AISTATS 2016 论文列表

International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics

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164篇论文

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Mondrian Forests for Large-Scale Regression when Uncertainty Matters

Balaji Lakshminarayanan, Daniel M. Roy, Yee Whye Teh

展开摘要

Many real-world regression problems demand a measure of the uncertainty associated with each prediction. Standard decision forests deliver efficient state-of-the-art predictive performance, but high-quality uncertainty estimates are lacking. Gaussian processes (GPs) deliver uncertainty estimates, but scaling GPs to large-scale data sets comes at the cost of approximating the uncertainty estimates. We extend Mondrian forests, first proposed by Lakshminarayanan et al. (2014) for classification problems, to the large-scale nonparametric regression setting. Using a novel hierarchical Gaussian prior that dovetails with the Mondrian forest framework, we obtain principled uncertainty estimates, while still retaining the computational advantages of decision forests. Through a combination of illustrative examples, real-world large-scale datasets and Bayesian optimization benchmarks, we demonstrate that Mondrian forests outperform approximate GPs on large-scale regression tasks and deliver better-calibrated uncertainty assessments than decision-forest-based methods.

Poster
Model-based Co-clustering for High Dimensional Sparse Data

Aghiles Salah, Nicoleta Rogovschi, Mohamed Nadif

展开摘要

We propose a novel model based on the von Mises-Fisher (vMF) distribution for co-clustering high dimensional sparse matrices. While existing vMF-based models are only suitable for clustering along one dimension, our model acts simultaneously on both dimensions of a data matrix. Thereby it has the advantage of exploiting the inherent duality between rows and columns. Setting our model under the maximum likelihood (ML) approach and the classification ML (CML) approach, we derive two novel, hard and soft, co-clustering algorithms. Empirical results on numerous synthetic and real-world text datasets, demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach, for modelling high dimensional sparse data and co-clustering. Furthermore, thanks to our formulation, that performs an implicitly adaptive dimensionality reduction at each stage, our model alleviates the problem of high concentration parameters kappa’s, a well known difficulty in the classical vMF-based models.

Poster
Maximum Likelihood for Variance Estimation in High-Dimensional Linear Models

Lee H. Dicker, Murat A Erdogdu

展开摘要

We study maximum likelihood estimators (MLEs) for the residual variance, the signal-to-noise ratio, and other variance parameters in high-dimensional linear models. These parameters are essential in many statistical applications involving regression diagnostics, inference, tuning parameter selection for high-dimensional regression, and other applications, including genetics. The estimators that we study are not new, and have been widely used for variance component estimation in linear random-effects models. However, our analysis is new and it implies that the MLEs, which were devised for random-effects models, may also perform very well in high-dimensional linear models with fixed-effects, which are more commonly studied in some areas of high-dimensional statistics. The MLEs are shown to be consistent and asymptotically normal in fixed-effects models with random design, in asymptotic settings where the number of predictors ($p$) is proportional to the number of observations ($n$). Moreover, the estimators’ asymptotic variance can be given explicitly in terms moments of the Marcenko-Pastur distribution. A variety of analytical and empirical results show that the MLEs outperform other, previously proposed estimators for variance parameters in high-dimensional linear models with fixed-effects. More broadly, the results in this paper illustrate a strategy for drawing connections between fixed- and random-effects models in high dimensions, which may be useful in other applications.

Poster
Low-Rank and Sparse Structure Pursuit via Alternating Minimization

Quanquan Gu, Zhaoran Wang Wang, Han Liu

展开摘要

In this paper, we present a nonconvex alternating minimization optimization algorithm for low-rank and sparse structure pursuit. Compared with convex relaxation based methods, the proposed algorithm is computationally more efficient for large scale problems. In our study, we define a notion of bounded difference of gradients, based on which we rigorously prove that with suitable initialization, the proposed nonconvex optimization algorithm enjoys linear convergence to the global optima and exactly recovers the underlying low rank and sparse matrices under standard conditions such as incoherence and sparsity conditions. For a wide range of statistical models such as multi-task learning and robust principal component analysis (RPCA), our algorithm provides a principled approach to learning the low rank and sparse structures with provable guarantee. Thorough experiments on both synthetic and real datasets backup our theory.

Poster
Low-Rank Approximation of Weighted Tree Automata

Guillaume Rabusseau, Borja Balle, Shay Cohen

展开摘要

We describe a technique to minimize weighted tree automata (WTA), a powerful formalisms that subsumes probabilistic context-free grammars (PCFGs) and latent-variable PCFGs. Our method relies on a singular value decomposition of the underlying Hankel matrix defined by the WTA. Our main theoretical result is an efficient algorithm for computing the SVD of an infinite Hankel matrix implicitly represented as a WTA. We evaluate our method on real-world data originating in newswire treebank. We show that the model achieves lower perplexity than previous methods for PCFG minimization, and also is much more stable due to the absence of local optima.

Poster
Loss Bounds and Time Complexity for Speed Priors

Daniel Filan, Jan Leike, Marcus Hutter

展开摘要

This paper establishes for the first time the predictive performance of speed priors and their computational complexity. A speed prior is essentially a probability distribution that puts low probability on strings that are not efficiently computable. We propose a variant to the original speed prior (Schmidhuber, 2002), and show that our prior can predict sequences drawn from probability measures that are estimable in polynomial time. Our speed prior is computable in doubly-exponential time, but not in polynomial time. On a polynomial time computable sequence our speed prior is computable in exponential time. We show that Schmidhuber’s speed prior has better complexity under the same conditions; however, the question of its predictive properties remains open.

Poster
Limits on Sparse Support Recovery via Linear Sketching with Random Expander Matrices

Jonathan Scarlett, Volkan Cevher

展开摘要

Linear sketching is a powerful tool for the problem of sparse signal recovery, having numerous applications such as compressive sensing, data stream computing, graph sketching, and routing. Motivated by applications where the \emphpositions of the non-zero entries in a sparse vector are of primary interest, we consider the problem of \emphsupport recovery from a linear sketch taking the form \mathbfY = \mathbfXβ+ \mathbfZ. We focus on a widely-used expander-based construction in the columns of the measurement matrix \mathbfX ∈\mathbbR^n \times p are random permutations of a sparse binary vector containing d ≪n ones and n-d zeros. We provide a sharp characterization of the number of measurements required for an information-theoretically optimal decoder, thus permitting a precise comparison to the i.i.d. Gaussian construction. Our findings reveal both positive and negative results, showing that the performance nearly matches the Gaussian construction at moderate-to-high noise levels, while being worse by an arbitrarily large factor at low noise levels.

Poster
Learning Structured Low-Rank Representation via Matrix Factorization

Jie Shen, Ping Li

展开摘要

A vast body of recent works in the literature has shown that exploring structures beyond data low-rankness can boost the performance of subspace clustering methods such as Low-Rank Representation (LRR). It has also been well recognized that the matrix factorization framework might offer more flexibility on pursuing underlying structures of the data. In this paper, we propose to learn structured LRR by factorizing the nuclear norm regularized matrix, which leads to our proposed non-convex formulation NLRR. Interestingly, this formulation of NLRR provides a general framework for unifying a variety of popular algorithms including LRR, dictionary learning, robust principal component analysis, sparse subspace clustering, etc. Several variants of NLRR are also proposed, for example, to promote sparsity while preserving low-rankness. We design a practical algorithm for NLRR and its variants, and establish theoretical guarantee for the stability of the solution and the convergence of the algorithm. Perhaps surprisingly, the computational and memory cost of NLRR can be reduced by roughly one order of magnitude compared to the cost of LRR. Experiments on extensive simulations and real datasets confirm the robustness of efficiency of NLRR and the variants.

Poster
Learning Sparse Additive Models with Interactions in High Dimensions

Hemant Tyagi, Anastasios Kyrillidis, Bernd Gärtner, Andreas Krause

展开摘要

A function f: \mathbbR^d →\mathbbR is referred to as a Sparse Additive Model (SPAM), if it is of the form f(x) = \sum_l ∈S \phi_l(x_l), where S ⊂[d], |S| ≪d. Assuming \phi_l’s and S to be unknown, the problem of estimating f from its samples has been studied extensively. In this work, we consider a generalized SPAM, allowing for second order interaction terms. For some S_1 ⊂[d], S_2 ⊂[d] \choose 2, the function f is assumed to be of the form: f(x) = \sum_p ∈S_1 \phi_p (x_p) + \sum_(l,l’) ∈S_2 \phi_l,l’ (x_l, x_l’). Assuming \phi_p, \phi_(l,l’), S_1 and S_2 to be unknown, we provide a randomized algorithm that queries f and exactly recovers S_1,S_2. Consequently, this also enables us to estimate the underlying \phi_p, \phi_l,l’. We derive sample complexity bounds for our scheme and also extend our analysis to include the situation where the queries are corrupted with noise – either stochastic, or arbitrary but bounded. Lastly, we provide simulation results on synthetic data, that validate our theoretical findings.

Poster
Learning Sigmoid Belief Networks via Monte Carlo Expectation Maximization

Zhao Song, Ricardo Henao, David Carlson, Lawrence Carin

展开摘要

Belief networks are commonly used generative models of data, but require expensive posterior estimation to train and test the model. Learning typically proceeds by posterior sampling, variational approximations, or recognition networks, combined with stochastic optimization. We propose using an online Monte Carlo expectation-maximization (MCEM) algorithm to learn the maximum a posteriori (MAP) estimator of the generative model or optimize the variational lower bound of a recognition network. The E-step in this algorithm requires posterior samples, which are already generated in current learning schema. For the M-step, we augment with Polya-Gamma (PG) random variables to give an analytic updating scheme. We show relationships to standard learning approaches by deriving stochastic gradient ascent in the MCEM framework. We apply the proposed methods to both binary and count data. Experimental results show that MCEM improves the convergence speed and often improves hold-out performance over existing learning methods. Our approach is readily generalized to other recognition networks.

Poster
Learning Relationships between Data Obtained Independently

Alexandra Carpentier, Teresa Schlueter

展开摘要

The aim of this paper is to provide a new method for learning the relationships between data that have been obtained independently. Unlike existing methods like matching, the proposed technique does not require any contextual information, provided that the dependency between the variables of interest is monotone. It can therefore be easily combined with matching in order to exploit the advantages of both methods. This technique can be described as a mix between quantile matching, and deconvolution. We provide for it a theoretical and an empirical validation.

Poster
Learning Probabilistic Submodular Diversity Models Via Noise Contrastive Estimation

Sebastian Tschiatschek, Josip Djolonga, Andreas Krause

展开摘要

Modeling diversity of sets of items is important in many applications such as product recommendation and data summarization. Probabilistic submodular models, a family of models including the determinantal point process, form a natural class of distributions, encouraging effects such as diversity, repulsion and coverage. Current models, however, are limited to small and medium number of items due to the high time complexity for learning and inference. In this paper, we propose FLID, a novel log-submodular diversity model that scales to large numbers of items and can be efficiently learned using noise contrastive estimation. We show that our model achieves state of the art performance in terms of model fit, but can be also learned orders of magnitude faster. We demonstrate the wide applicability of our model using several experiments.

Poster
Latent Point Process Allocation

Chris Lloyd, Tom Gunter, Michael Osborne, Stephen Roberts, Tom Nickson

展开摘要

We introduce a probabilistic model for the factorisation of continuous Poisson process rate functions. Our model can be thought of as a topic model for Poisson point processes in which each point is assigned to one of a set of latent rate functions that are shared across multiple outputs. We show that the model brings a means of incorporating structure in point process inference beyond the state-of-the-art. We derive an efficient variational inference scheme for the model based on sparse Gaussian processes that scales linearly in the number of data points. Finally, we demonstrate, using examples from spatial and temporal statistics, how the model can be used for discovering hidden structure with greater precision than standard frequentist approaches.

Poster
Large-Scale Optimization Algorithms for Sparse Conditional Gaussian Graphical Models

Calvin McCarter, Seyoung Kim

展开摘要

This paper addresses the problem of scalable optimization for L1-regularized conditional Gaussian graphical models. Conditional Gaussian graphical models generalize the well-known Gaussian graphical models to conditional distributions to model the output network influenced by conditioning input variables. While highly scalable optimization methods exist for sparse Gaussian graphical model estimation, state-of-the-art methods for conditional Gaussian graphical models are not efficient enough and more importantly, fail due to memory constraints for very large problems. In this paper, we propose a new optimization procedure based on a Newton method that efficiently iterates over two sub-problems, leading to drastic improvement in computation time compared to the previous methods. We then extend our method to scale to large problems under memory constraints, using block coordinate descent to limit memory usage while achieving fast convergence. Using synthetic and genomic data, we show that our methods can solve problems with millions of variables and tens of billions of parameters to high accuracy on a single machine.

Poster
Large Scale Distributed Semi-Supervised Learning Using Streaming Approximation

Sujith Ravi, Qiming Diao

展开摘要

Traditional graph-based semi-supervised learning (SSL) approaches are not suited for massive data and large label scenarios since they scale linearly with the number of edges |E| and distinct labels m. To deal with the large label size problem, recent works propose sketch-based methods to approximate the label distribution per node thereby achieving a space reduction from O(m) to O(\log m), under certain conditions. In this paper, we present a novel streaming graph-based SSL approximation that effectively captures the sparsity of the label distribution and further reduces the space complexity per node to O(1). We also provide a distributed version of the algorithm that scales well to large data sizes. Experiments on real-world datasets demonstrate that the new method achieves better performance than existing state-of-the-art algorithms with significant reduction in memory footprint. Finally, we propose a robust graph augmentation strategy using unsupervised deep learning architectures that yields further significant quality gains for SSL in natural language applications.

Poster
K2-ABC: Approximate Bayesian Computation with Kernel Embeddings

Mijung Park, Wittawat Jitkrittum, Dino Sejdinovic

展开摘要

Complicated generative models often result in a situation where computing the likelihood of observed data is intractable, while simulating from the conditional density given a parameter value is relatively easy. Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) is a paradigm that enables simulation-based posterior inference in such cases by measuring the similarity between simulated and observed data in terms of a chosen set of summary statistics. However, there is no general rule to construct sufficient summary statistics for complex models. Insufficient summary statistics will leak information, which leads to ABC algorithms yielding samples from an incorrect posterior. In this paper, we propose a fully nonparametric ABC paradigm which circumvents the need for manually selecting summary statistics. Our approach, K2-ABC, uses maximum mean discrepancy (MMD) to construct a dissimilarity measure between the observed and simulated data. The embedding of an empirical distribution of the data into a reproducing kernel Hilbert space plays a role of the summary statistic and is sufficient whenever the corresponding kernels are characteristic. Experiments on a simulated scenario and a real-world biological problem illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm.

Poster
Inverse Reinforcement Learning with Simultaneous Estimation of Rewards and Dynamics

Michael Herman, Tobias Gindele, Jörg Wagner, Felix Schmitt, Wolfram Burgard

展开摘要

Inverse Reinforcement Learning (IRL) describes the problem of learning an unknown reward function of a Markov Decision Process (MDP) from observed behavior of an agent. Since the agent’s behavior originates in its policy and MDP policies depend on both the stochastic system dynamics as well as the reward function, the solution of the inverse problem is significantly influenced by both. Current IRL approaches assume that if the transition model is unknown, additional samples from the system’s dynamics are accessible, or the observed behavior provides enough samples of the system’s dynamics to solve the inverse problem accurately. These assumptions are often not satisfied. To overcome this, we present a gradient-based IRL approach that simultaneously estimates the system’s dynamics. By solving the combined optimization problem, our approach takes into account the bias of the demonstrations, which stems from the generating policy. The evaluation on a synthetic MDP and a transfer learning task shows improvements regarding the sample efficiency as well as the accuracy of the estimated reward functions and transition models.

Poster
Inference for High-dimensional Exponential Family Graphical Models

Jialei Wang, Mladen Kolar

展开摘要

Probabilistic graphical models have been widely used to model complex systems and aid scientific discoveries. Most existing work on high-dimensional estimation of exponential family graphical models, including Gaussian graphical models and Ising models, is focused on consistent model selection. However, these results do not characterize uncertainty in the estimated structure and are of limited value to scientists who worry whether their findings will be reproducible and if the estimated edges are present in the model due to random chance. In this paper, we propose a novel estimator for edge parameters in an exponential family graphical models. We prove that the estimator is \sqrtn-consistent and asymptotically Normal. This result allows us to construct confidence intervals for edge parameters, as well as, hypothesis tests. We establish our results under conditions that are typically assumed in the literature for consistent estimation. However, we do not require that the estimator consistently recovers the graph structure. In particular, we prove that the asymptotic distribution of the estimator is robust to model selection mistakes and uniformly valid for a large number of data-generating processes. We illustrate validity of our estimator through extensive simulation studies.

Poster
Improved Learning Complexity in Combinatorial Pure Exploration Bandits

Victor Gabillon, Alessandro Lazaric, Mohammad Ghavamzadeh, Ronald Ortner, Peter Bartlett

展开摘要

We study the problem of combinatorial pure exploration in the stochastic multi-armed bandit problem. We first construct a new measure of complexity that provably characterizes the learning performance of the algorithms we propose for the fixed confidence and the fixed budget setting. We show that this complexity is never higher than the one in existing work and illustrate a number of configurations in which it can be significantly smaller. While in general this improvement comes at the cost of increased computational complexity, we provide a series of examples, including a planning problem, where this extra cost is not significant.

Poster
Improper Deep Kernels

Uri Heinemann, Roi Livni, Elad Eban, Gal Elidan, Amir Globerson

展开摘要

Neural networks have recently re-emerged as a powerful hypothesis class, yielding impressive classification accuracy in multiple domains. However, their training is a non convex optimization problem. Here we address this difficulty by turning to "improper learning" of neural nets. In other words, we learn a classifier that is not a neural net but is competitive with the best neural net model given a sufficient number of training examples. Our approach relies on a novel kernel which integrates over the set of possible neural models. It turns out that the corresponding integral can be evaluated in closed form via a simple recursion. The learning problem is then an SVM with this kernel, and a global optimum can thus be found efficiently. We also provide sample complexity results which depend on the stability of the optimal neural net.

Poster