Bayesian Case-Exclusion and Personalized Explanations for Sustainable Dairy Farming (Extended Abstract)
作者: Eoin M. Kenny, Elodie Ruelle, Anne Geoghegan, Laurence Shalloo, Micheál O'Leary, Michael O'Donovan, Mohammed Temraz, Mark T. Keane
摘要
Smart agriculture (SmartAg) has emerged as a rich domain for AI-driven decision support systems (DSS); however, it is often challenged by user-adoption issues. This paper reports a case-based reasoning (CBR) system, PBI-CBR, that predicts grass growth for dairy farmers, that combines predictive accuracy and explanations to improve user adoption. PBI-CBR’s key novelty is its use of Bayesian methods for case-base maintenance in a regression domain. Experiments report the tradeoff between predictive accuracy and explanatory capability for different variants of PBI-CBR, and how updating Bayesian priors each year improves performance.