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深度学习 · probabilistic methods
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ARES: Unifying Asymmetric RGB-Event Stereo for Probabilistic Scene Flow Estimation
Jie Long Lee, Gim Hee Lee
Estimating dense three dimensional motion in dynamic high speed scenes remains challenging due to motion blur, illumination variation, and the limited temporal resolution of conventional cameras. We introduce ARES, a unified framework for Asymmetric RGB-Event Stereo that addresses these issues through a hybrid setup where an event camera captures fine grained temporal dynamics and an RGB camera provides rich spatial structure. To integrate these heterogeneous modalities, we propose Multimodal Contextual Attention, a transformer based fusion mechanism that attends to spatial and temporal contexts under cross view constraints and forms a unified correspondence space for disparity and optical flow estimation. Building on this shared representation, we introduce Temporal Disparity Posterior Fusion, a probabilistic framework that models the evolution of disparity posteriors to infer disparity change and recover metrically coherent scene flow. Trained with sparse supervision and dense self consistency cues, our ARES achieves geometrically consistent and temporally stable three dimensional motion estimation across diverse driving scenarios. Experiments show that ARES attains state of the art performance in scene flow estimation among RGB-event stereo methods, establishing a principled path toward unified asymmetric multimodal stereo sensing. Code available at the project website.
Elucidating the SNR-t Bias of Diffusion Probabilistic Models
Meng Yu, Lei Sun, Jianhao Zeng, Xiangxiang Chu, Kun Zhan
Diffusion Probabilistic Models have demonstrated remarkable performance across a wide range of generative tasks. However, we have observed that these models often suffer from a Signal-to-Noise Ratio-timestep (SNR-t) bias. This bias refers to the misalignment between the SNR of the denoising sample and its corresponding timestep during the inference phase. Specifically, during training, the SNR of a sample is strictly coupled with its timestep. However, this correspondence is disrupted during inference, leading to error accumulation and impairing the generation quality. We provide comprehensive empirical evidence and theoretical analysis to substantiate this phenomenon and propose a simple yet effective differential correction method to mitigate the SNR-t bias. Recognizing that diffusion models typically reconstruct low-frequency components before focusing on high-frequency details during the reverse denoising process, we decompose samples into various frequency components and apply differential correction to each component individually. Extensive experiments show that our approach significantly improves the generation quality of various diffusion models (IDDPM, ADM, DDIM, A-DPM, EA-DPM, EDM, PFGM++, and FLUX) on datasets of various resolutions with negligible computational overhead.
Probabilistic Precipitation Nowcasting with Rectified Flow Transformers
Johannes Schusterbauer, Jannik Wiese, Nick Stracke, Timy Phan, Bjorn Ommer
Accurate weather forecasts are essential across various domains and are safety-critical in extreme weather conditions. Compared to simulation-based forecasting, data-driven approaches show greater efficiency, enabling short-term, high-resolution nowcasting. In particular, diffusion models proved effective in weather nowcasting due to their strong probabilistic foundation. However, existing methods rely on deterministic compression to reduce the complexity of high-dimensional weather data, limiting their ability to capture uncertainty in the decoding process. In this work, we introduce FREUD, a FRame-wise Encoder and United Decoder model based on rectified flow transformers for efficient compression of spatio-temporal weather data. Frame-wise encoding enables continuous forecast updates, while the unified video decoder ensures temporal consistency. Our uncertainty-preserving first stage allows us to capture aleatoric uncertainty through ensembling, which is particularly beneficial for extreme weather events with high decoding variability. We achieve state-of-the-art performance in precipitation nowcasting with a compact latent-space rectified flow transformer on the SEVIR benchmark and show further performance gains by model and test-time scaling.
Beyond Text: Visual Description Assembly by Probabilistic Model for CLIP-based Weakly Supervised Semantic Segmentation
Xianglin Qiu, Jian Wang, Xiaolei Wang, Zhen Zhang, Jimin XIAO
Contrastive Language-Image Pre-training (CLIP) offers a new paradigm for Weakly Supervised Semantic Segmentation (WSSS) by generating Class Activation Maps (CAMs) from text-image alignment. Existing methods primarily rely on hand-crafted templates or general attribute descriptions generated by a large language model to construct text prototypes for querying visual features. However, these strategies faces two major limitations: the inherent modality gap in CLIP prevents text prototypes achieving tight alignment with visual features; and their static text prototypes cannot adaptively respond to target instances that exhibit diverse visual attributes. To address these challenges, our key insight is to directly construct instance-specific visual description prototype as query, thereby bypassing the suboptimal static text description optimization. To this end, we propose the Visual Description Assembly (VDA) framework. It employs a probabilistic model to map complex CLIP visual features into a structured latent space. This latent space allows us to explicitly disentangle and aggregate varied visual attributes, and then dynamically assemble them into instance-specific visual prototypes. Furthermore, to enhance the robustness of this prototype, we adaptively incorporate the semantically stable text prototype into it as the final query for generating superior CAMs. Experimental results show our method outperforms existing baselines, achieving state-of-the-art performance on WSSS benchmarks.
Probabilistic Discrepancy Learning for Roadside LiDAR Scene Completion
Xiaogang Wu, Jinchao Hu, Zixian Wang, Dun Liu, BoXiang Cheng, Yiqiang Wu
We propose a probabilistic discrepancy learning approach for roadside LiDAR scene completion (PDL). Conventional methods focus on object-level completion and scene completion from ego-vehicle viewpoint. These methods struggle to cope with long-term or severe occlusions caused by roadside sensors with fixed viewpoints. To address this issue, we compensate for occlusion roadside point clouds by introducing external visual information. Specifically, the PDL is mainly divided into probabilistic pose discrepancy minimization and scene discrepancy learning. We employ probabilistic pose discrepancy minimization to correct noisy poses from vision-based detectors, while utilizing a diffusion model within scene discrepancy learning for robust full-scene completion. Furthermore, we design regional and global sampling discrepancy learning losses to achieve robust and efficient training. We conducted extensive experiments on the V2X-Seq and TUMTraf-V2X roadside datasets. Results demonstrate that PDL achieves state-of-the-art performance, with average reductions of 14.5% in chamfer distance (CD) and 6% in 3D Jensen Shannon divergence (JSD) compared to existing methods.
ProM3E: Probabilistic Masked MultiModal Embedding Model for Ecology
Srikumar Sastry, Subash Khanal, Aayush Dhakal, Jiayu Lin, Dan Cher, Phoenix Jarosz, Nathan Jacobs
We introduce ProM3E, a probabilistic masked multimodal embedding model for any-to-any generation of multimodal representations for ecology. ProM3E is based on masked modality reconstruction in the embedding space, learning to infer missing modalities given a few context modalities. By design, our model supports modality inversion in the embedding space. The probabilistic nature of our model allows us to analyze the feasibility of fusing various modalities for given downstream tasks, essentially learning what to fuse. Using these features of our model, we propose a novel cross-modal retrieval approach that mixes inter-modal and intra-modal similarities to achieve superior performance across all retrieval tasks. We further leverage the hidden representation from our model to perform linear probing tasks and demonstrate the superior representation learning capability of our model. All our code, datasets and model will be released at https://vishu26.github.io/prom3e.
JoPPO: Hierarchical Photography Assessment via Contrastive Joint Conditional Probabilistic Reinforcement Learning
Yifan Yang, Juntuo Wang, Yuming Qiao, Xudong Zhang, Chunyang Yu, Yan Li, Xiao Lin, Liang Luo, Dan Meng
With the advancement of Vision-Language Models (VLMs), employing VLM-as-a-Judge for visual evaluation has become a widely adopted metric in vision research. However, existing VLM-as-a-Judge approaches suffer from biased scoring outcomes with low discrimination and lack the capacity for unified multi-attribute compositional assessment. To address these limitations, we propose a novel training paradigm, termed JoPPO (**Jo**int **P**robabilistic **P**olicy **O**ptimization) that enables the VLMs to learn ranking under compositional assessment constraints. We evaluate the JoPPO on image aesthetics as a testbed, a task requiring nuanced understanding of multiple attributes including composition, lighting, color and geometry. Training follows two stages: (1) Supervised Fine-Tuning (SFT) on synthetic composition dataset provided by automated data generation pipeline to instill compositional priors; and (2) Contrastive Joint Conditional Probabilistic Reinforcement Learning: building upon the GRPO algorithm, we introduce JoPPO, which compute reward based on the expected win rate of total scores derived from the conditional distribution of fine-grained attribute scores within batches, effectively enhancing the model's discriminative ability in composite evaluation. Across standard aesthetic benchmarks, our method achieves consistent improvements in ranking consistency, demonstrating strong zero-shot generalization.