AISTATS 2026 论文列表

International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics

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Narrowing Action Choices with AI Improves Human Sequential Decisions

Eleni Straitouri, Stratis Tsirtsis, Ander Artola Velasco, Manuel Gomez Rodriguez

展开摘要

Recent work has shown that, in classification tasks, it is possible to design decision support systems that do not require human experts to understand when to cede agency to a classifier or when to exercise their own agency to achieve complementarity—experts using these systems make more accurate predictions than those made by the experts or the classifier alone. The key principle underpinning these systems reduces to adaptively controlling the level of human agency, by design. Can we use the same principle to achieve complementarity in sequential decision making tasks? In this paper, we answer this question affirmatively. We develop a decision support system that uses a pre-trained AI agent to narrow down the set of actions a human can take to a subset, and then asks the human to take an action from the action set. Along the way, we also introduce a bandit algorithm that leverages the smoothness properties of the action sets provided by our system to efficiently optimize the level of human agency. To evaluate our decision support system, we conduct a large-scale human subject study (n = 1,600) where participants play a wildfire mitigation game. We find that participants who play the game supported by our system outperform those who play on their own by ∼30

Accept
Differential Privacy in Kernelized Contextual Bandits via Random Projections

Nikola Pavlovic, Sudeep Salgia, Qing Zhao

展开摘要

We consider the problem of contextual kernel bandits with stochastic contexts, where the underlying reward function belongs to a known Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Space. We study this problem under an additional constraint of Differential Privacy, where the agent needs to ensure that the sequence of query points is differentially private with respect to both the sequence of contexts and rewards. We propose a novel algorithm that achieves the state-of-the-art cumulative regret of 𝒪(√(γ_TT)+γ_T/ε_DP) and 𝒪(√(γ_TT)+γ_T√(T)/ε_DP) over a time horizon of T in the joint and local models of differential privacy, respectively, where γ_T is the effective dimension of the kernel and ε_DP > 0 is the privacy parameter. The key ingredient of the proposed algorithm is a novel private kernel-ridge regression estimator which is based on a combination of private covariance estimation and private random projections. It offers a significantly reduced sensitivity compared to its classical counterpart while maintaining a high prediction accuracy, allowing our algorithm to achieve the state-of-the-art performance guarantees.

Accept
On Relation-Aware Slicing in Cross-Domain Alignment

Dhruv Sarkar, Aprameyo Chakrabartty, Anish Chakrabarty, Swagatam Das

展开摘要

The Sliced Gromov-Wasserstein (SGW) distance, aiming to relieve the computational cost of solving a non-convex quadratic program that is the Gromov-Wasserstein distance, utilizes projecting directions sampled uniformly from unit hyperspheres. This slicing mechanism incurs unnecessary computational costs due to uninformative directions, which also affects the representative power of the distance. However, finding a more appropriate distribution over the projecting directions (slicing distribution) is often an optimization problem in itself that comes with its own computational cost. In addition, with more intricate distributions, the sampling itself may be expensive. As a remedy, we propose an optimization-free slicing distribution that provides fast sampling for the Monte Carlo approximation. We do so by introducing the Relation-Aware Projecting Direction (RAPD), effectively capturing the pairwise association of each of two pairs of random vectors, each following their ambient law. This enables us to derive the Relation-Aware Slicing Distribution (RASD), a location-scale law corresponding to sampled RAPDs. Finally, we introduce the RASGW distance and its variants, e.g., IWRASGW (Importance Weighted RASGW), which overcome the shortcomings experienced by SGW. We theoretically analyze its properties and substantiate its empirical prowess using extensive experiments on various alignment tasks.

Accept
A Recovery Theory for Diffusion Priors: Deterministic Analysis of the Implicit Prior Algorithm

Oscar Leong, Yann Traonmilin

展开摘要

Recovering high-dimensional signals from corrupted measurements is a central challenge in inverse problems. Recent advances in generative diffusion models have shown remarkable empirical success in providing strong data-driven priors, but rigorous recovery guarantees remain limited. In this work, we develop a theoretical framework for analyzing deterministic diffusion-based algorithms for inverse problems, focusing on a deterministic version of the algorithm proposed by Kadkhodaie Simoncelli. First, we show that when the underlying data distribution concentrates on a low-dimensional model set, the associated noise-convolved scores can be interpreted as time-varying projections onto such a set. This leads to interpreting previous algorithms using diffusion priors for inverse problems as generalized projected gradient descent methods with varying projections. When the sensing matrix satisfies a restricted isometry property over the model set, we can derive quantitative convergence rates that depend explicitly on the noise schedule. We apply our framework to two instructive data distributions: uniform distributions over low-dimensional compact, convex sets and low-rank Gaussian mixture models. In the latter setting, we can establish global convergence guarantees despite the nonconvexity of the underlying model set.

Accept
Sparse Linear Bandits with Blocking Constraints

Adit Jain, Soumyabrata Pal, Sunav Choudhary, Ramasuri Narayanam, Harshita Chopra, Vikram Krishnamurthy

展开摘要

We investigate the high-dimensional sparse linear bandits problem in a data-poor regime where the time horizon is much smaller than the ambient dimension and number of arms. We study the setting under the additional blocking constraint where each unique arm can be pulled only once. The blocking constraint is motivated by practical applications in personalized content recommendation and identification of datapoints to improve annotation efficiency for complex learning tasks. With mild assumptions on the arms, our proposed online algorithm () achieves a regret guarantee of 𝖮((1+β_k)^2k^2/3𝖳^2/3) where the parameter vector has an (unknown) relative tail β_k - the ratio of ℓ_1 norm of the top-k and remaining entries of the parameter vector. To this end, we show novel offline statistical guarantees of the lasso estimator for the linear model that is robust to the sparsity modeling assumption. Finally, we propose a meta-algorithm () based on corralling that does not need knowledge of optimal sparsity parameter k at minimal cost to regret. Our experiments on multiple real-world datasets demonstrate the validity of our algorithms and theoretical framework.

Accept
Stochastic Bandits on Mixture Distributions: Metrics Regret Bounds

Adit Jain, Sujay Bhatt, Alec Koppel

展开摘要

Multimodal reward distributions naturally arise in real-world applications such as targeted recommendations to heterogeneous sub-populations and selective unit-level interventions. These settings challenge standard mean or risk-based bandit approaches, requiring metrics that quantify the merit of mixture parameters without prior mode knowledge. We consider the bandit setting where the reward associated with an arm is sampled from a finite mixture of Gaussians, which is strictly more general than the unimodal setting. We consider ranking arms using functions of the mixture parameters and propose methods to minimize the cumulative regret with respect to the induced ranking. We show that the achievable pseudo-regret has a lower bound of the order Ω(𝖳^1/2) and propose an explore and exploit based on expectation maximization (ETE-EM) algorithm which achieves a regret of 𝖮(𝖳^2/3). Further, we show that the modification of Thompson sampling (TS-EM) achieves a Bayes regret of 𝖮(𝖳^1/2). Experiments validate our approach in practice, where we benchmark against both algorithms designed for sub-Gaussian bandits and naive clustering-based extensions of empirical CDF methods, showing our approach achieves consistently lower regret across choice of metrics.

Accept
Meet Me at the Arm: The Cooperative Multi Armed Bandits Problem with Shareable Arms

Xinyi Hu, Aldo Pacchiano

展开摘要

We study the decentralized multi-player multi-armed bandits (MMAB) problem under a no-sensing setting, where each player receives only their own reward and obtains no information about collisions. Each arm has an unknown capacity, and if the number of players pulling an arm exceeds its capacity, all players involved receive zero reward. This setting generalizes the classical unit-capacity model and introduces new challenges in coordination and capacity discovery under severe feedback limitations. We propose A-CAPELLA (Algorithm for Capacity-Aware Parallel Elimination for Learning and Allocation), a decentralized learning algorithm that achieves logarithmic regret in this generalized regime via protocol-driven coordination.

Accept
Filter, Augment, Forecast: Online Data Selection for Robust Time Series Forecasting

Ege Onur Taga, Halil Alperen Gozeten, Kutay Tire, Rahul Dalvi, Reinhard Heckel, Samet Oymak

展开摘要

Data curation pipelines play a central role in training deep learning architectures, with their impact in time series forecasting still relatively underexplored. In this work, we propose Filter, Augment, Forecast (FAF): an online data curation strategy based on (1) data selection to filter out low-quality (e.g., noisy) examples and (2) augmentation of the remaining high-quality data. We use reference model-based filtering inspired by the reducible holdout loss selection (RHO-LOSS) from the language modeling literature. We identify limitations of RHO-LOSS under domain shifts common in time series and introduce the adaptive RHO method (AdaRho), which improves performance by updating the reference model during training. Using random matrix theory, we provide a statistical analysis that characterizes the role of the reference model, sample size, and noise statistics in data selection. FAF consistently improves forecasting accuracy across diverse architectures without modifying them, achieving state-of-the-art results.

Accept
Provable Effects of Data Replay in Continual Learning: A Feature Learning Perspective

Meng Ding, Jinhui Xu, Kaiyi Ji

展开摘要

Continual learning (CL) aims to train models on a sequence of tasks while retaining performance on previously learned ones. A core challenge in this setting is catastrophic forgetting, where new learning interferes with past knowledge. Among various mitigation strategies, data-replay methods—where past samples are periodically revisited—are considered simple yet effective, especially when memory constraints are relaxed. However, the theoretical effectiveness of full data replay, where all past data is accessible during training, remains largely unexplored. In this paper, we present the first theoretical framework for analyzing full data-replay training in continual learning from a feature learning perspective. Adopting a multi-view data model, we identify the signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) as a critical factor affecting forgetting. Focusing on task-incremental binary classification across M tasks, our analysis verifies two key conclusions: (1) forgetting can still occur under full replay when the cumulative noise from later tasks dominates the signal from earlier ones; and (2) with sufficient signal accumulation, data replay can recover earlier tasks-even if their initial learning was poor. Notably, we uncover a novel insight into task ordering: prioritizing higher-signal tasks not only facilitates learning of lower-signal tasks but also helps prevent catastrophic forgetting—highlighting the importance of order-aware replay strategies. We validate our theoretical findings through synthetic experiments that visualize the interplay between signal learning and noise memorization across varying SNRs and task correlation regimes.

Accept
Linear Convergence of the Frank-Wolfe Algorithm over Product Polytopes

Gabriele Iommazzo, David Martínez-Rubio, Francisco Criado, Elias Samuel Wirth, Sebastian Pokutta

展开摘要

We study the linear convergence of Frank-Wolfe algorithms over product polytopes. We analyze two condition numbers for the product polytope, namely the pyramidal width and the vertex-facet distance, based on the condition numbers of individual polytope components. As a result, for convex objectives that are μ-Polyak-Łojasiewicz, we show linear convergence rates quantified in terms of the resulting condition numbers. We apply our results to the problem of approximately finding a feasible point in a polytope intersection in high-dimensions, and demonstrate the practical efficiency of our algorithms through empirical results.

Accept
Sample Average Approximation for Alpha-Divergence Minimization with Exponential Convergence Guarantees

François Bertholom, François Roueff, randal douc

展开摘要

We study the problem of approximating an unnormalized target distribution using probability densities from an exponential family. Specifically, we establish convergence guarantees for a monotonic alpha-divergence minimization algorithm, which decreases the alpha-divergence at each iteration. To illustrate our theoretical results, we propose an implementable Sample Average Approximation algorithm that solves a discrete approximation of the original problem. Through a detailed analysis of the loss landscape and the algorithm’s dynamics, we provide practical design guidelines which suffice to ensure its convergence.

Accept
Weighted Quantization Using MMD: From Mean Field to Mean Shift via Gradient Flows

Ayoub Belhadji, Daniel Sharp, Youssef Marzouk

展开摘要

Approximating a probability distribution using a set of particles is a fundamental problem in machine learning and statistics, with applications including clustering and quantization. Formally, we seek a weighted mixture of Dirac measures that best approximates the target distribution. While much existing work relies on the Wasserstein distance to quantify approximation errors, maximum mean discrepancy (MMD) has received comparatively less attention, especially when allowing for variable particle weights. We argue that a Wasserstein–Fisher–Rao gradient flow is well-suited for designing quantizations optimal under MMD. We show that a system of interacting particles satisfying a set of ODEs discretizes this flow. We further derive a new fixed-point algorithm called mean shift interacting particles (MSIP). We show that MSIP extends the classical mean shift algorithm, widely used for identifying modes in kernel density estimators. Moreover, we show that MSIP can be interpreted as preconditioned gradient descent and that it acts as a relaxation of Lloyd’s algorithm for clustering. Our unification of gradient flows, mean shift, and MMD-optimal quantization yields algorithms that are more robust than state-of-the-art methods, as demonstrated via high-dimensional and multi-modal numerical experiments.

Accept
Examining the Bias of In-Batch Sampling in Similarity Learning with Two-Tower Models

Yaxu Liu, Li-Chung Lin, Chih-Jen Lin

展开摘要

Two-tower models are widely used for applications involving learning similarities between pairs of entities, such as user-item pairs in recommender systems. These models are commonly trained using stochastic gradient methods. However, uniformly sampling data often leads to problematic batches that lack positive pairs, especially when positives are a minority of the dataset—a situation particularly common in similarity learning. Instead, a strategy known as in-batch sampling is widely adopted to ensure the presence of positive pairs and training efficiency. Nevertheless, in-batch sampling introduces its own issues, such as mistaking positives for negatives and oversampling popular pairs, resulting in significant performance degradation. In this work, we provide the first systematic analysis of these issues, showing that they all arise from the inconsistency between the expected objective under in-batch sampling and the full-data objective. We refer to this inconsistency as the bias of in-batch sampling. To validate our analysis, we design an unbiased batch loss and conduct rigorous experiments directly comparing unbiased and biased losses. The results provide strong empirical confirmation of our theoretical findings.

Accept
On Different Notions of Redundancy in Conditional-Independence-Based Discovery of Graphical Models

Philipp Michael Faller, Dominik Janzing

展开摘要

Conditional-independence-based discovery uses statistical tests to identify a graphical model that represents the independence structure of variables in a dataset. These test, however, can be unreliable and algorithms are sensitive to errors and violated assumptions. Often there are tests that were not used in the construction of the graph. In this work, we show that these redundant tests have the potential to detect or sometimes correct errors in the learned model. But we further show that not all tests contain this additional information and that such redundant tests have to be applied with care. Precisely, we argue that the conditional (in)dependence statements that hold for every probability distribution are unlikely to detect and correct errors - in contrast to those that follow only from graphical assumptions.

Accept
Integrating Feature Correlation in Differential Privacy with Applications in DP-ERM

Tianyu Wang, Luhao Zhang, Rachel Cummings

展开摘要

Standard differential privacy imposes uniform privacy constraints across all features, overlooking the inherent distinction between sensitive and insensitive features in practice. In this paper, we introduce a relaxed definition of differential privacy that accounts for such heterogeneity, allowing certain features to be treated as insensitive even when correlated with sensitive ones. We propose a correlation-aware framework, CorrDP, which relaxes privacy for insensitive features while accounting for their correlations with sensitive features, with the correlations quantified using total variation distance. We design algorithms for differentially private empirical risk minimization (DP-ERM) under the CorrDP framework, incorporating distance-dependent noise into gradients for improved theoretical utility guarantees. When the correlation distance is unknown, we estimate it from the dataset and show that it achieves a comparable privacy-utility guarantee. We perform experiments on synthetic and real-world datasets and show that CorrDP-based DP-ERM algorithms consistently outperform the standard DP framework.

Accept
Low Rank Based Subspace Inference for the Laplace Approximation of Bayesian Neural Networks

Josua Faller, Jörg Martin

展开摘要

Subspace inference for neural networks assumes that a subspace of their parameter space suffices to produce a reliable uncertainty quantification. In this work, we underpin the validity of this assumption by using low rank techniques. We derive an expression for a subspace model to a Bayesian inference scenario based on the Laplace approximation that is, in a certain sense, optimal given a specific dataset. We empirically show that a Laplace approximation constructed with a dimensionally reduced covariance matrix closely matches the full Laplace approximation obtained using the exact covariance matrix. Where feasible, this subspace model can serve as a baseline for benchmarking the performance of subspace models. In addition, we provide a scalable approximation of this subspace construction that is usable in practice and compare it to existing subspace models from the literature. In general, our approximation scheme outperforms previous work. Furthermore, we present a metric to qualitatively compare the approximation quality of different subspace models even if the exact Laplace approximation is unknown.

Accept
Causal-DRF: Conditional Kernel Treatment Effect Estimation using Distributional Random Forest

Jeffrey Näf, Junhyung Park, Herbert Susmann

展开摘要

The conditional average treatment effect (CATE) is a commonly targeted statistical parameter for measuring the effect of a treatment conditional on covariates. However, the CATE will fail to capture effects of treatments beyond differences in conditional expectations. Inspired by causal forests for CATE estimation, we develop a forest-based method to estimate the conditional kernel treatment effect (CKTE), based on the recently introduced Distributional Random Forest (DRF) algorithm. Adapting the splitting criterion of DRF, we show how one forest fit can be used to obtain a consistent and asymptotically normal estimator of the CKTE, as well as an approximation of its sampling distribution. This allows to study the difference in distribution between control and treatment group and thus yields a more comprehensive understanding of the treatment effect.

Accept
A Finite Time Analysis of Thompson Sampling for Bayesian Optimization with Preferential Feedback

Joseph Lazzaro, Davide Buffelli, Da-shan Shiu, Sattar Vakili

展开摘要

Preference feedback, in the form of pairwise comparisons rather than scalar scores, has seen increasing use in applications such as human-, laboratory-, and expert-in-the-loop design, as well as scientific discovery. We propose a Thompson Sampling (TS) approach to Bayesian optimization with preferential feedback that models comparisons using a monotone link on latent utility differences and leverages the dueling kernel induced by a base kernel. We provide a finite-time analysis showing that the performance of the proposed method matches that of standard TS for conventional Bayesian optimization with scalar feedback. The analysis exploits the anchor invariance of TS for challenger selection and introduces a double-TS pairing variant. We also demonstrate the performance of the method on both synthetic and real-world examples.

Accept
RoseCDL: Robust and Scalable Convolutional Dictionary Learning for Rare-event and Anomaly Detection

Jad Yehya, Mansour Benbakoura, Cédric Allain, Benoît Malézieux, Matthieu Kowalski, Thomas Moreau

展开摘要

Detecting rare events and anomalies in large-scale signals is essential in fields such as astronomy, physical simulations, and biomedical science. In many cases, this problem naturally decomposes into identifying common local patterns and detecting deviations that correspond to anomalies. Convolutional Dictionary Learning (CDL) is a powerful tool for modeling local structures, but its adoption for this task has been limited by computational demands and sensitivity to outliers. We introduce RoseCDL, a novel CDL algorithm designed for robust and scalable modeling of signal pattern distribution. RoseCDL leverages stochastic windowing for efficient training and incorporates inline outlier detection to enhance robustness. This enables unsupervised identification of anomalous and rare patterns in long signals based on the local reconstruction loss. Experiments on real-world datasets show that RoseCDL delivers improved detection accuracy and computational efficiency, making CDL practical for challenging detection tasks in large-scale signal analysis.

Accept
Information Hidden in Gradients of Regression with Target Noise

Arash Jamshidi, Katsiaryna Haitsiukevich, Kai Puolamäki

展开摘要

Second-order information—such as curvature or data covariance—is critical for optimisation, diagnostics, and robustness. However, in many modern settings, only the gradients are observable. We show that the gradients alone can reveal the Hessian, equalling the data covariance Σ for the linear regression. Our key insight is a simple variance calibration: injecting Gaussian noise so that the total target noise variance equals the batch size ensures that the empirical gradient covariance closely approximates the Hessian, even when evaluated far from the optimum. We provide non-asymptotic operator-norm guarantees under sub-Gaussian inputs. We also show that without such calibration, recovery can fail by an Ω(1) factor. The proposed method is practical (a “set target-noise variance to n” rule) and robust (variance 𝒪(n) suffices to recover Σ up to scale). Applications include preconditioning for faster optimisation, adversarial risk estimation, and gradient-only training, for example, in distributed systems. We support our theoretical results with experiments on synthetic and real data.

Accept