NeurIPS 2026 论文列表

Conference on Neural Information Processing Systems

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6,437篇论文

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The Optimization Prior: Instilling depth for shallow networks, detail for coarse networks

Vighnesh Subramaniam, Boris Katz, Brian Cheung

展开摘要

Initialization determines the optimization ``fate'' of a model, going far beyond just setting the scale of its weights. It establishes a fundamental initial geometry over the data, permanently dictating which examples are considered close, which directions are easy to change, and which representations gradient descent will naturally refine first. Because this starting point dictates the model's future trajectory, we ask: can this initial geometry be explicitly chosen by referencing a completely different architecture? To achieve this, we introduce representational similarity as an optimization prior. This is an initialization-only procedure that aligns a target network to the representational geometry of a randomly initialized guide network before any downstream training occurs. Crucially, the guide network transfers no learned knowledge: it is frozen, never sees labels. We demonstrate that this cross-architecture transfer of fate works in two key domains: instilling the optimization benefits of depth into shallow targets by aligning them to deeper, randomly initialized guides, and transferring representational granularity by using fine-resolution guides to shape the initialization geometry of networks built with coarser representations. Ultimately, this establishes that a model's architectural destiny can be decoupled from its physical structure and explicitly programmed at initialization.

Poster
The Optimal Control Foundation of Early Exits – Turnpikes and ResNets

Jens Püttschneider, Simon Heilig, Asja Fischer, Timm Faulwasser

展开摘要

The feed-forward propagation through neural networks is crucial for training and inference. To trade off efficiency and accuracy, it has been proposed to consider intermediate outputs of hidden states as data-dependent regularization during training and, ultimately, as early-exits during inference. In this work, we analyze the joint optimization of loss functions computed for the output layer and intermediate layers using optimal control theory. We prove that ResNets trained in this joint fashion exhibit the so-called turnpike phenomenon, this implies that the number of layers required to reach a prescribed loss level is bounded from above independently of the overall network depth. This induces a similarity property across the internal representations of early-exiting networks of varying depths. We connect the turnpike to the overthinking phenomenon, and provide theoretical insights of the success of early-exit criteria derived from softmax probabilities, specifically entropy and max-probability. In a range of experiments, we demonstrate the existence and effect of turnpikes and the resulting similarity in the early-exit performance for ResNets of varying depths.

Poster
The Multiscale Single-Index Model: A Toy Model for Hierarchical Feature Learning

Gordon Dai, Joan Bruna

展开摘要

We introduce the Multiscale Single-Index Model, a stylized model for deep hierarchical feature learning with scale separation. Each layer extracts a shared single-index feature at one physical scale and passes it to the next, giving a tractable setting in which to study how deep architectures learn local multiscale representations. Under non-degeneracy and delocalization assumptions on the link function and planted features respectively, we prove two complementary recovery guarantees. First, for any fixed depth $K$ and local scale $d$, corresponding to an input of size $d^K$, the first Wiener chaos expansion of the target behaves as a perturbed spiked tensor, where the perturbation comes from the non-linearity; we then leverage this fact to show that a spectral method based on tensor unfolding strongly recovers all planted directions with $O(d^{\lceil K/2\rceil}\log d)$ samples. Second, for the two hidden-layer case, we analyze joint online spherical SGD and show that it achieves weak recovery from random initialization in $O(d\log^2 d)$ samples, followed by strong recovery to accuracy $\varepsilon$ in $O(d\log(1/\varepsilon))$ additional samples. The main technical challenge is that the second layer observes non-Gaussian learned features; we overcome this through a quantitative Gaussian comparison using delocalization, combined with sharp trajectory-level control of the coupled SGD dynamics.

Spotlight
The Multi-Block DC Function Class: Theory, Algorithms, and Applications

Sayedpouria Fatemi, Hoomaan Maskan, Alp Yurtsever, Suvrit Sra

展开摘要

We present the Multi-Block DC (BDC) class, a rich class of structured nonconvex functions that admit a DC (``difference-of-convex'') decomposition across parameter blocks. This multi-block class not only subsumes the usual DC programming, but also turns out to be provably more powerful. Specifically, we demonstrate how standard models (e.g., polynomials and tensor factorization) must have DC decompositions of exponential size, while their BDC formulation is polynomial. This separation in complexity also underscores another key aspect: unlike DC formulations, obtaining BDC formulations for problems is vastly easier and constructive. We illustrate this aspect by presenting explicit BDC formulations for modern tasks such as deep ReLU networks, a result with no known equivalent in the DC class. Moreover, we complement the theory by developing algorithms with non-asymptotic convergence theory, including both batch and stochastic settings, and demonstrate the broad applicability of our method through several applications.

Poster
The Missing Corpus: Infinite Ground Truth for File-Grounded LLM Evaluation

Anush Sankaran, Arijit Banerjee, Pamela Bhattacharya, Tanujay Saha

展开摘要

Evaluating enterprise LLMs on file-grounded Question Answering (QA) requires large, labeled corpora of realistic enterprise PDFs, yet real documents are sensitive, scarce, and impossible to annotate at scale. Existing synthetic approaches produce visually crude renders, annotate ground truth post-hoc (introducing hallucination risk), or are non-reproducible one-off scripts with no diversity control. We present SynthDocQA, an Intermediate Representation(IR)-driven pipeline that co-generates photorealistic multi-page enterprise PDFs and provenance-grounded evaluation pairs in a single pass. A compact Document Generation IR encodes topic, content schedule, and perturbation profile before rendering begins. Templates are retrieved per page via Contrastive Language-Image Pretraining (CLIP) embedding-based cross-modal search over a 10,000-layout library; a 15-stage physical degradation pipeline models five scan quality tiers from pristine to poor. Every QA assertion is derived analytically from the same structured artifact that populated the page, making hallucination structurally impossible, and a hierarchical fork-based Random Number Generator (RNG) guarantees exact reproducibility from a single integer seed. A reference 100-document corpus spans 50 enterprise domains, 4,374 pages, 16,589 QA pairs, and 21,402 assertions at zero annotation cost.

Poster
The Mirage of Optimizing Training Policies: Monotonic Inference Policies as the Real Objective for LLM Reinforcement Learning

Jing Liang, Hongyao Tang, Yi Ma, Yancheng He, Weixun Wang, Xiaoyang Li, Wenbo Su, Jinyi Liu, Yan Zheng, Jianye Hao, Bo Zheng

展开摘要

Reinforcement learning (RL) has gained growing attention in large language model (LLM) post-training, yet RL training remains fragile and can suffer from instability or collapse. One vital cause is \textit{training-inference mismatch}: % different from traditional RL, the engineering design of LLM adopts separate inference and training engines for generation efficiency and training precision, which in practice exhibits inconsistent probabilities for the same trajectories on training and inference sides, even with synchronized model parameters. This naturally induces a special type of off-policyness ever existing and poisoning the training. Prior works have made various efforts in addressing the off-policyness to stabilize the training policies under the mismatch. In this paper, we point out the \textit{object misalignment} neglected by existing works that an effective update to the policy in the training engine not necessarily ensures the improvement of the inference policy, i.e., the one used in deployment. To this end, we propose a new policy optimization objective for LLM RL, named \textbf{Monotonic Inference Policy Improvement (MIPI)}. Following this principle, we introduce {Monotonic Inference Policy Update (MIPU)}, a two-step LLM RL framework that constructs sampler-referenced candidate updates and selectively accepts synchronized candidates using an inference-side gap proxy. Experiments under high mismatch show that {MIPU} improves average reasoning performance and training stability.

Poster
The Minimax Rate of Second-Order Calibration

Kamil Ciosek, Banafsheh Rafiee, Sina Ghiassian, Nicolò Felicioni

展开摘要

We characterize the minimax rate of estimating the second-order calibration error for binary classification, which quantifies whether a higher-order predictor's epistemic-uncertainty estimate matches the conditional variance of the label probability on its level sets. Our key observation is that the sech perturbation kernel, previously used only to enforce smoothness of calibration functions, in fact makes them \emph{analytic} in a strip of half-width $h\pi/2$. Polynomial regression then estimates the calibration error at rate $\tilde{O}(1/\sqrt{n})$, with explicit constants, a qualitative improvement over the $O(n^{-1/4})$ rate achievable by bucketing or kernel smoothing. A matching $\Omega(1/\sqrt{n})$ lower bound establishes minimax optimality up to logarithmic factors. As a corollary, we give the first finite-sample guarantee for second-order Platt scaling, yielding a post-hoc procedure that recalibrates both the mean prediction and the epistemic-variance estimate of any higher-order predictor. Along the way, we provide a bucket-free definition of second-order calibration and relate it quantitatively to the bucketed formulation of Ahdritz et al. [2025]. Our experiments confirm the predicted rate and the quality of the recalibrated uncertainties.

Poster
The Minimax Rate of Online Isotonic Regression on Product Orders

Sichen Wang

展开摘要

Kotłowski et al. (NeurIPS 2017) posed as a central open problem the design of efficient online isotonic regression algorithms beyond totally ordered domains. We resolve this for the product order $[m]\times[m]$, the canonical two-dimensional case, by determining the minimax regret up to constant factors: $$ R_T^* = \Theta\left(\min\left\\{T,\ \inf_{K \in \mathbb{N}_+}\left[\log\Omega([m]^2, K+1) + \frac{T}{K^2}\right]\right\\}\right), $$ where $\Omega(\mathcal{P}, K+1)$ is the order polynomial counting monotone maps from $\mathcal{P}$ to $[K+1]$. This unified formula reveals a three-phase scaling law: $\Theta(T)$ for $T \lesssim m$, $\Theta(m^{2/3} T^{1/3})$ for $m \lesssim T \lesssim m^4$, and $\Theta(m^2 \log(T/m^4))$ for $T \gg m^4$. We further construct polynomial-time algorithms achieving this rate in every regime, including a horizon-free variant requiring no advance knowledge of $T$.

Poster
The Mask Is Not the Object: Volumetric Supervision for 3D Gaussian Segmentation

Jeonghwan Cho, Minsu Kim, Junyoung Hong, Seon Joo Kim

展开摘要

Existing 3D Gaussian Splatting (3DGS) segmentation methods produce accurate rendered masks yet often fail to select a complete set of object Gaussians: removing the predicted Gaussians leaves the rendered depth in the target region nearly unchanged. We trace this gap to the contribution-weighted supervision path of rendering-based feature learning. Because Gaussian geometry and opacity are pre-optimized for RGB reconstruction, rendered-feature losses deliver strong gradients only to high-contribution Gaussians, leaving other Gaussians in the same object region weakly supervised and ultimately unselected. We propose VODA, a plug-and-play supervision objective that addresses this bias. After RGB optimization, Gaussians of the same object portion concentrate at similar depths along the camera ray. A depth-aware rasterizer exploits this property, grouping per-pixel contributing Gaussians into depth-coherent clusters and selecting the cluster that best explains each object pixel. The rendered feature of the selected cluster is then applied as a target directly to every Gaussian within it, bypassing the contribution-weighted gradient path. A complementary pixel-level loss further sharpens boundaries between adjacent objects. To evaluate volumetric completeness, we introduce Removal-3D and the Removal Depth Error (RDE), which measure whether removing the predicted Gaussians induces the expected depth change in 3D. Across four rendering-based baselines, VODA consistently improves volumetric segmentation on Removal-3D while maintaining or improving standard performance on LERF and ScanNet.

Poster
The Marauder’s Map: Bézier Manifolds Reveal Hidden Surfaces for Model Merging and Ensembling

Abhiram Iyer, Mark T Harnett, Sarthak Chandra

展开摘要

Neural circuits are infamously more robust than their deep network counterparts. Biology often explains this through degeneracy, where structurally distinct configurations support the same function. Deep learning studies a parallel phenomenon through mode connectivity, which links same-objective networks by low-loss curves, sheets, or volumes. Yet real biological systems undergo continual structural change, a more flexible form of degeneracy in which specialized circuits gradually adapt toward new competencies through localized changes while preserving existing function. The analogous question in deep learning is harder than ordinary mode connectivity, asking whether many independently initialized models trained on distinct tasks can be connected by a high-dimensional region of competent multi-task solutions. We introduce Nimbus, which learns a high-dimensional Bézier manifold connecting N specialists, going beyond the one-dimensional paths and two-dimensional sheets of prior mode connectivity work. A naive parameterization would scale combinatorially with N, but Nimbus requires only a small number of learned correction tensors shared per interaction order, showing that the connecting manifold has surprisingly low complexity yet supports multi-task competencies. The resulting manifold from Nimbus forms a navigable "Marauder's Map" connecting independently trained specialists through a shared geometry of competent solutions. Across vision (CIFAR-100) and language modeling (five disjoint text domains), Nimbus produces manifolds that are both functionally and locally weight-flat. Ensembles sampled from them degrade more gracefully than baselines under input and weight perturbations, with the largest gains in negative log-likelihood and expected calibration error. Beyond its empirical behavior, Nimbus supplies a deep learning interpretation of flexible degeneracy, recasting the connectivity between specialized circuits from a low-dimensional path between distant solutions into a high-dimensional volume of nearby ones.

Poster
The Many Faces of On-Policy Distillation: Pitfalls, Mechanisms, and Fixes

Siqi Zhu, Xuyan Ye, Hongyu Lu, Weiye Shi, Ge Liu

展开摘要

On-policy distillation (OPD) and on-policy self-distillation (OPSD) have emerged as promising post-training methods for large language models, offering dense token-level supervision on trajectories sampled from the model's own policy. However, existing results on their effectiveness remain mixed: while OP(S)D has shown promise in system prompt and knowledge internalization, recent studies also report instability and degradation. In this work, we present a comprehensive empirical study of when OPD and OPSD work, when they fail, and why. We find that OPD on mathematical reasoning is highly sensitive to teacher choice and loss formulation, whereas OPSD fails in our tested settings due to test-time absence of instance-specific privileged information (PI). In contrast, OPSD is effective when PI represents a shared latent rule, such as a system prompt or alignment preference. We identify three failure mechanisms: (1) distribution mismatch between teacher and student caused by conditioning on student-generated prefixes, (2) optimization instability from biased TopK reverse-KL gradients, and (3) an OPSD-specific limitation where the student learns a PI-free policy that aggregates PI-conditioned teachers, which is insufficient when PI is instance-specific. We further show that stop-gradient TopK objectives, RLVR-adapted teachers, and SFT-stabilized students mitigate these failures.

Poster
The Long-Run Distribution of Regularized Learning in Non-Concave Games: A Large Deviations Approach

Waiss Azizian, Pierre-Louis Cauvin, Franck Iutzeler, Jerome Malick, Panayotis Mertikopoulos

展开摘要

In this paper, we investigate the long-run behavior of discounted regularized learning with stochastic gradient feedback in general, non-concave games. Specifically, we focus on a family of implicitly regularized exponential / multiplicative weight update schemes, and we seek to determine which actions\textemdash or, more generally, which recurrent patterns of play\textemdash are more likely to arise in the long run. We approach this question through the lens of large deviations theory and randomly perturbed dynamical systems, and we obtain a precise characterization of the distribution of the process: in the long run, it follows a Boltzmann-Gibbs law with temperature equal to the method's step-size, and energy levels determined by the game and the statistics of the noise. Concretely, we show that the distribution of play concentrates exponentially around the dynamics' *internally chain transitive* (ICT) sets - i.e., irreducible invariant sets containing no smaller attractors - and the probability of visiting such a set depends exponentially on its energy. As a result, unstable ICT sets are exponentially less likely to be visited than stable ones, and the sequence of play is exponentially concentrated around the problem's ``ground state'', where energy is minimized. In this manner, learning acts as a selection mechanism: with exponentially high probability, the ground state is the only outcome observed in the long run, even in the presence of multiple equilibria and other attractors.

Spotlight
The Locality Cost of Semantic Patch Self-Distillation

Xi Weng, Zhaoyu Liu, Lianyu Hu, Jin Song Dong

展开摘要

Masked patch self-distillation has become a default ingredient of modern joint-embedding pretraining, and is widely regarded as a uniform enhancement of dense visual representations. In this work, we revisit this assumption and argue that its effect is more nuanced. Through controlled experiments across multiple joint-embedding objectives and model scales, we observe a consistent tension: while the auxiliary patch objective strengthens semantic abstraction, it systematically erodes fine-grained spatial correspondence. To examine this phenomenon beyond the reach of human-annotated benchmarks, we introduce annotation-free diagnostics that probe how much local visual evidence remains accessible in the learned representation. We further provide a population-level theoretical analysis showing that this trade-off is not incidental but follows directly from the conditional nature of masked semantic prediction, under which target variation unpredictable from visible context is provably averaged out. Taken together, our findings recast masked patch self-distillation as an explicit trade-off between semantic abstraction and local detail, rather than a uniform improvement to dense features.

Poster
The Limits of AI-Driven Allocation: Optimal Screening under Aleatoric Uncertainty

Santiago Cortes-Gomez, Mateo Dulce Rubio, Carlos M Patiño, Bryan Wilder

展开摘要

The rise of machine learning has shifted targeted resource allocation in policy and humanitarian settings toward algorithmic targeting based on predicted risk scores. This approach is typically cheaper and faster than traditional screening procedures that directly observe the latent vulnerability status through physical verification. Yet, even access to the true conditional vulnerability probability cannot eliminate misallocation: aleatoric uncertainty over individual vulnerability status is irreducible, and probabilistic targeting inevitably misallocates some resources. In this work we study how screening and algorithmic targeting should be optimally combined in a two-stage allocation framework where a screening stage observes true outcomes for a subset of units before a final allocation stage assigns the resource under a fixed coverage budget. We show that the optimal strategy screens units at the margin of algorithmic allocation, while directly targeting the highest-risk units. Furthermore, we empirically characterize when screening and algorithmic targeting act as complements or substitutes: efficiency gains from screening grow as the aleatoric uncertainty in the population increases. We illustrate our framework with applications in income-based social protection programs and humanitarian demining in Colombia, where the tension between screening costs and allocation efficiency is operationally consequential.

Poster
The Laplacian Keyboard: Beyond the Linear Span

Siddarth Chandrasekar, Marlos C. Machado

展开摘要

Across scientific disciplines, Laplacian eigenvectors serve as a fundamental basis for simplifying complex systems, from signal processing to quantum mechanics. In reinforcement learning (RL), they similarly form a basis over the state space, enabling reward functions to be approximated by projection onto a small set of eigenvectors. This projection makes zero-shot control possible, but it also imposes a fundamental limitation: the induced policies are only as expressive as the linear span of the chosen eigenvectors. We introduce the Laplacian Keyboard (LK), a hierarchical framework that goes beyond this linear span. LK constructs a task-agnostic library of behaviors from these eigenvectors, forming a behavior basis guaranteed to contain the optimal policy for any reward within the linear span. A meta-policy learns to stitch these behaviors dynamically, enabling efficient learning of policies outside the original linear constraints. We establish theoretical bounds on zero-shot approximation error and demonstrate empirically that LK improves over the zero-shot solution while achieving better sample efficiency compared to standard RL methods.

Poster
The Labeling Problem in Hallucination Detection Benchmarks: An Empirical Evaluation

Jorma Valjakka, Juhani Kivimäki, Juha Mylläri, Jukka K Nurminen

展开摘要

In recent years, several methods for detecting when large language models (LLMs) hallucinate have been developed. These methods are often evaluated with hallucination detection benchmarks using open-domain question answering (QA) datasets that contain questions and corresponding short reference answers. Currently, these benchmarks use an LLM to generate answers to questions within the QA dataset. Then, various automated strategies are applied to label these answers as hallucinated or not by comparing them with the reference answers. This evaluation setting creates a methodological ambiguity between two criteria: reference faithfulness --- whether the answer is fully supported by the reference --- and factual correctness --- whether the answer is free from contradictions and factually false specific claims. In practice, automated labelers may apply the former criterion even when the intended target is the latter. We study this potential criterion mismatch using 900 human-labeled question--answer pairs spanning three commonly used QA datasets and three generator models. Our human annotations target answer-level factual correctness. As automated label generation strategies, we evaluate lexical similarity metrics, a reference-entailment NLI baseline, and seven LLM judges under controlled prompt variants. We compare the effect of using either a faithfulness-oriented prompt, which asks the judge model to treat any answer content unsupported by the reference as a hallucination, or a factual-correctness prompt, which explicitly distinguishes between absence from the reference and factual error. Our experiments reveal substantial disagreement both among different automated label-generation strategies and between these automated labels and human annotations. Many strategies also exhibit strong biases towards certain error types. For most LLM judges, replacing the faithfulness-oriented prompt with the factual-correctness prompt significantly improves agreement with human annotations, showing that automated hallucination labels depend strongly on how the target criterion is specified. For open-domain QA benchmarks targeting factual correctness, relying on strict reference faithfulness can introduce systematic measurement bias. Label-source choice should therefore be considered a fundamental part of benchmark design and made explicit, validated, and matched with the benchmark goal.

Poster
The Key to Going Linear: Analysis-Driven Transformer Linearization

Anna Kuzina, Paul Whatmough, Babak Ehteshami Bejnordi

展开摘要

The quadratic cost of causal self-attention severely bottlenecks long-context transformer inference. While numerous post hoc linearization pipelines exist, it is difficult to identify which components preserve model quality. This work isolates the effect of state update design in a strict frozen-backbone regime. We show that softmax relies on key-dependent, rank-1 orthogonal projections, elucidating why delta-style networks outperform purely gated accumulation. We identify a potential source of approximation errors and introduce structural interventions, specifically sink tokens, short convolutions, and fixed-budget cache routing, which reduces the remaining gap. We scale this linearization approach across LLaMA and Qwen models up to 32B parameters, outperforming prior post hoc baselines on MMLU and matching the long-context retrieval of complex adaptive-caching frameworks.

Poster
The Kernel Reality Check: Benchmarking and Distilling Efficient Attention at Scale

Firat Oncel, Cem Subakan, Mirco Ravanelli, Çağatay Yıldız

展开摘要

Kernelized attention methods, which aim to replace the $O(N^2)$ complexity of softmax attention with $O(N)$ alternatives, have been the focus of intense research in the last five years. Despite growing interest, systematic evaluations at foundation model scales and fair comparisons across approaches are still missing. We analyze kernelized attention in two halves and highlight prominent limitations on each. On efficiency, FlashAttention achieves lower memory consumption and faster wall-clock time than state-of-the-art kernelized methods across most sequence lengths (with auto-regressive generation memory the only clear exception), directly contradicting the field's core assumption. We also discover that reported efficiency gains often fail to reproduce against modern baselines. On quality, current kernelized methods leave gaps of $2$-$10$ points relative to softmax under a unified distillation protocol, and these gaps do not close with model scale. We show this gap is not intrinsic to kernelization: LARA++, a principled extension of LARA that approximates softmax via importance sampling with adaptive proposal distributions, recovers up to 99\% of softmax accuracy. We establish that the gap is closable; however, the computational overhead remains substantial, leaving the efficiency wall intact.

Poster
The Invisible Hand of Physics: When Video Diffusion Models Know More Than They Show

Parsa Esmati, Somjit Nath, Katja Hofmann, Derek Nowrouzezahrai, Samira Ebrahimi Kahou, Majid Mirmehdi

展开摘要

Modern video diffusion models generate increasingly realistic and temporally coherent videos, motivating their use as candidate world simulators. Yet it remains unclear whether these models internally encode physical structure, or merely reproduce motion patterns seen during training. We study this question by probing video diffusion models along latent trajectories corresponding to real videos with known physical plausibility. To obtain such trajectories, we approximately invert the deterministic sampling process by integrating the learned velocity field backward from a clean video latent to noise, giving access to the model’s intermediate states and attention maps. Using these recovered trajectories, we show that physical plausibility is linearly decodable from diffusion transformer states across IntPhys and InfLevel, reaching around 81\% average accuracy and outperforming dedicated representation-learning baselines such as V-JEPA and VideoMAE. Surprisingly, this signal is absent from the VAE latent input and emerges inside the denoising transformer itself, despite the model not being trained with a self-supervised predictive objective. These findings suggest that physically meaningful representations can arise as a byproduct of generative denoising.

Spotlight
The Interplay of Data Structure and Imbalance in the Learning Dynamics of Diffusion Models

Flavio Nicoletti, Chenxiao Ma, Enrico Ventura, Luca Saglietti, Stefano Sarao Mannelli

展开摘要

Real-world datasets are inherently heterogeneous, yet how per-class structural differences and sampling imbalance shape the training dynamics of diffusion models—and potentially exacerbate disparities—remains poorly understood. While models typically transition from an initial phase of generalization to memorizing the training set, existing theory assumes homogeneous data, leaving open how class imbalance and heterogeneity reshape these dynamics. In this work, we develop a high-dimensional analytical framework to study class-dependent learning in score-based diffusion models. Analyzing a random-features model trained on Gaussian mixtures, we derive the feature-covariance spectrum to characterize per-class generalization and memorization times. We reveal the explicit hierarchy governing these dynamics: class variance is the primary determinant of learning order—consistently favoring higher-variance classes—while centroid geometry plays a secondary role. Sampling imbalance acts as a modulator that can reverse this ordering and, under strong imbalance, forces minority classes to acquire distinct, delayed speciation times during backward diffusion. Together, these results suggest that diffusion models can memorize some classes while others remain insufficiently learned. We validate our theoretical predictions empirically using U-Net models trained on Fashion MNIST.

Poster