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Search papers from 30+ top conferences, including NeurIPS, ICLR, ICML, CVPR, ACL and AAAI. Filter by keyword, then open any paper for its abstract, authors and links.

arXiv

Clustered Randomized Smoothing for Stochastic Prediction Functions

Eduardo Figueiredo, Frederik Mathiesen, Julian Schumann, Jens Kober, Arkady Zgonnikov, Luca Laurenti

Modern stochastic predictors can model rich, multi-modal outcome distributions. However, this expressive power comes with challenges in ensuring robust predictions $-$ a critical requirement in safety-critical domains. Randomized smoothing is a leading technique for improving robustness, particularly against adversarial perturbations. Yet, in stochastic multi-modal regression settings, randomized smoothing often fails due to mode collapse, yielding averaged predictions that do not reflect the underlying distribution. To address this limitation, we propose clustered $α$-smoothing, a framework that (1) partitions noisy samples using an arbitrary clustering algorithm, (2) applies $α$-smoothing locally within each cluster, and (3) combines the resulting predictions into a mixture distribution. By interpreting the smoothing distribution as a mixture of $α$-smoothers, we derive a lower bound on the probability that the smoothed prediction lies within a union of compact regions corresponding to distinct modes. We empirically evaluate our framework on two benchmarks, demonstrating substantial improvements over state-of-the-art methods. In stochastic trajectory prediction on a driving simulator dataset, our approach achieves, on average, a $27\%$ lower Wasserstein distance to the ground-truth distribution compared to $α$-smoothing. In quadrotor control, where modes correspond to distinct feasible paths to a target, our method reduces the collision rate by $81\%$ relative to the state-of-the-art randomized smoothing.

arXiv

Uncertainty-Aware Probabilistic Constrained Clustering from Entangled Pairwise Supervision

Shaojie Zhang, Ke Chen

Pairwise constrained clustering typically relies on hard must-link/cannot-link labels, whereas realistic pairwise supervision may be real-valued and entangle intrinsic ambiguity, expert judgment, and stochastic corruption. Existing deep constrained clustering (DCC) methods mainly target hard, expert-agnostic constraints, treating soft labels mostly numerically rather than semantically. We formalize this setting as uncertainty-aware probabilistic constrained clustering (UPCC), defining a canonical aleatoric target through a heterogeneous observation process and analyzing its conditional identifiability. We introduce ProbPair, an angular pairwise objective for probabilistic relations, and build ECI-PP, an estimator--corrector--integrator framework that refines imperfect supervision via belief estimation, correction, and reliability-aware integration. Across challenging probabilistic supervision settings, experiments on diverse benchmarks show that ECI-PP outperforms state-of-the-art DCC methods and remains robust with a shared default configuration.

arXiv

SoftWater: Class-Aware Rate Allocation for Softmax Quantization

Joao V. Cavalcanti, Ashia C. Wilson

Post-training quantization pipelines routinely leave the softmax output layer in high precision. Yet in small LLMs with modern vocabularies, the head holds 15--30\% of all parameters, so a nominal ``2-bit'' model with an fp16 head can store several times as many bits per weight. We pose softmax-layer quantization as a rate-distortion problem under the KL divergence between the original and quantized output distributions. A second-order analysis reveals a class-aware geometry: quantization error is weighted jointly by feature covariance and class-specific softmax curvature. A separability approximation replaces the $Kn\times Kn$ Cholesky with one $n\times n$ factorization rescaled per class, making the lattice encodable by successive interference cancellation, with both statistics from a single forward pass. The resulting method, SoftWater, gives fine grids to frequent, low-variance classes and coarse grids to rare ones, a large gap under Zipfian token distributions. Across five models from 1B to 32B, SoftWater outperforms the released WaterSIC quantizer (near-optimal under linear-layer WMSE but not output KL) at matched head rates on 59 of 60 test points, using none of that pipeline's refinements and cutting head-induced KL by $6.5\times$--$8.3\times$ at 2 bits. On Llama-3.2-1B-Instruct with quantized bodies, a 2-bit head removes 45--60\% of stored bytes for a $2.9$--$3.7\%$ perplexity increase. Because the class-side statistic comes from calibration data, matching calibration to the deployment domain gives the lowest KL on that domain throughout. On a tied model, a 4-bit head is near-lossless and a 2-bit head costs under 4\% perplexity, making head quantization of such models practical.

arXiv

Adaptive Bregman Proximal Stochastic Gradient with a Stabilized Barzilai--Borwein Step Size

Chenhan Jin, Shengze Xu, Binghui Xie, Kaiwen Zhou, Fan Jia, James Cheng, Tieyong Zeng

Bregman proximal stochastic gradient (BPSG) methods bring variance-reduced composite optimization to objectives whose geometry is poorly captured by Euclidean smoothness. Their performance, however, remains sensitive to the step size: raw stochastic curvature estimates can fluctuate sharply, whereas line searches add repeated proximal evaluations. We introduce Ada-BPSG, a line-search-free BPSG method that couples the SAGA gradient table with a stabilized Barzilai--Borwein (BB) candidate. A mediant aggregates incremental secant information so that nearly singular local ratios receive little weight, and an explicit safeguard translates the resulting curvature estimate into the bounded step-size sequence required for convergence. This design yields a direct analytical chain from relative smoothness and component-wise variance control to convergence in finite-dimensional normed spaces. We prove an $O(n/K)$ ergodic rate for convex objectives, a restarted linear rate under relative quadratic growth, and an $O(1/K)$ bound for a Bregman proximal residual in the nonconvex setting. On logistic regression and sparse nonnegative matrix factorization, Ada-BPSG combines low objective values with substantially less sensitivity to the initial step size than standard variance-reduced baselines, while avoiding line search.

arXiv

Beyond Local Power: Functional Connectivity Analysis for Subject-Independent Learning Style Recognition

Wiga Maulana Baihaqi, Indriana Hidayah, Sri Kusrohmaniah, Noor Akhmad Setiawan

Identifying individual learning styles optimizes pedagogical efficacy. While traditional questionnaires are structured, behavioral tracking methods require prolonged interaction log accumulation. To overcome these temporal constraints, this paper proposes an objective Electroencephalography (EEG) approach evaluating Phase Locking Value (PLV) connectivity against localized features across the Active-Reflective (AR) and Verbal-Visual (VV) Felder-Silverman dimensions. EEG signals were recorded from 28 participants during Raven's Advanced Progressive Matrices tasks. Support Vector Machine classification used Leave-One-Subject-Out Cross-Validation (LOSO-CV) alongside a 70:30 intra-subject split. The VV dimension achieved 70.00% subject-level accuracy driven by distinct fronto-occipital polarization. Conversely, the AR dimension yielded lower cross-subject generalizability (55.56%) due to overlapping executive networks and a "Systematic Neural Inversion" phenomenon, where stable individual connectivity signatures operated diametrically opposed to global boundaries (up to 20-0 voting margins). Ultimately, these outcomes demonstrate that rigid "one-size-fits-all" classifiers are bounded by biological diversity, emphasizing the need for future adaptive feature transformation techniques to bridge the cross-subject generalization gap.

arXiv

Latent variable models for simultaneous EOV identification and removal in population-based SHM

M. D. Champneys, M. R. Jones, A. J. Hughes, T. J. Rogers, E. J. Cross, K. Worden

The robust treatment of environmental and operational variability (EOV) is an open challenge in population-based structural health monitoring (PBSHM). The difficulty is compounded in the case that the EOV signals are unmeasured. A common approach in conventional SHM is to apply \emph{projection-based} methods that discard subspaces of healthy feature data, reasoning that the EOV signal dominates the variance of the measured features. However, a common pitfall of projection-based approaches is that when damage acts close to the same variance-dominant direction, damage sensitivity is removed along with the EOV. An alternative identifying assumption for the removal of particular unmeasured EOVs is slowness; the latent EOV process is characterised by its long temporal correlation. In this paper, the latent EOV is cast as a state-space Gaussian process, enabling tractable $\mathcal{O}(T)$ inference via a Kalman filter. A robust hierarchical Bayesian identification framework is developed that enables population-level identification of latent EOVs and EOV-free residual features, using a Laplace approximation. The approach is first validated on a single laboratory-scale benchmark structure from the literature, subject to thermal EOVs, demonstrating robust damage detection and EOV recovery. The method is then applied to a simulated nine-turbine offshore wind farm with staggered deployment and damage, where it delivers a substantial true-positive uplift over projection and cointegration-based baselines at matched false-positive rates.

arXiv

TESLA: Taylor Expansion of Sinusoidal Learnable Activations

Daehwa Ko, Jaehyeon Kim, Seunghyun Ham, Jay Hoon Jung

The parity problem--deciding whether the number of ones in a binary vector is odd or even--remains challenging for standard neural networks due to linear inseparability and the need for global interactions. We propose TESLA, an activation defined as a learnable combination of sine and cosine terms, enabling explicit control over polynomial degree and selective amplification of high-order components. Theoretically, we show that constraining TESLA's coefficients yields Lipschitz/Rademacher complexity bounds and shapes the training dynamics to emphasize higher-frequency structure. Empirically, on parity with input length n = 32, TESLA attains strong generalization with 100K training samples (approximately 0.002% of the 2^32 input space) and remains robust under heavy corruption, retaining high accuracy with up to 30% label noise. We also compare against periodic and frequency-based baselines (SIREN, SNAKE, and Fourier feature embeddings) on parity and Forrelation. Beyond synthetic structure, TESLA delivers comparable performance on ImageNet-100, indicating that activation-level degree control transfers to more general vision workloads. Code: https://github.com/KAU-QuantumAILab/TESLA

arXiv

LoongReflect: Boosting Long-Horizon Reflection in Search Agents via Global Perspective Distillation

Zhixin Zhang, Xinke Jiang, Zhibang Yang, Weixuan Xu, Guohong Qiu, Xu Chu, Junfeng Zhao, Yasha Wang

Large language model agents increasingly rely on long-horizon reasoning to solve complex tasks involving planning, tool use, and memory. A critical capability in such settings is reflection: assessing trajectory progress, identifying missing evidence and unreliable intermediate states, and deciding whether to continue, revise, or abandon the current branch. Learning effective reflection, however, is challenging because reflection is performed locally within the current branch, whereas its utility can only be determined by its contribution to the final trajectory outcome. This local-global mismatch makes outcome-based reinforcement learning provide only local, sparse and delayed supervision for reflective decisions. To solve these, we propose LoongReflect, a training framework that formulates reflection as a memory-control policy. The agent operates over a reversible trajectory tree using explicit reflect and backtrack actions. Reflection consolidates verified facts, missing evidence, and branch-specific risks into working memory, while backtracking removes an unreliable branch from the active context and preserves a concise corrective lesson. To learn this policy, LoongReflect combines two complementary signals through a look-ahead, extragradient-style coordination mechanism. A fast channel distills globally informed reflective behavior from a privileged teacher, with supervision restricted to reflection and backtracking tokens. A slow channel optimizes complete trajectories using outcome-based GRPO, aligning local control decisions with final task success. Experiments on multi-hop retrieval-augmented generation and mathematical reasoning benchmarks demonstrate consistent improvements over outcome-only reinforcement learning and self-distillation baselines.

arXiv

TailBooster: A Dual-Layer Generative Framework for Extreme Value Augmentation with Operational Validity Enforcement

Karim Aly, Alexei Sharpanskykh, Jacco Hoekstra

Extreme events in air transport, such as severe arrival delays and abnormal air times, cause cascading network disruptions with substantial operational, economic, and safety costs. Such events are rare in historical records, leaving insufficient training signal for machine learning models. Synthetic data augmentation offers a principled solution, but conventional generative models under-represent distributional tails and give no guarantee against operationally infeasible instances, such as a short air time paired with a long flight distance. No existing approach addresses both limitations for mixed-type tabular records. We propose TailBooster, a dual-layer generative framework combining generative modelling with two anomaly detection layers. A statistical layer extracts extremes via the interquartile range, supplying tail-concentrated training signal to dedicated generative models, here a Tabular Variational Autoencoder. A deep learning layer then applies autoencoder-based cleaning, discarding synthetic records that violate the operational envelope learned from historical data. The framework was evaluated on US flight records across five dimensions: diversity, statistical similarity, fidelity, operational validity, and utility, the latter two being the primary improvement targets. Data-driven cleaning markedly improved operational validity, while targeted augmentation enhanced utility for extreme-event prediction. Across six regression algorithms, training on the framework's records reduced Mean Absolute Error by 47-49% on extreme air time and 29-57% on extreme arrival delay prediction relative to conventional synthetic data, with comparable gains when real records were enriched with synthetic extremes. Being fully data-driven and model-agnostic, TailBooster extends to domains where extreme-event prediction is critical and domain-specific rules are unavailable.

arXiv

Distillation of Foundation Models for Time-dependent PDEs

Daniel Musekamp, Boshra Ariguib, Andrei Manolache, Mathias Niepert

Foundation models for time-dependent partial differential equations (PDEs) are trained on large and diverse collections of physical systems and can generalize effectively to new downstream tasks. After fine-tuning on only a few trajectories from a target domain, they can achieve strong accuracy in low-data regimes. However, these models are typically large and computationally intensive, limiting their usefulness as fast surrogates for numerical solvers. We propose Teacher Rollout Extension (TREX), a knowledge distillation framework that transfers the predictive capability of a pretrained foundation model into a compact and efficient student. Starting from a fine-tuned teacher, TREX augments limited downstream data by generating long synthetic trajectories through teacher rollouts, optionally with periodic noise injection. This procedure samples from the teacher-induced rollout distribution without requiring explicit knowledge of the initial-condition distribution, while exposing the student to long-horizon states and local recovery behavior around states encountered during autoregressive prediction. The student can further incorporate task-specific inductive biases, such as equivariance, that the teacher does not necessarily enforce. We evaluate TREX on multiple PDE benchmarks. The resulting students can match or surpass the teacher's accuracy while reducing the number of parameters by several orders of magnitude and achieving more than an order-of-magnitude speedup in inference.

arXiv

Disentangling the Expressivity of RoPE

Selim Jerad, Anej Svete, Jiaoda Li, Ryan Cotterell

Two accounts recur in explanations of the success of rotary position embeddings (RoPE). Expressivity studies associate periodic position information with modular predicates, whereas mechanistic and long-context studies emphasize positional anchors and local offsets. We formalize both accounts for fully uniform, finite-precision soft-attention transformers. We find that, if every rotary component is periodic, RoPE transformers recognize exactly the languages definable in past temporal logic with modular predicates. Conventional RoPE is different: The rotations it computes never repeat. This yields a precision-dependent bounded simulation of fixed-offset look-back operators, rather than an all-length modular characterization. Controlled experiments match this separation: Constructed periodic schedules length-generalize on modular languages, while conventional RoPE behaves more like a bounded locality bias and can impair tasks requiring position-invariant access to distant context. Altogether, our findings shed light on RoPE transformers, bringing theoretical expressivity characterizations closer to models used in practice.

arXiv

Policy-as-logic for robust reasoning over rules

Rahul Nair, Bastian Lipka, Elizabeth Daly

In many practical applications of generative AI systems, from tax rules to airline baggage allowance, responses to natural language queries must respect written policies or rules. We present a hybrid symbolic approach that expresses policies in formal logic and at inference time exploits the representation power of language models for fact extraction to ground predicates, and an answer set solver for reasoning such that responses are interpretable, auditable, and as we show, accurate and robust under input perturbations. Specifically, we show this separation of extraction and reasoning steps outperforms policy-as-prompt and policy-as-code methods in most cases with ~10x reduction in token usage. The results point to the value of structured reasoning and symbolic solvers in conjunction with generative models to make robust decisions involving objective criteria.

arXiv

DCM Bandits: Multiplayer Information Asymmetric Cascading Bandits for Multiple Clicks

Andy Wang, Charlton Shih, William Chang

In this work, we extend the Dependent Click Model (DCM) Bandits to a multiplayer information-asymmetric setting, where multiple agents interact with a shared ranked list and may observe multiple clicks per session, introducing new challenges for selection strategies. We study asymmetry in (1) actions and (2) rewards, providing sublinear regret guarantees for three settings where at least one asymmetry is present. Establishing matching information-theoretic lower bounds for these settings is left as an open problem. We further show that for small termination probabilities, the termination ranking need not be known, improving on prior single-agent results. Experiments confirm that our algorithms perform well across asymmetric environments and highlight the critical role of feedback structure, specifically the distinction between full versus first-click feedback, in coordinating exploration and minimizing regret.

arXiv

Forward and Inverse Virtual Metrology for Phototransistor Gain: A Hierarchical, Uncertainty-Aware Approach for Small Production Datasets

Mahshid Amirabgir, Lorenza Ferrario, Paolo Conci, Mahdieh Amirabgir, Giancarlo Orengo

The customization, optimization and stabilization of the process flow of a silicon bipolar phototransistor commits months of cleanroom time before a finished device can be measured, so a model that predicts device gain from process parameters before a run has value out of proportion to its accuracy. We study this problem on a real fabrication history, thirteen to fourteen process runs of a single device: a small-sample, hierarchically structured setting unlike the large-corpus regime of conventional virtual metrology. Decomposing the variance of device gain, we find that roughly half of it lies between process runs rather than within them, so recipe-only prediction is bounded by construction. Building on these findings we provide a forward gain predictor with a relative, uncertainty-aware signal, an inverse search that returns recipes for a target gain, and, as the foundation for all of it, a multi-level data-quality assessment tailored to the nested physical entities of fabrication (batch, wafer, die) with an explicit cross-level linkage score. The normalized dataset and analysis code are released for full reproducibility.

arXiv

Small-Scale Experiments: Are We There Yet?

Nicholas Lourie, Kyunghyun Cho, Karen Ullrich, Sanae Lotfi

Scaling laws promised cost-effective experiments; six years later, they have yet to fully deliver. Instead, researchers have found them unreliable at small scales (starting at 4M parameters) and concluded that sizable models cannot be avoided. We show this is not the case: the confounding factor is hyperparameters. Small models are highly sensitive, but hyperparameter sensitivity fades with scale. This small-scale sensitivity makes scaling laws easy to miss because they only emerge on the fully tuned frontier, and reaching that frontier requires an extensive search far beyond what most ever run. By ablating the basic scaling law recipe, we show well-tuned hyperparameters matter more than any other ingredient. Further, we reveal why those hyperparameters become easier to find: as scale increases, the hyperparameter loss surface becomes lower dimensional. Nevertheless while scaling laws exist in small models, extrapolation hits statistical limitations. A holistic approach is required. Synthesizing our insights with the recent literature, we develop a new methodology for model-centric research and demonstrate it on a question that once took the field years to settle: where to place normalization layers in the transformer architecture. From small-scale experiments, we recover the large scale result: pre-normalization works better as models grow in size. With the right tools and a better understanding, small-scale experiments can deliver on scaling laws' long-awaited promise.

arXiv

User-Assisted Collaborative Distributed Inference for Efficient QoS-Aware Autoscaling

Alfreds Lapkovskis, Ali Beikmohammadi, Sindri Magnússon, Praveen Kumar Donta

Growing demand for artificial intelligence (AI) inference services requires scalable infrastructure, yet centralized serving costs rise with demand. We propose a collaborative distributed inference system combining dedicated infrastructure with resources contributed by service users. Dedicated resources provide baseline capacity for maintaining quality of service (QoS), while volunteered resources absorb increasing demand without proportional growth in centralized infrastructure. To capture stochastic and dynamic interactions among users, resources, tasks, and policies, we develop a high-dimensional generative Markov model with structured temporal factorization. The model supports simulation and provides a foundation for task scheduling and QoS-aware resource allocation optimization. We evaluate the system across user populations, resource capacities, and centralized and distributed scheduling policies. Simulations show that distributed scheduling becomes increasingly advantageous as the user population grows, improving request completion and P99 latency while substantially reducing dedicated resource consumption. These results demonstrate the feasibility of user-assisted collaborative inference for infrastructure-efficient autoscaling.

arXiv

Air Quality Station Simulation via LSTM and Attention-Based Modelling

Alexander Kostadinov, Petar O. Hristov, Dessislava Petrova-Antonova

Poor air quality in urban areas is driven by a complex chain of processes and presents a significant public health concern. To better understand and control the mechanisms that determine air quality, cities deploy networks of measurement stations, and launch initiatives for collecting denser data about the concentration of pollutants in the atmosphere. Extracting insights from the stations relies on their reliable and uninterrupted operation. However, hardware is susceptible to faults and black- outs that may result in data unavailability, which affects the overall quality of analyses. In this paper, we present a deep-learning model, called SATADL, which can infer complex relations and output multiple-hour-ahead air-quality forecasts. The goal of the model is to simulate the mea- surements of an unresponsive station until its operation is restored. The architecture of the model, which allows it to extract information from different aspects of the data, is described in detail and a careful examination of all of its components is provided. We demonstrate the performance of SATADL on four sets of air quality stations from around the world, by using it to simulate the concentration of PM10 for periods of hypothetical failures of one of the measurement stations, lasting for as long as 48 hours. A selection of baseline and published deep learning models were trained and used as a benchmark. The results show that SATADL per- forms better across different prediction windows, for both coefficient of determination and root mean squared error, demonstrating its suitability as a virtual proxy station.

arXiv

Kernel Methods for Learning Operators with Multiple Inputs and Outputs

Adrien Weihs, Chunyang Liao, Jingmin Sun, Hayden Schaeffer

Learning mappings between infinite-dimensional objects is a central challenge in scientific machine learning. We introduce a general kernel-based encoder-decoder framework for operator learning that separates observation, representation, learning, and reconstruction. We develop this framework for multi-input, multi-output operator learning, where operators map between products of potentially distinct function spaces. Our approximation theory shows that, although the number of inputs and outputs can increase, the convergence rate is governed by the most challenging constituent approximation problem rather than the overall problem dimension. The framework leads to practical kernel methods with closed-form training and inference, combining mathematical tractability with computational efficiency. We further specialize the approach to multiple operator learning by introducing KernelMO, a family of kernel methods with complementary operator-valued and product-space formulations. Across five families of parametric partial differential equations, the proposed methods achieve competitive or state-of-the-art predictive accuracy while reducing training and inference costs relative to neural operator architectures and deep learning based models, offering an efficient and lightweight alternative.

arXiv

High-Order Liquid Evidence Encoding for Gradual GNSS Spoofing Detection in Autonomous Driving

Muhammad Ayub Sabir, Junbiao Pang, Fatima Ashraf

Accurate Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS)-based localization is essential for safe and reliable autonomous driving. However, spoofing attacks can manipulate vehicle position estimates. Continuous and subtle attacks are particularly difficult to detect because individual GNSS observations may remain plausible while the inconsistency between GNSS-implied displacement and onboard vehicle motion gradually increases. Existing methods often rely on static vehicle-behavior features or a single residual signal and do not explicitly model this evolution. To address this problem, we propose a causal high-order liquid evidence framework for GNSS spoofing detection. The method first constructs a physics-guided GNSS--motion inconsistency residual by comparing GNSS-implied displacement with onboard-motion-derived displacement. It then forms separate evidence streams for the residual level and its first- and second-order discrete variations, with relevant contextual cues selected according to the evidence order. Each stream is processed by a separate adaptive liquid encoder, and the resulting temporal states are hierarchically coupled to predict spoofing at the window endpoint using only current and past observations. Experiments on three subsets of the real-world AV-GPS dataset show that the proposed method achieves the highest F1-scores among the evaluated temporal models on Dataset~1 and Dataset~3, reaching 0.9535 and 0.9777, respectively. On Dataset~3, it detects both labeled normal-to-attack transitions within four sampling steps. Code and datasets are publicly available at: https://github.com/pangjunbiao/GNSS_Spoofing.git.

arXiv

TradingMoE: Routing the Right Experts in Evolving Markets

Chang Zhou, Xingtong Yu, Minbin Huang, ZHENNAN WU, Yuan Fang, Hong Cheng, Xinming Zhang

Large language models (LLMs) have shown strong potential for financial analysis and trading, but direct trading remains challenging because the predictive capabilities required can vary across assets, decision fields, and market conditions. Existing LLM-based trading systems either coordinate human-defined external experts or adopt conventional internal Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) routers that do not directly evaluate how individual experts contribute to trading decisions. Moreover, these routers receive no direct signal indicating when an inactive expert has become more suitable as market conditions change. We find that native router scores poorly reflect how much individual experts improve trading decisions, frequently leaving better alternatives unselected. We further reveal that token-specific expert usefulness exhibits a compact low-dimensional structure. Based on these findings, we propose TradingMoE, a trading-oriented sparse MoE that augments a frozen dense LLM with lightweight residual experts. We introduce a Query-Key router that represents the expertise required by each token under the current market context as a low-dimensional query and matches it with learnable expert keys. We further propose a sparse expert selection update mechanism that samples a few inactive experts during training and estimates whether they should replace the weakest expert in the current Top-k route. This mechanism enables the router to update expert selection as market conditions change while preserving sparse computation. Experiments against 22 baselines on stock and cryptocurrency markets show that TradingMoE improves cumulative return over the best-performing baselines by 30.89% and 30.7%, respectively. Rolling paper-trading experiments further demonstrate that its advantage persists under forward-only deployment.

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