NeurIPS 2026 Papers

Conference on Neural Information Processing Systems

Decision breakdown

6,437papers

Counted from the official paper list; may differ slightly from the number the conference announced.

  • Oral
    991.5%
  • Spotlight
    2403.7%
  • Poster
    6,09894.7%

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FlowR2A: Learning Reward-to-Action Distribution for Multimodal Driving Planning

Xirui Li, Zhe Liu, Xiaoqing Ye, Wenhua Han, Yifeng Pan, Junyu Han, Hengshuang Zhao

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Multimodal driving planning faces a long-standing tension between two paradigms: scoring-based methods benefit from dense reward supervision but are confined to a fixed action vocabulary, while anchor-based methods generate proposals dynamically yet suffer from sparse supervision constrained to a single ground-truth trajectory. In this work, we propose FlowR2A, which resolves this tension by reframing simulation-based rewards from discriminative targets into generative conditions. By learning the reward-conditioned action distribution from dense trajectory-reward pairs with a flow-matching decoder, FlowR2A unifies the dense supervision of scoring-based methods with the proposal generation of anchor-based methods in a single generative model, forcing the model to internalize the correlation between an action and its outcomes in safety, progress, comfort, and rule compliance. To balance hard safety constraints against soft progress objectives, we introduce fine-grained per-timestep reward conditioning and reward noise augmentation. The generative formulation naturally supports controllable test-time sampling via reward guidance and anchored sampling, producing high-quality proposals. FlowR2A achieves state-of-the-art results on the NAVSIM v1 and v2 benchmarks, with multimodal proposals of substantially higher quality than prior methods.

Poster
FlowLeak: Coverage-Guided Extraction of Dynamic Workflows in LLM-Based Multi-Agent Systems

Zhiyao Ren, Siyuan Liang, Yibing Zhan, Jun L Tan, Xiaobing Sun, Liangli Zhen, Baosheng Yu, Dacheng Tao

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Large language models (LLMs)-based multi-agent systems (MAS) coordinate specialized agents through prompts, tools, and communication topologies, making their hidden workflows valuable intellectual property and security-critical assets. Existing black-box MAS extraction methods implicitly assume that adversarial queries can traverse all agents, which holds for static workflows but breaks down in dynamic workflows whose execution paths depend on input semantics and intermediate states. We identify two key challenges in dynamic workflows: **branch overfitting**, where fully adversarial queries overfit to the same branch and extract only a subset of agents, and **stealthy coverage exploration**, where the adversary needs to achieve complete branch coverage with few redundant queries while not exposing the extraction task. To address these challenges, we propose *FlowLeak* that combines **Task-Preserving Payload Template**, which preserves legitimate task semantics while eliciting workflow information to mitigate branch overfitting, with **Coverage-Guided Branch Exploration**, which uses previously extracted workflow fragments to generate branch-targeted tasks and constrains workflow extraction as an auxiliary task requirement, thereby reducing exploration queries and making extraction harder to identify. Experiments on 102 MAS show that *FlowLeak* addresses both challenges and substantially improves dynamic workflow extraction (2.68$\times$ improvement). Furthermore, we show that the extracted workflow information from *FlowLeak* enhances downstream attacks, highlighting the security risks of MAS workflow extraction and our method.

Poster
FlowHOI: Flow-based Semantics-Grounded Generation of Hand-Object Interactions for Dexterous Robot Manipulation

Huajian Zeng, Lingyun Chen, Jiaqi Yang, Yuantai Zhang, Fan Shi, Peidong Liu, Xingxing Zuo

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Recent vision-language-action (VLA) models can generate plausible end-effector motions, yet they often fail in long-horizon, contact-rich tasks because the underlying hand-object interaction (HOI) structure is not explicitly represented. An embodiment-agnostic interaction representation that captures this structure would make manipulation behaviors easier to validate and transfer across robots. We propose FlowHOI, a two-stage flow-matching framework that generates semantically grounded, temporally coherent HOI sequences, comprising hand poses, object poses, and hand-object contact states, conditioned on an egocentric observation, a language instruction, and a 3D Gaussian splatting (3DGS) scene reconstruction. We decouple geometry-centric grasping from semantics-centric manipulation, conditioning the latter on compact 3D scene tokens and employing a motion-text alignment loss to semantically ground the generated interactions in both the physical scene layout and the language instruction. To address the scarcity of high-fidelity HOI supervision, we introduce a reconstruction pipeline that recovers aligned hand-object trajectories and meshes from large-scale egocentric videos, yielding an HOI prior for robust generation. Across the GRAB and HOT3D benchmarks, FlowHOI achieves the highest action recognition accuracy and a 1.7$\times$ higher physics-simulation success rate on GRAB than the strongest diffusion-based baseline, while delivering a 40$\times$ inference speedup. We further demonstrate real-robot execution across four contact-rich, dexterous manipulation tasks, highlighting the effectiveness of retargeting our generated HOI representations to robotic dexterous hands, achieving significantly higher success rates than prior methods due to improved physical plausibility and semantic alignment.

Poster
FlowBatt: Flow Matching for Probabilistic Battery Degradation Prediction

Hamidreza Eivazi, Eslam Sharaawy, Stefan Wittek, André Hebenbrock, Raphael Ginster, Steffen Blömeke

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Battery degradation remains a central challenge in the development and broad application of sustainable energy technologies. Accurate degradation prediction is challenging, as battery aging emerges from complex and heterogeneous interactions among cycling behavior, operating conditions, and cell chemistry. Existing machine-learning approaches typically focus on deterministic end-of-life predictions or modeling degradation curves within fixed chemistry settings, leaving probabilistic state-of-health (SOH) trajectory modeling across heterogeneous chemistries underexplored. We introduce FlowBatt, a use-inspired conditional generative framework that adapts flow matching with a diffusion transformer (DiT) backbone to battery degradation trajectory modeling. FlowBatt models full SOH trajectories as probabilistic degradation processes conditioned on early-cycle capacity data. To strengthen this conditioning pathway, we use explainable AI analysis to diagnose and improve the encoder that maps early-cycle capacity matrices into conditioning vectors. We evaluate FlowBatt on five public benchmark settings spanning diverse chemistries and aging conditions, comparing it with supervised and diffusion-based trajectory models as well as established baselines for remaining-useful-life (RUL) prediction under shared data splits. FlowBatt achieves the best SOH prediction performance on four of five datasets, with errors below 2.5%, and delivers competitive RUL prediction performance. By generating multiple plausible trajectories, FlowBatt provides empirical uncertainty estimates, while also revealing calibration challenges under some dataset shifts. These results indicate that flow-matching-based trajectory modeling is a promising framework for probabilistic battery health prediction.

Poster
Flow-based Spectral Kernel Learning for Nonstationary Attention

Zi Yang, Ying Li, Alejandro Lancho, Dario C. Larese, Pablo Olmos, Michael Minyi Zhang

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Kernelized attention provides a useful perspective for understanding self-attention as a similarity-based aggregation mechanism, but existing approaches often rely on fixed or stationary kernels, limiting their ability to adapt the similarity structure to complex token interactions. In this paper, we propose flow-based spectral kernel attention (FSKA), a framework for learning expressive nonstationary attention kernels. FSKA formulates kernelized attention through spectral density learning and parameterizes the resulting bivariate spectral density with normalizing flows. This design enables flexible and regularizable kernel learning while remaining compatible with scalable linear-attention computation. We further show that expressive kernel learning enables a simplified attention design with removed query--key projections and fixed orthogonal value projections, resulting in a more parameter-efficient architecture. Controlled experiments on classification, ablation, and scalability profiling show that FSKA achieves competitive or improved performance over existing attention mechanisms, while reducing projection-related trainable parameters by approximately 40\%--47\% compared with most baselines and maintaining favorable linear-attention memory scaling.

Poster
Flow-Transformed Implicit Processes for Function-Space Variational Inference

Luis A. Ortega, Andres Masegosa, Thomas Nielsen

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Implicit-process priors define distributions over functions through flexible generative mechanisms, making them attractive for Bayesian function-space modelling. However, performing posterior inference with such priors is challenging because their induced function-space distributions are typically not available in closed form. One practical strategy is to approximate the prior using a finite collection of sampled functions, and then represent posterior functions as learned combinations of these samples. Existing approaches commonly place a Gaussian variational distribution over the combination weights. While tractable, this choice limits the shapes of posterior uncertainty that can be represented, especially when the true posterior is asymmetric, heavy-tailed, or multimodal. We propose Flow-Transformed Implicit Processes (FTIP), a variational inference method that makes this finite-dimensional function-space approximation more expressive. Instead of using a Gaussian distribution over the combination weights, FTIP uses a normalizing flow to define a richer variational distribution. This induces a flexible posterior distribution over functions while preserving tractable optimization. We train the model using a Black-Box $\alpha$ objective, allowing us to compare mass-covering and mode-seeking variational behaviour. Experiments show that FTIP captures asymmetric and multimodal posterior structure in function space that Gaussian coefficient approximations tend to smooth or collapse.

Poster
Flow-Guided Target-Space Alignment via Path Consistency

Ruizhi Yuan, Zeqiu Yu, Wei Gao, Wei Chen, Xiwei Tang, Lu Tang

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Many multimodal alignment problems require mapping a source modality into a fixed space defined by a target modality, where the target space is not merely an intermediate embedding but is used directly for downstream analysis. In this setting, successful alignment should preserve both the global structure of the target distribution and the instance-level correspondence observed in paired source--target training data. Existing objectives typically address only part of this goal: contrastive losses encourage relative similarity, distribution-matching losses improve marginal agreement, and pointwise regression fits each source sample to its paired target without explicitly modeling target-space path geometry. We propose FlowAlign, a flow-guided target-space alignment method that repurposes conditional flow matching as a training-time alignment signal rather than an inference-time transport model. FlowAlign uses the learned flow field to guide the alignment of source-side representations with the fixed target space, encouraging them to preserve paired correspondence while remaining compatible with the global target-space structure. We further provide theoretical analysis showing how FlowAlign helps improve paired correspondence by controlling endpoint accuracy and capturing local target-space geometry. Experiments on a controlled synthetic task and paired single-cell multiome benchmarks show that FlowAlign improves alignment performance while preserving target-space structure for downstream analysis.

Poster
Flow-Direct: Feedback-Efficient and Reusable Guidance for Flow Models via Non-Parametric Guidance Field

Kim Yong Tan, Yueming Lyu, Ivor Tsang, Yew Soon Ong

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Training-free guidance enables pre-trained diffusion and flow models to optimize application-specific objectives using feedback from external black-box reward functions. However, existing methods are feedback-inefficient because reward feedback is used only transiently to inform a localized gradient approximation or a discrete search decision, and is subsequently discarded. To address this limitation, we propose Flow-Direct, a framework that guides the generation process via a persistent *guidance field*. Theoretically, this guidance field is analytically derived from the log-density ratio between the base and reward-weighted target distributions; it transports the pre-trained distribution to the target distribution. In practice, the field is implemented as a non-parametric estimator constructed from all accumulated reward-evaluated samples. As more samples are collected during optimization, this empirical guidance field becomes increasingly accurate. This persistent formulation yields two major advantages. First, Flow-Direct is highly *feedback-efficient*: because every evaluated sample is used to refine the global guidance field, no reward information is wasted. Second, the framework is naturally *reusable*: once optimization is complete, the collected dataset defines a reusable guidance field for generating novel target samples without additional reward evaluations, and distinct guidance fields can be combined to generate samples that simultaneously satisfy multiple objectives.

Poster
Flow-DPPO: Divergence Proximal Policy Optimization for Flow Matching Models

Bowen Ping, Xiangxin Zhou, Penghui Qi, Minnan Luo, Liefeng Bo, Tianyu Pang

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Recent work has demonstrated that online reinforcement learning (RL) can substantially improve the quality and alignment of flow matching models for image and video generation. Methods such as Flow-GRPO and CPS cast the denoising process as a Markov Decision Process and apply PPO-style ratio clipping to enforce a trust region. However, we argue that *ratio clipping is structurally ill-suited for flow models*: the probability ratio between new and old policies is a noisy, single-sample estimate of the true policy divergence, leading to over-constraining in some regions of the trajectory and under-constraining in others. We propose **Flow-DPPO** (Flow Divergence Proximal Policy Optimization), which replaces ratio clipping with a divergence proximal constraint. A key observation is that the per-step policy in flow models is Gaussian, enabling *exact* and *cheap* computation of the KL divergence between old and new policies. Flow-DPPO employs an asymmetric divergence mask that blocks gradient updates only when they simultaneously move away from the trusted region and violate the divergence threshold. Experiments show that Flow-DPPO achieves higher rewards with better KL-proximal efficiency, alleviates catastrophic forgetting, promotes balanced multi-objective optimization, and enables stable multi-epoch training where ratio clipping degrades.

Spotlight
Flow-Corrected Shape Optimization: Taming Manifold Drift in High-Dimensional 3D Models

Emilien Seiler, Nicolas Talabot, Yingxuan You, Federico Stella, Pascal Fua

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Optimizing 3D shapes within the latent spaces of deep generative models is fundamental to computer assisted engineering, yet remains prone to a critical failure mode we term *manifold drift*: the tendency of gradient-based optimization to move latent vectors away from the manifold of valid shapes. This problem is exacerbated in state-of-the-art 3D shape generative models that operate in increasingly high-dimensional latent spaces where valid shapes occupy a vanishingly small fraction of the full space. Existing mitigation strategies, including latent regularization and flow-matching approaches, either sacrifice expressiveness, demand a difficult trade-off between objective guidance and generative fidelity that remains prone to manifold drift, or are computationally infeasible to scale to modern, large-capacity 3D shape models. We introduce a novel optimizer-corrector framework that alternates between gradient steps for objective minimization and guided flow matching to drive the latent state back to the valid shape manifold. By decoupling objective minimization from flow-based correction, optimizing freely and correcting strictly, this alternating design avoids inherent trade-offs, preserving geometric validity without sacrificing expressiveness while remaining computationally feasible on modern 3D shape models. We demonstrate its effectiveness across generative priors of varying complexity, from simple vector latent spaces to large-scale architectures across a variety of downstream optimization tasks, including aerodynamic drag reduction and object compliance optimization.

Poster
Flow+Diff: Unifying Flow and Diffusion Representations for Multivariate Time Series Anomaly Detection

Van Kwan Zhi Koh, Songnan Lin, Zhiping Lin, Bihan Wen

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Many existing multivariate time series anomaly detection methods formulate anomaly detection as a reconstruction problem, where detections are derived from reconstruction errors in the time domain. While effective for large deviations, reconstruction-based scoring struggles with subtle anomalies where only a small subset of features deviates slightly. In such cases, most features are well reconstructed, causing the overall reconstruction error to remain low and indistinguishable from normal data. To address these challenges, we propose Flow+Diff, a novel framework that detects anomalies via discrepancies in a latent space, where two complementary representations, induced by distinct modeling paradigms, diverge under anomalous inputs. One representation is obtained via a normalizing flow, which provides an invertible mapping that preserves temporal dependencies and captures inter-feature dependencies. The other is produced by a diffusion model that learns the distribution of normal samples in the latent space via a stochastic denoising process. When given anomalous inputs, the normalizing flow maps the inputs to latent representations that lie in low-probability regions of the learned latent distribution, while the diffusion model generates representations aligned with normal data distributions, resulting in a pronounced discrepancy between the two. We compute the anomaly score based on this latent-space discrepancy, thereby shifting anomaly detection from the time domain to the latent space. Finally, the invertibility of the normalizing flow enables reconstruction in the time domain, facilitating interpretation of anomalous features. Extensive experiments across six benchmark datasets show that Flow+Diff achieves state-of-the-art performance on four datasets against competitive baselines.

Poster
Flow Mismatching: Unsupervised Anomaly Detection via Velocity Discrepancies in Flow Matching Models

Shengzhe Chen, Mehrdad Moradi, Kamran Paynabar, Hao Yan

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We propose Flow Mismatching, an unsupervised anomaly detection method that deliberately avoids reconstruction-based paradigms. Instead, we treat flow matching as geometric dynamics and leverage a key insight: anomalies occur at places where the learned normal flow disagrees with the geometric path toward a test image. Given a flow matching model trained only on normal images, we probe its learned velocity field along affine paths from Gaussian noise to a target image. Along each path, we compare the model-predicted velocity, which follows normal generative dynamics, with the geometric velocity toward the target, which includes any anomalous content. Anomalies induce strong local disagreement between these velocities. Aggregating the mismatch over different time steps and multiple paths yields pixel-wise heatmaps and image-level scores without test-time optimization, feature memories, or additional calibration. Our analysis shows that the population mismatch decomposes into an irreducible denoising term and a Fisher-divergence term between the test-path and normal-path score functions, which identifies the score-gap component that drives anomaly separation and explains the effectiveness of robust path aggregation. Extensive experiments on MVTec-AD and VisA demonstrate superior performance compared with SOTA reconstruction-based and recent flow matching-based approaches.

Poster
Flow Matching with In-Context Priors for Out-of-Distribution Brain Dynamics

Sam Gijsen, Michał Łukomski, Marc-Andre Schulz, Kerstin Ritter

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Conditional flow matching produces realistic out-of-distribution samples across modalities from images to proteins, yet the conditioning signals that enable extrapolation remain poorly understood for biological time series. While considerable work has focused on areas of biology such as proteins and molecules, generative models of neural time series have been largely restricted to categorical conditioning, which precludes compositional and zero-shot generalization. In this work, we propose a per-timestep conditioned diffusion transformer for generating realistic fMRI brain dynamics during unseen cognitive tasks, by injecting both compositional language and optional spatial priors in-context. Such zero-shot generation would support in-silico task design and counterfactual evaluation of novel cognitive experiments before costly scanner acquisition. Leveraging this model, we evaluate across hundreds of held-out task conditions and characterize predictive performance in relation to the training manifold. From language alone, the model recovers region-specific recruitment across tasks and held-out spatial activation patterns. Spatial priors, when available, complement the text pathway by anchoring generation in regions of task space where language alone degrades, while retaining the compositional structure needed for counterfactual task specification. To our knowledge this is the first generative model of whole-cortex fMRI dynamics for unseen cognitive tasks, enabling counterfactual neuroscience and data-driven experimental design.

Poster
Flow Matching from Viewpoint of Proximal Operators

Kenji Fukumizu, Wei Huang, Han Bao, Shuntuo Xu, Nisha Chandramoorthy

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We reformulate Optimal Transport Conditional Flow Matching (OT-CFM), showing that it admits an exact proximal form via an extended Brenier potential, without assuming that the target distribution has a density. In particular, the mapping to recover the target point is expressed by a proximal operator, which yields an explicit proximal expression of the vector field. We also discuss the convergence of minibatch OT-CFM to the population OT formulation as the sample and batch sizes increase. Using second epi-derivatives of convex potentials, we prove that, for manifold-supported targets, the manifold structure is stable by perturbation to the dynamics: after time rescaling, the dynamics contracts exponentially in directions normal to the manifold while remaining neutral along tangential directions.

Poster
Flow Matching for Offline Reinforcement Learning with Discrete Actions

Fairoz Nower Khan, Nabuat Zaman Nahim, Ruiquan Huang, Haibo Yang, Peizhong Ju

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Generative policies based on diffusion models and flow matching have shown strong promise for offline reinforcement learning (RL), but their applicability remains largely confined to continuous action spaces. To address a broader range of offline RL settings, we extend flow matching to a general framework that supports discrete action spaces with multiple objectives. Specifically, we replace continuous flows with continuous-time Markov chains, trained using a Q-weighted flow matching objective. We then extend our design to multi-agent settings, mitigating the exponential growth of joint action spaces via a factorized conditional path. We theoretically show that, under idealized conditions, optimizing this objective recovers the optimal policy. Extensive experiments further demonstrate that our method performs robustly across diverse settings and benchmarks, including high-dimensional control, multi-agent games, and dynamically changing preferences over multiple objectives, while outperforming traditional offline RL methods in practical multi-modal decision-making scenarios. Our discrete framework can also be applied to continuous-control problems through action quantization, providing a flexible trade-off between representational complexity and performance.

Poster
Flow Matching Reinforcement Learning via SDE Inference

Maojiang Su, Tsung-En Lin, Jerry Yao-Chieh Hu, Guo Ye, Haoran Lu, Shang Wu, Zhaoran Wang, Han Liu

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We develop a unified framework for flow-based reinforcement learning (RL) grounded in diffusion–flow duality and establish its theoretical foundations. The frameworks enables RL for deterministic flow matching inference by introducing diffusion stochastic inference dynamics that supports exploration while admitting deterministic deployment. We show that our frameworks subsumes several existing flow-based RL methods as special cases and inspire effective now methods. Then we provide theoretical foundations for the frameworks by establishing the correctness and performance transfer guarantee. Specifically, we prove that the policies optimized under stochastic dynamics close to deterministic dynamics at deployment when the pretrained model is well-trained. Moreover, we show that the policy improvement achieved under training-time SDE inference transfers to deployment-time ODE inference. Finally, we conduct experiments to validate our theoretical results.

Spotlight
Flow Matching Policy Optimization with Mirror Descent and Entropy Constraints

Ting Gao, Stavros Orfanoudakis, Nan Lin, Winnie Daamen, Serge Hoogendoorn, Elvin Isufi

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Balancing policy expressiveness with the exploration-exploitation trade-off is a core challenge in online Reinforcement Learning (RL). While Stochastic Differential Equation (SDE)-based diffusion policies can represent complex, multimodal action distributions, they suffer from two critical limitations: their stochastic reverse processes render entropy intractable (necessitating heuristic exploration), and computing policy gradients through long denoising chains is expensive and unstable. In this work, we show that ODE-based flow matching inherently resolves these issues by enabling both simulation-free policy optimization and tractable entropy computation. Building on this, we introduce Flow Matching Policy Optimization with Mirror Descent and Entropy Constraints (FMER). Our framework exploits this insight in three ways. First, we theoretically establish that minimizing an advantage-weighted conditional flow matching loss acts as a simulation-free surrogate for policy mirror descent. This steers the velocity field toward high-value regions while entirely avoiding backpropagation through the ODE solver. Second, we derive an analytic entropy objective that corrects for the density distortion caused by the $\tanh$ transformation (mapping an unbounded latent space to bounded actions), thereby facilitating principled maximum-entropy optimization. Finally, we dynamically tune the mirror descent temperature based on the effective sample size to enforce a robust trust region during training. Empirical evaluations demonstrate that FMER achieves superior performance on the challenging sparse-reward FrankaKitchen environment, while maintaining competitive results across standard dense-reward MuJoCo benchmarks. Code is available at \url{https://anonymous.4open.science/r/submission-25E2/}.

Poster
Flow Map Denoisers: Traversing the Distortion-Perception Plane for Inverse Problems

Nicolas Zilberstein, Morteza Mardani, Santiago Segarra

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Image restoration faces a fundamental tradeoff: methods that minimize error produce blurry reconstructions, while those that maximize perceptual quality yield sharp but less faithful images. Existing approaches either commit to a single operating point on this distortion–perception (DP) frontier or require retraining, auxiliary models, or changes in discretization to access different points. We show that flow map models, a recent extension of flow matching for few-step sampling that learns an average field, implicitly define a one-parameter family of denoisers that continuously spans the DP frontier. The parameter, the lookahead $t$, acts as a knob: varying it traces a smooth path from the MMSE estimator to a perceptually aligned one. For Gaussian targets, we prove that this path recovers the optimal DP frontier exactly; for natural images, we demonstrate empirically that it closely follows the same behavior. Embedded within a Plug-and-Play solver, a single trained flow map matches or exceeds specialized baselines at both ends of the DP spectrum and uniquely traces a continuous curve in between without retraining, paired data, or auxiliary networks. Extensive experiments on CelebA ($128\times 128$) and AFHQ ($256\times 256$) across several linear and nonlinear inverse tasks validate our findings.

Poster
FloatDoor: Platform triggered Backdoors in LLMs

Nils Loose, Jonas Sander, Felix Mächtle, Thomas Eisenbarth

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Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly deployed in sensitive settings such as software engineering, where their outputs directly shape downstream artifacts. Recent work has shown that an identical model can produce measurably different outputs depending on the deployment platform, a consequence of non-associative floating-point arithmetic and divergent kernel implementations. We study the security implications of this platform-dependent variability and uncover a novel attack surface on LLM deployments. We introduce FloatDoor, the first input-independent, platform-triggered backdoor attack against generative LLMs. The compromised model exhibits adversary-chosen behavior when served on a target platform and is otherwise benign. FloatDoor is realized through two lightweight LoRA adapters, one that amplifies inter-platform numerical divergence and one that binds the resulting platform signature to a malicious downstream task, while leaving aggregate model utility largely intact. FloatDoor exploits a pronounced time-of-check, time-of-use gap between model auditing and serving. We demonstrate FloatDoor on Qwen3-4B across a broad range of deployment targets, including NVIDIA GPUs, Google TPUs, AWS Graviton, and Alibaba Yitian-710. As a final case study, we show that FloatDoor reliably induces exploitable code vulnerabilities on a chosen target platform. Our results establish a new class of attacks on LLM deployments and underscore the pressing need for trusted model supply chains in sensitive, LLM-powered applications.

Poster
Flexible Intensities Matter: A comprehensive re-evaluation of Classical and Neural Temporal Point Processes

Hendrik Alexander Mehrtens, Florian Buettner, Oliver Stegle

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Temporal point processes (TPPs) are the canonical framework for event sequence data, with applications spanning seismology, social media, and electronic health records. Recent neural extensions have been reported to substantially outperform classical baselines such as Hawkes processes, but a systematic comparison across model families and intensity parameterizations is lacking, and large-scale medical benchmarks — arguably one of the most promising application domains — have not been considered. Here, we revisit this comparison through a systematic benchmark of neural and non-neural TPPs on existing datasets and on two large-scale medical benchmarks derived from UK Biobank disease histories and MIMIC-IV ICU records. First, our results show that the previously reported gap between Hawkes processes and neural TPPs largely disappears once Hawkes processes are equipped with flexible and learnable kernels. Second, we find that the flexibility of the intensity parameterization also limits prior neural TPPs: a transformer with a spline-based intensity head outperforms prior neural TPP implementations. Third, our benchmark underscores the value of complex datasets when assessing the performance of TPPs. In fact, exclusively on the MIMIC-IV ICU records did we find clear evidence for structures — time-varying or higher-order interactions — beyond what pairwise flexible Hawkes process kernels can capture. Our results guide both future method development and practitioners’ model choice. Our TPP framework is released as an open-source package, providing consistent and feature rich implementations of classical and neural TPPs.

Poster