AI 顶会论文

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arXiv

SCIT: Testing Causal Cache Carriers in Latent Chain-of-Thought Models

Yi Ding, Lijun Huang, Menglin Yang

Latent chain-of-thought models move intermediate reasoning from emitted text into continuous states, improving compactness but hiding the causal object. We introduce SCIT, the Suffix Cache Interchange Test, a causal protocol that constructs exact source-recipient counterfactuals, patches declared cache segments, and identifies which transformer object carries the counterfactual computation. SCIT combines sufficiency tests with K/V component splits, hidden-state controls, semantic source controls, decoded validation, and matched corruption. On CODI-GPT2 and a Sim-CoT-style GPT-2 reproduction, counterfactual arithmetic transfers primarily through value-cache suffix trajectories rather than hidden states, keys, reusable answer slots, or single-token triggers. Complete sufficiency-and-necessity evidence for the late-value-suffix mechanism holds for the main CODI-GPT2 checkpoint; the Sim-CoT-style checkpoint shows the same sufficiency and decoded-control pattern but insufficient matched-corruption evidence for a necessity call. Beyond these local arithmetic cells, SCIT reveals carrier-regime shifts: arithmetic-like GPT-2/1B cells preserve latent-tail value/KV transfer, whereas competent 8B and repaired non-arithmetic cells route through prompt-prefix or full-cache K/V; boundary cells receive no mechanism call. SCIT therefore contributes a cache-level diagnostic, a checkpoint-specific GPT-2 arithmetic mechanism, and a competence-gated carrier map rather than a universal latent-tail claim.

arXiv

What Makes Good Agentic Data? An ACE Lens on Data Generation for LLM Agents

Xingshan Zeng, Zishan Xu, Boju Zhang, Yuzhou Wu, Lingzhi Wang, Jianghao Lin, Liangyou Li, Yasheng Wang, Lifeng Shang, Xin Jiang, Weinan Zhang, Yong Yu, Qun Liu, Weiwen Liu

LLM agents increasingly rely on generated interaction data to learn how to interact with external environments. Agentic data generation must maintain consistency among environments, tasks, interactions, and success signals while producing experience that is useful rather than merely abundant. Existing work spans many agent domains, but domain-centered organization and heterogeneous evaluation often obscure common generation mechanisms and conflate candidate construction with verification and selection. This work develops a two-level framework for the field. First, we represent agentic data as a common factorized object $(E,q,τ,v)$, comprising an environment specification, task signal, interaction realization, and optional verifier. We organize generation paradigms by their primary anchor and dependency structure. Second, we formulate generation as constrained distribution design through the Accuracy-Complexity-divErsity (ACE) lens. Accuracy establishes the feasible support of grounded and internally consistent data. Within this support, Complexity places learning mass relative to the capability of a declared learner and execution configuration, while divErsity controls coverage and redundancy of data. Using this framework, we explore how prior work verifies generated experience, constructs and calibrates difficulty, and expands behavioral coverage. The literature reveals a shift toward execution-grounded accuracy, learner-relative complexity, and diversity beyond surface variation or dataset size. We further discuss broader directions and emerging trends in agentic data generation through the ACE lens, including their implications for scaling, data sources, training regimes and adaptive learning. Overall, the central challenge is not simply to generate more data, but to continually allocate valid, informative, and non-redundant experience as agents and environments evolve.

arXiv

BALMS: Benchmarking Agentic LLMs for Longitudinal Mental Health Sensing

Yu Yvonne Wu, Arvind Pillai, Yuliang Chen, Yuwei Zhang, Sudarshan Regmi, Tess Z. Griffin, Michael V. Heinz, Lisa A. Marsch, Nicholas C. Jacobson, Andrew Campbell

Mental health assessment relies on episodic self-report scales, which convert subjective states such as stress into numerical scores but provide only sparse snapshots of wellbeing. Wearable devices offer longitudinal behavioral and physiological signals for continuous, low-burden monitoring. Recent LLM-driven personal-health agents enable natural language queries over wearable signals, but mainly handle short-term, retrieval-based lookups (e.g., highest step count over a week). They do not evaluate whether agents can reason over long-term signals to predict wellbeing scores paired with evidence-grounded rationales. To address this gap, we introduce BALMS, the first systematic benchmark of LLM-based agentic systems for longitudinal mental health sensing. BALMS spans 3 real-world longitudinal datasets, 2 task families (closed-form wellbeing-score prediction and rationale generation auto-graded by an LLM-as-Judge), 3 agentic paradigms evaluated across 5 open- and closed-source LLM backbones. We find that zero-shot agents rarely outperform a simple mean baseline, except with stronger backbones or compact, semantically meaningful features. Chain-of-thought prompting improves reasoning-oriented backbones, but does not guarantee temporal grounding or numerical correctness. Together with more analysis on efficiency and temporal scaling, BALMS highlights the need for longitudinal mental health agents that selectively retrieve history, ground temporal evidence, and reason over interpretable behavioral features.

arXiv

When Text Misleads: Inconsistent-Aware Reasoning for Audio-Grounded Dialogue

Yen-Ju Lu, Yuzhe Wang, Yaohan Guan, Xiluo He, Jiarui Hai, Mingrui Liang, Kaavya Chaparala, Thomas Thebaud, Laureano Moro-Velazquez, Najim Dehak, Jesus Villalba

Understanding spoken dialogue requires joint reasoning over lexical content and paralinguistic acoustic signals such as emotion and conversational intent. However, existing evaluations often allow shortcuts based on transcripts or single-modality solutions, obscuring whether models genuinely ground predictions in speech. We formalize this failure mode as cross-modal disagreement, where transcripts suggest plausible but incorrect surface interpretations while acoustic cues such as prosody or speaking style support different answers. We develop a scalable framework that identifies text-biased surface interpretations and converts disagreement regions into conflict QA examples. We also include consistent cases where transcript-based and speech-grounded interpretations agree, enabling evaluation beyond adversarial audio dependence. This results in ContraTalk, a controlled benchmark containing 501 questions across five discourse dimensions: interaction behavior, emotion state, dialogue act, social stance, and conversational intent. We further develop an agentic-style reasoning framework that converts speech into an Audio Twin, a text-readable representation of localized acoustic cues that exposes acoustic evidence to the reasoning model. Experiments show that strong text-only LLMs exceed 90% accuracy in consistent cases but drop to 33-48% in conflict cases. Direct AudioLLMs provide only partial grounding, still selecting the transcript-biased trap in roughly 30-40% of conflict cases. Our Audio Twin framework improves conflict-case accuracy while reducing trap selection, but its consistent-case behavior remains backbone-dependent. These results identify transcript-based shortcuts as an important failure mode in spoken dialogue understanding and show that explicit acoustic evidence aggregation provides a more controllable interface for diagnosing and improving speech-grounded reasoning.

arXiv

Calibrated Enough to Know, Not Calibrated to Act: Fabricated Evidence Makes LLM Agents Commit to the Unknowable

Pranav Aggarwal

An LLM agent shown a professional-looking market panel commits to a directional call on a provably unpredictable question far more often than one asked the bare question: across 12 frontier models, commitment rises from 6.5% to 54.0% as evidence is escalated. It commits just as readily when every number on the panel is invented: fabricating the entire display, so nothing the model can see is true except the question itself, still lifts commitment from 24.5% to 36.8%, statistically indistinguishable from the 37.6% produced by genuine market data. What unlocks confident action is not information but the authority of its packaging. The failure is narrow and locatable. Incapacity is not the answer: on matched answerable questions attached to the same panels, the same models answer essentially always, at near-perfect accuracy. Nor is it belief - stated probabilities barely move across the gradient that swings action by 48 points, and score worse than a climatological baseline. Missing judgment isn't it either: asked to classify a question's knowability before acting, models call it irreducible 90% of the time and then commit on just 0.4% of those. The act/don't-act gate is what fails, and the effect is concentrated in a few models rather than universal. Because the gate is separable, it can be trained. Supervised fine-tuning of a 3B model on 540 synthetic cases, predominantly dice, coins, jars and timers, drives commitment to 0.0% on the original cases and transfers to three unseen domains. It does not survive everything: the gate holds exactly when the response format leaves room to reason, and rigid formats that remove that room leave the model confident and wrong on questions it otherwise answers correctly. The gate is trainable and context-fragile, and deployment needs both halves of that sentence.

arXiv

Prediction of Prediction (PoP): Inter-Layer Activation Fusion for Single-Pass Hallucination Detection in Large Language Models

Himal Badu

Autoregressive large language models (LLMs) routinely generate factually incorrect outputs with high decoding confidence, limiting their deployment in high-stakes workflows. Existing output-stage uncertainty metrics can fail when models are overconfident on false assertions, while multi-sample verification pipelines introduce substantial memory and latency overhead. This work evaluates whether internal hidden-state transition dynamics during generation can signal factual errors without auxiliary decoding calls. We introduce Prediction of Prediction (PoP), a mechanism that captures layer-transition uncertainty by fusing intermediate hidden representations across depth during a single forward pass. Evaluated on the TruthfulQA benchmark using autoregressive transformer backbones, PoP achieves an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 75.5% for factual-correctness classification. The mechanism operates within the base forward pass, adding less than 1.2% runtime latency and requiring zero additional generation passes. The numerical results are reported from the author-verified experimental implementation and are bounded by the evaluation scope described below.

arXiv

STAR : Sentence Translation Alignment Rate for Document-to-Document Machine Translation

Yichen Dong, Hao Wang, Junhui Li, Linlong Xu, Longyue Wang, Weihua Luo

Large Language Models (LLMs) have enabled a shift from sentence-level to document-to-document (Doc2Doc) machine translation, promising improved global coherence. However, document-to-document generation in a single pass frequently suffers from structural misalignment, manifesting as sentence omissions or hallucinations that violate the core requirement of source-target correspondence. To address this, we introduce Sentence Translation Alignment Rate (STAR), an auxiliary metric that explicitly quantifies sentence-level structural fidelity. Building on this, we propose STAR-masked Preference Optimization (StarPO), a framework that ranks document-level hypotheses by structural quality and utilizes a dynamic alignment mask to focus optimization on misaligned segments. Experimental results across news and literary domains demonstrate that StarPO significantly enhances translation quality and structural integrity. Notably, StarPO allows compact models to surpass the performance of massive proprietary systems like GPT-4o while maintaining superior token efficiency.

arXiv

Said Aloud, Read Different: Cross-Modal Instability in Multimodal Models

Basel Mousi, Fahim Dalvi, Shammur Chowdhury, Firoj Alam, Nadir Durrani

Multimodal foundation models are increasingly used in speech-first assistants that must interpret spoken queries and produce visually grounded decisions. Yet it remains unclear whether semantically equivalent queries yield consistent judgments across modality (text vs. speech) and language (English vs. Arabic). We introduce a speech-augmented visually grounded contrastive triplet benchmark spanning 10,150 culturally grounded images from 18 MENA countries, where each image is paired with one supported statement and two plausible but unsupported alternatives. We define contrastive instability as the conditional rate at which a model fails to resolve all statements within a triplet, isolating fragmented reasoning from complete failure. Evaluating recent multimodal models under text and speech in English and Arabic, we find that modality and language shifts introduce substantial triplet-level inconsistencies that are not fully captured by aggregate accuracy, with speech amplifying partial failures. We make the benchmark publicly available to the community.

arXiv

TwinKV: A Composable Repair Pass for KV Cache Eviction via Pairwise Key Redundancy

Hong Chen, Yudong Zeng, Yongwei Huang, Zuhao Ouyang, Dongnan Zheng, Junyan Zhang, Xuming Hu

Long-context inference is bottlenecked by the memory footprint of the key-value (KV) cache, especially for small models under tight resource budgets. Existing KV cache eviction methods score tokens using the model's attention distribution or, in attention-free variants, each key's distance from a global reference point. Using a controlled leave-one-out probe, we find that attention magnitude is unrelated to a token's causal contribution to the answer (Spearman $ρ=-0.004$), challenging the premise behind dominant eviction methods. We introduce TwinKV, a training-free, attention-free redundancy signal that detects whether a token's key has a near-duplicate elsewhere in context. Rather than replacing existing policies, TwinKV acts as a composable repair pass: given a policy's fixed retained set, it identifies evicted tokens with no surviving duplicate (\emph{orphans}) and retained tokens whose information is duplicated elsewhere (\emph{redundant donors}), then swaps them while preserving the original budget and scoring rule. We compose TwinKV with four recent eviction policies across LongBench, LooGLE, RULER, and a short-context MMLU-Pro no-harm control at compression ratios ${0.3,0.5,0.7}$. On Qwen3-4B, TwinKV improves a majority of configurations for two policies, is near-even for a third, and helps only a minority for a fourth adaptive baseline already near a performance ceiling; gains across the three non-ceiling policies are smallest at the loosest ratio. On RULER with Llama-3.2-1B, however, that fourth policy improves in every evaluated cell because its Alone score leaves substantial room to improve. More broadly, Llama-3.2-1B shows a smaller average LongBench gain but a higher fraction of improved cells on LongBench and LooGLE than Qwen3-4B, plus a clean RULER win. We also identify few-shot classification exemplars as a task structure where TwinKV does not help on either model.

arXiv

Cross-Lingual Alignment Without Joint Training: Do Monolingual Language Models Converge on Universal Representations?

Ej Zhou, Suchir Salhan, Catherine Arnett, Anna Korhonen

Cross-lingual alignment in multilingual language models is typically attributed to joint training: shared parameters, mixed-language batches, or explicit alignment objectives. We ask whether monolingual models trained on non-parallel data learn alignable representations without joint training. By testing on strictly monolingual language models, such as the Goldfish model families and independently developed models from different research labs, we find three results. Correlation: these models develop alignable representational geometry across layers, with alignment strengthening as data scale, model scale, or linguistic proximity increases. Construction: a single Procrustes rotation fit on parallel sentences maps hidden states between models. Causation: the same rotation transfers functional content; patching a rotated English residual into a German model on a factual cloze flips the prediction to the donor's capital in most cases. We confirm that cross-lingual alignment can emerge from the structure of language and the information it carries rather than from joint training, and this points to practical future directions including model stitching, merging, and modular multilingual systems built from monolingual components.

arXiv

DocTalkBN: A Novel Dataset of Expert Telemedicine Conversations in Bengali

Anik Saha, Fahmida Sultana Naznin, Sadatul Islam Sadi, Ananya Shahrin Promi, Wahid Al Azad Navid, Rifat Shahriyar

Reliable medical conversational AI requires authentic expert--patient interaction data, yet such datasets remain scarce, especially for low-resource languages such as Bengali. We present DocTalkBN, a large-scale multimodal dataset of real-world expert telemedicine conversations in Bengali, collected from nationally broadcast telemedicine programs featuring board-certified physicians. DocTalkBN contains 557.63 hours of paired audio and text, 1,515 multi-turn patient calls, 10,274 host--doctor question--answer exchanges, totaling 1.7M tokens, spanning 26 medical specialties. Unlike prior resources derived from medical forums, written health content, or synthetic data, our dataset preserves the spontaneity, contextual richness, and spoken characteristics of authentic medical interactions in a low-resource setting. To support benchmark-driven research, we further construct three downstream tasks from the corpus, medical triage classification, advice safety evaluation, and medical named entity recognition, and benchmark a diverse set of large language models and encoder-based baselines. Our results show that DocTalkBN is a practically useful resource, particularly for clinically grounded reasoning tasks. We release this resource to facilitate future research on reliable medical NLP and safer, more culturally grounded healthcare systems for low-resource languages. Our source codes and dataset are publicly available at https://anonymous.4open.science/r/doctalk.

arXiv

Unifying Detection and Adaptation in Task-Free Continual Learning

Dezheng Han, Anbang Zhang, Zhihao Zhu, Shuaishuai Guo

To mitigate catastrophic forgetting in downstream continual learning (CL) for large language models (LLMs), existing methods typically constrain parameter updates or introduce task-specific adaptation modules. However, these methods often rely on explicit task boundaries during training, limiting their applicability to realistic task-free scenarios. In this paper, we propose a \textbf{Fi}sher-guided \textbf{uni}fied (\textbf{FiUni}) framework for batch-level task detection and parameter-efficient continual adaptation. FiUni is motivated by a key observation about the Fisher information matrix (FIM) of pre-trained models: the orthogonality among the principal subspaces of its Kronecker-Factored Approximate Curvature (K-FAC) approximation, estimated from a small number of downstream task samples, can reflect the similarity between different tasks. Based on this observation, FiUni constructs FIM-derived frozen subspaces to guide low-rank adaptation (LoRA), while matching the Fisher principal subspace of each incoming batch window with historical subspaces. This enables FiUni to adaptively determine whether to reuse existing knowledge, expand a related subspace, or create a new subspace, dynamically balancing knowledge sharing and task isolation. Experiments show that FiUni can effectively infer latent batch-level task affiliations and achieve competitive performance against advanced task-aware CL methods with fewer trainable parameters.

arXiv

Research Design Tracking and Assessment for the Social Sciences

Marco Rovera, Sergiu Burlacu, Dominique Cappelletti, Alessio Tomelleri, Sonia Marzadro, Martina Bazzoli, Annalisa Tassi, Jessica Gagete-Miranda

Reliable assessment of causal research designs in the social sciences is critical for evidence-based policy-making, yet has so far relied entirely on manual expert analysis. We introduce Automated Research Design Tracking and Assessment (ARDTrA), a task that involves detecting the research design used in a paper and assessing the quality of its application. We create an expert-annotated dataset of papers covering six families of counterfactual research designs and evaluate the task using a multi-turn RAG-based conversational pipeline. Across four retrieval strategies, four LLMs and six embedding models, we find that passage length is the main driver of performance, explaining 52-66% of the variance. A per-research-design analysis also shows that human and machine difficulty do not align: the designs that prove hardest for the system are not those on which expert annotators disagree most, pointing to two independent sources of task difficulty.

arXiv

Cascaded Batch Prompting

Sho Hoshino, Peinan Zhang

Although batch prompting makes large language model inference more efficient by processing multiple instances simultaneously, it suffers from unpredictable downstream task performance. We propose cascaded batch prompting, a two-stage approach designed to resolve the unpredictability of conventional batch prompting by disentangling complex reasoning from symbol grounding. Experiments on multiple-choice question answering and natural language inference demonstrate that the proposed method outperforms the standard single prompting baseline while achieving a speedup proportional to batch size, establishing a new state of the art on the Pareto frontier.

arXiv

Reasoning about In-Context Samples for Machine-Translation

Maxime Bouthors, Josep Crego, François Yvon

Large Language Models (LLMs) can be trained to perform chain-of-thoughts reasoning in order to improve the reliability of their responses. In this work, we investigate how explicit reasoning can be leveraged for LLM-Based Machine Translation (MT) with in-context samples. We introduce a novel fragment-based reasoning framework in which the model first extracts parallel source-target fragments from retrieved similar exemplars, and uses these fragments as intermediate reasoning traces to produce the final translation. To train our model, we distill silver fragments and drafts from a large teacher model. Our experiments with the Qwen3 model family, over 6 languages, including up to 5 domains per language, demonstrate that fragment-based MT significantly outperforms alternative methods like standard k-shot or basic drafting.

arXiv

Representing and Parsing Korean Constituency Structure at Different Levels of Granularity

Jungyeul Park, KyungTae Lim, Zihao Huang, Eunkyul Leah Jo, Yige Chen, Chulwoo Park

Korean constituency parsing raises a representational challenge because the terminal units of a phrase-structure tree do not straightforwardly correspond to simple surface words. Korean eojeols are morphologically complex spacing units, and existing constituency resources differ in how they represent eojeol-internal morphology and non-overt elements. This paper compares three constituency parsing representations derived from the Penn Korean Treebank: Morpheme+XPOS, Eojeol+XPOS, and Eojeol+UPOS. We construct these representations by removing null elements, aligning Penn Korean phrase structure with overt eojeol tokens, preserving Penn Korean phrase labels where possible, and varying the terminal and preterminal layers. We then evaluate canonical non-binary transition-based constituency parsers in top-down, in-order, and bottom-up orders under a shared modeling and evaluation setup. All experiments use gold terminal segmentation and gold preterminal labels and therefore evaluate constituency parsing conditioned on gold morphosyntactic annotation. Eojeol terminals yield shorter transition sequences, but Eojeol+UPOS parsing substantially underperforms the morphologically richer conditions. Eojeol+XPOS narrows this gap, while Morpheme+XPOS gives the strongest results even after its predictions are projected to the eojeol terminal domain. Under these gold-annotation conditions, the results show that fine-grained morphological and XPOS representations provide valuable evidence for the evaluated parsers. This empirical finding concerns the information available for parsing and does not by itself determine the linguistically preferable terminal domain. Independently, linguistic and resource-design considerations motivate eojeol as a stable and interpretable surface domain for phrase-structure annotation, with morpheme-level and XPOS information retained as aligned morphosyntactic evidence.

arXiv

ITL: Interpretable Document Alignment with Structured Reference Frameworks

Raúl Giráldez, Dayrelis Mena, Jesús S. Aguilar--Ruiz

Measuring alignment between documents and structured reference frameworks requires identifying conceptual evidence distributed throughout the text and reporting it through measures that are quantitative, interpretable, and traceable. Many commonly used retrieval and classification approaches return either pairwise similarity scores or one or more class labels, whereas fewer methods provide concept-level scores that are directly traceable to the terminological evidence supporting them. We present \emph{Intelligent Target Locator} (ITL), a domain-agnostic and language-portable methodology that estimates the affinity between the textual units of a target document and the concepts defined in a \emph{Structured Reference Document} ($SRD$). From the $SRD$, ITL induces concept-specific terminological profiles built from independent terms, bigrams, trigrams, and co-occurrences. Each term is assigned an importance weight that combines concept membership, term-type specificity and inter-concept discriminability. The output is a textual-unit--concept affinity matrix that can be aggregated at different levels of granularity. We conduct an internal consistency assessment using the 17 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), evaluating each official goal statement against the $SRD$ induced from the same set of descriptors. Every statement reached its highest affinity with the corresponding concept, and the mean affinity across the remaining concepts stayed marginal relative to the mean reference affinity. This separation indicates that ITL distinguishes the conceptual profiles of the framework. ITL thus offers a general basis for quantifying document alignment with structured frameworks while keeping each result traceable to the terminological evidence that supports it.

arXiv

JudgeStealer: Extracting LLM Judging Capabilities across Evaluation Protocols

Chen Chen, Yaolin Chen, Xuehan Sun, Juan Lin, Xueluan Gong, Yuhang Zheng, Qian Wang, Kwok-Yan Lam

Large language model (LLM) judges are increasingly used across various evaluation scenarios, making their judgment capabilities valuable intellectual property. However, black-box access exposes these capabilities to model extraction attacks. Existing extraction methods do not specifically target LLM judges and provide limited support for multiple evaluation protocols under restricted query budgets. In this study, we propose JUDGESTEALER, the first query-efficient model extraction framework for replicating judging capabilities across pointwise scoring, pairwise comparison, and listwise ranking protocols. JUDGESTEALER exploits the strong cross-protocol agreement to acquire pointwise scores and transform them into pairwise and listwise supervisions without additional victim queries. To capture informative judge patterns and improve query efficiency, JUDGESTEALER dynamically selects pointwise inputs based on semantic diversity, predictive uncertainty, and potential judge biases. It further applies score smoothing and multi-protocol review to preserve the ordinal structure of scores and mitigate catastrophic forgetting during surrogate adaptation. Extensive experiments on state-of-the-art LLM-as-a-judge and reward models show that JUDGESTEALER consistently outperforms existing extraction baselines, achieving up to 73.3%, 87.0%, and 71.6% accuracy for pointwise, pairwise, and listwise evaluation, respectively. JUDGESTEALER also remains effective across different sur- rogate model scales, adaptation strategies, and reasoning settings. Moreover, JUDGESTEALER demonstrates robustness against representative extraction defenses.

arXiv

Terrain signatures in Welsh settlement names

Oktay Karakuş, Can Eyupoglu

Landscapes are named, but whether names retain measurable environmental information beyond broad geographic structure is rarely tested. We analysed 3,757 Welsh settlements using a frozen, source-audited 24-element lexical framework, preregistered outcome-specific models and geographically structured validation. The central comparison contrasted 101 settlements carrying high-terrain elements (\textit{bryn} or \textit{mynydd}) with 139 carrying low-terrain elements (\textit{cwm} or \textit{pant}). High-terrain names occupied locations 24.4 m higher relative to their 2-km surroundings (95\% CI, 10.8--38.1 m; Holm-adjusted $p$ = 0.00137). The association remained positive across prespecified 1-, 2- and 5-km neighbourhood definitions and was reproduced using an independently produced elevation source (24.1 m; 95\% CI, 10.6--37.6 m). Adding terrain-name polarity to a non-lexical spatial and settlement baseline reduced geographically held-out mean squared error by 4.63\%, 6.22\% and 7.30\% under 10-, 25- and 50-km spatial blocking, respectively, although improvement varied among held-out regions. River-related names provided weaker, directionally consistent evidence, while the preregistered woodland model was non-estimable. Residual spatial structure, unresolved name language and the absence of independent external replication limit interpretation. Selected Welsh settlement-name categories therefore retain measurable information about present-day terrain within Wales, without establishing individual etymology, causal naming, historical environmental memory or transferability to other naming systems.

arXiv

Squeezing More from Limited Data with Recursive Transformers

Serdar Gülbahar, Lukas Edman, Alexander Fraser

Pre-training under limited data requires a different view of scaling than web-scale language modeling. With a fixed data budget but relatively abundant compute, increasing parameter count helps only up to an optimal scale; beyond that point, models overfit and generalization worsens. We study this behavior across 10M-100M word pre-training budgets, two corpora, and multiple downstream evaluations, and find that optimal size depends strongly on both the data budget and the downstream target. We argue that standard Transformers scale down poorly to this setting, because embeddings consume a large fraction of the parameter budget and per-token computation is tied to representational capacity. To address this coupling, we study recursive Transformers, reusing a shared block across depth to scale compute, together with factorized embeddings to reduce vocabulary-map parameters. We train three recursive models and find that they outperform standard Transformers at 10M and 100M words, while remaining competitive with BabyLM Challenge 2025 winners.

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