ICLR 2025 论文列表

International Conference on Learning Representations

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3,703篇论文

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    2135.8%
  • Spotlight
    38010.3%
  • Poster
    3,11084.0%

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Addax: Utilizing Zeroth-Order Gradients to Improve Memory Efficiency and Performance of SGD for Fine-Tuning Language Models

Zeman Li, Xinwei Zhang, Peilin Zhong, Yuan Deng, Meisam Razaviyayn, Vahab Mirrokni

展开摘要

Fine-tuning language models (LMs) with the standard Adam optimizer often demands excessive memory, limiting accessibility. The ``in-place'' version of Stochastic Gradient Descent (IP-SGD) and Memory-Efficient Zeroth-order Optimizer (MeZO) have been proposed as solutions to improve memory efficiency. However, IP-SGD still requires a decent amount of memory, and MeZO suffers from slow convergence and degraded final performance due to its zeroth-order nature. This paper introduces Addax, a novel method that improves both memory efficiency and algorithm performance of IP-SGD by integrating it with MeZO. Specifically, Addax computes the zeroth-order or first-order gradient of the data points in the minibatch based on their memory consumption and combines zeroth- and first-order gradient estimates to obtain the updated direction in each step. By computing the zeroth-order order gradient of data points that require more memory and the first-order gradient of the ones that require less memory, Addax overcomes the slow convergence of MeZO and excessive memory requirement of IP-SGD. Additionally, the zeroth-order gradient acts as a regularizer for the first-order gradient, further enhancing the model's final performance. Theoretically, we establish the convergence of Addax under mild assumptions, demonstrating faster convergence and less restrictive hyper-parameter choices than MeZO. Our extensive experiments with diverse LMs and tasks show that Addax consistently outperforms MeZO in terms of accuracy and convergence speed, while having a comparable memory footprint. In particular, our experiments using one A100 GPU on OPT-13B model reveal that, on average, Addax outperforms MeZO in terms of accuracy/F1 score by 14%, and runs $15\times$ faster, while having a comparable memory footprint to MeZO. In our experiments on the larger OPT-30B model, on average, Addax outperforms MeZO in terms of accuracy/F1 score by >16% and runs $30\times$ faster on a single H100 GPU. Moreover, Addax surpasses the performance of standard fine-tuning approaches, such as IP-SGD and Adam, in most tasks in terms of Accuracy/F1 score with significantly less memory requirement.

Poster
InstaTrain: Adaptive Training via Ultra-Fast Natural Annealing within Dynamical Systems

Chuan Liu, Ruibing Song, Chunshu Wu, Pouya Haghi, Tong Geng

展开摘要

Time-series modeling is broadly adopted to capture underlying patterns present in historical data, allowing prediction of future values. However, one crucial aspect of such modeling is often overlooked: in highly dynamic environments, data distributions can shift drastically within a second or less. Under these circumstances, traditional predictive models, and even online learning methods, struggle to adapt to the ultra-fast and complex distribution shifts present in highly dynamic scenarios. To address this, we propose InstaTrain, a novel learning approach that enables ultra-fast model updates for real-world prediction tasks, thereby keeping pace with rapidly evolving data distributions. In this work, (1) we transform the slow and expensive training process into an ultra-fast natural annealing process within a dynamical system. (2) Leveraging a recently proposed electronic dynamical system, we augment the system with parameter update modules, extending its capabilities to encompass both rapid training and inference. Experimental results on highly dynamic datasets demonstrate that our method achieves orders-of-magnitude improvements in training speed and energy efficiency while delivering superior accuracy compared to baselines running on GPUs.

Poster
Transformers Handle Endogeneity in In-Context Linear Regression

Haodong Liang, Krishna Balasubramanian, Lifeng Lai

展开摘要

We explore the capability of transformers to address endogeneity in in-context linear regression. Our main finding is that transformers inherently possess a mechanism to handle endogeneity effectively using instrumental variables (IV). First, we demonstrate that the transformer architecture can emulate a gradient-based bi-level optimization procedure that converges to the widely used two-stage least squares (2SLS) solution at an exponential rate. Next, we propose an in-context pretraining scheme and provide theoretical guarantees showing that the global minimizer of the pre-training loss achieves a small excess loss. Our extensive experiments validate these theoretical findings, showing that the trained transformer provides more robust and reliable in-context predictions and coefficient estimates than the 2SLS method, in the presence of endogeneity.

Poster
GUI-World: A Video Benchmark and Dataset for Multimodal GUI-oriented Understanding

Dongping Chen, Yue Huang, Siyuan Wu, Jingyu Tang, Huichi Zhou, Qihui Zhang, Zhigang He, Yilin Bai, Chujie Gao, Liuyi Chen, Yiqiang Li, Chenlong Wang, Yue Yu, Tianshuo Zhou, Zhen Li, Yi Gui, Yao Wan, Pan Zhou, Jianfeng Gao, Lichao Sun

展开摘要

Recently, Multimodal Large Language Models (MLLMs) have been used as agents to control keyboard and mouse inputs by directly perceiving the Graphical User Interface (GUI) and generating corresponding commands. However, current agents primarily demonstrate strong understanding capabilities in static environments and are mainly applied to relatively simple domains, such as Web or mobile interfaces. We argue that a robust GUI agent should be capable of perceiving temporal information on the GUI, including dynamic Web content and multi-step tasks. Additionally, it should possess a comprehensive understanding of various GUI scenarios, including desktop software and multi-window interactions. To this end, this paper introduces a new dataset, termed GUI-World, which features meticulously crafted Human-MLLM annotations, extensively covering six GUI scenarios and eight types of GUI-oriented questions in three formats. We evaluate the capabilities of current state-of-the-art MLLMs, including Image LLMs and Video LLMs, in understanding various types of GUI content, especially dynamic and sequential content. Our findings reveal that current models struggle with dynamic GUI content without manually annotated keyframes or operation history. On the other hand, Video LLMs fall short in all GUI-oriented tasks given the sparse GUI video dataset. Therefore, we take the initial step of leveraging a fine-tuned Video LLM, GUI-Vid, as a GUI-oriented assistant, demonstrating an improved understanding of various GUI tasks. However, due to the limitations in the performance of base LLMs, we conclude that using video LLMs as GUI agents remains a significant challenge. We believe our work provides valuable insights for future research in dynamic GUI content understanding. All the dataset and code are publicly available at: https://gui-world.github.io.

Poster
Size-Generalizable RNA Structure Evaluation by Exploring Hierarchical Geometries

Zongzhao Li, Jiacheng Cen, Wenbing Huang, Taifeng Wang, Le Song

展开摘要

Understanding the 3D structure of RNA is essential for deciphering its function and developing RNA-based therapeutics. Geometric Graph Neural Networks (GeoGNNs) that conform to the $\mathrm{E}(3)$-symmetry have advanced RNA structure evaluation, a crucial step toward RNA structure prediction. However, existing GeoGNNs are still defective in two aspects: 1. inefficient or incapable of capturing the full geometries of RNA; 2. limited generalization ability when the size of RNA significantly differs between training and test datasets. In this paper, we propose EquiRNA, a novel equivariant GNN model by exploring the three-level hierarchical geometries of RNA. At its core, EquiRNA effectively addresses the size generalization challenge by reusing the representation of nucleotide, the common building block shared across RNAs of varying sizes. Moreover, by adopting a scalarization-based equivariant GNN as the backbone, our model maintains directional information while offering higher computational efficiency compared to existing GeoGNNs. Additionally, we propose a size-insensitive $K$-nearest neighbor sampling strategy to enhance the model's robustness to RNA size shifts. We test our approach on our created benchmark as well as an existing dataset. The results show that our method significantly outperforms other state-of-the-art methods, providing a robust baseline for RNA 3D structure modeling and evaluation.

Poster
Exploratory Preference Optimization: Harnessing Implicit Q*-Approximation for Sample-Efficient RLHF

Tengyang Xie, Dylan J Foster, Akshay Krishnamurthy, Corby Rosset, Ahmed Hassan Awadallah, Alexander Rakhlin

展开摘要

This paper investigates a basic question in reinforcement learning from human feedback (RLHF) from a theoretical perspective: how to efficiently explore in an online manner under preference feedback and general function approximation. We take the initial step towards a theoretical understanding of this problem by proposing a novel algorithm, *Exploratory Preference Optimization* (XPO). This algorithm is elegantly simple---requiring only a one-line modification to (online) Direct Preference Optimization (DPO; Rafailov et al., 2023)---yet provides the strongest known provable guarantees. XPO augments the DPO objective with a novel and principled *exploration bonus*, enabling the algorithm to strategically explore beyond the support of the initial model and preference feedback data. We prove that XPO is provably sample-efficient and converges to a near-optimal policy under natural exploration conditions, regardless of the initial model's coverage. Our analysis builds on the observation that DPO implicitly performs a form of *Bellman error minimization*. It synthesizes previously disparate techniques from language modeling and theoretical reinforcement learning in a serendipitous fashion through the lens of *KL-regularized Markov decision processes*.

Poster
Do LLMs Recognize Your Preferences? Evaluating Personalized Preference Following in LLMs

Siyan Zhao, Mingyi Hong, Yang Liu, Devamanyu Hazarika, Kaixiang Lin

展开摘要

Large Language Models (LLMs) are increasingly deployed as chatbots, yet their ability to personalize responses to user preferences remains limited. We introduce PrefEval, a benchmark for evaluating LLMs' ability to infer, memorize and adhere to user preferences in long-context conversational setting. PrefEval comprises 3,000 manually curated user preference and query pairs spanning 20 topics. PrefEval contains user personalization or preference information in both explicit and implicit preference forms, and evaluates LLM performance using a generation and a classification task. With PrefEval, we have evaluated 10 open-sourced and proprietary LLMs in multi-session conversations with varying context lengths up to 100k tokens. We benchmark with various prompting, iterative feedback, and retrieval-augmented generation methods. Our benchmarking effort reveals that state-of-the-art LLMs face significant challenges in following users' preference during conversations. In particular, in zero-shot settings, preference following accuracy falls below 10\% at merely 10 turns (~3k tokens) across most evaluated models. Even with advanced prompting and retrieval methods, preference following still deteriorates in long-context conversations. Furthermore, we show that fine-tuning on PrefEval significantly improves performance. We believe PrefEval serves as a valuable resource for measuring, understanding, and enhancing LLMs' proactive preference following abilities, paving the way for personalized conversational agents.

Oral
Unsupervised Model Tree Heritage Recovery

Eliahu Horwitz, Asaf Shul, Yedid Hoshen

展开摘要

The number of models shared online has recently skyrocketed, with over one million public models available on Hugging Face. Sharing models allows other users to build on existing models, using them as initialization for fine-tuning, improving accuracy, and saving compute and energy. However, it also raises important intellectual property issues, as fine-tuning may violate the license terms of the original model or that of its training data. A Model Tree, i.e., a tree data structure rooted at a foundation model and having directed edges between a parent model and other models directly fine-tuned from it (children), would settle such disputes by making the model heritage explicit. Unfortunately, current models are not well documented, with most model metadata (e.g., "model cards") not providing accurate information about heritage. In this paper, we introduce the task of Unsupervised Model Tree Heritage Recovery (Unsupervised MoTHer Recovery) for collections of neural networks. For each pair of models, this task requires: i) determining if they are directly related, and ii) establishing the direction of the relationship. Our hypothesis is that model weights encode this information, the challenge is to decode the underlying tree structure given the weights. We discover several properties of model weights that allow us to perform this task. By using these properties, we formulate the MoTHer Recovery task as finding a directed minimal spanning tree. In extensive experiments we demonstrate that our method successfully reconstructs complex Model Trees.

Poster
A3D: Does Diffusion Dream about 3D Alignment?

Savva Victorovich Ignatyev, Nina Konovalova, Daniil Selikhanovych, Oleg Voynov, Nikolay Patakin, Ilya Olkov, Dmitry Senushkin, Alexey Artemov, Anton Konushin, Alexander Filippov, Peter Wonka, Evgeny Burnaev

展开摘要

We tackle the problem of text-driven 3D generation from a geometry alignment perspective. Given a set of text prompts, we aim to generate a collection of objects with semantically corresponding parts aligned across them. Recent methods based on Score Distillation have succeeded in distilling the knowledge from 2D diffusion models to high-quality representations of the 3D objects. These methods handle multiple text queries separately, and therefore the resulting objects have a high variability in object pose and structure. However, in some applications, such as 3D asset design, it may be desirable to obtain a set of objects aligned with each other. In order to achieve the alignment of the corresponding parts of the generated objects, we propose to embed these objects into a common latent space and optimize the continuous transitions between these objects. We enforce two kinds of properties of these transitions: smoothness of the transition and plausibility of the intermediate objects along the transition. We demonstrate that both of these properties are essential for good alignment. We provide several practical scenarios that benefit from alignment between the objects, including 3D editing and object hybridization, and experimentally demonstrate the effectiveness of our method.

Poster
LVSM: A Large View Synthesis Model with Minimal 3D Inductive Bias

Haian Jin, Hanwen Jiang, Hao Tan, Kai Zhang, Sai Bi, Tianyuan Zhang, Fujun Luan, Noah Snavely, Zexiang Xu

展开摘要

We propose the Large View Synthesis Model (LVSM), a novel transformer-based approach for scalable and generalizable novel view synthesis from sparse-view inputs. We introduce two architectures: (1) an encoder-decoder LVSM, which encodes input image tokens into a fixed number of 1D latent tokens, functioning as a fully learned scene representation, and decodes novel-view images from them; and (2) a decoder-only LVSM, which directly maps input images to novel-view outputs, completely eliminating intermediate scene representations. Both models bypass the 3D inductive biases used in previous methods---from 3D representations (e.g., NeRF, 3DGS) to network designs (e.g., epipolar projections, plane sweeps)---addressing novel view synthesis with a fully data-driven approach. While the encoder-decoder model offers faster inference due to its independent latent representation, the decoder-only LVSM achieves superior quality, scalability, and zero-shot generalization, outperforming previous state-of-the-art methods by 1.5 to 3.5 dB PSNR. Comprehensive evaluations across multiple datasets demonstrate that both LVSM variants achieve state-of-the-art novel view synthesis quality, delivering superior performance even with reduced computational resources (1-2 GPUs). Please see our anonymous website for more details: https://haian-jin.github.io/projects/LVSM/

Oral
Continuous Diffusion for Mixed-Type Tabular Data

Markus Mueller, Kathrin Gruber, Dennis Fok

展开摘要

Score-based generative models, commonly referred to as diffusion models, have proven to be successful at generating text and image data. However, their adaptation to mixed-type tabular data remains underexplored. In this work, we propose CDTD, a Continuous Diffusion model for mixed-type Tabular Data. CDTD is based on a novel combination of score matching and score interpolation to enforce a unified continuous noise distribution for both continuous and categorical features. We explicitly acknowledge the necessity of homogenizing distinct data types by relying on model-specific loss calibration and initialization schemes. To further address the high heterogeneity in mixed-type tabular data, we introduce adaptive feature- or type-specific noise schedules. These ensure balanced generative performance across features and optimize the allocation of model capacity across features and diffusion time. Our experimental results show that CDTD consistently outperforms state-of-the-art benchmark models, captures feature correlations exceptionally well, and that heterogeneity in the noise schedule design boosts sample quality. Replication code is available at https://github.com/muellermarkus/cdtd.

Poster
VisualPredicator: Learning Abstract World Models with Neuro-Symbolic Predicates for Robot Planning

Yichao Liang, Nishanth Kumar, Hao Tang, Adrian Weller, Joshua B. Tenenbaum, Tom Silver, Joao F. Henriques, Kevin Ellis

展开摘要

Broadly intelligent agents should form task-specific abstractions that selectively expose the essential elements of a task, while abstracting away the complexity of the raw sensorimotor space. In this work, we present Neuro-Symbolic Predicates, a first-order abstraction language that combines the strengths of symbolic and neural knowledge representations. We outline an online algorithm for inventing such predicates and learning abstract world models. We compare our approach to hierarchical reinforcement learning, vision-language model planning, and symbolic predicate invention approaches, on both in- and out-of-distribution tasks across five simulated robotic domains. Results show that our approach offers better sample complexity, stronger out-of-distribution generalization, and improved interpretability.

Spotlight
Highly Efficient Self-Adaptive Reward Shaping for Reinforcement Learning

Haozhe Ma, Zhengding Luo, Thanh Vinh Vo, Kuankuan Sima, Tze-Yun Leong

展开摘要

Reward shaping is a reinforcement learning technique that addresses the sparse-reward problem by providing frequent, informative feedback. We propose an efficient self-adaptive reward-shaping mechanism that uses success rates derived from historical experiences as shaped rewards. The success rates are sampled from Beta distributions, which evolve from uncertainty to reliability as data accumulates. Initially, shaped rewards are stochastic to encourage exploration, gradually becoming more certain to promote exploitation and maintain a natural balance between exploration and exploitation. We apply Kernel Density Estimation (KDE) with Random Fourier Features (RFF) to derive Beta distributions, providing a computationally efficient solution for continuous and high-dimensional state spaces. Our method, validated on tasks with extremely sparse rewards, improves sample efficiency and convergence stability over relevant baselines.

Poster
PEARL: Parallel Speculative Decoding with Adaptive Draft Length

Tianyu Liu, Yun Li, Qitan Lv, Kai Liu, Jianchen Zhu, Winston Hu, Xiao Sun

展开摘要

Speculative decoding (SD), where an extra draft model is employed to provide multiple **draft** tokens first and then the original target model verifies these tokens in parallel, has shown great power for LLM inference acceleration. However, existing SD methods suffer from the mutual waiting problem, i.e., the target model gets stuck when the draft model is *guessing* tokens, and vice versa. This problem is directly incurred by the asynchronous execution of the draft model and the target model, and is exacerbated due to the fixed draft length in speculative decoding. To address these challenges, we propose a conceptually simple, flexible, and general framework to boost speculative decoding, namely **P**arallel sp**E**culative decoding with **A**daptive d**R**aft **L**ength (PEARL). Specifically, PEARL proposes *pre-verify* to verify the first draft token in advance during the drafting phase, and *post-verify* to generate more draft tokens during the verification phase. PEARL parallels the drafting phase and the verification phase via applying the two strategies, and achieves adaptive draft length for different scenarios, which effectively alleviates the mutual waiting problem. Experiments on various text generation benchmarks demonstrate the effectiveness of our PEARL, leading to a superior speedup performance up to **4.43$\times$** and **1.50$\times$**, compared to auto-regressive decoding and vanilla speculative decoding, respectively.

Poster
Aligning Human Motion Generation with Human Perceptions

Haoru Wang, Wentao Zhu, Luyi Miao, Yishu Xu, Feng Gao, Qi Tian, Yizhou Wang

展开摘要

Human motion generation is a critical task with a wide spectrum of applications. Achieving high realism in generated motions requires naturalness, smoothness, and plausibility. However, current evaluation metrics often rely on simple heuristics or distribution distances and do not align well with human perceptions. In this work, we propose a data-driven approach to bridge this gap by introducing a large-scale human perceptual evaluation dataset, MotionPercept, and a human motion critic model, MotionCritic, that capture human perceptual preferences. Our critic model offers a more accurate metric for assessing motion quality and could be readily integrated into the motion generation pipeline to enhance generation quality. Extensive experiments demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach in both evaluating and improving the quality of generated human motions by aligning with human perceptions. Code and data are publicly available at https://motioncritic.github.io/.

Poster
Microcanonical Langevin Ensembles: Advancing the Sampling of Bayesian Neural Networks

Emanuel Sommer, Jakob Robnik, Giorgi Nozadze, Uros Seljak, David Rügamer

展开摘要

Despite recent advances, sampling-based inference for Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) remains a significant challenge in probabilistic deep learning. While sampling-based approaches do not require a variational distribution assumption, current state-of-the-art samplers still struggle to navigate the complex and highly multimodal posteriors of BNNs. As a consequence, sampling still requires considerably longer inference times than non-Bayesian methods even for small neural networks, despite recent advances in making software implementations more efficient. Besides the difficulty of finding high-probability regions, the time until samplers provide sufficient exploration of these areas remains unpredictable. To tackle these challenges, we introduce an ensembling approach that leverages strategies from optimization and a recently proposed sampler called Microcanonical Langevin Monte Carlo (MCLMC) for efficient, robust and predictable sampling performance. Compared to approaches based on the state-of-the-art No-U-Turn Sampler, our approach delivers substantial speedups up to an order of magnitude, while maintaining or improving predictive performance and uncertainty quantification across diverse tasks and data modalities. The suggested Microcanonical Langevin Ensembles and modifications to MCLMC additionally enhance the method's predictability in resource requirements, facilitating easier parallelization. All in all, the proposed method offers a promising direction for practical, scalable inference for BNNs.

Poster
From Exploration to Mastery: Enabling LLMs to Master Tools via Self-Driven Interactions

Changle Qu, Sunhao Dai, Xiaochi Wei, Hengyi Cai, Shuaiqiang Wang, Dawei Yin, Jun Xu, Ji-Rong Wen

展开摘要

Tool learning enables Large Language Models (LLMs) to interact with external environments by invoking tools, serving as an effective strategy to mitigate the limitations inherent in their pre-training data. In this process, tool documentation plays a crucial role by providing usage instructions for LLMs, thereby facilitating effective tool utilization. This paper concentrates on the critical challenge of bridging the comprehension gap between LLMs and external tools due to the inadequacies and inaccuracies inherent in existing human-centric tool documentation. We propose a novel framework, DRAFT, aimed at Dynamically Refining tool documentation through the Analysis of Feedback and Trials emanating from LLMs' interactions with external tools. This methodology pivots on an innovative trial-and-error approach, consisting of three distinct learning phases: experience gathering, learning from experience, and documentation rewriting, to iteratively enhance the tool documentation. This process is further optimized by implementing a diversity-promoting exploration strategy to ensure explorative diversity and a tool-adaptive termination mechanism to prevent overfitting while enhancing efficiency. Extensive experiments on multiple datasets demonstrate that DRAFT's iterative, feedback-based refinement significantly ameliorates documentation quality, fostering a deeper comprehension and more effective utilization of tools by LLMs. Notably, our analysis reveals that the tool documentation refined via our approach demonstrates robust cross-model generalization capabilities.

Oral
Scale-aware Recognition in Satellite Images under Resource Constraints

Shreelekha Revankar, Cheng Perng Phoo, Utkarsh Mall, Bharath Hariharan, Kavita Bala

展开摘要

Recognition of features in satellite imagery (forests, swimming pools, etc.) depends strongly on the spatial scale of the concept and therefore the resolution of the images. This poses two challenges: Which resolution is best suited for recognizing a given concept, and where and when should the costlier higher-resolution (HR) imagery be acquired? We present a novel scheme to address these challenges by introducing three components: (1) A technique to distill knowledge from models trained on HR imagery to recognition models that operate on imagery of lower resolution (LR), (2) a sampling strategy for HR imagery based on model disagreement, and (3) an LLM-based approach for inferring concept "scale". With these components we present a system to efficiently perform scale-aware recognition in satellite imagery, improving accuracy over single-scale inference while following budget constraints. **Our novel approach offers up to a 26.3\% improvement over entirely HR baselines, using 76.3 \% fewer HR images.** Resources are available at https://www.cs.cornell.edu/~revankar/scale_aware.

Poster
MovieDreamer: Hierarchical Generation for Coherent Long Visual Sequences

Canyu Zhao, Mingyu Liu, Wen Wang, Weihua Chen, Fan Wang, Hao Chen, Bo Zhang, Chunhua Shen

展开摘要

Recent advancements in video generation have primarily leveraged diffusion models for short-duration content. However, these approaches often fall short in modeling complex narratives and maintaining character consistency over extended periods, which is essential for long-form video production like movies. We propose MovieDreamer, a novel hierarchical framework that integrates the strengths of autoregressive models with diffusion-based rendering to pioneer long-duration video generation with intricate plot progressions and high visual fidelity. Our approach utilizes autoregressive models for global narrative coherence, predicting sequences of visual tokens that are subsequently transformed into high-quality video frames through diffusion rendering. This method is akin to traditional movie production processes, where complex stories are factorized down into manageable scene capturing. Further, we employ a multimodal script that enriches scene descriptions with detailed character information and visual style, enhancing continuity and character identity across scenes. We present extensive experiments across various movie genres, demonstrating that our approach not only achieves superior visual and narrative quality but also effectively extends the duration of generated content significantly beyond current capabilities.

Poster
Model-agnostic meta-learners for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects over time

Dennis Frauen, Konstantin Hess, Stefan Feuerriegel

展开摘要

Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects (HTEs) over time is crucial in many disciplines such as personalized medicine. Existing works for this task have mostly focused on *model-based* learners that adapt specific machine-learning models and adjustment mechanisms. In contrast, model-agnostic learners - so-called *meta-learners* - are largely unexplored. In our paper, we propose several meta-learners that are model-agnostic and thus can be used in combination with arbitrary machine learning models (e.g., transformers) to estimate HTEs over time. We then provide a comprehensive theoretical analysis that characterizes the different learners and that allows us to offer insights into when specific learners are preferable. Furthermore, we propose a novel IVW-DR-learner that (i) uses a doubly robust (DR) and orthogonal loss; and (ii) leverages inverse-variance weights (IVWs) that we derive to stabilize the DR-loss over time. Our IVWs downweight extreme trajectories due to *products* of inverse-propensities in the DR-loss, resulting in a lower estimation variance. Our IVW-DR-learner achieves superior performance in our experiments, particularly in regimes with low overlap and long time horizons.

Poster