NeurIPS 2026 论文列表

Conference on Neural Information Processing Systems

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主题: 驾驶仿真 · 940 篇论文 · 重置筛选

BReD: Block Replay Dithering for Stable Low-Bit EMA Optimizer States

Heshen Zhan, Youhan Huang, Yunke Peng, Yao Wang, Linghui Kong, Ziwei Zhu, Qingyu Han, Yaoyuan Wang, Congliang Chen, Ruoyu Sun

展开摘要

Low-bit storage of optimizer states can substantially reduce the memory footprint of large-scale training. In practice, however, these states are not quantized once: at every training step, they are dequantized, updated, requantized, and written back. This iterative quantization pipeline can destabilize training. We identify a failure mode behind this instability: for states updated via exponential moving averages (EMAs), quantization errors are recursively fed into subsequent updates. As a result, biased errors accumulate over time while high-variance errors are amplified, particularly when the EMA decay factor is close to 1. To address this error accumulation, we propose **BReD **(**Block **Re**play **D**ithering), a method that reduces rounding bias and controls rounding variance during quantization. BReD adapts classical subtractive dithering to optimizer-state quantization by combining deterministic seed replay with block-wise shared dither values, avoiding auxiliary random-tensor storage and per-element dither values generation. Across pretraining (five optimizers at 120M; AdamW and Muon at 1.1B and 3.4B model) and supervised fine-tuning (AdamW and Muon at 7B model), 4-bit BReD closely matches training with full-precision optimizer states, with PPL shifts $\leq0.5$ in pretraining and $\leq0.2$ in fine-tuning and average downstream performance changes within 0.7 points. Moreover, 3-bit BReD preserves stable convergence in the evaluated settings, offering a more aggressive alternative.

Poster
BROS: Bias-Corrected Randomized Subspaces for Memory-Efficient Single-Loop Bilevel Optimization

Hengrui Zhang, Boao Kong, Engao Zhang, Kun Yuan

展开摘要

Stochastic bilevel optimization (SBO) has become a standard framework for hyperparameter learning, data reweighting, representation learning, and data-mixture optimization in deep learning. Existing exact single-loop SBO methods and memory-efficient surrogate SBO methods either create severe memory pressure for large lower-level neural networks or lack competitive convergence guarantees under standard assumptions. In this paper, we propose BROS, a memory-efficient single-loop SBO method with the same convergence rate order as exact single-loop SBO methods. BROS performs lower and auxiliary updates in randomized subspaces with a Rademacher bi-probe correction that recovers an unbiased Hessian-action estimator. We prove that BROS preserves the $\mathcal O(\varepsilon^{-2})$ sample complexity of MA-SOBA for finding an $\varepsilon$-stationary point under only standard assumptions. Experiments on hyper-data cleaning, data-mixture learning, hyper-representation learning, and ViT sample reweighting show that BROS reduces peak memory by up to 44.9% while closely matching full-space baseline performance.

Poster
BOOST: Power-Optimal Strong-FWER Testing for Block-Structured Multiplicity

Prasanjit Dubey, Xiaoming Huo

展开摘要

Structured multiple-testing problems (gatekeeping trials, dose-finding, multi-tissue eQTL mapping, bundled-challenger A/B experiments) organize hypotheses into design-imposed blocks and demand strong family-wise error rate (FWER) control for confirmatory claims. Practitioners currently use objective-agnostic stepwise rules (Bonferroni, Holm, Hochberg, Hommel), closed-testing and graphical extensions, or hierarchical and resampling methods; none is power-optimal within the block-separable class these designs induce. We introduce **BOOST** (Block-Optimal Objective-driven Strong-FWER Testing), the power-optimal strong-FWER procedure for block size three, with three guarantees: (i) finite-sample strong-FWER validity at $O(K)$ cost (versus $O(K^2)$ for general closed testing) without independence assumptions, with a strict Šidák improvement under cross-block independence; (ii) power-optimal allocation across heterogeneous blocks via an equalized-marginal KKT condition, solvable by bisection in $O(B\log(1/\varepsilon))$; and (iii) a sample-split plug-in variant for unknown alternative density $g$, attaining $\alpha$-control up to $O(B_{\mathcal{T}} \, \mathbb{E}\Vert g - \hat{g}\Vert_{\infty})$ inflation with per-hypothesis power deficit *independent of* $B_{\mathcal T}$. Simulations across independent, equicorrelated, sparse, and mis-specified regimes show 1.4–1.7× power gains over the strongest existing baseline at calibrated FWER. On two published datasets (BLUEPRINT cross-lineage cis-eQTL and Upworthy bundled-challenger A/B experiments), BOOST certifies an order of magnitude more full-block discoveries than existing baselines at controlled FWER.

Poster
BO-Arena: An Evolving Benchmark for High-Dimensional Bayesian Optimisation

Thomas Christie, Colin Doumont, Henry Moss, Philipp Hennig

展开摘要

High-dimensional Bayesian optimisation (HDBO) is an increasingly crowded field, with new methods proposed at every major conference, making it ever harder to answer a deceptively simple question: "Which method is currently state-of-the-art?" In this paper, we question the efficacy of benchmarking practices in the field, and find them to be systematically ineffective. Specifically, multiple published works fail to benchmark against the strongest baselines available at the time of writing, or even include incorrect implementations of key methods. As a remedy, we introduce BO-Arena, an actively maintained and extensible package providing canonical implementations of state-of-the-art algorithms, designed to streamline building new methods and rigorously benchmark against existing approaches. We use the package to ask what currently drives performance in HDBO, and find that the answer is even simpler than previously thought. Following these simple principles, we propose a new algorithm which achieves state-of-the-art performance on problems with large numbers of observations, outperforming considerably more complex recent methods. Finally, we question whether there is currently sufficient evidence to suggest that a simple Gaussian process baseline is outperformed by any more complex methods for HDBO.

Poster
BMAttn: Block-Aligned Mixed-Precision Attention Quantization for LLM Inference

Zining Wang, Haojie Duanmu, Zhihang Yuan, Fanliu Kong, Ruihao Gong, Jinyang Guo, Xianglong Liu

展开摘要

The deployment of Large Language Models (LLMs) with extended context windows is fundamentally constrained by the quadratic computational and memory costs of the self-attention mechanism. While acceleration techniques like sparse attention and quantization offer potential relief, they currently face a critical dilemma: uniform compression strategies fail to capture the non-uniform distribution of information importance, degrading performance on long-range dependencies; conversely, fine-grained, token-level adaptation often introduces irregular memory access patterns that negate theoretical efficiency gains on modern GPUs. To resolve this tension, we introduce BMAttn (Block-Aligned Mixed-Precision Attention), a framework that unifies importance-aware precision allocation with hardware-friendly execution. BMAttn partitions attention maps into block-aligned high-precision, low-precision, and sparse regions, using a novel affine windowing mechanism to dynamically adjust boundaries based on sequence length. We further propose a saliency-weighted calibration method and a layer-adaptive regularizer that adaptively aligns precision targets with perceptual importance and layer sensitivity. Extensive experiments demonstrate that BMAttn achieves a \textbf{3.3x} speedup on long-context tasks with negligible accuracy loss, and up to \textbf{5x} speedup with minimal degradation, effectively bridging the gap between algorithmic adaptivity and hardware efficiency.

Poster
BLADE: Scalable Bi-level Adaptive Data Selection for LLM Training

Jiaxing Wang, Deping Xiang, Jin Xu, Zirui Liu, Zicheng Zhang, Guoqiang Gong, Jun Fang, Chao Liu, Pengzhang Liu, Tongxuan Liu, Ke Zhang, Qixia Jiang

展开摘要

As Large Language Model (LLM) datasets scale to trillions of tokens, data selection has emerged as a critical frontier to filter out uninformative noise and construct adaptive learning trajectories. Beyond static heuristic filtering, advanced data selection methods for LLM training largely follow two paradigms, each with fundamental limitations. Influence-based methods provide principled bi-level objectives but require intractable inverse-Hessian computations, while excess-loss methods are computationally efficient but rely on a static reference model that becomes misaligned with the evolving proxy model during training. We propose BLADE (Bi-Level Adaptive Data sElection), a Hessian-free framework for data selection. BLADE reformulates the bi-level optimization problem underlying influence-based methods as a penalized single-level objective via Lagrange multipliers, avoiding inverse-Hessian computation while revealing a principled connection to excess-loss based data selection. The resulting objective recovers an excess-loss form but replaces the static reference model with a dynamic one that stays synchronized with training. Theoretically, we prove that this penalized formulation guarantees first-order convergence. For efficient online batch selection, we instantiate BLADE as a memoryless randomized block-coordinate Frank-Wolfe algorithm. Extensive experiments show that BLADE consistently outperforms state-of-the-art data selection baselines, providing a practical recipe for LLM training.

Poster
BESS-Bench: Benchmarking Spectral Representations for Be-Star Variability

Matthieu Le Lain, Sébastien Lefèvre

展开摘要

Time-resolved stellar spectroscopy is a primary observational window onto mass-loss, disc formation and rotational physics, phenomena that single-epoch surveys cannot capture. Be stars are rapidly rotating B-type stars that episodically grow and lose a circumstellar gas disc, which imprints a variable emission profile on the hydrogen H-alpha Balmer line (6562.8 Angstrom) on timescales from days to decades. Decoding these spectral variations is both a key step in understanding stellar evolution and an open challenge for machine learning on irregularly sampled scientific time series. Yet no benchmark exists for these spectra: professional surveys deliver a single epoch per star, and the amateur-driven BeSS database, although it hosts hundreds of thousands of multi-epoch spectra, has never been curated for machine learning. We close this gap with BESS-Bench: 339,115 optical spectra of 1,468 Be stars over 35 years, all expert-reviewed, from amateurs (81.7%) and professionals (17.7%), with a scored H-alpha benchmark slice of 26,937 spectra and three tasks under a unified evaluation protocol. SpecProbe measures how well frozen embeddings recover six scalar line features (width, peak separation, line-core depth, asymmetry, equivalent width, peak intensity). LineTransfer tests cross-line generalisation (H-beta to H-alpha). EWForecast predicts the next-epoch equivalent width of H-alpha (a disc-mass proxy) from a star's recent spectroscopic history. We release a compact masked auto-encoder baseline (BeMAE) and benchmark it against PCA and two zero-shot time-series foundation models (Chronos-Bolt and TimesFM-2.0). The ranking is sharply task-dependent: BeMAE recovers shape features with an R2 that is 4.24x that of PCA(10) (bootstrap CI95 [4.12, 4.33]), yet a PCA+ridge pipeline lowers EW forecasting MAE by 5.8% over persistence, beating both foundation models, and calling as such for further development of AI models in this context. Dataset, weights, frozen splits and evaluation pipeline are released under CC-BY-4.0, so the scientific community can adopt BESS-Bench as a shared testbed and contribute new representations and models to advance our understanding of stellar variability.

Poster
BEAKER: An Expert-Curated Benchmark for Embodied Brains in Self-Driving Chemical Laboratories

Fei Lin, Tengchao Zhang, Ziyang Gong, Xiaotong Yu, Bohan Zhang, Yifan Zhou, Qihao Yang, Ji Dai, Dong Li, Yining Jiang, Qinghua Ni, Jun Huang, Qiang Zhang, Yue Zhou, Yonglin Tian, Zhihang Zhong, Xue Yang, Fei-Yue Wang

展开摘要

Self-Driving Chemical Laboratories (SDCLs) are moving chemical experimentation toward embodied automation, where machines must perceive laboratory scenes, reason about experimental states, and act under physical, procedural, and safety constraints. Although Multimodal Large Language Models (MLLMs) are increasingly considered as embodied brains for such systems, existing laboratory benchmarks mainly focus on safety, anomaly detection, or general scientific understanding, leaving their execution-oriented embodied capabilities underexplored. To fill this gap, we introduce BEAKER, a Benchmark for evaluating Embodied Actionability, Knowledge, Experimentation, and Reasoning in SDCLs. BEAKER contains 1,000 expert-curated QA samples across 11 image and video task types, covering key judgments required for chemical laboratory execution, including affordance grounding, trajectory planning, equipment and state understanding, apparatus connection, operation process reasoning, and result understanding. All questions and annotations are manually created and reviewed by chemistry and embodied AI experts, without AI-assisted generation or annotation. We evaluate 28 general-purpose, scientific, chemical, and embodied MLLMs on BEAKER. Results show that current models can recognize laboratory objects and states, but still struggle to ground experimental knowledge into operable regions, feasible trajectories, and long-horizon procedural reasoning. BEAKER thus reveals a clear gap between multimodal laboratory perception and action-grounded experimental understanding, providing a diagnostic benchmark for future MLLMs in SDCLs.

Spotlight
BEAGLE: Behavior-Enforced Agent for Grounded Learner Emulation

David Wang, Clayton Cohn, Zifan Xu, Siyuan Guo, Gautam Biswas, Meiyi Ma

展开摘要

Simulating student learning behaviors in open-ended problem-solving environments holds potential for education research, from training adaptive tutoring systems to stress-testing pedagogical interventions. However, collecting authentic data is challenging due to privacy concerns and the high cost of longitudinal studies. While Large Language Models (LLMs) offer a promising path to student simulation, they suffer from competency bias, optimizing for efficient correctness rather than the erratic, iterative struggle characteristic of novice learners. We present BEAGLE, a neuro-symbolic framework that addresses this bias by incorporating Self-Regulated Learning (SRL) theory into a novel architecture. BEAGLE integrates three key technical innovations: (1) a semi-Markov model that governs the timing and transitions of cognitive behaviors and metacognitive behaviors; (2) Bayesian Knowledge Tracing with explicit flaw injection to enforce realistic knowledge gaps and "unknown unknowns"; and (3) a decoupled agent design that separates high-level strategy use from code generation actions to prevent the model from silently correcting its own intentional errors. In evaluations on Python programming tasks, BEAGLE significantly outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in reproducing authentic trajectories. In a human Turing test, participants could not reliably tell BEAGLE traces apart from real student data: classification accuracy was statistically equivalent to chance (52.8\%, $d'=0.15$, $N=71$).

Poster
BA-T: An Iterative Transformer for Two-View Bundle Adjustment

Ganlin Zhang, Weirong Chen, Daniel Cremers, Xi Wang

展开摘要

Feed-forward models for 3D reconstruction have achieved strong performance using deep cross-view attention to exchange information across images. However, these approaches often depend on heavy decoder stacks and lack a structured mechanism for geometry refinement, resulting in poor multi-view consistency. We address this by drawing inspiration from classical bundle adjustment (BA), which can be viewed as an iterative information propagation process between poses and local geometry. Inspired by BA, we propose BA-T, an iterative Transformer that implements BA-style structured updates as a repeatable layer in implicit token space. Instead of relying on deep attention stacks, BA-T refines predictions based on latent residual by a single lightweight layer. Experiments demonstrate that BA-T progressively improves pose and reconstruction accuracy across iterations, achieves stronger cross-view consistency than conventional decoders, and matches or surpasses substantially larger models while using only 16\% of their decoder parameters. BA-T provides a compact, efficient, and structural alternative to depth-heavy attention, enabling accurate 3D reconstruction within a lightweight architecture. The code will be made publicly.

Poster
B2P-Corr: Batch-to-Population Gradient Estimators for Non-Decomposable Correlation Losses

Jingquan Yan, Yuwei Miao, Peiran Yu, Junzhou Huang

展开摘要

Correlation metrics such as the Pearson Correlation Coefficient (PCC) and Concordance Correlation Coefficient (CCC) are standard regression metrics and learning objectives, but their non-decomposable nature poses a challenge for stochastic optimization. Since these metrics depend on dataset-level moments (mean, variance, covariance), naive mini-batch training with local statistics yields biased, high-variance gradients whose expectation does not align with the population gradient. To bridge this "batch-to-population'' (B2P) gap, we propose **B2P-Corr**, a novel framework that transforms correlation objectives into decomposable pseudo-losses driven by lightweight global "moment sketches''. We introduce two efficient variants: **B2P-EMA**, which utilizes exponential moving averages and stop-gradient operators to ensure asymptotic gradient tracking with $O(B)$ cost ($B$ is batch size); and **B2P-U**, which uses sampled cross-batch U-statistic estimators and a reservoir-based stabilization with an $O(B)$ implementation. Theoretically, we quantify the $O(B^{-1})$ bias of naive mini-batch optimization, prove a moving-target tracking result for B2P-EMA under a fast-sketch / slow-parameter regime, and provide an idealized control-variate analysis for B2P-U. Experiments on two synthetic and three real-world datasets demonstrate B2P-Corr achieves stable optimization and higher correlation than naive mini-batch optimization with negligible overhead.

Poster
Autoregressive Appearance Prediction for 3D Gaussian Avatars

Michael Steiner, Zhang Chen, Alexander Richard, Vasu Agrawal, Markus Steinberger, Michael Zollhofer

展开摘要

A photorealistic and immersive human avatar experience demands capturing fine, person-specific details such as cloth and hair dynamics, subtle facial expressions, and characteristic motion patterns. Achieving this requires large, high-quality datasets, which often introduce ambiguities and spurious correlations when very similar poses correspond to different appearances. Models that fit these details during training can overfit and produce unstable, abrupt appearance changes for novel poses. We propose a 3D Gaussian Splatting avatar model with a spatial MLP backbone that is conditioned on both pose and an appearance latent. The latent is learned during training by an encoder, yielding a compact representation that improves reconstruction quality and helps disambiguate pose-driven renderings. At driving time, our predictor autoregressively infers the latent, producing temporally smooth appearance evolution and improved stability. Overall, our method delivers a robust and practical path to high-fidelity, stable avatar driving.

Poster
Automatically Refining Coding Rules for AI Coding Agents

Zhengyuan Jiang, Reachal Wang, Yuepeng Hu, Yupu Wang, Yuqi Jia, Neil Gong

展开摘要

The performance of AI coding agents is highly dependent on their underlying coding rules. However, existing coding rules are typically hand-crafted, making the process labor-intensive and often suboptimal. In this work, we propose RuleRefine, a framework for automatic coding rule refinement. RuleRefine maintains a pool of candidate coding rules and iteratively improves them. In each iteration, it employs an LLM-powered mutator module to generate variants from existing candidates, and then uses a judge module to evaluate these variants and update the pool with the best-performing ones. Extensive evaluations across two coding-agent frameworks, four backbone LLMs, and three benchmarks demonstrate that RuleRefine outperforms both manual engineering and existing prompt optimization baselines in terms of functional correctness of the generated code, code length, and/or generation cost (e.g., tokens used).

Poster
Augmented Lagrangian Method for Last-Iterate Convergence for Constrained MDPs

Michael Lu, Max Lin, Mo Chen, Sharan Vaswani

展开摘要

We study policy optimization for infinite-horizon, discounted constrained Markov decision processes (CMDPs). While existing theoretical guarantees typically hold for the mixture policy, deploying such a policy is computationally and memory intensive. This leads to a practical mismatch where a single (last-iterate) policy must be deployed. Recent theoretical works have thus focused on proving last-iterate convergence, but are largely limited to the tabular setting or to algorithmic variants that are rarely used in practice. To address this, we use the classic inexact augmented Lagrangian ($\texttt{AL}$) method from constrained optimization, and propose a general framework with provable last-iterate convergence for CMDPs. We first focus on the tabular setting and propose to solve the $\texttt{AL}$ sub-problem with projected Q-ascent ($\texttt{PQA}$). Combining the theoretical guarantees of $\texttt{PQA}$ and the standard $\texttt{AL}$ analysis enables us to establish global last-iterate convergence. We generalize these results to handle log-linear policies, and demonstrate that an efficient, projected variant of $\texttt{PQA}$ can achieve last-iterate convergence with comparable guarantees as prior work. Finally, we demonstrate that our framework scales to complex non-linear policies, and evaluate it on continuous control tasks.

Poster
Attribution-Guided Exit Policy for Reliable Early-Exit Inference

Haseena R P, Muhammed Ashrah, Ajith Abraham

展开摘要

Early-exit neural networks improve inference efficiency by enabling predictions at intermediate layers, but their effectiveness critically depends on the exit policy that decides whether to stop or continue computation. Existing policies, often based on confidence thresholds, enable early termination but offer limited insight into the reliability of such decisions. To address this, we introduce an explainability-aware framework that defines an attribution-grounded reliability signal for early-exit decisions. We propose Progressive Feature Attribution Maps (PFAM), which capture how feature importance evolves across exits, and the Interpretability-Based Early-Exit Score (IEES), a unified decision metric that integrates prediction confidence with attribution strength and cross-exit stability. To enable efficient deployment, we further introduce a lightweight proxy predictor that estimates IEES using inexpensive, attribution-free features, allowing attribution-informed decisions without incurring inference-time overhead. Experiments on convolutional architectures (ResNet, MobileNet, MSDNet) show that our approach improves accuracy–efficiency trade-offs, achieving up to 2.5\% accuracy gains while reducing inference time by up to 24\% compared to full-depth inference. Similar trends are observed on a vision transformer and a BERT-based language model, suggesting applicability beyond convolutional architectures.

Poster
Attention-based Routing for Interpretable Multimodal Brain Encoding

Pinyuan Feng, Hossein Adeli, Richard Antonello, Ethan Hwang, Nikolaus Kriegeskorte

展开摘要

Understanding how the brain integrates information across sensory modalities under naturalistic settings remains a central challenge in cognitive computational neuroscience. Despite recent progress in multimodal brain encoding driven by the advancement of deep learning, many existing approaches combine representations from pretrained modality-specific models using static aggregation or linear readouts, and therefore do not explicitly capture how information is selectively integrated across cortical regions. Here, we introduce Multimodal Transformer Brain Encoder (M-TBEn), a neural encoding framework that models multimodal integration as a routing problem. M-TBEn extends prior vision-based brain encoding approaches by introducing a cross-attention mechanism for multimodality, in which learnable parcel-level queries dynamically select and aggregate modality-specific representations from visual, auditory, and linguistic inputs. This design is not only parameter-efficient but also yields parcel-specific multimodal representations that support a flexible linear readout for predicting brain responses at various spatial resolutions. We evaluate M-TBEn on naturalistic video-viewing data, including both in-distribution and out-of-distribution stimulus conditions. The model is able to accurately predict parcel-level and voxel-level fMRI responses and generalizes across stimulus distributions. Furthermore, the learned attention patterns provide a structured descriptive basis for analyzing modality integration across cortical parcels, enabling a connection between parcel-specific routing profiles and established functional brain networks. Together, these results suggest that attention–based routing offers a principled computational framework for modeling multimodal integration in the human brain.

Poster
Attention-Discounted Adaptive Sampler for Masked Diffusion Language Models

Yusuf Sahin, Ahmed R Saikia, Volkan Cevher, Paolo Favaro

展开摘要

Masked diffusion language models can reduce inference steps by revealing multiple tokens per denoising iteration, but this parallelism is fragile: positions that are individually confident may be unsafe to commit together when their predictions are coupled. Existing training-free samplers such as Top-\(k\), Fast-dLLM, and EB-Sampler mainly control how many tokens to reveal, while often ranking candidates by token-wise scores that ignore interactions within the selected set. We propose ADAS, a training-free reranking rule for parallel masked diffusion decoding. ADAS leaves the base sampler's stopping rule unchanged and modifies only subset construction: it greedily discounts a candidate when it attends strongly to already selected positions whose predictions remain uncertain. Unlike graph-constrained methods that turn attention into hard compatibility constraints, ADAS keeps attention continuous and uses it as a soft marginal penalty. Across LLaDA-8B-Base and Dream-7B-Base on GSM8K, MATH500, HumanEval, and MBPP, plugging ADAS into Top-\(k\), Fast-dLLM, and EB-Sampler improves low-NFE performance at matched denoiser evaluations by \(9.11\) and \(10.46\) percentage points on average, respectively, with \(3.1\%\) per-forward runtime overhead. These results show that soft attention-discounted reranking is a simple and modular way to improve quality in highly parallel decoding for masked diffusion language models.

Poster
Attention-Based Sampler for Diffusion Language Models

Yuyan Zhou, Kai Syun Hou, Weiyu Chen, James Kwok

展开摘要

Auto-regressive models (ARMs) have established a dominant paradigm in language modeling. However, their strictly sequential sampling paradigm imposes fundamental constraints on both inference efficiency and modeling flexibility. To address these limitations, diffusion-based large language models (dLLMs) have been proposed, offering the potential for parallel sampling and flexible language modeling. Despite these advantages, current dLLMs sampling strategies rely primarily on token level information, which fails to account for global sequence structure and often yields suboptimal results. In this paper, we study the sampling order selection problem from the perspective of log-likelihood maximization. We show that this problem is NP-hard and propose an optimal sampling-rank-based approximation that makes the objective computationally tractable. We further prove that the tractable objective is optimized by sampling tokens in descending order of their attention-matrix column sums. This finding provides a principled justification for attention-guided sampling and offers a theoretically grounded alternative to greedy search. We instantiate this theoretical insight in a new training-free sampling algorithm, termed Attn-Sampler, and further propose dynamic attention thresholding for practical acceleration. Extensive experiments across multiple benchmarks validate the effectiveness of our proposed method, demonstrating that it achieves superior generation quality while enhancing the sampling parallelism.

Poster
AtmoZero: Self-Play Post-Training for Caption-Free Weather Time-Series Captioning

Qirui Zheng, Shengchao Chen

展开摘要

Multivariate weather time series are a central modality for forecasting and decision support, and the surrounding language increasingly mediates how numerical weather is consumed by users and downstream models. However, existing pipelines depend on closed-source language model ensembles with expert quality control or on retrieving human-curated text, while prior caption-RL rewards optimize cycle similarity or downstream-task utility, neither of which can tell a captioner that a confidently asserted phenomenon is contradicted by the data, so the absence of an executable, station-observable, and refutation-aware reward signal has blocked the application of self-play RL to this scientific modality. To address this, we propose AtmoZero, a post-training framework that trains a weather-time-series captioner without a single human-written caption, by aligning a language model with a library of seven station-observable scientific verifiers, pairing them with an explicit refutation channel that penalizes caption claims the data contradicts, and combining them with auxiliary reconstruction and forecaster-utility rewards under group-relative policy optimization. Extensive empirical results on a twelve-year ERA5 reanalysis corpus and real-world surface observations show that AtmoZero attains the lowest unsupported-claim rate and forecasting error at every horizon, outperforming closed-source captioners, dense-reward RL, and far-larger foundation models, with extensive analyses confirming that these gains arise from multiple complementary signals and are robust under distribution shift.

Poster
Asymptotically Log-Optimal Bayes-Assisted Confidence Sequences for Bounded Means

Valentin Kilian, Stefano Cortinovis, Francois Caron

展开摘要

Confidence sequences based on test martingales provide time-uniform uncertainty quantification for the mean of bounded IID observations without parametric distributional assumptions. Their practical efficiency, however, depends strongly on the choice of martingale updates, and many existing constructions do not exploit prior information about plausible data-generating distributions or mean values. We propose a Bayes-assisted framework that uses a Bayesian working predictive model to adaptively construct confidence sequences. For each candidate mean and time point, the predictive distribution selects, among valid one-step martingale factors, the update maximising predictive expected log-growth; validity is therefore preserved even when the prior or working model is misspecified. We prove that if the predictive distribution is Wasserstein-consistent, the resulting procedure is asymptotically log-optimal, matching the per-sample log-growth of an oracle procedure with access to the true distribution. We instantiate the framework using robust predictives based on Dirichlet-process mixtures and Bayesian exponentially tilted empirical likelihood. Experiments on synthetic data, sequential best-arm identification for LLM evaluation, and prediction-powered inference show that informative priors can substantially reduce confidence-sequence width and sampling effort while retaining anytime-valid coverage.

Poster