ICML 2026 Papers

International Conference on Machine Learning

Decision breakdown

6,341papers

Counted from the official paper list; may differ slightly from the number the conference announced.

  • Spotlight
    5368.5%
  • Poster
    5,80591.5%

Browse all papers

Accurate Evaluation of Quickest Changepoint Detectors via Non-parametric Survival Analysis

Taiki Miyagawa, Akinori F. Ebihara

Expand abstract

We propose non-parametric estimators for the average run length (ARL) and average detection delay (ADD) in quickest changepoint detection (QCD) under finite and irregular sequence lengths. Although ARL and ADD are widely used as optimality criteria in theoretical and simulation studies, their application to real-world datasets is hindered by limited and irregular sequence lengths. To address this issue, we propose non-parametric estimators for the ARL and ADD, termed _KM-ARL and KM-ADD_, by drawing an analogy between QCD and survival analysis to model detection probabilities under sequence truncation. We derive estimation bias bounds and prove that they are asymptotically unbiased unless extrapolation is required. Experiments on simulated and real-world datasets demonstrate their practical utility, enhancing robustness against limited and irregular sequence lengths, improving interpretability, and facilitating empirical, intuitive model selection. Our Python code is provided at https://github.com/TaikiMiyagawa/Kaplan-Meier-Average-Run-Length, offering ready-to-use implementations for practitioners.

Poster
DC-W2S: Dual-Consensus Weak-to-Strong Training for Reliable Process Reward Modeling in Biological Reasoning

Chi-Min Chan, Ehsan Hajiramezanali, Xiner Li, Edward De Brouwer, Carl Edwards, Wei Xue, Sirui Han, Yike Guo, Gabriele Scalia

Expand abstract

In scientific reasoning tasks, the veracity of the reasoning process is as critical as the final outcome. While Process Reward Models (PRMs) offer a solution to the coarse-grained supervision problems inherent in Outcome Reward Models (ORMs), their deployment is hindered by the prohibitive cost of obtaining expert-verified step-wise labels. This paper addresses the challenge of training reliable PRMs using abundant but noisy "weak" supervision. We argue that existing Weak-to-Strong Generalization (W2SG) theories lack prescriptive guidelines for selecting high-quality training signals from noisy data. To bridge this gap, we introduce the Dual-Consensus Weak-to-Strong (DC-W2S) framework. By intersecting Self-Consensus (SC) metrics among weak supervisors with Neighborhood-Consensus (NC) metrics in the embedding space, we stratify supervision signals into distinct reliability regimes. We then employ a curriculum of instance-level balanced sampling and label-level reliability-aware masking to guide the training process. We demonstrate that DC-W2S enables the training of robust PRMs for complex reasoning without exhaustive expert annotation, proving that strategic data curation is more effective than indiscriminate training on large-scale noisy datasets.

Poster
Thinking in Scales: Accelerating Gigapixel Pathology Image Analysis via Adaptive Continuous Reasoning

Jiusong Ge, Yingkang Zhan, Wenjie Zhao, Di Zhang, Ke Wang, Jiashuai Liu, Chunze Yang, Chengzu Li, Jian Zhang, Yuxin Dong, Ni Zhang, Qidong Liu, Mireia Crispin-Ortuzar, Mireia Crispin-Ortuzar, Huazhu Fu, Chen Li, Zeyu Gao

Expand abstract

Traditional whole slide image (WSI) analysis methods typically rely on the multiple instance learning (MIL) paradigm, which extracts patch-level features at high magnification and aggregates them for slide-level prediction. However, such exhaustive patch-level processing is computationally expensive, severely limiting the efficiency and scalability of WSI analysis. To address this challenge, we propose PathCTM (a Pathology-oriented Continuous Thought Model) that enables token-efficient scale-space continuous reasoning for gigapixel WSIs. PathCTM formulates diagnostic inference as a dynamic sequential information pursuit. It progressively transitions from low-magnification global to high-magnification local inspection, and adaptively terminates inference when sufficient evidence is gathered to effectively bound decision uncertainty. Specifically, it uses conditional computation for dynamic scale switching with attention-guided region pruning, coupled with confidence-aware early stopping. Extensive experiments demonstrate that, compared with standard MIL-based methods, PathCTM reduces the number of required image patches by 95.95\% and shortens inference time by approximately 95.62\%, while maintaining AUC without degradation. Code is available at https://github.com/JSGe-AI/PathCTM.

Poster
Shrinking the Variance: Shrinkage Baselines for Reinforcement Learning with Verifiable Rewards

Guanning Zeng, Zhaoyi Zhou, Daman Arora, Andrea Zanette

Expand abstract

Reinforcement Learning with Verifiable Rewards (RLVR) has emerged as a powerful paradigm for post-training large reasoning models (LRMs) using policy-gradient methods such as GRPO. To stabilize training, these methods typically center trajectory rewards by subtracting the empirical mean for each prompt. Statistically, this centering acts as a control variate (or baseline), reducing the variance of the policy-gradient estimator. Typically, the mean reward is estimated using per-prompt empirical averages for each prompt in a batch. Drawing inspiration from Stein's paradox, we propose using shrinkage estimators that combine per-prompt and cross-prompt means to improve the overall per-prompt mean estimation accuracy, particularly in the low-generation regime typical of RLVR. Theoretically, we construct a shrinkage-based baseline that provably yields lower-variance policy-gradient estimators across algorithms. This baseline serves as a drop-in replacement for existing per-prompt mean baselines, requiring no additional hyperparameters or computation. Empirically, shrinkage baselines consistently outperform standard empirical-mean baselines, leading to lower-variance gradient updates and improved training stability.

Poster
Conditional Distributional Treatment Effects: Doubly Robust Estimation and Testing

Saksham Jain, Alex Luedtke

Expand abstract

Beyond conditional average treatment effects, treatments may impact the entire outcome distribution in covariate-dependent ways, for example, by altering the variance or tail risks for specific subpopulations. We propose a novel estimand to capture such conditional distributional treatment effects, and develop a doubly robust estimator that is minimax optimal in the local asymptotic sense. Using this, we develop a test for the global homogeneity of conditional potential outcome distributions that accommodates discrepancies beyond the maximum mean discrepancy (MMD), has provably valid type 1 error, and is consistent against fixed alternatives---the first test, to our knowledge, with such guarantees in this setting. We then provide a test that aggregates evidence across a grid of kernel-bandwidth choices. Furthermore, we derive exact closed-form expressions for two natural discrepancies (including the MMD), and provide a computationally efficient, permutation-free algorithm for our test.

Poster
Convex Low-resource Accent-Robust Language Detection in Speech Recognition

Miria Feng, William Tan, Mert Pilanci

Expand abstract

Globalization and multiculturalism continue to produce increasingly diverse speech varieties. Yet current spoken dialogue systems frequently fail on under-represented dialects and accents, often misidentifying the input language and causing cascading failures in downstream dialogue tasks. Addressing this dialectal variance under low-resource constraints remains an open challenge, as standard fine-tuning is computationally expensive and prone to overfitting on high-dimensional speech data. We propose Convex Language Detection (CLD), a novel framework that integrates theoretically grounded convex optimization techniques into the spoken dialogue systems pipeline. Our method is efficiently implemented via multi-GPU Alternating Direction Method of Multipliers (ADMM) in JAX, thus providing global optimality guarantees and fast training in polynomial time. Theoretically, we prove that our convex objective induces certified margin stability and provide guarantees against feature perturbations. Empirically, we demonstrate sample efficiency and robustness to input dialectical variation, achieving 97–98\% accuracy in challenging low-resource regimes. Our open-source package is available at https://pypi.org/project/jaxcld/.

Poster
STARE: Step-wise Temporal Alignment and Red-teaming Engine for Multi-modal Toxicity Attack

Xutao Mao, Liangjie Zhao, Tao Liu, Xiang Zheng, Hongying Zan, Cong Wang

Expand abstract

Red-teaming Vision-Language Models is essential for identifying vulnerabilities where adversarial image-text inputs trigger toxic outputs. Existing approaches treat image generation as a black box, providing only terminal toxicity scores while remaining temporally opaque regarding when and how toxic semantics emerge during multi-step synthesis. We introduce $\textbf{STARE}$, a hierarchical reinforcement learning framework that treats the denoising trajectory as an exploitable attack surface. By synergizing a high-level prompt editor with low-level T2I fine-tuning via Group Relative Policy Optimization (GRPO), STARE achieves a 68\% improvement in Attack Success Rate over state-of-the-art baselines including black box and white-box variants. More importantly, we reveal the Optimization-Induced Phase Alignment phenomenon: while vanilla models exhibit diffuse toxicity, adversarial optimization systematically concentrates conceptual harms into early semantic phases and detail-oriented harms into late refinement. This discovery transforms toxicity formation from a chaotic process into a series of predictable vulnerability windows. This temporal alignment transforms red-teaming from a trial-and-error process into a targeted structural analysis. Our work provides both a potent attack engine and a diagnostic foundation for developing next-generation, phase-aware safety mechanisms. Content warning: This paper contains examples of toxic content that may be offensive or disturbing.

Poster
FUSE: Ensembling Verifiers with Zero Labeled Data

Joonhyuk Lee, Virginia L. Ma, Sarah Zhao, Yash Nair, Asher Spector, Regev Cohen, Emmanuel Candes

Expand abstract

Verification of model outputs is rapidly emerging as a key primitive for both training and real-world deployment of large language models (LLMs). In practice, this often involves using imperfect LLM judges and reward models since ground truth acquisition can be time-consuming and expensive. We introduce Fully Unsupervised Score Ensembling (FUSE), a method for improving verification quality by ensembling verifiers without access to ground truth correctness labels. The key idea behind FUSE is to control conditional dependencies between verifiers in a manner that improves the unsupervised performance of a class of spectral algorithms from the ensembling literature. Despite requiring zero ground truth labels, FUSE typically matches or improves upon semi-supervised alternatives in test-time scaling experiments with diverse sets of generator models, verifiers, and benchmarks. In particular, we validate our method on both conventional academic benchmarks such as GPQA Diamond and on frontier, unsaturated benchmarks such as Humanity's Last Exam and IMO Shortlist questions.

Poster
Copula-SVI: Vine-Copula Variational Inference with Stein Refining for Instance-Level Correlation Capturing

Junxi Xiao, Qinliang Su

Expand abstract

Mean-field variational inference (VI) is scalable, but its independence assumption can severely limit inference when the posterior is inherently coupled across instances especially for correlated data. Existing structured VI approaches either impose simple dependence patterns or incur substantial cost as dependence becomes richer, leaving efficient higher-order instance-level dependence modeling largely unresolved. We propose Copula-SVI, which augments amortized marginals with an explicit vine-copula posterior and refines joint samples with Stein updates toward the true posterior. The vine construction makes dependence learning and sampling practical by decomposing it into bivariate copula factors, enabling edge-minibatched training with variance-aware level-wise sampling and efficient dependence-aware initialization via a sparse vine built from the same sampled edges. Experiments on constrained clustering and time series modeling show consistent improvements over strong structured VI baselines and demonstrate efficient higher-order instance-level dependence modeling.

Poster
OXE-AugE: A Large-Scale Robot Augmentation of OXE for Scaling Cross-Embodiment Policy Learning

Guanhua Ji, Harsha Polavaram, Lawrence Yunliang Chen, Sandeep Bajamahal, Zehan Ma, Simeon Adebola, Chenfeng Xu, Ken Goldberg

Expand abstract

Large and diverse datasets are needed for training generalist robot policies that can control a variety of robot embodiments--robot arm and gripper combinations--across diverse tasks and environments. As re-collecting demonstrations and retraining for each new embodiment are prohibitively costly, we study whether existing robot data can be augmented to improve transfer and generalization across embodiments. The Open X-Embodiment (OXE) dataset, which aggregates demonstrations from over 60 robot datasets, has been widely used for training generalist policies. However, it is highly imbalanced: the top four robot types account for over 85% of its real data, which risks overfitting to robot--scene combinations. We present AugE-Toolkit, a scalable robot augmentation pipeline, and OXE-AugE, a high-quality open-source dataset that augments OXE with 9 different robot embodiments. OXE-AugE provides over 4.4 million trajectories, more than triple the size of the original OXE. We conduct a systematic study of how scaling robot augmentation impacts cross-embodiment learning. Results suggest that augmenting datasets with diverse arms and grippers improves policy performance not only on the augmented robots, but also on unseen robots and even the original robots under distribution shifts. In physical experiments, fine-tuning generalist policies such as OpenVLA and $\pi_0$ on OXE-AugE improves success rates by 24-45% on unseen robot-gripper combinations across four real-world manipulation tasks. Project website: https://OXE-AugE.github.io/.

Spotlight
Disease-Centric Vision-Language Pretraining with Hybrid Visual Encoding for 3D Computed Tomography

Bowen Shi, Weiwei Cao, Ruifeng Yuan, Wanxing Chang, Wenrui Dai, Hongkai Xiong, Ling Zhang, Jianpeng Zhang

Expand abstract

Vision–language pre-training (VLP) holds great promise for general-purpose medical AI by leveraging radiology reports as rich textual supervision, yet existing methods struggle with 3D CT imaging due to inefficient visual backbones and coarse semantic alignment. To address these issues, we propose a tailored VLP framework featuring three key components: (1) a CNN–ViT hybrid encoder that replaces ViT’s patch embedding with a 3D CNN backbone to efficiently capture local anatomical details while preserving global attention and compatibility with pre-trained cross-modal priors; (2) a disease-level contrastive learning mechanism using learnable query tokens to dynamically extract disease-specific semantics from full reports and align them with corresponding visual features, thereby disentangling distinct diseases within the same anatomical region; and (3) a diagnosis-aware prompt strategy that employs real clinical phrases and aggregated disease prototypes to bridge the pre-training–inference gap and enhance zero-shot diagnostic reliability. Our model achieves state-of-the-art performance on CT-RATE (84.4\% AUC, +5.1%) and Rad-ChestCT (75.4\% AUC, +5.4%), with even larger gains (+9.8% AUC) on a challenging 60-disease benchmark, and demonstrates strong transferability to radiology report generation, underscoring the generality and clinical utility of our approach.

Poster
Thoughtbubbles: an Unsupervised Method for Parallel Thinking in Latent Space

Houjun Liu, Shikhar Murty, Christopher D Manning, Róbert Csordás

Expand abstract

Current approaches for scaling inference-time compute in transformers train them to emit explicit chain-of-thought tokens before producing an answer. While these methods are powerful, they are limited because they cannot be applied during pretraining and rely solely on serially-generated, natural-language verbalization. In this work, we propose Thoughtbubbles, a transformer variant that natively performs parallel adaptive computation in latent space by learning to fork or delete residual streams. Thus, tokens requiring more computation can form a "bubble" of cloned residuals in the middle of the network. Crucially, this behavior is learned during pretraining with only language modeling loss. Using half of the training budget, Thoughtbubbles outperforms the perplexity and zero-shot evals of both standard decoder LMs and those using non-adaptive parallel computation approaches. These results hold across model sizes from 150M to 1.9B. Thoughtbubbles achieves competitive GSM8K results using half of the baseline's token budget. The implicit nature of our method enables models to begin learning adaptive computation at pretraining time, paving the way to unified train-time and test-time scaling behaviors.

Poster
On Learnability and Disambiguation of Multiclass Partial Concept Classes

Jingyuan Xu, Xin Zou, Xiuwen Gong, Weiwei Liu

Expand abstract

We study the Probably Approximately Correct (PAC) learnability of partial concept classes in the multiclass setting, where the label space can be infinite. While the Natarajan dimension characterizes learnability for finite label spaces, we show it fails when the label space is unbounded. Instead, we prove that the Daniely-Shalev (DS) dimension provides a characterization of learnability for partial concept classes in the general multiclass setting. Furthermore, our analysis reveals a surprising phenomenon we call the ``Disambiguation Paradox'': disambiguation schemes with simple label space can destroy learnability, while richer labeling may preserves it. We further characterize how the number and structure of disambiguation labels control the induced DS dimension, yielding a trade-off between label complexity and sample complexity.

Poster
Posterior Mismatch Matters: Adversarial Training for Long-Tailed Robustness

Lilin Zhang, Li Yue, Jiancheng Shi, Jiancheng Lv, Xianggen Liu

Expand abstract

Adversarial training breaks down in long-tailed settings, exhibiting severe robustness degradation on worst-performing (often tail) classes. We identify a key cause of this failure as a posterior mismatch: coarse-grained absolute labels collapse class posteriors into point estimates, leading to biased class-frequency estimation and an enlarged robust generalization gap, which ultimately amplifies worst-class vulnerability. To address this issue, we propose Posterior-driven Adversarial Training (PAT), which learns a posterior surrogate to provide fine-grained probabilistic supervision for adversarial training, and integrates weight perturbations to encourage a flatter loss landscape. Our theory shows that accurate posterior approximation simultaneously tightens class-frequency estimation error and robust generalization bounds, while a flat weight loss landscape stabilizes sensitivity to posterior approximation errors. Extensive experiments on long-tailed benchmarks confirm that PAT consistently improves robustness, with especially large gains on worst-class.

Poster
DAPD: Dependency-Aware Parallel Decoding via Attention for Diffusion LLMs

BumJun Kim, Dongjae Jeon, Moongyu Jeon, Albert No

Expand abstract

Parallel decoding for diffusion LLMs (dLLMs) is difficult because each denoising step provides only token-wise marginal distributions, while unmasking multiple tokens simultaneously requires accounting for inter-token dependencies. We propose **D**ependency-**A**ware **P**arallel **D**ecoding (**DAPD**), a simple, training-free decoding method that uses self-attention to induce a conditional dependency graph over masked tokens. At each iteration, edges in this graph capture strong token interactions, while non-edges indicate weak dependence. Parallel decoding is then reduced to selecting an independent set on the graph and unmasking the selected tokens in parallel. This avoids co-updating strongly coupled tokens without auxiliary models or retraining. Experiments on LLaDA and Dream show that DAPD improves the accuracy–steps trade-off over existing methods and enables more globally distributed parallel updates that better exploit the any-order generation capability of dLLMs. The project is available at \url{https://ai-isl.github.io/dapd}

Poster
FastSESR: Fast Scene-level Explicit Surface Reconstruction

Jueqi Liu, Xuechao Zou, Congyan Lang

Expand abstract

Explicit surface reconstruction aims to recover high-fidelity meshes directly from point clouds. While existing methods achieve strong performance on scene-level data, they often rely on test-time optimization, resulting in a prohibitive runtime of several minutes. To address this bottleneck, we propose FastSESR, a two-stage framework for efficient scene-level explicit surface reconstruction. In the first stage, a lightweight triangular candidate network (TCN) captures local connections via an edge-factorized parameterization, enabling effective extraction of surface triangles from uniformly sampled points. In the second stage, an offset optimization network amortizes offset refinement into a small, fixed number of learnable update steps guided by TCN, producing geometries that are more suitable for triangulation. Experiments on multiple scene-level datasets show that FastSESR accelerates surface reconstruction by at least $20 \times$ over prior methods while maintaining competitive reconstruction quality. Moreover, evaluations on shape-level benchmarks indicate good generalization performance. Our code is available at https://github.com/Vaiduryasses/FastSESR.

Poster
Mitigating Bias in Locally Constrained Decoding via Tractable Proposals

Meihua Dang, Linxin Song, Honghua Zhang, Jieyu Zhao, Guy Van den Broeck, Stefano Ermon

Expand abstract

Generations from large language models often fail to conform to desired constraints such as JSON schema. Existing locally constrained decoding (LCD) approaches enforce constraints by myopically masking out next tokens, resulting in biased sampling and degradation in performance. Recent work uses sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods to mitigate such biases, but designing effective proposal distributions or potential functions remains a key challenge. In this work, we propose a generic approach to construct proposals and potentials for SMC sampling from $p_{\mathrm{lm}}( \cdot \mid \mathrm{constraint})$. First, we show that constraints specified as finite automata can be tensorized for efficient execution on GPUs, which we use to construct globally constrained decoding (GCD) proposals. In addition, leveraging the fact that tensorized finite automata share the same circuit structure as hidden Markov models, we circuit-multiply them to obtain the probabilistic GCD (P-GCD) proposals encoding both logical and probabilistic information about the target distributions. We evaluate (P-)GCD on the tasks of function calling, keyword-based generation, and SQL generation. Experiments show that under the same SMC sampling setup, compared to LCD proposals, (P-)GCD converges faster to the target distribution with significantly fewer particles.

Poster
Seeing is Solving: Unlocking Efficient Multimodal RL via View Alignment

Qinsi Wang, Jing Shi, Kun Wan, Handong Zhao, Hancheng Ye, Zishan Shao, Jinghan Ke, Yudong Liu, Daniel Miranda, Purvak Lapsiya, Yiran Chen, Wentian Zhao

Expand abstract

Although Reinforcement Learning Fine-Tuning (RLFT) applied to Vision-Language Models (VLMs) substantially enhances multimodal reasoning capabilities, their prohibitive training cost limits broad adoption. Surprisingly, most existing methods simply port Large Language Model (LLM) RLFT techniques to VLMs, while ignoring a intrinsic property of multimodal models: their dynamic text–vision alignment. We ask a new question: Can this intrinsic alignment be turned into a training signal that makes VLM RLFT more efficient? We analyze how a VLM plans to attend, actually attends, and ideally should attend during reasoning, and derive two lightweight metrics from these patterns. Predictive View Accuracy (PVA) estimates sample difficulty, and Reasoning View Accuracy (RVA) reflects the quality of chain-of-thought (CoT) reasoning. These alignment signals enable automated data curriculum and dense reasoning supervision. We introduce FOCUS-RL, a plug-and-play framework that can be seamlessly integrated into any VLM and dramatically boosts RLFT training efficiency. FOCUS-RL achieves 2.5 x – 4 x faster convergence over vanilla GRPO and consistent accuracy gains (+4.4 on average) across six different benchmarks and multiple VLM families.

Poster
MePo: Meta Post-Refinement for Rehearsal-Free General Continual Learning

Guanglong Sun, Hongwei Yan, Liyuan Wang, Zhiqi KANG, Shuang Cui, Hang Su, Jun Zhu, Yi Zhong

Expand abstract

To cope with uncertain changes of the external world, intelligent systems must continually learn from complex, evolving environments and respond in real time. This ability, collectively known as general continual learning (GCL), encapsulates practical challenges such as online datastreams and blurry task boundaries. Although leveraging pretrained models (PTMs) has greatly advanced conventional continual learning (CL), these methods remain limited in reconciling the diverse and temporally mixed information along a single pass, resulting in sub-optimal GCL performance. Inspired by meta-plasticity and reconstructive memory in neuroscience, we introduce here an innovative approach named **Me**ta **Po**st-Refinement (MePo) for PTMs-based GCL. This approach constructs pseudo task sequences from pretraining data and develops a bi-level meta-learning paradigm to refine the pretrained backbone, which serves as a prolonged pretraining phase but greatly facilitates rapid adaptation of representation learning to downstream GCL tasks. MePo further initializes a meta covariance matrix as the reference geometry of pretrained representation space, enabling GCL to exploit second-order statistics for robust output alignment. MePo serves as a plug-in strategy that achieves significant performance gains across a variety of GCL benchmarks and pretrained checkpoints in a rehearsal-free manner (e.g., 15.10%, 13.36%, and 12.56% on CIFAR-100, ImageNet-R, and CUB-200 under Sup-21/1K). Our source code is available at \href{https://github.com/SunGL001/MePo}{MePo}.

Poster
CoGenCast: A Coupled Autoregressive–Flow Generative Framework for Time Series Forecasting

Mingyue Cheng, Yaguo Liu, Daoyu Wang, Xiaoyu Tao, Qi Liu

Expand abstract

Time series forecasting can be viewed as a generative problem that requires both semantic understanding over contextual conditions and stochastic modeling of continuous temporal dynamics. Existing approaches typically rely on either autoregressive large language models (LLMs) for semantic context modeling or diffusion-like models for continuous probabilistic generation. However, neither method alone can adequately model both aspects simultaneously. In this work, we propose CoGenCast, a hybrid generative framework that couples pre-trained LLMs with flow-matching mechanism for effective time series forecasting. Specifically, we reconfigure pre-trained decoder-only LLMs into a native forecasting encoder–decoder backbone by modifying only the attention topology, enabling bidirectional context encoding and causal representation generation. Building on this, a flow-matching mechanism is further integrated to model temporal evolution, capturing continuous stochastic dynamics conditioned on the autoregressively generated representation. Notably, CoGenCast naturally supports multimodal forecasting and cross-domain unified training. Extensive experiments on multiple benchmarks show that CoGenCast achieves competitive performance compared to previous baselines. Code is available at \url{https://github.com/liuyaguo/_CoGenCast}.

Poster