ICLR 2025 Papers

International Conference on Learning Representations

Decision breakdown

3,703papers

Counted from the official paper list; may differ slightly from the number the conference announced.

  • Oral
    2135.8%
  • Spotlight
    38010.3%
  • Poster
    3,11084.0%

Browse all papers

Adaptive Batch Size for Privately Finding Second-Order Stationary Points

Daogao Liu, Kunal Talwar

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There is a gap between finding a first-order stationary point (FOSP) and a second-order stationary point (SOSP) under differential privacy constraints, and it remains unclear whether privately finding an SOSP is more challenging than finding an FOSP. Specifically, Ganesh et al. (2023) claimed that an $\alpha$-SOSP can be found with $\alpha=\Tilde{O}(\frac{1}{n^{1/3}}+(\frac{\sqrt{d}}{n\epsilon})^{3/7})$, where $n$ is the dataset size, $d$ is the dimension, and $\epsilon$ is the differential privacy parameter. However, a recent analysis revealed an issue in their saddle point escape procedure, leading to weaker guarantees. Building on the SpiderBoost algorithm framework, we propose a new approach that uses adaptive batch sizes and incorporates the binary tree mechanism. Our method not only corrects this issue but also improves the results for privately finding an SOSP, achieving $\alpha=\Tilde{O}(\frac{1}{n^{1/3}}+(\frac{\sqrt{d}}{n\epsilon})^{1/2})$. This improved bound matches the state-of-the-art for finding a FOSP, suggesting that privately finding an SOSP may be achievable at no additional cost.

Spotlight
Second-Order Min-Max Optimization with Lazy Hessians

Lesi Chen, Chengchang Liu, Jingzhao Zhang

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This paper studies second-order methods for convex-concave minimax optimization. Monteiro & Svaiter (2012) proposed a method to solve the problem with an optimal iteration complexity of $\mathcal{O}(\epsilon^{-3/2})$ to find an $\epsilon$-saddle point. However, it is unclear whether the computational complexity, $\mathcal{O}((N+ d^2) d \epsilon^{-2/3})$, can be improved. In the above, we follow Doikov et al. (2023) and assume the complexity of obtaining a first-order oracle as $N$ and the complexity of obtaining a second-order oracle as $dN$. In this paper, we show that the computation cost can be reduced by reusing Hessian across iterations. Our methods take the overall computational complexity of $\tilde{\mathcal{O}}( (N+d^2)(d+ d^{2/3}\epsilon^{-2/3}))$, which improves those of previous methods by a factor of $d^{1/3}$. Furthermore, we generalize our method to strongly-convex-strongly-concave minimax problems and establish the complexity of $\tilde{\mathcal{O}}((N+d^2) (d + d^{2/3} \kappa^{2/3}) )$ when the condition number of the problem is $\kappa$, enjoying a similar speedup upon the state-of-the-art method. Numerical experiments on both real and synthetic datasets also verify the efficiency of our method.

Oral
Representational Similarity via Interpretable Visual Concepts

Neehar Kondapaneni, Oisin Mac Aodha, Pietro Perona

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How do two deep neural networks differ in how they arrive at a decision? Measuring the similarity of deep networks has been a long-standing open question. Most existing methods provide a single number to measure the similarity of two networks at a given layer, but give no insight into what makes them similar or dissimilar. We introduce an interpretable representational similarity method (RSVC) to compare two networks. We use RSVC to discover shared and unique visual concepts between two models. We show that some aspects of model differences can be attributed to unique concepts discovered by one model that are not well represented in the other. Finally, we conduct extensive evaluation across different vision model architectures and training protocols to demonstrate its effectiveness.

Poster
SafeDiffuser: Safe Planning with Diffusion Probabilistic Models

Wei Xiao, Tsun-Hsuan Wang, Chuang Gan, Ramin Hasani, Mathias Lechner, Daniela Rus

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Diffusion models have shown promise in data-driven planning. While these planners are commonly employed in applications where decisions are critical, they still lack established safety guarantees. In this paper, we address this limitation by introducing SafeDiffuser, a method to equip diffusion models with safety guarantees via control barrier functions. The key idea of our approach is to embed finite-time diffusion invariance, i.e., a form of specification consisting of safety constraints, into the denoising diffusion procedure. This way we enable data generation under safety constraints. We show that SafeDiffusers maintain the generative performance of diffusion models while also providing robustness in safe data generation. We evaluate our method on a series of tasks, including maze path generation, legged robot locomotion, and 3D space manipulation, and demonstrate the advantages of robustness over vanilla diffusion models.

Poster
Fast and Accurate Blind Flexible Docking

Zizhuo Zhang, Lijun Wu, Kaiyuan Gao, Jiangchao Yao, Tao Qin, Bo Han

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Molecular docking that predicts the bound structures of small molecules (ligands) to their protein targets, plays a vital role in drug discovery. However, existing docking methods often face limitations: they either overlook crucial structural changes by assuming protein rigidity or suffer from low computational efficiency due to their reliance on generative models for structure sampling. To address these challenges, we propose FABFlex, a fast and accurate regression-based multi-task learning model designed for realistic blind flexible docking scenarios, where proteins exhibit flexibility and binding pocket sites are unknown (blind). Specifically, FABFlex's architecture comprises three specialized modules working in concert: (1) A pocket prediction module that identifies potential binding sites, addressing the challenges inherent in blind docking scenarios. (2) A ligand docking module that predicts the bound (holo) structures of ligands from their unbound (apo) states. (3) A pocket docking module that forecasts the holo structures of protein pockets from their apo conformations. Notably, FABFlex incorporates an iterative update mechanism that serves as a conduit between the ligand and pocket docking modules, enabling continuous structural refinements. This approach effectively integrates the three subtasks of blind flexible docking—pocket identification, ligand conformation prediction, and protein flexibility modeling—into a unified, coherent framework. Extensive experiments on public benchmark datasets demonstrate that FABFlex not only achieves superior effectiveness in predicting accurate binding modes but also exhibits a significant speed advantage (208$\times$) compared to existing state-of-the-art methods. Our code is released at~\url{https://github.com/tmlr-group/FABFlex}.

Poster
Pareto Low-Rank Adapters: Efficient Multi-Task Learning with Preferences

Nikolaos Dimitriadis, Pascal Frossard, François Fleuret

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Multi-task trade-offs in machine learning can be addressed via Pareto Front Learning (PFL) methods that parameterize the Pareto Front (PF) with a single model. PFL permits to select the desired operational point during inference, contrary to traditional Multi-Task Learning (MTL) that optimizes for a single trade-off decided prior to training. However, recent PFL methodologies suffer from limited scalability, slow convergence, and excessive memory requirements, while exhibiting inconsistent mappings from preference to objective space. We introduce PaLoRA, a novel parameter-efficient method that addresses these limitations in two ways. First, we augment any neural network architecture with task-specific low-rank adapters and continuously parameterize the Pareto Front in their convex hull. Our approach steers the original model and the adapters towards learning general and task-specific features, respectively. Second, we propose a deterministic sampling schedule of preference vectors that reinforces this division of labor, enabling faster convergence and strengthening the validity of the mapping from preference to objective space throughout training. Our experiments show that PaLoRA outperforms state-of-the-art MTL and PFL baselines across various datasets, scales to large networks, reducing the memory overhead $23.8-31.7$ times compared with competing PFL baselines in scene understanding benchmarks.

Poster
Uncertainty and Influence aware Reward Model Refinement for Reinforcement Learning from Human Feedback

Zexu Sun, Yiju Guo, Yankai Lin, Xu Chen, Qi Qi, Xing Tang, xiuqiang He, Ji-Rong Wen

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Reinforcement Learning from Human Feedback (RLHF) has emerged as a standard and effective approach for training large language models (LLMs) with human preferences. In this framework, a learned reward model approximates human preferences and guides policy optimization, making it crucial to develop an accurate reward model. However, without the ``true'' reward function, challenges arise when the reward model is an imperfect proxy for human preference. Since the policy optimization continuously shifts the human preference training dataset's distribution. The fixed reward model suffers from this problem of off-distribution, especially the on policy methods. While collecting new preference data can mitigate this issue, it is costly and challenging to optimize. Thus, reusing the policy interaction samples becomes a possible way to further refine the reward model. To tackle these challenges, we introduce a novel method \textbf{U}ncertainty-\textbf{G}radient based \textbf{D}ata \textbf{A}ugmentation (\textbf{UGDA} for short) to enhance reward modeling by leveraging policy samples to maintain on-distribution performance. Specifically, UGDA selects interaction samples based on the uncertainty of the reward ensembles and the gradient based influence of policy optimization. After the reward relabeling of selected samples, we use supervised learning to refine the reward ensembles, then get the retrained policy. Extensive experiments demonstrate that by leveraging UGDA to select a few samples without the costly human preference data collection, we can improve the ability of the policy and surpass the state-of-the-art methods.

Poster
THE ROBUSTNESS OF DIFFERENTIABLE CAUSAL DISCOVERY IN MISSPECIFIED SCENARIOS

Huiyang Yi, Yanyan He, Duxin Chen, Mingyu Kang, He Wang, Wenwu Yu

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Causal discovery aims to learn causal relationships between variables from targeted data, making it a fundamental task in machine learning. However, causal discovery algorithms often rely on unverifiable causal assumptions, which are usually difficult to satisfy in real-world data, thereby limiting the broad application of causal discovery in practical scenarios. Inspired by these considerations, this work extensively benchmarks the empirical performance of various mainstream causal discovery algorithms, which assume i.i.d. data, under eight model assumption violations. Our experimental results show that differentiable causal discovery methods exhibit robustness under the metrics of Structural Hamming Distance and Structural Intervention Distance of the inferred graphs in commonly used challenging scenarios, except for scale variation. We also provide the theoretical explanations for the performance of differentiable causal discovery methods. Finally, our work aims to comprehensively benchmark the performance of recent differentiable causal discovery methods under model assumption violations, and provide the standard for reasonable evaluation of causal discovery, as well as to further promote its application in real-world scenarios.

Poster
Uncertainty modeling for fine-tuned implicit functions

Anna Susmelj, Mael Macuglia, Natasa Tagasovska, Reto Sutter, Sebastiano Caprara, Jean-Philippe Thiran, Ender Konukoglu

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Implicit functions such as Neural Radiance Fields (NeRFs), occupancy networks, and signed distance functions (SDFs) have become pivotal in computer vision for reconstructing detailed object shapes from sparse views. Achieving optimal performance with these models can be challenging due to the extreme sparsity of inputs and distribution shifts induced by data corruptions. To this end, large, noise-free synthetic datasets can serve as shape priors to help models fill in gaps, but the resulting reconstructions must be approached with caution. Uncertainty estimation is crucial for assessing the quality of these reconstructions, particularly in identifying areas where the model is uncertain about the parts it has inferred from the prior. In this paper, we introduce Dropsembles, a novel method for uncertainty estimation in tuned implicit functions. We demonstrate the efficacy of our approach through a series of experiments, starting with toy examples and progressing to a real-world scenario. Specifically, we train a Convolutional Occupancy Network on synthetic anatomical data and test it on low-resolution MRI segmentations of the lumbar spine. Our results show that Dropsembles achieve the accuracy and calibration levels of deep ensembles but with significantly less computational cost.

Poster
Language models scale reliably with over-training and on downstream tasks

Samir Yitzhak Gadre, Georgios Smyrnis, Vaishaal Shankar, Suchin Gururangan, Mitchell Wortsman, Rulin Shao, Jean Mercat, Alex Fang, Jeffrey Li, Sedrick Keh, Rui Xin, Marianna Nezhurina, Igor Vasiljevic, Luca Soldaini, Jenia Jitsev, Alex Dimakis, Gabriel Ilharco, Pang Wei Koh, Shuran Song, Thomas Kollar, Yair Carmon, Achal Dave, Reinhard Heckel, Niklas Muennighoff, Ludwig Schmidt

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Scaling laws are useful guides for derisking expensive training runs, as they predict performance of large models using cheaper, small-scale experiments. However, there remain gaps between current scaling studies and how language models are ultimately trained and evaluated. For instance, scaling is usually studied in the compute-optimal training regime (i.e., "Chinchilla optimal" regime). In contrast, models are often over-trained to reduce inference costs. Moreover, scaling laws mostly predict loss on next-token prediction, but models are usually compared on downstream task performance. To address both shortcomings, we create a testbed of 104 models with 0.011B to 6.9B parameters trained with various numbers of tokens on three data distributions. First, we fit scaling laws that extrapolate in both the amount of over-training and the number of model parameters. This enables us to predict the validation loss of a 1.4B parameter, 900B token run (i.e., 32$\times$ over-trained) and a 6.9B parameter, 138B token run (i.e., a compute-optimal run)––each from experiments that take 300$\times$ less compute. Second, we relate the perplexity of a language model to its downstream task performance by proposing a power law. We use this law to predict top-1 error averaged over downstream tasks for the two aforementioned models, using experiments that take 20$\times$ less compute.

Poster
PaCA: Partial Connection Adaptation for Efficient Fine-Tuning

Sunghyeon Woo, Sol Namkung, Sunwoo Lee, Inho Jeong, Beomseok Kim, Dongsuk Jeon

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Prior parameter-efficient fine-tuning (PEFT) algorithms reduce memory usage and computational costs of fine-tuning large neural network models by training only a few additional adapter parameters, rather than the entire model. However, the reduction in computational costs due to PEFT does not necessarily translate to a reduction in training time; although the computational costs of the adapter layers are much smaller than the pretrained layers, it is well known that those two types of layers are processed sequentially on GPUs, resulting in significant latency overhead. LoRA and its variants avoid this latency overhead by merging the low-rank adapter matrices with the pretrained weights during inference. However, those layers cannot be merged during training since the pretrained weights must remain frozen while the low-rank adapter matrices are updated continuously over the course of training. Furthermore, LoRA and its variants do not reduce activation memory, as the first low-rank adapter matrix still requires the input activations to the pretrained weights to compute weight gradients. To mitigate this issue, we propose **Pa**rtial **C**onnection **A**daptation (**PaCA**), which fine-tunes randomly selected partial connections within the pretrained weights instead of introducing adapter layers in the model. PaCA not only enhances training speed by eliminating the time overhead due to the sequential processing of the adapter and pretrained layers but also reduces activation memory since only partial activations, rather than full activations, need to be stored for gradient computation. Compared to LoRA, PaCA reduces training time by 22% and total memory usage by 16%, while maintaining comparable accuracy across various fine-tuning scenarios, such as fine-tuning on the MMLU dataset and instruction tuning on the Oasst1 dataset. PaCA can also be combined with quantization, enabling the fine-tuning of large models such as LLaMA3.1-70B. In addition, PaCA enables training with 23% longer sequence and improves throughput by 16\% on both NVIDIA A100 GPU and INTEL Gaudi2 HPU compared to LoRA. The code is available at [https://github.com/WooSunghyeon/paca](https://github.com/WooSunghyeon/paca).

Poster
End-to-end Learning of Gaussian Mixture Priors for Diffusion Sampler

Denis Blessing, Xiaogang Jia, Gerhard Neumann

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Diffusion models optimized via variational inference (VI) have emerged as a promising tool for generating samples from unnormalized target densities. These models create samples by simulating a stochastic differential equation, starting from a simple, tractable prior, typically a Gaussian distribution. However, when the support of this prior differs greatly from that of the target distribution, diffusion models often struggle to explore effectively or suffer from large discretization errors. Moreover, learning the prior distribution can lead to mode-collapse, exacerbated by the mode-seeking nature of reverse Kullback-Leibler divergence commonly used in VI. To address these challenges, we propose end-to-end learnable Gaussian mixture priors (GMPs). GMPs offer improved control over exploration, adaptability to target support, and increased expressiveness to counteract mode collapse. We further leverage the structure of mixture models by proposing a strategy to iteratively refine the model through the addition of mixture components during training. Our experimental results demonstrate significant performance improvements across a diverse range of real-world and synthetic benchmark problems when using GMPs without requiring additional target evaluations.

Poster
Mind the GAP: Glimpse-based Active Perception improves generalization and sample efficiency of visual reasoning

Oleh Kolner, Thomas Ortner, Stanisław Woźniak, Angeliki Pantazi

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Human capabilities in understanding visual relations are far superior to those of AI systems, especially for previously unseen objects. For example, while AI systems struggle to determine whether two such objects are visually the same or different, humans can do so with ease. Active vision theories postulate that the learning of visual relations is grounded in actions that we take to fixate objects and their parts by moving our eyes. In particular, the low-dimensional spatial information about the corresponding eye movements is hypothesized to facilitate the representation of relations between different image parts. Inspired by these theories, we develop a system equipped with a novel Glimpse-based Active Perception (GAP) that sequentially glimpses at the most salient regions of the input image and processes them at high resolution. Importantly, our system leverages the locations stemming from the glimpsing actions, along with the visual content around them, to represent relations between different parts of the image. The results suggest that the GAP is essential for extracting visual relations that go beyond the immediate visual content. Our approach reaches state-of-the-art performance on several visual reasoning tasks being more sample-efficient, and generalizing better to out-of-distribution visual inputs than prior models.

Poster
REMEDY: Recipe Merging Dynamics in Large Vision-Language Models

Didi Zhu, Yibing Song, Tao Shen, Ziyu Zhao, Jinluan Yang, Min Zhang, Chao Wu

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Model merging has emerged as a powerful technique for combining task-specific vision models into a unified and multi-functional model. Previous methods represented by task arithmetic, have demonstrated effectiveness and scalability in this domain. When large vision-language models (LVLMs) arise with model size scaling up, this design becomes challenging to fuse different instruction-tuned LVLMs for generalization enhancement. The large scale and multi-modal nature of LVLMs present unique obstacles, including constructing reusable and modular components to accommodate the multi-component architecture of LVLMs and the requirement for dynamic fusion based on multi-modal input tokens. To address these challenges, we propose the \textbf{RE}cipe \textbf{ME}rging \textbf{DY}namics (REMEDY) method, a scalable and flexible paradigm for model merging in LVLMs. We first define reusable modules termed \textit{recipes} including the projector and shallow LLM layers, enhancing visual-language understanding. Then, we introduce a modality-aware allocator dynamically generates weights in a one-shot manner based on input relevance to existing recipes, enabling efficient cross-modal knowledge integration. REMEDY thus offers an adaptive solution for LVLMs to tackle both seen (i.e., multi-task learning) and unseen (i.e., zero-shot generalization) tasks. Experimental results demonstrate that our method consistently improves performance on both seen and unseen tasks, underscoring the effectiveness of REMEDY in diverse multi-modal scenarios.

Poster
Selective Aggregation for Low-Rank Adaptation in Federated Learning

Pengxin Guo, Shuang Zeng, Yanran Wang, Huijie Fan, Feifei Wang, Liangqiong Qu

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We investigate LoRA in federated learning through the lens of the asymmetry analysis of the learned $A$ and $B$ matrices. In doing so, we uncover that $A$ matrices are responsible for learning general knowledge, while $B$ matrices focus on capturing client-specific knowledge. Based on this finding, we introduce Federated Share-A Low-Rank Adaptation (FedSA-LoRA), which employs two low-rank trainable matrices $A$ and $B$ to model the weight update, but only $A$ matrices are shared with the server for aggregation. Moreover, we delve into the relationship between the learned $A$ and $B$ matrices in other LoRA variants, such as rsLoRA and VeRA, revealing a consistent pattern. Consequently, we extend our FedSA-LoRA method to these LoRA variants, resulting in FedSA-rsLoRA and FedSA-VeRA. In this way, we establish a general paradigm for integrating LoRA with FL, offering guidance for future work on subsequent LoRA variants combined with FL. Extensive experimental results on natural language understanding and generation tasks demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method. Our code is available at https://github.com/Pengxin-Guo/FedSA-LoRA.

Poster
DeciMamba: Exploring the Length Extrapolation Potential of Mamba

Assaf Ben-Kish, Itamar Zimerman, Shady Abu-Hussein, Nadav Cohen, Amir Globerson, Lior Wolf, Raja Giryes

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Long-range sequence processing poses a significant challenge for Transformers due to their quadratic complexity in input length. A promising alternative is Mamba, which demonstrates high performance and achieves Transformer-level capabilities while requiring substantially fewer computational resources. In this paper we explore the length-generalization capabilities of Mamba, which we find to be relatively limited. Through a series of visualizations and analyses we identify that the limitations arise from a restricted effective receptive field, dictated by the sequence length used during training. To address this constraint, we introduce DeciMamba, a context-extension method specifically designed for Mamba. This mechanism, built on top of a hidden filtering mechanism embedded within the S6 layer, enables the trained model to extrapolate well even without additional training. Empirical experiments over real-world long-range NLP tasks show that DeciMamba can extrapolate to context lengths that are significantly longer than the ones seen during training, while enjoying faster inference. We will release our code and models.

Poster
LLaRA: Supercharging Robot Learning Data for Vision-Language Policy

Xiang Li, Cristina Mata, Jongwoo Park, Kumara Kahatapitiya, Yoo Sung Jang, Jinghuan Shang, Kanchana Ranasinghe, Ryan D Burgert, Mu Cai, Yong Jae Lee, Michael S Ryoo

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Vision Language Models (VLMs) have recently been leveraged to generate robotic actions, forming Vision-Language-Action (VLA) models. However, directly adapting a pretrained VLM for robotic control remains challenging, particularly when constrained by a limited number of robot demonstrations. In this work, we introduce LLaRA: Large Language and Robotics Assistant, a framework that formulates robot action policy as visuo-textual conversations and enables an efficient transfer of a pretrained VLM into a powerful VLA, motivated by the success of visual instruction tuning in Computer Vision. First, we present an automated pipeline to generate conversation-style instruction tuning data for robots from existing behavior cloning datasets, aligning robotic actions with image pixel coordinates. Further, we enhance this dataset in a self-supervised manner by defining six auxiliary tasks, without requiring any additional action annotations. We show that a VLM finetuned with a limited amount of such datasets can produce meaningful action decisions for robotic control. Through experiments across multiple simulated and real-world tasks, we demonstrate that LLaRA achieves state-of-the-art performance while preserving the generalization capabilities of large language models. The code, datasets, and pretrained models are available at https://github.com/LostXine/LLaRA.

Poster
Can We Talk Models Into Seeing the World Differently?

Paul Gavrikov, Jovita Lukasik, Steffen Jung, Robert Geirhos, Muhammad Jehanzeb Mirza, Margret Keuper, Janis Keuper

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Unlike traditional vision-only models, vision language models (VLMs) offer an intuitive way to access visual content through language prompting by combining a large language model (LLM) with a vision encoder. However, both the LLM and the vision encoder come with their own set of biases, cue preferences, and shortcuts, which have been rigorously studied in uni-modal models. A timely question is how such (potentially misaligned) biases and cue preferences behave under multi-modal fusion in VLMs. As a first step towards a better understanding, we investigate a particularly well-studied vision-only bias - the texture vs. shape bias and the dominance of local over global information. As expected, we find that VLMs inherit this bias to some extent from their vision encoders. Surprisingly, the multi-modality alone proves to have important effects on the model behavior, i.e., the joint training and the language querying change the way visual cues are processed. While this direct impact of language-informed training on a model's visual perception is intriguing, it raises further questions on our ability to actively steer a model's output so that its prediction is based on particular visual cues of the user's choice. Interestingly, VLMs have an inherent tendency to recognize objects based on shape information, which is different from what a plain vision encoder would do. Further active steering towards shape-based classifications through language prompts is however limited. In contrast, active VLM steering towards texture-based decisions through simple natural language prompts is often more successful.

Poster
ClassDiffusion: More Aligned Personalization Tuning with Explicit Class Guidance

Jiannan Huang, Jun Hao Liew, Hanshu Yan, Yuyang Yin, Yao Zhao, Humphrey Shi, Yunchao Wei

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Recent text-to-image customization works have proven successful in generating images of given concepts by fine-tuning diffusion models on a few examples. However, tuning-based methods inherently tend to overfit the concepts, resulting in failure to create the concept under multiple conditions (*e.g.*, headphone is missing when generating "a <sks>`dog wearing a headphone"). Interestingly, we notice that the base model before fine-tuning exhibits the capability to compose the base concept with other elements (*e.g.*, "a dog wearing a headphone"), implying that the compositional ability only disappears after personalization tuning. We observe a semantic shift in the customized concept after fine-tuning, indicating that the personalized concept is not aligned with the original concept, and further show through theoretical analyses that this semantic shift leads to increased difficulty in sampling the joint conditional probability distribution, resulting in the loss of the compositional ability. Inspired by this finding, we present **ClassDiffusion**, a technique that leverages a **semantic preservation loss** to explicitly regulate the concept space when learning a new concept. Although simple, this approach effectively prevents semantic drift during the fine-tuning process of the target concepts. Extensive qualitative and quantitative experiments demonstrate that the use of semantic preservation loss effectively improves the compositional abilities of fine-tuning models. Lastly, we also extend our ClassDiffusion to personalized video generation, demonstrating its flexibility.

Poster
Utility-Directed Conformal Prediction: A Decision-Aware Framework for Actionable Uncertainty Quantification

Santiago Cortes-Gomez, Carlos Miguel Patiño, Yewon Byun, Steven Wu, Eric Horvitz, Bryan Wilder

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There is increasing interest in ``decision-focused" machine learning methods which train models to account for how their predictions are used in downstream optimization problems. Doing so can often improve performance on subsequent decision problems. However, current methods for uncertainty quantification do not incorporate any information at all about downstream decisions. We develop a framework based on conformal prediction to produce prediction sets that account for a downstream decision loss function, making them more appropriate to inform high-stakes decision-making. Our approach harnesses the strengths of conformal methods—modularity, model-agnosticism, and statistical coverage guarantees—while incorporating downstream decisions and user-specified utility functions. We prove that our methods retain standard coverage guarantees. Empirical evaluation across a range of datasets and utility metrics demonstrates that our methods achieve significantly lower decision loss compared to standard conformal methods. Additionally, we present a real-world use case in healthcare diagnosis, where our method effectively incorporates the hierarchical structure of dermatological diseases. It successfully generates sets with coherent diagnostic meaning, aiding the triage process during dermatology diagnosis and illustrating how our method can ground high-stakes decision-making on external domain knowledge.

Poster