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Understanding the Curse of Unrolling

Sheheryar Mehmood, Florian Knoll, Peter Ochs

Algorithm unrolling is ubiquitous in machine learning, particularly in hyperparameter optimization and meta-learning, where Jacobians of solution mappings are computed by differentiating through iterative algorithms. Although unrolling is known to yield asymptotically correct Jacobians under suitable conditions, recent work has shown that the derivative iterates may initially diverge from the true Jacobian, a phenomenon known as the curse of unrolling. In this work, we provide a non-asymptotic analysis that explains the origin of this behavior and identifies the algorithmic factors that govern it. We show that truncating early iterations of the derivative computation mitigates the curse while simultaneously reducing memory requirements. Finally, we validate our theoretical findings both on synthetic problems and in a meta-learning setting for few-shot classification, where we study the behavior of gradients obtained via unrolling and implicit differentiation.

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Understanding the Co-evolutionary Solution Exchange of the MOEA/D: Minimal Communication Gives Maximal Speed-Ups

Benjamin Doerr, Moaad Elmoutassim, Martin S. Krejca, Guy Mushiata Kibulu

Besides domination-based algorithms such as the NSGA-II, the decomposition-based MOEA/D is one of the most popular and successful optimization heuristic for multi-objective problems. It decomposes the problem into several, single-objective subproblems. By solving these in a co-evolutionary manner and archiving non-dominated solutions, it approximates or computes the Pareto front. Interestingly, so far no advantages from the co-evolutionary communication of subproblem solutions were proven. In this first mathematical runtime analysis addressing this research question, we investigate how the mutation-based MOEA/D solves the classic OMM benchmark when solutions are exchanged among subproblems in different distances $r$. We show, for the first time, that the MOEA/D profits from an exchange of solutions, and that already very small communication radii $r$ are sufficient to maximally profit from this feature of the algorithm. More precisely, for all values $r \ge 1$ we prove a tight runtime guarantee of $\Theta(n^2)$, where $n$ is the problem size. This is asymptotically faster than the known bound of $O(n^2 \log n)$ guarantee for $r=0$, which we complement with a matching bound of $\Omega(n^2 \log n)$.

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Understanding Sample Efficiency in Predictive Coding

Gaspard Oliviers, Elene Lominadze, Rafal Bogacz

Predictive Coding (PC) is an influential account of cortical learning. Much of recent work has focused on comparing PC to Backpropagation (BP) to find whether PC offers any advantages. Small scale experiments show that PC enables learning that is more sample efficient and effective in many contexts, though a thorough theoretical understanding of the phenomena remains elusive. To address this, we quantify the efficiency of learning in BP and PC through a metric called "target alignment", which measures how closely the change in the output of the network is aligned to the output prediction error. We then derive and empirically validate analytical expressions for target alignment in Deep Linear Networks. We show that learning in PC is more efficient than BP, which is especially pronounced in deep, narrow and pre-trained networks. We also derive exact conditions for guaranteed optimal target alignment in PC and validate our findings through experiments. We study full training trajectories of linear and non-linear models, and find the predicted benefits of PC persist in practice even when some assumptions are violated. Overall, this work provides a mechanistic understanding of the higher learning efficiency observed for PC over BP in previous works, and can guide how PC should be parametrised to learn most effectively.

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Understanding Layer Patching in Model Size Interpolation

Sara Kangaslahti, Jonathan Geuter, Nihal V. Nayak, Marco Fumero, Francesco Locatello, David Alvarez-Melis

Zero-shot model size interpolation aims to create new models of intermediate target sizes by combining existing models without additional training. Recent work on boomerang distillation [Kangaslahti et al., 2026] shows that a student language model distilled from a larger teacher can be expanded by iteratively patching its layers, replacing student layers with contiguous blocks of teacher layers to obtain models whose size and performance interpolate between the student and the teacher. In this work, we provide the first systematic study of student-layer selection for model size interpolation. We cast finding the optimal layer subset for each model size as an optimization problem and prove it can be viewed as a shortest-path problem in a certain acyclic graph. In experiments, we show that patching strongly shapes interpolation behavior, with effects that vary substantially across model families. We find that simple sequential strategies---patching either from the first layer to the last or from the last to the first---often achieve surprisingly strong performance in practice. We further introduce KLPatch, a greedy patching algorithm based on KL divergence, which often improves over last-to-first patching and approximately solves the optimization problem. Together, our results provide a principled understanding of how layer patching affects model size interpolation and offer practical guidance for constructing near-optimal interpolated models.

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Understanding Circulant Permutation to Extend the CMinHash Estimator

Keegan Kang, Avery Hood, Benedict H Wong

CMinHash promises a new direction for designing MinHash algorithms with reduced variance and storage space via circulant permutations. However, the original variance analysis is difficult to extend to other MinHash estimators. We present a new approach that gives explicit and easily comparable approximate variance expressions, and use it to analyze the Minner estimator. Numerical experiments show that our variance expression matches the empirical mean square error (MSE) of estimates. Our work thereby demonstrates how to apply circulant permutation to other MinHash estimators and compute their approximate variance.

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Shifting the Gradient: Understanding How Defensive Training Methods Protect Language Model Integrity

Satchel Grant, Victor Gillioz, Jake Ward, Tom McGrath

Defensive training methods such as positive preventative steering (PPS) and inoculation prompting (IP) offer surprising results through seemingly similar processes: both add trait-inducing objects to large language models (LLMs) during training, and both defend the LLM against acquiring the trait. The surprising success of these methods comes with the question: how do they work? Are PPS and IP doing the same thing? We provide behavioral and mechanistic comparisons of these two methods using "evilness" as a case-study trait. Our central finding is that PPS and IP achieve their defensive benefits through distinct mechanisms. Behaviorally, we show that neither PPS nor IP operates through a purely associative mechanism; and PPS can both defend against trait acquisition and actively reduce pre-existing expression, whereas IP is ineffective in models that were previously finetuned to express the trait. This behavioral divergence is reflected mechanistically: PPS shifts the activation gradient towards an attenuating direction along the PPS vector axis. When the PPS vector is aligned with a trait-expressing axis, it can reverse the gradient pressure, reducing rather than increasing activation along that axis. In contrast, IP continues to resist a precise mechanistic account. Direct cosine similarity analyses reveal that IP has a characteristically different gradient signature than PPS, and qualitative analyses reveal IP's gradient to be more diffuse. Furthermore, IP reduces the next-token prediction loss on trait-expressing data where PPS need not, consistent with the notion that IP "explains away" the trait-expression in the training data. Taken together, our analyses reveal distinct mechanisms by which each method operates and highlight open questions about IP's mechanistic picture.

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SWE-Marathon: Can AI Agents Autonomously Complete Ultra-Long-Horizon Software Work?

Rishi Desai, Joan Cabezas, Neel Harsola, Adnan E Assadi, Pramod Srinivasan, Roey B Chaim, Fenil Faldu, Prannay Hebbar, Jiankai Sun, Christopher Settles, Omkaar Kamath, Pratyush Shukla, Albert Liu, Yiyuan Li, Nevasini Sasikumar, Xiangyi Li, Pranav Raja, Ishan Gupta, Marek Suppa, Daniel Wang, Erik Quintanilla, Derek Chen, Chris Kong, Steven Dillmann, Ivan Bercovich, Jesse Hu

AI agents are increasingly expected to complete long-horizon workflows that require sustained progress over hours, millions of tokens, and complex environments. Yet current agent benchmarks largely evaluate short-form tasks, such as single pull requests, small tickets, or 5--10 minute exercises, limiting our ability to measure agents' capabilities in planning, long-context understanding, and memory use. We introduce SWE-Marathon, a benchmark of 20 long-horizon tasks spanning software engineering and adjacent technical domains. Each task consists of a unique executable environment, a human-written reference solution, and a multi-layer verification suite. Logged agent attempts average 27.2M total tokens, making SWE-Marathon substantially longer-horizon than existing SWE and command-line agent benchmarks. Current frontier coding agents solve fewer than 20\% of tasks. Failures often arise from poor self-verification, self-reported infeasibility, and premature termination. We also observe reward-hacking behavior in 18.8\% of rollouts, where agents attempt to exploit the environment or verifier to bypass the intended workflow. SWE-Marathon includes adversarial review of test suites and execution environments, as well as multi-layer checks designed to prevent shortcut solutions. We release SWE-Marathon and its evaluation code to support reproducible measurement of long-horizon agent capabilities.

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SWE Atlas: Benchmarking Coding Agents Beyond Issue Resolution

Mohit Raghavendra, Soham Dan, Miguel Romero, Yannis He, Johannes B Mols, Gautam Anand, Cole McCollum, Edgar Arakelyan, Vijay Bharadwaj, Andrew Park, Jeff Da, MohammadHossein Rezaei, Bing Liu, Brad Kenstler, Yunzhong He

We introduce SWE Atlas, a benchmark suite for coding agents spanning three professional software engineering workflows: Codebase Q&A (124 tasks), Test Writing (90 tasks), and Refactoring (70 tasks). SWE Atlas differs from prior SWE benchmarks in three key ways: it targets underrepresented but practically important task categories, uses comprehensive category-specific evaluation protocols, and adopts under-specified, agentic task formulations that better reflect real-world usage. Its evaluation framework combines programmatic checks with rubric-based assessment. This goes beyond functional correctness, evaluating software engineering quality, including test and refactor completeness, maintainability, reusable abstractions, and codebase hygiene. We evaluate a range of frontier and open-weight models on SWE Atlas and find that GPT-5.4 and Opus 4.7 achieve the strongest overall performance, while even the best open-weight models score poorly. Our analysis suggests that top models rely on extensive codebase exploration and runtime-driven reasoning. However, even top models consistently struggle with subtle edge cases, complex runtime analysis, and adherence to software engineering best practices. Overall, SWE Atlas provides a complementary evaluation suite for measuring both correctness and engineering quality in coding agents.

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Reinforcement Learning Agents Are Swimmers

Juan Rojas, Jacob Adamczyk, Abhishek Naik, Volodymyr Makarenko, Gautham Vasan, Nikhil Mukund, Stas Tiomkin, Rahul Kulkarni, Chi-Guhn Lee

To date, the field of reinforcement learning (RL) has primarily focused on developing discounted methods, which are designed to optimize the short-term or transient performance of RL agents. Conversely, the field has been reluctant to explore and invest in methods that are designed to optimize the long-term or steady-state performance of RL agents. In this position paper, we challenge this reluctance under the framing that RL agents should be viewed as competitive swimmers. That is, we argue that, like competitive swimmers, RL agents cannot hope to win all races, or solve all tasks, based on transient performance alone. To this end, we first motivate the need for RL agents that can adequately optimize both the transient and steady-state performance. Then, we summarize recent works which show that discounted methods have deficiencies when it comes to optimizing the steady-state performance. Finally, we argue in favor of more attention and investment from the community towards average-reward methods, which are designed to optimize the steady-state performance. Namely, we challenge common misconceptions associated with average-reward methods, and highlight recent advancements which suggest that such methods present a viable and potentially superior alternative.

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How to Train a Surgeon? Benchmarking Generalist Agents in Surgical Scene Understanding

Gengyuan Zhang, Xiao Han, Shijie Zhou, Abdullah Koukash, Ghazal Ghazaei, Jindong Gu, Jingpei Wu, Yuqicheng Zhu, Nassir Navab, Volker Tresp

Evaluating general-purpose multimodal large language models (MLLMs) for surgical scene understanding remains limited by scarce surgical data and fragmented evaluation protocols. We address these challenges through a two-stage evaluation framework for surgical scene understanding. In Stage I, we introduce SURGKNOWBENCH, a diagnostic benchmark that harmonizes public surgical datasets across procedures and tasks and evaluates proprietary and open-weight MLLMs to map the boundary of pretrained surgical competence. SURGKNOWBENCH reveals that current models retain partial visual priors but remain weak on procedural reasoning and workflow assessment. Building on this failure frontier, and motivated by the scaffolded nature of surgical training, we introduce SURGAGENTGYM, a controlled environment where general-purpose MLLM agents can use bounded knowledge search over SURGWIKI and general-purpose visual grounding for surgical tasks. SURGAGENTGYM evaluates whether generalist agents can improve surgical understanding at inference time through tool-mediated evidence use, without additional surgical training. Our results show that agentic inference narrows the gap mainly for perception-heavy tasks, while fine-grained localization and expert-style assessment remain persistent bottlenecks. This opens a path toward future studies of agentic surgical understanding. We have released the codebase and artifacts.

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ECHO: Terminal Agents Learn World Models for Free

Vaishnavi Shrivastava, Ahmed Awadallah, Dimitris Papailiopoulos

CLI agents are the closest thing language models have to an embodied setting: the model emits commands, the terminal executes them, and the returned stream---stdout, errors, file contents---records the consequences of its actions. We argue that this stream is a supervision signal, but standard agent RL largely discards it: GRPO-style training updates action tokens while ignoring environment responses, even though rollouts already contain them. We introduce ECHO (Environment Cross-entropy Hybrid Objective), an auxiliary loss that trains the policy to predict observation tokens alongside the policy gradient. ECHO reuses the same forward pass, requires no additional rollouts, and turns terminal feedback into a dense signal that remains informative even on failed trajectories. This objective shapes the policy toward a world model of terminal dynamics, plausibly improving its priors over which actions are likely to succeed. On TerminalBench 2, ECHO nearly doubles pass@1: Qwen3-8B improves from 2.70% to 5.17%, and Qwen3-14B from 5.17% to 10.79%. From base Qwen3-8B, ECHO+GRPO matches expert-SFT-then-GRPO on held-out terminal tasks without the expert demonstrations required for SFT, and closes roughly half this gap on TerminalBench 2. Without verifier rewards, ECHO can lead to self-improvement through exploration alone, suggesting environment observations are not merely context for actions but supervision for the policy itself.

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DiagEval: Trajectory-Conditioned Diagnosis for Reliable Software Evaluation with GUI Agents

Sirui Hong, Liuzhijie, Tengfei Li, Wei Tao, Yifan Wu, Chenglin Wu

Evaluating LLM-generated interactive software requires execution in addition to static analysis. The key difficulty is that correctness is a graph-level reachability property over latent UI state-transition graphs, whereas a GUI evaluator observes only a single execution trajectory. A failed rollout therefore rules out only one realized path, leaving failure attribution ambiguous between evaluator-side execution error and genuine software defect. We present DIAGEVAL, a trajectory-conditioned diagnostic evaluation protocol for post-failure GUI-agent evaluation of interactive software. Rather than blindly retrying from scratch,DIAGEVAL reuses the failed trajectory to choose targeted diagnostic probes and aggregates their outcomes into an internal attribution signal. The latent-graph view motivates the diagnostic problem; DIAGEVAL does not reconstruct the graph or estimate calibrated posterior probabilities. We evaluate DIAGEVALon WebDevJudge-Unit and RealDevBench across multiple GUI-agent evaluators and LLM backbones. On false-negative cases, DIAGEVAL recovers 45.6--62.1\% of failures that were initially attributed to software defects, outperforming retry-based baselines with 34.4--160.6\% relative gains. On the full evaluation sets, this recovery improves accuracy from 69.9\% to 78.3\% on WebDevJudge-Unit and from 65.0\% to 81.6\% on RealDevBench. These results suggest that reliable GUI-agent evaluation requires not only stronger execution, but also active failure diagnosis to disambiguate evaluator-side errors from genuine software defects.

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Denoise First, Orthogonalize Later: Understanding Momentum in Muon via Spectral Filtering

Xianliang Li, Zihan Zhang, Weiyang Liu, Han Bao

Muon has recently demonstrated strong empirical performance in large language model training, but the theoretical role of momentum in Muon remains unclear. Existing analyses of Muon either remove momentum to study spectral updates in isolation, or retain momentum without explaining why it improves empirical performance. Our work bridges this gap by showing momentum in Muon acts as a spectral filter. Under a structured signal-plus-perturbation gradient model, we prove that momentum suppresses perturbations while preserving the dominant signal, thereby enlarging the spectral gap between them. This enlarged gap stabilizes the singular subspaces of the matrix passed to Muon's orthogonalization step, making the resulting update more reliable. We further show that applying momentum before orthogonalization achieves provably stronger alignment with the signal component of the gradient than either reversing this order or simply removing momentum. Experiments across diverse tasks, including LLM training, support our theoretical analysis. More broadly, our theory offers a starting point for understanding the benefits of momentum in other matrix-based optimizers.

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Agentic Abstention: Do Agents Know When to Stop Instead of Act?

Han Luo, Bingbing Wen, Lucy Lu Wang

LLM agents are expected to act over multiple turns, using search, browsing interfaces, and terminal tools to complete user goals. Yet not every goal is well specified or achievable in the available environment. In such cases, a reliable agent should recognize that further interaction is unlikely to help and abstain from additional tool calls. We define Agentic Abstention, the problem of deciding when an agent should stop acting under uncertainty. Unlike standard LLM abstention, which is usually evaluated as a single-turn answer-or-abstain decision, agentic abstention is a sequential decision problem: an agent can answer, abstain, or gather more information at each turn, and the need to abstain may only become clear after interacting with the environment. We study this problem across web shopping, terminal environments, and question answering, evaluating 13 LLM-as-agent systems and 2 agent scaffolds on more than 28,000 tasks. Our results show that the main challenge is not only whether agents can abstain, but also when they abstain. Some agents never abstain when they should, while others do so only after many unnecessary interactions. This gap is especially large on tasks where the instruction appears feasible until the environment reveals otherwise (e.g., no valid result matches the instruction). We further find that model scale, reasoning, and agent scaffolding affect abstention in different ways, with larger or more capable models not always performing better at timely abstention. Finally, we introduce CONVOLVE, a context engineering method for improving agentic abstention that distills full interaction trajectories into reusable stopping rules. On WebShop, CONVOLVE substantially improves timely abstention without updating model parameters, raising Llama-3.3-70B's timely recall rate from 26.7 to 57.4. % , and overall recall from 83.2 to 100.0. Our dataset and code are available at https://anonymous.4open.science/r/agentic-abstention-A908

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AgentSSL: Can MLE Agents Leverage Unlabeled Data?

Akanksha Sarkar, Ethan Lin, Ziang Liu, Kristin Branson, Jennifer Sun

Acquiring high-quality labeled data and engineering effective learning pipelines are two critical bottlenecks to applying machine learning systems in new domains. Although recent MLE agents have shown promise in automating pipeline design, their behavior has been studied almost exclusively in fully supervised settings. In many domains, however, labeled data is expensive while unlabeled data is abundant. In this work, we study agents in the semi-supervised learning (SSL) regime by framing SSL as a program search problem and exploring how agents navigate this space under limited supervision. Our analysis focuses on three questions: (1) whether agents can effectively leverage unlabeled data, (2) how they leverage it and what strategies they discover, and (3) whether they can adapt these strategies to specific domains. We find that agents can leverage and synthesize SSL strategies spanning decades of SSL research, achieving performance comparable to, and in some cases outperforming, established human-engineered SSL methods. We further validate these observations on real-world ecological datasets, highlighting both the challenges and opportunities of transferring agent-discovered strategies beyond controlled benchmarks.

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AIRA 2: Overcoming Bottlenecks in AI Research Agents

Karen Hambardzumyan, Nicolas Baldwin, Edan Toledo, RISHI HAZRA, Michael Kuchnik, Bassel Al Omari, Thomas Foster, Anton Protopopov, Jean-Christophe Gagnon-Audet, Ishita Mediratta, Kelvin Niu, Michael Shvartsman, Alisia Lupidi, Alexis Audran-Reiss, Parth Pathak, Tatiana Shavrina, Despoina Magka, Hela Momand, Derek Dunfield, Nicola Cancedda, Pontus Lars Erik Saito Stenetorp, Carole-Jean Wu, Jakob Foerster, Yoram Bachrach, Martin Josifoski

Existing research has identified three structural performance bottlenecks in AI research agents: (1) synchronous single-GPU execution constrains sample throughput, limiting the benefit of search; (2) a generalization gap where validation-based selection causes overfitting and performance to degrade over extended search horizons; and (3) the limited capability of fixed, single-turn LLM operators imposes a ceiling on search performance. We introduce AIRA$_2$, which addresses these bottlenecks through three architectural choices: an asynchronous multi-GPU worker pool that increases experiment throughput linearly; a Hidden Consistent Evaluation protocol that delivers a reliable evaluation signal; and ReAct agents that dynamically scope their actions and debug interactively. On MLE-bench-30, AIRA$_2$ achieves a mean Percentile Rank of 81.5% at 24 hours and 83.1% at 72 hours, outperforming the strongest baseline, which achieves 72.7%. On AIRS-Bench, AIRA$_2$ exceeds human state-of-the-art on 6 out of 20 diverse research tasks. Ablations confirm that each architectural component is necessary, that performance follows a predictable scaling law that transfers across LLM backbones, and that the "overfitting" reported in prior work was driven by evaluation noise rather than true data memorization.

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