ICLR 2026 Papers

International Conference on Learning Representations

Decision breakdown

5,358papers

Counted from the official paper list; may differ slightly from the number the conference announced.

  • Oral
    2244.2%
  • Poster
    5,13495.8%

Browse all papers

Interp3D: Correspondence-aware Interpolation for Generative Textured 3D Morphing

Xiaolu Liu, Yicong Li, Qiyuan He, Jiayin Zhu, Wei Ji, Angela Yao, Jianke Zhu

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Textured 3D morphing seeks to generate smooth and plausible transitions between two 3D assets, preserving both structural coherence and fine-grained appearance. This ability is crucial not only for advancing 3D generation research but also for practical applications in animation, editing, and digital content creation. Existing approaches either operate directly on geometry, limiting them to shape-only morphing while neglecting textures, or extend 2D interpolation strategies into 3D, which often causes semantic ambiguity, structural misalignment, and texture blurring. These challenges underscore the necessity to jointly preserve geometric consistency, texture alignment, and robustness throughout the transition process. To address this, we propose \textbf{Interp3D}, a novel training-free framework for textured 3D morphing. It harnesses generative priors and adopts a progressive alignment principle to ensure both geometric fidelity and texture coherence. Starting from semantically aligned interpolation in condition space, Interp3D enforces structural consistency via SLAT (Structure Latent)-guided structure interpolation, and finally transfers appearance details through fine-grained texture fusion. For comprehensive evaluations, we construct a dedicated dataset, Interp3DData, with graded difficulty levels and assess generation results from fidelity, transition smoothness, and plausibility. Both quantitative metrics and human studies demonstrate the significant advantages of our proposed approach over previous methods. Our code will be made publicly available.

Poster
SPEED: Scalable, Precise, and Efficient Concept Erasure for Diffusion Models

Ouxiang Li, Yuan Wang, Xinting Hu, Houcheng Jiang, Tao Liang, Yanbin Hao, Guojun Ma, Fuli Feng

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Erasing concepts from large-scale text-to-image (T2I) diffusion models has become increasingly crucial due to the growing concerns over copyright infringement, offensive content, and privacy violations. In scalable applications, fine-tuning-based methods are time-consuming to precisely erase multiple target concepts, while real-time editing-based methods often degrade the generation quality of non-target concepts due to conflicting optimization objectives. To address this dilemma, we introduce SPEED, an efficient concept erasure approach that directly edits model parameters. SPEED searches for a null space, a model editing space where parameter updates do not affect non-target concepts, to achieve scalable and precise erasure. To facilitate accurate null space optimization, we incorporate three complementary strategies: Influence-based Prior Filtering (IPF) to selectively retain the most affected non-target concepts, Directed Prior Augmentation (DPA) to enrich the filtered retain set with semantically consistent variations, and Invariant Equality Constraints (IEC) to preserve key invariants during the T2I generation process. Extensive evaluations across multiple concept erasure tasks demonstrate that SPEED consistently outperforms existing methods in non-target preservation while achieving efficient and high-fidelity concept erasure, successfully erasing 100 concepts within only 5 seconds.

Poster
AlphaFlow: Understanding and Improving MeanFlow Models

Huijie Zhang, Aliaksandr Siarohin, Willi Menapace, Michael Vasilkovsky, Sergey Tulyakov, Qing Qu, Ivan Skorokhodov

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MeanFlow has recently emerged as a powerful framework for few-step generative modeling trained from scratch, but its success is not yet fully understood. In this work, we show that the MeanFlow objective naturally decomposes into two parts: trajectory flow matching and trajectory consistency. Through gradient analysis, we find that these terms are strongly negatively correlated, causing optimization conflict and slow convergence. Motivated by these insights, we introduce $\alpha$-Flow, a broad family of objectives that unifies trajectory flow matching, Shortcut Model, and MeanFlow under one formulation. By adopting a curriculum strategy that smoothly anneals from trajectory flow matching to MeanFlow, $\alpha$-Flow disentangles the conflicting objectives, and achieves better convergence. When trained from scratch on class-conditional ImageNet-1K 256×256 with vanilla DiT backbones, $\alpha$-Flow consistently outperforms MeanFlow across scales and settings. Our largest $\alpha$-Flow-XL/2+ model achieves new state-of-the-art results using vanilla DiT backbones, with FID scores of 2.58 (1-NFE) and 2.15 (2-NFE). The source code and pre-trained checkpoints will be publicly released.

Poster
Automatic Stage Lighting Control: Is it a Rule-Driven Process or Generative Task?

Zijian Zhao, Dian Jin, Zijing Zhou, Xiaoyu Zhang

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Stage lighting is a vital component in live music performances, shaping an engaging experience for both musicians and audiences. In recent years, Automatic Stage Lighting Control (ASLC) has attracted growing interest due to the high costs of hiring or training professional lighting engineers. However, most existing ASLC solutions only classify music into limited categories and map them to predefined light patterns, resulting in formulaic and monotonous outcomes that lack rationality. To address this gap, this paper presents Skip-BART, an end-to-end model that directly learns from experienced lighting engineers and predict vivid, human-like stage lighting. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first work to conceptualize ASLC as a generative task rather than merely a classification problem. Our method adapts the BART model to take audio music as input and produce light hue and value (intensity) as output, incorporating a novel skip connection mechanism to enhance the relationship between music and light within the frame grid. To address the lack of available datasets, we create the first stage lighting dataset, along with several pre-training and transfer learning techniques to improve model training with limited data. We validate our method through both quantitative analysis and an human evaluation, demonstrating that Skip-BART outperforms conventional rule-based methods across all evaluation metrics and shows only a limited gap compared to real lighting engineers. The self-collected dataset, code, and trained model parameters of this paper are provided at https://github.com/RS2002/Skip-BART .

Poster
SimpleGVR: A Simple Baseline for Latent-Cascaded Generative Video Super-Resolution

Liangbin Xie, Yu Li, Shian Du, Menghan Xia, Xintao Wang, Fanghua Yu, Ziyan Chen, Pengfei Wan, Jiantao Zhou, Chao Dong

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Cascaded pipelines, which use a base text-to-video (T2V) model for low-resolution content and a video super-resolution (VSR) model for high-resolution details, are a prevailing strategy for efficient video synthesis. However, current works suffer from two key limitations: an inefficient pixel-space interface that introduces non-trivial computational overhead, and mismatched degradation strategies that compromise the visual quality of AIGC content. To address these issues, we introduce SimpleGVR, a lightweight VSR model designed to operate entirely within the latent space. Key to SimpleGVR are a latent upsampler for effective, detail-preserving conditioning of the high-resolution synthesis, and two degradation strategies (flow-based and model-guided) to ensure better alignment with the upstream T2V model. To further enhance the performance and practical applicability of SimpleGVR, we introduce a set of crucial training optimizations: a detail-aware timestep sampler, a suitable noise augmentation range, and an efficient interleaving temporal unit mechanism for long-video handling. Extensive experiments demonstrate the superiority of our framework over existing methods, with ablation studies confirming the efficacy of each design. Our work establishes a simple yet effective baseline for cascaded video super-resolution generation, offering practical insights to guide future advancements in efficient cascaded systems. Video visual comparisons are available \href{https://simplegvr.github.io/}{here}.

Poster
Learning multimodal dictionary decompositions with group-sparse autoencoders

Chiraag Kaushik, Davis Barch, Andrea Fanelli

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The Linear Representation Hypothesis asserts that the embeddings learned by neural networks can be understood as linear combinations of features corresponding to high-level concepts. Based on this ansatz, sparse autoencoders (SAEs) have recently become a popular method for decomposing embeddings into a sparse combination of linear directions, which have been shown empirically to often correspond to human-interpretable semantics. However, recent attempts to apply SAEs to multimodal embedding spaces (such as the popular CLIP embeddings for image/text data) have found that SAEs often learn ``split dictionaries,'' where most of the learned sparse features are essentially unimodal, active only for data of a single modality. In this work, we study how to effectively adapt SAEs for the setting of multimodal embeddings while ensuring multimodal alignment. We first argue that the existence of a split dictionary decomposition on an aligned embedding space implies the existence of a non-split dictionary with improved modality alignment. Then, we propose a new SAE-based approach to multimodal embedding decomposition using cross-modal random masking and group-sparse regularization. We apply our method to popular embeddings for image/text (CLIP) and audio/text (CLAP) data and show that, compared to standard SAEs, our approach learns a more multimodal dictionary while reducing the number of dead neurons and improving feature semanticity. We finally demonstrate how this improvement in alignment of concepts between modalities can enable improvements in the interpretability and control of cross-modal tasks.

Poster
Energy-Based Transformers are Scalable Learners and Thinkers

Alexi Gladstone, Ganesh Nanduru, Md Mofijul Islam, Peixuan Han, Hyeonjeong Ha, Aman Chadha, Yilun Du, Heng Ji, Jundong Li, Tariq Iqbal

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Inference-time computation, analogous to human System 2 Thinking, has recently become popular for improving model performance. However, most existing approaches suffer from several limitations: they are modality-specific (e.g., working only in text), problem-specific (e.g., verifiable domains like math and coding), or require additional supervision/training on top of unsupervised pretraining (e.g., verifiers or verifiable rewards). In this paper, we ask the question “Is it possible to generalize these System 2 Thinking approaches, and develop models that learn to think solely from unsupervised learning?” We find the answer is yes, by learning to explicitly verify the compatibility between inputs and candidate-predictions, and then re-framing prediction problems as optimization with respect to this verifier. Specifically, we train Energy-Based Transformers (EBTs)---a new class of Energy-Based Models (EBMs)---to assign an energy value to every input and candidate-prediction, enabling predictions through energy minimization until convergence. To support this approach, we introduce several key techniques for stable and parallelizable training, which enable the emergence of strong System 2 Thinking capabilities and scalable EBMs. Across discrete and continuous modalities, we find EBTs outperform the Transformer++ approach, scaling up to 35% faster during pretraining, and improving inference-time performance by up to 29%. EBTs also surpass Diffusion Transformers on image denoising while requiring 99% fewer forward passes. Moreover, System 2 Thinking with EBTs yields larger performance gains on data that is farther out-of-distribution, and EBTs achieve better results than existing models on most downstream tasks despite achieving the same or worse pretraining performance, enabling EBTs to generalize better than existing approaches. Consequently, EBTs are a flexible and exciting new approach for scaling both the learning and thinking capabilities of models.

Oral
Generative Human Geometry Distribution

Xiangjun Tang, Biao Zhang, Peter Wonka

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Realistic human geometry generation is an important yet challenging task, requiring both the preservation of fine clothing details and the accurate modeling of clothing-body interactions. To tackle this challenge, we build upon Geometry distributions—a recently proposed representation that can model a single human geometry with high fidelity using a flow matching model. However, extending a single-geometry distribution to a dataset is non-trivial and inefficient for large-scale learning. To address this, we propose a new geometry distribution model by two key techniques: (1) encoding distributions as 2D feature maps rather than network parameters, and (2) using SMPL models as the domain instead of Gaussian and refining the associated flow velocity field. We then design a generative framework adopting a two-staged training paradigm analogous to state-of-the-art image and 3D generative models. In the first stage, we compress geometry distributions into a latent space using a diffusion flow model; the second stage trains another flow model on this latent space. We validate our approach on two key tasks: pose-conditioned random avatar generation and avatar-consistent novel pose synthesis. Experimental results demonstrate that our method outperforms existing state-of-the-art methods, achieving a 57% improvement in geometry quality.

Oral
Pretraining Scaling Laws for Generative Evaluations of Language Models

Rylan Schaeffer, Noam Itzhak Levi, Brando Miranda, Sanmi Koyejo

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Neural scaling laws have driven the field's ever-expanding exponential growth in parameters, data and compute. While scaling behaviors for pretraining losses and discriminative benchmarks are well established, generative benchmarks such as mathematical problem-solving or software engineering remain under-explored. We propose and evaluate three different pretraining scaling laws for fitting pass-at-$k$ on generative evaluations and for predicting pass-at-$k$ of the most expensive model using cheaper models. Our three scaling laws differ in the covariates used: (1) pretraining compute, (2) model parameters and pretraining tokens, (3) log likelihoods of gold reference solutions. First, we demonstrate that generative evaluations introduce new hyperparameters (in our setting, $k$) that act as a control lever for scaling behavior, modulating both the scaling law parameters and the predictability of performance. Second, we identify a stark difference in parameter stability: while the compute and parameters+tokens laws stabilize for only the last $\mathord{\sim}1.5\mathord{-}2.5$ orders of magnitude, the gold reference likelihood law is uniquely stable, converging across $\mathord{\sim}5$ orders. Third, in terms of predictive performance, we find all three scaling laws perform comparably, although the compute law predicts slightly worse for small $k$ and the gold reference law predicts slightly worse for large $k$. Finally, we establish a theoretical connection, proving that the compute scaling law emerges as the compute-optimal envelope of the parameters-and-tokens law. Our framework provides researchers and practitioners with insights and methodologies to forecast generative performance, accelerating progress toward models that can reason, solve, and create.

Poster
High-dimensional Analysis of Synthetic Data Selection

Parham Rezaei, Filip Kovačević, Francesco Locatello, Marco Mondelli

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Despite the progress in the development of generative models, their usefulness in creating synthetic data that improve prediction performance of classifiers has been put into question. Besides heuristic principles such as ''synthetic data should be close to the real data distribution'', it is actually not clear which specific properties affect the generalization error. Our paper addresses this question through the lens of high-dimensional regression. Theoretically, we show that, for linear models, the *covariance shift* between the target distribution and the distribution of the synthetic data affects the generalization error but, surprisingly, the mean shift does not. Furthermore, in some regimes, we prove that matching the covariance of the target distribution is optimal. Remarkably, the theoretical insights for linear models carry over to deep neural networks and generative models. We empirically demonstrate that the *covariance matching* procedure (matching the covariance of the synthetic data with that of the data coming from the target distribution) performs well against several recent approaches for synthetic data selection, across various training paradigms, datasets and generative models used for augmentation.

Oral
Parallel Sampling from Masked Diffusion Models via Conditional Independence Testing

Iskander Azangulov, Teodora Pandeva, Niranjani Prasad, Javier Zazo, Sushrut Karmalkar

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Masked diffusion models (MDMs) offer a compelling alternative to autoregres- sive models (ARMs) for discrete text generation because they enable parallel token sampling, rather than sequential, left-to-right generation. This means po- tentially much faster inference. However, effective parallel sampling faces two competing requirements: (i) simultaneously updated tokens must be conditionally independent, and (ii) updates should prioritise high-confidence predictions. These goals conflict because high-confidence predictions often cluster and depend on each other, opportunities for parallel updates. We present PUNT, a model-agnostic sampler that reconciles this trade-off. Our method identifies token dependencies and removes lower-confidence tokens from conflicting groups. This produces sets of indices for unmasking that satisfy both independence and confidence criteria. Our approach ensures improved parallel unmasking through approximate conditional independence testing. Our experiments show that PUNT delivers a superior trade-off between accuracy and compute when compared to other strong training-free baselines, especially for generation of longer sequences. On the IFEval benchmark, it achieves up to 16% higher accuracy over baseline methods, including sequential generation (one-by- one). These gains hold across different values of hyperparameters, mitigating the need for brittle hyperparameter tuning. Moreover, we observe that PUNT induces an emergent hierarchical generation strategy, where the model first establishes high-level paragraph structure before local refinement, suggesting a planning-like generation process that contributes to strong alignment performance.

Poster
Entering the Era of Discrete Diffusion Models: A Benchmark for Schrödinger Bridges and Entropic Optimal Transport

Xavier Aramayo Carrasco, Grigoriy Ksenofontov, Aleksei Leonov, Iaroslav Sergeevich Koshelev, Alexander Korotin

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The Entropic Optimal Transport (EOT) problem and its dynamic counterpart, the Schrödinger bridge (SB) problem, play an important role in modern machine learning, linking generative modeling with optimal transport theory. While recent advances in discrete diffusion and flow models have sparked growing interest in applying SB methods to discrete domains, there is still no reliable way to evaluate how well these methods actually solve the underlying problem. We address this challenge by introducing a benchmark for SB on discrete spaces. Our construction yields pairs of probability distributions with analytically known SB solutions, enabling rigorous evaluation. As a byproduct of building this benchmark, we obtain two new SB algorithms, DLightSB and DLightSB-M, and additionally extend prior related work to construct the $\alpha$-CSBM algorithm. We demonstrate the utility of our benchmark by evaluating both existing and new solvers in high-dimensional discrete settings. This work provides the first step toward proper evaluation of SB methods on discrete spaces, paving the way for more reproducible future studies.

Poster
Diagnosing and Improving Diffusion Models by Estimating Optimal Loss Value

Yixian Xu, Shengjie Luo, Liwei Wang, Di He, Chang Liu

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Diffusion models have achieved remarkable success in generative modeling. Despite more stable training, the loss of diffusion models is not indicative of absolute data-fitting quality, since its optimal value is typically not zero but unknown, leading to the confusion between large optimal loss and insufficient model capacity. In this work, we advocate the need to estimate the optimal loss value for diagnosing and improving diffusion models. We first derive the optimal loss in closed form under a unified formulation of diffusion models, and develop effective estimators for it, including a stochastic variant scalable to large datasets with proper control of variance and bias. With this tool, we unlock the inherent metric for diagnosing training quality of representative diffusion model variants, and develop a more performant training schedule based on the optimal loss. Moreover, using models with 120M to 1.5B parameters, we find that the power law is better demonstrated after subtracting the optimal loss from the actual training loss, suggesting a more principled setting for investigating the scaling law for diffusion models.

Poster
Identifiability and recoverability in self-supervised models

Walter Nelson, Marco Fumero, Theofanis Karaletsos, Francesco Locatello

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Self-supervised models exhibit a surprising stability in their internal representations. Whereas most prior work treats this stability as a single property, we formalize it as two distinct concepts: **statistical identifiability** (consistency of representations across runs) and **structural identifiability** (alignment of representations with some unobserved ground truth). Recognizing that perfect pointwise identifiability is generally unrealistic for modern representation learning models, we propose new model-agnostic definitions of statistical and structural near-identifiability of representations up to some error tolerance $\epsilon$. Leveraging these definitions, we prove a statistical $\epsilon$-**near-identifiability** result for the representations of models with nonlinear decoders, generalizing existing identifiability theory beyond last-layer representations in e.g. generative pre-trained transformers (GPTs) to near-identifiability of the intermediate representations of a broad class of models including (masked) autoencoders (MAEs) and supervised learners. Although these weaker assumptions confer weaker identifiability, we show that independent components analysis (ICA) can resolve much of the remaining linear ambiguity for this class of models, and validate and measure our near-identifiability claims empirically. With additional assumptions on the data-generating process, statistical identifiability extends to structural identifiability, yielding a simple and practical recipe for disentanglement: ICA post-processing of latent representations. On synthetic benchmarks, this approach achieves state-of-the-art disentanglement using a vanilla autoencoder. With a foundation model-scale MAE for cell microscopy, it disentangles biological variation from technical batch effects, substantially improving downstream generalization.

Poster
SpikeGen: Decoupled “Rods and Cones” Visual Representation Processing with Latent Generative Framework

Gaole Dai, Menghang Dong, Rongyu Zhang, Ruichuan An, Tiejun Huang, Shanghang Zhang

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The process through which humans perceive and learn visual representations in dynamic environments is highly complex. From a structural perspective, the human eye decouples the functions of cone and rod cells: cones are primarily responsible for color perception, while rods are specialized in detecting motion, particularly variations in light intensity. These two distinct modalities of visual information are integrated and processed within the visual cortex, thereby enhancing the robustness of the human visual system. Inspired by this biological mechanism, modern hardware systems have evolved to include not only color-sensitive RGB cameras but also motion-sensitive Dynamic Visual Systems, such as spike cameras. Building upon these advancements, this study seeks to emulate the human visual system by integrating decomposed multi-modal visual inputs with modern latent-space generative frameworks. We named it ***SpikeGen***. We evaluate its performance across various spike-RGB tasks, including conditional image and video deblurring, dense frame reconstruction from spike streams, and high-speed scene novel-view synthesis. Supported by extensive experiments, we demonstrate that leveraging the latent space manipulation capabilities of generative models enables an effective synergistic enhancement of different visual modalities, addressing spatial sparsity in spike inputs and temporal sparsity in RGB inputs.

Poster
Frayed RoPE and Long Inputs: A Geometric Perspective

Davis Wertheimer, Aozhong Zhang, Derrick Liu, Penghang Yin, Naigang Wang

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Rotary Positional Embedding (RoPE) is a widely adopted technique for encoding position in language models, which, while effective, causes performance breakdown when input length exceeds training length. Prior analyses assert (rightly) that long inputs cause channels to rotate "out of distribution," but it is not clear how extra rotation relates to or causes pathological behavior. Through empirical analysis we advance a unified geometric understanding of attention behavior with RoPE. We find that attention induces tight clustering of separated key and query latent point clouds, allowing for creation of sink tokens: placeholders that allow attention heads to avoid token mixing when not required. RoPE applied to longer inputs damages this key/query cluster separation, producing pathological behavior by inhibiting sink token functionality. From this geometric perspective, we propose RoPE-ID (In Distribution), a straightforward modification that allows attention layers to generalize to longer inputs out of the box: apply RoPE with high frequency to a subset of channels. We demonstrate the effectiveness of RoPE-ID for extended inputs using 1B and 3B parameter Transformers on the LongBench and RULER information retrieval benchmarks.

Poster
Taming Polysemanticity in LLMs: Theory-Grounded Feature Recovery via Sparse Autoencoders

Siyu Chen, Heejune Sheen, Xuyuan Xiong, Tianhao Wang, Zhuoran Yang

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We study the challenge of achieving theoretically grounded feature recovery using Sparse Autoencoders (SAEs) for the interpretation of Large Language Models. Existing SAE training algorithms often lack rigorous mathematical guarantees and suffer from practical limitations such as hyperparameter sensitivity and instability. We rethink this problem from the perspective of neuron activation frequencies, and through controlled experiments, we identify a striking phenomenon we term neuron resonance: neurons reliably learn monosemantic features when their activation frequency matches the feature's occurrence frequency in the data. Building on this finding, we introduce a new SAE training algorithm based on ``bias adaptation'', a technique that adaptively adjusts neural network bias parameters to ensure appropriate activation sparsity. We theoretically prove that this algorithm correctly recovers all monosemantic features when input data is sampled from our proposed statistical model. Furthermore, we develop an improved empirical variant, Group Bias Adaptation (GBA), and demonstrate its superior performance against benchmark methods when applied to LLMs with up to 2 billion parameters. This work represents a foundational step in demystifying SAE training by providing the first SAE algorithm with theoretical recovery guarantees and practical effectiveness for LLM interpretation.

Poster
SpatialHand: Generative Object Manipulation from 3D Prespective

Zehan Wang, Jialei Wang, Siyu Chen, Ziang Zhang, Luping Liu, Xize Cheng, Kaihang Pan, Hengshuang Zhao, Zhou Zhao

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We introduce SpatialHand, a novel framework for generative object insertion with precise 3D control. Current generative object manipulation methods primarily operate within the 2D image plane, but often fail to grasp 3D scene complexities, leading to ambiguities in an object's 3D position, orientation, and occlusion relations. SpatialHand addresses this by conceptualizing object insertion from a true ``3D perspective," enabling manipulation with a complete 6 Degrees-of-Freedom (6DoF) controllability. Specifically, our solution naturally and implicitly encodes the 6DoF pose condition by decomposing it into 2D location (via masked image), depth (via composited depth map), and 3D orientation (embedded into latent features). To overcome the scarcity of paired training data, we develop an automated data construction pipeline using synthetic 3D assets, rendering, and subject-driven generation, complemented by visual foundation models for pose estimation. We further design a multi-stage training scheme to progressively drive SpatialHand to robustly follow multiple complex conditions. Extensive experiments reveal our approach's superiority over existing alternatives and its great potential for enabling more versatile and intuitive AR/VR-like object manipulation within images.

Poster
LLMs Can Hide Text in Other Text of the Same Length

Antonio Norelli, Michael M. Bronstein

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A meaningful text can be hidden inside another, completely different yet still coherent and plausible, text of the same length. For example, a tweet containing a harsh political critique could be embedded in a tweet that celebrates the same political leader, or an ordinary product review could conceal a secret manuscript. This uncanny state of affairs is now possible thanks to Large Language Models, and in this paper we present *Calgacus*, a simple and efficient protocol to achieve it. We show that even modest 8‑billion‑parameter open‑source LLMs are sufficient to obtain high‑quality results, and a message as long as this abstract can be encoded and decoded locally on a laptop in seconds. The existence of such a protocol demonstrates a radical decoupling of text from authorial intent, further eroding trust in written communication, already shaken by the rise of LLM chatbots. We illustrate this with a concrete scenario: a company could covertly deploy an unfiltered LLM by encoding its answers within the compliant responses of a safe model. This possibility raises urgent questions for AI safety and challenges our understanding of what it means for a Large Language Model to know something.

Poster
Aurora: Towards Universal Generative Multimodal Time Series Forecasting

Xingjian Wu, Jianxin Jin, Wanghui Qiu, Peng Chen, Yang Shu, Bin Yang, Chenjuan Guo

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Cross-domain generalization is very important in Time Series Forecasting because similar historical information may lead to distinct future trends due to the domain-specific characteristics. Recent works focus on building unimodal time series foundation models and end-to-end multimodal supervised models. Since domain-specific knowledge is often contained in modalities like texts, the former lacks the explicit utilization of them, thus hindering the performance. The latter is tailored for end-to-end scenarios and does not support zero-shot inference for cross-domain scenarios. In this work, we introduce Aurora, a Multimodal Time Series Foundation Model, which supports multimodal inputs and zero-shot inference. Pretrained on Corss-domain Multimodal Time Series Corpus, Aurora can adaptively extract and focus on key domain knowledge contained in corrsponding text or image modalities, thus possessing strong Cross-domain generalization capability. Through tokenization, encoding, and distillation, Aurora can extract multimodal domain knowledge as guidance and then utilizes a Modality-Guided Multi-head Self-Attention to inject them into the modeling of temporal representations. In the decoding phase, the multimodal representations are used to generate the conditions and prototypes of future tokens, contributing to a novel Prototype-Guided Flow Matching for generative probabilistic forecasting. Comprehensive experiments on well-recognized benchmarks, including TimeMMD, TSFM-Bench and ProbTS, demonstrate the consistent state-of-the-art performance of Aurora on both unimodal and multimodal scenarios.

Poster