AISTATS 2024 Papers

International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics

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547papers

Counted from the official paper list; may differ slightly from the number the conference announced.

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autoMALA: Locally adaptive Metropolis-adjusted Langevin algorithm

Miguel Biron-Lattes, Nikola Surjanovic, Saifuddin Syed, Trevor Campbell, Alexandre Bouchard-Cote

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Selecting the step size for the Metropolis-adjusted Langevin algorithm (MALA) is necessary in order to obtain satisfactory performance. However, finding an adequate step size for an arbitrary target distribution can be a difficult task and even the best step size can perform poorly in specific regions of the space when the target distribution is sufficiently complex. To resolve this issue we introduce autoMALA, a new Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm based on MALA that automatically sets its step size at each iteration based on the local geometry of the target distribution. We prove that autoMALA has the correct invariant distribution, despite continual automatic adjustments of the step size. Our experiments demonstrate that autoMALA is competitive with related state-of-the-art MCMC methods, in terms of the number of log density evaluations per effective sample, and it outperforms state-of-the-art samplers on targets with varying geometries. Furthermore, we find that autoMALA tends to find step sizes comparable to optimally-tuned MALA when a fixed step size suffices for the whole domain.

Poster
XB-MAML: Learning Expandable Basis Parameters for Effective Meta-Learning with Wide Task Coverage

Jae-Jun Lee, Sung Whan Yoon

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Meta-learning, which pursues an effective initialization model, has emerged as a promising approach to handling unseen tasks. However, a limitation remains to be evident when a meta-learner tries to encompass a wide range of task distribution, e.g., learning across distinctive datasets or domains. Recently, a group of works has attempted to employ multiple model initializations to cover widely-ranging tasks, but they are limited in adaptively expanding initializations. We introduce XB-MAML, which learns expandable basis parameters, where they are linearly combined to form an effective initialization to a given task. XB-MAML observes the discrepancy between the vector space spanned by the basis and fine-tuned parameters to decide whether to expand the basis. Our method surpasses the existing works in the multi-domain meta-learning benchmarks and opens up new chances of meta-learning for obtaining the diverse inductive bias that can be combined to stretch toward the effective initialization for diverse unseen tasks.

Poster
Why is parameter averaging beneficial in SGD? An objective smoothing perspective

Atsushi Nitanda, Ryuhei Kikuchi, Shugo Maeda, Denny Wu

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It is often observed that stochastic gradient descent (SGD) and its variants implicitly select a solution with good generalization performance; such implicit bias is often characterized in terms of the sharpness of the minima. Kleinberg et al. (2018) connected this bias with the smoothing effect of SGD which eliminates sharp local minima by the convolution using the stochastic gradient noise. We follow this line of research and study the commonly-used averaged SGD algorithm, which has been empirically observed in Izmailov et al. (2018) to prefer a flat minimum and therefore achieves better generalization. We prove that in certain problem settings, averaged SGD can efficiently optimize the smoothed objective which avoids sharp local minima. In experiments, we verify our theory and show that parameter averaging with an appropriate step size indeed leads to significant improvement in the performance of SGD.

Poster
When No-Rejection Learning is Consistent for Regression with Rejection

Xiaocheng Li, Shang Liu, Chunlin Sun, Hanzhao Wang

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Learning with rejection has been a prototypical model for studying the human-AI interaction on prediction tasks. Upon the arrival of a sample instance, the model first uses a rejector to decide whether to accept and use the AI predictor to make a prediction or reject and defer the sample to humans. Learning such a model changes the structure of the original loss function and often results in undesirable non-convexity and inconsistency issues. For the classification with rejection problem, several works develop consistent surrogate losses for the joint learning of the predictor and the rejector, while there have been fewer works for the regression counterpart. This paper studies the regression with rejection (RwR) problem and investigates a no-rejection learning strategy that uses all the data to learn the predictor. We first establish the consistency for such a strategy under the weak realizability condition. Then for the case without the weak realizability, we show that the excessive risk can also be upper bounded with the sum of two parts: prediction error and calibration error. Lastly, we demonstrate the advantage of such a proposed learning strategy with empirical evidence.

Poster
Weight-Sharing Regularization

Mehran Shakerinava, Motahareh MS Sohrabi, Siamak Ravanbakhsh, Simon Lacoste-Julien

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Weight-sharing is ubiquitous in deep learning. Motivated by this, we propose a “weight-sharing regularization” penalty on the weights $w \in \mathbb{R}^d$ of a neural network, defined as $\mathcal{R}(w) = \frac{1}{d - 1}\sum_{i > j}^d |w_i - w_j|$. We study the proximal mapping of $\mathcal{R}$ and provide an intuitive interpretation of it in terms of a physical system of interacting particles. We also parallelize existing algorithms for $\mathrm{prox}_{\mathcal{R}}$ (to run on GPU) and find that one of them is fast in practice but slow ($O(d)$) for worst-case inputs. Using the physical interpretation, we design a novel parallel algorithm which runs in $O(\log^3 d)$ when sufficient processors are available, thus guaranteeing fast training. Our experiments reveal that weight-sharing regularization enables fully connected networks to learn convolution-like filters even when pixels have been shuffled while convolutional neural networks fail in this setting. Our code is available on \href{https://github.com/motahareh-sohrabi/weight-sharing-regularization}{github}.

Poster
Warped Diffusion for Latent Differentiation Inference

Masahiro Nakano, Hiroki Sakuma, Ryo Nishikimi, Ryohei Shibue, Takashi Sato, Tomoharu Iwata, Kunio Kashino

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This paper proposes a Bayesian nonparametric diffusion model with a black-box warping function represented by a Gaussian process to infer potential diffusion structures latent in observed data, such as differentiation mechanisms of living cells and phylogenetic evolution processes of media information. In general, the task of inferring latent differentiation structures is very difficult to handle due to two interrelated settings. One is that the conversion mechanism between hidden structure and often higher dimensional observations is unknown (and is a complex mechanism). The other is that the topology of the hidden diffuse structure itself is unknown. Therefore, in this paper, we propose a BNP-based strategy as a natural way to deal with these two challenging settings simultaneously. Specifically, as an extension of the Gaussian process latent variable model, we propose a model in which the black box transformation from latent variable space to observed data space is represented by a Gaussian process, and introduce a BNP diffusion model for the latent variable space. We show its application to the visualization of the diffusion structure of media information and to the task of inferring cell differentiation structure from single-cell gene expression levels.

Poster
Vector Quantile Regression on Manifolds

Marco Pegoraro, Sanketh Vedula, Aviv A Rosenberg, Irene Tallini, Emanuele Rodola, Alex Bronstein

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Quantile regression (QR) is a statistical tool for distribution-free estimation of conditional quantiles of a target variable given explanatory features. QR is limited by the assumption that the target distribution is univariate and defined on an Euclidean domain. Although the notion of quantiles was recently extended to multi-variate distributions, QR for multi-variate distributions on manifolds remains underexplored, even though many important applications inherently involve data distributed on, e.g., spheres (climate and geological phenomena), and tori (dihedral angles in proteins). By leveraging optimal transport theory and c-concave functions, we meaningfully define conditional vector quantile functions of high-dimensional variables on manifolds (M-CVQFs). Our approach allows for quantile estimation, regression, and computation of conditional confidence sets and likelihoods. We demonstrate the approach’s efficacy and provide insights regarding the meaning of non-Euclidean quantiles through synthetic and real data experiments.

Poster
Variational Resampling

Oskar Kviman, Nicola Branchini, Victor Elvira, Jens Lagergren

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We cast the resampling step in particle filters (PFs) as a variational inference problem, resulting in a new class of resampling schemes: variational resampling. Variational resampling is flexible as it allows for choices of 1) divergence to minimize, 2) target distribution to input to the divergence, and 3) divergence minimization algorithm. With this novel application of VI to particle filters, variational resampling further unifies these two powerful and popular methodologies. We construct two variational resamplers that replicate particles in order to maximize lower bounds with respect to two different target measures. We benchmark our variational resamplers on challenging smoothing tasks, outperforming PFs that implement the state-of-the-art resampling schemes.

Poster
Variational Gaussian Process Diffusion Processes

Prakhar Verma, Vincent Adam, Arno Solin

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Diffusion processes are a class of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) providing a rich family of expressive models that arise naturally in dynamic modelling tasks. Probabilistic inference and learning under generative models with latent processes endowed with a non-linear diffusion process prior are intractable problems. We build upon work within variational inference, approximating the posterior process as a linear diffusion process, and point out pathologies in the approach. We propose an alternative parameterization of the Gaussian variational process using a site-based exponential family description. This allows us to trade a slow inference algorithm with fixed-point iterations for a fast algorithm for convex optimization akin to natural gradient descent, which also provides a better objective for learning model parameters.

Poster
VEC-SBM: Optimal Community Detection with Vectorial Edges Covariates

Guillaume Braun, Masashi Sugiyama

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Social networks are often associated with rich side information, such as texts and images. While numerous methods have been developed to identify communities from pairwise interactions, they usually ignore such side information. In this work, we study an extension of the Stochastic Block Model (SBM), a widely used statistical framework for community detection, that integrates vectorial edges covariates: the Vectorial Edges Covariates Stochastic Block Model (VEC-SBM). We propose a novel algorithm based on iterative refinement techniques and show that it optimally recovers the latent communities under the VEC-SBM. Furthermore, we rigorously assess the added value of leveraging edge’s side information in the community detection process. We complement our theoretical results with numerical experiments on synthetic and semi-synthetic data.

Poster
User-level Differentially Private Stochastic Convex Optimization: Efficient Algorithms with Optimal Rates

Daogao Liu, Hilal Asi

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We study differentially private stochastic convex optimization (DP-SCO) under user-level privacy, where each user may hold multiple data items. Existing work for user-level DP-SCO either requires super-polynomial runtime (Ghazi et al., 2023) or requires the number of users to grow polynomially with the dimensionality of the problem with additional strict assumptions (Bassily et al., 2023). We develop new algorithms for user-level DP-SCO that obtain optimal rates for both convex and strongly convex functions in polynomial time and require the number of users to grow only logarithmically in the dimension. Moreover, our algorithms are the first to obtain optimal rates for non-smooth functions in polynomial time. These algorithms are based on multiple-pass DP-SGD, combined with a novel private mean estimation procedure for concentrated data, which applies an outlier removal step before estimating the mean of the gradients.

Poster
Unveiling Latent Causal Rules: A Temporal Point Process Approach for Abnormal Event Explanation

Yiling Kuang, Chao Yang, Yang Yang, Shuang Li

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In high-stakes systems such as healthcare, it is critical to understand the causal reasons behind unusual events, such as sudden changes in patient’s health. Unveiling the causal reasons helps with quick diagnoses and precise treatment planning. In this paper, we propose an automated method for uncovering “if-then” logic rules to explain observational events. We introduce {\it temporal point processes} to model the events of interest, and discover the set of latent rules to explain the occurrence of events. To achieve this goal, we employ an Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm. In the E-step, we calculate the posterior probability of each event being explained by each discovered rule. In the M-step, we update both the rule set and model parameters to enhance the likelihood function’s lower bound. Notably, we will optimize the rule set in a {\it differential} manner. Our approach demonstrates accurate performance in both discovering rules and identifying root causes. We showcase its promising results using synthetic and real healthcare datasets.

Poster
Unsupervised Novelty Detection in Pretrained Representation Space with Locally Adapted Likelihood Ratio

Amirhossein Ahmadian, Yifan Ding, Gabriel Eilertsen, Fredrik Lindsten

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Detecting novelties given unlabeled examples of normal data is a challenging task in machine learning, particularly when the novel and normal categories are semantically close. Large deep models pretrained on massive datasets can provide a rich representation space in which the simple k-nearest neighbor distance works as a novelty measure. However, as we show in this paper, the basic k-NN method might be insufficient in this context due to ignoring the ’local geometry’ of the distribution over representations as well as the impact of irrelevant ’background features’. To address this, we propose a fully unsupervised novelty detection approach that integrates the flexibility of k-NN with a locally adapted scaling of dimensions based on the ’neighbors of nearest neighbor’ and computing a ’likelihood ratio’ in pretrained (self-supervised) representation spaces. Our experiments with image data show the advantage of this method when off-the-shelf vision transformers (e.g., pretrained by DINO) are used as the feature extractor without any fine-tuning.

Poster
Unsupervised Change Point Detection in Multivariate Time Series

Daoping Wu, Suhas Gundimeda, Shaoshuai Mou, Christopher Quinn

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We consider the challenging problem of unsupervised change point detection in multivariate time series when the number of change points is unknown. Our method eliminates the user’s need for careful parameter tuning, enhancing its practicality and usability. Our approach identifies time series segments with similar empirically estimated distributions, coupled with a novel greedy algorithm guided by the minimum description length principle. We provide theoretical guarantees and, through experiments on synthetic and real-world data, provide empirical evidence for its improved performance in identifying meaningful change points in practical settings.

Poster
Unified Transfer Learning in High-Dimensional Linear Regression

Shuo Shuo Liu

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Transfer learning plays a key role in modern data analysis when: (1) the target data are scarce but the source data are sufficient; (2) the distributions of the source and target data are heterogeneous. This paper develops an interpretable unified transfer learning model, termed as UTrans, which can detect both transferable variables and source data. More specifically, we establish the estimation error bounds and prove that our bounds are lower than those with target data only. Besides, we propose a source detection algorithm based on hypothesis testing to exclude the nontransferable data. We evaluate and compare UTrans to the existing algorithms in multiple experiments. It is shown that UTrans attains much lower estimation and prediction errors than the existing methods, while preserving interpretability. We finally apply it to the US intergenerational mobility data and compare our proposed algorithms to the classical machine learning algorithms.

Poster
Understanding the Generalization Benefits of Late Learning Rate Decay

Yinuo Ren, Chao Ma, Lexing Ying

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Why do neural networks trained with large learning rates for longer time often lead to better generalization? In this paper, we delve into this question by examining the relation between training and testing loss in neural networks. Through visualization of these losses, we note that the training trajectory with a large learning rate navigates through the minima manifold of the training loss, finally nearing the neighborhood of the testing loss minimum. Motivated by these findings, we introduce a nonlinear model whose loss landscapes mirror those observed for real neural networks. Upon investigating the training process using SGD on our model, we demonstrate that an extended phase with a large learning rate steers our model towards the minimum norm solution of the training loss, which may achieve near-optimal generalization, thereby affirming the empirically observed benefits of late learning rate decay.

Poster
Understanding Progressive Training Through the Framework of Randomized Coordinate Descent

Rafał Szlendak, Elnur Gasanov, Peter Richtarik

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We propose a Randomized Progressive Training algorithm (RPT)—a stochastic proxy for the well-known Progressive Training method (PT) (Karras et al., 2017). Originally designed to train GANs (Goodfellow et al., 2014), PT was proposed as a heuristic, with no convergence analysis even for the simplest objective functions. On the contrary, to the best of our knowledge, RPT is the first PT-type algorithm with rigorous and sound theoretical guarantees for general smooth objective functions. We cast our method into the established framework of Randomized Coordinate Descent (RCD) (Nesterov, 2012; Richtarik & Takac, 2014), for which (as a by-product of our investigations) we also propose a novel, simple and general convergence analysis encapsulating strongly-convex, convex and nonconvex objectives. We then use this framework to establish a convergence theory for RPT. Finally, we validate the effectiveness of our method through extensive computational experiments.

Poster
Understanding Inverse Scaling and Emergence in Multitask Representation Learning

Muhammed E. Ildiz, Zhe Zhao, Samet Oymak

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Large language models exhibit strong multitasking capabilities, however, their learning dynamics as a function of task characteristics, sample size, and model complexity remain mysterious. For instance, it is known that, as the model size grows, large language models exhibit emerging abilities where certain tasks can abruptly jump from poor to respectable performance. Such phenomena motivate a deeper understanding of how individual tasks evolve during multitasking. To this aim, we study a multitask representation learning setup where tasks can have distinct distributions, quantified by their covariance priors. Through random matrix theory, we precisely characterize the optimal linear representation for few-shot learning that minimizes the average test risk in terms of task covariances. When tasks have equal sample sizes, we prove a reduction to an equivalent problem with a single effective covariance from which the individual task risks of the original problem can be deduced. Importantly, we introduce “task competition” to explain how tasks with dominant covariance eigenspectrum emerge faster than others. We show that task competition can potentially explain the inverse scaling of certain tasks i.e. reduced test accuracy as the model grows. Overall, this work sheds light on the risk and emergence of individual tasks and uncovers new high-dimensional phenomena (including multiple-descent risk curves) that arise in multitask representation learning.

Poster
Understanding Generalization of Federated Learning via Stability: Heterogeneity Matters

Zhenyu Sun, Xiaochun Niu, Ermin Wei

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Generalization performance is a key metric in evaluating machine learning models when applied to real-world applications. Good generalization indicates the model can predict unseen data correctly when trained under a limited number of data. Federated learning (FL), which has emerged as a popular distributed learning framework, allows multiple devices or clients to train a shared model without violating privacy requirements. While the existing literature has studied extensively the generalization performances of centralized machine learning algorithms, similar analysis in the federated settings is either absent or with very restrictive assumptions on the loss functions. In this paper, we aim to analyze the generalization performances of federated learning by means of algorithmic stability, which measures the change of the output model of an algorithm when perturbing one data point. Three widely-used algorithms are studied, including FedAvg, SCAFFOLD, and FedProx, under convex and non-convex loss functions. Our analysis shows that the generalization performances of models trained by these three algorithms are closely related to the heterogeneity of clients’ datasets as well as the convergence behaviors of the algorithms. Particularly, in the i.i.d. setting, our results recover the classical results of stochastic gradient descent (SGD).

Poster
Uncertainty-aware Continuous Implicit Neural Representations for Remote Sensing Object Counting

Siyuan Xu, Yucheng Wang, Mingzhou Fan, Byung-Jun Yoon, Xiaoning Qian

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Many existing object counting methods rely on density map estimation (DME) of the discrete grid representation by decoding extracted image semantic features from designed convolutional neural networks (CNNs). Relying on discrete density maps not only leads to information loss dependent on the original image resolution, but also has a scalability issue when analyzing high-resolution images with cubically increasing memory complexity. Furthermore, none of the existing methods can offer reliable uncertainty quantification (UQ) for the derived count estimates. To overcome these limitations, we design UNcertainty-aware, hypernetwork-based Implicit neural representations for Counting (UNIC) to assign probabilities and the corresponding counting confidence over continuous spatial coordinates. We derive a sampling-based Bayesian counting loss function and develop the corresponding model training algorithm. UNIC outperforms existing methods on the Remote Sensing Object Counting (RSOC) dataset with reliable UQ and improved interpretability of the derived count estimates. Our code is available at https://github.com/SiyuanXu-tamu/UNIC.

Poster