COLT 2024 论文列表

Conference on Learning Theory

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Follow-the-Perturbed-Leader with Fréchet-type Tail Distributions: Optimality in Adversarial Bandits and Best-of-Both-Worlds

Jongyeong Lee, Junya Honda, Shinji Ito, Min-hwan Oh

展开摘要

This paper studies the optimality of the Follow-the-Perturbed-Leader (FTPL) policy in both adversarial and stochastic $K$-armed bandits. Despite the widespread use of the Follow-the-Regularized-Leader (FTRL) framework with various choices of regularization, the FTPL framework, which relies on random perturbations, has not received much attention, despite its inherent simplicity. In adversarial bandits, there has been conjecture that FTPL could potentially achieve $\mathcal{O}(\sqrt{KT})$ regrets if perturbations follow a distribution with a Fréchet-type tail. Recent work by Honda et al. (2023) showed that FTPL with Fréchet distribution with shape $\alpha=2$ indeed attains this bound and, notably logarithmic regret in stochastic bandits, meaning the Best-of-Both-Worlds (BOBW) capability of FTPL. However, this result only partly resolves the above conjecture because their analysis heavily relies on the specific form of the Fréchet distribution with this shape. In this paper, we establish a sufficient condition for perturbations to achieve $\mathcal{O}(\sqrt{KT})$ regrets in the adversarial setting, which covers, e.g., Fréchet, Pareto, and Student-$t$ distributions. We also demonstrate the BOBW achievability of FTPL with certain Fréchet-type tail distributions. Our results contribute not only to resolving existing conjectures through the lens of extreme value theory but also potentially offer insights into the effect of the regularization functions in FTRL through the mapping from FTPL to FTRL.

Poster
Fit Like You Sample: Sample-Efficient Generalized Score Matching from Fast Mixing Diffusions

Yilong Qin, Andrej Risteski

展开摘要

Score matching is an approach to learning probability distributions parametrized up to a constant of proportionality (e.g., energy-based models). The idea is to fit the score of the distribution rather than the likelihood, thus avoiding the need to evaluate the constant of proportionality. While there’s a clear algorithmic benefit, the statistical cost can be steep: recent work by Koehler et al. (2022) showed that for distributions that have poor isoperimetric properties (a large Poincar{é} or log-Sobolev constant), score matching is substantially statistically less efficient than maximum likelihood. However, many natural realistic distributions, e.g. multimodal distributions as simple as a mixture of two Gaussians in one dimension have a poor Poincar{é} constant. In this paper, we show a close connection between the mixing time of a broad class of Markov processes with generator L and stationary distribution p, and an appropriately chosen generalized score matching loss that tries to fit Op. In the special case of O being a gradient operator, and L being the generator of Langevin diffusion, this generalizes and recovers the results from Koehler et al. (2022). This allows us to adapt techniques to speed up Markov chains to construct better score-matching losses. In particular, "preconditioning" the diffusion can be translated to an appropriate "preconditioning" of the score loss. Lifting the chain by adding a temperature like in simulated tempering can be shown to result in a Gaussian-convolution annealed score matching loss, similar to Song and Ermon (2019). Moreover, we show that if the distribution being learned is a finite mixture of Gaussians in d dimensions with a shared covariance, the sample complexity of annealed score matching is polynomial in the ambient dimension, the diameter of the means, and the smallest and largest eigenvalues of the covariance. To show this we bound the mixing time of a "continuously tempered" version of Langevin diffusion for mixtures, which is of standalone interest.

Poster
Finding Super-spreaders in Network Cascades

Elchanan Mossel, Anirudh Sridhar

展开摘要

Suppose that a cascade (e.g., an epidemic) spreads on an unknown graph, and only the infection times of vertices are observed. What can be learned about the graph from the infection times caused by multiple distinct cascades? Most of the literature on this topic focuses on the task of recovering the \emph{entire} graph, which requires $\Omega ( \log n)$ cascades for an $n$-vertex bounded degree graph. Here we ask a different question: can the important parts of the graph be estimated from just a few (i.e., constant number) of cascades, even as $n$ grows large? In this work, we focus on identifying super-spreaders (i.e., high-degree vertices) from infection times caused by a Susceptible-Infected process on a graph. Our first main result shows that vertices of degree greater than $n^{3/4}$ can indeed be estimated from a constant number of cascades. Our algorithm for doing so leverages a novel connection between vertex degrees and the second derivative of the cumulative infection curve. Conversely, we show that estimating vertices of degree smaller than $n^{1/2}$ requires at least $\log(n) / \log \log (n)$ cascades. Surprisingly, this matches (up to $\log \log n$ factors) the number of cascades needed to learn the \emph{entire} graph if it is a tree.

Poster
Faster Spectral Density Estimation and Sparsification in the Nuclear Norm (Extended Abstract)

Yujia Jin, Ishani Karmarkar, Christopher Musco, Aaron Sidford, Apoorv Vikram Singh

展开摘要

We consider the problem of estimating the spectral density of a normalized graph adjacency matrix. Concretely, given an undirected graph $G = (V, E, w)$ with $n$ nodes and positive edge weights $w \in \mathbb{R}^{E}_{> 0}$, the goal is to return eigenvalue estimates $\widehat{\lambda}_1 \le \cdots\le \widehat{\lambda}_n$ such that \begin{align*} \frac{1}{n} \sum_{i\in\{1,\ldots, n\}}|\widehat{\lambda}_i-\lambda_i(N_G)|\le \varepsilon, \end{align*} where ${\lambda}_1(N_G)\le \cdots\le{\lambda}_n(N_G)$ are the eigenvalues of $G$’s normalized adjacency matrix, $N_G$. This goal is equivalent to requiring that the Wasserstein-1 distance between the uniform distribution on $\lambda_1, \ldots, \lambda_n$ and the uniform distribution on $\widehat{\lambda}_1, \ldots, \widehat{\lambda}_n$ is less than $\varepsilon$. We provide a randomized algorithm that achieves the guarantee above with $O(n\varepsilon^{-2})$ queries to a degree and neighbor oracle and in $O(n\varepsilon^{-3})$ time. This improves on previous state-of-the-art methods, including an $O(n\varepsilon^{-7})$ time algorithm from [Braverman et al., STOC 2022] and, for sufficiently small $\varepsilon$, a $2^{O(\varepsilon^{-1})}$ time method from [Cohen-Steiner et al., KDD 2018]. To achieve this result, we introduce a new notion of graph sparsification, which we call \emph{nuclear sparsification}. We provide an $O(n\varepsilon^{-2})$-query and $O(n\varepsilon^{-2})$-time algorithm for computing $O(n\varepsilon^{-2})$-sparse nuclear sparsifiers. We show that this bound is optimal in both its sparsity and query complexity, and we separate our results from the related notion of additive spectral sparsification. Of independent interest, we show that our sparsification method also yields the first \emph{deterministic} algorithm for spectral density estimation that scales linearly with $n$ (sublinear in the representation size of the graph).

Poster
Faster Sampling without Isoperimetry via Diffusion-based Monte Carlo

Xunpeng Huang, Difan Zou, Hanze Dong, Yi-An Ma, Tong Zhang

展开摘要

To sample from a general target distribution $p_*\propto e^{-f_*}$ beyond the isoperimetric condition, Huang et al. (2023) proposed to perform sampling through reverse diffusion, giving rise to Diffusion-based Monte Carlo (DMC). Specifically, DMC follows the reverse SDE of a diffusion process that transforms the target distribution to the standard Gaussian, utilizing a non-parametric score estimation. However, the original DMC algorithm encountered high gradient complexity, resulting in an exponential dependency on the error tolerance $\epsilon$ of the obtained samples. In this paper, we demonstrate that the high complexity of the original DMC algorithm originates from its redundant design of score estimation, and proposed a more efficient DMC algorithm, called RS-DMC, based on a novel recursive score estimation method. In particular, we first divide the entire diffusion process into multiple segments and then formulate the score estimation step (at any time step) as a series of interconnected mean estimation and sampling subproblems accordingly, which are correlated in a recursive manner. Importantly, we show that with a proper design of the segment decomposition, all sampling subproblems will only need to tackle a strongly log-concave distribution, which can be very efficient to solve using the standard sampler (e.g., Langevin Monte Carlo) with a provably rapid convergence rate. As a result, we prove that the gradient complexity of RS-DMC exhibits merely a quasi-polynomial dependency on $\epsilon$. This finding is highly unexpected as it substantially enhances the prevailing belief of the necessity for exponential gradient complexity in all prior works such as Huang et al. (2023). Under commonly used dissipative conditions, our algorithm is provably much faster than the popular Langevin-based algorithms. Our algorithm design and theoretical framework illuminate a novel direction for addressing sampling problems, which could be of broader applicability in the community.

Poster
Fast, blind, and accurate: Tuning-free sparse regression with global linear convergence

Claudio Mayrink Verdun, Oleh Melnyk, Felix Krahmer, Peter Jung

展开摘要

Many algorithms for high-dimensional regression problems require the calibration of regularization hyperparameters. This, in turn, often requires the knowledge of the unknown noise variance in order to produce meaningful solutions. Recent works show, however, that there exist certain estimators that are pivotal, i.e., the regularization parameter does not depend on the noise level; the most remarkable example being the square-root lasso. Such estimators have also been shown to exhibit strong connections to distributionally robust optimization. Despite the progress in the design of pivotal estimators, the resulting minimization problem is challenging as both the loss function and the regularization term are non-smooth. To date, the design of fast, robust, and scalable algorithms with strong convergence rate guarantees is still an open problem. This work addresses this problem by showing that an iteratively reweighted least squares (IRLS) algorithm exhibits global linear convergence under the weakest assumption available in the literature. We expect our findings will also have implications for multi-task learning and distributionally robust optimization.

Poster
Fast two-time-scale stochastic gradient method with applications in reinforcement learning

Sihan Zeng, Thinh Doan

展开摘要

Two-time-scale optimization is a framework introduced in Zeng et al. (2024) that abstracts a range of policy evaluation and policy optimization problems in reinforcement learning (RL). Akin to bi-level optimization under a particular type of stochastic oracle, the two-time-scale optimization framework has an upper level objective whose gradient evaluation depends on the solution of a lower level problem, which is to find the root of a strongly monotone operator. In this work, we propose a new method for solving two-time-scale optimization that achieves significantly faster convergence than the prior arts. The key idea of our approach is to leverage an averaging step to improve the estimates of the operators in both lower and upper levels before using them to update the decision variables. These additional averaging steps eliminate the direct coupling between the main variables, enabling the accelerated performance of our algorithm. We characterize the finite-time convergence rates of the proposed algorithm under various conditions of the underlying objective function, including strong convexity, convexity, Polyak-Lojasiewicz condition, and general non-convexity. These rates significantly improve over the best-known complexity of the standard two-time-scale stochastic approximation algorithm. When applied to RL, we show how the proposed algorithm specializes to novel online sample-based methods that surpass or match the performance of the existing state of the art. Finally, we support our theoretical results with numerical simulations in RL.

Poster
Fast sampling from constrained spaces using the Metropolis-adjusted Mirror Langevin algorithm

Vishwak Srinivasan, Andre Wibisono, Ashia Wilson

展开摘要

We propose a new method called the Metropolis-adjusted Mirror Langevin algorithm for approximate sampling from distributions whose support is a compact and convex set. This algorithm adds an accept-reject filter to the Markov chain induced by a single step of the Mirror Langevin algorithm (Zhang et al, 2020), which is a basic discretisation of the Mirror Langevin dynamics. Due to the inclusion of this filter, our method is unbiased relative to the target, while known discretisations of the Mirror Langevin dynamics including the Mirror Langevin algorithm have an asymptotic bias. For this algorithm, we also give upper bounds for the number of iterations taken to mix to a constrained distribution whose potential is relatively smooth, convex, and Lipschitz continuous with respect to a self-concordant mirror function. As a consequence of the reversibility of the Markov chain induced by the inclusion of the Metropolis-Hastings filter, we obtain an exponentially better dependence on the error tolerance for approximate constrained sampling.

Poster
Fast parallel sampling under isoperimetry

Nima Anari, Sinho Chewi, Thuy-Duong Vuong

展开摘要

We show how to sample in parallel from a distribution $\pi$ over $\mathbb{R}^d$ that satisfies a log-Sobolev inequality and has a smooth log-density, by parallelizing the Langevin (resp. underdamped Langevin) algorithms. We show that our algorithm outputs samples from a distribution $\hat{\pi}$ that is close to $\pi$ in Kullback–Leibler (KL) divergence (resp. total variation (TV) distance), while using only $\log(d)^{O(1)}$ parallel rounds and $\widetilde{O}(d)$ (resp. $\widetilde O(\sqrt d)$) gradient evaluations in total. This constitutes the first parallel sampling algorithms with TV distance guarantees. For our main application, we show how to combine the TV distance guarantees of our algorithms with prior works and obtain RNC sampling-to-counting reductions for families of discrete distribution on the hypercube $\{\pm 1\}^n$ that are closed under exponential tilts and have bounded covariance. Consequently, we obtain an RNC sampler for directed Eulerian tours and asymmetric determinantal point processes, resolving open questions raised in prior works.

Poster
Exact Mean Square Linear Stability Analysis for SGD

Rotem Mulayoff, Tomer Michaeli

展开摘要

The dynamical stability of optimization methods at the vicinity of minima of the loss has recently attracted significant attention. For gradient descent (GD), stable convergence is possible only to minima that are sufficiently flat w.r.t. the step size, and those have been linked with favorable properties of the trained model. However, while the stability threshold of GD is well-known, to date, no explicit expression has been derived for the exact threshold of stochastic GD (SGD). In this paper, we derive such a closed-form expression. Specifically, we provide an explicit condition on the step size that is both necessary and sufficient for the linear stability of SGD in the mean square sense. Our analysis sheds light on the precise role of the batch size B. In particular, we show that the stability threshold is monotonically non-decreasing in the batch size, which means that reducing the batch size can only decrease stability. Furthermore, we show that SGD’s stability threshold is equivalent to that of a mixture process which takes in each iteration a full batch gradient step w.p. 1-p, and a single sample gradient step w.p. $p$, where $p \approx 1/B$. This indicates that even with moderate batch sizes, SGD’s stability threshold is very close to that of GD’s. We also prove simple necessary conditions for linear stability, which depend on the batch size, and are easier to compute than the precise threshold. Finally, we derive the asymptotic covariance of the dynamics around the minimum, and discuss its dependence on the learning rate. We validate our theoretical findings through experiments on the MNIST dataset.

Poster
Errors are Robustly Tamed in Cumulative Knowledge Processes

Anna Brandenberger, Cassandra Marcussen, Elchanan Mossel, Madhu Sudan

展开摘要

We study processes of societal knowledge accumulation, where the validity of a new unit of knowledge depends both on the correctness of its derivation and on the validity of the units it depends on. A fundamental question in this setting is: If a constant fraction of the new derivations is wrong, can investing a constant fraction, bounded away from one, of effort ensure that a constant fraction of knowledge in society is valid? Ben-Eliezer, Mikulincer, Mossel, and Sudan (ITCS 2023) introduced a concrete probabilistic model to analyze such questions and showed an affirmative answer to this question. Their study, however, focuses on the simple case where each new unit depends on just one existing unit, and units attach according to a {\em preferential attachment rule}. In this work, we consider much more general families of cumulative knowledge processes, where new units may attach according to varied attachment mechanisms and depend on multiple existing units. We also allow a (random) fraction of insertions of adversarial nodes. We give a robust affirmative answer to the above question by showing that for \textit{all} of these models, as long as many of the units follow simple heuristics for checking a bounded number of units they depend on, all errors will be eventually eliminated. Our results indicate that preserving the quality of large interdependent collections of units of knowledge is feasible, as long as careful but not too costly checks are performed when new units are derived/deposited.

Poster
Efficiently Learning One-Hidden-Layer ReLU Networks via SchurPolynomials

Ilias Diakonikolas, Daniel M. Kane

展开摘要

We study the problem of PAC learning a linear combination of $k$ ReLU activations under the standard Gaussian distribution on $\mathbb{R}^d$ with respect to the square loss. Our main result is an efficient algorithm for this learning task with sample and computational complexity $(dk/\epsilon)^{O(k)}$, where $\epsilon>0$ is the target accuracy. Prior work had given an algorithm for this problem with complexity $(dk/\epsilon)^{h(k)}$, where the function $h(k)$ scales super-polynomially in $k$. Interestingly, the complexity of our algorithm is near-optimal within the class of Correlational Statistical Query algorithms. At a high-level, our algorithm uses tensor decomposition to identify a subspace such that all the $O(k)$-order moments are small in the orthogonal directions. Its analysis makes essential use of the theory of Schur polynomials to show that the higher-moment error tensors are small given that the lower-order ones are.

Poster
Efficient Algorithms for Learning Monophonic Halfspaces in Graphs

Marco Bressan, Emmanuel Esposito, Maximilian Thiessen

展开摘要

We study the problem of learning a binary classifier on the vertices of a graph. In particular, we consider classifiers given by \emph{monophonic halfspaces}, partitions of the vertices that are convex in a certain abstract sense. Monophonic halfspaces, and related notions such as geodesic halfspaces, have recently attracted interest, and several connections have been drawn between their properties (e.g., their VC dimension) and the structure of the underlying graph $G$. We prove several novel results for learning monophonic halfspaces in the supervised, online, and active settings. Our main result is that a monophonic halfspace can be learned with near-optimal passive sample complexity in time polynomial in $n=|V(G)|$. This requires us to devise a polynomial-time algorithm for consistent hypothesis checking, based on several structural insights on monophonic halfspaces and on a reduction to 2-satisfiability. We prove similar results for the online and active settings. We also show that the concept class can be enumerated with delay $\mathrm{poly}(n)$, and that empirical risk minimization can be performed in time $2^{\omega(G)}\mathrm{poly}(n)$ where $\omega(G)$ is the clique number of $G$. These results answer open questions from the literature (González et al. 2020), and show a contrast with geodesic halfspaces, for which some of the said problems are NP-hard (Seiffarth et al., 2023).

Poster
Efficient Algorithms for Attributed Graph Alignment with Vanishing Edge Correlation Extended Abstract

Ziao Wang, Weina Wang, Lele Wang

展开摘要

Graph alignment refers to the task of finding the vertex correspondence between two correlated graphs of $n$ vertices. Extensive study has been done on polynomial-time algorithms for the graph alignment problem under the Erdős–Rényi graph pair model, where the two graphs are Erdős–Rényi graphs with edge probability $q_\mathrm{u}$, correlated under certain vertex correspondence. To achieve exact recovery of the correspondence, all existing algorithms at least require the edge correlation coefficient $\rho_\mathrm{u}$ between the two graphs to be \emph{non-vanishing} as $n\rightarrow\infty$. Moreover, it is conjectured that no polynomial-time algorithm can achieve exact recovery under vanishing edge correlation $\rho_\mathrm{u}<1/\mathrm{polylog}(n)$. In this paper, we show that with a vanishing amount of additional \emph{attribute information}, exact recovery is polynomial-time feasible under \emph{vanishing} edge correlation $\rho_\mathrm{u} \ge n^{-\Theta(1)}$. We identify a \emph{local} tree structure, which incorporates one layer of user information and one layer of attribute information, and apply the subgraph counting technique to such structures. A polynomial-time algorithm is proposed that recovers the vertex correspondence for most of the vertices, and then refines the output to achieve exact recovery. The consideration of attribute information is motivated by real-world applications like LinkedIn and Twitter, where user attributes like birthplace and education background can aid alignment.

Poster
Dual VC Dimension Obstructs Sample Compression by Embeddings

Zachary Chase, Bogdan Chornomaz, Steve Hanneke, Shay Moran, Amir Yehudayoff

展开摘要

This work studies embedding of arbitrary VC classes in well-behaved VC classes, focusing particularly on extremal classes. Our main result expresses an impossibility: such embeddings necessarily require a significant increase in dimension. In particular, we prove that for every $d$ there is a class with VC dimension $d$ that cannot be embedded in any extremal class of VC dimension smaller than exponential in $d$. In addition to its independent interest, this result has an important implication in learning theory, as it reveals a fundamental limitation of one of the most extensively studied approaches to tackling the long-standing sample compression conjecture. Concretely, the approach proposed by Floyd and Warmuth entails embedding any given VC class into an extremal class of a comparable dimension, and then applying an optimal sample compression scheme for extremal classes. However, our results imply that this strategy would in some cases result in a sample compression scheme at least exponentially larger than what is predicted by the sample compression conjecture. The above implications follow from a general result we prove: any extremal class with VC dimension $d$ has dual VC dimension at most $2d+1$. This bound is exponentially smaller than the classical bound $2^{d+1}-1$ of Assouad, which applies to general concept classes (and is known to be unimprovable for some classes). We in fact prove a stronger result, establishing that $2d+1$ upper bounds the dual Radon number of extremal classes. This theorem represents an abstraction of the classical Radon theorem for convex sets, extending its applicability to a wider combinatorial framework, without relying on the specifics of Euclidean convexity. The proof utilizes the topological method and is primarily based on variants of the Topological Radon Theorem.

Poster
Dimension-free Structured Covariance Estimation

Nikita Puchkin, Maxim Rakhuba

展开摘要

Given a sample of i.i.d. high-dimensional centered random vectors, we consider a problem of estimation of their covariance matrix $\Sigma$ with an additional assumption that $\Sigma$ can be represented as a sum of a few Kronecker products of smaller matrices. Under mild conditions, we derive the first non-asymptotic dimension-free high-probability bound on the Frobenius distance between $\Sigma$ and a widely used penalized permuted least squares estimate. Because of the hidden structure, the established rate of convergence is faster than in the standard covariance estimation problem.

Poster
Detection of $L_∞$ Geometry in Random Geometric Graphs: Suboptimality of Triangles and Cluster Expansion

Kiril Bangachev, Guy Bresler

展开摘要

In this paper we study the random geometric graph $\mathsf{RGG}(n,\mathbb{T}^d,\mathsf{Unif},\sigma^q_p,p)$ with $L_q$ distance where each vertex is sampled uniformly from the $d$-dimensional torus and where the connection radius is chosen so that the marginal edge probability is $p$. In addition to results addressing other questions, we make progress on determining when it is possible to distinguish $\mathsf{RGG}(n,\mathbb{T}^d,\mathsf{Unif},\sigma^q_p,p)$ from the Erdős-Rényi graph $\ergraph$. Our strongest result is in the setting $q = \infty$, in which case $\mathsf{RGG}(n,\mathbb{T}^d,\mathsf{Unif},\sigma^q_p,p)$ is the \textsf{AND} of $d$ 1-dimensional random geometric graphs. We derive a formula similar to the \emph{cluster-expansion} from statistical physics, capturing the compatibility of subgraphs from each of the $d$ 1-dimensional copies, and use it to bound the signed expectations of small subgraphs. We show that counting signed 4-cycles is optimal among all low-degree tests, succeeding with high probability if and only if $d = \tilde{o}(np).$ In contrast, the signed triangle test is suboptimal and only succeeds when $d = \tilde{o}((np)^{3/4}).$ Our result stands in sharp contrast to the existing literature on random geometric graphs (mostly focused on $L_2$ geometry) where the signed triangle statistic is optimal.

Poster
Depth Separation in Norm-Bounded Infinite-Width Neural Networks

Suzanna Parkinson, Greg Ongie, Rebecca Willett, Ohad Shamir, Nathan Srebro

展开摘要

We study depth separation in infinite-width neural networks, where complexity is controlled by the overall squared $\ell_2$-norm of the weights (sum of squares of all weights in the network). Whereas previous depth separation results focused on separation in terms of width, such results do not give insight into whether depth determines if it is possible to learn a network that generalizes well even when the network width is unbounded. Here, we study separation in terms of the sample complexity required for learnability. Specifically, we show that there are functions that are learnable with sample complexity polynomial in the input dimension by norm-controlled depth-3 ReLU networks, yet are not learnable with sub-exponential sample complexity by norm-controlled depth-2 ReLU networks (with any value for the norm). We also show that a similar statement in the reverse direction is not possible: any function learnable with polynomial sample complexity by a norm-controlled depth-2 ReLU network with infinite width is also learnable with polynomial sample complexity by a norm-controlled depth-3 ReLU network.

Poster
Counting Stars is Constant-Degree Optimal For Detecting Any Planted Subgraph: Extended Abstract

Xifan Yu, Ilias Zadik, Peiyuan Zhang

展开摘要

We prove that whenever $p=\Omega(1)$ and for any graph $H$, counting $O(1)$-stars is optimal among all constant degree polynomial tests in terms of strongly separating an instance of $G(n,p),$ from the union of a random copy of $H$ with an instance of $G(n,p).$ Our work generalizes and extends multiple previous results on the inference abilities of $O(1)$-degree polynomials in the literature.

Poster
Correlated Binomial Process

Moise Blanchard, Doron Cohen, Aryeh Kontorovich

展开摘要

Cohen and Kontorovich (COLT 2023) initiated the study of what we call here the Binomial Empirical Process: the maximal empirical mean deviation for sequences of binary random variables (up to rescaling, the empirical mean of each entry of the random sequence is a binomial hence the naming). They almost fully analyzed the case where the binomials are independent, which corresponds to all random variable entries from the sequence being independent. The remaining gap was closed by Blanchard and Voráček (ALT 2024). In this work, we study the much more general and challenging case with correlations. In contradistinction to Gaussian processes, whose behavior is characterized by the covariance structure, we discover that, at least somewhat surprisingly, for binomial processes covariance does not even characterize convergence. Although a full characterization remains out of reach, we take the first steps with nontrivial upper and lower bounds in terms of covering numbers.

Poster