ICML 2024 Papers

International Conference on Machine Learning

Decision breakdown

2,610papers

Counted from the official paper list; may differ slightly from the number the conference announced.

  • Oral
    1445.5%
  • Spotlight
    1917.3%
  • Poster
    2,27587.2%

Browse all papers

Beyond Point Prediction: Score Matching-based Pseudolikelihood Estimation of Neural Marked Spatio-Temporal Point Process

Zichong Li, Qunzhi Xu, Zhenghao Xu, Yajun Mei, Tuo Zhao, Hongyuan Zha

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Spatio-temporal point processes (STPPs) are potent mathematical tools for modeling and predicting events with both temporal and spatial features. Despite their versatility, most existing methods for learning STPPs either assume a restricted form of the spatio-temporal distribution, or suffer from inaccurate approximations of the intractable integral in the likelihood training objective. These issues typically arise from the normalization term of the probability density function. Moreover, existing works only provide point prediction for events without quantifying their uncertainty, such as confidence intervals for the event's arrival time and confidence regions for the event's location, which is crucial given the considerable randomness of the data. To tackle these challenges, we introduce SMASH: a Score MAtching-based pSeudolikeliHood estimator for learning marked STPPs. Specifically, our framework adopts a normalization-free objective by estimating the pseudolikelihood of marked STPPs through score-matching and predicts confidence intervals/regions for event time and location by generating samples through a score-based sampling algorithm. The superior performance of our proposed framework is demonstrated through extensive experiments on both point and confidence interval/region prediction of events.

Poster
CosPGD: an efficient white-box adversarial attack for pixel-wise prediction tasks

Shashank Agnihotri, Steffen Jung, Margret Keuper

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While neural networks allow highly accurate predictions in many tasks, their lack of robustness towards even slight input perturbations often hampers their deployment. Adversarial attacks such as the seminal _projected gradient descent_ (PGD) offer an effective means to evaluate a model's robustness and dedicated solutions have been proposed for attacks on semantic segmentation or optical flow estimation. While they attempt to increase the attack's efficiency, a further objective is to balance its effect, so that it acts on the entire image domain instead of isolated point-wise predictions. This often comes at the cost of optimization stability and thus efficiency. Here, we propose CosPGD, an attack that encourages more balanced errors over the entire image domain while increasing the attack's overall efficiency. To this end, CosPGD leverages a simple alignment score computed from any pixel-wise prediction and its target to scale the loss in a smooth and fully differentiable way. It leads to efficient evaluations of a model's robustness for semantic segmentation as well as regression models (such as optical flow, disparity estimation, or image restoration), and it allows it to outperform the previous SotA attack on semantic segmentation. We provide code for the CosPGD algorithm and example usage at https://github.com/shashankskagnihotri/cospgd.

Poster
Private Truly-Everlasting Robust-Prediction

Uri Stemmer

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Private everlasting prediction (PEP), recently introduced by Naor et al. [2023], is a model for differentially private learning in which the learner never publicly releases a hypothesis. Instead, it provides black-box access to a "prediction oracle" that can predict the labels of an *endless stream* of unlabeled examples drawn from the underlying distribution. Importantly, PEP provides privacy both for the initial training set and for the endless stream of classification queries. We present two conceptual modifications to the definition of PEP, as well as new constructions exhibiting significant improvements over prior work. Specifically, we incorporate robustness against poisoning attacks into the definition of PEP; we present a relaxed privacy definition, suitable for PEP, that allows us to disconnect the privacy parameter $\delta$ from the number of total time steps $T$; and we present new constructions for axis-aligned rectangles and decision-stumps exhibiting improved sample complexity and runtime.

Oral
A Space Group Symmetry Informed Network for O(3) Equivariant Crystal Tensor Prediction

Keqiang Yan, Alexandra Saxton, Xiaofeng Qian, Xiaoning Qian, Shuiwang Ji

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We consider the prediction of general tensor properties of crystalline materials, including dielectric, piezoelectric, and elastic tensors. A key challenge here is how to make the predictions satisfy the unique tensor equivariance to both O(3) and crystal space groups. To this end, we propose a General Materials Tensor Network (GMTNet), which is carefully designed to satisfy the required symmetries. To evaluate our method, we curate a dataset and establish evaluation metrics that are tailored to the intricacies of crystal tensor predictions. Experimental results show that our GMTNet not only achieves promising performance on crystal tensors of various orders but also generates predictions fully consistent with the intrinsic crystal symmetries. Our code is publicly available as part of the AIRS library (https://github.com/divelab/AIRS).

Poster
Deciphering RNA Secondary Structure Prediction: A Probabilistic K-Rook Matching Perspective

Cheng Tan, Zhangyang Gao, Hanqun CAO, Xingran Chen, Ge Wang, Lirong Wu, Jun Xia, Jiangbin Zheng, Stan Z. Li

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The secondary structure of ribonucleic acid (RNA) is more stable and accessible in the cell than its tertiary structure, making it essential for functional prediction. Although deep learning has shown promising results in this field, current methods suffer from poor generalization and high complexity. In this work, we reformulate the RNA secondary structure prediction as a K-Rook problem, thereby simplifying the prediction process into probabilistic matching within a finite solution space. Building on this innovative perspective, we introduce RFold, a simple yet effective method that learns to predict the most matching K-Rook solution from the given sequence. RFold employs a bi-dimensional optimization strategy that decomposes the probabilistic matching problem into row-wise and column-wise components to reduce the matching complexity, simplifying the solving process while guaranteeing the validity of the output. Extensive experiments demonstrate that RFold achieves competitive performance and about eight times faster inference efficiency than the state-of-the-art approaches. The code is available at https://github.com/A4Bio/RFold.

Poster
The Pitfalls of Next-Token Prediction

Gregor Bachmann, Vaishnavh Nagarajan

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Can a mere next-token predictor faithfully model human thinking? Our work is aimed at crystallizing this intuitive concern, which is currently fragmented in the literature. First, we emphasize isolating the two phases of next-token prediction that are often conflated: autoregression during inference vs. teacher-forcing during training. We argue that the previously-identified problem of "exponential error accumulation" is a symptom of autoregressive inference. But more concerningly, we identify that teacher-forcing can let the model fit the training data by cheating, causing total in-distribution failure. We design a minimal planning task where empirically both the Transformer and the Mamba architecture fail in this manner - remarkably, despite the task being easy to learn. Overall, our work consolidates these and other essential arguments surrounding next-token prediction. We hope this effort can ground future discussions and inspire explorations beyond the next-token prediction paradigm.

Poster
Unveiling the Potential of AI for Nanomaterial Morphology Prediction

Ivan Dubrovsky, Andrei Dmitrenko, Aleksei Dmitrenko, Nikita Serov, Vladimir Vinogradov

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Creation of nanomaterials with specific morphology remains a complex experimental process, even though there is a growing demand for these materials in various industry sectors. This study explores the potential of AI to predict the morphology of nanoparticles within the data availability constraints. For that, we first generated a new multi-modal dataset that is double the size of analogous studies. Then, we systematically evaluated performance of classical machine learning and large language models in prediction of nanomaterial shapes and sizes. Finally, we prototyped a text-to-image system, discussed the obtained empirical results, as well as the limitations and promises of existing approaches.

Poster
Certifiably Byzantine-Robust Federated Conformal Prediction

Mintong Kang, Zhen Lin, Jimeng Sun, Cao Xiao, Bo Li

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Conformal prediction has shown impressive capacity in constructing statistically rigorous prediction sets for machine learning models with exchangeable data samples. The siloed datasets, coupled with the escalating privacy concerns related to local data sharing, have inspired recent innovations extending conformal prediction into federated environments with distributed data samples. However, this framework for distributed uncertainty quantification is susceptible to Byzantine failures. A minor subset of malicious clients can significantly compromise the practicality of coverage guarantees. To address this vulnerability, we introduce a novel framework Rob-FCP, which executes robust federated conformal prediction, effectively countering malicious clients capable of reporting arbitrary statistics with the conformal calibration process. We theoretically provide the conformal coverage bound of Rob-FCP in the Byzantine setting and show that the coverage of Rob-FCP is asymptotically close to the desired coverage level. We also propose a malicious client number estimator to tackle a more challenging setting where the number of malicious clients is unknown to the defender and theoretically shows its effectiveness. We empirically demonstrate the robustness of Rob-FCP against diverse proportions of malicious clients under a variety of Byzantine attacks on five standard benchmark and real-world healthcare datasets.

Poster
Self-Attention through Kernel-Eigen Pair Sparse Variational Gaussian Processes

Yingyi Chen, Qinghua Tao, Francesco Tonin, Johan Suykens

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While the great capability of Transformers significantly boosts prediction accuracy, it could also yield overconfident predictions and require calibrated uncertainty estimation, which can be commonly tackled by Gaussian processes (GPs). Existing works apply GPs with symmetric kernels under variational inference to the attention kernel; however, omitting the fact that attention kernels are in essence asymmetric. Moreover, the complexity of deriving the GP posteriors remains high for large-scale data. In this work, we propose Kernel-Eigen Pair Sparse Variational Gaussian Processes (KEP-SVGP) for building uncertainty-aware self-attention where the asymmetry of attention kernels is tackled by Kernel SVD (KSVD) and a reduced complexity is acquired. Through KEP-SVGP, i) the SVGP pair induced by the two sets of singular vectors from KSVD w.r.t. the attention kernel fully characterizes the asymmetry; ii) using only a small set of adjoint eigenfunctions from KSVD, the derivation of SVGP posteriors can be based on the inversion of a diagonal matrix containing singular values, contributing to a reduction in time complexity; iii) an evidence lower bound is derived so that variational parameters and network weights can be optimized with it. Experiments verify our excellent performances and efficiency on in-distribution, distribution-shift and out-of-distribution benchmarks.

Poster
Conformal Prediction Sets Improve Human Decision Making

Jesse C. Cresswell, Yi Sui, Bhargava Kumar, Noël Vouitsis

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In response to everyday queries, humans explicitly signal uncertainty and offer alternative answers when they are unsure. Machine learning models that output calibrated prediction sets through conformal prediction mimic this human behaviour; larger sets signal greater uncertainty while providing alternatives. In this work, we study the usefulness of conformal prediction sets as an aid for human decision making by conducting a pre-registered randomized controlled trial with conformal prediction sets provided to human subjects. With statistical significance, we find that when humans are given conformal prediction sets their accuracy on tasks improves compared to fixed-size prediction sets with the same coverage guarantee. The results show that quantifying model uncertainty with conformal prediction is helpful for human-in-the-loop decision making and human-AI teams.

Poster
Multimodal Prototyping for cancer survival prediction

Andrew H. Song, Richard J. Chen, Guillaume Jaume, Anurag Jayant Vaidya, Alexander Baras, Faisal Mahmood

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Multimodal survival methods combining gigapixel histology whole-slide images (WSIs) and transcriptomic profiles are particularly promising for patient prognostication and stratification. Current approaches involve tokenizing the WSIs into smaller patches ($>10^4$ patches) and transcriptomics into gene groups, which are then integrated using a Transformer for predicting outcomes. However, this process generates many tokens, which leads to high memory requirements for computing attention and complicates post-hoc interpretability analyses. Instead, we hypothesize that we can: (1) effectively summarize the morphological content of a WSI by condensing its constituting tokens using morphological prototypes, achieving more than $300\times$ compression; and (2) accurately characterize cellular functions by encoding the transcriptomic profile with biological pathway prototypes, all in an unsupervised fashion. The resulting multimodal tokens are then processed by a fusion network, either with a Transformer or an optimal transport cross-alignment, which now operates with a small and fixed number of tokens without approximations. Extensive evaluation on six cancer types shows that our framework outperforms state-of-the-art methods with much less computation while unlocking new interpretability analyses. The code is available at https://github.com/mahmoodlab/MMP.

Poster
Online conformal prediction with decaying step sizes

Anastasios Nikolas Angelopoulos, Rina Barber, Stephen Bates

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We introduce a method for online conformal prediction with decaying step sizes. Like previous methods, ours possesses a retrospective guarantee of coverage for arbitrary sequences. However, unlike previous methods, we can simultaneously estimate a population quantile when it exists. Our theory and experiments indicate substantially improved practical properties: in particular, when the distribution is stable, the coverage is close to the desired level *for every time point*, not just on average over the observed sequence.

Poster
Breaking through the learning plateaus of in-context learning in Transformer

Jingwen Fu, Tao Yang, Yuwang Wang, Yan Lu, Nanning Zheng

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In-context learning, i.e., learning from context examples, is an impressive ability of Transformer. Training Transformers to possess this in-context learning skill is computationally intensive due to the occurrence of *learning plateaus*, which are periods within the training process where there is minimal or no enhancement in the model's in-context learning capability. To study the mechanism behind the learning plateaus, we conceptually separate a component within the model's internal representation that is exclusively affected by the model's weights. We call this the “weights component”, and the remainder is identified as the “context component”. By conducting meticulous and controlled experiments on synthetic tasks, we note that the persistence of learning plateaus correlates with compromised functionality of the weights component. Recognizing the impaired performance of the weights component as a fundamental behavior that drives learning plateaus, we have developed three strategies to expedite the learning of Transformers. The effectiveness of these strategies is further confirmed in natural language processing tasks. In conclusion, our research demonstrates the feasibility of cultivating a powerful in-context learning ability within AI systems in an eco-friendly manner.

Poster
EquiPocket: an E(3)-Equivariant Geometric Graph Neural Network for Ligand Binding Site Prediction

Yang Zhang, Zhewei Wei, Ye Yuan, Chongxuan Li, Wenbing Huang

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Predicting the binding sites of target proteins plays a fundamental role in drug discovery. Most existing deep-learning methods consider a protein as a 3D image by spatially clustering its atoms into voxels and then feed the voxelized protein into a 3D CNN for prediction. However, the CNN-based methods encounter several critical issues: 1) defective in representing irregular protein structures; 2) sensitive to rotations; 3) insufficient to characterize the protein surface; 4) unaware of protein size shift. To address the above issues, this work proposes EquiPocket, an E(3)-equivariant Graph Neural Network (GNN) for binding site prediction, which comprises three modules: the first one to extract local geometric information for each surface atom, the second one to model both the chemical and spatial structure of protein and the last one to capture the geometry of the surface via equivariant message passing over the surface atoms. We further propose a dense attention output layer to alleviate the effect incurred by variable protein size. Extensive experiments on several representative benchmarks demonstrate the superiority of our framework to the state-of-the-art methods.

Oral
DiJiang: Efficient Large Language Models through Compact Kernelization

Hanting Chen, Liuzhicheng, Xutao Wang, Yuchuan Tian, Yunhe Wang

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In an effort to reduce the computational load of Transformers, research on linear attention has gained significant momentum. However, the improvement strategies for attention mechanisms typically necessitate extensive retraining, which is impractical for large language models with a vast array of parameters. In this paper, we present DiJiang, a novel Frequency Domain Kernelization approach that enables the transformation of a pre-trained vanilla Transformer into a linear complexity model with little training costs. By employing a weighted Quasi-Monte Carlo method for sampling, the proposed approach theoretically offers superior approximation efficiency. To further reduce the training computational complexity, our kernelization is based on Discrete Cosine Transform (DCT) operations. Extensive experiments demonstrate that the proposed method achieves comparable performance to the original Transformer, but with significantly reduced training costs and much faster inference speeds. Our DiJiang-7B achieves comparable performance with LLaMA2-7B on various benchmark while requires only about 1/50 training cost. Code is available at https://github.com/YuchuanTian/DiJiang.

Oral
Boosting Reinforcement Learning with Strongly Delayed Feedback Through Auxiliary Short Delays

Qingyuan Wu, Simon Sinong Zhan, Yixuan Wang, Yuhui Wang, Chung-Wei Lin, Chen Lv, Qi Zhu, Jürgen Schmidhuber, Chao Huang

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Reinforcement learning (RL) is challenging in the common case of delays between events and their sensory perceptions. State-of-the-art (SOTA) state augmentation techniques either suffer from state space explosion or performance degeneration in stochastic environments. To address these challenges, we present a novel *Auxiliary-Delayed Reinforcement Learning (AD-RL)* method that leverages auxiliary tasks involving short delays to accelerate RL with long delays, without compromising performance in stochastic environments. Specifically, AD-RL learns a value function for short delays and uses bootstrapping and policy improvement techniques to adjust it for long delays. We theoretically show that this can greatly reduce the sample complexity. On deterministic and stochastic benchmarks, our method significantly outperforms the SOTAs in both sample efficiency and policy performance. Code is available at https://github.com/QingyuanWuNothing/AD-RL.

Poster
Regularized Q-learning through Robust Averaging

Peter Schmitt-Förster, Tobias Sutter

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We propose a new Q-learning variant, called 2RA Q-learning, that addresses some weaknesses of existing Q-learning methods in a principled manner. One such weakness is an underlying estimation bias which cannot be controlled and often results in poor performance. We propose a distributionally robust estimator for the maximum expected value term, which allows us to precisely control the level of estimation bias introduced. The distributionally robust estimator admits a closed-form solution such that the proposed algorithm has a computational cost per iteration comparable to Watkins' Q-learning. For the tabular case, we show that 2RA Q-learning converges to the optimal policy and analyze its asymptotic mean-squared error. Lastly, we conduct numerical experiments for various settings, which corroborate our theoretical findings and indicate that 2RA Q-learning often performs better than existing methods.

Poster