AISTATS 2024 Papers

International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics

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547papers

Counted from the official paper list; may differ slightly from the number the conference announced.

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Adaptive Discretization for Event PredicTion (ADEPT)

Jimmy Hickey, Ricardo Henao, Daniel Wojdyla, Michael Pencina, Matthew Engelhard

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Recently developed survival analysis methods improve upon existing approaches by predicting the probability of event occurrence in each of a number pre-specified (discrete) time intervals. By avoiding placing strong parametric assumptions on the event density, this approach tends to improve prediction performance, particularly when data are plentiful. However, in clinical settings with limited available data, it is often preferable to judiciously partition the event time space into a limited number of intervals well suited to the prediction task at hand. In this work, we develop Adaptive Discretization for Event PredicTion (ADEPT) to learn from data a set of cut points defining such a partition. We show that in two simulated datasets, we are able to recover intervals that match the underlying generative model. We then demonstrate improved prediction performance on three real-world observational datasets, including a large, newly harmonized stroke risk prediction dataset. Finally, we argue that our approach facilitates clinical decision-making by suggesting time intervals that are most appropriate for each task, in the sense that they facilitate more accurate risk prediction.

Poster
Adaptive Compression in Federated Learning via Side Information

Berivan Isik, Francesco Pase, Deniz Gunduz, Sanmi Koyejo, Tsachy Weissman, Michele Zorzi

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The high communication cost of sending model updates from the clients to the server is a significant bottleneck for scalable federated learning (FL). Among existing approaches, state-of-the-art bitrate-accuracy tradeoffs have been achieved using stochastic compression methods – in which the client n sends a sample from a client-only probability distribution $q_{\phi^{(n)}}$, and the server estimates the mean of the clients’ distributions using these samples. However, such methods do not take full advantage of the FL setup where the server, throughout the training process, has side information in the form of a global distribution $p_{\theta}$ that is close to the client-only distribution $q_{\phi^{(n)}}$ in Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence. In this work, we exploit this \emph{closeness} between the clients’ distributions $q_{\phi^{(n)}}$’s and the side information $p_{\theta}$ at the server, and propose a framework that requires approximately $D_{KL}(q_{\phi^{(n)}}|| p_{\theta})$ bits of communication. We show that our method can be integrated into many existing stochastic compression frameworks to attain the same (and often higher) test accuracy with up to 82 times smaller bitrate than the prior work – corresponding to 2,650 times overall compression.

Poster
Adaptive Batch Sizes for Active Learning: A Probabilistic Numerics Approach

Masaki Adachi, Satoshi Hayakawa, Martin Jørgensen, Xingchen Wan, Vu Nguyen, Harald Oberhauser, Michael A Osborne

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Active learning parallelization is widely used, but typically relies on fixing the batch size throughout experimentation. This fixed approach is inefficient because of a dynamic trade-off between cost and speed—larger batches are more costly, smaller batches lead to slower wall-clock run-times—and the trade-off may change over the run (larger batches are often preferable earlier). To address this trade-off, we propose a novel Probabilistic Numerics framework that adaptively changes batch sizes. By framing batch selection as a quadrature task, our integration-error-aware algorithm facilitates the automatic tuning of batch sizes to meet predefined quadrature precision objectives, akin to how typical optimizers terminate based on convergence thresholds. This approach obviates the necessity for exhaustive searches across all potential batch sizes. We also extend this to scenarios with constrained active learning and constrained optimization, interpreting constraint violations as reductions in the precision requirement, to subsequently adapt batch construction. Through extensive experiments, we demonstrate that our approach significantly enhances learning efficiency and flexibility in diverse Bayesian batch active learning and Bayesian optimization applications.

Poster
Achieving Group Distributional Robustness and Minimax Group Fairness with Interpolating Classifiers

Natalia L Martinez, Martin A Bertran, Guillermo Sapiro

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Group distributional robustness optimization methods (GDRO) learn models that guarantee performance across a broad set of demographics. GDRO is often framed as a minimax game where an adversary proposes data distributions under which the model performs poorly; importance weights are used to mimic the adversarial distribution on finite samples. Prior work has show that applying GDRO with interpolating classifiers requires strong regularization to generalize to unseen data. Moreover, these classifiers are not responsive to importance weights in the asymptotic training regime. In this work we propose Bi-level GDRO, a provably convergent formulation that decouples the adversary’s and model learner’s objective and improves generalization guarantees. To address non-responsiveness of importance weights, we combine Bi-level GDRO with a learner that optimizes a temperature-scaled loss that can provably trade off performance between demographics, even on interpolating classifiers. We experimentally demonstrate the effectiveness of our proposed method on learning minimax classifiers on a variety of datasets. Code is available at github.com/MartinBertran/BiLevelGDRO.

Poster
Achieving Fairness through Separability: A Unified Framework for Fair Representation Learning

Taeuk Jang, Hongchang Gao, Pengyi Shi, Xiaoqian Wang

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Fairness is a growing concern in machine learning as state-of-the-art models may amplify social prejudice by making biased predictions against specific demographics such as race and gender. Such discrimination raises issues in various fields such as employment, criminal justice, and trust score evaluation. To address the concerns, we propose learning fair representation through a straightforward yet effective approach to project intrinsic information while filtering sensitive information for downstream tasks. Our model consists of two goals: one is to ensure that the latent data from different demographic groups is non-separable (i.e., make the latent data distribution independent of the sensitive feature to improve fairness); the other is to maximize the separability of latent data from different classes (i.e., maintain the discriminative power of data for the sake of the downstream tasks like classification). Our method adopts a non-zero-sum adversarial game to minimize the distance between data from different demographic groups while maximizing the margin between data from different classes. Moreover, the proposed objective function can be easily generalized to multiple sensitive attributes and multi-class scenarios as it upper bounds popular fairness metrics in these cases. We provide theoretical analysis of the fairness of our model and validate w.r.t. both fairness and predictive performance on benchmark datasets.

Poster
Accuracy-Preserving Calibration via Statistical Modeling on Probability Simplex

Yasushi Esaki, Akihiro Nakamura, Keisuke Kawano, Ryoko Tokuhisa, Takuro Kutsuna

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Classification models based on deep neural networks (DNNs) must be calibrated to measure the reliability of predictions. Some recent calibration methods have employed a probabilistic model on the probability simplex. However, these calibration methods cannot preserve the accuracy of pre-trained models, even those with a high classification accuracy. We propose an accuracy-preserving calibration method using the Concrete distribution as the probabilistic model on the probability simplex. We theoretically prove that a DNN model trained on cross-entropy loss has optimality as the parameter of the Concrete distribution. We also propose an efficient method that synthetically generates samples for training probabilistic models on the probability simplex. We demonstrate that the proposed method can outperform previous methods in accuracy-preserving calibration tasks using benchmarks.

Poster
Acceleration and Implicit Regularization in Gaussian Phase Retrieval

Tyler Maunu, Martin Molina-Fructuoso

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We study accelerated optimization methods in the Gaussian phase retrieval problem. In this setting, we prove that gradient methods with Polyak or Nesterov momentum have similar implicit regularization to gradient descent. This implicit regularization ensures that the algorithms remain in a nice region, where the cost function is strongly convex and smooth despite being nonconvex in general. This ensures that these accelerated methods achieve faster rates of convergence than gradient descent. Experimental evidence demonstrates that the accelerated methods converge faster than gradient descent in practice.

Poster
Accelerating Approximate Thompson Sampling with Underdamped Langevin Monte Carlo

Haoyang Zheng, Wei Deng, Christian Moya, Guang Lin

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Approximate Thompson sampling with Langevin Monte Carlo broadens its reach from Gaussian posterior sampling to encompass more general smooth posteriors. However, it still encounters scalability issues in high-dimensional problems when demanding high accuracy. To address this, we propose an approximate Thompson sampling strategy, utilizing underdamped Langevin Monte Carlo, where the latter is the go-to workhorse for simulations of high-dimensional posteriors. Based on the standard smoothness and log-concavity conditions, we study the accelerated posterior concentration and sampling using a specific potential function. This design improves the sample complexity for realizing logarithmic regrets from $\mathcal{\tilde O}(d)$ to $\mathcal{\tilde O}(\sqrt{d})$. The scalability and robustness of our algorithm are also empirically validated through synthetic experiments in high-dimensional bandit problems.

Poster
Absence of spurious solutions far from ground truth: A low-rank analysis with high-order losses

Ziye Ma, Ying Chen, Javad Lavaei, Somayeh Sojoudi

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Matrix sensing problems exhibit pervasive non-convexity, plaguing optimization with a proliferation of suboptimal spurious solutions. Avoiding convergence to these critical points poses a major challenge. This work provides new theoretical insights that help demystify the intricacies of the non-convex landscape. In this work, we prove that under certain conditions, critical points sufficiently distant from the ground truth matrix exhibit favorable geometry by being strict saddle points rather than troublesome local minima. Moreover, we introduce the notion of higher-order losses for the matrix sensing problem and show that the incorporation of such losses into the objective function amplifies the negative curvature around those distant critical points. This implies that increasing the complexity of the objective function via high-order losses accelerates the escape from such critical points and acts as a desirable alternative to increasing the complexity of the optimization problem via over-parametrization. By elucidating key characteristics of the non-convex optimization landscape, this work makes progress towards a comprehensive framework for tackling broader machine learning objectives plagued by non-convexity.

Poster
ALAS: Active Learning for Autoconversion Rates Prediction from Satellite Data

Maria C. Novitasari, Johannes Quaas, Miguel Rodrigues

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High-resolution simulations, such as the ICOsahedral Non-hydrostatic Large-Eddy Model (ICON-LEM), provide valuable insights into the complex interactions among aerosols, clouds, and precipitation, which are the major contributors to climate change uncertainty. However, due to their exorbitant computational costs, they can only be employed for a limited period and geographical area. To address this, we propose a more cost-effective method powered by an emerging machine learning approach to better understand the intricate dynamics of the climate system. Our approach involves active learning techniques by leveraging high-resolution climate simulation as an oracle that is queried based on an abundant amount of unlabeled data drawn from satellite observations. In particular, we aim to predict autoconversion rates, a crucial step in precipitation formation, while significantly reducing the need for a large number of labeled instances. In this study, we present novel methods: custom fusion query strategies for labeling instances – weight fusion (WiFi) and merge fusion (MeFi) – along with active feature selection based on SHAP. These methods are designed to tackle real-world challenges – in this case, climate change, with a specific focus on the prediction of autoconversion rates – due to their simplicity and practicality in application.

Poster
A/B testing under Interference with Partial Network Information

Shiv Shankar, Ritwik Sinha, Yash Chandak, Saayan Mitra, Madalina Fiterau

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A/B tests are often required to be conducted on subjects that might have social connections. For e.g., experiments on social media, or medical and social interventions to control the spread of an epidemic. In such settings, the SUTVA assumption for randomized-controlled trials is violated due to network interference, or spill-over effects, as treatments to group A can potentially also affect the control group B. When the underlying social network is known exactly, prior works have demonstrated how to conduct A/B tests adequately to estimate the global average treatment effect (GATE). However, in practice, it is often impossible to obtain knowledge about the exact underlying network. In this paper, we present UNITE: a novel estimator that relax this assumption and can identify GATE while only relying on knowledge of the superset of neighbors for any subject in the graph. Through theoretical analysis and extensive experiments, we show that the proposed approach performs better in comparison to standard estimators.

Poster
A/B Testing and Best-arm Identification for Linear Bandits with Robustness to Non-stationarity

Zhihan Xiong, Romain Camilleri, Maryam Fazel, Lalit Jain, Kevin Jamieson

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We investigate the fixed-budget best-arm identification (BAI) problem for linear bandits in a potentially non-stationary environment. Given a finite arm set $\mathcal{X}\subset\mathbb{R}^d$, a fixed budget $T$, and an unpredictable sequence of parameters $\left\lbrace\theta_t\right\rbrace_{t=1}^{T}$, an algorithm will aim to correctly identify the best arm $x^* := \arg\max_{x\in\mathcal{X}}x^\top\sum_{t=1}^{T}\theta_t$ with probability as high as possible. Prior work has addressed the stationary setting where $\theta_t = \theta_1$ for all $t$ and demonstrated that the error probability decreases as $\exp(-T /\rho^*)$ for a problem-dependent constant $\rho^*$. But in many real-world $A/B/n$ multivariate testing scenarios that motivate our work, the environment is non-stationary and an algorithm expecting a stationary setting can easily fail. For robust identification, it is well-known that if arms are chosen randomly and non-adaptively from a G-optimal design over $\mathcal{X}$ at each time then the error probability decreases as $\exp(-T\Delta^2_{(1)}/d)$, where $\Delta_{(1)} = \min_{x \neq x^*} (x^* - x)^\top \frac{1}{T}\sum_{t=1}^T \theta_t$. As there exist environments where $\Delta_{(1)}^2/ d \ll 1/ \rho^*$, we are motivated to propose a novel algorithm P1-RAGE that aims to obtain the best of both worlds: robustness to non-stationarity and fast rates of identification in benign settings. We characterize the error probability of P1-RAGE and demonstrate empirically that the algorithm indeed never performs worse than G-optimal design but compares favorably to the best algorithms in the stationary setting.

Poster
A White-Box False Positive Adversarial Attack Method on Contrastive Loss Based Offline Handwritten Signature Verification Models

Zhongliang Guo, Weiye Li, Yifei Qian, Ognjen Arandjelovic, Lei Fang

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In this paper, we tackle the challenge of white-box false positive adversarial attacks on contrastive loss based offline handwritten signature verification models. We propose a novel attack method that treats the attack as a style transfer between closely related but distinct writing styles. To guide the generation of deceptive images, we introduce two new loss functions that enhance the attack success rate by perturbing the Euclidean distance between the embedding vectors of the original and synthesized samples, while ensuring minimal perturbations by reducing the difference between the generated image and the original image. Our method demonstrates state-of-the-art performance in white-box attacks on contrastive loss based offline handwritten signature verification models, as evidenced by our experiments. The key contributions of this paper include a novel false positive attack method, two new loss functions, effective style transfer in handwriting styles, and superior performance in white-box false positive attacks compared to other white-box attack methods.

Poster
A Unifying Variational Framework for Gaussian Process Motion Planning

Lucas C. Cosier, Rares Iordan, Sicelukwanda N. T. Zwane, Giovanni Franzese, James T. Wilson, Marc Deisenroth, Alexander Terenin, Yasemin Bekiroglu

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To control how a robot moves, motion planning algorithms must compute paths in high-dimensional state spaces while accounting for physical constraints related to motors and joints, generating smooth and stable motions, avoiding obstacles, and preventing collisions. A motion planning algorithm must therefore balance competing demands, and should ideally incorporate uncertainty to handle noise, model errors, and facilitate deployment in complex environments. To address these issues, we introduce a framework for robot motion planning based on variational Gaussian processes, which unifies and generalizes various probabilistic-inference-based motion planning algorithms, and connects them with optimization-based planners. Our framework provides a principled and flexible way to incorporate equality-based, inequality-based, and soft motion-planning constraints during end-to-end training, is straightforward to implement, and provides both interval-based and Monte-Carlo-based uncertainty estimates. We conduct experiments using different environments and robots, comparing against baseline approaches based on the feasibility of the planned paths, and obstacle avoidance quality. Results show that our proposed approach yields a good balance between success rates and path quality.

Poster
A Unified Framework for Discovering Discrete Symmetries

Pavan Karjol, Rohan Kashyap, Aditya Gopalan, A. P. Prathosh

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We consider the problem of learning a function respecting a symmetry from among a class of symmetries. We develop a unified framework that enables symmetry discovery across a broad range of subgroups including locally symmetric, dihedral and cyclic subgroups. At the core of the framework is a novel architecture composed of linear, matrix-valued and non-linear functions that expresses functions invariant to these subgroups in a principled manner. The structure of the architecture enables us to leverage multi-armed bandit algorithms and gradient descent to efficiently optimize over the linear and the non-linear functions, respectively, and to infer the symmetry that is ultimately learnt. We also discuss the necessity of the matrix-valued functions in the architecture. Experiments on image-digit sum and polynomial regression tasks demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach.

Poster
A Specialized Semismooth Newton Method for Kernel-Based Optimal Transport

Tianyi Lin, marco cuturi, Michael Jordan

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Kernel-based optimal transport (OT) estimators offer an alternative, functional estimation procedure to address OT problems from samples. Recent works suggest that these estimators are more statistically efficient than plug-in (linear programming-based) OT estimators when comparing probability measures in high-dimensions (Vacher et al., 2021). Unfortunately,that statistical benefit comes at a very steep computational price: because their computation relies on the short-step interior-point method (SSIPM), which comes with a large iteration count in practice, these estimators quickly become intractable w.r.t. sample size $n$. To scale these estimators to larger $n$, we propose a nonsmooth fixedpoint model for the kernel-based OT problem, and show that it can be efficiently solved via a specialized semismooth Newton (SSN) method: We show, exploring the problem’s structure, that the per-iteration cost of performing one SSN step can be significantly reduced in practice. We prove that our SSN method achieves a global convergence rate of $O(1/\sqrt{k})$, and a local quadratic convergence rate under standard regularity conditions. We show substantial speedups over SSIPM on both synthetic and real datasets.

Poster
A Scalable Algorithm for Individually Fair k-Means Clustering

Mohammadhossein Bateni, Vincent Cohen-Addad, Alessandro Epasto, Silvio Lattanzi

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We present a scalable algorithm for the individually fair ($p$, $k$)-clustering problem introduced by Jung et al. and Mahabadi et al. Given $n$ points $P$ in a metric space, let $\delta(x)$ for $x\in P$ be the radius of the smallest ball around $x$ containing at least $n / k$ points. A clustering is then called individually fair if it has centers within distance $\delta(x)$ of $x$ for each $x\in P$. While good approximation algorithms are known for this problem no efficient practical algorithms with good theoretical guarantees have been presented. We design the first fast local-search algorithm that runs in  $O(nk^2)$ time and obtains a bicriteria $(O(1), 6)$ approximation. Then we show empirically that not only is our algorithm much faster than prior work, but it also produces lower-cost solutions.

Poster
A Primal-Dual-Critic Algorithm for Offline Constrained Reinforcement Learning

Kihyuk Hong, Yuhang Li, Ambuj Tewari

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Offline constrained reinforcement learning (RL) aims to learn a policy that maximizes the expected cumulative reward subject to constraints on expected cumulative cost using an existing dataset. In this paper, we propose Primal-Dual-Critic Algorithm (PDCA), a novel algorithm for offline constrained RL with general function approximation. PDCA runs a primal-dual algorithm on the Lagrangian function estimated by critics. The primal player employs a no-regret policy optimization oracle to maximize the Lagrangian estimate and the dual player acts greedily to minimize the Lagrangian estimate. We show that PDCA finds a near saddle point of the Lagrangian, which is nearly optimal for the constrained RL problem. Unlike previous work that requires concentrability and a strong Bellman completeness assumption, PDCA only requires concentrability and realizability assumptions for sample-efficient learning.

Poster
A Neural Architecture Predictor based on GNN-Enhanced Transformer

Xunzhi Xiang, Kun Jing, Jungang Xu

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Neural architecture performance predictor is an efficient approach for architecture estimation in Neural Architecture Search (NAS). However, existing predictors based on Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) are deficient in modeling long-range interactions between operation nodes and prone to the problem of over-smoothing, which limits their ability to learn neural architecture representation. Furthermore, some Transformer-based predictors use simple position encodings to improve performance via self-attention mechanism, but they fail to fully exploit the subgraph structure information of the graph. To solve this problem, we propose a novel method to enhance the graph representation of neural architectures by combining GNNs and Transformer blocks. We evaluate the effectiveness of our predictor on NAS-Bench-101 and NAS-bench-201 benchmarks, the discovered architecture on DARTS search space achieves an accuracy of 97.61% on CIFAR-10 dataset, which outperforms traditional position encoding methods such as adjacency and Laplacian matrices. The code of our work is available at \url{https://github.com/GNET}.

Poster
A Lower Bound and a Near-Optimal Algorithm for Bilevel Empirical Risk Minimization

Mathieu Dagréou, Thomas Moreau, Samuel Vaiter, Pierre Ablin

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Bilevel optimization problems, which are problems where two optimization problems are nested, have more and more applications in machine learning. In many practical cases, the upper and the lower objectives correspond to empirical risk minimization problems and therefore have a sum structure. In this context, we propose a bilevel extension of the celebrated SARAH algorithm. We demonstrate that the algorithm requires $O((n+m)^{1/2}\epsilon^{-1})$ oracle calls to achieve $\epsilon$-stationarity with $n+m$ the total number of samples, which improves over all previous bilevel algorithms. Moreover, we provide a lower bound on the number of oracle calls required to get an approximate stationary point of the objective function of the bilevel problem. This lower bound is attained by our algorithm, making it optimal in terms of sample complexity.

Poster