describing the same values. They default to a hyper-individualistic, adult-centric worldview, reproducing value-specific associations, such as achievement tied to formal institutional settings or hedonism rendered as affluent consumption, while marginalizing everyday labor, relational care, and non-adult perspectives. As a proof of concept, we show that these structural gaps can guide a steering method that diversifies outputs without modifying the original prompt.

Poster
Information Parity for Code: The Scope of Transfer in Multilingual Code Models

Alexander Tsvetkov, Alon Kipnis

展开摘要

LLMs exhibit uneven performance across programming languages, yet benchmark gaps often reflect narrow task regimes and evaluation-specific confounds. This makes it hard to tell whether poor performance reflects a broader weakness with a given language, a broader difficulty on a given task, or a limitation specific to that task-language combination. We adapt Information Parity, a measure of relative cross-language representational efficiency developed for natural language, to code. We define Code Information Parity (Code IP) on a controlled parallel corpus of 22 algorithms across 20 languages, audited to preserve core semantics while minimizing boilerplate and excluding library shortcuts. The results are regime-specific: Code IP correlates strongly with multilingual benchmark performance on short-horizon generation ($\rho$ from $-0.55$ to $-0.81$), remains negative though moderated on execution prediction ($\rho=-0.429$), and disappears on whole-program synthesis ($\rho=+0.105$). Rather than a universal metric of multilingual coding ability, Code IP isolates a reliable cross-language signal on short-horizon generation and delineates where that signal no longer separates cleanly from broader task and evaluation effects.

Poster
Inference-Time Vulnerability Beyond Shallow Safety: Alignment Along Generation Trajectories

Kyungmin Park, Taesup Kim

展开摘要

Safety-aligned Large Language Models (LLMs) remain vulnerable to interventions during inference that redirect generation toward harmful outputs. Recent work attributes this to shallow safety, where alignment concentrates in the first few output tokens. We show that shallow safety is a special case of a broader inference-time vulnerability, in which short token injections at any generation step can substantially alter subsequent safety behavior. We also find that a model's alignment with refusal directions in its hidden states does not predict its robustness to such injection, revealing that internal state alone does not determine generation behavior under perturbation. To address this, we align models directly on generation trajectories constructed by simulating mid-sequence perturbation, and show that this improves robustness to mid-sequence injection and generalizes to attacks that exploit early-token generation. Our work argues that robust safety alignment requires training on the generation process itself, not only its outputs.

Poster
IndustryCode: A Benchmark for Industry Code Generation

Puyu Zeng, Zhaoxi Wang, Zhixu Duan, Liang Feng, Shaobo Wang, Cunxiang Wang, Jinghang Wang, Hu Wei, Qibing Ren, Linfeng Zhang

展开摘要

Code generation and comprehension by Large Language Models (LLMs) have emerged as core drivers of industrial intelligence and decision optimization, finding widespread application in fields such as finance, automation, and aerospace. Although recent advancements have demonstrated the remarkable potential of LLMs in general code generation, existing benchmarks are mainly confined to single domains and languages. Consequently, they fail to effectively evaluate the generalization capabilities required for real-world industrial applications or to reflect the coding proficiency demanded by complex industrial scenarios. To bridge this gap, we introduce IndustryCode, the first comprehensive benchmark designed to span multiple industrial domains and programming languages. IndustryCode comprises 579 sub-problems derived from 125 primary industrial challenges, accompanied by rigorous problem descriptions and test cases. It covers a wide range of NAICS sectors, including Aerospace Product Mfg, Chemical Mfg, and Information, and incorporates diverse programming languages such as MATLAB, Python, C++, and Stata. In our evaluation, the top-performing model, Claude 4.7 Opus, achieved an overall accuracy of 71.9\% on sub-problems and 48.9\% on main problems. The benchmark dataset and automated evaluation code are now publicly available.

Spotlight
In-Context Optimization for Retrieval-Augmented Generation: A Gradient-Descent Perspective

Mingchen Li, Jiatan Huang, Chuxu Zhang, Liang Zhao, Hong Yu

展开摘要

In-context learning has recently been linked to implicit gradient descent in linear self-attention models, suggesting that context can induce a forward-pass update. Retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) also relies on context, but retrieved documents are usually treated as static evidence rather than signals for adaptation. We study RAG as an in-context optimization process. First, we show that one linear self-attention layer can implement one gradient-descent step on a unified linearized RAG objective covering both projection-based and dot-product retrieval interfaces. This gives an exact regime where retrieval-augmented prediction and in-context optimization coincide. We use this result not as a literal model of LLM computation, but as a guide for adapting the interaction between queries and retrieved evidence. We then test the boundary of this correspondence: it remains stable under controlled linear extensions, but becomes feature-distribution dependent under nonlinear architectures. Finally, we turn this view into a lightweight method for frozen RAG LLMs. The method keeps the retriever and backbone fixed, and predicts a context-conditioned update to a generator-side evidence-use interface. Across seven QA benchmarks, two retrievers, and two frozen LLM backbones, this forward-only update improves a shared-interface baseline, transfers to held-out tasks, and approaches test-time gradient adaptation at much lower per-query cost

Poster
Imagine Before You Draw: Visual Prompt Engineering for Image Generation

Liyu Jia, Fengda Zhang, Jiachun Pan, Kesen Zhao, Saining Zhang, Wang Lin, Weijia Wu, Yue Liao, Aojun Zhou, Hanwang Zhang

展开摘要

Incorporating visual semantic representations as an intermediate step before image generation can reduce the modeling difficulty between text and images, thereby improving generation quality. Recent works such as X-Omni and BLIP3o-Next have explored this direction, but they typically use a two-stage external pipeline: a separate autoregressive model first generates semantic tokens, which are then fed as conditioning to an independent diffusion decoder. Since the decoder cannot jointly access the original input and the semantic plan, this design introduces an information bottleneck that limits detail preservation in downstream tasks such as editing. Internal architectures such as Transfusion, BAGEL, and Show-o2 avoid this bottleneck by enabling cross-modal interaction within a single model, but they still face the difficult text-to-pixel modeling gap without intermediate semantic guidance. We propose Visual Prompt Engineering (VPE), which can be seamlessly integrated into such internal frameworks. Specifically, the model first autoregressively generates visual semantic tokens ($e.g.$, SigLIP 2) as "visual prompts" that capture the semantic layout, then generates the full image tokens conditioned on this plan. We validate VPE across class-conditional generation, text-to-image generation, and image editing, covering various token types and model architectures. Results show that VPE can accelerate convergence, raise quality ceilings, and through internal integration, achieve substantially better editing preservation (PSNR: $26.76$ vs. $19.92$) than external alternatives of the same parameter scale, while maintaining competitive editing responsiveness. The code is available in supplementary material.

Poster
IFDECORATOR: Wrapping Instruction Following Reinforcement Learning with Verifiable Rewards

Xu Guo, Tianyi Liang, Jian Tong, Xiaogui Yang, Ling-I Wu, Chenhui Li, Zhihui Lu, Qipeng Guo, Kai Chen

展开摘要

Reinforcement Learning with Verifiable Rewards (RLVR) has emerged as a promising approach to enhance Instruction Following (IF) capabilities of large language models (LLMs). However, RLVR for instruction following remains sample-inefficient and prone to reward hacking, where LLMs exploit verification shortcuts rather than fulfilling the core intent. To address these challenges, we frame RLVR for instruction following as an integrated environment that unifies dynamic task generation and robust training. We introduce Instruction Following Decorator (IFDecorator}, a framework coupling difficulty adaptation, intent alignment, and hack diagnostics. It features: (1) a cooperative-adversarial data flywheel that yields challenging yet solvable tasks for sample-efficient training; (2) IntentCheck, a gating module to mitigate reward hacking; and (3) TripWires, a proactive diagnostic tool for eliciting hacking behaviors and quantifying their prevalence. Extensive experiments show our Qwen2.5-32B-Instruct trained with IFDecorator using only 3,625 training examples achieves 87.43% on IFEval (outperforming GPT-4o) and improves FollowBench by 4.2%, while preserving general capabilities. Diagnostics confirm that our method effectively reduces reward hacking. The approach generalizes across model architectures and scales. We will release code and data for future research.

Poster
Hypothesis generation and updating in large language models

Hua-Dong Xiong

展开摘要

Large language models (LLMs) increasingly help people solve problems, from debugging code to repairing machinery. This process requires generating plausible hypotheses from partial descriptions, then updating them as more information arrives. Yet how LLMs perform this form of inference, and how close it is to optimal, remains unclear. We study this question in the number game, a controlled setting in which a learner infers the hypothesis supported by a few positive integers, such as $\{16, 8, 2, 64\}$: a rule like powers of 2 or an interval like numbers near 20. We measure the posterior over hypotheses using three complementary probes: posterior prediction, hypothesis evaluation, and hypothesis generation. We then compare LLM behavior with an optimal Bayesian model and human behavior, and test whether the same posterior is expressed across probes. LLMs are often well described by a two-parameter Bayesian fit, but with systematic offsets: by default they show a strong-sampling assumption that creates an implicit Occam's razor, favoring narrower hypotheses, while thinking mode shifts them toward greater prior reliance. We also find a robust evaluation--generation gap: LLMs select more correct hypotheses during hypothesis evaluation but generate simpler, more rule-like hypotheses. Finally, this Bayesian-with-bias pattern does not extrapolate. Models can behave as if they hold rule-like hypotheses over observed examples, yet generalize poorly to parts of the hypothesis domain not covered by those examples. Our results highlight a limitation of LLMs as general problem solvers, especially for scientific inference, where hypotheses must go beyond the data.

Poster
Hypergraph Generation with Latent Diffusion

Valerio Di Pasquale, Alessia Antelmi, Mirko Polato, Carmine Spagnuolo

展开摘要

Hypergraphs capture high-order interactions that ordinary graphs cannot represent, yet generating realistic ones remains challenging because existing methods often rely on fixed structural assumptions or struggle to model coupled dependencies between nodes and hyperedges. In this work, we propose \textsc{Janus}, a latent diffusion framework that decomposes an observed hypergraph into sub-hypergraphs, learns coupled node and hyperedge latent representations with a dual-view $\beta$-VAE, and generates new structures through paired latent diffusion with cross-view conditioning. The method supports both unconstrained and node-set-constrained generation. We also introduce an evaluation protocol covering micro, meso, and macro scales interactions, structural reconstruction, and high-order similarity measures. Across five real-world datasets and nine baselines, \textsc{Janus} achieves the most stable performance across structural scales, with strong gains in meso-scale and high-order fidelity; in the constrained setting, it consistently obtains the best reconstruction results.

Poster
HyperNSDE: Personalized Neural SDEs for Joint Static—Longitudinal Clinical Data Generation

Perrine Chassat, Agathe Guilloux

展开摘要

Synthetic patient data generation is a promising solution to the dual challenge of data scarcity and privacy constraints in healthcare machine learning. Realistic synthesis of patient-level clinical data requires jointly modeling heterogeneous static covariates, irregularly sampled longitudinal trajectories, and informative observation times — three tightly coupled components in practice yet rarely addressed together. We propose HyperNSDE, a continuous-time generative model that conditions a latent Neural SDE on static patient representations through a hypernetwork, allowing baseline characteristics to shape the full trajectory dynamics rather than only the initial condition, without requiring a trajectory encoder, while stochastic latent dynamics capture realistic variability in generated paths. Observation times are modeled jointly through a latent-state-dependent intensity process. Training on irregular stochastic paths is stabilized via a deterministic—stochastic path decomposition with a non-adversarial signature-kernel objective. Experiments on simulated and real clinical datasets demonstrate consistent improvements over strong baselines across fidelity, privacy, and utility metrics.

Poster
How Much is Left? LLMs Linearly Encode Their Remaining Output Length

Mohamed Amine Merzouk, Dmitri Carpov, Mirko Bronzi, Damiano Fornasiere, Adam Oberman

展开摘要

Large language models generate one token at a time, yet their responses show remarkably consistent length structure: step-by-step solutions converge in predictable token counts, retrievals stop after a few sentences, retractions extend responses by measurable amounts. We ask whether the model carries an internal estimate of how much response remains. Training minimal-capacity linear probes on frozen hidden states of three open-weight 7-8B models across seven completion-style datasets, we find three converging pieces of evidence. First, total response length is linearly decodable from the prompt's last hidden state alone, before any output is emitted. Second, probe directions trained on natural-language datasets transfer broadly, including to controlled synthetic completions never seen in training, outperforming a statistical baseline; the converse direction generally fails, and this asymmetry is itself informative. Third, on curated high-loss completions, the probe's per-position estimate shifts upward at the moment the model retracts and restarts a partial solution, a directional behavior no position-only predictor can reproduce (we note that this is qualitative, not aggregate). We frame this as approximate estimation of remaining generation length, distinct from exact-counting impossibility results for transformers, and interpret it as evidence that LLMs maintain a plan-like internal representation of output length (decodable, not necessarily used causally). Code: https://anonymous.4open.science/r/llm-output-length

Poster
How LLMs Distinguish Threats from Offers

Julia Karbing, Lewis Hammond, Philip Torr

展开摘要

Threats and offers are fundamental to strategic interactions between agents. Competently navigating multi-agent settings requires the ability to distinguish between the two, reason about the intentions behind them, and understand how other agents assess them. With the prospect of LLM-based autonomous agents being deployed as representatives or advisors to humans in consequential domains, it is therefore important to understand how LLMs reason about threats and offers. In this paper, we propose a formal theory of threats and offers grounded in causal games, and use it to empirically investigate how current LLMs classify and reason about such proposals. We find that LLMs' threat/offer classifications align with our formal definition, with each model's threat labels tightly tracking its own judgement of whether the proposal leaves the recipient worse off. LLMs also predict their co-players' classifications accurately, though in our setting this accuracy is not clearly above what is already achieved by simply projecting their own labels onto the co-player.

Poster
HierFlow: Hierarchical Coupled Dual-Space Search for Automatic Agentic Workflow Generation

Dong Li, Yanchi Liu, Xujiang Zhao, Wei Cheng, Zhengzhang Chen, Xintao Wu, Zhong Chen, Chen Zhao, Haifeng Chen

展开摘要

Agentic AI systems enable LLMs to solve non-trivial tasks through structured workflows, but automatically generating such workflows remains challenging due to the discrete and combinatorial search space. Existing methods often rely on offline search or training, limiting query-level adaptability and incurring substantial data and engineering overhead. We formulate workflow generation as a coupled topology--execution search problem, where the upper-level topology induces subtask-specific code-search domains and lower-level execution feedback can revise the topology itself. Based on this formulation, we propose HierFlow, a training-free hierarchical test-time search framework for automatic agentic workflow generation. HierFlow couples feedback-driven topology refinement with an MCTS-inspired lightweight tree search for execution-level sub-workflow optimization, and uses an adaptive gating mechanism to selectively trigger execution-level search based on estimated necessity. We further provide a coupling-aware analysis characterizing when hierarchical decomposition and proxy-based gating are beneficial and when their advantages may degrade under stronger cross-subtask coupling. Experiments across QA, mathematical reasoning, and code generation benchmarks show that HierFlow achieves strong performance and favorable efficiency--quality trade-offs, outperforming competitive baselines without additional training.

Poster
Hidden Positives: Why Code Retrieval Benchmarks Underestimate Model Quality

Maria Ivanova, Vitaly Kadulin, Dmitrii Babaev

展开摘要

Text-code embeddings underpin modern code intelligence systems, but progress in this area is held back by a systemic problem: code retrieval benchmarks routinely treat valid alternative implementations as negatives, making cross-model comparison unstable and depressing measured performance. We document this problem with a detailed analysis of six widely used benchmarks and show that, depending on the dataset, between 44\% and 87\% of items a strong LLM judge marks as relevant are missing from the original labels. To address this, we adopt a unified evaluation protocol in which a single LLM judge re-annotates the top-10 retrieved candidates for every model under a fixed prompt, replacing fragmented benchmark heuristics with a consistent semantic standard. Applying the same idea at training time, we use a smaller LLM-supervised reranker to construct MegaCode, the largest semantically curated dataset for code search to date of 193M positive (text, code) pairs, roughly an order of magnitude larger than prior curated corpora, and train a family of embedding models on it at four scales (0.5B-7B) with contrastive learning. Under a unified LLM-judged protocol, our 0.5B model matches or exceeds all prior open code-retrieval embeddings up to 8B parameters, and our 7B model improves average MRR@10 by 3.5 points over the strongest baseline.

Poster
Hallucination as Commitment Failure: Larger LLMs Misfire Despite Knowing the Answer

Jewon Yeom, Jaewon Sok, Heejun Kim, Seonghyeon Park, Jeongjae Park, Taesup Kim

展开摘要

Hallucination is often viewed as a direct consequence of missing knowledge: a model answers incorrectly when the correct answer is absent from its generation-time distribution, and correctly when it is present. We test this assumption by introducing a semantic notion of answer availability that aggregates token-level variants expressing the same answer concept, and asks whether the correct concept is already available at the moment the model commits to an answer. Across Qwen and Llama models from 0.8B to 72B in both Instruct and Base variants, 16-47\% of Instruct hallucinations occur with substantial probability mass already on the correct concept, and the rate rises monotonically with scale. Comparing such failures against correct generations with matched semantic support, the distinguishing factor is not whether the correct concept is represented, but how its probability is distributed: correct generations concentrate mass on a single surface form, hallucinations disperse it across alternatives. The same sharpening asymmetry extends across multi-token generation and is detectable in pre-generation hidden states. Together, these results identify a single mechanism: instruction tuning sharpens answer commitment with scale, making helpfulness and confident hallucination two consequences of the same underlying disposition.

Poster