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arXiv

ToolLIFT: Lifting Tool-Specific Trajectories into Function-Level Graphs for Generalizable Tool Planning

Xiuhui You, Jiayi Luo, Zichao Shen, Qingyun Sun, Ziwei Zhang

Historical tool-use trajectories provide valuable experience for large language model (LLM) agents to plan and coordinate tool usage. Existing approaches directly construct tool-level graphs from these trajectories, but the resulting graphs remain tied to specific tools and are hard to generalize across tool sets. To tackle this challenge, we find that despite differences in the tools involved, analogous tasks often share a common function-level workflow structure, which serves as a potentially more transferable abstraction for tool planning. Based on this insight, we propose ToolLIFT, a framework that lifts tool-specific trajectories into a function-level workflow graph (FWG) for generalizable tool planning. Specifically, we first propose a trajectory-lifting mechanism that encodes workflow structures in the FWG and shares collaboration experience across tools. Then, building on the global structure of the FWG, we introduce decoupled workflow planning and tool selection to align individual tool choices with the overall workflow. Lastly, to ensure reliable tool dataflow, we adopt Reinforcement Learning (RL) and propose source-gated and skill-specific rewards to maintain source-traceable information flow across tool calls. Experiments on two in-distribution (ID) and three out-of-distribution (OOD) benchmarks show that ToolLIFT consistently outperforms state-of-the-art baselines, demonstrating strong generalization to unseen tool sets.

arXiv

LeanMem: Simple and Efficient Long-Term Memory for LLM Agents

Yuxin Liao, Le Wu, Min Hou, Hao Liu, Han Wu, Zishu Wang

Long-term memory is essential for LLM-based agents to sustain interactions and reliably leverage distant history. However, existing memory systems typically process heterogeneous dialogue content through a uniform summarization and retrieval pipeline, leading to either excessive token consumption or irreversible loss of fine-grained evidence. We argue that historical dialogue content should be handled differently according to its compressibility, temporal dynamics, and fidelity requirements. Based on this insight, we propose LeanMem, a lightweight long-term memory framework. LeanMem first filters out low-value content, then stores informative segments as compact profile memory, temporally structured event memory, or source-grounded record memory, depending on the nature of the information. During maintenance, only dynamically evolving event memories are selectively updated, avoiding redundant consolidation of stable profiles and immutable records. During inference, LeanMem dynamically selects memory types and allocates retrieval budgets according to query-specific evidence demands, assembling relevant evidence on demand. On LoCoMo and LongMemEval-S with GPT-4.1-mini and Qwen3-8B, LeanMem improves accuracy over the strongest memory-based baseline in every setting, by up to 15.1 points, at the lowest or near-lowest construction cost, inference tokens, and latency. The code and datasets are included in the supplementary materials.

arXiv

Solver-Aware Decompositions for Programming-by-Example: When Dividing Requires Knowing how to Conquer

Janis Zenkner, Tobias Sesterhenn, Tim Grams, Christian Bartelt

Decomposition-based Programming-by-example (PBE) scales performance by splitting tasks into subtasks that a learned synthesizer solves: a decomposer predicts intermediate subgoals, and a synthesizer generates programs conditioned on them. Current approaches train the decomposer to imitate ground-truth ( GT) subgoals, implicitly treating decomposition quality as intrinsic to the task. We challenge this assumption: for bounded solvers with fixed inductive biases, GT decompositions reflect the annotator's factorization choices - not the solver's search dynamics. A decomposer trained to match GT decompositions may therefore propose subgoals that are logically valid yet intractable for the solver. We propose Solver-Aware Decomposition (SAD), a training framework that retains supervised training on GT subgoals as a structural scaffold, while additionally optimizing the decomposer via direct feedback from a frozen synthesizer. Subgoals are rewarded based on the synthesizer's loss on the target program - a signal of subtask difficulty that encourages decompositions the solver can act on. Our experiments reveal an accuracy paradox: higher agreement with GT decompositions does not improve synthesis success - even though the synthesizer was trained on the very same GT data the decomposer is optimized to mimic. SAD instead learns decompositions that trade GT alignment for solver tractability, yielding consistent gains in synthesis and end-to-end task accuracy across two PBE domains. Moreover, SAD solves tasks that a GT decomposition oracle fails - empirical evidence that GT decompositions are not universally optimal for bounded solvers, and that decomposition quality is solver-relative, not intrinsic.

arXiv

LLaDA MoE v2: Scaling Mixture-of-Experts Diffusion Language Models

Fengqi Zhu, Shaoxuan Xu, Jingyang Ou, Zebin You, Yipeng Xing, Huabin Liu, Xiaolu Zhang, JUN ZHOU, Zhenzhong Lan, Yankai Lin, Wayne Xin Zhao, Jianguo Li, Chongxuan Li, Ji-Rong Wen

Diffusion language models (dLLMs) offer an alternative to autoregressive (AR) language modeling, yet the scaling behavior of Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) dLLMs remains poorly understood. We systematically characterize how optimization hyperparameters, compute allocation, and architecture scale for MoE dLLMs, identifying quantitative differences from scaling trends previously reported for AR models. Specifically, for optimization, the optimal nominal batch size grows faster, while the optimal learning rate decays more rapidly with compute. For model--data allocation, IsoFLOP analysis reveals a slight data-side tilt: the optimal token budget grows faster than activated model-side computation. For MoE architecture, larger scales increasingly favor larger expert pools at fixed activated capacity, while moderate expert granularity remains consistently effective and the preferred fraction of activated capacity assigned to shared experts remains stable across scales. Guided by these findings, we train LLaDA MoE v2, a 30B-A3B dLLM, from scratch on 23.5T tokens. With approximately 65\% as many pretraining tokens as Qwen3, LLaDA MoE v2 approaches Qwen3 on several knowledge, reasoning, and coding benchmarks. After supervised fine-tuning alone, it outperforms SDAR Chat on seven of eight reasoning and coding benchmarks and remains close to Qwen3 on several tasks. These results establish practical scaling laws and design principles for MoE dLLMs.

arXiv

DataSpace: Benchmarking Data Agents for Verifiable Analytics over Heterogeneous Workspaces

Boyan Li, Zhuowen Liang, Yupeng Xie, Xiaotian Lin, Tianqi Luo, Xinyu Liu, Yizhang Zhu, Zhangyang Peng, Yuan Li, Zhengxuan Zhang, Jiayi Zhang, Nan Tang, Guoliang Li, Yuyu Luo

Data agents enable natural-language analytics over organizational workspaces, where relevant evidence may be scattered across databases, structured files, long documents, and multimedia. Existing benchmarks largely isolate structured querying, retrieval, or open-ended analysis, leaving heterogeneous evidence discovery, complete tabular outputs, and deterministic evaluation insufficiently unified. We introduce DataSpace, a benchmark in which data agents produce verifiable tabular results from task-local heterogeneous workspaces. It contains 410 cross-language tasks and 7,439 artifacts totaling 15.01 GB across CSV, JSON, SQLite, Markdown, PDF, and video. DataSpace also served as the official evaluation benchmark for the KDD Cup 2026 Data Agents for Complex Data Analysis competition. Each agent receives only a question and workspace and returns the complete requested tabular result. We construct DataSpace with DataSpace-Builder, an execution-grounded framework comprising cross-language transformation, constraint-aware relational sampling, modality routing and artifact rendering, and human review and task repair by 11 domain experts. A deterministic evaluator performs header-invariant column alignment, type- and precision-aware normalization, and order-aware row comparison. Across six recently released frontier multimodal models and five widely used agent harnesses, the best accuracy reaches 66.34%, while harness choice creates a 15.36-point spread with the backbone fixed. Multimodal evidence integration and joins consistently reduce accuracy across all six backbones. These results show that DataSpace remains unsaturated and identify key challenges for improving data-agent reliability.

arXiv

Towards Improving Sequential Decision-Making in LLM Agents via Experience Memory

Jakub Rada, Viliam Lisý

Large language models have improved substantially on single-shot reasoning tasks, but their performance in sequential decision-making is less well understood. We study this on fully-observable two-player zero-sum games, which provide ground-truth evaluation: outcomes are determined by the rules, and optimality of individual moves can be computed or approximated, without relying on a judge model. Across model tiers, LLMs play suboptimally in simple games such as tic-tac-toe or Connect Four, and lose to MCTS opponents. Obfuscations that preserve the game tree but rewrite its surface form leave performance largely unchanged, indicating the gap is not fully explained by recall of memorized strategies. Motivated by this performance gap, we introduce an agentic framework enhanced with an experience memory designed for the sequential setting and addressing common challenges of sequential decision-making such as credit assignment. We show that post-game reflection and rule extraction yield measurable improvements on tic-tac-toe without modifying the model weights.

arXiv

Enactive Artificial Intelligence: A Decision-Centric Architecture for Complex Systems

Zuojun Max Shen, Yuan Qu, Pujun Zhang, Anbang Liu, Yunhao Liang

As artificial intelligence (AI) continues to evolve and mature, recent AI practices have moved beyond large language models (LLMs) and text or image generation tasks, increasingly integrating tools, agents, and harnesses to solve real business and industrial problems. However, the power of AI is not verified under these real-world complex systems for various reasons, considering reliability, feasibility, resilience, and responsibility requirements in real commercial and industrial operations. This study synthesizes adjacent research and introduces Enactive AI as a conceptual framework for enterprise and industry reasoning, site-level decision support, and execution feedback. Four complementary roles organize the framework: an Organizational World defines operations management logic and an organizational behavior world model behind an enterprise from a strategic-institutional horizon; a Site World defines a physically bounded industrial optimization and execution world model from an operational-realization horizon; Schema Intelligence provides the coupling mechanism between two world models to weave various AI applications via two models; and Enactive Decision Cycle triggers the self-evolving dynamic process to update and audit the entire framework. By foregrounding decision intelligence in complex systems, Enactive AI expands the frontier of AI from model capability to system-aware action, opening new possibilities for scalable, governable, and socially valuable AI deployment. Enactive AI points toward a future in which AI progress is measured not only by what models can generate or automate, but by how reliably intelligent systems can support consequential action, responsible governance, and durable social value in the complex systems that shape modern life, which we believe will define the next frontier of AI research for enterprise-level and industrial complex systems.

arXiv

Towards Robust Tool Use in Agents via Experience-Driven Adaptive Guidance

Can Wang, Haoran Chen, Li Yu, Ding Hao, Bohai Zhao, Zhaoyang Liu, Zhiying Tu

The performance bottleneck of agents is increasingly shifting from model capability to the robustness of their execution processes. Tools play a central role as the primary interface through which agents interact with external environments, yet existing methods rarely focus on ensuring robust tool use across diverse runtime conditions. To address this problem, we propose ExpG, a mechanism that builds and refines adaptive guidance capturing each tool's capability boundaries and best practices, thereby enabling agents to use tools more robustly and effectively. ExpG consists of three phases: (1) experience acquisition, which analyzes tool invocation quality from historical execution trajectories, producing structured learnable experiences through multi-aspect attribution; (2) experience distillation, which keeps the experience pool effective by filtering unhelpful experiences, selecting representative ones with an equivalence-class-based method, and summarizing them into generalizable guidance; and (3) experience reuse, which applies the guidance adaptively during future task solving. Extensive experiments show that ExpG brings consistent improvements across the tool selection, tool calling, and response generation tasks, enabling smaller agents to outperform larger ones that do not use ExpG. Moreover, ExpG achieves particularly strong gains in challenging settings, suggesting a promising path toward more robust tool use. Our code, experiments, and results are available.

arXiv

MMLongBench-Doc-V2: A Corrected-Annotation, Semantics-Aware Revision of MMLongBench-Doc

Mingtian Zhang

MMLongBench-Doc is a long-document QA benchmark of 1,082 questions over 135 PDFs. Two properties of it push measured scores away from the quantity they are meant to capture: the reference metric compares extracted answers, so 1,358,000 loses to 1358000; and a non-trivial share of ground-truth annotations are wrong, ambiguous, or incomplete --- concentrated, because of how they were found, in exactly the questions capable systems answer correctly. MMLongBench-Doc-V2 corrects 106 annotations, each published with the page and arithmetic that settle it, and replaces the string metric with a pinned LLM judge asked whether a response means the reference. Ten questions whose document ships under the wrong filename are removed rather than counted wrong, along with one duplicated question, leaving 1,071 questions over 134 documents. The most reusable contribution is a decision procedure for when an empty set key may be widened and when widening would destroy a deliberate negative sample; applied to all 208 rows, it widened 14. V2 scores are not comparable with published V1 numbers. The corrected corpus, the per-entry correction record and the evaluation harness are available at https://github.com/VectifyAI/MMLongBench-Doc-V2.

arXiv

Shaping Wind-Tunnel Airflow for Unmanned Aerial Vehicles using Online Learning

Ghadeer Elmkaiel, Michael Muehlebach

The development and testing of advanced aerial robots require experiments in controlled environments with tailored airflow profiles. This paper presents an online learning algorithm for controlling the complex airflow field in a multi-fan vertical wind tunnel. Our method combines a simplified physical model with iterative, measurement-based learning, enabling sample-efficient convergence to desired airflow distributions. We demonstrate the method's versatility by generating complex airflow, such as uniform, Gaussian, and parabolic profiles. Crucially, we show that our algorithm can produce an airflow profile specifically designed for passive soaring, greatly enhancing flight performance of a soaring robot. Variability, practical utility, and robustness of our approach are further highlighted by successful operation with a varying number of fans.

arXiv

Route-Align-Verify for Functional Correctness in Code Generation

Erxue Zhou, Jingxiang Meng, Aofan Liu

Large language models (LLMs) have substantially improved code generation, yet achieving strong functional correctness remains difficult, especially for heterogeneous programming tasks where a single prompting strategy and a single directly generated output are often insufficient. In this paper, we present RAV, a lightweight and modular framework that improves code generation with a fixed backbone model through three coordinated stages: Route, which applies task-aware prompt routing before generation; Align, which reduces the mismatch between fine-tuning prompts and inference-time prompts through aligned LoRA adaptation; and Verify, which selects the final output by executing multiple candidates against visible public tests. We evaluate RAV on the MBPP benchmark under both the sanitized and full settings. The complete RAV pipeline achieves the best performance among all evaluated configurations, reaching 0.8911 on MBPP Sanitized and 0.8520 on MBPP Full. Compared with the base model, these results represent improvements of 6.35 and 9.92 percentage points, respectively. Component-wise ablation experiments further show that task-aware routing and aligned adaptation become substantially more effective when combined with execution-based verification. Additional robustness and contamination analyses support the reliability of the observed improvements. Overall, the results indicate that functional correctness in code generation can be meaningfully improved without modifying the backbone architecture, by jointly optimizing how tasks are prompted, how the model is adapted, and how final outputs are selected.

arXiv

Traceable Multi-Agent System for Knowledge-Based Forecasting

Junhyeok Kang, Sangjun Han, Hyeokjun Choe, Soonyoung Lee

Enterprise forecasting increasingly relies on autonomous agents that interpret documents, search for data, generate code, and revise models. While this autonomy helps build adaptive forecasting pipelines, it also makes it difficult for practitioners to inspect why a forecast changed, which evidence supported the change, and how data and modeling choices were revised. We present TraceMAS, an interactive demo system for traceable multi-agent forecasting. TraceMAS organizes agent outputs around two causal-loop representations: an Ideal Causal Loop Diagram (Ideal CLD), which captures key factors and their causal relations extracted from domain documents, and a Data-Grounded Causal Loop Diagram (Data-Grounded CLD), which links those factors to internal variables, external data, or documented proxies. The Data-Grounded CLD guides feature construction and model design while preserving the connection between textual evidence, data choices, and model revisions. We demonstrate TraceMAS on crude oil price forecasting. The demo interface allows users to compare forecasting iterations, inspect agent-level revisions, explore causal maps, review feature-data mappings and model architecture, and connect scenario forecasts to market narratives. This demonstration shows how autonomous forecasting agents can retain flexibility while making the evidence-to-forecast process inspectable.

arXiv

Long-term Traffic Scene Prediction via Polynomial Representations in Autonomous Driving

Yue Yao

This thesis addresses fundamental challenges in traffic scene prediction for autonomous driving by introducing robust and computationally efficient models based on polynomial representations. While conventional sequence-based representations often struggle with noise and generalization, this work demonstrates that polynomial representations offer significant advantages in computational efficiency, generalization, and prediction plausibility. Through theoretical analysis and empirical validation, this thesis demonstrates that moderate-degree polynomials capture real-world motion dynamics with high fidelity without constraining predictive performance. Building on this foundation, a prediction model representing both trajectories and map geometry with polynomial representations achieves near state-of-the-art accuracy on standard benchmarks while substantially improving generalization under distribution shift. Extending this concept, a diffusion- based generative framework enables multi-agent scene generation, producing traffic continuations that are more plausible and kinematically consistent than those generated by conventional baselines. Evaluations on the Argoverse 2 and Waymo Open datasets confirm that polynomial representations reduce computational cost, enhance cross-dataset generalization, and yield smoother trajectories and higher behavioral plausibility. The findings reveal that standard in-distribution evaluation and regression-based metrics may fail to reflect true model generalization and prediction plausibility. By providing theoretical justification and empirical validation, this dissertation estab- lishes polynomial trajectory representations as an efficient, expressive, and generalizable foundation for traffic scene prediction in safety critical autonomous driving.

arXiv

Evaluating LLM Trade-offs for Enterprise Automation: Lessons from Workflow Generation in a Production Enterprise Platform

Xavier Wrenn, Radoslav Raykov, Aleksandar Angelov, Hirokuni Kitahara, Yuji Watanabe, Anca Sailer

Enterprise compliance management requires rapid adaptation to evolving regulatory frameworks (e.g., DORA, AI RMF, FedRAMP) and tight remediation SLAs. Traditional static orchestrators often fail in hybrid cloud environments where event-driven assessments demand that automation code adapt to runtime context in seconds. This paper presents lessons learned from evaluating six large language models for AI-driven workflow generation in a production enterprise platform, benchmarked across 29 real-world IT automation scenarios, two generation pipeline architectures, and eight independent runs per prompt-model-pipeline configuration (2,784 runs total). Our initial pipeline used monolithic workflow generation, achieving 31.5-82.8% structural success rates (JSON schema validity and correct UI rendering), with most models struggling on complex JSON generation. We developed a redesigned piecewise pipeline that decomposes workflow construction into variable scaffolding, base block assembly, and nested block generation, raising structural success to 74.1-97.8% across all models. We analyze production tradeoffs including cost (USD 0.008-0.20 per workflow), latency (under 50s for interactive use), and model selection. Piecewise decomposition enables smaller models (e.g., mistral-small at 95.7% structural success and USD 0.01 per workflow) to reach production viability, removing dependency on expensive frontier models. While mistral-medium-2505 and gpt-oss-120b achieved the highest structural success (96.1% and 97.8%), mistral-medium-2505 carries a 19x cost premium versus mistral-small. Our deployment lessons highlight the need to separate structural validity from semantic correctness (logical fulfillment of user intent) and provide a solution for model-agnostic, scalable automation in cloud engineering.

arXiv

SeaSlides: Semantic Abstraction Layer for Agentic Slide Generation

Shengjun Fang, Chenyang Wu, Zongzhang Zhang

Agentic presentation generation must preserve source content, maintain coherent visual design, render specialized objects, and produce usable artifacts. Existing systems meet only part of this requirement: templates preserve regularity but restrict adaptation, whereas free-form HTML or SVG gives models flexibility at the cost of low-level rendering decisions. This mismatch makes long technical decks brittle, especially when slides contain formulas, code, or data graphics. We present SeaSlides, an agentic slide-generation framework built around a semantic abstraction layer. Rather than authoring coordinates, inline styles, or raw SVG geometry, the model writes structured slide content through reusable components and capability modules, while templates own layout, style, and rendering. We instantiate this principle separately in HTML and Typst: SeaSlides-HTML uses template-defined DOM components, whereas SeaSlides-Typst uses template functions and package-backed modules. Capability modules route equations, code, and charts to dedicated renderers, and three feedback stages localize build errors, project-constraint violations, and visual defects before export. The two systems retain backend-specific syntax and contracts while sharing the same authoring boundary. For evaluation, we combine the 128-task UltraPresent validation setting with SeaSlidesBench-Rich, a new 32-task benchmark stressing mathematics, code, pseudocode, tables, charts, and diagrams. Across four generation models, both SeaSlides backends produce more readable, content-oriented source than SVG-heavy generation. A SeaSlides backend attains the highest rich-content macro-average under three of the four models while maintaining competitive overall qualitative performance. These results support semantic abstraction as a practical authoring principle across presentation backends.

arXiv

DocTrace: Towards Traceable Long Document VQA via Hierarchical Evidence Graph Reasoning

Le Xiang, Zhicheng Guan, Hong Chen, Xiaocong Lin, Zhenghua Lei, Teng Hu, Bolei He, Long ZENG

Long Document Visual Question Answering (LongDocVQA) requires Multimodal Large Language Models (MLLMs) to locate, integrate, and reason over heterogeneous document elements distributed across multiple pages. Existing approaches, including end-to-end MLLMs, retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) pipelines, and document agents, often lack explicit mechanisms to represent and verify how grounded evidence is progressively composed during reasoning, limiting both answer accuracy and traceability. In this paper, we cast LongDocVQA as an explicit evidence graph reasoning problem rather than implicit answer prediction. To this end, we propose DocTrace, a hierarchical framework that progressively performs evidence localization, structured document parsing, and evidence graph reasoning to enable explicit evidence provenance. To effectively learn these capabilities, we develop a two-stage training framework: joint Supervised Fine-Tuning (SFT) first initializes evidence localization and graph reasoning abilities, followed by task-specific Group Relative Policy Optimization (GRPO) with dedicated rewards to further optimize these capabilities. Extensive experiments on MMLongBench-Doc, LongDocURL, and SlideVQA demonstrate that DocTrace consistently outperforms both existing open-source baselines and proprietary MLLMs. Compared with the Qwen3-VL-8B-Instruct backbone, DocTrace achieves absolute improvements of 14.4, 11.3, and 11.7 points on the three benchmarks, respectively. Beyond competitive performance, DocTrace constructs traceable evidence graphs with explicit node-level provenance, enabling transparent and verifiable reasoning for long document understanding.

arXiv

AgentPanel: Toward a New Paradigm for Human--AI Collaboration in Exploring Scientific Questions

Zhiyao Cui, Qianyi Wang, Haoyang Yan, Yiqun Zhang, Siyue Ren, Hangfan Zhang, Zelin Tan, Hao Li, Chunjiang Mu, Dexian Cai, Shao Zhang, Chen Zhang, Meng Li, Jianan Chai, Yuting Fan, Zichao Ye, Xiaolei Yang, Xinyao Lu, Yuyang Yu, Wenjie Lou, Xiaosong Wang, Fenghua Ling, Shiyang Feng, Mao Su, Qiaosheng Zhang, Bo Zhang, Yang Chen, Lei Bai, Shuyue Hu

Identifying promising scientific ideas remains an important challenge in research practice. Researchers commonly rely on small-group discussions or one-to-one interactions with a single large language model, yet these approaches often expose them to only a limited range of perspectives and directions. We present AgentPanel, a multi-agent forum for human--AI collaboration in scientific exploration. Heterogeneous agents asynchronously discuss scientific questions in a forum-style environment, while researchers can submit questions, browse and organize candidate ideas, engage agents in follow-up interactions, and optionally generate post-hoc summary reports. We evaluate AgentPanel in terms of idea quality, exploration breadth, interaction effectiveness, candidate-selection efficiency, and practical utility. Offline experiments show that AgentPanel outperforms a centralized multi-agent debate baseline. A human study with 20 participants further shows that users value AgentPanel for perspective diversity and exploration support. In experience-based comparisons with commonly used LLM tools, 65\% of participants favored AgentPanel for both breadth of research directions and overall suitability for early-stage exploration. The platform is publicly available at https://agentpanel.cc/.

arXiv

TaskPress: Query-Agnostic KV Cache Compression via Task-Guided Pruning

Wonpyo Park, Seung-won Hwang

Long-context inference with large language models is constrained by the linear growth of the key-value cache to sequence length. While pruning offers mitigation, prevailing methods determine query-specific token importance that cannot be reused across unseen queries. In contrast, we introduce TaskPress, a framework for task-guided, query-agnostic KV cache eviction. Instead of optimizing the cache for a single query, TaskPress constructs a reusable memory representation conditioned on a high-level task guide. The guide functions as a meta-query during prefill to filter irrelevant tokens before downstream queries are issued. In addition, TaskPress leverages quantization scale factors as a zero-cost signal for detecting influential representation outliers, providing an efficient proxy for token importance. Experiments on conducted on various tasks with long context input demonstrate that TaskPress efficiently creates a compact, reusable cache across diverse queries.

arXiv

Sample Complexity of Multicalibration for Multilevel Properties

Jiuyao Lu, Krishnakumar Balasubramanian, Aleksandr Podkopaev, Shiva Prasad Kasiviswanathan

Calibration requires a predictor to be unbiased after conditioning on its own predictions. Multicalibration asks for this guarantee simultaneously across a collection of groups. Many prediction tasks ask for several related features of the same conditional outcome distribution: variance is defined relative to the mean, skewness relative to both mean and variance, and conditional value at risk relative to a quantile. We study multicalibration for a sequence of $k$ properties in which each property is identifiable once the preceding properties are fixed. This framework includes Bayes pairs but does not require the properties to arise from a single loss. For every fixed $k\ge2$, we establish matching upper and lower sample-complexity bounds up to logarithmic factors under regularity conditions. Even with only polylogarithmically many binary groups, achieving multicalibration error $\varepsilon$ requires $\widetildeΩ(\varepsilon^{-(k+2)})$ samples. Conversely, for any finite group family $\mathcal G$, we give a randomized learner using $O(\varepsilon^{-(k+2)}+\varepsilon^{-2}\log|\mathcal G|)$ samples. Thus the sample complexity is $\widetildeΘ(\varepsilon^{-(k+2)})$ for polynomial-size group families. We instantiate the theory for three canonical examples.

arXiv

From Wearable Data to Personalized and Actionable Health Insights

Esther Brown, Karis Moon, Victoria Dean, Finale Doshi-Velez

Commercial wearable devices continuously capture rich physiological data (e.g., heart rate, respiration), opening new possibilities for monitoring health conditions, notably around stress. Despite their promise, turning raw wearable physiological data streams into visualizations that surface stress-related insights in daily activities, and that ultimately foster reflection, awareness, and better stress management, remains a significant challenge. The data are noisy and context-dependent: the same spike in heart rate can come from sprinting, a tense presentation, or laughing with friends. To address these challenges, we propose a framework that combines user annotations with wearable data to support better stress management. We introduce a web framework offering interactive visualizations that layer daily activities, stress events, and interventions onto raw physiological streams, enabling users to reflect and identify trends. In a four-week pilot with seven university graduate and undergraduate student participants who logged 269 events, our tool revealed patterns between different types of interventions and stress: social interaction reduced average heart rate by 4.35 to 5.0 beats per minute, deliberate rest reduced average Garmin stress scores by 10.03 to 13.83 points, and mindfulness activities decreased average HRV by 6.61 to 13.22 milliseconds.

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