UAI 2022 Papers

Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence

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230papers

Counted from the official paper list; may differ slightly from the number the conference announced.

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CIGMO: Categorical invariant representations in a deep generative framework

Haruo Hosoya

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Data of general object images have two most common structures: (1) each object of a given shape can be rendered in multiple different views, and (2) shapes of objects can be categorized in such a way that the diversity of shapes is much larger across categories than within a category. Existing deep generative models can typically capture either structure, but not both. In this work, we introduce a novel deep generative model, called CIGMO, that can learn to represent category, shape, and view factors from image data. The model is comprised of multiple modules of shape representations that are each specialized to a particular category and disentangled from view representation, and can be learned using a group-based weakly supervised learning method. By empirical investigation, we show that our model can effectively discover categories of object shapes despite large view variation and quantitatively supersede various previous methods including the state-of-the-art invariant clustering algorithm. Further, we show that our approach using category-specialization can enhance the learned shape representation to better perform down-stream tasks such as one-shot object identification as well as shape-view disentanglement.

Poster
Byzantine-tolerant distributed multiclass sparse linear discriminant analysis

Yajie Bao, Weidong Liu, Xiaojun Mao, Weijia Xiong

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Communication cost and security issues are both important in large-scale distributed machine learning. In this paper, we investigate a multiclass sparse classification problem under two distributed systems. We propose two distributed multiclass sparse discriminant analysis algorithms based on mean-aggregation and median-aggregation under the normal distributed system or Byzantine failure system. Both of them are computation and communication efficient. Several theoretical results, including estimation error bounds, and support recovery, are established. With moderate initial estimators, our iterative estimators achieve a (near-)optimal rate and exact support recovery after a constant number of rounds. Experiments on both synthetic and real datasets are provided to demonstrate the effectiveness of our proposed methods.

Poster
Binary independent component analysis: a non-stationarity-based approach

Antti Hyttinen, Vitória Barin Pacela, Aapo Hyvarinen

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We consider independent component analysis of binary data. While fundamental in practice, this case has been much less developed than ICA for continuous data. We start by assuming a linear mixing model in a continuous-valued latent space, followed by a binary observation model. Importantly, we assume that the sources are non-stationary; this is necessary since any non-Gaussianity would essentially be destroyed by the binarization. Interestingly, the model allows for closed-form likelihood by employing the cumulative distribution function of the multivariate Gaussian distribution. In stark contrast to the continuous-valued case, we prove non-identifiability of the model with few observed variables; our empirical results imply identifiability when the number of observed variables is higher. We present a practical method for binary ICA that uses only pairwise marginals, which are faster to compute than the full multivariate likelihood. Experiments give insight into the requirements for the number of observed variables, segments, and latent sources that allow the model to be estimated.

Poster
Bias aware probabilistic Boolean matrix factorization

Changlin Wan, Pengtao Dang, Tong Zhao, Yong Zang, Chi Zhang, Sha Cao

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Boolean matrix factorization (BMF) is a combinatorial problem arising from a wide range of applications including recommendation system, collaborative filtering, and dimensionality reduction. Currently, the noise model of existing BMF methods is often assumed to be homoscedastic; however, in real world data scenarios, the deviations of observed data from their true values are almost surely diverse due to stochastic noises, making each data point not equally suitable for fitting a model. In this case, it is not ideal to treat all data points as equally distributed. Motivated by such observations, we introduce a probabilistic BMF model that recognizes the object- and feature-wise bias distribution respectively, called bias aware BMF (BABF). To the best of our knowledge, BABF is the first approach for Boolean decomposition with consideration of the feature-wise and object-wise bias in binary data. We conducted experiments on datasets with different levels of background noise, bias level, and sizes of the signal patterns, to test the effectiveness of our method in various scenarios. We demonstrated that our model outperforms the state-of-the-art factorization methods in both accuracy and efficiency in recovering the original datasets, and the inferred bias level is highly significantly correlated with true existing bias in both simulated and real world datasets.

Poster
Bayesian structure learning with generative flow networks

Tristan Deleu, António Góis, Chris Emezue, Mansi Rankawat, Simon Lacoste-Julien, Stefan Bauer, Yoshua Bengio

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In Bayesian structure learning, we are interested in inferring a distribution over the directed acyclic graph (DAG) structure of Bayesian networks, from data. Defining such a distribution is very challenging, due to the combinatorially large sample space, and approximations based on MCMC are often required. Recently, a novel class of probabilistic models, called Generative Flow Networks (GFlowNets), have been introduced as a general framework for generative modeling of discrete and composite objects, such as graphs. In this work, we propose to use a GFlowNet as an alternative to MCMC for approximating the posterior distribution over the structure of Bayesian networks, given a dataset of observations. Generating a sample DAG from this approximate distribution is viewed as a sequential decision problem, where the graph is constructed one edge at a time, based on learned transition probabilities. Through evaluation on both simulated and real data, we show that our approach, called DAG-GFlowNet, provides an accurate approximation of the posterior over DAGs, and it compares favorably against other methods based on MCMC or variational inference.

Poster
Bayesian spillover graphs for dynamic networks

Grace Deng, David S. Matteson

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We present Bayesian Spillover Graphs (BSG), a novel method for learning temporal relationships, identifying critical nodes, and quantifying uncertainty for multi-horizon spillover effects in a dynamic system. BSG leverages both an interpretable framework via forecast error variance decompositions (FEVD) and comprehensive uncertainty quantification via Bayesian time series models to contextualize temporal relationships in terms of systemic risk and prediction variability. Forecast horizon hyperparameter h allows for learning both short-term and equilibrium state network behaviors. Experiments for identifying source and sink nodes under various graph and error specifications show significant performance gains against state-of-the-art Bayesian Networks and deep-learning baselines. Applications to real-world systems also showcase BSG as an exploratory analysis tool for uncovering indirect spillovers and quantifying systemic risk.

Poster
Bayesian quantile and expectile optimisation

Victor Picheny, Henry Moss, Léonard Torossian, Nicolas Durrande

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Bayesian optimisation (BO) is widely used to optimise stochastic black box functions. While most BO approaches focus on optimising conditional expectations, many applications require risk-averse strategies and alternative criteria accounting for the distribution tails need to be considered. In this paper, we propose new variational models for Bayesian quantile and expectile regression that are well-suited for heteroscedastic noise settings. Our models consist of two latent Gaussian processes accounting respectively for the conditional quantile (or expectile) and the scale parameter of an asymmetric likelihood functions. Furthermore, we propose two BO strategies based on max-value entropy search and Thompson sampling, that are tailored to such models and that can accommodate large batches of points. Contrary to existing BO approaches for risk-averse optimisation, our strategies can directly optimise for the quantile and expectile, without requiring replicating observations or assuming a parametric form for the noise. As illustrated in the experimental section, the proposed approach clearly outperforms the state of the art in the heteroscedastic, non-Gaussian case.

Poster
Bayesian federated estimation of causal effects from observational data

Thanh Vinh Vo, Young Lee, Trong Nghia Hoang, Tze Yun Leong

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We propose a Bayesian framework for estimating causal effects from federated observational data sources. Bayesian causal inference is an important approach to learning the distribution of the causal estimands and understanding the uncertainty of causal effects. Our framework estimates the posterior distributions of the causal effects to compute the higher-order statistics that capture the uncertainty. We integrate local causal effects from different data sources without centralizing them. We then estimate the treatment effects from observational data using a non-parametric reformulation of the classical potential outcomes framework. We model the potential outcomes as a random function distributed by Gaussian processes, with defining parameters that can be efficiently learned from multiple data sources. Our method avoids exchanging raw data among the sources, thus contributing towards privacy-preserving causal learning. The promise of our approach is demonstrated through a set of simulated and real-world examples.

Poster
Balancing utility and scalability in metric differential privacy

Jacob Imola, Shiva Kasiviswanathan, Stephen White, Abhinav Aggarwal, Nathanael Teissier

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Metric differential privacy (mDP) is a modification of differential privacy that is more suitable when records can be represented in a general metric space, such as text data represented as word embed- dings or geographical coordinates on a map. We consider the task of releasing elements of the metric space under metric differential privacy where utility is measured as the distance of the released element to the original element. Linear programming (LP) can be used to construct a mechanism that achieves the optimal utility for a particular mDP constraint. However, these LPs suffer from a polynomial explosion of variables and constraints that render them impractical for solving real-world problems. An important question is how to design rigorous mDP mechanisms that balance the utility- scalability tradeoff. Our main contribution is a new method for reducing the LP size used to generate mDP mechanisms by constraining the search space such that certain input and output pairs have transition probabilities derived from the exponential mechanism. Our method produces mDP mechanisms whose LPs are smaller that all prior work in this area. We also provide a lower bound on the best possible mechanism utility. Our experiments on real-world metric spaces highlight the superior utility-scalability tradeoff of our mechanism.

Poster
Balancing adaptability and non-exploitability in repeated games

Anthony DiGiovanni, Ambuj Tewari

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We study the problem of adaptability in repeated games: simultaneously guaranteeing low regret for several classes of opponents. We add the constraint that our algorithm is non-exploitable, in that the opponent lacks an incentive to use an algorithm against which we cannot achieve rewards exceeding some “fair” value. Our solution is an expert algorithm (LAFF), which searches within a set of sub-algorithms that are optimal for each opponent class, and punishes evidence of exploitation by switching to a policy that enforces a fair solution. With benchmarks that depend on the opponent class, we first show that LAFF has sublinear regret uniformly over these classes. Second, we show that LAFF discourages exploitation, because exploitative opponents have linear regret. To our knowledge, this work is the first to provide guarantees for both regret and non-exploitability in multi-agent learning.

Poster
Attribution of predictive uncertainties in classification models

Iker Perez, Piotr Skalski, Alec Barns-Graham, Jason Wong, David Sutton

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Predictive uncertainties in classification tasks are often a consequence of model inadequacy or insufficient training data. In popular applications, such as image processing, we are often required to scrutinise these uncertainties by meaningfully attributing them to input features. This helps to improve interpretability assessments. However, there exist few effective frameworks for this purpose. Vanilla forms of popular methods for the provision of saliency masks, such as SHAP or integrated gradients, adapt poorly to target measures of uncertainty. Thus, state-of-the-art tools instead proceed by creating counterfactual or adversarial feature vectors, and assign attributions by direct comparison to original images. In this paper, we present a novel framework that combines path integrals, counterfactual explanations and generative models, in order to procure attributions that contain few observable artefacts or noise. We evidence that this outperforms existing alternatives through quantitative evaluations with popular benchmarking methods and data sets of varying complexity.

Poster
Asymptotic optimality for active learning processes

Xueying Zhan, Yaowei Wang, Antoni B. Chan

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Active Learning (AL) aims to optimize basic learned model(s) iteratively by selecting and annotating unlabeled data samples that are deemed to best maximise the model performance with minimal required data. However, the learned model is easy to overfit due to the biased distribution (sampling bias and dataset shift) formed by non-uniform sampling used in AL. Considering AL as an iterative sequential optimization process, we first provide a perspective on AL in terms of statistical properties, i.e., asymptotic unbiasedness, consistency and asymptotic efficiency, with respect to basic estimators when the sample size (size of labeled set) becomes large, and in the limit as sample size tends to infinity. We then discuss how biases affect AL. Finally, we proposed a flexible AL framework that aims to mitigate the impact of bias in AL by minimizing generalization error and importance-weighted training loss simultaneously.

Poster
Asymmetric DQN for partially observable reinforcement learning

Andrea Baisero, Brett Daley, Christopher Amato

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Offline training in simulated partially observable environments allows reinforcement learning methods to exploit privileged state information through a mechanism known as asymmetry. Such privileged information has the potential to greatly improve the optimal convergence properties, if used appropriately. However, current research in asymmetric reinforcement learning is often heuristic in nature, with few connections to underlying theory or theoretical guarantees, and is primarily tested through empirical evaluation. In this work, we develop the theory of Asymmetric Policy Iteration, an exact model-based dynamic programming solution method, and then apply relaxations which eventually result in Asymmetric DQN, a model-free deep reinforcement learning algorithm. Our theoretical findings are complemented and validated by empirical experimentation performed in environments which exhibit significant amounts of partial observability, and require both information gathering strategies and memorization.

Poster
An explore-then-commit algorithm for submodular maximization under full-bandit feedback

Guanyu Nie, Mridul Agarwal, Abhishek Kumar Umrawal, Vaneet Aggarwal, Christopher John Quinn

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We investigate the problem of combinatorial multi-armed bandits with stochastic submodular (in expectation) rewards and full-bandit feedback, where no extra information other than the reward of selected action at each time step $t$ is observed. We propose a simple algorithm, Explore-Then-Commit Greedy (ETCG) and prove that it achieves a $(1-1/e)$-regret upper bound of $\mathcal{O}(n^\frac{1}{3}k^\frac{4}{3}T^\frac{2}{3}\log(T)^\frac{1}{2})$ for a horizon $T$, number of base elements $n$, and cardinality constraint $k$. We also show in experiments with synthetic and real-world data that the ETCG empirically outperforms other full-bandit methods.

Poster
Addressing token uniformity in transformers via singular value transformation

Hanqi Yan, Lin Gui, Wenjie Li, Yulan He

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Token uniformity is commonly observed in transformer-based models, in which different tokens share a large proportion of similar information after going through stacked multiple self-attention layers in a transformer. In this paper, we propose to use the distribution of singular values of outputs of each transformer layer to characterise the phenomenon of token uniformity and empirically illustrate that a less skewed singular value distribution can alleviate the token uniformity problem. Base on our observations, we define several desirable properties of singular value distributions and propose a novel transformation function for updating the singular values. We show that apart from alleviating token uniformity, the transformation function should preserve the local neighbourhood structure in the original embedding space. Our proposed singular value transformation function is applied to a range of transformer-based language models such as BERT, ALBERT, RoBERTa and DistilBERT, and improved performance is observed in semantic textual similarity evaluation and a range of GLUE tasks.

Poster
AdaCat: Adaptive categorical discretization for autoregressive models

Qiyang Li, Ajay Jain, Pieter Abbeel

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Autoregressive generative models can estimate complex continuous data distributions, like trajectory rollouts in an RL environment, image intensities, and audio. Most state-of-the-art models discretize continuous data into several bins and use categorical distributions over the bins to approximate the continuous data distribution. The advantage is that the categorical distribution can easily express multiple modes and are straightforward to optimize. However, such approximation cannot express sharp changes in density without using significantly more bins, which makes it parameter inefficient. We propose an efficient, expressive, multimodal parameterization called Adaptive Categorical Discretization (AdaCat). AdaCat discretizes each dimension of an autoregressive model adaptively, which allows the model to allocate density to fine intervals of interest, improving parameter efficiency. AdaCat generalizes both categoricals and quantile-based regression. AdaCat is a simple add-on to any discretization-based distribution estimator. In experiments, AdaCat improves density estimation for real-world tabular data, images, audio, and trajectories, and improves planning in model-based offline RL.

Poster
Active learning with label comparisons

Gal Yona, Shay Moran, Gal Elidan, Amir Globerson

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Supervised learning typically relies on manual annotation of the true labels. When there are many potential classes, searching for the best one can be prohibitive for a human annotator. On the other hand, comparing two candidate labels is often much easier. We focus on this type of pairwise supervision and ask how it can be used effectively in learning, and in particular in active learning. We obtain several insightful results in this context. In principle, finding the best of k labels can be done with k-1 active queries. We show that there is a natural class where this approach is sub-optimal, and that there is a more comparison-efficient active learning scheme. A key element in our analysis is the “label neighborhood graph” of the true distribution, which has an edge between two classes if they share a decision boundary. We also show that in the PAC setting, pairwise comparisons cannot provide improved sample complexity in the worst case. We complement our theoretical results with experiments, clearly demonstrating the effect of the neighborhood graph on sample complexity.

Poster
Active approximately metric-fair learning

Yiting Cao, Chao Lan

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Existing studies on individual fairness focus on the passive setting and typically require $O(\frac{1}{\varepsilon^2})$ labeled instances to achieve an $\varepsilon$ bias budget. In this paper, we build on the elegant Approximately Metric-Fair (AMF) learning framework and propose an active AMF learner that can provably achieve the same budget with only $O(\log \frac{1}{\varepsilon})$ labeled instances. To our knowledge, this is a first and substantial improvement of the existing sample complexity for achieving individual fairness. Through experiments on three data sets, we show the proposed active AMF learner improves fairness on linear and non-linear models more efficiently than its passive counterpart as well as state-of-the-art active learners, while maintaining a comparable accuracy. To facilitate algorithm design and analysis, we also design a provably equivalent form of the approximate metric fairness based on uniform continuity instead of the existing almost Lipschitz continuity.

Poster
Accelerating training of batch normalization: A manifold perspective

Mingyang Yi

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Batch normalization (BN) has become a critical component across diverse deep neural networks. The network with BN is invariant to positively linear re-scale transformation, which makes there exist infinite functionally equivalent networks with different scales of weights. However, optimizing these equivalent networks with the first-order method such as stochastic gradient descent will obtain a series of iterates converging to different local optima owing to their different gradients across training. To obviate this, we propose a quotient manifold PSI manifold, in which all the equivalent weights of the network with BN are regarded as the same element. Next, we construct gradient descent and stochastic gradient descent on the proposed PSI manifold to train the network with BN. The two algorithms guarantee that every group of equivalent weights (caused by positively re-scaling) converge to the equivalent optima. Besides that, we give convergence rates of the proposed algorithms on the PSI manifold. The results show that our methods accelerate training compared with the algorithms on the Euclidean weight space. Finally, empirical results verify that our algorithms consistently improve the existing methods in both convergence rate and generalization ability under various experimental settings.

Poster
AUTM flow: atomic unrestricted time machine for monotonic normalizing flows

Difeng Cai, Yuliang Ji, Huan He, Qiang Ye, Yuanzhe Xi

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Nonlinear monotone transformations are used extensively in normalizing flows to construct invertible triangular mappings from simple distributions to complex ones. In existing literature, monotonicity is usually enforced by restricting function classes or model parameters and the inverse transformation is often approximated by root-finding algorithms as a closed-form inverse is unavailable. In this paper, we introduce a new integral-based approach termed: Atomic Unrestricted Time Machine (AUTM), equipped with unrestricted integrands and easy-to-compute explicit inverse. AUTM offers a versatile and efficient way to the design of normalizing flows with explicit inverse and unrestricted function classes or parameters. Theoretically, we present a constructive proof that AUTM is universal: all monotonic normalizing flows can be viewed as limits of AUTM flows. We provide a concrete example to show how to approximate any given monotonic normalizing flow using AUTM flows with guaranteed convergence. The result implies that AUTM can be used to transform an existing flow into a new one equipped with explicit inverse and unrestricted parameters. The performance of the new approach is evaluated on high dimensional density estimation, variational inference and image generation. Experiments demonstrate superior speed and memory efficiency of AUTM.

Poster