COLT 2026 论文列表

Conference on Learning Theory

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Sample-Efficient Omniprediction for Proper Losses

Isaac Gibbs, Ryan J. Tibshirani

展开摘要

We study the problem of constructing probabilistic predictions that lead to effective decisions when employed by downstream users to inform actions. Given a single decision maker, developing an optimal predictor is equivalent to minimizing a proper loss function corresponding to the negative utility of that individual. For multiple decision makers, our problem can be viewed as a variant of omniprediction in which the goal is to develop a single predictor which simultaneously minimizes multiple losses. Existing algorithms for achieving omniprediction broadly fall into two categories: first, boosting methods, which optimize auxiliary targets such as multicalibration and obtain omniprediction as a corollary, and second, adversarial two-player game based approaches, which estimate and respond to the worst-case loss in an online fashion. We give lower bounds which demonstrate that multicalibration is a strictly more difficult problem than omniprediction and hence the first approach must incur suboptimal sample complexity. For the latter approach, we discuss how these ideas can be used to obtain a sample-efficient algorithm for our problem through an online-to-batch conversion. This conversion has the downside of returning a complex, randomized predictor. We therefore improve on this method by designing a more direct nonrandomized algorithm that exploits structural elements of the set of proper losses.

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On the Statistical Query Complexity of Learning Semiautomata: a Random Walk Approach

George Giapitzakis, Kimon Fountoulakis, Eshaan Nichani, Jason D. Lee

展开摘要

Semiautomata form a rich class of sequence-processing algorithms with applications in natural language processing, robotics, computational biology, and data mining. We establish the first Statistical Query hardness result for semiautomata under the uniform distribution over input words and initial states. We show that Statistical Query hardness can be established when both the alphabet size and input length are polynomial in the number of states. Unlike the case of deterministic finite automata, where hardness typically arises through the hardness of the language they recognize (e.g., parity), our result is derived solely from the internal state-transition structure of semiautomata. Our analysis reduces the task of distinguishing the final states of two semiautomata to studying the behavior of a random walk on the group S_N× S_N. By applying tools from Fourier analysis and the representation theory of the symmetric group, we obtain tight spectral gap bounds, demonstrating that after a polynomial number of steps in the number of states, distinct semiautomata become nearly uncorrelated, yielding the desired hardness result.

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Universality of high-dimensional scaling limits of stochastic gradient descent (extended abstract)

Reza Gheissari, Aukosh Jagannath

展开摘要

We consider statistical tasks in high dimensions whose loss depends on the data only through its projection into a fixed-dimensional subspace spanned by the parameter vectors and certain ground truth vectors. This includes classifying mixture distributions with cross-entropy loss with one and two-layer networks, and learning single and multi-index models with one and two-layer networks. When the data is drawn from an isotropic Gaussian mixture distribution, it is known that the evolution of a finite family of summary statistics under stochastic gradient descent converges to an autonomous ordinary differential equation (ODE), as the dimension and sample size go to ∞ and the step size goes to 0 commensurately. Our main result is that these ODE limits are universal in that this limit is the same whenever the data is drawn from mixtures of arbitrary product distributions whose first two moments match the corresponding Gaussian distribution, provided the initialization and ground truth vectors are coordinate-delocalized. We complement this by proving two corresponding non-universality results. We provide a simple example where the ODE limits are non-universal if the initialization is coordinate aligned. We also show that the stochastic differential equation limits arising as fluctuations of the summary statistics around their ODE’s fixed points are not universal.

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Fixed-Parameter Tractability of Private Synthetic Data Generation

Badih Ghazi, Cristóbal Guzmán, Pritish Kamath, Alexander Knop, Ravi Kumar, Pasin Manurangsi

展开摘要

We study the problem of generating synthetic data under differential privacy. We establish fixed-parameter tractability (FPT) for this problem where the parameter is the treewidth of the query family’s incidence graph. Our algorithms attain optimal error rates across all regimes and are realized by two different approaches: the first is based on linear programming (LP) and the FPT of the separation problem for the LP dual; the second is based on a subsampled private multiplicative weights method, where we obtain FPT for sampling from Gibbs distributions. Both approaches are unified by a dynamic programming framework over a tree decomposition.

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Nearly Linear-Time User-Level DP-SCO with Optimal Rates

Badih Ghazi, Ravi Kumar, Daogao Liu, Pasin Manurangsi

展开摘要

User-level differentially private (DP) stochastic convex optimization has garnered significant attention due to the paramount importance of safeguarding user privacy in modern large-scale ML applications. Current methods, such as those based on DP stochastic gradient descent (SGD), often struggle with high gradient computation complexity or suboptimal utility due to the need to privatize every intermediate iterate. In this work, we introduce a new nearly linear-time algorithm that resolves this trade-off and achieves the optimal excess rates via an adaptive outlier removal framework. Our key innovation is integrating the sparse vector technique directly into the SGD loop, supported by a novel robust divergence analysis. This approach naturally bounds the sensitivity of gradient estimates without requiring privatization of all intermediate steps. Specifically, our mechanism computes a local concentration score to adaptively filter out users whose updates diverge from the population geometry. Crucially, this approach preserves the unbiasedness of the gradient estimate in well-concentrated regimes while strictly bounding sensitivity in the presence of outliers. We also explore extensions to the ℓ_∞ setting demonstrating the generality of our analysis.

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Fast and Large-Scale Unbalanced Optimal Transport via its Semi-Dual and Adaptive Gradient Methods

Ferdinand Genans

展开摘要

Unbalanced Optimal Transport (UOT) has emerged as a robust relaxation of standard Optimal Transport, particularly effective for handling outliers and mass variations. However, scalable algorithms for UOT, specifically those based on Gradient Descent (SGD), remain largely underexplored. In this work, we address this gap by analyzing the semi-dual formulation of Entropic UOT and demonstrating its suitability for adaptive gradient methods. While the semi-dual is a standard tool for large-scale balanced OT, its geometry in the unbalanced setting appears ill-conditioned under standard analysis. Specifically, worst-case bounds on the marginal penalties using χ^2 divergence suggest a condition number scaling with n/ε, implying poor scalability. In contrast, we show that the local condition number actually scales as 𝒪(1/ε), effectively removing the ill-conditioned dependence on n. Exploiting this property, we prove that SGD methods adapt to this local curvature, achieving a convergence rate of 𝒪(n/ε T) in the stochastic and online regimes, making it suitable for large-scale and semi-discrete applications. Finally, for the full batch discrete setting, we derive a nearly tight upper bound on local smoothness depending solely on the gradient. Using it to adapt step sizes, we propose a modified Adaptive Nesterov Accelerated Gradient (ANAG) method on the semi-dual functional and prove that it achieves a local complexity of 𝒪(n^2√(1/ε)ln(1/δ)).

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Optimal Hardness of Online Algorithms for Large Common Induced Subgraphs

David Gamarnik, Miklos Z. Racz, Gabe Schoenbach

展开摘要

We study the problem of efficiently finding large common induced subgraphs of two independent Erdős–Rényi random graphs G_1, G_2 ∼𝔾(n,1/2). Recently, Chatterjee and Diaconis (2023) showed that the largest common induced subgraph of G_1 and G_2 has size (4-o(1))log_2 n with high probability. We first show that a simple greedy online algorithm finds a common induced subgraph of G_1 and G_2 of size (2-o(1)) log_2 n with high probability. Our main result shows that no online algorithm can find a common induced subgraph of G_1 and G_2 of size at least (2+ε) log_2 n with probability bounded away from 0 as n →∞. Together, these results provide evidence that this problem exhibits a computation-to-optimization gap. To prove the impossibility result, we show that the solution space of the problem exhibits a version of the (multi) overlap gap property (OGP), and utilize an interpolation argument recently developed by Gamarnik, Kızıldağ, and Warnke (2025) that connects OGP and online algorithms.

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Learning Ising Models from Evolutions (Extended Abstract)

Jason Gaitonde, Ankur Moitra, Elchanan Mossel

展开摘要

In this work, we revisit the problem of learning the structure and parameters of an Ising model from dynamics. While the problem of learning from i.i.d. samples has been intensively studied in several communities, recent work has considered learning from temporally correlated samples arising from some stochastic process. However, all prior work studied this problem in the synthetic observation model that assumes knowledge of internal steps of the standard algorithm for generating samples, which goes far beyond what we should expect to naturally observe from the system evolution in important physics and network applications. Extending these algorithmic guarantees to more realistic observation models has been an important direction highlighted in recent work (Bresler, Gamarnik, Shah IEEE Trans. Inf. Theory 2018, Gaitonde, Moitra, Mossel STOC 2025). We give the first efficient algorithm for learning from the natural continuous-time observation model where we only observe the actual evolution of the state of the system, as opposed to usually unobservable details like failed update attempts of sites. For Ising models with maximum degree d, our algorithm first recovers the graph structure in 𝗉𝗈𝗅𝗒(d)· n^2log n time, which qualitatively matches the state-of-the-art even in the cleaner i.i.d. setting, and then estimates the parameters in additional O(2^d· n) time. Our analysis is based on a new family of cycle statistics, which crucially remains measurable for any stochastic process, and in fact succeeds more generally for a broad family of reversible, single-site Markov chains that includes both the Glauber dynamics and the Metropolis chain.

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Toward Simultaneously Optimal Regret in U-Calibration

Rafael Frongillo, Haipeng Luo, Nishant A Mehta, Jon Schneider

展开摘要

U-calibration studies online forecasting algorithms whose predictions can be consumed by any unknown downstream agent, guaranteeing sublinear regret simultaneously for all proper loss functions. Existing U-calibration algorithms achieve worst-case optimal O(√(T)) regret for every bounded proper loss, but they fail to adapt to easier losses: as we show, even for smooth losses such as squared loss, they incur Ω(√(T)) regret instead of the optimal O(log T) regret. In this work, we show that this limitation is not inherent. Specifically, we design a single forecast algorithm that simultaneously achieves Õ(√(T)) regret for every bounded proper loss and O(log T) regret for every bounded smooth proper loss. More generally, our algorithm also attains logarithmic regret for losses that are smooth relative to the log-barrier, which include several non-Lipschitz examples. Our approach is based on a novel variant of Follow-the-Perturbed-Leader (FTPL) in which perturbations are applied directly in the prediction space using self-concordant noise. The resulting analysis also departs substantially from prior FTPL analyses due to the complex nature of this noise and may be of independent interest.

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Space-Efficient Language Generation in the Limit

Nicolas Flammarion, Chirag Pabbaraju, Hristo Papazov, Miltiadis Stouras, Ola Svensson

展开摘要

We initiate a resource-aware theory of language generation in the limit under the minimal constraint of space efficiency. In our framework, a learner observes an adversarial positive stream from a target language K and must eventually output a hallucination-free hypothesis language L ⊆ K while omitting at most Δ strings of K. We focus on 𝒞_s,k, the collection of languages recognized by DFAs with at most s states over an alphabet of size k, as the natural hypothesis class for memory-bounded learners. In the exponential-space regime, we prove that a learner can exactly identify the target K. Under a stricter memory budget, we characterize the strongest possible generation guarantees. In particular, we present a streaming algorithm using poly(s,k) space that converges to a hypothesis with generation gap Δ = O(k^2s-2). Moreover, the learned hypothesis captures every string in K of length at least 2s-1. We complement this result with a near-matching lower bound through a reduction from a standard communication complexity problem. Specifically, achieving generation gap Δ≤ k^(1-ε)s requires k^Ω(ε s) memory. Together, these results reveal a sharp transition between polynomial-space generation and exponential-space exact identification.

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Optimal Reconstruction from Linear Queries

Yuval Filmus, Shay Moran, Elizaveta Nesterova

展开摘要

We study the problem of reconstructing an unknown point in ℝ^d from approximate linear queries. This setting arises naturally in applications ranging from low-dimensional remote sensing and signal recovery to high-dimensional data analysis and privacy-sensitive inference. Our main goal is to characterize the optimal reconstruction error as a function of the number of queries T, the ambient dimension d, and the noise parameter δ. We first analyze the limit T →∞ and show that the optimal reconstruction error converges to the explicit value √(2d/(d+1)) δ, which plays a role analogous to the Bayes optimal error in supervised learning. When the dimension is fixed, we show that the excess error above this limit decays doubly exponentially fast as T →∞, a rate that is significantly faster than those typically encountered in learning curves. When the dimension grows, we show that a number of queries on the order of exp(d) is necessary and sufficient to achieve vanishing excess error. Finally, we introduce and analyze an improper variant of the reconstruction problem. From a technical perspective, our main contribution is a generalization of Jung’s theorem (1901). The classical theorem bounds the maximum possible radius of a set of diameter 1 and characterizes extremal bodies. Our generalization provides a robust variant that characterizes near-extremal bodies and is proved via geometric and dynamical arguments exploiting symmetry and Lie group actions.

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Defensive Generation

Gabriele Farina, Juan Carlos Perdomo

展开摘要

We study the problem of efficiently producing, in an online fashion, generative models of scalar, multiclass, and vector-valued outcomes that cannot be falsified on the basis of the observed data and a pre-specified collection of computational tests. Our contributions are twofold. First, we expand on connections between online high-dimensional multicalibration with respect to an RKHS and recent advances in expected variational inequality problems, enabling efficient algorithms for the former. We then apply this algorithmic machinery to the problem of outcome indistinguishability. Our procedure, Defensive Generation, is the first to efficiently produce online outcome indistinguishable generative models of non-Bernoulli outcomes that are unfalsifiable with respect to infinite classes of tests, including those that examine higher-order moments of the generated distributions. Furthermore, our method runs in near-linear time in the number of samples and achieves the optimal, vanishing 1/√(T) rate for generation error.

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Tight Sample Complexity Bounds for Entropic Best Policy Identification

Amer Essakine, Claire Vernade

展开摘要

We study best-policy identification for finite-horizon risk-sensitive reinforcement learning under the entropic risk measure. Recent work established a constant gap in the exponential horizon dependence between lower and upper bounds on the number of samples required to identify an approximately optimal policy. Precisely, known lower bounds scale in Ω(exp(|β|H)) where H is the horizon of the MDP, while the state-of-the-art upper bound achieves at best O(exp(2|β|H)) (Mortensen and Talebi, 2025) using a generative model. We show that this extra exponential factor can be traced to overly loose concentration control for exponential utilities. To close this open gap, we revisit the analysis of this problem through a forward-model-based algorithm building on KL-based exploration bonuses that we adapt to the entropic criterion. The improvement we get is due to two main novel technical innovations. We leverage the smoothness properties of the exponential utility to derive sharper concentration bounds, and we propose a new stopping rule that exploits further this tightness to obtain a sample complexity that matches the lower bound.

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The Sample Complexity of Multiclass and Sparse Contextual Bandits

Liad Erez, Fan Chen, Alon Cohen, Tomer Koren, Yishay Mansour, Shay Moran, Alexander Rakhlin

展开摘要

We study contextual bandits in the stochastic i.i.d. setting, where a learner observes contexts drawn from an unknown distribution, selects actions from a finite set 𝒜, and aims to identify an approximately optimal policy from a given class based on bandit feedback. Motivated by the important special case of bandit multiclass classification with zero-one rewards, we focus on the s-sparse setting in which, for every context, the underlying reward vector has L_1-norm at most s ≪ |𝒜|. Our main result is the design of algorithms that, with probability at least 1-δ, output an ε-optimal policy compared to policy class Π using O( ( s/ε^2 + |𝒜|/ε) log|Π|/δ) samples. We further extend this bound to general Natarajan classes and complement it with a matching lower bound (up to logarithmic factors), thereby closing a substantial gap left by prior work (Erez et al., 2024a,b; Erez and Koren, 2025), which incurred an additional Θ(|𝒜|^9) dependence. We obtain these results via two complementary approaches. First, we analyze contextual bandits through the lens of contextual decision making with structured observations, designing an exploration-by-optimization algorithm whose sample complexity is governed by the decision-estimation coefficient (DEC; Foster et al., 2021, 2022). We show that, with s-sparse rewards, the induced model class admits a sharp DEC bound that scales with s and directly yields the optimal rate. Since this approach is largely information-theoretic and involves solving complex min-max optimization problems, we also develop a second, more specialized algorithmic method based on a low-variance exploration technique. This approach leads to concrete, tractable algorithms and naturally extends to contextual combinatorial semi-bandits, leading to improved sample complexity guarantees for bandit multiclass list classification.

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Leveraging Similarities in Multi-Armed Bandits

Khaled Eldowa, Thibaud Rahier, Augustin Cablant, Panayotis Mertikopoulos, Pierre Gaillard

展开摘要

In many online learning and bandit problems, the actions we consider possess inherent similarities–for instance because they share latent traits, tags, or hierarchical structure. We study online learning with a similarity-structured action set, encoded by a rooted tree whose leaves are the actions and whose levels quantify how closely two actions are related. The loss sequence is assumed tree-compatible: losses of similar actions are constrained to be close. We establish an impossibility result showing that usual one-point bandit feedback cannot, in general, leverage range or tree-induced similarity, even under very strong similarity constraints. We then provide a unified set of algorithms which adapt to a wide range of richer feedback models, from semi-bandit feedback down to multi-point bandit protocols, including the minimal two-point feedback setting. We show these algorithms exhibit best-of-both-worlds guarantees and provably exploit action similarities by replacing the number of actions K by a similarity-aware effective number of actions K_eff in the regret bounds. As an application, we show that under two-point feedback, it is possible to achieve √(T) regret in Lipschitz bandits when d ≤ 2.

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Theoretical Compression Bounds for Wide Multilayer Perceptrons

Houssam El Cheairi, David Gamarnik, Rahul Mazumder

展开摘要

Pruning and quantization techniques have been broadly successful in reducing the number of parameters needed for large neural networks, yet theoretical justification for their empirical success falls short. We consider a randomized greedy compression algorithm for pruning and quantization post-training and use it to rigorously show the existence of pruned/quantized subnetworks of multilayer perceptrons (MLPs) with competitive performance. We further extend our results to structured pruning of MLPs and convolutional neural networks (CNNs), thus providing a unified analysis of pruning in wide networks. Our results are free of data assumptions, and showcase a tradeoff between compressibility and network width. The algorithm we consider bears some similarities with Optimal Brain Damage (OBD) and can be viewed as a post-training randomized version of it. The theoretical results we derive bridge the gap between theory and application for pruning/quantization, and provide a justification for the empirical success of compression in wide multilayer perceptrons.

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The Median is Easier than it Looks: Approximation with a Constant-Depth, Linear-Width ReLU Network

Abhigyan Dutta, Itay Safran, Paul Valiant

展开摘要

We study the approximation of the median of d inputs using ReLU neural networks. We present depth-width tradeoffs under several settings, culminating in a constant-depth, linear-width construction that achieves exponentially small approximation error with respect to the uniform distribution over the unit hypercube. By further establishing a general reduction from the maximum to the median, our results break a barrier suggested by prior work on the maximum function, which indicated that linear width should require depth growing at least as loglog d to achieve comparable accuracy. Our construction relies on a multi-stage procedure that iteratively eliminates non-central elements while preserving a candidate set around the median. We overcome obstacles that do not arise for the maximum to yield approximation results that are strictly stronger than those previously known for the maximum itself.

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Relatively Smart: A New Approach for Instance-Optimal Learning

Shaddin Dughmi, Alireza F. Pour

展开摘要

We revisit the framework of Smart PAC learning, which seeks supervised learners which compete with semi-supervised learners that are provided full knowledge of the marginal distribution on unlabeled data. Prior work has shown that such marginal-by-marginal guarantees are possible for “most” marginals, with respect to an arbitrary fixed and known measure, but not more generally. We discover that this failure can be attributed to an “indistinguishability” phenomenon: There are marginals which cannot be statistically distinguished from other marginals that require different learning approaches. In such settings, semi-supervised learning cannot certify its guarantees from unlabeled data, rendering them arguably non-actionable. We propose relatively smart learning, a new framework which demands that a supervised learner compete only with the best “certifiable” semi-supervised guarantee. We show that such modest relaxation suffices to bypass the impossibility results from prior work. In the distribution-free setting, we show that the One-Inclusion Graph learner is relatively smart up to squaring the sample complexity, and show that no supervised learning algorithm can do better. For distribution-family settings, we show that relatively smart learning can be impossible or can require idiosyncratic learning approaches, and its difficulty can be non-monotone in the inclusion order on distribution families.

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Online Realizable Regression and Applications for ReLU Networks

Ilan Doron-Arad, Idan Mehalel, Elchanan Mossel

展开摘要

Realizable online regression can behave very differently from online classification. Even without any margin or stochastic assumptions, realizability may enforce horizon-free (finite) cumulative loss under metric-like losses, even when the analogous classification problem has an infinite mistake bound. We study realizable online regression in the adversarial model under losses that satisfy an approximate triangle inequality (approximate pseudo-metrics). Recent work of Attias et al., 2023 shows that the minimax realizable cumulative loss is characterized by the scaled Littlestone/online dimension 𝔻_onl, but this quantity can be difficult to analyze. Our main contribution is a generic potential method that upper bounds 𝔻_onl by a concrete Dudley-type entropy integral that depends only on covering numbers of the hypothesis class under the induced sup pseudo-metric. For an hypothesis class ℋ, we define an entropy potential Φ(ℋ)=∫_0^diam(ℋ)log N(ℋ,ε) dε, where N(ℋ,ε) is the ε-covering number of ℋ under the sup pseudo metric sup_x ℓ(f(x),g(x)), and show that for every c-approximate pseudo-metric loss it holds that 𝔻_onl(ℋ)≤ O(c ·Φ(ℋ)). In particular, polynomial metric entropy implies Φ(ℋ)<∞ and hence a horizon-free realizable cumulative-loss bound with transparent dependence on effective dimension. We illustrate the method on two families. For the class ℋ_L of all L-Lipschitz functions on [-1,1]^d under the loss ℓ_q(y,y’)=|y-y’|^q, we establish a sharp phase transition: if q>d then 𝔻_onl(ℋ_L)=Θ_d,q(L^d), and the bound is achievable efficiently, whereas if q≤ d then 𝔻_onl(ℋ_L)=∞. Complementing these metric-specific results, for any continuous loss with ℓ(y,y)=0, the loss along realizable sequences in ℋ_L satisfies ℓ(ŷ_t,y_t)→ 0 as t→∞. As a second application, we study bounded-norm k-ReLU networks over [-1,1]^d with squared loss and highlight a regression–classification separation: realizable online classification is impossible already for k=2,d=1 under 0/1 loss, yet realizable regression admits finite total loss, including a O(k^2) cumulative-loss upper bound, a matching lower bound up to polylogarithmic factors, and an efficient O(1) guarantee for a single ReLU (k=1) independent of the input dimension d. Assuming Gap-ETH, we also rule out efficient proper online learners that achieve realizable accumulated loss o(d) for any constant k≥ 2.

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Efficient Sampling with Discrete Diffusion Models: Sharp and Adaptive Guarantees

Daniil Dmitriev, Zhihan Huang, Yuting Wei

展开摘要

Diffusion models over discrete spaces have recently shown striking empirical success, yet their theoretical foundations remain incomplete. In this paper, we study the sampling efficiency of score-based discrete diffusion models under a continuous-time Markov chain (CTMC) formulation, with a focus on τ-leaping-based samplers. We establish sharp convergence guarantees for attaining ε accuracy in Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence for both uniform and masking noising processes. For uniform discrete diffusion, we show that τ-leaping achieves an iteration complexity of order Õ(d/ε), with d the ambient dimension of the target distribution, eliminating linear dependence on the vocabulary size S and improving existing bounds by a factor of d; moreover, we establish a matching algorithmic lower bound showing that linear dependence on the ambient dimension is unavoidable in general. For masking discrete diffusion, we introduce a modified τ-leaping sampler whose convergence rate is governed by an intrinsic information-theoretic quantity, termed the effective total correlation, which is bounded by d log S but can be sublinear or even constant for structured data. As a consequence, the sampler provably adapts to low-dimensional structure without prior knowledge or algorithmic modification, yielding sublinear convergence rates for various practical examples (such as hidden Markov models, image data, and random graphs). Our analysis requires no boundedness or smoothness assumptions on the score estimator beyond control of the score entropy loss.

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