NeurIPS 2026 Papers

Conference on Neural Information Processing Systems

Decision breakdown

6,437papers

Counted from the official paper list; may differ slightly from the number the conference announced.

  • Oral
    991.5%
  • Spotlight
    2403.7%
  • Poster
    6,09894.7%

Browse all papers

Impossibility of Distribution-Free Predictive Inference for Individual Treatment Effects

Chongguang Tao, Zheng Zhou, Yuhong Yang

Expand abstract

Uncertainty quantification for individual treatment effects (ITEs) is a daunting challenge in causal inference. Motivated by recent advances in conformal prediction, several works aim to construct distribution-free prediction sets for ITEs with desired coverage under standard assumptions such as strong ignorability and overlap. In this paper, we show that such goals are fundamentally unattainable in the presence of continuous covariates. Specifically, we establish finite-sample and asymptotic impossibility results demonstrating that any distribution-free prediction set achieving desired coverage for ITEs must be trivial, in the sense that it has infinite expected length. Our analysis relies on a connection between ITE inference and the hardness of conditional independence testing, and highlights the intrinsic limitations imposed by the missing data nature of causal inference. These results provide a new perspective on existing methods, clarifying that their apparent success necessarily relies on additional structural assumptions beyond standard causal assumptions.

Oral
Implicit-Euler Value Iteration: Long-Horizon Planning via Stable Integration of the Bellman Residual Flow

Nimrod De La Vega, Amir-Massoud Farahmand

Expand abstract

Value iteration (VI) is the unit-step explicit-Euler discretization of a continuous-time *Bellman residual flow* $\dot V=\operatorname{BR}(V)$, and its standard linear dependence on the effective horizon $1/(1-\gamma)$ can be viewed as reflecting the step-size restriction that explicit integration imposes on stiff dynamics. We propose *Implicit-Euler Value Iteration* (IE-VI): a planning routine equivalent to the implicit-Euler discretization of the same flow, in which each step is unconditionally stable and contracts at rate $1/(1+h(1-\gamma))$ for every step size $h>0$. The implicit step requires solving an equation in the true Bellman operator, which we realize at finite cost by *iterative defect correction*: a short sequence of cheap planning rounds in an approximate model $\hat{\mathcal{P}} \approx \mathcal{P}$ (a simulator or a learned dynamics model), with the true model queried once per round to refresh a residual correction term. For Policy Evaluation and Control, IE-VI converges to the value function of $\mathcal{P}$ for any $\hat{\mathcal{P}}$, however inaccurate---in contrast to model-based planners, which generally converge to a biased fixed point. When the model error shrinks at a sublinear-in-horizon rate, IE-VI attains polylogarithmic iteration complexity in $1/(1-\gamma)$, an exponential improvement over VI; outside this regime its complexity stays within a logarithmic factor of VI. We also give an adaptive variant A-IE-VI, which removes the need to know the model-error scale, and a Dyna-style sample-based variant IE-Dyna for tabular RL.

Poster
Implicit Value Probing: Inferring Human Value Preferences via Strategic Multi-Turn Conversations

Tan Wenxin, Pring Wong, Shuo Chen

Expand abstract

Recognizing human value preferences is crucial for building reliable AI agents in user-centric fields like psychological counseling and strategic negotiation. Existing benchmarks rely on explicit questionnaires, assuming (1) users are always cooperative and willing to self-report; (2) value preferences remain static. However, humans may conceal true preferences if they feel probed, and may adopt distinct value preferences depending on the context. Consequently, explicit queries are insufficient for predicting value preferences reliably. To address this, we introduce Implicit Value Probing (IVP), a benchmark simulating realistic scenarios where agents implicitly infer value preferences through strategic, multi-turn conversations. IVP grounds these interactions using a diverse set of Persona Agents, covering a wide spectrum of personalities and values. We evaluate mainstream LLMs on IVP, including Qwen3, DeepSeek, Doubao, and GPT-5, observing substantial performance gaps. We further develop Value-Prober-8B, a specialized model internalizing structured cognitive reasoning via distillation. It employs strategic questioning to elicit concealed value preferences. Experimental results demonstrate that Value-Prober-8B can effectively balance probing accuracy with social acceptability, achieving capabilities comparable to frontier models.

Poster
Implicit Neural Representations for Variational Problems on Graphons

Taeyoung Kim, Jineon Baek, Joonkyung Lee, Hongseok Yang

Expand abstract

We propose a neural exploratory framework for *variational problems over graphons*, i.e., symmetric measurable functions $[0,1]^2 \to [0,1]$, that arise as limits of dense graph sequences. Such problems are central to two parts of the mathematical literature: extremal graph theory, which studies graph parameter optimisation under given restrictions, often for those graphs with a large number of vertices, and the large deviation theory of dense random graphs, which characterises the structure of rare events through constrained graphon optimisation. We represent graphons by implicit neural networks and optimise graphon objectives by gradient descent. Our design combines three ingredients: a multi-scale sinusoidal residual architecture biased toward sharp, step-like graphons; an embedded solver that enforces a single empirical density constraint and is differentiated by implicit differentiation; and symmetry-aware Monte Carlo estimators. On generalised Turán problems that previously required substantial human effort, our framework rediscovers known optimal graphons without human intervention. Applied to open instances, it produces candidate optima, including a previously unreported family of extremal structures. Applied to the variational problems from the large deviation theory of Erdős–Rényi random graphs, the framework produces new candidate optimal graphons across both upper- and lower-tail regimes for multiple pattern graphs; for the case of the triangle graph and the upper-tail regime, these candidates improve upon the best-known reference construction of Lubetzky and Zhao.

Poster
Imperfect World Models are Exploitable

Logan M Bhamidipaty, Esmeralda S. Whitammer, David Abel, Mykel J Kochenderfer, Subramanian Ramamoorthy

Expand abstract

We propose a novel definition of model exploitation in reinforcement learning. Informally, a world model is exploitable if it implies that one policy should be strictly preferred over another while the environment’s true transition model implies the reverse. We analogize our definition with a prior characterization of reward hacking but show that the associated proof of inevitability does not transfer to exploitation. To overcome this obstruction, we develop a general theory of reward hacking and model exploitation that proves that exploitation is essentially unavoidable on large policy sets and yields the corresponding claim for hacking as a special case. Unfortunately, we also find that the conditions that guarantee unhackability in finite policy sets have no counterparts that preclude exploitation. Consequently, we introduce a relaxed notion of exploitation and derive a safe horizon within which it can be avoided. Taken together, our results establish a formal bridge between reward hacking and model exploitation and elucidate the limits of safe planning in world models.

Poster
Imperfect Influence, Reliable Rankings: A Theory of TRAK for Data Attribution

Han Tong, Shubhangi Ghosh, Haolin Zou, Arian Maleki

Expand abstract

Data attribution, which traces a model’s prediction back to specific training data, is an important tool for interpreting sophisticated AI models. The widely used TRAK algorithm addresses this challenge by first approximating the underlying model with a kernel machine and then leveraging techniques developed for approximating the leave-one-out (ALO) risk. Despite its strong empirical performance, the theoretical conditions under which TRAK approximations are accurate, as well as the regimes in which they break down, remain largely unexplored. In this paper, we provide a theoretical analysis of the TRAK algorithm, characterizing its performance and quantifying the errors introduced by the approximations on which the method relies. We show that although the approximations can incur significant errors, TRAK preserves the separation between highly influential and weakly influential data points. We corroborate our theoretical results through extensive simulations and empirical studies.

Poster
ImmuVis: Hyperconvolutional Foundation Models for Imaging Mass Cytometry

Dawid Uchal, Marcin Mozejko, Krzysztof Gogolewski, Piotr Kupidura, Fabian Ozga, Szymon Łukasik, Jakub Giezgała, Tomasz Nocoń, Kacper Pietrzyk, Robert Pieniuta, Mateusz Sulimowicz, Michał Zmysłowski, Michał Orzyłowski, Tomasz Siłkowski, Karol Zagródka, Eike Staub, Ewa Szczurek

Expand abstract

We present ImmuVis, a family of efficient foundation models for imaging mass cytometry (IMC), a high-throughput multiplex imaging technology that handles molecular marker measurements as image channels and enables large-scale spatial tissue profiling. Unlike natural images, multiplex imaging lacks a fixed channel space, as real-world marker sets vary across studies, violating a core assumption of standard vision backbones. To address this, ImmuVis introduces marker-adaptive hyperconvolutions that generate convolutional kernels from learned marker embeddings, enabling a single model to operate on arbitrary measured marker subsets without retraining. We pretrain ImmuVis on the largest IMC dataset to date, IMC17M (28 cohorts, 24,405 images, 265 markers, over 17M patches), using self-supervised masked reconstruction. ImmuVis outperforms state-of-the-art baselines and ablations in virtual staining and downstream classification tasks at substantially lower compute cost than transformer-based alternatives, and is the sole model that provides calibrated uncertainty via a heteroscedastic likelihood objective. These results position ImmuVis as a practical framework for real-world IMC modeling.

Poster
Imitation Dominates Reinforcement: Direct In-Context RL Is Closer to ICL Than RL

Minchan Kwon, Seunghee Koh, Sunghyun Baek, Minsung Bae, Junmo Kim

Expand abstract

In-context reinforcement learning (ICRL) is often described as inference-time RL in which an LLM improves by accumulating trajectory-reward pairs in its context, with the reward acting as a learning signal. This framing poses a central question: is ICRL genuine inference-time RL, or better understood as a form of in-context learning (ICL)? We investigate this in the context of direct ICRL, where the model directly uses trajectory-reward pairs. Through controlled experiments on three benchmarks across six models, we find that the reward is read, but its effect is small; randomizing or removing the reward leaves the improvement curve almost unchanged. Trajectories drive improvement, but not through their semantic content: shuffled or corrupted trajectories work as well as real ones. These patterns closely mirror those known in ICL, suggesting that direct ICRL is better understood as a special case of ICL than as inference-time RL. This reframing has implications for ICRL memory design: ICL factors such as input distribution and demonstrations may matter more than RL elements such as reward shaping and exploration.

Spotlight
Imagine3D-LLM: Teaching MLLMs to Imagine 3D Scenes Before Answering

Jaewoo Jung, Hyeonseo Yu, Honggyu An, Jisang Han, Mungyeom Kim, Minkyeong Jeon, Heeseong Shin, WonJun Moon, Federico Tombari, Daniel Barath, Marc Pollefeys, Seungryong Kim, Sunghwan Hong

Expand abstract

Reasoning about the 3D world from multi-view images remains a fundamental challenge for Multimodal Large Language Models (MLLMs). While modern MLLMs handle single-image inputs effectively, they struggle to integrate evidence across viewpoints into a coherent 3D understanding. A growing body of work attempts to close this gap by injecting 3D awareness into MLLMs, either by boosting fine-grained pixel-level cross-view correspondence or by fusing features from 3D geometry foundation models, yet a substantial gap to human reasoning persists. In this work, we revisit human spatial reasoning, which suggests that rather than relying on fine-grained geometry cues, humans roughly identify common objects across views, infer the relative geometry between viewpoints, and assemble a coarse 3D layout of the scene. Inspired by this process, we introduce Imagine3D-LLM, an MLLM that learns to assemble a similar compact 3D representation of the scene and conditions its answer on this representation. Concretely, we append a small set of learnable summary tokens after the image tokens, decode them into a compact 3D Gaussian Splatting representation supervised by a photometric reconstruction loss, and train jointly with the standard next-token prediction objective. Notably, although only the summary tokens receive direct reconstruction supervision, this objective also induces stronger cross-frame correspondence within the LLM's underlying image features, suggesting that learning to reconstruct propagates 3D-aware signals throughout the model. As a result, Imagine3D-LLM consistently outperforms prior approaches across multiple spatial reasoning and 3D understanding benchmarks, suggesting that imagining the scene can be more effective than being told its pixel-wise geometry. Our code and weights will be publicly released.

Poster
Imagine, Don't Narrate: The Generative Bottleneck in World Models of Interaction Dynamics

Daniel Platnick, Marjan Alirezaie, Hossein Rahnama

Expand abstract

Modern AI agents can plan, reflect, reason, and act over long-horizon digital tasks. Even so, they cannot plan to steer a social interaction in real time. Doing so requires anticipating how latent factors like trust and resistance will evolve under the agent's actions, fast enough to plan within a conversational turn. Generative world models approach this by narrating possible futures, but autoregressive text generation is both too slow for real-time planning and fundamentally lossy. Representation-predictive methods can be superior, but are underexplored for interaction. We build LID-Bench, the first controlled testbed with oracle latent states for interaction dynamics, enabling systematic comparison of generative and representation-predictive world models against known dynamics. A bottleneck decomposition on three generative models spanning 117M--350M parameters reveals that all learn interaction dynamics internally, with text-rendering signal losses of 89--100\% observed by horizon $k{=}5$. Our representation-predictive model (Social-JEPA, 125M params, 500K trainable) bypasses text entirely, forecasting latent dynamics $2.8$--$3.9\times$ more accurately while performing rollouts $1{,}059$--$2{,}314\times$ faster---making real-time planning within conversational turn-taking latencies feasible.

Poster
Imagine Before You Draw: Visual Prompt Engineering for Image Generation

Liyu Jia, Fengda Zhang, Jiachun Pan, Kesen Zhao, Saining Zhang, Wang Lin, Weijia Wu, Yue Liao, Aojun Zhou, Hanwang Zhang

Expand abstract

Incorporating visual semantic representations as an intermediate step before image generation can reduce the modeling difficulty between text and images, thereby improving generation quality. Recent works such as X-Omni and BLIP3o-Next have explored this direction, but they typically use a two-stage external pipeline: a separate autoregressive model first generates semantic tokens, which are then fed as conditioning to an independent diffusion decoder. Since the decoder cannot jointly access the original input and the semantic plan, this design introduces an information bottleneck that limits detail preservation in downstream tasks such as editing. Internal architectures such as Transfusion, BAGEL, and Show-o2 avoid this bottleneck by enabling cross-modal interaction within a single model, but they still face the difficult text-to-pixel modeling gap without intermediate semantic guidance. We propose Visual Prompt Engineering (VPE), which can be seamlessly integrated into such internal frameworks. Specifically, the model first autoregressively generates visual semantic tokens ($e.g.$, SigLIP 2) as "visual prompts" that capture the semantic layout, then generates the full image tokens conditioned on this plan. We validate VPE across class-conditional generation, text-to-image generation, and image editing, covering various token types and model architectures. Results show that VPE can accelerate convergence, raise quality ceilings, and through internal integration, achieve substantially better editing preservation (PSNR: $26.76$ vs. $19.92$) than external alternatives of the same parameter scale, while maintaining competitive editing responsiveness. The code is available in supplementary material.

Poster
ImageNet FID is a Pass Check, Not a Finish Line

Qinyu Zhao, Guangting Zheng, Caixia Zhou

Expand abstract

ImageNet class-conditional generation is a standard first test for new image generation methods. Progress on ImageNet is usually measured with one number: Fréchet Inception Distance (FID), computed by comparing 50K class-balanced generated samples with the ImageNet training set in the Inception-v3 feature space. The FID number was useful when the generation quality was low and the gap between methods was large. However, many recent methods already reach remarkable and close FID numbers, and we argue that the field should stop treating FID as decisive evidence of generation quality. To support this view, we re-evaluate 47 recent ImageNet class-conditional generators while keeping the generated samples fixed and changing only the evaluation protocol. We test multiple variants of FID, including different real reference sets, sample sizes, and feature extractors such as Inception-v3, CLIP, DINOv2, and VGG16. The same generated samples can receive different scores, resulting in varying rankings. Our observation means that a single FID protocol has a risk of being over-optimized and over-interpreted. We do not argue that FID should be removed. Instead, we recomend: keep the conventional ImageNet FID for continuity, but also report the results of some FID varaints to avoid overfitting to one evaluation recipe. If a method reaches comparable and stable ImageNet FID, authors should not be expected to keep chasing the best FID, and the paper should be evaluated based on their technical contributions. After passing the FID test, future work such as text-to-image training and human preference study, is important for the futher development of a generation method.

Poster
Illusory Pattern Perception Drives Spurious Inference in Large Language Models

Peihua Mai, Zhuoyan Shao, Xinbao Qiao, Meng Zhang, Xinyue Zhou, Yan Pang

Expand abstract

Illusory pattern perception is a well-documented human cognitive tendency to infer meaningful relationships in data that is actually random. Such a tendency, often described as “connecting the dots” where none exist, can result in systematic reasoning errors. This paper investigates whether Large Language Models (LLMs) exhibit such perceptual tendencies, which can lead to systematic errors in downstream applications. To our knowledge, this work presents the first systematic study of illusory pattern perception in LLMs, adapting classic psychological paradigms to three tasks with direct empirical comparison to human behaviors. We find that LLMs frequently exhibit stronger illusory pattern perception than humans. In particular, models tend to over-associate frequent positive attributes with majority groups or large organizations, and show increased tendencies to construct causal narratives from ambiguous events. To uncover the mechanism behind these behaviors, we develop a feature interpretability framework based on Sparse Autoencoders (SAEs) to analyze internal representations. Our results reveal that holistic frequency perception and analytic cognitive orientation are linked to the emergence of illusory perceptions. These findings highlight a previously underexplored cognitive-like illusion that may affect the reliability of LLM reasoning. Code available at [Anonymous Github](https://anonymous.4open.science/r/illusory-8E27/).

Poster
Identifying Structural Biases from Causal Mechanism Shifts

Praharsh Nanavati, Jilles Vreeken, David Kaltenpoth

Expand abstract

Causal discovery methods commonly assume that all data is independently and identically distributed (i.i.d.) and that there are no unmeasured variables affecting the system. In practice, these assumptions are often violated, leading to inaccurate inference. In this paper, we study how to identify hidden confounding and selection biases from causal mechanism shifts. In particular, we show that structural biases lead to dependent mechanism shifts. That is, by considering for which variables the mechanisms change given data from different environments, we can tell which variables are unbiased, which are subject to hidden confounding, and which are undergoing selection bias. We formalize this into an empirically testable criterion based on mutual information, and show under which conditions it identifies structural biases. To tell which nodes are subject to what kind of bias, we introduce the StruBI algorithm. Experiments on synthetic and real-world data show that StruBI works well in practice, accurately recovering affected variable sets and types of biases, outperforming the state-of-the-art by a wide margin.

Poster
Identified-Set Geometry of Distributional Model Extraction under Top-K Censored API Access

Wenhua Nie, ZiCheng Zhu, Jianan Wu, Binhan Luo, Haoran Zheng, Jyh-Shing R Jang

Expand abstract

Modern LLM APIs often reveal only top-$K$ logit scores and censor the remaining vocabulary. We study the per-position distribution-recovery limits of this access model. For censoring threshold $\tau$, the compatible teacher distributions form an identified set whose total-variation diameter is exactly $U_K=(V{-}K)\exp(\tau)/(Z_A+(V{-}K)\exp(\tau)),$ where $Z_A$ is the observed partition function. For KL recovery, we give a computable binary-endpoint lower bound and an asymptotically matching small-ambiguity upper bound, with an extension to reference-aware attackers. Experiments on a Qwen3 math-reasoning teacher reveal a layered extraction hierarchy: on-task top-$K$ distillation recovers 12% of private capability, full-logit distillation recovers 56% despite 99% KL closure, and generation-based extraction recovers 96%. Top-$K$ censoring therefore limits per-position distribution recovery but does not by itself prevent capability extraction, separating fidelity from transfer in prompt-only logit distillation.

Poster
Identification and Bounding of Joint Expectation over Potential Outcomes

Yuta Kawakami, Jin Tian

Expand abstract

The joint expectation of functions of potential outcomes $(Y_1,Y_0)$ is a fundamental quantity in causal inference, particularly when investigating the variation or heterogeneity of causal effects. This paper provides novel assumptions for their identification: comonotonicity and countercomonotonicity. These assumptions offer a unified framework for their identification across discrete, continuous, and mixed outcome variables. In the absence of these assumptions, we derive sharp bounds for two broad classes of functions, yielding new results for bounding moments of individual causal effects, which are central to measuring effect heterogeneity. We present corresponding estimation methods and illustrate them in simulation studies and real-world datasets.

Poster
Identifiable Feedback-Controlled Latent Flow for Unpaired Single-cell Spatio-Temporal Dynamics

Jianle Sun, Kun Zhang

Expand abstract

Reconstructing the gene regulatory dynamics underlying tissue development from unpaired, cross-sectional spatial transcriptomic snapshots poses a significant challenge in single-cell biology. While recent optimal transport and flow-based methods have advanced trajectory interpolation, their unconstrained latent dynamics lack identifiability, hindering reliable discovery of the underlying regulatory mechanisms. To address this, we propose single-cell Identifiable Feedback-controlled Latent Flow (scIFLF), a generative framework that introduces a physics-inspired structural prior that decomposes the latent flow into a macroscopic developmental drift and a restorative feedback toward functional attractors. Crucially, the gene-regulatory Jacobian is shown to be uniquely identifiable, invariant to the latent ambiguity, enabling principled discovery of gene regulations directly from the learned flow. Implemented with a multimodal Neural ODE, scIFLF aligns latent trajectories using entropy-regularized optimal transport. Benchmark experiments demonstrate that scIFLF outperforms state-of-the-art methods in trajectory interpolation and spatial coherence, while successfully recovering key driver genes of tissue development and organogenesis, bridging the gap between deep generative flexibility and biological interpretability.

Poster
Idempotency Exposes Consistency Problems in Sparse Autoencoders

Lennart Stöpler, Nikolai Bolik, Artur Andrzejak

Expand abstract

The Linear Representation Hypothesis (LRH) posits that Transformer activations decompose into sparse linear combinations of interpretable directions, with Sparse Autoencoders (SAEs) serving as the predominant method for recovering such decompositions. We propose that idempotency -- the requirement that re-encoding an SAE's output reproduces the same latent representation -- is a desirable property for any faithful dictionary learning method, and demonstrate empirically that most SAEs deviate very far from this ideal. We identify two underlying failure modes: exploding representation norms and unstable active feature sets. Further analysis reveals that even individual SAE latents cannot be reliably reconstructed under re-encoding, and that SAE outputs exhibit significant sensitivity to input scaling. We show that idempotency can be improved via an auxiliary loss term and demonstrate its potential to improve SAE interpretability.

Poster
IdealCache: Rethinking Cache Scheduling in Diffusion Transformers via Ideal Trajectories

shang xue, Li Zhu, Ping Chen

Expand abstract

Feature caching accelerates Diffusion Transformers by reusing intermediate computations across denoising timesteps, yet existing methods share a fundamental blind spot: they treat the standard reference denoising trajectory as the optimisation target, approximating its per-step states and thus inheriting its output as an implicit quality ceiling. We argue that this target is arbitrary --- what truly matters is the ideal result, not the intermediate path taken to reach it. We propose IdealCache, a training-free framework that abandons step-wise imitation of the reference trajectory. Instead, it anchors caching on a per-input ensemble of ideal trajectories constructed from candidate target results, aggregates their geometry into a single graph, and discovers optimal non-uniform schedules via a constrained shortest path on this graph. By decoupling from the reference process, IdealCache breaks the performance bottleneck of trajectory-approximation; our schedules can attain near-lossless fidelity in generation and even surpass on task-specific metrics (e.g., maintaining higher semantic consistency in image editing). Without retraining, IdealCache achieves $6.35\times$ speedup on Qwen-Image, $5.84\times$ on Qwen-Image-Edit, and $4.32\times$ on HunyuanVideo, with competitive or superior quality across tasks.

Poster
ITO: Multi-View Alignment and Training-Time Fusion for Image-Text Pretraining

Hanpeng Liu, Yaqian Li, Zidan Wang, Shuoxi Zhang, Zonglin Zhao, Zi-Hao Bo, Rinyoichi Takezoe, Kaiwen Long, Kun He

Expand abstract

Image--text contrastive pretraining has become a dominant paradigm for visual representation learning, yet existing methods often yield representations that remain partially organized by modality rather than by semantics. We propose \textbf{ITO}, a framework addressing this limitation through two complementary mechanisms with distinct roles. \emph{Multimodal multiple alignment} enriches supervision by constructing diverse cross-modal correspondences from multi-view image augmentations, providing the primary source of discriminative gain. A lightweight \emph{training-time multimodal fusion} module then acts as a geometric regularizer, encouraging the encoders to produce features that are compatible under fusion and thereby reducing modality-induced separation. Crucially, the fusion module is discarded at inference, preserving the efficiency of standard dual-encoder architectures while incurring training-time overhead only. Extensive experiments across pretraining scales from millions to billions of image--text pairs show that ITO consistently outperforms strong baselines on classification, retrieval, and multimodal benchmarks. Our analysis further reveals that beyond accuracy gains, training-time fusion plays a stabilizing role in optimization, mitigating the late-stage overfitting commonly observed in aggressive contrastive learning.

Poster