ICLR 2026 Papers

International Conference on Learning Representations

Decision breakdown

5,358papers

Counted from the official paper list; may differ slightly from the number the conference announced.

  • Oral
    2244.2%
  • Poster
    5,13495.8%

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Topic: Multimodal LLMs · 1,401 papers · Reset filters

SURGE: Surprise-Guided Token Reduction for Efficient Video Understanding with VLMs

Chong Tang, Sannara Ek, Dirk Koch, Robert D. Mullins, Alex S. Weddell, Jagmohan Chauhan

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Videos contain rich information but also high redundancy, as consecutive frames often share similar backgrounds and predictable motions. Current video-language models (VLMs) are unable to exploit this redundancy and therefore perform a significant amount of superfluous computation, processing thousands of patch tokens even when little new information is present. What is missing is an on-the-fly, model-agnostic signal of temporal predictability to decide whether tokens carry unpredictable information that merits computation. We propose SURGE, a training-free and backbone-agnostic method that measures surprise in token space. Surprise scores are defined by the prediction error of each token from its recent history; high-surprise tokens are retained, while predictable ones are pruned. Aggregating scores over time produces a surprise curve that highlights key events, which can be further refined with CLIP-based query relevance to form a compact spatio-temporal mask. Experiments on multiple video understanding benchmarks show that SURGE reduces tokens by up to 7$\times$ and prefill cost by 86–98\%, while maintaining accuracy within $\pm$1 point of full-token baselines. By aligning computation with novelty, SURGE enables video VLMs to handle long contexts efficiently and without retraining.

Poster
Towards Spatial Supersensing in Video

Shusheng Yang, Jihan Yang, Pinzhi Huang, Ellis L Brown II, Zihao Yang, Yue Yu, Shengbang Tong, Zihan Zheng, Yifan Xu, Muhan Wang, Rob Fergus, Yann LeCun, Li Fei-Fei, Saining Xie

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We frame spatial supersensing in video as an overarching goal for multimodal intelligence and argue that progress requires a shift from long-context brute force to predictive sensing. Using a four-level taxonomy: semantic perception, streaming event cognition, implicit 3D spatial cognition, and predictive world modeling, we audit existing benchmarks and show they focus heavily on the first tier, with only partial coverage of streaming and spatial cognition, and almost never test true world modeling. To ground these gaps, we introduce VSI-Super, a two-part benchmark for continual spatial sensing: VSO (long-horizon spatial observation and recall) and VSC (continual counting under changing viewpoints and scenes). These tasks admit arbitrarily long video inputs and are specifically built so that simply scaling tokens or context length isn’t enough. Within the current paradigm, we push spatial cognition by curating VSI-590K and training a new family of video MLLMs that deliver 30% absolute on VSI-Bench without sacrificing general semantic perception. Yet these models still underperform on VSI-Super, exposing a paradigm gap. We then prototype predictive sensing: a self-supervised next latent-frame predictor whose surprise (prediction error) drives long-horizon memory and event segmentation. On VSI-Super, this approach substantially outperforms leading video MLLMs, evidencing that advancing spatial supersensing requires models that not only see but also anticipate, select, and organize experience.

Poster
SpinBench: Perspective and Rotation as a Lens on Spatial Reasoning in VLMs

Yuyou Zhang, Radu Corcodel, Chiori Hori, Anoop Cherian, Ding Zhao

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We present SpinBench, a cognitively grounded diagnostic benchmark for evaluating spatial reasoning in vision language models (VLMs). SpinBench is designed around the core challenge of spatial reasoning: perspective taking, the ability to reason about how scenes and object relations change under viewpoint transformation. Since perspective taking requires multiple cognitive capabilities, such as recognizing objects across views, relative positions grounding, and mentally simulating transformations, SpinBench introduces a set of fine-grained diagnostic categories. Our categories target translation, rotation, object relative pose, and viewpoint change, and are progressively structured so that single-object simpler tasks scaffold toward the most demanding multi-object perspective-taking setting. We evaluate 43 state-of-the-art VLMs, both proprietary and open source. Results reveal systematic weaknesses: strong egocentric bias, poor rotational understanding, and inconsistencies under symmetrical and syntactic reformulations. Scaling analysis shows both smooth improvements and emergent capabilities. While human subjects achieve high accuracy (91.2\%), task difficulty as measured by human response time shows strong correlation with VLM accuracy, indicating that SpinBench captures spatial reasoning challenges shared across humans and VLMs. Together, our findings highlight the need for structured, cognitively inspired diagnostic tools to advance spatial reasoning in multimodal foundation models. Our website can be found [here](https://spinbench25.github.io/).

Poster
SAM 3: Segment Anything with Concepts

Nicolas Carion, Laura Gustafson, Yuan-Ting Hu, Shoubhik Debnath, Ronghang Hu, Didac Suris Coll-Vinent, Chaitanya Ryali, Kalyan Vasudev Alwala, Haitham Khedr, Andrew Huang, Jie Lei, Tengyu Ma, Baishan Guo, Arpit Kalla, Markus Marks, Joseph Greer, Meng Wang, Peize Sun, Roman Rädle, Triantafyllos Afouras, Effrosyni Mavroudi, Katherine Xu, Tsung-Han Wu, Yu Zhou, Liliane Momeni, RISHI HAZRA, Shuangrui Ding, Sagar Vaze, Francois Porcher, Feng Li, Siyuan Li, Aishwarya Kamath, Ho Kei Cheng, Piotr Dollar, Nikhila Ravi, Kate Saenko, Pengchuan Zhang, Christoph Feichtenhofer

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We present Segment Anything Model (SAM) 3, a unified model that detects, segments, and tracks objects in images and videos based on concept prompts, which we define as either short noun phrases (e.g., “yellow school bus”), image exemplars, or a combination of both. Promptable Concept Segmentation (PCS) takes such prompts and returns segmentation masks and unique identities for all matching object instances. To advance PCS, we build a scalable data engine that produces a high-quality dataset with 4M unique concept labels, including hard negatives, across images and videos. Our model consists of a vision backbone shared between an image-level detector and a memory-based video tracker. Recognition and localization are decoupled with a presence head, which significantly boosts detection accuracy. SAM 3 delivers a 2x gain over existing systems in both image and video PCS, and improves previous SAM capabilities in interactive visual segmentation tasks. We open source SAM 3 along with our new Segment Anything with Concepts (SA-Co) benchmark.

Poster
DriveAgent-R1: Advancing VLM-based Autonomous Driving with Active Perception and Hybrid Thinking

Weicheng Zheng, Xiaofei Mao, Nanfei Ye, Pengxiang Li, Kun Zhan, XianPeng Lang, Hang Zhao

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The advent of Vision-Language Models (VLMs) has significantly advanced end-to-end autonomous driving, demonstrating powerful reasoning abilities for high-level behavior planning tasks. However, existing methods are often constrained by a passive perception paradigm, relying solely on text-based reasoning. This passivity restricts the model’s capacity to actively seek crucial visual evidence when faced with uncertainty. To address this, we introduce DriveAgent-R1, an autonomous driving agent capable of active perception for planning. In complex scenarios, DriveAgent-R1 proactively invokes tools to perform visual reasoning, firmly grounding its decisions in visual evidence, thereby enhancing both interpretability and reliability. Furthermore, we propose a hybrid thinking framework, inspired by human driver cognitive patterns, allowing the agent to adaptively switch between efficient text-only reasoning and robust tool-augmented visual reasoning based on scene complexity. This capability is cultivated through a three-stage progressive training strategy, featuring a core Cascaded Reinforcement Learning (Cascaded RL) phase. Extensive experiments on the Drive-Internal dataset, which is rich in long-tail scenarios, and the public nuScenes dataset show that, with only 3B parameters, DriveAgent-R1 achieves competitive performance comparable to top closed model systems such as GPT-5 and to human driving proficiency while remaining deployment-friendly, offering a proven path toward building more intelligent autonomous driving systems.

Poster
Language-Instructed Vision Embeddings for Controllable and Generalizable Perception

Chengzhi Mao, Xudong Lin, Wen-Sheng Chu

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Vision foundation models are typically trained as static feature extractors, forcing the burden of task adaptation onto large downstream models. We propose a different paradigm: instead of solely feeding visual features into language, we use language itself to dynamically guide the vision encoder. Our method, Language-Instructed Vision Embeddings (LIVE), leverages language as high-level guidance to produce task-centric embeddings at inference time—without requiring task-specific retraining. This enables the encoder to focus attention on contextually relevant aspects of the input, yielding more controllable and generalizable representations. Empirically, LIVE reduces visual hallucinations (+34 points on MMVP), outperforms vision–language models with orders of magnitude more parameters on visual question answering, and generalizes to unseen instructions and tasks---offering a direct path toward adaptive, instruction-driven visual intelligence.

Poster
Highly Efficient and Effective LLMs with Multi-Boolean Architectures

Ba-Hien Tran, Van Minh Nguyen

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Weight binarization has emerged as a promising strategy to reduce the complexity of large language models (LLMs). Existing approaches fall into post-training binarization, which is simple but causes severe performance loss, and training-aware methods, which depend on full-precision latent weights, adding complexity and limiting efficiency. We propose a novel framework that represents LLMs with multi-kernel Boolean parameters and, for the first time, enables direct finetuning LMMs in the Boolean domain, eliminating the need for latent weights. This enhances representational capacity and dramatically reduces complexity during both finetuning and inference. Extensive experiments across diverse LLMs show our method outperforms recent ultra low-bit quantization and binarization techniques.

Poster
LinguaMap: Which Layers of LLMs Speak Your Language and How to Tune Them?

J. Ben Tamo, Daniel Carlander-Reuterfelt, Jonathan Rubin, Oleg Poliannikov, Dezhi Hong, Mingxian Wang

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Despite multilingual pretraining, large language models often struggle with non-English tasks, particularly in language control--the ability to respond in the intended language. We identify and characterize two key failure modes: the *multilingual transfer bottleneck* (correct language, incorrect task response) and the *language consistency bottleneck* (correct task response, wrong language). To systematically surface these issues, we design a four-scenario evaluation protocol spanning MMLU, MGSM, and XQuAD benchmarks. To probe these issues with interpretability, we extend logit lens analysis to track language probabilities layer by layer and compute cross-lingual semantic similarity of hidden states. The results reveal a three-phase internal structure: early layers align inputs into shared semantic space, middle layers perform task reasoning, and late layers drive language-specific generation. Guided by these insights, we introduce *selective fine-tuning* of only the final layers responsible for language control. On Qwen-3-32B and Bloom-7.1B, this method achieves over 98% language consistency across six languages while fine-tuning only 3–5% of parameters, without sacrificing task accuracy. Importantly, this result is nearly identical to that of full-scope fine-tuning (e.g., $>98\%$ language consistency for both methods across all prompt scenarios) but uses a fraction of the computational resources. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first approach to leverage *layer-localization of language control* for efficient multilingual adaptation.

Poster
BED-LLM: Intelligent Information Gathering with LLMs and Bayesian Experimental Design

Deepro Choudhury, Sinead Williamson, Adam Golinski, Ning Miao, Freddie Bickford Smith, Michael Kirchhof, Yizhe Zhang, Tom Rainforth

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We propose a general-purpose approach for improving the ability of large language models (LLMs) to intelligently and adaptively gather information from a user or other external source using the framework of sequential Bayesian experimental design (BED). This enables LLMs to act as effective multi-turn conversational agents and interactively interface with external environments. Our approach, which we call BED-LLM (Bayesian experimental design with large language models), is based on iteratively choosing questions or queries that maximize the expected information gain (EIG) about the task of interest given the responses gathered previously. We show how this EIG can be formulated (and then estimated) in a principled way using a probabilistic model derived from the LLM's predictive distributions and provide detailed insights into key decisions in its construction and updating procedure. We find that BED-LLM achieves substantial gains in performance across a wide range of tests based on the 20 Questions game and using the LLM to actively infer user preferences, compared to direct prompting of the LLM and other adaptive design strategies.

Poster
PERK: Long-Context Reasoning as Parameter-Efficient Test-Time Learning

Zeming Chen, Angelika Romanou, Gail Weiss, Antoine Bosselut

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Long-context reasoning requires accurately identifying relevant information in extensive, noisy input contexts. In this work, we propose PERK (Parameter Efficient Reasoning over Knowledge), a scalable approach for learning to encode long contexts using gradient updates at test time. Specifically, PERK employs two nested optimization loops in a meta-training phase. The inner loop rapidly encodes contexts into a low-rank adapter (LoRA) that serves as a parameter-efficient memory module for the base model. Concurrently, the outer loop learns to use the updated adapter to accurately recall and reason over relevant information from the encoded long context. Our evaluations on several long-context reasoning tasks show that PERK significantly outperforms the standard long-context finetuning, achieving average absolute performance gains of up to 20% for Qwen-2.5 (0.5B & 7B) on synthetic and real-world long-context reasoning. PERK also maintains its advantages across model scales and families. Compared to specialized long-context LLMs, PERK matches or surpasses their performance. Finally, our analyses show PERK is more robust to reasoning complexity, length extrapolation, and the positions of relevant information in contexts.

Poster
LucidFlux: Caption-Free Universal Image Restoration via a Large-Scale Diffusion Transformer

Song Fei, Tian Ye, Lujia Wang, Lei Zhu

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Universal image restoration (UIR) aims to recover images degraded by unknown mixtures while preserving semantics—conditions under which discriminative restorers and UNet-based diffusion priors often oversmooth, hallucinate, or drift. We present LucidFlux, a caption-free UIR framework that adapts a large diffusion transformer (Flux.1) to restoration with minimal parameter overhead. LucidFlux introduces a lightweight \emph{dual-branch conditioner} that injects signals from the degraded input and a lightly restored proxy to respectively anchor geometry and suppress artifacts. A timestep- and layer-adaptive modulation schedule routes these cues across the backbone’s hierarchy, yielding coarse-to-fine, context-aware updates that protect global structure while recovering texture. To avoid the latency and instability of text prompts or VLM captions, we enforce \emph{caption-free semantic alignment} via SigLIP features extracted from the proxy. A scalable curation pipeline further filters large-scale data for structure-rich supervision. Across synthetic and in-the-wild benchmarks, LucidFlux consistently surpasses strong open-source and commercial baselines across seven metrics, with clear visual gains in realism, detail, and artifact suppression. Ablations confirm that, for large DiTs, when, where, and what to condition—rather than scaling parameters or relying on text prompts—is the key lever for robust, prompt-free restoration.

Poster
Jailbreaking the Matrix: Nullspace Steering for Controlled Model Subversion

Vishal Pramanik, Maisha Maliha, Susmit Jha, Sumit Kumar Jha

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Large language models remain vulnerable to jailbreak attacks, inputs crafted to bypass safety mechanisms and elicit harmful responses, despite advances in alignment and instruction tuning. Existing attacks often rely on prompt rewrites, dense optimization, or ad hoc heuristics, and lack interpretability and robustness. We propose **Head-Masked Nullspace Steering (HMNS)**, a circuit-level intervention that (i) identifies attention heads most causally responsible for a model’s default behavior, (ii) suppresses their write paths via targeted column masking, and (iii) injects a perturbation constrained to the orthogonal complement of the muted subspace. This geometry-aware intervention preserves fluency while steering the model toward completions that differ from baseline routing. HMNS operates in a closed-loop detection–intervention cycle, re-identifying causal heads and reapplying interventions across multiple decoding attempts. Across multiple jailbreak benchmarks, strong safety defenses, and widely used language models, HMNS attains state-of-the-art attack success rates with fewer queries than prior methods. Ablations confirm that nullspace-constrained injection, residual norm scaling, and iterative re-identification are key to its effectiveness. To our knowledge, this is the first jailbreak method to leverage geometry-aware, interpretability-informed interventions, highlighting a new paradigm for controlled model steering and adversarial safety circumvention.

Poster
TINY BUT MIGHTY: A SOFTWARE-HARDWARE CO- DESIGN APPROACH FOR EFFICIENT MULTIMODAL IN- FERENCE ON BATTERY-POWERED SMALL DEVICES

Yilong Li, Yijing Zeng, Shuai Zhang, Hao Zhang, Xinmiao Xiong, Jingyu Liu, Pan Hu, Suman Banerjee

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Large Multimodal Models (LMMs) are inherently modular, consisting of vision and audio encoders, projectors, and large language models. Yet, they are almost always executed monolithically, which underutilizes the heterogeneous accelera- tors (NPUs, GPUs, DSPs) in modern SoCs and leads to high end-to-end latency. In this paper, we present NANOMIND, a hardware–software co-design inference framework for Large Multimodal Models (LMMs) that breaks large models into modular “bricks” (vision, language, audio, etc.) and maps each to its ideal accelera- tor. The key insight is that large models can be broken into modular components and scheduled to run on the most appropriate compute units. It performs module-level dynamic offloading across accelerators on unified-memory SoCs. By combining customized hardware design, system-level scheduling, and optimized low-bit com- putation kernels, we demonstrate our framework with a compact, battery-powered device capable of running LMMs entirely on-device. This prototype functions as a self-contained intelligent assistant that requires no network connectivity, while achieving higher throughput and superior power efficiency under strict resource constraints. The design further bypasses CPU bottlenecks and reduces redundant memory usage through token-aware buffer management and module-level coordi- nation. Our system outperforms existing implementations in resource efficiency, cutting energy consumption by 42.3% and GPU memory usage by 11.2%. This enables a battery-powered device to run LlaVA-OneVision-qwen2-05B with a camera for nearly 20.8 hours.

Poster
lmgame-Bench: How Good are LLMs at Playing Games?

Lanxiang Hu, Mingjia Huo, Yuxuan Zhang, Haoyang Yu, Eric P. Xing, Ion Stoica, Tajana Rosing, Haojian Jin, Hao Zhang

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Playing video games requires perception, reasoning, memory, and long-horizon planning—exactly the faculties expected of modern large language and vision–language models (LLMs/VLMs). We introduce LMGame-Bench, a benchmark built on six popular games spanning platformer, puzzle, and narrative games through a unified Gym‑style API. Unlike prior game benchmarks that entangle multiple skills, LMGame-Bench employs a modular harness—including perception, memory, and reasoning modules—that can be toggled to selectively probe distinct capabilities. The benchmark further improves robustness through prompt standardization and contamination mitigation. Evaluation of 13 state-of-the-art models demonstrates that LMGame-Bench remains challenging yet effectively discriminates among models. Correlation analysis reveals that individual games align with core LLM capabilities, providing a quantitative framework for interpreting performance. Finally, LMGame-Bench exposes models’ limitations in visual state extraction, reflection, spatiotemporal reasoning, and long-context reasoning, pointing to concrete directions for model improvement.

Poster
Data Provenance for Image Auto-Regressive Generation

Bihe Zhao, Louis Kerner, Michel Meintz, Tameem Bakr, Franziska Boenisch, Adam Dziedzic

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Image autoregressive models (IARs) have recently demonstrated remarkable capabilities in visual content generation, achieving photorealistic quality and rapid synthesis through the next-token prediction paradigm adapted from large language models. As these models become widely accessible, robust data provenance is required to reliably trace IAR-generated images to the source model that synthesized them. This is critical to prevent the spread of misinformation, detect fraud, and attribute harmful content. We find that although IAR-generated images often appear visually identical to real images, their generation process introduces characteristic patterns in their outputs, which serves as a reliable provenance signal for the generated images. Leveraging this, we present a post-hoc framework that enables the robust detection of such patterns for provenance tracing. Notably, our framework does not require modifications of the generative process or outputs. Thereby, it is applicable in contexts where prior watermarking methods cannot be used, such as for generated content that is already published without additional marks and for models that do not integrate watermarking. We demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach across a wide range of IARs, highlighting its high potential for robust data provenance tracing in autoregressive image generation.

Poster
Reading Images Like Texts: Sequential Image Understanding in Vision-Language Models

Yueyan Li, Chenggong Zhao, Zeyuan Zang, Caixia Yuan, Xiaojie Wang

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Vision-Language Models (VLMs) have demonstrated remarkable performance across a variety of real-world tasks. However, existing VLMs typically process visual information by serializing images, a method that diverges significantly from the parallel nature of human vision. Moreover, their opaque internal mechanisms hinder both deeper understanding and architectural innovation. Inspired by the dual-stream hypothesis of human vision, which distinguishes the "what" and "where" pathways, we deconstruct the visual processing in VLMs into object recognition and spatial perception for separate study. For object recognition, we convert images into text token maps and find that the model's perception of image content unfolds as a two-stage process from shallow to deep layers, beginning with attribute recognition and culminating in semantic disambiguation. For spatial perception, we theoretically derive and empirically verify the geometric structure underlying the positional representation in VLMs. Based on these findings, we introduce an instruction-agnostic token compression algorithm based on a plug-and-play visual decoder to improve decoding efficiency, and a RoPE scaling technique to enhance spatial reasoning. Through rigorous experiments, our work validates these analyses, offering a deeper understanding of VLM internals and providing clear principles for designing more capable future architectures.

Poster
Why is Your Language Model a Poor Implicit Reward Model?

Noam Razin, Yong Lin, Jiarui Yao, Sanjeev Arora

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Reward models are key to language model post-training and inference pipelines. Conveniently, recent work showed that every language model defines an implicit reward model (IM-RM), without requiring any architectural changes. However, such IM-RMs tend to generalize worse, especially out-of-distribution, compared to explicit reward models (EX-RMs) that apply a dedicated linear head over the hidden representations of a language model. The existence of a generalization gap is puzzling, as EX-RMs and IM-RMs are nearly identical. They can be trained using the same data, loss function, and language model, and differ only in how the reward is computed. Toward a fundamental understanding of the implicit biases underlying different reward model types, we investigate the root cause of this gap. Our main finding, backed by theory and experiments, is that IM-RMs rely more heavily on superficial token-level cues. Consequently, they often generalize worse than EX-RMs under token-level distribution shifts, as well as in-distribution. Furthermore, we provide evidence against alternative hypotheses for the generalization gap. Most notably, we challenge the claim that IM-RMs struggle in tasks where generation is harder than verification because they can operate both as a verifier and a generator. Overall, our results highlight that seemingly minor design choices can substantially impact the generalization behavior of reward models.

Poster
Diagnosing and Remedying Knowledge Deficiencies in LLMs via Label-free Curricular Meaningful Learning

Kai Xiong, Xiao Ding, Yixin Cao, Li Du, Jiahao Ying, Yang Zhao, Bing Qin, Ting Liu

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Large Language Models (LLMs) have demonstrated impressive generalization ability by learning from extensive unlabeled text. However, they still exhibit reasoning mistakes, which can affect their trustworthiness and reliability. Although users can interact with LLMs and provide diverse and comprehensive queries to expose the flaws of LLMs, obtaining sufficient and effective feedback is demanding. Furthermore, comprehensively evaluating LLMs with limited labeled samples is difficult. These make it a challenge to diagnose and remedy the deficiencies in LLMs through rich label-free user queries. To tackle this challenge and considersing that LLMs' reasoning mistakes often stem from knowledge deficiencies, we propose label-free curricular meaningful learning (LaMer), which first employs relative entropy to diagnose and quantify knowledge deficiencies of LLMs in a label-free setting. Then, LaMer adaptively synthesizes augmentation data based on deficiency severity and progressively remedies them with a curricular remedy strategy. Experiments show that LaMer effectively diagnoses and remedies knowledge deficiencies in LLMs, improving various LLMs across seven out-of-distribution (OOD) reasoning benchmarks, achieving comparable results to baselines with only 40% training data. LaMer even surpasses methods that rely on labeled data for deficiency diagnosis. In application, LaMer offers a diagnostic tool for efficient LLM development.

Poster
No outlier channels but with outlier blocks

Shanwen Mao, Hao Zhang, Jiasheng Li, Haoyu Qiao, Chenxin Cai, Tingting Wu, Jie Liu

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With the rapid scaling of large language models, achieving efficient compression while maintaining model performance has become a critical challenge. To address the limitations of existing non-uniform quantization methods, which typically rely on fixed codebooks and require costly optimization, we propose a novel arbitrary bit-width non-uniform Quantization (NuBitQ). The framework enables flexible, layer-specific quantization strategies, significantly enhancing adaptability and efficiency. Notably, traditional outlier compensation methods used in uniform quantization are ill-suited for the anomalous distribution characteristics encountered in our context. To address this, we design a novel outlier evaluation metric that integrates weight perturbation, activation distribution, and perturbation propagation. Based on this metric, we further develop an Outlier Compensation Plugin (OCP) that implements multi-level, fine-grained outlier compensation strategies, effectively mitigating performance degradation caused by outliers. Our approach avoids direct complex Hessian computation and fine-tuning, offering strong applicability and scalability. Extensive experiments on multiple tasks and across various model series demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach.

Poster
On the Eligibility of LLMs for Counterfactual Reasoning: A Decompositional Study

Shuai Yang, Qi Yang, Luoxi Tang, Yuqiao Meng, Nancy Guo, Jeremy Blackburn, Zhaohan Xi

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Counterfactual reasoning has emerged as a crucial technique for generalizing the reasoning capabilities of large language models (LLMs). By generating and analyzing counterfactual scenarios, researchers can assess the adaptability and reliability of model decision-making. Although prior work has shown that LLMs often struggle with counterfactual reasoning, it remains unclear which factors most significantly impede their performance across different tasks and modalities. In this paper, we propose a decompositional strategy that breaks down the counterfactual generation from causality construction to the reasoning over counterfactual interventions. To support decompositional analysis, we investigate 11 datasets spanning diverse tasks, including natural language understanding, mathematics, programming, and vision-language tasks. Through extensive evaluations, we characterize LLM behavior across each decompositional stage and identify how modality type and intermediate reasoning influence performance. By establishing a structured framework for analyzing counterfactual reasoning, this work contributes to the development of more reliable LLM-based reasoning systems and informs future elicitation strategies.

Poster