因果推荐

Table Question Answering (TableQA) combines natural language understanding and structured data reasoning, posing challenges in semantic interpretation and logical inference. Recent advances in Large Language Models (LLMs) have improved TableQA performance through Direct Prompting and Agent paradigms. However, these models often rely on spurious correlations, as they tend to overfit to token co-occurrence patterns in pretraining corpora, rather than perform genuine reasoning. To address this issue, we propose Causal Intervention TableQA (CIT), which is based on a structural causal graph and applies front-door adjustment to eliminate bias caused by token co-occurrence. CIT formalizes TableQA as a causal graph and identifies token co-occurrence patterns as confounders. By applying front-door adjustment, CIT guides question variant generation and reasoning to reduce confounding effects. Experiments on multiple benchmarks show that CIT achieves state-of-the-art performance, demonstrating its effectiveness in mitigating bias. Consistent gains across various LLMs further confirm its generalizability.

Existing early and late fusion frameworks in multimodal learning are confronted with the fundamental challenge of modality imbalance, wherein disparities in representational capacities induce inter-modal competition during training. Current research methodologies primarily rely on modality-level contribution assessments to measure gaps in representational capabilities and enhance poorly learned modalities, overlooking the dynamic variations of modality contributions across individual samples. To address this, we propose a Causal-aware Modality valuation approach for Balanced multimodal learning (CMoB). We define a benefit function based on Shannon's theory of informational uncertainty to evaluate the changes in the importance of samples across different stages of multimodal training. Inspired by human cognitive science, we propose a causal-aware modality contribution quantification method from a causal perspective to capture fine-grained changes in modality contribution degrees within samples. In the iterative training of multimodal learning, we develop targeted modal enhancement strategies that dynamically select and optimize modalities based on real-time evaluation of their contribution variations across training samples. Our method enhances the discriminative ability of key modalities and the learning capacity of weak modalities while achieving fine-grained balance in multimodal learning. Extensive experiments on benchmark multimodal datasets and multimodal frameworks demonstrate the superiority of our CMoB approach for balanced multimodal learning.

Collaborative filtering (CF) methods are now facing the challenge of data sparsity in recommender systems. In order to reduce the effect of data sparsity, researchers proposed contrastive learning methods to extract self-supervised signals from raw data. Contrastive learning methods address this problem by graph augmentation and maximizing the consistency of node representations between different augmented graphs. However, these methods tends to unintentionally distance the target node from its path nodes on the interaction path, thus limiting its effectiveness. In this regard, we propose a solution that uses paths as samples in the contrastive loss function. In order to obtain the path samples, we design a path sampling method. In addition to the contrast of the relationship between the target node and the nodes within the path (intra-path contrast), we also designed a method of contrasting the relationship between the paths (inter-path contrast) to better pull the target node and its path nodes closer to each other. We use Simplifying and Powering Graph Convolution Network (LightGCN) as the basis and combine with a new path-enhanced graph approach proposed for graph augmentation. It effectively improves the performance of recommendation models. Our proposed Path Enhanced Contrastive Loss (PECL) model replaces the common contrastive loss function with our novel loss function, showing significant performance improvement. Experiments on three real-world datasets demonstrate the effectiveness of our model.

The attention mechanism plays a central role in the computations performed by transformer-based models, and understanding the reasons why heads attend to specific tokens can aid in interpretability of language models. Although considerable work has shown that models construct low-dimensional feature representations, little work has explicitly tied low-dimensional features to the attention mechanism itself. In this paper we work to bridge this gap by presenting methods for identifying *attention-causal communication*, meaning low-dimensional features that are written into and read from tokens, and that have a provable causal relationship to attention patterns. The starting point for our method is prior work [1-3] showing that model components make use of low dimensional communication channels that can be exposed by the singular vectors of QK matrices. Our contribution is to provide a rigorous and principled approach to finding those channels and isolating the attention-causal signals they contain. We show that by identifying those signals, we can perform prompt-specific circuit discovery in a single forward pass. Further, we show that signals can uncover unexplored mechanisms at work in the model, including a surprising degree of global coordination across attention heads.

Spatio-temporal prediction plays a crucial role in intelligent transportation, weather forecasting, and urban planning. While integrating multi-modal data has shown potential for enhancing prediction accuracy, key challenges persist: (i) inadequate fusion of multi-modal information, (ii) confounding factors that obscure causal relations, and (iii) high computational complexity of prediction models. To address these challenges, we propose E$^2$-CSTP, an Effective and Efficient Causal multi-modal Spatio-Temporal Prediction framework. E$^2$-CSTP leverages cross-modal attention and gating mechanisms to effectively integrate multi-modal data. Building on this, we design a dual-branch causal inference approach: the primary branch focuses on spatio-temporal prediction, while the auxiliary branch mitigates bias by modeling additional modalities and applying causal interventions to uncover true causal dependencies. To improve model efficiency, we integrate GCN with the Mamba architecture for accelerated spatio-temporal encoding. Extensive experiments on 4 real-world datasets show that E$^2$-CSTP significantly outperforms 9 state-of-the-art methods, achieving up to 9.66% improvements in accuracy as well as 17.37%-56.11% reductions in computational overhead.

Capturing the interactions between entities in a structured way plays a central role in world models that flexibly adapt to changes in the environment. Recent works motivate the benefits of models that explicitly represent the structure of interactions and formulate the problem as discovering local causal structures. In this work, we demonstrate that reliably capturing these relationships in complex settings remains challenging. To remedy this shortcoming, we postulate that sparsity is a critical ingredient for the discovery of such local structures. To this end we present the SPARse TrANsformer World model (SPARTAN), a Transformer-based world model that learns context-dependent interaction structures between entities in a scene. By applying sparsity regularisation on the attention patterns between object-factored tokens, SPARTAN learns sparse, context-dependent interaction graphs that accurately predict future object states. We further extend our model to adapt to sparse interventions with unknown targets on the dynamics of the environment. This results in a highly interpretable world model that can efficiently adapt to changes. Empirically, we evaluate SPARTAN against the current state-of-the-art in object-centric world models on observation-based environments and demonstrate that our model can learn local causal graphs that accurately reflects the underlying interactions between objects and achieve significantly improved few-shot adaptation to dynamics changes as well as robustness against distractors.

Graph self-supervised learning (GSL) is essential for processing graph-structured data, reducing the need for manual labeling. Traditionally, this paradigm has extensively utilized Bayesian Personalized Ranking (BPR) as its primary loss function. Despite its widespread application, the theoretical analysis of its node relations evaluation have remained largely unexplored. This paper employs recent advancements in latent hyperbolic geometry to deepen our understanding of node relationships from a graph-theoretical perspective. We analyze BPR’s limitations, particularly its reliance on local connectivity through 2-hop paths, which overlooks global connectivity and the broader topological structure. To address these shortcomings, we purpose a novel loss function, BPR+, designed to encompass even-hop paths and better capture global connectivity and topological nuances. This approach facilitates a more detailed measurement of user-item relationships and improves the granularity of relationship assessments. We validate BPR+ through extensive empirical testing across five real-world datasets and demonstrate its efficacy in refining graph self-supervised learning frameworks. Additionally, we explore the application of BPR+ in drug repositioning, highlighting its potential to support pharmaceutical research and development. Our findings not only illuminate the success factors of previous methodologies but also offer new theoretical insights into this learning paradigm.

When building a world model, a common assumption is that the environment has a single, unchanging underlying causal rule, like applying Newton's laws to every situation. However, in truly open-ended environments, the apparent causal mechanism may drift over time because the agent continually encounters novel contexts and operates within a limited observational window. This brings about a problem that, when building a world model, even subtle shifts in policy or environment states can alter the very observed causal mechanisms. In this work, we introduce the Meta-Causal Graph as world models for open-ended environments, a minimal unified representation that efficiently encodes the transformation rules governing how causal structures shift across different latent world states. A single Meta-Causal Graph is composed of multiple causal subgraphs, each triggered by meta state, which is in the latent state space. Building on this representation, we introduce a Causality-Seeking Agent whose objectives are to (1) identify the meta states that trigger each subgraph, (2) discover the corresponding causal relationships by agent curiosity-driven intervention policy, and (3) iteratively refine the Meta-Causal Graph through ongoing curiosity-driven exploration and agent experiences. Experiments on both synthetic tasks and a challenging robot arm manipulation task demonstrate that our method robustly captures shifts in causal dynamics and generalizes effectively to previously unseen contexts.

Traditional photography composition approaches are dominated by 2D cropping-based methods. However, these methods fall short when scenes contain poorly arranged subjects. Professional photographers often employ perspective adjustment as a form of 3D recomposition, modifying the projected 2D relationships between subjects while maintaining their actual spatial positions to achieve better compositional balance. Inspired by this artistic practice, we propose photography perspective composition (PPC), extending beyond traditional cropping-based methods. However, implementing the PPC faces significant challenges: the scarcity of perspective transformation datasets and undefined assessment criteria for perspective quality. To address these challenges, we present three key contributions: (1) An automated framework for building PPC datasets through expert photographs. (2) A video generation approach that demonstrates the transformation process from less favorable to aesthetically enhanced perspectives. (3) A perspective quality assessment (PQA) model constructed based on human performance. Our approach is concise and requires no additional prompt instructions or camera trajectories, helping and guiding ordinary users to enhance their composition skills.

Discrete diffusion models offer a flexible, controllable approach to structured sequence generation, yet they still lag behind causal language models in expressive power. A key limitation lies in their reliance on the Markovian assumption, which restricts each step to condition only on the current state, leading to potential uncorrectable error accumulation. In this paper, We introduce CaDDi, a discrete diffusion model that conditions on the entire generative trajectory, thereby lifting the Markov constraint and allowing the model to revisit and improve past states. By unifying sequential (causal) and temporal (diffusion) reasoning in a single non‑Markovian transformer, CaDDi also treats standard causal language models as a special case and permits the direct reuse of pretrained LLM weights with no architectural changes. Empirically, CaDDi outperforms state‑of‑the‑art discrete diffusion baselines on natural‑language benchmarks, substantially narrowing the remaining gap to large autoregressive transformers.

Cluster DAGs (C-DAGs) provide an abstraction of causal graphs in which nodes represent clusters of variables, and edges encode both cluster-level causal relationships and dependencies arisen from unobserved confounding. C-DAGs define an equivalence class of acyclic causal graphs that agree on cluster-level relationships, enabling causal reasoning at a higher level of abstraction. However, when the chosen clustering induces cycles in the resulting C-DAG, the partition is deemed inadmissible under conventional C-DAG semantics. In this work, we extend the C-DAG framework to support arbitrary variable clusterings by relaxing the partition admissibility constraint, thereby allowing cyclic C-DAG representations. We extend the notions of d-separation and causal calculus to this setting, significantly broadening the scope of causal reasoning across clusters and enabling the application of C-DAGs in previously intractable scenarios. Our calculus is both sound and atomically complete with respect to the do-calculus: all valid interventional queries at the cluster level can be derived using our rules, each corresponding to a primitive do-calculus step.

Data fusion techniques integrate information from heterogeneous data sources to improve learning, generalization, and decision-making across data sciences. In causal inference, these methods leverage rich observational data to improve causal effect estimation, while maintaining the trustworthiness of randomized controlled trials. Existing approaches often relax the strong "no unobserved confounding" assumption by instead assuming exchangeability of counterfactual outcomes across data sources. However, when both assumptions simultaneously fail—a common scenario in practice—current methods cannot identify or estimate causal effects. We address this limitation by proposing a novel partial identification framework that enables researchers to answer key questions such as: *Is the causal effect positive/negative?* and *How severe must assumption violations be to overturn this conclusion?* Our approach introduces interpretable sensitivity parameters that quantify assumption violations and derives corresponding causal effect bounds. We develop doubly robust estimators for these bounds and operationalize breakdown frontier analysis to understand how causal conclusions change as assumption violations increase. We apply our framework to the Project STAR study, which investigates the effect of classroom size on students’ third-grade standardized test performance. Our analysis reveals that the Project STAR results are robust to simultaneous violations of key assumptions, both on average and across various subgroups of interest. This strengthens confidence in the study's conclusions despite potential unmeasured biases in the data.

Brain-computer interfaces (BCIs) promise to enable vital functions, such as speech and prosthetic control, for individuals with neuromotor impairments. Central to their success are neural decoders, models that map neural activity to intended behavior. Current learning-based decoding approaches fall into two classes: simple, causal models that lack generalization, or complex, non-causal models that generalize and scale offline but struggle in real-time settings. Both face a common challenge, their reliance on power-hungry artificial neural network backbones, which makes integration into real-world, resource-limited systems difficult. Spiking neural networks (SNNs) offer a promising alternative. Because they operate causally (i.e. only on present and past inputs) these models are suitable for real-time use, and their low energy demands make them ideal for battery-constrained environments. To this end, we introduce **Spikachu: a scalable, causal, and energy-efficient neural decoding framework based on SNNs**. Our approach processes binned spikes directly by projecting them into a shared latent space, where spiking modules, adapted to the timing of the input, extract relevant features; these latent representations are then integrated and decoded to generate behavioral predictions. We evaluate our approach on 113 recording sessions from 6 non-human primates, totaling 43 hours of recordings. Our method outperforms causal baselines when trained on single sessions using between 2.26× and 418.81× less energy. Furthermore, we demonstrate that scaling up training to multiple sessions and subjects improves performance and enables few-shot transfer to unseen sessions, subjects, and tasks. Overall, Spikachu introduces a scalable, online-compatible neural decoding framework based on SNNs, whose performance is competitive relative to state-of-the-art models while consuming orders of magnitude less energy.

The do-calculus is a sound and complete tool for identifying causal effects in acyclic directed mixed graphs (ADMGs) induced by structural causal models (SCMs). However, in many real-world applications, especially in high-dimensional settings, constructing a fully specified ADMG is often infeasible. This limitation has led to growing interest in partially specified causal representations, particularly through cluster-directed mixed graphs (C-DMGs), which group variables into clusters and offer a more abstract yet practical view of causal dependencies. While these representations can include cycles, recent work has shown that the do-calculus remains sound and complete for identifying macro-level causal effects in C-DMGs over ADMGs under the assumption that all clusters sizes are greater than 1. Nevertheless, real-world systems often exhibit cyclic causal dynamics at the structural level. To account for this, input-output structural causal models (ioSCMs) have been introduced as a generalization of SCMs that allow for cycles. ioSCMs induce another type of graph structure known as a directed mixed graph (DMG). Analogous to the ADMG setting, one can define C-DMGs over DMGs as high-level representations of causal relations among clusters of variables. In this paper, we prove that, unlike in the ADMG setting, the do-calculus is unconditionally sound and complete for identifying macro causal effects in C-DMGs over DMGs. Furthermore, we show that the graphical criteria for non-identifiability of macro causal effects previously established C-DMGs over ADMGs naturally extends to a subset of C-DMGs over DMGs.

We introduce DeCaFlow, a deconfounding causal generative model. Training once per dataset using just observational data and the underlying causal graph, DeCaFlow enables accurate causal inference on continuous variables under the presence of hidden confounders. Specifically, we extend previous results on causal estimation under hidden confounding to show that a single instance of DeCaFlow provides correct estimates for all causal queries identifiable with do-calculus, leveraging proxy variables to adjust for the causal effects when do-calculus alone is insufficient. Moreover, we show that counterfactual queries are identifiable as long as their interventional counterparts are identifiable, and thus are also correctly estimated by DeCaFlow. Our empirical results on diverse settings—including the Ecoli70 dataset, with 3 independent hidden confounders, tens of observed variables and hundreds of causal queries—show that DeCaFlow outperforms existing approaches, while demonstrating its out-of-the-box applicability to any given causal graph.

We present causal head gating (CHG), a scalable method for interpreting the functional roles of attention heads in transformer models. CHG learns soft gates over heads and assigns them a causal taxonomy—facilitating, interfering, or irrelevant—based on their impact on task performance. Unlike prior approaches in mechanistic interpretability, which are hypothesis-driven and require prompt templates or target labels, CHG applies directly to any dataset using standard next-token prediction. We evaluate CHG across multiple large language models (LLMs) in the Llama 3 model family and diverse tasks, including syntax, commonsense, and mathematical reasoning, and show that CHG scores yield causal, not merely correlational, insight validated via ablation and causal mediation analyses. We also introduce contrastive CHG, a variant that isolates sub-circuits for specific task components. Our findings reveal that LLMs contain multiple sparse task-sufficient sub-circuits, that individual head roles depend on interactions with others (low modularity), and that instruction following and in-context learning rely on separable mechanisms.

LLM routing aims to select the most appropriate model for each query, balancing competing performance metrics such as accuracy and cost across a pool of language models. Prior approaches typically adopt a decoupled strategy, where the metrics are first predicted and the model is then selected based on these estimates. This setup is prone to compounding errors and often relies on full-feedback data, where each query is evaluated by all candidate models, which is costly to obtain and maintain in practice. In contrast, we learn from observational data, which records only the outcome of the model actually deployed. We propose a causal end-to-end framework that learns routing policies by minimizing decision-making regret from observational data. To enable efficient optimization, we introduce two theoretically grounded surrogate objectives: a classification-based upper bound, and a softmax-weighted regret approximation shown to recover the optimal policy at convergence. We further extend our framework to handle heterogeneous cost preferences via an interval-conditioned architecture. Experiments on public benchmarks show that our method outperforms existing baselines, achieving state-of-the-art performance across different embedding models.

Recent research shows that large language models (LLMs) are vulnerable to hijacking attacks under the scenario of in-context learning (ICL) where LLMs demonstrate impressive capabilities in performing tasks by conditioning on a sequence of in-context examples (ICEs) (i.e., prompts with task-specific input-output pairs). Adversaries can manipulate the provided ICEs to steer the model toward attacker-specified outputs, effectively ''hijacking'' the model's decision-making process. Unlike traditional adversarial attacks targeting single inputs, hijacking attacks in LLMs aim to subtly manipulate the initial few examples to influence the model's behavior across a range of subsequent inputs, which requires distributed and stealthy perturbations. However, existing approaches overlook how to effectively allocate the perturbation budget across ICEs. We argue that fixed budgets miss the potential of dynamic reallocation to improve attack success while maintaining high stealthiness and text quality. In this paper, we propose BAM-ICL, a novel **b**udgeted **a**dversarial **m**anipulation hijacking attack framework for in-context learning. We also consider a more practical yet stringent scenario where ICEs arrive sequentially and only the current ICE can be perturbed. BAM-ICL mainly consists of two stages: In the offline stage, where we assume the adversary has access to data drawn from the same distribution as the target task, we develop a global gradient-based attack to learn optimal budget allocations across ICEs. In the online stage, where ICEs arrive sequentially, perturbations are generated progressively according to the learned budget profile. We evaluate BAM-ICL on diverse LLMs and datasets. The experimental results demonstrate that it achieves superior attack success rates and stealthiness, and the adversarial ICEs are highly transferable to other models.

We study the mediation analysis under the distributed framework, where data are stored and processed across different worker machines due to storage limitations or privacy concerns. Building upon the classic Sobel's test and MaxP test, we introduce the distributed Sobel's test and distributed MaxP test, respectively. These tests are both communication-efficient and easy to implement. Theoretical analysis and numerical experiments show that, compared to the global test obtained by pooling all data together, the proposed tests achieve nearly identical power, independent of the number of machines. Furthermore, based on these two distributed test statistics, many enhanced mediation tests derived from the Sobel's or MaxP tests can be easily adapted to the distributed system. We apply our method to an educational study, testing whether the effect of high school mathematics on college-level Probability and Mathematical Statistics courses is mediated by Calculus. Our method successfully detects the mediation effect, which would not be identifiable using data from only the first or second class, highlighting the advantage of our approach.

The core task of recommender systems is to learn user preferences from historical user-item interactions. With the rapid development of large language models (LLMs), recent research has explored leveraging the reasoning capabilities of LLMs to enhance rating prediction tasks. However, existing distillation-based methods suffer from limitations such as the teacher model's insufficient recommendation capability, costly and static supervision, and superficial transfer of reasoning ability. To address these issues, this paper proposes RecZero, a reinforcement learning (RL)-based recommendation paradigm that abandons the traditional multi-model and multi-stage distillation approach. Instead, RecZero trains a single LLM through pure RL to autonomously develop reasoning capabilities for rating prediction. RecZero consists of two key components: (1) "Think-before-Recommendation" prompt construction, which employs a structured reasoning template to guide the model in step-wise analysis of user interests, item features, and user-item compatibility; and (2) rule-based reward modeling, which adopts group relative policy optimization (GRPO) to compute rewards for reasoning trajectories and optimize the LLM. Additionally, the paper explores a hybrid paradigm, RecOne, which combines supervised fine-tuning with RL, initializing the model with cold-start reasoning samples and further optimizing it with RL. Experimental results demonstrate that RecZero and RecOne significantly outperform existing baseline methods on multiple benchmark datasets, validating the superiority of the RL paradigm in achieving autonomous reasoning-enhanced recommender systems.