ICLR 2026 论文列表

International Conference on Learning Representations

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5,358篇论文

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  • Oral
    2244.2%
  • Poster
    5,13495.8%

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Textual Equilibrium Propagation for Deep Compound AI Systems

Minghui Chen, Wenlong Deng, James Zou, Han Yu, Xiaoxiao Li

展开摘要

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly deployed as part of compound AI systems which coordinate multiple modules (e.g., retrievers, tools, verifiers) over long-horizon workflows. Although recent frameworks that propagate textual feedback globally (e.g., TextGrad make it feasible to optimize such pipelines, we identify two depth-scaling failure modes in long-horizon agentic workflows: 1) exploding textual gradient, where textual feedback grows exponentially with depth, leading to prohibitively long message and amplifies evaluation biases; and 2) vanishing textual gradient, where limited long-context ability causes models overemphasize recent or early feedback, while compression of lengthy feedback causes downstream messages to lose specificity gradually as they propagate many hops upstream. To mitigate these issues, we introduce Textual Equilibrium Propagation (TEP), a local learning principle inspired by Equilibrium Propagation in energy-based models. TEP includes two phases: 1) a free phase where a local LLM critics iteratively refine prompts until reaching equilibrium (no further improvements are suggested); and 2) a nudged phase which applies proximal prompt edits with bounded modification intensity, using task-level objectives that propagate via forward signaling rather than backward feedback chains. This design supports local prompt optimization followed by controlled adaptation toward global goals without the computational burden and signal degradation of global textual backpropagation. Across long-horizon QA benchmarks and multi-agent tool-use dataset, TEP consistently improves accuracy and efficiency over global propagation methods such as TextGrad, with gains that increase at greater depths, while preserving the practicality of black-box LLM components in deep compound AI system.

Poster
Diverse and Sparse Mixture-of-Experts for Causal Subgraph–Based Out-of-Distribution Graph Learning

Jerry Sun, Mohamed Abubakr Hassan, Yaoyu Zhang, Wanying Zhang, Chi-Guhn Lee

展开摘要

Current state-of-the-art methods for out-of-distribution (OOD) generalization lack the ability to effectively address datasets with heterogeneous causal subgraphs at the instance level. Existing approaches that attempt to handle such heterogeneity either rely on data augmentation, which risks altering label semantics, or impose causal assumptions whose validity in real-world datasets is uncertain. We introduce a novel *Mixture-of-Experts (MoE)* framework that can model heterogeneous causal subgraphs without relying on restrictive assumptions. Our key idea is to address instance-level heterogeneity by enforcing semantic *diversity* among experts, each generating a distinct causal subgraph, while a learned gate assigns *sparse* weights that adaptively focus on the most relevant experts for each input. Our theoretical analysis shows that these two properties jointly reduce OOD error. In practice, our experts are scalable and do not require environment labels. Empirically, our framework achieves strong performance on the GOOD benchmark across both synthetic and real-world structural shifts.

Poster
Machine Unlearning under Retain–Forget Entanglement

Jingpu Cheng, Ping Liu, Qianxiao Li, Chi Zhang

展开摘要

Forgetting a subset in machine unlearning is rarely an isolated task. Often, retained samples that are closely related to the forget set can be unintentionally affected, particularly when they share correlated features from pretraining or exhibit strong semantic similarities. To address this challenge, we propose a novel two-phase optimization framework specifically designed to handle such retain–forget entanglements. In the first phase, an augmented Lagrangian method increases the loss on the forget set while preserving accuracy on less-related retained samples. The second phase applies a gradient projection step, regularized by the Wasserstein-2 distance, to mitigate performance degradation on semantically related retained samples without compromising the unlearning objective. We validate our approach through comprehensive experiments on multiple unlearning tasks, standard benchmark datasets, and diverse neural architectures, demonstrating that it achieves effective and reliable unlearning while outperforming existing baselines in both accuracy retention and removal fidelity.

Poster
TOUCH: Text-guided Controllable Generation of Free-Form Hand-Object Interactions

Guangyi Han, Wei Zhai, Yuhang Yang, Yang Cao, Zheng-Jun Zha

展开摘要

Hand-object interaction (HOI) is fundamental for humans to express intent. Existing HOI generation research is predominantly confined to fixed grasping patterns, where control is tied to physical priors such as force closure or generic intent instructions, even when expressed through elaborate language. Such an overly general conditioning imposes a strong inductive bias for stable grasps, thus failing to capture the diversity of daily HOI. To address these limitations, we introduce $\textbf{Free-Form HOI Generation}$, which aims to generate controllable, diverse, and physically plausible HOI conditioned on fine-grained intent, extending HOI from grasping to free-form interactions, like pushing, poking, and rotating. To support this task, we construct $\textbf{WildO2}$, an in-the-wild diverse 3D HOI dataset, which includes diverse HOI derived from internet videos. Specifically, it contains 4.4k unique interactions across 92 intents and 403 object categories, each with detailed semantic annotations. Building on this dataset, we propose $\textbf{TOUCH}$, a three-stage framework centered on a multi-level diffusion model that facilitates fine-grained semantic control to generate versatile hand poses beyond grasping priors. This process leverages explicit contact modeling for conditioning and is subsequently refined with contact consistency and physical constraints to ensure realism. Comprehensive experiments demonstrate our method's ability to generate controllable, diverse, and physically plausible hand interactions representative of daily activities.

Poster
Genomic Foundationless Models: Pretraining Does Not Promise Performance

Kirill Vishniakov, Karthik Viswanathan, Aleksandr Medvedev, Praveenkumar Kanithi, Marco AF Pimentel, Ronnie Rajan, Shadab Khan

展开摘要

The success of Large Language Models has inspired the development of Genomic Foundation Models (GFMs) through similar pretraining techniques. However, the relationship between pretraining performance and effectiveness in downstream ge- nomic tasks remains unclear. Additionally, the high computational cost of pretraining raises questions about its cost-efficiency. To assess the usefulness of pretraining in genomics, we evaluated seven different GFMs across 52 diverse genomic tasks, comparing them to their counterparts with randomly initialized weights. Across benchmarks, we find that randomly initialized models provide surprisingly strong baselines and tokenizer and architecture choices strongly shape both these baselines and the gains from pretraining. Specifically, character-token models often match or exceed the performance of larger pretrained k-mer or BPE models, whereas subword models appear to benefit from pretraining. We also find that the evaluated GFMs fail to capture clinically relevant genetic mutations, with embeddings and log-likelihood ratios showing limited sensitivity to annotated variants. For the tasks we study, these results suggest that current NLP-style pretraining strategies provide modest, tokenizer-gated improvements over strong random baselines and motivate more biologically informed tokenization and variant-aware objectives. Our code is available at github.com/z6JfFK/gfm.

Poster
QuantSparse: Comprehensively Compressing Video Diffusion Transformer with Model Quantization and Attention Sparsification

Weilun Feng, Chuanguang Yang, Haotong Qin, Mingqiang Wu, Yuqi Li, Xiangqi Li, Zhulin An, Libo Huang, Yulun Zhang, Michele Magno, Yongjun Xu

展开摘要

Diffusion transformers exhibit remarkable video generation capability, yet their prohibitive computational and memory costs hinder practical deployment. Model quantization and attention sparsification are two promising directions for compression, but each alone suffers severe performance degradation under aggressive compression. Combining them promises compounded efficiency gains, but naive integration is ineffective. The sparsity-induced information loss exacerbates quantization noise, leading to amplified attention shifts. To address this, we propose **QuantSparse**, a unified framework that integrates model quantization with attention sparsification. Specifically, we introduce *Multi-Scale Salient Attention Distillation*, which leverages both global structural guidance and local salient supervision to mitigate quantization-induced bias. In addition, we develop *Second-Order Sparse Attention Reparameterization*, which exploits the temporal stability of second-order residuals to efficiently recover information lost under sparsity. Experiments on HunyuanVideo-13B demonstrate that QuantSparse achieves 20.88 PSNR, substantially outperforming the state-of-the-art quantization baseline Q-VDiT (16.85 PSNR), while simultaneously delivering a **3.68$\times$** reduction in storage and **1.88$\times$** acceleration in end-to-end inference.

Poster
JAPAN: Joint Adaptive Prediction Areas with Normalising Flow

Eshant English, Christoph Lippert

展开摘要

Conformal prediction provides a model-agnostic framework for uncertainty quantification with finite-sample validity guarantees, making it an attractive tool for constructing reliable prediction sets. However, existing approaches commonly rely on residual-based conformity scores, which impose geometric constraints and struggle when the underlying distribution is multimodal. In particular, they tend to produce overly conservative prediction areas centred around the mean, often failing to capture the true shape of complex predictive distributions. In this work, we introduce JAPAN (Joint Adaptive Prediction Areas with Normalising-Flows), a flow-based framework that uses density estimates for several conformal scores. By leveraging flow-based models, JAPAN estimates the (predictive) density and constructs prediction areas by thresholding on the estimated density scores, enabling compact, potentially disjoint, and context-adaptive regions that retain finite-sample coverage guarantees. We theoretically motivate the efficiency of JAPAN and empirically validate it across multivariate regression and forecasting tasks, demonstrating good calibration and tighter prediction areas compared to existing baselines. Furthermore, several density-based conformity scores showcase the flexibility of our proposed framework.

Poster
LD-MoLE: Learnable Dynamic Routing for Mixture of LoRA Experts

Yuan Zhuang, Yi Shen, Yuexin Bian, Qing Su, Shihao Ji, Yuanyuan Shi, Fei Miao

展开摘要

Recent studies have shown that combining parameter-efficient fine-tuning (PEFT) with mixture-of-experts (MoE) is an effective strategy for adapting large language models (LLMs) to the downstream tasks. However, most existing approaches rely on conventional TopK routing, which requires careful hyperparameter tuning and assigns a fixed number of experts to each token. In this work, we propose LD-MoLE, a Learnable Dynamic routing mechanism for Mixture of LoRA Experts that enables adaptive, token-dependent, and layer-wise expert allocation. Our method replaces the non-differentiable TopK selection with a differentiable routing function and a closed-form solution. Moreover, our design allows the model to adaptively determine the number of experts to activate for each token at different layers. In addition, we introduce an analytical sparsity control objective to regularize the number of activated experts. Extensive experiments on the Qwen3-1.7B and Llama-3.2-3B models show that LD-MoLE achieves the highest average scores compared to state-of-the-art baselines, across a diverse set of benchmarks. Our method not only achieves superior performance, but also demonstrates the ability to learn token-dependent and layer-wise expert allocation.

Poster
Inverse Virtual Try-On: Generating Multi-Category Product-Style Images from Clothed Individuals

Davide Lobba, Fulvio Sanguigni, Bin Ren, Marcella Cornia, Rita Cucchiara, Nicu Sebe

展开摘要

While virtual try-on (VTON) systems aim to render a garment onto a target person, this paper tackles the novel task of virtual try-off (VTOFF), which addresses the inverse problem: generating standardized product images from real-world photos of clothed individuals. Unlike VTON, which must resolve diverse pose and style variations, VTOFF benefits from a consistent output format, typically a flat, lay-down style, making it a promising tool for data generation and dataset enhancement. However, existing VTOFF approaches face two major limitations: (i) they are fundamentally constrained by their exclusive reliance on ambiguous visual information from the source image, and (ii) they frequently produce images with severely degraded details, preventing their use in practical applications. To overcome these challenges, we present Text-Enhanced MUlti-category Virtual Try-Off (TEMU-VTOFF), a novel architecture featuring a dual DiT-based backbone. To resolve visual ambiguity, our model leverages a modified multimodal attention mechanism that incorporates information from images, text, and masks, enabling robust feature extraction in a multi-category setting. To explicitly mitigate detail degradation, we propose an additional alignment module that refines the generated visual details to achieve high fidelity. Experiments on the VITON-HD and Dress Code datasets show that TEMU-VTOFF sets a new state-of-the-art on the VTOFF task, significantly improving both visual quality and fidelity to the target garments. Our code and models will be made publicly available.

Poster
Beyond Text-Only: Towards Multimodal Table Retrieval in Open-World

Da Li, Keping Bi, Jiafeng Guo, Wei Yuan, Fan Yang, Tingting Gao, Xueqi Cheng

展开摘要

Open-domain table retrieval aims to retrieve semantically relevant structured tables from a large-scale corpus in response to natural language queries. Unlike unstructured text, tables store information not only through their textual or numerical content but also through their structural properties, including hierarchical relationships between headers and cells, as well as complex spatial arrangements within the table layout. Existing methods predominantly treat table retrieval as a variant of text retrieval. They struggle to accurately preserve the rich structural semantics of diverse table formats during text serialization. Existing methods typically flatten tables into linear text sequences through row-wise or column-wise serialization, inadvertently discarding structural information. The problem becomes particularly acute when processing complex table layouts containing merged cells or irregular alignments, ultimately compromising retrieval performance. Moreover, existing methods struggle to handle embedded images within table cells. Notably, visual representations inherently preserve both structural and content information while being format-agnostic. This insight motivates our exploration of image-based table retrieval, as it can naturally overcome the challenges faced by existing methods. In this paper, we introduce TaR-ViR (Table Retrieval via Visual Representations), a new benchmark that reformulates table retrieval as a multimodal task by treating tables as images. Experiments on TaR-ViR show that this paradigm shift achieved more effective and efficient retrieval performance. Crucially, it eliminates the need for error-prone text conversion, enabling scalable collection and utilization of open-world tables. Our data are available at \url{https://anonymous.4open.science/r/Anonymization-B115}.

Poster
Real-Time Motion-Controllable Autoregressive Video Diffusion

Kesen Zhao, Jiaxin Shi, Beier Zhu, Junbao Zhou, Xiaolong Shen, Yuan Zhou, Qianru Sun, Hanwang Zhang

展开摘要

Real-time motion-controllable video generation remains challenging due to the inherent latency of bidirectional diffusion models and the lack of effective autoregressive (AR) approaches. Existing AR video diffusion models are limited to simple control signals or text-to-video generation, and often suffer from quality degradation and motion artifacts in few-step generation. To address these challenges, we propose AR-Drag, the first RL-enhanced few-step AR video diffusion model for real-time image-to-video generation with diverse motion control. We first fine-tune a base I2V model to support basic motion control, then further improve it via reinforcement learning with a trajectory-based reward model. Our design preserves the Markov property through a Self-Rollout mechanism and accelerates training by selectively introducing stochasticity in denoising steps. Extensive experiments demonstrate that AR-Drag achieves high visual fidelity and precise motion alignment, significantly reducing latency compared with state-of-the-art motion-controllable VDMs, while using only 1.3B parameters. Codes are available in Supplementary Materials.

Poster
PRISM-Physics: Causal DAG-Based Process Evaluation for Physics Reasoning

Wanjia Zhao, Qinwei Ma, Jingzhe Shi, Shirley Wu, Jiaqi Han, Yijia Xiao, Si-Yuan Chen, Xiao Luo, Ludwig Schmidt, James Zou

展开摘要

Benchmarks for competition-style reasoning have advanced evaluation in mathematics and programming, yet physics remains comparatively underexplored. Most existing physics benchmarks evaluate only final answers, which fail to capture reasoning processes, while recent stepwise methods rely on heuristic LLM-as-judge scoring or restrictive linear assumptions, limiting reliability and diagnostic validity. We introduce PRISM-Physics, a process-level evaluation framework and benchmark for complex physics reasoning problems. Solutions are represented as directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) of formulas, explicitly encoding causal dependencies among intermediate steps to enable fine-grained, interpretable, and theoretically grounded scoring. We prove the optimality of the DAG representation and the corresponding scoring policy. Combining with a fully rule-based method for symbolic formula equivalence matching that we developed, we ensure consistent validation across diverse formulations without heuristic judgments. Results show that our evaluation framework is more aligned with human experts' scoring. Experiments on state-of-the-art LLMs reveal persistent reasoning failures in physics, while step-level scoring offers both diagnostic insight and rich signals for later training. By combining structural rigor, theoretical guarantees, and symbolic validation, PRISM-Physics provides a principled foundation for advancing process-level evaluation and guiding the development of models with deeper scientific reasoning capabilities.

Poster
Cultivating Pluralism In Algorithmic Monoculture: The Community Alignment Dataset

Lily H Zhang, Smitha Milli, Karen Long Jusko, Jonathan Smith, Brandon Amos, Wassim Bouaziz, Manon Revel, Jack Kussman, Yasha Sheynin, Lisa Titus, Bhaktipriya Radharapu, Jane Yu, Vidya Sarma, Kristopher Rose, Maximilian Nickel

展开摘要

How can large language models (LLMs) serve users with varying preferences that may conflict across cultural, political, or other dimensions? To advance this challenge, this paper establishes four key results. First, we demonstrate, through a large-scale multilingual human study with representative samples from five countries (N=15,000), that humans exhibit substantially more variation in preferences than the responses of 21 state-of-the-art LLMs. Second, we show that existing methods for preference dataset collection are insufficient for learning the diversity of human preferences even along two of the most salient dimensions of variability in global values, due to the underlying homogeneity of candidate responses. Third, we argue that this motivates the need for _negatively-correlated sampling_ when generating candidate sets, and we show that simple prompt-based techniques for doing so greatly enhance the performance of alignment methods in learning heterogeneous preferences. Fourth, based on this novel candidate sampling approach, we collect and open-source _Community Alignment_, the largest and most representative multilingual and multi-turn preference dataset to date, featuring 233,319 comparisons from annotators spanning five countries. The dataset is available at https://huggingface.co/datasets/facebook/community-alignment-dataset. Overall, we hope that the Community Alignment dataset will be a valuable resource for improving the effectiveness of LLMs for a diverse global population.

Poster
Unified Vision–Language Modeling via Concept Space Alignment

Yifu QIU, Paul-Ambroise Duquenne, Holger Schwenk

展开摘要

We introduce vSONAR, a vision–language embedding space extended from the text-only embedding space SONAR, which supports 200 text languages and 37 speech languages. To construct vSONAR, we propose a post-hoc alignment pipeline that maps the representations of an existing vision encoder into the SONAR space. We thoroughly evaluate vSONAR and show that its embeddings achieve competitive performance on text-to-video retrieval. Equipped with the SONAR text decoder, vSONAR further surpasses state-of-the-art vision–language models on video captioning tasks, including DREAM-1K (BLEU 24.3 vs. 19.6) and VATEX (BLEU 45.0 vs. 41.5). Leveraging vSONAR, we first demonstrate that the Large Concept Model (LCM) operating in SONAR and trained with English text only, can perform both single- and multi-visual concept understanding in a zero-shot manner. Finally, we introduce vLCM, which extends the LCM with vision–language instruction tuning. vLCM encodes vision and language inputs into an unified sequence of latent embeddings via vSONARand SONAR, and it is trained with the same latent diffusion objective for next-embedding prediction as in LCM's text-only pre-training. Experiments on a large-scale multilingual and -modal instruction–tuning data mixture highlight the potential of vLCM: vLCM matches state-of-the-art vision-language models on tasks covering image/video captioning and question answering, while significantly outperforming them across 61 rich- to low-resource languages out of all 62 tested languages.

Poster
(Token-Level) \textbf{InfoRMIA}: Stronger Membership Inference and Privacy Assessment for LLMs

Jiashu Tao, Reza Shokri

展开摘要

Machine learning models are known to leak sensitive information, as they inevitably memorize (parts of) their training data. More alarmingly, large language models (LLMs) are now trained on nearly all available data, which amplifies the magnitude of information leakage and raises serious privacy risks. Hence, it is more crucial than ever to quantify privacy risk before the release of LLMs. The standard method to quantify privacy is via membership inference attacks, where the state-of-the-art approach is the Robust Membership Inference Attack (RMIA). In this paper, we present InfoRMIA, a principled information-theoretic formulation of membership inference. Our method consistently outperforms RMIA across benchmarks while also offering improved computational efficiency. In the second part of the paper, we identify the limitations of treating sequence-level membership inference as the gold standard for measuring leakage. We propose a new perspective for studying membership and memorization in LLMs: token-level signals and analyses. We show that a simple token-based InfoRMIA can pinpoint which tokens are memorized within generated outputs, thereby localizing leakage from the sequence level down to individual tokens, while achieving stronger sequence-level inference power on LLMs. This new scope rethinks privacy in LLMs and can lead to more targeted mitigation, such as exact unlearning.

Poster
Pay Less Attention to Function Words for Free Robustness of Vision-Language Models

Qiwei Tian, Chenhao Lin, Zhengyu Zhao, Chao Shen

展开摘要

To address the trade-off between robustness and performance for robust VLM, we observe that function words could incur vulnerability of VLMs against cross-modal adversarial attacks, and propose Function-word De-Attention (FDA) accordingly to mitigate the impact of function words. Similar to differential amplifiers, our FDA calculates the original and the function-word cross-attention within attention heads, and differentially subtracts the latter from the former for more aligned and robust VLMs. Comprehensive experiments include 2 SOTA baselines under 6 different attacks on 2 downstream tasks, 3 datasets, and 3 models. Overall, our FDA yields an average 18/13/53\% ASR drop with only 0.2/0.3/0.6% performance drops on the 3 tested models on retrieval, and a 90\% ASR drop with a 0.3\% performance gain on visual grounding. We demonstrate the scalability, generalization, and zero-shot performance of FDA experimentally, as well as in-depth ablation studies and analysis. Code will be made publicly available.

Poster
ReIn: Conversational Error Recovery with Reasoning Inception

Takyoung Kim, Jinseok Nam, Chandrayee Basu, Xing Fan, Chengyuan Ma, Heng Ji, Gokhan Tur, Dilek Hakkani-Tür

展开摘要

Conversational agents powered by large language models (LLMs) with tool integration achieve strong performance on fixed task-oriented dialogue datasets but remain vulnerable to unanticipated, user-induced errors. Rather than focusing on error prevention, this work focuses on error recovery, which necessitates the accurate diagnosis of erroneous dialogue contexts and execution of proper recovery plans. Under realistic constraints precluding model fine-tuning or prompt modification due to significant cost and time requirements, we explore whether agents can recover from contextually flawed interactions and how their behavior can be adapted without altering model parameters and prompts. To this end, we propose **Reasoning Inception (ReIn)**, a test-time intervention method that *plants* an initial reasoning into the agent's decision-making process. Specifically, an external inception module identifies predefined errors within the dialogue context and generates recovery plans, which are subsequently integrated into the agent's internal reasoning process to guide corrective actions, without modifying its parameters or system prompts. We evaluate ReIn by systematically simulating conversational failure scenarios that directly hinder successful completion of user goals: user's ambiguous and unsupported requests. Across diverse combinations of agent models and inception modules, ReIn substantially improves task success and generalizes to unseen error types. Moreover, it consistently outperforms explicit prompt-modification approaches, underscoring its utility as an efficient, on-the-fly method. In-depth analysis of its operational mechanism, particularly in relation to instruction hierarchy, indicates that jointly defining recovery tools with ReIn can serve as a safe and effective strategy for improving the resilience of conversational agents without modifying the backbone models or system prompts.

Poster
Priors in time: Missing inductive biases for language model interpretability

Ekdeep Singh Lubana, Can Rager, Sai Sumedh R. Hindupur, Valérie Costa, Oam Patel, Sonia Krishna Murthy, Thomas FEL, Greta Tuckute, Daniel Wurgaft, Eric Bigelow, Demba E. Ba, Melanie Weber, Aaron Mueller

展开摘要

A central aim of interpretability tools applied to language models is to recover meaningful concepts from model activations. Existing feature extraction methods focus on single activations regardless of the context, implicitly assuming independence (and therefore stationarity). This leaves open whether they can capture the rich temporal and context-sensitive structure in the activations of language models (LMs). Adopting a Bayesian view, we demonstrate that standard Sparse Autoencoders (SAEs) impose priors that assume independence of concepts across time. We then show that LM representations exhibit rich temporal dynamics, including systematic growth in conceptual dimensionality, context-dependent correlations, and pronounced non-stationarity, in direct conflict with the priors of SAEs. This mismatch casts doubt on existing SAEs' ability to reflect temporal structures of interest in the data. We introduce a novel SAE architecture---Temporal SAE---with a temporal inductive bias that decomposes representations at a given time into two parts: a predictable component, which can be inferred from the context, and a residual component, which captures novel information that cannot be captured by the context. Experiments on LLM activations with Temporal SAE demonstrate its ability to correctly parse garden path sentences, identify event boundaries, and more broadly delineate abstract, slow-moving information from novel, fast-moving information, while existing SAEs show significant pitfalls in all the above tasks. Our results underscore the need for inductive biases that match the data in designing robust interpretability tools.

Poster
DoFlow: Flow-based Generative Models for Interventional and Counterfactual Forecasting on Time Series

Dongze Wu, Feng Qiu, Yao Xie

展开摘要

Time-series forecasting increasingly demands not only accurate observational predictions but also causal forecasting under interventional and counterfactual queries in multivariate systems. We present DoFlow, a flow-based generative model defined over a causal Directed Acyclic Graph (DAG) that delivers coherent observational and interventional predictions, as well as counterfactuals through the natural encoding–decoding mechanism of continuous normalizing flows (CNFs). We also provide a supporting counterfactual recovery theory under certain assumptions. Beyond forecasting, DoFlow provides explicit likelihoods of future trajectories, enabling principled anomaly detection. Experiments on synthetic datasets with various causal DAG structures and real-world hydropower and cancer-treatment time series show that DoFlow achieves accurate system-wide observational forecasting, enables causal forecasting over interventional and counterfactual queries, and effectively detects anomalies. This work contributes to the broader goal of unifying causal reasoning and generative modeling for complex dynamical systems.

Poster
NeMo-map: Neural Implicit Flow Fields for Spatio-Temporal Motion Mapping

Yufei Zhu, Shih-Min Yang, Andrey Rudenko, Tomasz Piotr Kucner, Achim J. Lilienthal, Martin Magnusson

展开摘要

Safe and efficient robot operation in complex human environments can benefit from good models of site-specific motion patterns. Maps of Dynamics (MoDs) provide such models by encoding statistical motion patterns in a map, but existing representations use discrete spatial sampling and typically require costly offline construction. We propose a continuous spatio-temporal MoD representation based on implicit neural functions that directly map coordinates to the parameters of a Semi-Wrapped Gaussian Mixture Model. This removes the need for discretization and imputation for unevenly sampled regions, enabling smooth generalization across both space and time. Evaluated on two public datasets with real-world people tracking data, our method achieves better accuracy of motion representation and smoother velocity distributions in sparse regions while still being computationally efficient, compared to available baselines. The proposed approach demonstrates a powerful and efficient way of modeling complex human motion patterns and high performance in the trajectory prediction downstream task.

Poster