NeurIPS 2026 论文列表

Conference on Neural Information Processing Systems

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6,437篇论文

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主题: 对齐与安全 · 480 篇论文 · 重置筛选

FiTS: Interpretable Spiking Neurons via Frequency Selectivity and Temporal Shaping

Jongmin Choi, Joon Son Chung

展开摘要

Spiking Neural Networks (SNNs) are a promising framework for event-driven temporal processing. Prior work has improved temporal modeling through richer neuron dynamics and network-level mechanisms such as recurrence and delays, but it remains unclear how individual spiking neurons should specialize within a network. In this work, we introduce \textbf{FiTS}, a spiking neuron that factorizes temporal computation within each neuron into Frequency Selectivity (FS) and Temporal Shaping (TS). The FS module parameterizes each neuron's target frequency as the maximizer of its subthreshold magnitude response, while the TS module reshapes when frequency components contribute to membrane voltage accumulation through group-delay modulation. On auditory benchmarks where frequency selectivity and timing are central to the input structure, FiTS consistently improves over a plain Leaky Integrate-and-Fire (LIF) baseline in simple feedforward SNNs without recurrence or network-level delays, while remaining competitive with strong temporal SNN baselines. Beyond accuracy, the learned target frequencies and group-delay shifts provide interpretable neuron-level summaries of the frequency and timing organization learned within the network.

Spotlight
Few-Shot Truly Benign DPO Attack for Jailbreaking LLMs

Yoon Sangyeon, Wonje Jeung, Yoonjun Cho, Dongjae Jeon, Albert No

展开摘要

Fine-tuning APIs make frontier LLMs easy to customize, but they can also weaken safety alignment during fine-tuning. While prior work shows that benign supervised fine-tuning (SFT) can reduce refusal behavior, deployed fine-tuning pipelines increasingly support preference-based objectives, whose safety risks remain less understood. We show that Direct Preference Optimization (DPO) introduces a stronger and harder-to-audit failure mode. We propose a truly benign DPO attack using only 10 harmless preference pairs, the minimum data scale accepted by OpenAI’s fine-tuning service. Each pair contains a benign prompt, a normal helpful answer as the preferred response, and a refusal as the dispreferred response. Unlike prior benign fine-tuning attacks, our data exhibits no suspicious behavior: it is practically indistinguishable from the fine-tuning request of a legitimate user seeking to reduce over-refusal, making harmful intent almost impossible to infer from the request alone. Nevertheless, because DPO directly optimizes the model to prefer helpful answers over refusals, this seemingly benign objective broadly suppresses refusal behavior and transfers to harmful prompts outside the fine-tuning data. Across OpenAI models supporting DPO fine-tuning, our attack achieves attack success rates of 59.13% on GPT-4o, 70.20% on GPT-4.1, 54.80% on GPT-4.1-mini, and 81.73% on GPT-4.1-nano, at costs of only \\$1.7, \\$1.7, \\$0.3, and \\$0.1. Moreover, on open-weight models that do not impose minimum data requirements, we find that this effect can emerge from even a single benign preference pair.

Poster
Feeling of Knowing in Large Language Models

Zichuan Fu, Xian Wu, Jingtong Gao, Wenlin Zhang, Jiaxuan Li, Binhao Wang, Yimin Deng, Guojing Li, Xiaopeng Li, Derong Xu, Yefeng Zheng, Xiangyu Zhao

展开摘要

In real-world deployment, large language models (LLMs) are frequently updated through post-training techniques to maintain up-to-date knowledge. Yet their reliability depends not only on what the LLM knows, but also on whether it knows what it knows—a self-assessment known as the feeling of knowing (FoK). FoK is the signal behind selective generation, retrieval triggering, and model routing; when miscalibrated, it leads systems to overconfidence on unknown questions or to refuse ones they could have answered. As LLMs are updated through posttraining, however, we discover that what an LLM knows can change without a corresponding update to its FoK. This creates a knowledge–FoK desynchronization challenge, where FoK estimators calibrated to the pre-trained LLM become unreliable as the model’s knowledge state evolves. To address this challenge, we propose a two-channel design: a knowledge channel that changes what the LLM knows and a FoK channel that judges whether the current knowledge state supports answering. We train these channels with a three-stage procedure: onpolicy supervised fine-tuning (OP-SFT) updates the knowledge channel from corrected on-policy answers, knowledge-delta FoK training (K∆-FT) trains the FoK channel over intermediate knowledge states, and FoK-guided policy optimization (FGPO) uses the judgment to generate the corresponding answer or explanation. Experiments on three datasets show that explicit FoK alignment substantially improves judgment quality on updated knowledge. The code is available at https: //anonymous.4open.science/status/Know-thyself-code-8D65.

Poster
Federate the Router: Learning Language Model Routers with Sparse and Decentralized Evaluations

Baris Askin, Shivam Patel, Anupam Nayak, Andrea Vigano, Jiin Woo, Gauri Joshi, Carlee Joe-Wong

展开摘要

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly accessed as remotely hosted services by edge and enterprise clients that cannot run frontier models locally. Since models vary widely in capability and price, routing queries to models that balance quality and inference cost is essential. Existing router approaches assume access to centralized query-model evaluation data. However, these data are often fragmented across clients, such as end users and organizations, and are privacy-sensitive, which makes centralizing data infeasible. Additionally, per-client router training is ineffective since local evaluation data is limited and covers only a restricted query distribution and a biased subset of model evaluations. We introduce the first federated framework for LLM routing, enabling clients to learn a shared routing policy from local offline query-model evaluation data. Our framework supports both parametric multilayer perceptron router and nonparametric K-means router under heterogeneous client query distributions and non-uniform model coverage. Across two benchmarks, federated collaboration improves the accuracy-cost frontier over client-local routers, both via increased effective model coverage and better query generalization. Our theoretical results also validate that federated training reduces routing suboptimality.

Poster
Fed-AGA: An Anchor Graph Alignment Framework for Federated Unaligned Multi-view Clustering

Yichi Zhang, Bohang Sun, Hao Wei, Kai Di, Zhen Yang, Gengyu Lyu

展开摘要

Federated Multi-view Clustering (FMVC) enables privacy-preserving cross-view fusion from distributed multi-view data, where each client holds one view of samples and participates in the server's fusion without exposing raw data. In practice, existing FMVC methods face two key challenges: (1) the collected samples often show unaligned correspondence across views, especially under distributed collection; and (2) the gap between higher data privacy and lower computation cost remains hard to reconcile. To address these issues, we propose an Anchor Graph Alignment Framework for Federated Unaligned Multi-view Clustering (**Fed-AGA**), which employs a coarse-to-fine alignment strategy on lightweight anchor graphs to achieve misalignment-robust cross-view fusion while bridging the gap between data privacy and computation cost. Specifically, in the coarse alignment stage, we introduce an anchor-based graph generation module to generate an anchor graph on each client and upload them to the server for category-wise alignment by a designed topology-aware alignment module, which distills topology components as category-exclusive signatures to guide and achieve ideal category-wise alignment. In the next fine alignment and fusion stage, we design an attention-based alignment module to encourage each sample to pay attention to highly similar samples for sample-wise alignment, and the fine-aligned results are contrastively fused into a cross-view consistent anchor graph for clustering. Extensive experiments on multiple datasets demonstrate that Fed-AGA achieves state-of-the-art performance among related methods, while theoretical analysis offers theoretical motivation for two key components.

Poster
Fault Tolerance in Transformers Favors Output Alignment over Hidden-State Consistency

Haonan Tan, Gene Wen, Yuxing Han

展开摘要

Can a large language model be \emph{trained} to tolerate silent hardware faults, and if so, \emph{where} in the networkshould the consistency signal be enforced? We answer both questions and find that the second one matters more than the first. Injecting tile-level GEMM faults during training and adding a KL consistency term on the output distribution reduces fault-induced perplexity degradation from $12.9\%$ to $0.21\%$ on GPT-2 Small---a $60\times$ reduction (two-seed mean). The placement of the consistency target is decisive: a direct hidden-only objective at the fault site can worsen degradation to $32.7\%$, and fair bounded hidden controls with corrupted CE improve substantially but still trail output KL in an 80k-step screen ($1.74$--$1.76\%$ vs.\ $0.84\%$). A conditional constraint hierarchy and gradient-alignment probes explain why output-level consistency is more permissive and easier to optimize than direct early hidden-state consistency, without requiring that every hidden-alignment formulation fail. The output-over-hidden advantage persists at 8B scale, the GPT-2 ordering reproduces on held-out corpora, and generic robustness methods---SAM, R-Drop, and SAF---fail to close the gap. Pairing the trained model with simulated algorithm-based fault detection yields a bit-flip-to-erasure interface with a $1.10\times$ perplexity ratio, where unprotected inference produces NaN.

Poster
Fast and slow gradient descent dynamics of logistic regression through weak alignment

Han Bao

展开摘要

Gradient descent has been of particular interest in modern machine learning beyond sole focus on optimization because some specific structures emerge through the optimization dynamics. Such behaviors result from optimization even though the learning objective does not explicitly encode the target structure, collectively called implicit bias, often preventing overparametrized models from fitting to spurious patterns. A typical instance is the max-margin implicit bias of a linear classifier, widely established for exponentially tailed loss functions. Even after having a given dataset separated, the parameter vector continues to evolve towards the max-margin direction asymptotically along the gradient descent dynamics. This phenomenon corroborates a frequent empirical observation of ``train longer, generalize better.'' However, the max-margin convergence is an asymptotic phenomenon, and what is worse, this asymptotic convergence rate is significantly slower than convergence in optimization. Even so, the parameter vector along gradient descent dynamics commonly correlates with the max-margin direction positively (though not exactly) within considerably fewer iterations than the asymptotic rate. By shedding another light on this classical yet profound problem, this work aims to understand the mechanism of this early-stage alignment phenomenon. Our theoretical results demonstrate that the parameter vector weakly aligns with the max-margin direction within $O(\exp(\exp(-\delta)))$ iterations, where $\delta>0$ is the permissible alignment error, which is shown to be tight. By tracking the radial and tangential flows, our proof operates on the alignment dynamics directly with dataset geometry and gets rid of the asymptotic expansion, which is a key insight to enabling faster weak alignment.

Spotlight
Fast and Consistent Structure Learning in Graphical Models via Approximate Cross-Validation

Zhao Lyu, Mladen Kolar, Bryon Aragam

展开摘要

Structure learning for sparse graphical models in high dimensions requires both computational scalability and selection consistency. Classical criteria such as (Extended) Bayesian Information Criterion can provide consistency, but rely on model-specific likelihood and complexity calibration. In comparison, cross-validation avoids such analytic calibration and is therefore attractive for graph learning. However, cross-validation is computationally infeasible and theoretically inconsistent in structure learning. In this work, we resolve the tension by developing a scalable graph-recovery procedure built on approximate cross-validation. We demonstrate its effectiveness in learning large graphical models both theoretically and empirically, and establish selection consistency under mild signal strength assumptions.

Poster
Fast Approximate $\ell_p$ Chamfer Distance via Lopsided Embeddings and Structured JL

Ying Feng, David Woodruff

展开摘要

For two $d$-dimensional point sets $A,B$ of size $n$, the Chamfer distance from $A$ to $B$ is defined as $\text{CH}(A,B)=\sum_{a \in A} \min_{b \in B} \mathsf{dist}(a, b)$, where $\mathsf{dist}$ is some underlying distance measure. We present efficient algorithms for approximating the Chamfer distance under the $\ell_p$ norm for $1 < p \le 2$. For the general case $1 < p < 2$, we utilize lopsided $\ell_p$ to $\ell_1$ embeddings with weak guarantees. We show that they are sufficient for preserving the Chamfer distance. In the high-dimensional regime, we use Fast Matrix Multiplication techniques to speed up the lopsided embeddings. These lead to $\mathcal{O}(nd\cdot \mathrm{poly}(\log \log n, \log(1/\varepsilon))/\varepsilon^2)$ total time. For the specific Euclidean case ($p=2$), we leverage the Fast Johnson-Lindenstrauss Transform based on Toeplitz matrices and re-analyze the previous $\ell_1$-specific Chamfer algorithm in $\ell_2$. These achieve a runtime matching the recent state-of-the-art $\ell_1$ result of $\mathcal{O}(nd(\log \log n + \log(1/\varepsilon))/\varepsilon^2)$, improving upon the previous $\mathcal{O}(nd \log n/\varepsilon^2)$ bound for $\ell_2$. We also give additional results for the angular distance and upper and lower bounds in the streaming setting.

Poster
Fast Alignment of Embeddings: Computational Guarantees for Anisotropic Procrustes-Wasserstein

Jakob Maier, Laurent Massoulie

展开摘要

The Procrustes-Wasserstein problem asks to match the vectors in two unlabeled point clouds $X$ and $Y$, which are related via a latent orthogonal transformation. This problem appears in unsupervised representation alignment, domain adaptation, and geometric matching, but its computational theory remains limited. We study a planted Gaussian model in which $Y$ is obtained from $X$ via an unknown relabeling, an unknown orthogonal transformation, and additive noise. Departing from the isotropic setting considered in prior work, we assume that the covariance of $X$ is anisotropic, with a power-law spectrum. While closer to real-world data, this structure also enables a directions-first approach: Estimate the dominant eigenspaces of both point clouds, then recover the matching. We prove that a polynomial-time version of this procedure exactly recovers the true relabeling with high probability under explicit scaling conditions. To our knowledge, this is the first computational recovery guarantee for Procrustes-Wasserstein with nontrivial observational noise and dimensions beyond $\log n$, where $n$ is the number of points. Experiments on synthetic data and 3D shapes support the theory, showing that anisotropy favors directions-first methods, can lower runtime and improve recovery.

Poster
Fair Range k-Supplier Clustering in Offline and Streaming Models

Meiyun Lu, Wei Yue, Weihong Wu, Lin Zeyu, Longkun Guo

展开摘要

Fairness has emerged as a central consideration in machine learning, motivating the study of fair range $k$-supplier clustering as a fundamental problem that focuses fairness on the selected centers. Given a set of suppliers and clients, where each supplier may belong to one or more demographic or functional groups, the objective is to select $k$ suppliers that minimize the maximum client-to-center distance while ensuring that the number of selected suppliers from each group satisfies prescribed lower and upper bounds. For disjoint supplier groups, we develop a polynomial-time $3$-approximation algorithm in the offline setting and a $(3+\epsilon)$-approximation algorithm in the streaming setting. We further consider overlapping supplier groups and show that this generalization admits a parameterized $3$-approximation algorithm whose runtime is exponential in the number of clusters. Finally, experiments on both synthetic and real-world datasets demonstrate that our algorithms achieve significantly better clustering quality and runtime efficiency in comparison with state-of-the-art methods.

Poster
Failing to Falsify: Evaluating and Mitigating Confirmation Bias in Language Models

Ayush Rajesh Jhaveri, Anthony GX-Chen, Ilia Sucholutsky, Eunsol Choi

展开摘要

Confirmation bias, the tendency to seek evidence that supports rather than challenges one's belief, hinders one's reasoning ability. We examine whether large language models (LLMs) exhibit confirmation bias by adapting the rule-discovery study from human psychology: given a sequence of three numbers (a "triple"), an agent engages in an interactive feedback loop where it (1) proposes a new triple, (2) receives feedback on whether it satisfies the hidden rule, and (3) guesses the rule. Across eleven LLMs of multiple families and scales, we find that LLMs exhibit confirmation bias, often proposing triples to confirm their hypothesis rather than trying to falsify it. This leads to slower and less frequent discovery of the hidden rule. We further explore intervention strategies (e.g., encouraging the agent to consider counter examples) developed for humans. We find prompting LLMs with such instruction consistently decreases confirmation bias in LLMs, improving rule discovery rates from 42\% to 56\% on average. Lastly, we mitigate confirmation bias by distilling intervention-induced behavior into LLMs, showing promising generalization to a new task, the Blicket test. Our work shows that confirmation bias is a limitation of LLMs in hypothesis exploration, and that it can be mitigated via injecting interventions designed for humans.

Poster
Fail-Closed Alignment for Large Language Models

Zachary Coalson, Sanghyun Hong

展开摘要

We identify a structural weakness in current large language model (LLM) alignment: refusal mechanisms in these models are *fail-open*. While existing approaches tend to encode refusal behaviors across multiple latent features, suppressing a single feature (via prompt-based jailbreaks) is sufficient to collapse alignment, leading to unsafe generation. Motivated by this, we propose *fail-closed alignment* as a design principle for robust LLM safety: refusal mechanisms should remain effective even under partial failures via redundant, independent causal pathways. We present a concrete instantiation of this principle: a progressive alignment framework that iteratively identifies and ablates previously learned refusal directions, forcing the model to reconstruct safety along new, independent subspaces. Across six jailbreak attacks, we achieve the strongest overall robustness (1.7% average attack success rate) while largely preserving generation quality and preventing excessive over-refusals, with negligible computational overhead. Additional analyses confirm that models trained with our method encode multiple, causally independent refusal directions that prompt-based jailbreaks cannot fully suppress, providing empirical support for fail-closed alignment as a principled foundation for robust LLM safety.

Poster
FOAM: Factored One-sided Adam-Moment for Practical and Scalable SOAP

Jaemyung Yu, Byeongho Heo, Sangdoo Yun, Dongyoon Han

展开摘要

Second-order optimizers (\eg Shampoo, SOAP) have emerged as compelling alternatives to Adam/AdamW and promise faster per-iteration convergence than AdamW in transformer training. However, they still remain costly in practice: even SOAP still pays substantial optimizer-state memory and eigendecomposition overhead. We ask whether the benefits of SOAP can be retained at nearly the efficiency of AdamW. In this paper, we answer yes with a lightweight yet improved SOAP, Factored One-sided Adam-Moment (FOAM). The path to practical impact is twofold: first, FOAM employs input-only preconditioning, dropping the output-side Kronecker factor to reduce memory and remove one eigendecomposition. A per-row Hessian decomposition identifies this as the right one-sided choice when output curvature is approximately isotropic. Second, FOAM replaces SOAP's dense rotated second moment with a factored Adam-moment estimator based on row-by-column statistics. Under the K-FAC Fisher assumption, this estimator is further proven to be pointwise equivalent to SOAP's update. Our empirical results support the claim that FOAM matches strong SOAP and Muon baselines in validation loss across a diverse scale of large language model (LLM) pre-training, uses optimizer state closer to AdamW, runs within Muon's wall time, and retains robustness across a five-fold learning-rate range. Scaling to 760M parameters, FOAM demonstrates that SOAP's gains need not require SOAP's cost.

Poster
FLIP: Fast and Accurate Global Lipschitz Estimation for Large Feedforward Networks

Hongbo Chen, Zihao Ren

展开摘要

The Lipschitz constant of neural networks is widely used in robustness, control, generalization bounds, and training stability. As modern neural networks continue to scale, existing methods for Lipschitz estimation are either very time-consuming or overly loose. In this work, we focus on both fast and accurate Lipschitz estimation for large feedforward neural networks. We first reformulate the well-known semidefinite program (SDP) framework into an explicit recursive form, and introduce a key theoretical result, bound backpropagation: the SDP objective has upper and lower bounds that can be propagated backward along the recursive computation graph and depend only on partial variables. Leveraging this property, we decompose the original SDP into a sequence of small subproblems, each minimizing a combination of upper and lower bounds over partial variables. We prove that each subproblem is one-dimensional and convex, enabling fast solution via the secant method. Finally, we present the full FLIP algorithm and its complexity, yielding fast and tight Lipschitz estimation for large feedforward networks. Experiments on both randomly generated and trained networks show that FLIP improves speed and tightness by several orders of magnitude over prior methods, giving the tightest Lipschitz estimates for 100M-parameter networks in 3 seconds.

Oral
FARE: Forensic Acceptance Region Estimation for Catching Bait-and-Switch Image Generators

Kai Yao, Marc Juarez

展开摘要

Modern AI image generators are increasingly deployed as opaque APIs, where customers can query the deployed service, but cannot inspect model weights or architecture. This creates a practical challenge: a provider may pass governance certification with one generator and later silently switch to a cheaper and lower-quality one for deployment, compromising public trust or even safety in high-stakes domains. We study integrity auditing at deployment time and propose FARE (Forensic Acceptance Region Estimation). A certified generator is enrolled by training FARE on images sampled from that generator. After deployment, FARE can determine whether a generated image is consistent with the enrolled generator-using only that image. FARE's features are based on image generator-specific artifacts that have been proposed for forensic applications. FARE amplifies these features during training by finding hard samples that tighten the acceptance region and increase sensitivity to subtle changes in the certified generator. Across generator swaps, including substitutions with similar model versions and model variants, FARE is effective at detecting swaps, consistently outperforming existing baselines at strict operating points, and remains effective under adaptive attacks that actively manipulate images to evade swap detection.

Poster
Explanation Multiplicity in SHAP: Characterization and Assessment

Hyunseung Hwang, Seungeun Lee, Lucas Rosenblatt, Steven Whang, Julia Stoyanovich

展开摘要

SHAP explanations are widely used in high-stakes settings to justify decisions, yet they can differ substantially across repeated runs, even when the model, the input instance, and the prediction are held fixed. Prior work has documented disagreement *between* explanation methods; we show that substantial disagreement arises even *within* SHAP across reruns of the same estimator on the same trained model and instance. We call this phenomenon *explanation multiplicity* and develop an evaluation methodology for characterizing it under deployment-realistic computational budgets, combining a dual-seed protocol that disentangles model-induced from explainer-induced variability, a hierarchy of magnitude-, rank-, and set-based metrics, and randomized Dirichlet and Mallows null models that calibrate when observed disagreement exceeds chance. Across multiple datasets, model classes, and sampling strategies, we find that explanation multiplicity is pervasive and persists even for high-confidence predictions. The dominant source depends on the data regime: model-induced variability dominates in small-data settings, while explainer-induced variability dominates at scale. Commonly used $\ell_2$ distance is largely insensitive to this instability, while rank-based metrics reveal severe reordering of top-ranked features. Improved sampling methods such as CTE do not eliminate rank-level multiplicity, and deterministic alternatives such as K-Means achieve stability only by targeting a different estimand that diverges sharply from Shapley values defined against the empirical training distribution. Practitioners should treat single-run SHAP outputs as realizations of a distribution rather than as authoritative artifacts.

Poster
Explaining and Preventing Alignment Collapse in Iterative RLHF

Etienne Gauthier, Francis Bach, Michael Jordan

展开摘要

Reinforcement learning from human feedback (RLHF) typically assumes a static or non-strategic reward model (RM). In iterative deployment, however, the policy generates the data on which the RM is retrained, creating a feedback loop. Building on the Stackelberg game formulation of this interaction, we derive an analytical decomposition of the policy's true optimization gradient into a standard policy gradient and a parameter-steering term that captures the policy's influence on the RM's future parameters. We show that standard iterative RLHF, which drops this steering term entirely, suffers from alignment collapse: the policy systematically exploits the RM's blind spots, producing low-quality, high-reward outputs whose feedback reinforces the very errors it exploits. To mitigate this, we propose foresighted policy optimization (FPO), a mechanism-design intervention that restores the missing steering term by regularizing the policy's parameter-steering effect on RM updates. We instantiate FPO via a scalable first-order approximation and demonstrate that it prevents alignment collapse on both controlled environments and an LLM alignment pipeline using Llama-3.2-1B.

Poster
Explaining and Breaking the Safety-Helpfulness Ceiling via Preference Dimensional Expansion

ShiYing Huang, Liang Lin, Yuer Li, Kaiwen Luo, Zhenhong Zhou, An Zhang, Junhao Dong, Kun Wang, Zhigang Zeng

展开摘要

In the realm of multi-objective alignment for large language models, balancing disparate human preferences often manifests as a zero-sum conflict. Specifically, the intrinsic tension between competing goals dictates that aggressively optimizing for one metric (e.g., helpfulness) frequently incurs a substantial penalty on another (e.g., harmlessness). While prior work mainly focuses on data selection, parameter merging, or algorithmic balancing during training, these approaches merely force compromises between divergent preferences along a fixed Pareto frontier, failing to fundamentally resolve the inherent trade-off. In this work, we approach this problem from a novel perspective of multi-dimensional rewards. By scaling up the model's rollouts and analyzing the outputs across different reward dimensions, we arrive at a critical conclusion: the conflict among multiple objectives stems from the fact that the prompt itself inherently restricts the achievable multi-dimensional rewards. Based on this core observation, we propose MORA: Multi-Objective Reward Assimilation (MORA). Specifically, MORA isolates single-reward prompts through pre-sampling and expands their reward diversity by rewriting the original questions to incorporate multi-dimensional intents. Extensive experiments demonstrate that: (I) in sequential alignment, MORA achieves single-preference improvements ranging from 5% to 12.4%, with exceptional gains in harmlessness, after multiple-preference alignment across helpful, harmless, and truthful dimensions. (II) In simultaneous alignment, MORA achieves an average overall reward improvement of 4.6%. Our codes are available at [https://anonymous.4open.science/r/MORA-MPA](https://anonymous.4open.science/r/MORA-MPA).

Poster
Expected Harm: Rethinking Safety Evaluation of (Mis)Aligned LLMs

Yen-Shan Chen, Zhi Rui Tam, Cheng-Kuang Wu, Yun-Nung (Vivian) Chen

展开摘要

Current evaluations of LLM safety predominantly rely on *severity-based taxonomies* to assess the harmfulness of models' responses to malicious queries. We argue that this formulation requires re-examination as it implicitly equates model output with realized harm while neglecting *Execution Likelihood*—the conditional probability of a threat being realized by a real-world actor given a model's response. In this work, we introduce **Expected Harm**, a metric that weights the severity of a jailbreak by its execution likelihood, modeled as a function of *execution cost*. Through empirical analysis of state-of-the-art models, we reveal a systematic *Inverse Risk Calibration*: models disproportionately exhibit stronger refusal behaviors for low-likelihood (high-cost) threats while remaining vulnerable to high-likelihood (low-cost) queries. Mechanistically, we first provide an analysis using linear probing, revealing that while refusal mechanisms linearly separate queries by severity, they do not use execution likelihood as an indicator for refusal. Then, we use Olmo-3's open-source staged checkpoints to trace the root cause of miscalibration to the Supervised Fine Tuning (SFT) training data distribution (82.8\% of safety examples at cost levels 0–1) and show that cost representations are weak from the SFT stage onward. Finally, we demonstrate that this miscalibration creates a vulnerability: by exploiting this property, we increase the attack success rate of existing jailbreaks by up to $2\times$.

Spotlight