ICML 2026 Papers

International Conference on Machine Learning

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6,341papers

Counted from the official paper list; may differ slightly from the number the conference announced.

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Topic: Reasoning Models · 582 papers · Reset filters

Mitigating Label Shift in Tabular In-Context Learning via Test-Time Posterior Adjustment

Seunghan Lee

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TabPFN has recently gained attention as a foundation model for tabular datasets, achieving strong performance by leveraging in-context learning on synthetic data. However, we find that TabPFN is vulnerable to label shift, often overfitting to the majority class in the training dataset. To address this limitation, we propose DistPFN, the first test-time posterior adjustment method designed for tabular foundation models. DistPFN rescales predicted class probabilities by downweighting the influence of the training prior (i.e., the class distribution of the context) and emphasizing the contribution of the model’s predicted posterior, without architectural modification or additional training. We further introduce DistPFN-T, which incorporates temperature scaling to adaptively control the adjustment strength based on the discrepancy between prior and posterior. We evaluate our methods on over 250 OpenML datasets, demonstrating substantial improvements for various TabPFN-based models in classification tasks under label shift, while maintaining strong performance in standard settings without label shift. Code is available at this repository: https://github.com/seunghan96/DistPFN.

Poster
VisionPulse: Dynamic Visual Sparsity for Efficient Multimodal Reasoning

Hengbo Xu, Shengjie Jin, Yanbiao Ma, Zhiwu Lu

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With the rapid advancement of large multimodal models (LMMs), inference-time overhead has become a key bottleneck for real-world deployment. Existing methods typically prune visual tokens at prefill, assuming the required visual evidence remains static during reasoning. However, we empirically show that visual evidence is strongly step-dependent: only a sparse subset of visual tokens is critical at each decoding step, and the critical set evolves across reasoning. Furthermore, we identify a coupled bottleneck where redundant visual context can steer the model toward query-irrelevant regions, lengthening the reasoning trace. Guided by these insights, we propose **VisionPulse**, a step-wise visual token pruning framework during reasoning. VisionPulse computes a lightweight visual attention mass to estimate the step-wise retention budget by exploiting its strong positive correlation with LMMs' effective visual token usage and retain only the most critical tokens under this budget. By enforcing visual sparsity during reasoning, VisionPulse filters redundant visual context while preserving relevant visual evidence, shortening reasoning traces naturally. Extensive experiments show that VisionPulse only retains 5\% of visual tokens per step with reasoning traces shortened by 11.2\%, while keeping accuracy almost unchanged.

Poster
Simple Policy Gradients for Reasoning with Diffusion Language Models

Anthony Zhan

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Diffusion large language models (dLLMs) represent a promising alternative to autoregressive LLMs; however, the lack of effective post-training techniques, including reinforcement learning (RL), remains a key challenge for dLLMs, especially for downstream applications. Existing approaches often rely on a sequence-level view that requires biased likelihood approximations. In this work, we propose Amortized Group Relative Policy Optimization (AGRPO), a policy gradient algorithm that leverages the Markovian nature of dLLM generation, optimizing individual denoising steps rather than full sequences. Our approach improves the theoretical alignment between training and inference policies and also admits efficient, unbiased gradient updates via a novel timestep estimation scheme. We demonstrate AGRPO's effectiveness on different math and reasoning tasks, achieving absolute accuracy gains of +59.4\% and +69.7\% on Countdown and Sudoku over the base LLaDA model, exceeding comparable methods such as diffu-GRPO.

Poster
Coevolutionary Continuous Discrete Diffusion: Make Your Diffusion Language Model a Latent Reasoner

Cai Zhou, Chenxiao Yang, Yi Hu, Chenyu Wang, Chubin Zhang, Muhan Zhang, Lester Mackey, Tommi Jaakkola, Stephen Bates, Dinghuai Zhang

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Diffusion language models, especially masked discrete diffusion models, have achieved great success recently. While there are some theoretical and primary empirical results showing the advantages of latent reasoning with looped transformers or continuous CoT, continuous diffusion models typically underperform their discrete counterparts. In this paper, we argue that diffusion language models do not necessarily need to be in the discrete space. In particular, we prove that continuous diffusion models have stronger expressivity than discrete diffusions and looped transformers. We attribute the contradiction between the theoretical expressiveness and empirical performance to their practical trainability: while continuous diffusion provides intermediate supervision that looped transformers lack, they are harder to generate and decode tokens in the continuous representation space compared with discrete states. We therefore propose **C**oevolutionary **C**ontinuous **D**iscrete **D**iffusion (CCDD), which defines a joint multimodal diffusion process on the union of a continuous representation space and a discrete token space, leveraging a single model to simultaneously denoise in the joint space. By combining two modalities, CCDD is expressive with rich semantics in the latent space, as well as good trainability and sample quality with the help of explicit discrete tokens. We also propose effective architectures and advanced training/sampling techniques for CCDD, which reveals strong empirical performance in extensive language modeling experiments on real-world tasks.

Poster
Frontier Models Can Take Actions at Low Probabilities

Alex Serrano, Wen Xing, David Lindner, Erik Jenner

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Pre-deployment evaluations inspect only a limited sample of model actions. A misaligned model could evade oversight by randomizing the timing of policy-violating actions, executing them so rarely that none are observed during evaluation. But this requires taking actions at very low rates, while maintaining calibration. Are frontier models even capable of that? We prompt the GPT-5, Claude 4.5 and Qwen-3 families to take a target action at low probabilities (e.g. 0.01%), either given directly or requiring derivation, and evaluate their calibration (i.e. whether they perform the target action roughly 1 in 10,000 times when resampling). We find that frontier models are surprisingly good at this task. If there is a source of entropy in-context (such as a UUID), they maintain high calibration at rates as low as 1 in 100,000 actions. Without external entropy, some models can still reach rates lower than 1 in 10,000. When target rates are given, larger models achieve good calibration at lower rates. Yet, when models must derive the optimal target rate themselves, all models fail to achieve calibration without entropy or hint to generate it. Successful low-rate strategies exhibit explicit Chain-of-Thought (CoT) reasoning, so misaligned models attempting this approach could currently be caught by a CoT monitor. However, scaling trends suggest future evaluations may be unable to rely on models' lack of target rate calibration, especially if CoT is no longer legible.

Poster
Beyond Scalars: Evaluating and Understanding LLM Reasoning via Geometric Progress and Stability

Xinyan Jiang, Ninghao Liu, Di Wang, Lijie Hu

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Evaluating LLM reliability via scalar probabilities often fails to capture the structural dynamics of reasoning. We introduce TRACED, a framework that assesses reasoning quality through theoretically grounded geometric kinematics. By decomposing reasoning traces into Progress (displacement) and Stability (curvature), we reveal a distinct topological divergence: correct reasoning manifests as high-progress, stable trajectories, whereas hallucinations are characterized by low-progress, unstable patterns (stalled displacement with high curvature fluctuations). Leveraging these signatures, our probabilistic framework achieves competitive performance and superior robustness across diverse benchmarks. Crucially, TRACED bridges geometry and cognition by mapping high curvature to "Hesitation Loops'' and displacement to ''Certainty Accumulation'', offering a physical lens to decode the internal dynamics of machine thought.

Poster
V-ABS: Action-Observer Driven Beam Search for Dynamic Visual Reasoning

Zhiwei Ning, Xuanang Gao, Jiaxi Cao, Gengming Zhang, Shengnan Ma, Wenwen Tong, Hanming Deng, Jie Yang, Wei Liu

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Multimodal large language models (MLLMs) have achieved remarkable success in general perception, yet complex multi-step visual reasoning remains a persistent challenge. Although recent agentic approaches incorporate tool use, they often neglect critical execution feedback. Consequently, they suffer from the imagination-action-observer (IAO) bias, a misalignment between prior imagination and observer feedback that undermines reasoning stability and optimality. To bridge this gap, we introduce V-ABS, an action-observer driven beam search framework that enables deliberate reasoning through thinker-actor-observer iterations. We also propose an entropy-based adaptive weighting algorithm to mitigate the IAO bias by dynamically balancing the confidence scores between the policy priors and the observational feedback. Moreover, we construct a large-scale supervised fine-tuning (SFT) dataset comprising over 80k samples to guide the model to assign higher prior confidence to correct action paths. Extensive experiments across eight diverse benchmarks show that V-ABS achieves state-of-the-art performance, delivering an average improvement of 19.7\% on the Qwen3-VL-8B baseline and consistent gains across both open-source and proprietary models.

Poster
POLIA: Policy Optimization with Visual-Object-Level Intrinsic Advantage for Multimodal Reasoning

Yiran Zeng, Da Chen, Hangyu Mao, Yuanxing Zhang, Pengfei Wan, Mengchen Zhao

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Recent advances in group-based reinforcement learning (RL) greatly improve LLMs' ability in text reasoning. Yet, these methods lack sufficient modeling of multimodal information, leading to significant reasoning hallucination. In this work, we propose POLIA, a novel group-based RL method with visual-object-level intrinsic advantage for multimodal reasoning. POLIA introduces two advantage computation stages over candidate answers and visual objects, respectively. The answer-level extrinsic advantages are computed based on the extrinsic rewards of a group of candidate answers. Moreover, we compute an intrinsic advantage for each visual object based on its confidence score and reference relations with final answers. Intuitively, the intrinsic advantage of an object reflects its potential contribution to the correct answer. This two-stage advantage computation ensures an accurate credit assignment mechanism over multimodal reasoning sequences with multiple visual objects. Experimental results on diverse multimodal reasoning benchmarks show that POLIA significantly outperforms open MLLMs and strong baselines. Code is available at https://github.com/dudu115/POLIAcode.

Poster
What Really Improves Mathematical Reasoning: Structured Reasoning Signals Beyond Pure Code

Yuze Zhao, Junpeng Fang, Lu Yu, Zhenya Huang, Kai Zhang, Qing Cui, Qi Liu, JUN ZHOU, Enhong Chen

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Incorporating code into training corpora has become a widely acknowledged practice in the development of modern foundation language models (LMs). Compared with a general Internet corpus, code offers high-quality, well-structured signals that substantially augment the coding proficiency of models. Beyond programming skills, prior research has suggested that code data may also contribute to non-coding capabilities. Nevertheless, through a series of rigorous controlled experiments, we demonstrate that the influence of code on other domains, particularly reasoning, remains limited. Our principal findings are as follows: (1) Code corpus yields substantial gains in programming-related abilities but only competed with knowledge-intensive tasks. (2) We identify a core subset that functions as cognitive scaffolding for mathematical reasoning, especially for complex problem-solving scenarios. (3) Formal reasoning provides more pronounced improvements in challenging mathematical reasoning tasks, while natural language–based reasoning proves more effective for simpler reasoning problems. Finally, by probing the internal mechanisms of LMs, we reveal how training data modulates routing patterns, thereby shaping emergent model behavior. As a central driver of model capability, our findings disentangle domain-specific data into finer-grained, cross-domain ability dimensions and underscore promising directions for future data optimization.

Poster
Discriminative Visual Process Rewards for Scaling Thinking at Test-Time with Images

Bo-Wen Yin, Qize Yang, Boyuan Sun, Xihan Wei, Qibin Hou

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The “thinking with images” paradigm has led multimodal large language models to generate intermediate visual steps—such as cropping, annotation, spatial localization, and sketches—to enhance high-resolution perception and complex reasoning. However, existing multimodal Process Reward Models (PRMs) evaluate only textual reasoning and cannot judge the correctness of these visual steps, creating a key gap when visual reasoning is essential for solving tasks. We propose Discriminative Visual Process Reward Model (DiscPRM), a multimodal PRM that jointly evaluates textual and visual intermediate steps by modeling visual reasoning trajectories, image operations, and text-image consistency. To support this, we build VTReward-100K, a dataset of step-by-step visual reasoning sequences with supervision. Experiments show that using DiscPRM for Best-of-N process supervision substantially improves multimodal reasoning performance on tasks requiring visual intermediate steps, achieving over 5% gains across benchmarks. We further introduce VABench, the first benchmark for evaluating PRMs on visual reasoning error detection. We hope this work can provide foundational support for advancing the emerging direction of visual–textual process reward.

Poster
One Step Forward and K Steps Back: Better Reasoning with Denoising Recursion Models

Chris Cameron, Wangzheng Wang, Nikita Ivanov, Ashmita Bhattacharyya, Didier Chételat, Yingxue Zhang

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Looped transformers scale computational depth without increasing parameter count by repeatedly applying a shared transformer block and can be used for iterative refinement, where each loop rewrites a full fixed-size prediction in parallel. On difficult problems, such as those that require search-like computation, reaching a highly structured solution starting from noise can require long refinement trajectories. Learning such trajectories is challenging when training specifies only the target solution and provides no supervision over the intermediate refinement path. Diffusion models tackle this issue by corrupting data with varying magnitudes of noise and training the model to reverse it in a *single step*. However, this process misaligns training and testing behaviour. We introduce Denoising Recursion Models, a method that similarly corrupts data with noise but trains the model to reverse the corruption over *multiple* recursive steps. This strategy provides a tractable curriculum of intermediate states, while better aligning training with testing and incentivizing non-greedy, forward-looking generation. Through extensive experiments, we show this approach outperforms the Tiny Recursion Model (TRM) on ARC-AGI, where it recently achieved breakthrough performance.

Poster
Inference-Time Conformal Reasoning with Valid Factuality Control for Large Language Models

Ting Wang, Yuanjie Shi, Yan Yan, Huan Zhang

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Large language models (LLMs) increasingly perform multi-step reasoning, where intermediate claims form implicit directed acyclic graphs whose node correctness is structurally conditioned on their ancestors. This makes factuality uncertainty structural, rather than a trivial accumulation of node-wise errors, and necessitates inference-time uncertainty quantification over the reasoning structure. While conformal prediction (CP) offers flexible user-specified factuality control, existing work remains post-hoc and cannot intervene during generation. To fill the gap between CP’s flexibility and its post-hoc limitation, we propose an *Inference-Time Conformal Reasoning (ITCR)* framework that integrates CP directly into reasoning graph generation. ITCR learns a structure-level factuality uncertainty function that aggregates claim-level factuality signals over reasoning graphs without complex modeling assumptions. We then design the non-conformity score based on graph-level factuality uncertainty and calibrate the conformal threshold to decide when to stop generation. We theoretically show such generation is nested, yielding valid coverage guarantees for factuality control. Experiments over multiple datasets and coverage objectives demonstrate empirically valid coverage. In downstream reasoning tasks, inference-time calibrated graphs yield more accurate generation than post-hoc pruned graphs.

Poster
More Sail than Ballast: Addressing Harmful Knowledge Leakage in the Expansive Reasoning Space of LRMs

Qibing Ren, Xinhao Song, Ke Fan, Lijun Li, Zhanpeng Zhou, Gongshen Liu, Junchi Yan, Lizhuang Ma, Jing Shao

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The capabilities of large language models (LLMs), particularly large reasoning models (LRMs), are rapidly advancing. This raises concerns about whether LRMs can maintain their safety awareness throughout long-form reasoning. Frustratingly, we identify a prevalent safety issue across LLMs and LRMs, where LRMs can reveal dangerous thoughts, leading to harmful knowledge elicitation when confronting sensitive yet benign topics. For example, when explaining the chemical context of Lewisite, a biological weapon, LRMs analyze its synthesis in their reasoning without recognizing the associated risks. We refer to this issue as the *unintended elicitation* issue. Experiments on our benchmark show that it is a common issue across current LRMs due to their strong multi-step reasoning capabilities. To address this issue, we propose placing LLMs in our synthesized open-ended environments, allowing them to self-search for a safety reasoning pattern to respond responsibly and helpfully. We first design a scalable data synthesis pipeline to generate data that triggers the *unintended elicitation* issue. We further propose a safety-first reward model design, which prioritizes safety while also evaluating the helpfulness of responses and the faithfulness of reasoning. Experiments show that our method improves safety, reduces over-refusal, and maintains strong helpfulness, paving the way for safer deployment in high-stakes domains. Code is available at https://github.com/XinhaoS0101/Safety-CoT.

Poster
Do Vision and Text Cues Exhibit Evidential Coupling? UFO: A Benchmark for Compositional Multimodal Reasoning in Unified Models

Zhongyu Yang, Dannong Xu, Yonghan Zhang, Kefan Chen, Xinyi Wang, Yang Xu, Wei Pang, Yingfang Yuan

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Unified Foundation Models (UFMs), which support interleaved multimodal generation and understanding, have been proposed as a promising paradigm for reasoning about dynamic world states, yet it remains unclear whether the visual content they generate functions as grounded evidence for subsequent reasoning or merely as auxiliary output. Existing benchmarks largely evaluate generation and understanding as separate capabilities and do not test their functional dependence during reasoning. We introduce UFO, a benchmark designed to evaluate whether UFMs generate and use image and text cues as evidence for compositional multimodal reasoning. UFO spans three state-transition regimes, state determination, state reconstruction, and state augmentation, which correspond to progressively smaller transformations of the underlying world state. Our analysis reveals a significant modality gap, as models often achieve high prediction accuracy even when the generated visual cues exert limited influence on their decisions, indicating weakened evidential coupling and a reliance on textual shortcuts rather than robust cross-modal grounding.

Poster
When AI Agents Compete for Jobs: Strategic Capabilities and Economic Dynamics of AI Labour Markets

Christopher Chiu, Simpson Zhang, Mihaela van der Schaar

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Emerging agentic marketplaces provide the economic infrastructure for matching and coordinating the large amounts of AI agents used in agentic swarms. Unlike human workers, AI agents can operate on multiple jobs simultaneously, acquire skills rapidly, and labor without wage floors. These differences introduce a new segment of AI labor markets, where AI agents interact with each other at a much higher frequency than human markets. Yet we lack frameworks to understand how such markets behave in light of economic forces that shape labor markets, such as adverse selection and reputation dynamics. To explore this, we introduce AI-Work, a tractable, simulated gig economy where Large Language Model (LLM) agents compete for jobs, develop skills, and adapt their strategies under uncertainty and competitive pressure. Our experiments examine three domains of capabilities that successful agents possess: metacognition (accurate self-assessment of skills), competitive awareness (modeling rivals and market dynamics), and long-horizon strategic planning. Agents with these capabilities consistently achieve higher profits, reputations, and market share than competing agents. Through AI-Work, we hope to provide a foundation to explore the microeconomic properties of AI-only labour markets, and a conceptual framework to study the strategic reasoning capabilities of participating AI agents.

Poster
Tailoring the Training: Difficulty-Aware Learning Strategy Allocation for Large Language Models

Xiaoling Zhou, Shuaiyu Zhou, Zhemg Lee, Tao Chen, Xirui Li, Peng Chen, Jie Jiang, Wei Ye, Shikun Zhang

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Although reinforcement learning (RL) enhances the reasoning capabilities of large language models (LLMs), it is primarily learned from the model's self-generated distribution, limiting its ability to acquire reasoning skills beyond its initial knowledge. To overcome this, we propose a Difficulty-Aware Learning Strategy Allocation (DALSA) framework, which adaptively assigns appropriate learning strategies to samples based on their difficulty signals. DALSA is built on the key insight that samples beyond models' knowledge scope are better addressed through supervised fine-tuning (SFT), while those within the boundary but insufficiently mastered benefit more from RL, and well-learned samples are discarded to avoid redundant updates. To realize this principle, we extract a series of difficulty-aware training characteristics and employ a learnable strategy allocator to dynamically determine the optimal learning strategy for each sample based on its training dynamics. The allocator and the LLM are alternately optimized, enabling adaptive strategy allocation. Furthermore, two regularization techniques, anti-curriculum weighting and adversarial label smoothing, are integrated to alleviate the inherent limitations of RL and SFT, backed by comprehensive theoretical analyses. Extensive experiments on ten LLMs ranging from 1.5B to 70B across various tasks indicate that DALSA consistently outperforms baselines under both full and parameter-efficient fine-tuning settings.

Poster
Reasoning as an Attack Surface: Adaptive Evolutionary CoT Jailbreaks for LLMs

Jianan Li, Simeng Qin, Xiaojun Jia, Lionel Z. WANG, Tianhang Zheng, Xiaoshuang Jia, Yang Liu, Xiaochun Cao

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Large Reasoning Models (LRMs) have demonstrated remarkable capabilities in reasoning and generation tasks and are increasingly deployed in real-world applications. However, their explicit chain-of-thought (CoT) mechanism introduces new security risks, making them particularly vulnerable to jailbreak attacks. Existing approaches often rely on static CoT templates to elicit harmful outputs, but such fixed designs suffer from limited diversity, adaptability, and effectiveness. To overcome these limitations, we propose an adaptive evolutionary CoT jailbreak framework, called AE-CoT. Specifically, the method first rewrites harmful goals into mild prompts with teacher role-play and decomposes them into semantically coherent reasoning fragments to construct a pool of CoT jailbreak candidates. Then, within a structured representation space, we perform multi-generation evolutionary search, where candidate diversity is expanded through fragment-level crossover and a mutation strategy with an adaptive mutation-rate control mechanism. An independent scoring model provides graded harmfulness evaluations, and high-scoring candidates are further enhanced with a harmful CoT template to induce more destructive generations. Extensive experiments across multiple models and datasets demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed AE-CoT, consistently outperforming state-of-the-art jailbreak methods.

Poster
How does Chain of Thought decompose complex tasks?

Amrut Nadgir, Vijay Balasubramanian, Pratik Chaudhari

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Many language tasks can be modeled as classification problems where a large language model (LLM) is given a prompt and selects one among many possible answers. We show that the classification error in such problems scales as a power law in the number of classes. This has a dramatic consequence: the prediction error can be reduced substantially by splitting the overall task into a sequence of smaller classification problems, each with the same number of classes ("degree"). This tree-structured decomposition models chain-of-thought (CoT). It has been observed that CoT-based predictors perform better when they "think", i.e., when they develop a deeper tree, thus decomposing the problem into a larger number of steps. We identify a critical threshold for the degree, below which thinking is detrimental, and above which there exists an optimal depth that minimizes the error. It is impossible to surpass this minimal error by increasing the depth of thinking.

Poster
Scaling the Scaling Logic: Agentic Meta-Synthesis of Logic Reasoning

Bowen Liu, Zhi Wu, Runquan Xie, Zhanhui Kang, Jia Li

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Reinforcement Learning from Verifiable Rewards (RLVR) is bottlenecked by data: existing synthesis pipelines rely on expert-written code or fixed templates, confining growth to instance-level perturbations. We shift the evolvable unit from problem instances to task-family specifications. SSLogic is an agentic meta-synthesis framework in which LLM agents iteratively author and refine executable Generator-Validator pairs inside a closed Generate-Validate-Refine loop, producing families with new rules and difficulty gradients rather than parameter variations of old ones. A Multi-Gate Validation Protocol, multi-strategy consensus plus Adversarial Blind Review, where independent agents solve each instance by writing and executing code, filters ill-posed tasks before they enter training. Starting from 400 seed families, two evolution rounds yield 953 families and 21,389 verifiable instances. Three converging comparisons (step-matched, token-matched, and size-controlled on external Enigmata data) consistently show higher training utility of evolved data, with gains of SynLogic +5.2, AIME25 +3.0, and BBH +5.5 on Enigmata. Fine-grained KORBench evaluation reveals selective improvements in logic (+13.2%) and operation (+9.6%), linking structural evolution to downstream gains. Code is available at https://github.com/AdAstraAbyssoque/Scaling-the-Scaling-Logic.

Poster
SpecExit: Accelerating Large Reasoning Model via Speculative Exit

Rubing Yang, Huajun Bai, Song Liu, Guanghua Yu, Runzhi Fan, Yanbin Dang, Zhang Jiejing, Kai Liu, Jianchen Zhu, Peng Chen

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Despite their strong performance on reasoning tasks, Large reasoning models (LRMs) often suffer from overthinking, producing unnecessarily long outputs and incurring high end-to-end latency, a significant limitation to their real-world deployment. To address overthinking, early-exit mechanisms have been proposed to terminate reasoning before typical completion, showing that this approach can effectively shorten generation length with minimal impact on accuracy. However, their reliance on probing mechanisms introduces a detection overhead that limits their end-to-end latency gains and compromises their generalizability across diverse problems. Inspired by the use of hidden states in speculative decoding, we propose **SpecExit**, a novel framework that predicts both future tokens and an early-exit signal directly from a lightweight draft model without probing overhead. Our method offers significant improvements, achieving up to 66\% generation length reduction and 2.5$\times$ end-to-end speedup compared with the speculative decoding baseline, without compromising accuracy. Our method leverages the inherent signals from hidden states to provide effective early-exit signals, suggesting broader use of hidden states for efficient reasoning. Our code is available at: https://anonymous.4open.science/r/SpecExit-B802.

Poster