ICLR 2025 Papers

International Conference on Learning Representations

Decision breakdown

3,703papers

Counted from the official paper list; may differ slightly from the number the conference announced.

  • Oral
    2135.8%
  • Spotlight
    38010.3%
  • Poster
    3,11084.0%

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Topic: Deep learning · generative models and autoencoders · 275 papers · Reset filters

Diffusion$^2$: Dynamic 3D Content Generation via Score Composition of Video and Multi-view Diffusion Models

Zeyu Yang, Zijie Pan, Chun Gu, Li Zhang

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Recent advancements in 3D generation are predominantly propelled by improvements in 3D-aware image diffusion models. These models are pretrained on Internet-scale image data and fine-tuned on massive 3D data, offering the capability of producing highly consistent multi-view images. However, due to the scarcity of synchronized multi-view video data, it remains challenging to adapt this paradigm to 4D generation directly. Despite that, the available video and 3D data are adequate for training video and multi-view diffusion models separately that can provide satisfactory dynamic and geometric priors respectively. To take advantage of both, this paper presents Diffusion$^2$, a novel framework for dynamic 3D content creation that reconciles the knowledge about geometric consistency and temporal smoothness from these models to directly sample dense multi-view multi-frame images which can be employed to optimize continuous 4D representation. Specifically, we design a simple yet effective denoising strategy via score composition of pretrained video and multi-view diffusion models based on the probability structure of the target image array. To alleviate the potential conflicts between two heterogeneous scores, we further introduce variance-reducing sampling via interpolated steps, facilitating smooth and stable generation. Owing to the high parallelism of the proposed image generation process and the efficiency of the modern 4D reconstruction pipeline, our framework can generate 4D content within few minutes. Notably, our method circumvents the reliance on expensive and hard-to-scale 4D data, thereby having the potential to benefit from the scaling of the foundation video and multi-view diffusion models. Extensive experiments demonstrate the efficacy of our proposed framework in generating highly seamless and consistent 4D assets under various types of conditions.

Poster
Improving Probabilistic Diffusion Models With Optimal Diagonal Covariance Matching

Zijing Ou, Mingtian Zhang, Andi Zhang, Tim Z. Xiao, Yingzhen Li, David Barber

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The probabilistic diffusion model has become highly effective across various domains. Typically, sampling from a diffusion model involves using a denoising distribution characterized by a Gaussian with a learned mean and either fixed or learned covariances. In this paper, we leverage the recently proposed covariance moment matching technique and introduce a novel method for learning the diagonal covariances. Unlike traditional data-driven covariance approximation approaches, our method involves directly regressing the optimal analytic covariance using a new, unbiased objective named Optimal Covariance Matching (OCM). This approach can significantly reduce the approximation error in covariance prediction. We demonstrate how our method can substantially enhance the sampling efficiency, recall rate and likelihood of both diffusion models and latent diffusion models.

Oral
Looking Backward: Retrospective Backward Synthesis for Goal-Conditioned GFlowNets

Haoran He, Can Chang, Huazhe Xu, Ling Pan

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Generative Flow Networks (GFlowNets), a new family of probabilistic samplers, have demonstrated remarkable capabilities to generate diverse sets of high-reward candidates, in contrast to standard return maximization approaches (e.g., reinforcement learning) which often converge to a single optimal solution. Recent works have focused on developing goal-conditioned GFlowNets, which aim to train a single GFlowNet capable of achieving different outcomes as the task specifies. However, training such models is challenging due to extremely sparse rewards, particularly in high-dimensional problems. Moreover, previous methods suffer from the limited coverage of explored trajectories during training, which presents more pronounced challenges when only offline data is available. In this work, we propose a novel method called \textbf{R}etrospective \textbf{B}ackward \textbf{S}ynthesis (\textbf{RBS}) to address these critical problems. Specifically, RBS synthesizes new backward trajectories in goal-conditioned GFlowNets to enrich training trajectories with enhanced quality and diversity, thereby introducing copious learnable signals for effectively tackling the sparse reward problem. Extensive empirical results show that our method improves sample efficiency by a large margin and outperforms strong baselines on various standard evaluation benchmarks. Our codes are available at \url{https://github.com/tinnerhrhe/Goal-Conditioned-GFN}.

Poster
What Secrets Do Your Manifolds Hold? Understanding the Local Geometry of Generative Models

Ahmed Imtiaz Humayun, Ibtihel Amara, Cristina Nader Vasconcelos, Deepak Ramachandran, Candice Schumann, Junfeng He, Katherine A Heller, Golnoosh Farnadi, Negar Rostamzadeh, Mohammad Havaei

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Deep Generative Models are frequently used to learn continuous representations of complex data distributions by training on a finite number of samples. For any generative model, including pre-trained foundation models with Diffusion or Transformer architectures, generation performance can significantly vary across the learned data manifold. In this paper, we study the local geometry of the learned manifold and its relationship to generation outcomes for a wide range of generative models, including DDPM, Diffusion Transformer (DiT), and Stable Diffusion 1.4. Building on the theory of continuous piecewise-linear (CPWL) generators, we characterize the local geometry in terms of three geometric descriptors - scaling ($\psi$), rank ($\nu$), and complexity/un-smoothness ($\delta$). We provide quantitative and qualitative evidence showing that for a given latent vector, the local descriptors are indicative of post-generation aesthetics, generation diversity, and memorization by the generative model. Finally, we demonstrate that by training a reward model on the 'local scaling' for Stable Diffusion, we can self-improve both generation aesthetics and diversity using geometry sensitive guidance during denoising. Website: https://imtiazhumayun.github.io/generative_geometry.

Poster
Eliminating Oversaturation and Artifacts of High Guidance Scales in Diffusion Models

Seyedmorteza Sadat, Otmar Hilliges, Romann M. Weber

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Classifier-free guidance (CFG) is crucial for improving both generation quality and alignment between the input condition and final output in diffusion models. While a high guidance scale is generally required to enhance these aspects, it also causes oversaturation and unrealistic artifacts. In this paper, we revisit the CFG update rule and introduce modifications to address this issue. We first decompose the update term in CFG into parallel and orthogonal components with respect to the conditional model prediction and observe that the parallel component primarily causes oversaturation, while the orthogonal component enhances image quality. Accordingly, we propose down-weighting the parallel component to achieve high-quality generations without oversaturation. Additionally, we draw a connection between CFG and gradient ascent and introduce a new rescaling and momentum method for the CFG update rule based on this insight. Our approach, termed adaptive projected guidance (APG), retains the quality-boosting advantages of CFG while enabling the use of higher guidance scales without oversaturation. APG is easy to implement and introduces practically no additional computational overhead to the sampling process. Through extensive experiments, we demonstrate that APG is compatible with various conditional diffusion models and samplers, leading to improved FID, recall, and saturation scores while maintaining precision comparable to CFG, making our method a superior plug-and-play alternative to standard classifier-free guidance.

Poster
Training Free Exponential Context Extension via Cascading KV Cache

Jeffrey Willette, Heejun Lee, Youngwan Lee, Myeongjae Jeon, Sung Ju Hwang

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The transformer's context window is vital for tasks such as few-shot learning and conditional generation as it preserves previous tokens for active memory. However, as the context lengths increase, the computational costs grow quadratically, hindering the deployment of large language models (LLMs) in real-world, long sequence scenarios. Although some recent key-value caching (KV Cache) methods offer linear inference complexity, they naively manage the stored context, prematurely evicting tokens and losing valuable information. Moreover, they lack an optimized prefill/prompt stage strategy, resulting in higher latency than even quadratic attention for realistic context sizes. In response, we introduce a novel mechanism that leverages cascading sub-cache buffers to selectively retain the most relevant tokens, enabling the model to maintain longer context histories without increasing the cache size. Our approach outperforms linear caching baselines across key benchmarks, including streaming perplexity, question answering, book summarization, and passkey retrieval, where it retains better retrieval accuracy at 1M tokens after four doublings of the cache size of 65K. Additionally, our method reduces prefill stage latency by a factor of 6.8 when compared to flash attention on 1M tokens. These innovations not only enhance the computational efficiency of LLMs but also pave the way for their effective deployment in resource-constrained environments, enabling large-scale, real-time applications with significantly reduced latency.

Poster
SyllableLM: Learning Coarse Semantic Units for Speech Language Models

Alan Baade, Puyuan Peng, David Harwath

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Language models require tokenized inputs. However, tokenization strategies for continuous data like audio and vision are often based on simple heuristics such as fixed sized convolutions or discrete clustering, which do not necessarily align with the semantic structure of the data. For speech in particular, the high resolution of waveforms (16,000 samples/second or more) presents a significant challenge as speech-based language models have had to use several times more tokens per word than text-based language models. In this work, we introduce a controllable self-supervised technique to merge speech representations into coarser syllable-like units while still preserving semantic information. We do this by 1) extracting noisy boundaries through analyzing correlations in pretrained encoder losses and 2) iteratively improving model representations with a novel distillation technique. Our method produces controllable-rate semantic units at as low as 5Hz and 60bps and achieves SotA in syllabic segmentation and clustering. Using these coarse tokens, we successfully train SyllableLM, a Speech Language Model (SpeechLM) that matches or outperforms current SotA SpeechLMs on a range of spoken language modeling tasks. SyllableLM also achieves significant improvements in efficiency with a 30x reduction in training compute and a 4x wall-clock inference speedup. Our code and checkpoints are available at https://www.github.com/alanbaade/SyllableLM

Poster
Hybrid Regularization Improves Diffusion-based Inverse Problem Solving

Hongkun Dou, Zeyu Li, Jinyang Du, Lijun Yang, Wen Yao, Yue Deng

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Diffusion models, recognized for their effectiveness as generative priors, have become essential tools for addressing a wide range of visual challenges. Recently, there has been a surge of interest in leveraging Denoising processes for Regularization (DR) to solve inverse problems. However, existing methods often face issues such as mode collapse, which results in excessive smoothing and diminished diversity. In this study, we perform a comprehensive analysis to pinpoint the root causes of gradient inaccuracies inherent in DR. Drawing on insights from diffusion model distillation, we propose a novel approach called Consistency Regularization (CR), which provides stabilized gradients without the need for ODE simulations. Building on this, we introduce Hybrid Regularization (HR), a unified framework that combines the strengths of both DR and CR, harnessing their synergistic potential. Our approach proves to be effective across a broad spectrum of inverse problems, encompassing both linear and nonlinear scenarios, as well as various measurement noise statistics. Experimental evaluations on benchmark datasets, including FFHQ and ImageNet, demonstrate that our proposed framework not only achieves highly competitive results compared to state-of-the-art methods but also offers significant reductions in wall-clock time and memory consumption.

Poster
Not All Language Model Features Are One-Dimensionally Linear

Joshua Engels, Eric J Michaud, Isaac Liao, Wes Gurnee, Max Tegmark

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Recent work has proposed that language models perform computation by manipulating one-dimensional representations of concepts ("features") in activation space. In contrast, we explore whether some language model representations may be inherently multi-dimensional. We begin by developing a rigorous definition of irreducible multi-dimensional features based on whether they can be decomposed into either independent or non-co-occurring lower-dimensional features. Motivated by these definitions, we design a scalable method that uses sparse autoencoders to automatically find multi-dimensional features in GPT-2 and Mistral 7B. These auto-discovered features include strikingly interpretable examples, e.g. $\textit{circular}$ features representing days of the week and months of the year. We identify tasks where these exact circles are used to solve computational problems involving modular arithmetic in days of the week and months of the year. Next, we provide evidence that these circular features are indeed the fundamental unit of computation in these tasks with intervention experiments on Mistral 7B and Llama 3 8B, and we examine the continuity of the days of the week feature in Mistral 7B. Overall, our work argues that understanding multi-dimensional features is necessary to mechanistically decompose some model behaviors.

Poster
Controlling Space and Time with Diffusion Models

Daniel Watson, Saurabh Saxena, Lala Li, Andrea Tagliasacchi, David J. Fleet

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We present 4DiM, a cascaded diffusion model for 4D novel view synthesis (NVS), supporting generation with arbitrary camera trajectories and timestamps, in natural scenes, conditioned on one or more images. With a novel architecture and sampling procedure, we enable training on a mixture of 3D (with camera pose), 4D (pose+time) and video (time but no pose) data, which greatly improves generalization to unseen images and camera pose trajectories over prior works which generally operate in limited domains (e.g., object centric). 4DiM is the first-ever NVS method with intuitive metric-scale camera pose control enabled by our novel calibration pipeline for structure-from-motion-posed data. Experiments demonstrate that 4DiM outperforms prior 3D NVS models both in terms of image fidelity and pose alignment, while also enabling the generation of scene dynamics. 4DiM provides a general framework for a variety of tasks including single-image-to-3D, two-image-to-video (interpolation and extrapolation), and pose-conditioned video-to-video translation, which we illustrate qualitatively on a variety of scenes. See https://4d-diffusion.github.io for video samples.

Poster
MotionDreamer: One-to-Many Motion Synthesis with Localized Generative Masked Transformer

Yilin Wang, Chuan Guo, Yuxuan Mu, Muhammad Gohar Javed, Xinxin Zuo, Juwei Lu, Hai Jiang, Li Cheng

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Generative masked transformer have demonstrated remarkable success across various content generation tasks, primarily due to their ability to effectively model large-scale dataset distributions with high consistency. However, in the animation domain, large datasets are not always available. Applying generative masked modeling to generate diverse instances from a single MoCap reference may lead to overfitting, a challenge that remains unexplored. In this work, we present MotionDreamer, a localized masked modeling paradigm designed to learn motion internal patterns from a given motion with arbitrary topology and duration. By embedding the given motion into quantized tokens with a novel distribution regularization method, MotionDreamer constructs a robust and informative codebook for local motion patterns. Moreover, a sliding window local attention is introduced in our masked transformer, enabling the generation of natural yet diverse animations that closely resemble the reference motion patterns. As demonstrated through comprehensive experiments, MotionDreamer outperforms the state-of-the-art methods that are typically GAN or Diffusion-based in both faithfulness and diversity. Thanks to the consistency and robustness of quantization-based approach, MotionDreamer can also effectively perform downstream tasks such as temporal motion editing, crowd motion synthesis, and beat-aligned dance generation, all using a single reference motion. Our implementation, learned models and results are to be made publicly available upon paper acceptance.

Poster
Flash Inference: Near Linear Time Inference for Long Convolution Sequence Models and Beyond

Costin-Andrei Oncescu, Sanket Purandare, Stratos Idreos, Sham M. Kakade

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While transformers have been at the core of most recent advancements in sequence generative models, their computational cost remains quadratic in sequence length. Several subquadratic architectures have been proposed to address this computational issue. Some of them, including long convolution sequence models (LCSMs), such as Hyena, address this issue at training time but remain quadratic during inference. We propose a method for speeding up LCSMs' exact inference to quasilinear time, identify the key properties that make this possible, and propose a general framework that exploits these. Our approach, inspired by previous work on relaxed polynomial interpolation, is based on a tiling which helps decrease memory movement and share computation. It has the added benefit of allowing for almost complete parallelization across layers of the position-mixing part of the architecture. Empirically, we provide a proof of concept implementation for Hyena, which gets up to $7.8\times$ end-to-end improvement over standard inference by improving $110\times$ within the position-mixing part.

Poster
Distributed Speculative Inference (DSI): Speculation Parallelism for Provably Faster Lossless Language Model Inference

Nadav Timor, Jonathan Mamou, Daniel Korat, Moshe Berchansky, Oren Pereg, Moshe Wasserblat, Tomer Galanti, Michal Gordon-Kiwkowitz, David Harel

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This paper introduces *distributed speculative inference (DSI)*, a novel inference algorithm that is provably faster than speculative inference (SI) [leviathan2023, chen2023, miao2024, sun2025, timor2025] and standard autoregressive inference (non-SI). Like other SI algorithms, DSI operates on frozen language models (LMs), requiring no training or architectural modifications, and it preserves the target distribution. Prior studies on SI have demonstrated empirical speedups over non-SI—but rely on sufficiently fast and accurate drafters, which are often unavailable in practice. We identify a gap where SI can be slower than non-SI if drafters are too slow or inaccurate. We close this gap by proving that DSI is faster than both SI and non-SI—given any drafters. DSI is therefore not only faster than SI, but also unlocks the acceleration of LMs for which SI fails. DSI leverages *speculation parallelism (SP)*, a novel type of task parallelism, to orchestrate target and drafter instances that overlap in time, establishing a new foundational tradeoff between computational resources and latency. Our simulations show that DSI is 1.29-1.92x faster than SI in single-node setups for various off-the-shelf LMs and tasks. We open-source all our code.

Poster
CoInD: Enabling Logical Compositions in Diffusion Models

Sachit Gaudi, Gautam Sreekumar, Vishnu Boddeti

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How can we learn generative models to sample data with arbitrary logical compositions of statistically independent attributes? The prevailing solution is to sample from distributions expressed as a composition of attributes' conditional marginal distributions under the assumption that they are statistically independent. This paper shows that standard conditional diffusion models violate this assumption, even when all attribute compositions are observed during training. And, this violation is significantly more severe when only a subset of the compositions is observed. We propose CoInD to address this problem. It explicitly enforces statistical independence between the conditional marginal distributions by minimizing Fisher’s divergence between the joint and marginal distributions. The theoretical advantages of CoInD are reflected in both qualitative and quantitative experiments, demonstrating a significantly more faithful and controlled generation of samples for arbitrary logical compositions of attributes. The benefit is more pronounced for scenarios that current solutions relying on the assumption of conditionally independent marginals struggle with, namely, logical compositions involving the NOT operation and when only a subset of compositions are observed during training.

Poster
Dynamical Diffusion: Learning Temporal Dynamics with Diffusion Models

Xingzhuo Guo, Yu Zhang, Baixu Chen, Haoran Xu, Jianmin Wang, Mingsheng Long

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Diffusion models have emerged as powerful generative frameworks by progressively adding noise to data through a forward process and then reversing this process to generate realistic samples. While these models have achieved strong performance across various tasks and modalities, their application to temporal predictive learning remains underexplored. Existing approaches treat predictive learning as a conditional generation problem, but often fail to fully exploit the temporal dynamics inherent in the data, leading to challenges in generating temporally coherent sequences. To address this, we introduce Dynamical Diffusion (DyDiff), a theoretically sound framework that incorporates temporally aware forward and reverse processes. Dynamical Diffusion explicitly models temporal transitions at each diffusion step, establishing dependencies on preceding states to better capture temporal dynamics. Through the reparameterization trick, Dynamical Diffusion achieves efficient training and inference similar to any standard diffusion model. Extensive experiments across scientific spatiotemporal forecasting, video prediction, and time series forecasting demonstrate that Dynamical Diffusion consistently improves performance in temporal predictive tasks, filling a crucial gap in existing methodologies. Code is available at this repository: https://github.com/thuml/dynamical-diffusion.

Poster
On Statistical Rates of Conditional Diffusion Transformers: Approximation, Estimation and Minimax Optimality

Jerry Yao-Chieh Hu, Weimin Wu, Yi-Chen Lee, Yu-Chao Huang, Minshuo Chen, Han Liu

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We investigate the approximation and estimation rates of conditional diffusion transformers (DiTs) with classifier-free guidance. We present a comprehensive analysis for “in-context” conditional DiTs under various common assumptions: generic and strong Hölder, linear latent (subspace), and Lipschitz score function assumptions. Importantly, we establish minimax optimality of DiTs by leveraging score function regularity. Specifically, we discretize the input domains into infinitesimal grids and then perform term-by-term Taylor expansions on the conditional diffusion score function under the Hölder smooth data assumption. This enables fine-grained use of transformers’ universal approximation through a more detailed piecewise constant approximation, and hence obtains tighter bounds. Additionally, we extend our analysis to latent settings. Our findings establish statistical limits for DiTs and offer practical guidance toward more efficient and accurate designs.

Poster
A Large-scale Training Paradigm for Graph Generative Models

Yu Wang, Ryan A. Rossi, Namyong Park, Huiyuan Chen, Nesreen K. Ahmed, Puja Trivedi, Franck Dernoncourt, Danai Koutra, Tyler Derr

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Large Generative Models (LGMs) such as GPT, Stable Diffusion, Sora, and Suno are trained on a huge amount of texts, images, videos, and audio that are extremely diverse from numerous domains. This large-scale training paradigm on diverse well-curated data enhances the creativity and diversity of the generated content. However, all previous graph-generative models (e.g., GraphRNN, MDVAE, MoFlow, GDSS, and DiGress) have been trained only on one dataset each time, which cannot replicate the revolutionary success achieved by LGMs in other fields. To remedy this crucial gap, we propose a large-scale training paradigm that uses a large corpus of graphs (over 5000 graphs) from 13 domains, leading to the development of large graph generative models (LGGMs). We empirically demonstrate that the pre-trained LGGMs have superior zero-shot generative capability to existing graph generative models. Furthermore, our pre-trained LGGMs can be easily fine-tuned with graphs from target domains and demonstrate even better performance than those directly trained from scratch, behaving as a solid starting point for real-world customization. Inspired by Stable Diffusion, we further equip LGGMs with the Text-to-Graph generation capability, such as providing the description of the network name and domain (i.e., "The power-1138-bus graph represents a network of buses in a power distribution system.") and network statistics (i.e., "The graph has a low average degree, suitable for modeling social media interactions."). This Text-to-Graph capability integrates the extensive world knowledge in the underlying language model, offering users fine-grained control of the generated graphs. We release the code, the model checkpoint, and the datasets at https://github.com/KINDLab-Fly/LGGM.

Poster
RB-Modulation: Training-Free Stylization using Reference-Based Modulation

Litu Rout, Yujia Chen, Nataniel Ruiz, Abhishek Kumar, Constantine Caramanis, Sanjay Shakkottai, Wen-Sheng Chu

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We propose Reference-Based Modulation (RB-Modulation), a new plug-and-play solution for training-free personalization of diffusion models. Existing training-free approaches exhibit difficulties in (a) style extraction from reference images in the absence of additional style or content text descriptions, (b) unwanted content leakage from reference style images, and (c) effective composition of style and content. RB-Modulation is built on a novel stochastic optimal controller where a style descriptor encodes the desired attributes through a terminal cost. The resulting drift not only overcomes the difficulties above, but also ensures high fidelity to the reference style and adheres to the given text prompt. We also introduce a cross-attention-based feature aggregation scheme that allows RB-Modulation to decouple content and style from the reference image. With theoretical justification and empirical evidence, our test-time optimization framework demonstrates precise extraction and control of *content* and *style* in a training-free manner. Further, our method allows a seamless composition of content and style, which marks a departure from the dependency on external adapters or ControlNets. See project page: https://rb-modulation.github.io/ for code and further details.

Oral
Making Transformer Decoders Better Differentiable Indexers

Wuchao Li, Kai Zheng, Defu Lian, Qi Liu, Wentian Bao, Yun En Yu, Yang Song, Han Li, Kun Gai

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Retrieval aims to find the top-k items most relevant to a query/user from a large dataset. Traditional retrieval models represent queries/users and items as embedding vectors and use Approximate Nearest Neighbor (ANN) search for retrieval. Recently, researchers have proposed a generative-based retrieval method that represents items as token sequences and uses a decoder model for autoregressive training. Compared to traditional methods, this approach uses more complex models and integrates index structure during training, leading to better performance. However, these methods remain two-stage processes, where index construction is separate from the retrieval model, limiting the model's overall capacity. Additionally, existing methods construct indices by clustering pre-trained item representations in Euclidean space. However, real-world scenarios are more complex, making this approach less accurate. To address these issues, we propose a \underline{U}nified framework for \underline{R}etrieval and \underline{I}ndexing, termed \textbf{URI}. URI ensures strong consistency between index construction and the retrieval model, typically a Transformer decoder. URI simultaneously builds the index and trains the decoder, constructing the index through the decoder itself. It no longer relies on one-sided item representations in Euclidean space but constructs the index within the interactive space between queries and items. Experimental comparisons on three real-world datasets show that URI significantly outperforms existing methods.

Poster
Can Generative AI Solve Your In-Context Learning Problem? A Martingale Perspective

Andrew Jesson, Nicolas Beltran-Velez, David Blei

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This work is about estimating when a conditional generative model (CGM) can solve an in-context learning (ICL) problem. An in-context learning (ICL) problem comprises a CGM, a dataset, and a prediction task. The CGM could be a multi-modal foundation model; the dataset, a collection of patient histories, test results, and recorded diagnoses; and the prediction task to communicate a diagnosis to a new patient. A Bayesian interpretation of ICL assumes that the CGM computes a posterior predictive distribution over an unknown Bayesian model defining a joint distribution over latent explanations and observable data. From this perspective, Bayesian model criticism is a reasonable approach to assess the suitability of a given CGM for an ICL problem. However, such approaches---like posterior predictive checks (PPCs)---often assume that we can sample from the likelihood and posterior defined by the Bayesian model, which are not explicitly given for contemporary CGMs. To address this, we show when ancestral sampling from the predictive distribution of a CGM is equivalent to sampling datasets from the posterior predictive of the assumed Bayesian model. Then we develop the generative predictive $p$-value, which enables PPCs and their cousins for contemporary CGMs. The generative predictive $p$-value can be used in a statistical decision procedure to determine when the model is appropriate for an ICL problem. Our method only requires generating queries and responses from a CGM and evaluating its response log probability. Using large language models, we empirically evaluate our method on tasks involving tabular data, imaging data, and natural language data.

Poster