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arXiv

MALT: Lightweight Curvature-Aware Muon via Diagonal Preconditioning

Tongle Wu, Huanyu Dong, Ying Sun, Ziye Ma

Muon has recently emerged as a promising alternative to AdamW for language model pretraining by orthogonalizing momentum matrices using Newton-Schulz iterations. Although Muon mitigates gradient anisotropy, it does not explicitly account for the curvature geometry of the loss landscape and may therefore remain sensitive to curvature anisotropy. We bridge this gap by proposing MALT (Muon Augmented by Lightweight Two-sided Preconditioning), which uses lightweight diagonal preconditioners to reduce the sensitivity of Muon to curvature anisotropy. Specifically, MALT uses two-sided diagonal preconditioners with low memory and computational overhead to approximately capture the curvature geometry of the loss landscape. It orthogonalizes the preconditioned momentum using Newton-Schulz iterations and maps the result back to define the update direction, while norm grafting controls the update magnitude. To improve the robustness of MALT to stochastic gradient noise, we further propose MALTER (MALT with Adaptive stEpsize Rescaling). Convergence guarantees are provided for MALT in the stochastic non-convex setting. Experiments on GPT-2 Small, Medium, and Large pretraining show that the proposed methods outperform Muon while maintaining nearly the same memory footprint and wall-clock time.

arXiv

Capability-Gated Planning: Cost-to-Goal Discovery and the Limits of Myopic Experiment Selection

Ahmed Hassoon, Mark Dredze

Systems that automate scientific discovery must repeatedly decide which experiment to run, which hypothesis to test, which tool to build, and when to stop. Many systems make these decisions by maximizing a myopic score such as expected information gain per unit cost or a learned plausibility score. We identify a structural limitation of this approach. Some actions are constructive: they acquire an epistemic capability (an instrument, assay, pipeline, simulator, or abstraction) whose value lies not in the information returned immediately but in the future actions it makes available. When the least-cost route to a confident answer requires a chain of such constructions, a planner that scores actions only by information obtainable within a bounded horizon cannot value the first construction: it yields no information within the horizon and is dominated by any measurement with positive information, however small. We formulate goal-directed discovery as a stochastic shortest-path problem in belief space in which constructive experiments change the downstream action graph, and prove that for every lookahead depth d there is an instance on which every myopic information-maximizing planner has an unbounded approximation ratio, and a related instance on which it never reaches the goal. The mechanism is a capability-indistinguishability lemma: within the horizon, acquiring a capability can be observationally indistinguishable from paying for a null action. This establishes capability gating as a reachability axis of difficulty distinct from curvature (submodularity) and information order (adaptivity gaps). We introduce CG-Plan, an incremental replanner with a capability-aware cost-to-go heuristic h = h_cap + h_exp. In a controlled testbed, the performance gap appears only under gating, persists for every fixed horizon, and arises when near-miss hypotheses come from a data-consistent proposer.

arXiv

Learning When to Stop: Prefix-Optimal Dynamic Diffusion Policies for Continuous Control

Rohit Kumar Salla, Manoj Saravanan, Simon Stepputtis

Diffusion policies are a powerful policy class for continuous control, but their iterative denoising process creates a substantial computational bottleneck. Reducing this cost requires adapting the number of denoising steps to the difficulty of each action while preserving task performance. We introduce Prefix-Optimal Generative Policies (POGP), a framework that learns a prefix value function at every intermediate denoising step through a Bellman-style recursion over the denoising chain. The prefix value function serves two purposes: it provides an auxiliary training objective that encourages intermediate outputs to become high-quality actions, and it enables a test-time stopping rule that terminates denoising when additional steps are unlikely to produce meaningful improvement. Across four MuJoCo environments and comparisons with 12 baselines, POGP reduces the required number of denoising iterations by approximately 2.7-fold while retaining near-full task performance. Compared with state-of-the-art dynamic diffusion baselines, prefix training also improves final task performance by approximately 3.5%. These results indicate that supervising intermediate denoising steps is useful not only for adaptive early stopping, but also as an auxiliary objective that improves the learned policy.

arXiv

MultiPathFormer: Towards a Foundation Model for Multipath Wireless Propagation

Blessed Guda, Kayley Sze, Carlee Joe-Wong

Recent advances in machine learning have enabled training of wireless foundation models, which aim to support tasks such as channel estimation, beam prediction, and localization based on wireless signals. Existing wireless foundation models typically pretrain on channel tensors using masked reconstruction over subcarriers, antennas, or time but ignore the physical characteristics of wireless propagation. In this work, we propose to instead use multipath propagation as the fundamental pretraining object. We present MultiPathFormer, an autoregressive foundation model that represents each transmitter-receiver link as an ordered sequence of continuous-valued path tokens and pretrains with next-path prediction. We introduce an Environmental RAG (retrieval-augmented generation) mechanism and a first-path codebook on top of the transformer backbone, leveraging environment knowledge to improve path statistics estimation like delay and power by up to 59%. MultiPathFormer pretrained on 27 environments transfers to unseen users and, after scenario-specific fine-tuning, outperforms training the corresponding models from scratch in new environments. Across downstream tasks, it outperforms SOTA channel-based foundation models, achieving 5.57 m mean localization error, 0.914 top-3 beam accuracy, 0.994 line-of-sight classification accuracy, and 0.561 channel estimation NMSE. These results show that path-level pretraining can learn reusable representations of wireless propagation.

arXiv

Link prediction on multi-relational graphs from an influence propagation perspective

Zidu Yin, Yuankai Qi, Dong Gong, Ehsan Abbasnejad, Kun Yue, Javen Qinfeng Shi

Predicting the existence and type of links (edges) between nodes in a multi-relational graph is key for applications from social interaction prediction to knowledge relationship identification. Enhancing local features with relevant global information is crucial for accurate link prediction, yet it remains challenging. We address this by modeling the relationship between node pairs as node influence. That is, whether the node influence can be propagated and what type of influence is propagated indicates where and what type the edge is, which will be the most relevant local and global information to predict the edges. To this end, we extend the Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered (SIR) epidemic model to capture the influence propagation of nodes on a large scale through sub-graph structures. Subsequently, these sub-graphs are compressed using virtual edges, thereby substantially reducing the computation associated with utilizing the global graph structure. Finally, we propose the Influential Graph Neural Predictor, referred to as IGNP, a link prediction framework guided by influence propagation. Extensive experiments demonstrate the superiority of the proposed method, which outperforms strong baselines by a large margin on the widely used and real-world datasets.

arXiv

Revealed Rationality: Label-Free Evaluation and Regularization from Representation Theorems

Isaiah Andrews

Representation theorems in decision theory establish that behavior satisfies certain axioms if and only if it can be rationalized by a well-defined objective. I argue that this ``if and only if'' structure provides a potentially useful foundation for label-free evaluation and regularization of LLMs and other AI systems. Axiom compliance can be checked from the model's own responses to synthetic choice problems, with no external labels or human feedback, and the penalties are readily computable. Because the axioms are necessary and sufficient, the resulting checks exhaust the implications of the relevant rationality standard for the elicited data: a model that passes cannot be rejected on rationality grounds by any further test of the same data. I discuss three instantiations: probabilistic coherence via a theorem of de Finetti, preference rationality via Afriat's theorem, and subjective expected utility via a theorem of Echenique and Saito (2015), each yielding a continuous penalty that is zero whenever behavior can be rationalized. Since coherence does not restrict which objective rationalizes behavior, these penalties complement rather than replace other evaluation and training signals.

arXiv

Stochastic Emulation using Generalized Stratified Sampling for Performance-Based Risk Optimization of Structures

Isabela D. Rodrigues, Seymour M. J. Spence, Henrique M. Kroetz, André T. Beck

Metamodels are instrumental in reducing the computational burden associated with nested reliability analyses and optimization loops in Performance-Based Risk Optimization (PBRO) of structures under stochastic loads. In this context, stochastic emulators are particularly useful because they approximate response distributions while accounting for the intrinsic stochasticity of the simulator. Among these methods, Stochastic Polynomial Chaos Expansion (SPCE) is especially attractive because it does not require replications of nonlinear analyses at fixed input conditions. However, SPCE may present limitations in accurately representing extreme responses in the tails of structural response distributions. To address this limitation, this study proposes a framework that combines Generalized Stratified Sampling (GSS) with SPCE. The GSS scheme partitions the input space into strata according to the intensity of the hazard, improving the representation of extreme responses, while independent SPCE emulators are trained within each stratum. The conditional exceedance probabilities estimated in each stratum are then recombined using the total probability theorem to evaluate the probabilistic constraints. The proposed GSS-SPCE framework is applied to the optimal design of buckling-restrained brace cross-sectional areas in a two-story steel building. The objective is to minimize the initial construction cost while satisfying prescribed probabilistic performance constraints. Results show that the proposed framework accurately estimates structural response distributions, including their tail regions, while substantially reducing the number of nonlinear model evaluations required for PBRO.

arXiv

EvolveNet: Collaborative Harness Evolution for Agent Self-Improvement

Jun Nie, Yonggang Zhang, Qianshu Cai, Yiu-ming Cheung, Xinmei Tian, Bo Han

The capabilities of an LLM agent depend not only on its model but on the harness: the executable program that constructs context, invokes tools, verifies results, and recovers from failure. Recent work shows that evolving the harness yields persistent improvements without updating model weights. Existing approaches, however, assume that all execution experience can be routed to a single optimizer, which evolves one harness along a sequential trajectory. Real agent ecosystems violate that assumption: users, organizations, and environments generate isolated streams of experience that cannot be pooled, so the experience most worth learning from is exactly the experience that cannot be directly centralized. We introduce EvolveNet, a paradigm of collaborative harness evolution that moves experience extraction to the data. A shared harness is broadcast to data-local agent deployments, each of which evolves it on its own workload. Only the resulting program adaptations are composed into an updated shared harness and redistributed, so that every participating agent inherits operational experience discovered by the others. By shifting the aggregation boundary from raw workloads to learned adaptations, EvolveNet keeps workloads local and allows multiple evolutionary searches to proceed concurrently with reduced serial depth. Because independently modified programs cannot be averaged like model parameters and may conflict when composed, EvolveNet introduces scope-typed, evidence-guided program aggregation. Across five settings spanning text-to-SQL, data-science coding, competitive programming, software engineering, and agentic workflows, EvolveNet improves the shared harness in all five, with the largest gains under heterogeneous workloads, and ablations attribute the improvement to composition of adaptations from different agents rather than to selecting among them.

arXiv

WorldCycle: Self-Verifiable Reinforcement Learning for Long-Horizon Video World Models

Bohai Gu, Yueyang Yuan, Taiyi Wu, Dazhao Du, Jian Liu, Xiaoyi Pang, Jie Zhang, Xiaocheng Lu, Haobin Zhong, Xiaotong Zhao, Alan Zhao, Song Guo

Interactive video world models are essential for long-horizon planning and exploration, yet they suffer from compounding errors. Post-training methods such as reinforcement learning (RL) can improve these models, but they hit a verification bottleneck: for arbitrary action sequences, no ground-truth future state exists to measure long-term drift. Our key insight is that reversible action cycles make this verification possible: a sequence composed with its inverse must analytically return to the initial state, yielding annotation-free supervision on long-horizon correctness. Building on this, we introduce WorldCycle, a self-verifiable RL framework that constructs closed action cycles and their repeated executions from ordinary action sequences, and optimizes two complementary rewards: a spatial closure reward enforcing symmetry between mirrored forward and reverse segments, and a temporal consistency reward aligning states across repeated cycle executions. These rewards force the model to learn actions as consistent state operators rather than memorized temporal patterns, and extend naturally to out-of-distribution composite action cycles that the base model handles poorly. We further release CycleBench, a diagnostic benchmark for state-returning ability under complex action structures. WorldCycle reduces state returning drift by up to 44% and lifts composite-action accuracy nearly 4x over the base model, providing a vital foundation for physically grounded world models.

arXiv

A geometry-based deep equilibrium model for image restoration under multiplicative Gamma noise

Shengkun Yang, Luca Ratti, Zhichang Guo

We propose a deep learning framework for image restoration from images degraded by both multiplicative Gamma noise and blur. Unlike conventional deep equilibrium (DEQ) models that rely on implicit neural regularization, the proposed method learns an explicit and interpretable regularizer parameterized by geometric priors associated with surface area and mean curvature. To minimize the resulting variational model, we develop a mirror descent algorithm tailored to the commonly used Gamma-noise fidelity terms. Leveraging the Kurdyka-Lojasiewicz property for functions defined in $o$-minimal structures, we establish the global convergence of the generated iterates to a critical point. Experimental results on both grayscale and color image restoration demonstrate that the proposed method consistently outperforms representative model-based approaches while achieving performance comparable to state-of-the-art DEQ models based on implicit regularization, despite requiring substantially fewer trainable parameters.

arXiv

CheMLFlow: An Open-Source Platform for Cheminformatics and Materials Informatics Applications

Brendan Smith, Susana Lopez-Moreno, Eric Dolores-Cuenca, Sangil Kim, Jose L. Mendoza-Cortes, Nijamudheen Abdulrahiman

CheMLFlow is an open-source platform for building and executing end-to-end, high-throughput, and agentic workflows for scientific and technological applications. CheMLFlow targets a common bottleneck in scientific machine learning development, where researchers often need to assemble data acquisition, curation, representation, model training, validation, screening, interpretation, and reporting into a reproducible pipeline, even when their primary research contribution concerns only one stage. CheMLFlow provides modular workflow components, ready-to-run reference pipelines, standardized artifacts, and evaluation outputs that reduce orchestration overhead and support benchmarking across methods and datasets. The platform is designed to be extensible, reproducible, and automation friendly, with pluggable representations and models, deterministic splits, explicit run artifacts, batch execution, and report generation. As scientific software increasingly moves toward agent assisted experimentation, CheMLFlow's configuration driven workflows and structured outputs also provide a practical interface for coding agents to help users construct experiments, inspect results, and summarize findings under human supervision. This article describes the system architecture, core workflows, and benchmarks that reach literature performance for quantum mechanical, physicochemical and bioactivity property prediction, and use cases involving time series datasets demonstrating applications beyond molecular chemistry datasets.

arXiv

Variational Bounds for Perceptron Learning from Structured Data

Francesco Camilli, Pierluigi Contucci, Federica Gerace, Emanuele Mingione

We introduce a variational approach to a finite-temperature continuous-spin perceptron trained on a Gaussian mixture. The model allows for a broad class of concave utilities and log-concave separable prior measures on the spins. By combining the interpolation method with log-concavity and concentration estimates, we derive lower and upper minimax variational bounds for the limiting quenched pressure. Remarkably, the two bounds differ only in the order of optimization of two variational parameters, while all remaining extrema are controlled by the concave--convex structure of the variational potential. Whenever the two optimizations commute, the two bounds match and identify the solution of the model. The same potential yields the fixed-point equations as stationarity conditions and provides a unified route to the computation of the ground-state energy, training loss, and generalization error.

arXiv

The Neural Echo: A Signal Processing Perspective for Understanding Neural Networks

Chongbiao Wang, Daniel Gaa, Joachim Weickert, Karl Schrader

We introduce the neural echo as a tool for understanding the behavior of neural networks. It generalizes the model-based concepts of impulse responses, diffusion echoes, and filter echoes to learning-based methods. It provides local, space-adaptive impulse responses and filter kernels for a neural network, its so-called echoes. These echoes depend on the input image and can be visualized to understand the learned dynamics of the network via an affine mapping. Neural echoes build a bridge from classical signal processing to modern explainable AI. They are very general and can be applied to both image-to-image and classification networks, with convolutional or fully connected structure, of feedforward or recurrent type, including modern transformer networks. Network differentiability is not required. In the differentiable case, neural echoes comprise concepts based on the network Jacobian, such as saliency maps and the analysis of adversarial perturbations, as special instances. As a simple blueprint to explain our framework, we derive neural echoes for the denoising convolutional neural network (DnCNN). Our experiments suggest that this network weights pixels based on their spatial and gray value distances. This not only clarifies its behavior, but also shows that it can reproduce key concepts of classical model-based denoisers such as bilateral filtering.

arXiv

Robust Control under Stationary Ambiguity

Konrad J. Mueller, Amira Akkari, Ben Wood, Lukas Gonon

Control policies optimized in simulation can perform poorly in the real system when the parameters $x$ of the simulator are estimated from limited data but the resulting parameter uncertainty is not represented inside the simulation. A common way to incorporate such ambiguity is to simulate each trajectory of the system under a randomly drawn value for $x$. Since the policy cannot observe the drawn value, it must initially choose controls that perform well across many possible parameter values. However, if the policy progressively observes the system, it can often gradually infer the value of $x$, so that ambiguity vanishes. Over time, the policy then specializes to its estimate of $x$ and loses its robustness. This is undesirable in many real systems, where latent factors are expected to shift. In financial markets, for example, a policy hedging a derivative payoff should remain robust to changes in the volatility regime. To induce such continual robustness, we propose training policies in simulators where ambiguity varies with the system's state but does not systematically decay over time. We formalize this requirement as stationary ambiguity: the simulator should induce a stationary filter process over the latent state. We show how to construct such simulators and demonstrate, on hedging problems, that policies trained under stationary ambiguity preserve robustness to latent factors over time, leading to strong performance on real market data. As a modeling principle, stationary ambiguity informs many simulator design decisions: which models make realistic simulators, how their parameters should be randomized, and how simulator and policy should be initialized. While our experiments focus on hedging, stationary ambiguity may also be useful for other sequential control problems driven by exogenous stochastic processes with shifting latent structure.

arXiv

Intrinsic-Hybrid Latent Diffusion Models for Generative Modeling on Unknown Manifolds

Yizhu Wang, mu niu, Xiaochen Yang

We introduce the Intrinsic Hybrid Latent Diffusion Model (ILDM), a generative framework that integrates probabilistic dimensionality reduction with geometry-aware diffusion on unknown manifolds. While diffusion models (DMs) have achieved state-of-the-art results in high-dimensional data synthesis, they rely on large training datasets and ignore intrinsic geometric structure. Latent diffusion models (LDMs) address the high dimensionality by learning a latent space, but they typically impose a Euclidean structure, failing to capture the underlying manifold geometry, especially problematic in data-sparse regimes. ILDM addresses these limitations by interpreting the latent space as a chart of an unknown Riemannian manifold, with geometry and uncertainty quantified through a probabilistic decoder. The forward process is a hybrid diffusion that switches between Riemannian and Euclidean dynamics based on local uncertainty, where the Riemannian component is governed by a probabilistic metric tensor derived from the decoder. To learn the generative dynamics, we introduce an approximate denoising score matching method tailored to the hybrid diffusion setting, enabling a backward process defined by hybrid Langevin dynamics. Experiments on COIL-100, MNIST, and cardiac MRI datasets demonstrate that ILDM significantly improves generation quality, achieving lower FID and LPIPS scores compared to standard diffusion and latent diffusion models.

arXiv

MGSB: Manifold Gated Signature Branch Pressure-Domain Baseline Architecture for Two-Phase Pipeline Flows Under Distributional Shift

Issah Suleiman, Sormeh Serpoosh, Nadine Elkholy, Hicham Ferroudji, Mohammad Azizur Rahman, Matthew Hamilton

Leak detection models for multiphase pipelines often degrade when deployed under flow regimes that differ from training. Existing evaluations typically assess performance under in-distribution operating conditions, masking failures caused by regime transitions such as bubble-to-slug flow. We propose the Manifold Gated Signature Bias (MGSB), a regime-aware architecture combining regime-conditioned feature fusion, a TT-RoughPath encoder, and Mean-Teacher consistency regularization to improve robustness under distribution shift. Under leave-one-group-out evaluation, MGSB achieves a detection F1 of 0.930 and an OOD F1 of 0.783, substantially outperforming CNN-LSTM and fully connected baselines under severe feature corruption. Ablations show the proposed architecture, not the training procedure, is the primary contributor to OOD robustness, while Mahalanobis-distance analysis confirms the held-out conditions are genuinely out-of-distribution. These results show that explicit regime-aware modelling is a practical path toward robust, sensor-agnostic leak detection in industrial multiphase pipelines.

arXiv

Privileged, but Biased: How PI-Conditioned Teachers Break Self-Distillation

Sarthak Harne, Chinmay Karkar, Yash Pandya, Ahmed Awadallah, Akshay Nambi

Self-distillation (SD) has emerged as a compute-efficient alternative to reinforcement learning with verifiable rewards: a self-teacher, conditioned on privileged information (PI) about the answer such as a reference solution, supplies dense per-token supervision to a student that never sees it. Reported gains, however, come almost exclusively from narrow, low-difficulty settings, leaving open a basic question: as a lone objective, with no reward term, does SD teach anything? We reproduce SDPO's reported gains in its easy setting, then apply the identical setup to difficult tasks and find that it does not. Across question answering, mathematics, coding, and multi-turn agentic tool use, across reasoning modes, model sizes, and forms of PI, and under both the SDPO and OPSD recipes, the per-token loss falls steadily while validation accuracy does not improve and typically degrades. We explain this failure through a single causal chain from the loss to the model it produces. The chain begins with PI bias: having seen one particular reference solution, the teacher's per-token target is pulled toward that trajectory rather than toward correctness in general, an effect we quantify with a PI Bias Score. Trained to match this target everywhere, the student's objective becomes nearly blind to whether a rollout is correct, and the loss it assigns falls mostly on low-information tokens like stopwords, punctuation, uncertainty markers, rather than those that determine the answer; within correct rollouts the exploratory tokens incur the highest divergence, so it penalizes the hesitation that reasoning requires. The result is a flatter, less decisive student that is no better at reasoning: as a lone objective, SD optimizes a signal decoupled from task success.

arXiv

Above-ground Biomass Estimation with Geospatial Foundation Models

Ghjulia Sialellia, Linus Scheibenreif, Jan Dirk Wegner, Konrad Schindler

Accurate estimation of Above-Ground Biomass (AGB) from satellite imagery is essential for the large-scale monitoring of carbon stocks, yet it remains a challenging regression task at global scale. Geospatial Foundation Models (GFMs) have recently emerged as a promising machine learning paradigm to derive general-purpose representations from Earth observation data, but their utility for quantitative regression tasks like biomass estimation remains largely unexplored, as most benchmarks emphasize classification and segmentation. Here, we present a comprehensive benchmark of GFMs for global-scale AGB estimation using the AGBD dataset, a machine learning-ready benchmark spanning diverse biomes and geographies. We distinguish two ways in which GFMs reach practitioners: (i) models distributed as weights to be run by the user, which we evaluate as frozen encoders within the PANGAEA benchmarking framework; and (ii) models distributed as ready-to-use, pre-computed embedding products, for which we evaluate AlphaEarth Foundations (AEF) and TESSERA. We compare 11 GFMs available on PANGAEA and both embedding products against a fully supervised state-of-the-art (SOTA) model, assess their geographical and temporal generalization abilities, as well as agreement with the ESA CCI biomass product on independent reference data. Our results show that GFMs run as frozen encoders substantially underperform with respect to the supervised SOTA model, whereas pre-computed embedding products prove highly effective. An MLP trained on AEF embeddings outperforms the supervised SOTA model trained on AGBD features, and the same SOTA model trained on AEF embeddings (optionally augmented with selected raw features) achieves the best overall result, while also generalizing better across space and time.

arXiv

Continual-Learning Physics-Informed Neural Networks for Parameterized Partial Differential Equations

Xujia Chen, Xinyue Hu, Letian Chen, Yi Liu, Wenhui Fan

Physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) incorporate governing equations into neural-network training and can approximate PDE solutions without requiring large observational datasets. Parameterized PINNs (ParamPINNs) further take physical parameters as inputs, allowing a single model to represent a family of PDE solutions over a parameter domain. Existing ParamPINNs, however, still face inefficient training, uneven accuracy across parameters, and overfitting to a limited set of sampled parameter tasks, which can impair generalization to unsampled parameters. To address these issues, we propose a continual-learning physics-informed neural network (CL-PINN), which treats PDE instances at different parameter values as related tasks and learns them sequentially. CL-PINN combines Bayesian-optimization-based active parameter selection, task-wise dynamic loss weighting, sparse physics-constrained replay, and an optional parameter subnetwork to improve task allocation and knowledge retention under bounded active-task capacity. It requires no observational data and is designed to solve parameterized PDEs over relatively broad parameter domains under limited computational resources. Multi-seed evaluations on five benchmarks, including one continuous function and four parameterized PDEs, show that Bayesian selection substantially reduces objective-loss queries relative to grid-greedy search, while sparse replay mitigates forgetting of earlier tasks. Under the prescribed within-case resource protocols, CL-PINN generally provides higher and more balanced solution accuracy than fixed-sampling and grid-greedy baselines. CL-PINN offers a practical route toward learning PDE solutions that generalize across physical parameters and has the potential to support reusable physics-informed surrogates for large-scale engineering parameter studies.

arXiv

IMFACT: Counterfactual Explanations for Time Series via Intrinsic Mode Function Substitution

Udo Schlegel, Julian Rakuschek, Thomas Seidl, Andreas Holzinger, Tobias Schreck, Javier Del Ser

Oscillatory signals, such as vibration, carry class-discriminative information in specific frequency bands; perturbing them in raw feature space for counterfactual analysis easily destroys their temporal structure and produces physically implausible results. In this work, we introduce IMFACT (IMF-based counterfACTuals), a model-agnostic framework for generating plausible counterfactual explanations for time series classifiers that operates in the decomposition space of Empirical Mode Decomposition. An input signal is split into Intrinsic Mode Functions (IMFs), and selected IMFs are progressively substituted with those of a Nearest Unlike Neighbour (NUN) until the classifier flips to the target class. We evaluate six IMF-selection strategies and a multi-NUN cycling extension on two UCR benchmarks (FaultDetectionA, FruitFlies). The variance-based strategy with three NUNs outperforms two prominent baseline techniques on reliability and plausibility metrics, while cycling across three NUNs yields the best proximity across both datasets.

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