ICML 2026 论文列表

We introduce Equilibrium State Estimation (ESE), a novel paradigm for simultaneous prediction, where multiple interacting systems require separate yet coordinated forecasts. Such scenarios often arise in real-world such as economics and healthcare modeling. Unlike existing approaches that predict one system at a time, ESE forecasts all systems in a single pass. It first estimates the equilibrium state across systems, then generates holistic forecasts based on the difference between the current state and the estimated equilibrium. Extensive experiments on synthetic and real-world datasets, including currency exchange and COVID-19 spread modeling, demonstrate that ESE is at least as accurate as state-of-the-art (SOTA) methods while being significantly faster. In addition, ESE integrates seamlessly with conventional predictors, combining their accuracy with its exceptional efficiency and delivering a 10–70× speedup. With linear-time complexity, ESE scales far better than SOTA methods as the number of systems increases. Moreover, it remains accurate under diverse perturbations, establishing ESE as a fast, generalizable, robust, and scalable multi-prediction method.

Existing multimodal large language models for long-video understanding predominantly rely on uniform sampling and single-turn inference, limiting their ability to identify sparse yet critical evidence amid extensive redundancy. We introduce Video-o3, a novel framework that supports iterative discovery of salient visual clues, fine-grained inspection of key segments, and adaptive termination once sufficient evidence is acquired. Technically, we address two core challenges in interleaved tool invocation. First, to mitigate attention dispersion induced by the heterogeneity of reasoning and tool-calling, we propose Task-Decoupled Attention Masking, which isolates per-step concentration while preserving shared global context. Second, to control context length growth in multi-turn interactions, we introduce a Verifiable Trajectory-Guided Reward that balances exploration coverage with reasoning efficiency. To support training at scale, we further develop a data synthesis pipeline and construct Seeker-173K, comprising 173K high-quality tool-interaction trajectories for effective supervised and reinforcement learning. Extensive experiments show that Video-o3 substantially outperforms state-of-the-art methods, achieving 72.1% accuracy on MLVU and 46.5% on Video-Holmes. These results demonstrate Video-o3's strong multi-hop evidence-seeking and reasoning capabilities, and validate the effectiveness of native tool invocation in long-video scenarios.

To distinguish Markov equivalent graphs in causal discovery, it is necessary to restrict the structural causal model. A flexible class of models that is general and identifiable in most cases are location-scale noise models (LSNMs), in which the effect $Y$ is modeled based on its causes $\boldsymbol{X}$ as $Y = f(\boldsymbol{X}) + g(\boldsymbol{X})N$. To facilitate the estimation of these models, a prominent assumption is that the noise variable $N$ follows a symmetric distribution. We show that when $N$ is a skewed random variable, which is likely in real-world domains, such approaches drop in performance. To address this limitation, we propose SkewD, a likelihood-based method for causal discovery under LSNMs with skewed noise, employing a combination of heuristic search and expectation conditional maximization for parameter estimation. SkewD extends the usual normal distribution framework to the skew-normal setting, enabling reliable inference under symmetric and skewed noise. While our main focus is on bivariate cause-effect inference, we further showcase how SkewD can be extended to the multivariate setting.

We explore the expressive power of Transformers by establishing precise approximation error upper and lower bounds for Hölder class. Specifically, a new approximation upper bound is derived for the standard Transformer architecture equipped with Softmax operators, ReLU activation functions, and residual connections. We prove that a Transformer network composed of at most $\mathcal{O}(\varepsilon^{-{d_{0}}/{\alpha}})$ blocks can approximate any bounded Hölder function with $d_{0}$-dimensional input and smoothness $\alpha\in(0,1]$ under any accuracy $\varepsilon>0$. In the case of approximation lower bounds, leveraging the VC-dimension upper bound, we are the first to rigorously prove that Transformers demand for at least $\Omega(\varepsilon^{-{d_{0}}/({4\alpha})})$ blocks to achieve the $\varepsilon$ approximation accuracy. As a final step, we extend the derived results for standard Transformers to a general regression task and establish the corresponding excess risk rates demonstrating Transformers' empirical effectiveness in real-world settings.

Neural Signed Distance Functions (SDFs) excel at reconstructing watertight manifolds but fail on thin structures and open boundaries due to strict inside—outside constraints. Conversely, Unsigned Distance Fields (UDFs) accommodate general geometries but suffer from gradient singularities at the zero-level set, hindering optimization and extraction. We introduce Metric—Phase Fields (MPFs), a decoupled implicit representation that separates metric proximity from topological phase. Given an unoriented point cloud, MPFs learn (i) an unsigned metric field $r$ and (ii) a smooth phase field $\theta$, for which we derive a bounded phase indicator $P=\tanh(\beta\theta)$ that provides soft inside—outside cues where they are meaningful. We couple the two fields via a gated-metric formulation with a residual phase injection to obtain a signed implicit function with stable near-surface gradients. The phase coefficient $\beta$ is learnable, allowing MPFs to adaptively control the sharpness of the phase transition and the degree of saturation of the soft sign indicator. Experiments on both synthetic and scanned thin-shell and thin-plate shapes demonstrate that MPFs preserve thin and layered structures more faithfully than recent SDF-based methods, while also enabling more robust training and more reliable surface extraction than UDF-based approaches. Check out [MPFs-GitHub](https://github.com/JIAYI-Scarlett/ICML2026-MPF) for source code and test models.

Physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) have emerged as a powerful deep learning approach for solving partial differential equations (PDEs) in the physical sciences, yet their behavior remains largely opaque and is typically understood through failure mode analyses rather than explicit interpretability. To address this issue, we introduce PINNfluence, a training data attribution framework for interpreting PINNs based on influence functions. By extending influence functions to composite physics-informed training objectives, we enable fine-grained attribution between predictions, loss components, and training data points. Through benchmark experiments across various PDEs, we demonstrate that influence patterns provide granular diagnostics that distinguish structural characteristics across well-trained and poorly-trained PINNs. PINNfluence thus opens a new avenue for understanding and improving the reliability of PINNs through the lens of their data.

Agentic reasoning enables large reasoning models (LRMs) to dynamically acquire external knowledge, yet optimizing the retrieval process remains challenging due to the lack of dense, principled reward signals. In this paper, we introduce *InfoReasoner*, a unified framework that incentivizes effective information seeking via a *synthetic semantic information gain reward*. Theoretically, we redefine information gain as uncertainty reduction over the model's belief states, establishing key properties including non-negativity, telescoping additivity, and channel monotonicity. Practically, to enable scalable optimization without manual intermediate retrieval annotations, we instantiate this principle as a semantic information gain reward computed from the model's output distributions using *semantic clustering via bidirectional textual entailment*. This training reward provides dense credit for retrieval steps while remaining anchored to final-answer correctness, enabling efficient training via Group Relative Policy Optimization (GRPO). Experiments on seven question-answering benchmarks, MATH500, and WebDetective show consistent gains over strong retrieval-augmented baselines, supporting our dense semantic information gain as a practical training signal for agentic retrieval.

In single-cell research, tracing and analyzing high-throughput single-cell differentiation trajectories is crucial for understanding biological processes. Key to this is the robust modeling of hierarchical structures that govern cellular development. Traditional methods face limitations in computational cost, performance, and stability. VAE-based approaches have made strides but still require branch-specific network modules, limiting their scalability and stability, while often suffering from posterior collapse.To overcome these challenges, we introduce HDTree, a generative modeling framework designed for robust lineage inference. HDTree captures tree relationships within a hierarchical latent space using a unified hierarchical codebook and employs a quantized diffusion process to model continuous cell state transitions. By aligning the generative process with the Waddington landscape, this method not only improves stability and scalability but also enhances the biological plausibility of inferred lineages. HDTree's effectiveness is demonstrated through comparisons on both general-purpose and single-cell datasets, where it outperforms existing methods in lineage inference accuracy, reconstruction quality, and hierarchical consistency. These contributions enable accurate and efficient modeling of cellular differentiation paths, offering reliable insights for biological discovery.

In open-world intelligent systems, processing continuous sensory streams disrupted by heterogeneous degradation sources presents a fundamental challenge: reconciling the inherent tension between observational completeness and reconstruction fidelity. Methods that prioritize completeness by bridging long-term occlusions often introduce spurious artifacts, while approaches that focus on aggressive noise suppression inevitably disrupt temporal continuity and erase valid structures. To address this challenge, we propose NeuroMamba, a universal plug-and-play module that enhances spatiotemporal consistency in degraded streams. NeuroMamba tackles the dual objectives through two synergistic components. First, we introduce a regional Hybrid Spatiotemporal Rectification (HSR) module, which leverages Mamba-based inertial modeling of linear complexity to recover short-horizon temporal dependencies and infer missing modalities under partial observability. Second, we design a Spiking Confidence Gate (SCG) that enforces reconstruction fidelity under occupancy-guided supervision. Implemented as a hard-thresholding spiking gate unit based on leaky integrate-and-fire (LIF) neurons, SCG distinguishes valid geometric features from sensor noise based on accumulated temporal evidence. Extensive experiments on the nuScenes robustness benchmark demonstrate that NeuroMamba effectively reconciles the trade-off between completeness and fidelity, outperforming the performance of existing approaches in restoring high-fidelity spatiotemporal features from severely incomplete and degraded observations.

While reasoning over long context is crucial for various real-world applications, it remains challenging for large language models (LLMs) as they suffer from performance degradation as the context length grows. Recent work MemAgent has tried to tackle this by processing context chunk-by-chunk in an RNN-like loop and updating a textual memory for final answering. However, this naive recurrent memory update faces two crucial drawbacks: (i) memory can quickly explode because it can update indiscriminately, even on evidence-free chunks; and (ii) the loop lacks an exit mechanism, leading to unnecessary computation after even sufficient evidence is collected. To address these issues, we propose GRU-Mem, which incorporates two text-controlled gates for more stable and efficient long-context reasoning. Specifically, in GRU-Mem, the memory only updates when the update gate is open and the recurrent loop will exit immediately once the exit gate is open. To endow the model with such capabilities, we introduce two reward signals $r^{\text{update}}$ and $r^{\text{exit}}$ within end-to-end RL, rewarding the correct updating and exiting behaviors respectively. Experiments on various long-context reasoning tasks demonstrate the effectiveness and efficiency of GRU-Mem, which generally outperforms the vanilla MemAgent with up to 400\% times inference speed acceleration.

Most evaluations of External Memory Module assume a static setting: memory is built offline and queried at a fixed state. In practice, memory is streaming: new facts arrive continuously, insertions interleave with retrievals, and the memory state evolves while the model is serving queries. In this regime, accuracy and cost are governed by the full memory lifecycle, which encompasses the ingestion, maintenance, retrieval, and integration of information into generation. We present Neuromem, a scalable testbed that benchmarks External Memory Module under an interleaved insertion-and-retrieval protocol and decomposes its lifecycle into five dimensions including memory data structure, normalization strategy, consolidation policy, query formulation strategy, and context integration mechanism. Using three representative datasets LoCoMo, LONGMEMEVAL, and MemAgentBench, Neuromem evaluates interchangeable variants within a shared serving stack, reporting token-level F1 and insertion/retrieval latency.Overall, we observe that performance typically degrades as memory grows across rounds, and time-related queries remain the most challenging category. The memory data structure largely determines the attainable quality frontier, while aggressive compression and generative integration mechanisms mostly shift cost between insertion and retrieval with limited accuracy gain.

Multilingual safety remains significantly imbalanced, leaving non-high-resource (NHR) languages vulnerable compared to robust high-resource (HR) ones. Moreover, the neural mechanisms driving safety alignment remain unclear despite observed cross-lingual representation transfer.In this paper, we find that LLMs contain a set of cross-lingual shared safety neurons (SS-Neurons), a remarkably small yet critical neuronal subset that jointly regulates safety behavior across languages. We first identify monolingual safety neurons (MS-Neurons) and validate their causal role in safety refusal behavior through targeted activation and suppression. Our cross-lingual analyses then identify SS-Neurons as the subset of MS-Neurons shared between HR and NHR languages, serving as a bridge to transfer safety capabilities from HR to NHR domains. We observe that suppressing these neurons causes concurrent safety drops across NHR languages, whereas reinforcing them improves cross-lingual defensive consistency. Building on these insights, we propose a simple neuron-oriented training strategy that targets SS-Neurons based on language resource distribution and model architecture. Experiments demonstrate that fine-tuning this tiny neuronal subset outperforms state-of-the-art methods, significantly enhancing NHR safety while maintaining the model's general capabilities.

LLM agents powered by retrieval and RAG are increasingly prevalent across research and applications. Embedding models play a critical role in these systems, particularly in embedding-based retrieval. However, current benchmarks for embeddings remain focused on general-purpose scenarios, which may fail to align well with the diverse and evolving needs of agentic applications. To close this gap, we introduce Agent-Oriented Embedding Benchmark (AOEB), a comprehensive evaluation suite dedicated to agent-centric retrieval for embedding models. AOEB is characterized by two key features: (1) Multi-Task, covering five essential capabilities for retrieval in LLM agents, including code, tool, reasoning, and memory retrieval; and (2) Multi-Modal, providing evaluation with both textual and visual data for each task category. We evaluate representative embedding models on AOEB and observe that they exhibit distinct strengths across different agent-oriented retrieval tasks. By curating AOEB, we aim to promote a move toward more practically oriented directions within the embedding community and foster further progress.

Model editing aims to correct errors in large, pretrained models without altering their unrelated behaviors. While some recent works have edited vision–language models (VLMs), no existing editors tackle reasoning-heavy tasks, which typically require humans and models to reason about images. We therefore propose ReasonEdit, the first VLM editor to let users explain their reasoning during editing, introducing a new, practical model editing setup. ReasonEdit continuously stores human reasoning in a codebook, and retrieves only relevant facts during inference using a novel topology-balanced multimodal embedding method inspired by network science. Across four VLMs on multiple rationale-based visual question answering datasets, ReasonEdit achieves state-of-the-art editing performance, ultimately showing that using human reasoning during editing greatly improves edit generalization.

Offline reinforcement learning (RL) can fail spectacularly when bootstrapped temporal-difference (TD) updates amplify their own errors, driving the critic toward extreme and unusable Q-values. A key counterintuitive insight of this work is that collapse is not only a property of the backup rule or network architecture: the optimizer alone can directly trigger or suppress instability. From a control-theoretic viewpoint, we model offline TD learning as a feedback system and analyze Adam-based critic updates. This yields a necessary and sufficient condition for stability: training is stable if and only if the spectral radius of the update dynamics is strictly below one. Further analysis reveals that standard Adam updates can inadvertently distort the parameter geometry, necessitating explicit orthogonality constraints to prevent TD error amplification. To this end, we propose AdamO, an Adam-based optimizer with a decoupled orthogonality correction regulated by a strict task-alignment budget. We prove that this design theoretically guarantees worst-case task safety and preserves Adam’s continuous-time dissipative dynamics. Empirically, AdamO is plug-and-play across diverse offline RL baselines, improving stability and returns across a broad suite of benchmarks.

Reinforcement learning (RL) has become a key paradigm for training software engineering (SWE) agents, yet its practical accessibility and scalability is often constrained by container-based execution frameworks used for environment isolation. As the number of task instances increases, pre-cached container images introduce substantial storage overhead, limiting large-scale training under limited cotainer resources, and excludes users without container management privileges. We introduce SWE-MiniSandbox, a lightweight, container-free method that enables scalable RL training of SWE agents without sacrificing isolation. Instead of relying on per-instance containers, SWE-MiniSandbox executes each task in an isolated workspace backed by kernel-level mechanisms, substantially reducing system overhead. It leverages lightweight environment pre-caching techniques to eliminate the need for bulky container images. As a result, our approach lowers disk usage to approximately 5\% of that required by container-based pipelines and reduces environment preparation time to about 25\% of the container baseline. Empirical results demonstrate that SWE-MiniSandbox achieves evaluation performance comparable to standard container-based pipelines. Consequently, by removing the dependency on heavy container infrastructure, SWE-MiniSandbox offers a practical and accessible foundation for scaling RL-based SWE agents, particularly in resource-constrained research environments.

We present a regression-adjustment framework designed for the estimation of longitudinal treatment effects in randomized experiments under static regimes. While regression-adjustment methods are useful for variance reduction in randomized experiments by using pre-treatment covariates, they usually focus only on average effects, from which we cannot obtain valuable insights into when the effects appear and how long they continue. To address this issue, we consider intermediate outcomes and evolving post-treatment covariates over time, and we represent such dynamic trajectories using transition kernels. Furthermore, we establish the asymptotic normality and the semiparametric efficiency bound for our estimator, enabling more powerful statistical inference. Simulation studies and empirical analysis using A/B test data from a streaming platform in Japan show the practical advantages of our method.

Though Vision Transformers (ViTs) have become the dominant backbone in many computer vision tasks, due to permutation equivariance, their attention mechanism lacks explicit spatial inductive biases. This become particularly important in two settings: when model capacity is small or training data is limited. Inspired by the attention masking strategies in Linear Transformers and the scanning patterns of Vision SSMs, we introduce VIOLIN, a lightweight masked attention mechanism that encodes spatial structure within attention via Space Filling Curves (SFCs) with less than 0.0015% extra parameters and negligible computational overhead. VIOLIN scans the image using multiple SFCs to construct curve-specific decay masks, which are then combined and multiplied with the attention matrix. Across a wide range of evaluations, VIOLIN consistently improves performance. In limited data regimes such as fine-tuning on VTAB-1K, it boosts accuracy across all task groups and by up to 8.7% on the tasks where spatial information is essential. It can be combined with parameter-efficient fine-tuning methods such as LoRA to further increase the performance. Beyond fine-tuning, VIOLIN improves various small scale ViT architectures (e.g., DeiT, DINO) during pretraining on ImageNet-1K. Additionally, on pixel-level CIFAR-100 training, a task that is highly dependent on location information, VIOLIN increases accuracy by up to 7.2%. Overall, VIOLIN provides a computationally efficient yet effective way to inject spatial inductive bias into ViTs, especially benefiting small models and limited data settings.

Video language models (Video-LLMs) are prone to hallucinations, generating plausible but ungrounded content when visual evidence is weak, ambiguous, or biased. Existing methods, such as contrastive decoding (CD), rely on random perturbations to construct contrastive data for hallucination mitigation, but often fail to target the visual cues that drive hallucination or align with model weaknesses. We propose Model-Aware Counterfactual Data based Contrastive Decoding (MACD), an inference strategy that combines model-guided counterfactual construction with contrastive decoding. MACD uses the Video-LLM's own feedback to identify object regions most responsible for hallucination, generating targeted object-level counterfactual inputs rather than arbitrary frame or temporal modifications. These counterfactual inputs are integrated into CD to enforce evidence-grounded token selection during decoding. Experiments on EventHallusion, MVBench, Perception-test, and Video-MME show that MACD consistently reduces hallucination while maintaining or improving task accuracy across diverse Video-LLMs, including Qwen and InternVL, with especially strong gains in scenarios involving small, occluded, or co-occurring objects.