NeurIPS 2026 Papers

Conference on Neural Information Processing Systems

Decision breakdown

6,437papers

Counted from the official paper list; may differ slightly from the number the conference announced.

  • Oral
    991.5%
  • Spotlight
    2403.7%
  • Poster
    6,09894.7%

Browse all papers

NormLift: From Lifted Features To Semantic Reliability In 3D Gaussian Splatting

Yihan Zang, Da Li, Dominik Engel, Shinkyu Park, Ivan Viola

Expand abstract

Training-free weighted aggregation is widely used to lift 2D semantic features onto 3D Gaussians for open-vocabulary scene understanding, yet its theoretical role remains insufficiently understood. Existing analyses typically justify this operation from the rendering side, treating Gaussian features as linearly composable Euclidean variables for reconstructing 2D feature maps. However, this view does not match downstream 3D usage, where each Gaussian is often queried independently in a cosine-based embedding space. We revisit feature lifting from the 3D side and formulate per-Gaussian assignment as a cosine alignment problem on the CLIP unit sphere. Under this objective, the $\ell_2$-normalized semantic back-projected feature emerges as the closed-form solution, providing a complementary interpretation of the standard lifting rule from the perspective of per-Gaussian semantic assignment. The same formulation further yields a norm decomposition into intra-view and inter-view consistency, suggesting that feature magnitude itself can serve as a semantic reliability signal. Calibrated by effective multi-view support, this reliability score guides a mode-voting refinement that preserves CLIP feature validity by avoiding linear averaging. Experiments on open-vocabulary 3D semantic segmentation show that NormLift is an efficient, training-free framework that achieves strong performance across evaluation protocols.

Poster
Norm Anchors Make Model Edits Last

Mingda Liu, Zhenghan Zhu, Ze‘an Miao, Katsuki Fujisawa

Expand abstract

Sequential Locate-and-Edit (L\&E) model editing can fail abruptly after many edits. We identify and formalize this failure as a positive _norm-feedback loop_, in which solved value vectors and edited MLP weights progressively amplify each other, degrading edit quality and eventually collapsing model capabilities. Our analysis shows that this feedback can yield approximately exponential norm growth under standard L\&E dynamics, and can remain unresolved by existing increment-level regularizers or update clamps. We propose $\textbf{Norm-Anchor Scaling (NAS)}$, a plug-in stabilizer that breaks this loop by rescaling each solved value vector to an original-model reference norm. Across multiple LLM backbones, datasets, and L\&E editors, NAS extends the usable editing horizon by more than $\textbf{4$\times$}$ and improves long-run editing performance by $\textbf{72.2\%}$ on average, while preserving single-edit efficacy, with only a **one-line modification and negligible computational overhead**. The code is available in the supplementary materials.

Poster
Nonparametric In-Context Learning under Growing Geometric Complexity: Minimax Optimality and Local Geometry-Adaptivity of Transformers

Jaehee Seo, Jisu Kim

Expand abstract

Transformers have become a central architecture for \emph{in-context learning}, particularly through their strong empirical performance in large language models. This success suggests that transformers can extract task-relevant structure directly from prompts, even when the underlying data have complex geometric structure. However, existing theoretical analyses of transformer-based in-context learning are largely confined to simplified settings, such as Euclidean domains or single-manifold models. In this paper, we study in-context nonparametric regression under growing geometric complexity, modeled by a sample-size-dependent mixture of manifolds with heterogeneous local geometry. For this model class, we establish a minimax lower bound that captures the aggregate difficulty of its local components. We then construct an oracle tangent local-polynomial estimator and prove a matching upper bound by exploiting local geometric structure. The main technical step is to connect this estimator to a transformer architecture. We construct a two-stage linear-attention transformer consisting of a geometric preconditioner and all-chart reduced local-polynomial solvers, and show that its approximation error is negligible relative to the minimax regression rate. We also prove an in-context generalization bound for $\varepsilon$-near empirical risk minimizers within this transformer class. Together, the lower bound, oracle construction, transformer approximation, and generalization analysis identify the conditions under which the resulting in-context predictor adapts to local geometry and attains the aggregate minimax rate.

Poster
Nonparametric Distribution Matching for Self-Supervised Whole-Slide Image Condensation

Duong Nguyen, Nghia Hoang, Hang T Nguyen, Thanh Trung Huynh, Phi Le Nguyen, Minh Do

Expand abstract

Histological whole-slide images (WSIs) are central to computational pathology but pose severe computational challenges due to their extremely high resolution, often spanning several gigabytes per slide. To enable scalable learning, existing methods apply self-supervised data condensation to reduce computational cost, but typically rely on heuristic prototype learning and do not explicitly preserve learning-relevant feature distributions for downstream tasks. In response, we introduce a principled reformulation of WSI condensation as a distribution-matching problem under a fixed representational lens, and develop NICER, a tractable approximation framework based on a nonparametric prior with slide-adaptive capacity. Experiments on five histopathology datasets, together with clinical evaluation from a board-certified pathologist, show that NICER consistently outperforms prior methods, achieving an average accuracy improvement of 7.44% while offering improved efficiency–accuracy trade-offs, highlighting the benefits of principled, distribution-aware condensation for scalable histological representation learning.

Poster
Nonlinear Direct Feedback Alignment for Scalable Backpropagation-Free Training

Wu Lin, Yan Fan, Chenxiang Ma, Yinglan Feng, Jia Wang, Ka-Chun Wong, Qiuzhen Lin

Expand abstract

Backpropagation (BP) remains the predominant algorithm for training deep neural networks, but it is biologically implausible and suffers from the backward locking problem, constraining parallelization across layers. Direct Feedback Alignment (DFA), which propagates the global output error directly to each hidden layer via fixed feedback matrices, has emerged as a promising alternative for addressing these limitations. However, a significant performance gap persists between DFA and BP, which we attribute to the limited ability of fixed feedback matrices to capture the nonlinear transformation from hidden representations to the network output. To address this limitation, we propose Nonlinear Direct Feedback Alignment (NDFA), which constructs each hidden-layer feedback using a lightweight nonlinear surrogate subnetwork. To enhance the effectiveness of the feedback throughout training, we further propose a learning strategy to update the surrogate subnetwork, thereby better approximating the underlying nonlinear transformation. Extensive experiments across residual networks and vision transformers on CIFAR-10, CIFAR-100, SVHN, and ImageNet datasets demonstrate that NDFA consistently outperforms existing DFA-based methods and substantially narrows the performance gap to BP, while maintaining efficient parallel training. Code will be publicly available after the review process.

Poster
Nonconvex Decentralized Stochastic Bilevel Optimization under Heavy-Tailed Noise

Xinwen Zhang, Yihan Zhang, Heng Liang, Hongchang Gao

Expand abstract

Existing decentralized stochastic optimization methods assume the lower-level loss function is strongly convex and the stochastic gradient noise has finite variance. These strong assumptions typically are not satisfied in real-world machine learning models. For example, learning on language data typically leads to heavy-tailed gradient. To address these limitations, we develop a novel decentralized stochastic bilevel optimization algorithm for the nonconvex bilevel optimization problem under heavy-tailed noise. Specifically, we develop a normalized stochastic variance-reduced bilevel gradient descent algorithm, which does not rely on any clipping operation. Moreover, we establish its convergence rate by innovatively bounding interdependent gradient sequences under heavy-tailed noise for nonconvex decentralized bilevel optimization problems. As far as we know, this is the first decentralized bilevel optimization algorithm with rigorous theoretical guarantees under heavy-tailed noise. The extensive experimental results confirm the effectiveness of our algorithm in handling heavy-tailed noise.

Poster
Non-Linear Pricing Restores Tractability for a Data Seller

Bhaskar Ray Chaudhury, Jugal Garg, Eklavya Sharma, Jiaxin Song

Expand abstract

We consider a data seller who designs pricing mechanisms over multiple datasets to maximize revenue from budget-constrained buyers. The seller offers multiple datasets and assigns each a pricing function that maps the quantity purchased to a total payment. The goal is to design these pricing functions to maximize revenue, anticipating that buyers—who trade off accuracy gains against cost—choose bundles optimally subject to their budget constraints. Prior work [Chaudhury et al., 2026] studies such optimal pricing under the restriction that each dataset is assigned a linear price, and shows that computing optimal linear prices is computationally intractable. In contrast, we allow each dataset to be priced via a general function and show that this additional flexibility can not only increase the revenue but also restore tractability, yielding a surprising simultaneous improvement in economic performance and computational efficiency. Even when pricing functions are only required to be monotone and lower-continuous, optimal pricing admits a highly structured and simple form: each pricing function is piecewise linear and convex (PLC), and the optimal solution can be computed in polynomial time. Moreover, the total number of kinks across all pricing functions is bounded by the number of buyers. Consequently, when datasets significantly outnumber buyers, most pricing functions are effectively linear. We further empirically study the structure of optimal pricing by analyzing the number of kinks and the revenue gap between optimal nonlinear pricing and optimal linear pricing on simulations generated from a real dataset.

Poster
Non-Expanding Gated Continued Fraction Architecture for Feedforward Layers in Language Models

Amit Dhurandhar, Vijil Chenthamarakshan, Karthikeyan Natesan Ramamurthy, Dennis Wei, Rahul Nair

Expand abstract

Recent work has shown that continued fraction inspired neural architectures (CoFrGeNets) can be highly parameter efficient yet performant for language modeling. In this work, we revisit continued fraction-based channel mixing with the goal of improving its performance and simplifying integration into standard pre-training protocols for language models. We achieve this by two simple yet critical contributions: i) we propose a novel non-expanding gated continued fraction inspired architectural component to replace feedforward layers in established language model architectures that may use vanilla multilayer perceptrons or gated linear units or (vanilla/gated) experts in mixture-of-experts (MoE) type architectures. ii) We propose a way to re-implement divisions -- the non-linearity in these architectures -- in terms of logarithms and exponentials. By experimenting on different language modeling architectures such as GPT-2, Llama-3, Mamba-2 and (nano) Llama-MoE we find that our proposed architecture performs similarly or significantly better than the continued fraction architecture proposed in prior work along with having higher throughput. In addition, our re-implementation of divisions makes training of deeper CoFrGeNets stable without the need for incremental training which was proposed in prior work as a means to stabilize training, but added notable complexity to existing large language model training implementations.

Poster
Non-Asymptotic Best Policy Identification Guarantees in Online Reinforcement Learning

Joseph Lazzaro, Alessio Russo, Aldo Pacchiano

Expand abstract

In this work we study the Best Policy Identification (BPI) problem in online, tabular Reinforcement Learning. This is an active sequential hypothesis testing problem in which the learner's objective is to identify an optimal policy in a Markov Decision Process (MDP) with high confidence, while minimizing the expected sample complexity to do so. We consider an online setting with deterministic rewards, where the agent must strategically navigate through the MDP in order to effectively explore. Previous works in the literature have provided asymptotically optimal methods for BPI, such as the Navigate and Stop (NaS) algorithm and its variants, however existing analysis remains asymptotic. In this work, we fill that gap by providing the first non-asymptotic sample complexity guarantees for NaS, showing that its sample complexity depends not only on the characteristic time, but also on the connectivity of the underlying MDP, the curvature of the optimal characteristic time, and other instance-dependent quantities. We identify these additional attributes and make explicit their contributions to the overall sample complexity.

Poster
Noisy2Latent: Nonparametric Deconvolution and Denoising via Maximum Mean Discrepancy

Ritwik Vashistha, Abhra Sarkar, Arya Farahi

Expand abstract

Latent signals are often obscured by measurement noise, yet encode the underlying laws and dynamics of complex systems; learning both the signals and their distributions remains a central challenge in scientific inference. The noise is often non-negligible, and the likelihoods for expressive generative models are often intractable. We utilize a convolutional maximum mean discrepancy (convMMD) loss and propose a likelihood-free framework for nonparametric density deconvolution and empirical Bayes denoising under additive measurement error. Our method learns a latent generative model by matching the observed data distribution to the noise-convolved model distribution. This yields a differentiable, simulation-based objective for multivariate homoscedastic or heteroscedastic noise, compatible with expressive sieve classes such as Gaussian mixtures and normalizing flows. The learned density then serves as an empirical prior for posterior denoising of individual latent values. Theoretically, we extend convMMD from parametric to nonparametric estimation, proving finite-sample bounds for empirical sieve minimizers and $L_2$ convergence rates under Sobolev smoothness. These rates recover the classical inverse-problem dependence: polynomial for ordinary-smooth and logarithmic for super-smooth noises. Our method provides a practical, theoretically grounded approach to deconvolution and denoising under generative latent distribution models.

Poster
Noisy isomorphism: Robust expressivity of GNNs under structural perturbation

Ning Zhang, Mihai Cucuringu, Xiaowen Dong

Expand abstract

The expressivity of graph neural networks is predominantly characterized in a noiseless setting via binary graph isomorphism tests. This perspective certifies whether two graphs can be distinguished, but does not quantify how robust such distinctions are under structural perturbations. In practice, however, real-world graphs are often corrupted by noise, where even small structural changes might lead to disproportionate distortions in learned representations. In this study, we generalize graph isomorphism to a noisy alignment criterion, requiring that graphs that remain identifiable under noise are embedded closer to their source than to any alternative. This yields a margin-based formulation of expressivity that bridges the gap between combinatorial isomorphism-based theory and the continuous learned representations. Notably, our framework is architecture-agnostic and strictly generalizes classical isomorphism-based expressivity. We further derive certified robustness guarantees for node-level tasks and an explicit robustness radius for graph-level representations. Experiments confirm that our criteria predict and improve robustness under structural perturbations.

Poster
Noisy Data is Destructive to Reinforcement Learning with Verifiable Rewards

Yuxuan Zhu, Daniel Kang

Expand abstract

Reinforcement learning with verifiable rewards (RLVR) has driven recent capability advances of large language models across domains. Recent studies suggest that improved RLVR algorithms allow models to learn effectively from incorrect annotations, achieving performance comparable to learning from clean data. In this work, we show that these findings are invalid because the claimed 100% noisy training data is "contaminated" with clean data. After rectifying the dataset with a rigorous re-verification pipeline, we demonstrate that noisy data is destructive to RLVR. We show that existing RLVR algorithm improvements fail to mitigate the impact of noisy data, achieving similar performance to that of the basic GRPO. Furthermore, we find that the model trained on truly incorrect annotations performs 8-10% worse than the model trained on clean data across mathematical reasoning benchmarks. Finally, we show that these findings hold for real-world noise in Text2SQL tasks, where training on real-world, human annotation errors cause 5-12% lower accuracy than clean data. Our results show that current RLVR methods cannot yet compensate for poor data quality. High-quality data remains essential.

Poster
Noise-Level KL Rates for Multi-Marginal Schrödinger Bridge Surrogates

Hui Chen, Shen Xu, Vikas Singh

Expand abstract

It is now common to use 2D diffusion priors for problems where the underlying object is 3D (e.g., medical imaging). We would pick a noise schedule from the EDM literature, anneal a tilted prior, and then use the formulation as a 3D generative model. It works empirically. But we know very little about what it converges to and how fast. We study this question for a natural target: the multi-marginal Schrödinger bridge, the relative-entropy projection of a 3D prior onto the distribution whose rendered slices match the 2D marginals. But computing it is intractable. The annealed 2D-tilted surrogate is what one actually uses in applications. The main question is how close the latter object is to the former. Our main idea is that the discrepancy between these two laws — a comparison of two high-dimensional, fully coupled distributions — can be reduced to the size of a *single* scalar correction field. This field has a nice two-piece form: residual coupling across slices and tempering mismatch from the annealed discrete schedule. Using a Gaussian-smoothed filtration, Wasserstein screening, and conditional concentration, we obtain an explicit discrepancy bound in which the relevant terms separate into latent and posterior-residual contributions. When the smoothing scale is identified with the EDM noise level $\sigma(\tau)$, our bound yields $\mathrm{KL}(\Pi_\tau\|P^\star)=O\left(N\sigma(\tau)^2\right)$ and $\|\Pi_\tau-P^\star\|_{\mathrm{TV}}=O\left(\sqrt{N}\sigma(\tau)\right),$ if the latent scale remains bounded and the surrogate log-discrepancy is noise-aligned. So, the 2D-tilted construction converges to the Schrödinger-bridge lift at a rate governed by user-checkable quantities like the surrogate Lipschitz constants and the posterior concentration constant.

Poster
NoTVLA: Semantics-Preserving Robot Adaptation via Narrative Action Interfaces

Zheng Huang, Mingyu Liu, Xiaoyi Lin, Muzhi Zhu, Ye Lin, Canyu Zhao, Zongze Du, Xiaoman Li, Hao Zhong, Yiduo Jia, Hao Chen, Chunhua Shen

Expand abstract

Robot fine-tuning can improve manipulation success while degrading the semantic structure inherited from large vision-language pretraining. This trade-off limits the reuse of vision-language-action (VLA) policies in settings that require compositional instructions, camera changes, and coordination with higher-level agents. We present \textbf{NoTVLA}, a semantics-preserving robot adaptation framework that replaces dense low-level action supervision with a sparse narrative action interface. NoTVLA converts demonstrations into sparse, semantically meaningful waypoints, grounds each decision with a task-relevant visual anchor and depth value, and reconstructs executable motion through a deterministic detokenizer. The resulting interface keeps the autoregressive vision-language backbone close to its pretrained prediction format while delegating high-frequency control to a transparent motion-rendering stage. We evaluate this design through matched and backbone-family comparisons, semantic retention probes, semantic out-of-distribution manipulation tasks, camera and depth perturbations, and deployment-oriented efficiency analysis. The results suggest that robot adaptation should be judged not only by task success, but also by how much task-relevant semantic competence is preserved during fine-tuning.

Poster
NoTA: Normalized Tensor Adaptation for Parameter-Efficient Continual Learning

Yunsong Deng, Yuning Qiu, Qibin Zhao, Guoxu Zhou

Expand abstract

Rehearsal-free class-incremental learning (CIL) requires a model to learn new classes sequentially without storing previous data, making catastrophic forgetting a central challenge. Adapter-based methods have become a prevalent solution by storing and accumulating task-specific update matrices, yet the effect of the cumulative update magnitude on CIL performance remains underexplored. In this work, we propose Normalized Tensor Adaptation (NoTA), which addresses these two aspects jointly. MPO adapters provide a compact structured space for storing task-specific updates, while global normalization controls the accumulated update that determines the final model. Our empirical analysis reveals a key observation: global normalization consistently improves both matrix-based and MPO-based adapters by stabilizing the cumulative update magnitude across task sequences. We further provide a theoretical analysis showing that global normalization yields a forgetting bound independent of the task sequence length, in contrast to task-wise normalization whose bound can grow with later tasks. Building on the tensor network structure of MPO, we introduce a variant with hierarchical coefficients (H-NoTA), which uses task-level coefficients and inter-core modulation matrices to refine the contributions of historical adapters. Extensive experiments demonstrate that our methods consistently improve rehearsal-free CIL performance while maintaining strong parameter efficiency.

Poster
No-Regret Caching with Delayed Hits

Bowen Jiang, Chaofan Ma, Qi Li, Wang Duo

Expand abstract

Delayed hits occur when requests arrive while a previous miss for the same item is still being fetched. They break the equivalence between hit ratio and latency because caching decisions depend on frequency, burst structure, and fetch latency. We develop a regret framework for delayed-hit caching, with static regret against long-term placement and switching regret against piecewise-changing workloads. We show that classical deterministic policies and randomized Marker fail to achieve no-regret guarantees, both suffering linear static regret. For stochastic arrivals, we introduce delayed-hit shadow values and propose UCB-DH, which achieves $O(\log T)$ static regret on fixed instances with positive gaps, where $T$ is the horizon. A matching gap-dependent lower bound shows that the delayed-hit latency-amplification factor is statistically unavoidable, and restarted UCB-DH gives sublinear regret for piecewise-changing workloads. For oblivious adversarial arrivals, we formulate an action-independent shadow loss and propose LA-FTPL with latency-scaled perturbations and completion-time admission. LA-FTPL achieves $O(\sqrt{KT\log N\,(Z^2+C_BZ)})$ shadow static regret, where $K$ is the cache capacity, $N$ the item universe size, $Z$ the fetch latency, and $C_B$ the maximum one-window delayed-hit penalty. With periodic restarts, it achieves $O(ZT^{2/3}B^{1/3}(K\log N)^{1/3})$ switching regret against comparators with at most $B$ cache changes. Experiments on synthetic and real-world traces show that our algorithms achieve sublinear regret and improve latency over the state-of-the-art baselines.

Poster
No One Knows the State-of-the-Art in Geospatial Foundation Models

Isaac Corley, Caleb Robinson, Nils Lehmann, Gabriel Tseng, Anthony Fuller, Hamed Alemohammad, Evan Shelhamer, Jennifer Marcus, Hannah Kerner

Expand abstract

Geospatial foundation models (GFMs) have been proposed as generalizable backbones for disaster response, land-cover mapping, food-security monitoring, and other high-stakes Earth-observation tasks. Yet the published work about these models does not give reviewers or users enough information to tell which model fits a given task. We argue that nobody knows what the current state of the art is in geospatial foundation models. The methods may be useful, but the GFM literature does not standardize evaluations, training and testing protocols, released weights, or pretraining controls well enough for anyone to compare or rank them. In a 152-paper audit, we find 46 cross-paper disagreements of at least 10 points for the same model, benchmark, and protocol; 94/126 papers with extractable pretraining data use a configuration no other paper uses; and 39\% of GFM papers release no model weights. This lack of community standards can be solved. We propose six concrete expectations: named-license weight release, shared core evaluations, copied-versus-rerun baseline annotations, variance reporting, one shared evaluation harness, and data-vs-architecture-vs-algorithm controls. These gaps are a coordination failure, not a fault of any individual lab; the authors of this paper, like many others in the GFM community, have contributed to them. Rather than just critiquing the community, we aim to provide concrete steps toward a shared understanding of how to innovate GFMs.

Poster
No Model Required: Text Entropy Rate Filtering Prevents Iterative Fine-Tuning Collapse

Lewis Mitchell

Expand abstract

Iterative fine-tuning on synthetic data causes \emph{model collapse}: output diversity narrows as rare patterns are progressively lost. Existing mitigations either require model log-probabilities, an external oracle, or continued access to real human data. Here we develop a new approach grounded in mathematical information theory: the non-parametric Kontoyiannis entropy rate estimator $H_K$, computed entirely from raw text via match-length statistics, with no model of any kind. We show that this is in fact a superior training-data filter on text-diversity metrics in a fully-synthetic, single-lineage fine-tuning setting. In a six-generation QLoRA collapse experiment on Llama-3.1-8B, logprob-based filtering (the established gold standard) provides no significant text-diversity benefit on any metric ($p > 0.23$), whereas $H_K$-filtering yields +42% unique trigrams, +30% vocabulary, and -19% repetition (all $p < 0.001$). We validate $H_K$ as a cross-domain entropy proxy ($\beta = 0.924$, $R^2 = 0.746$) and collapse detector ($\rho = +0.454$, $p < 0.0001$) across 4 domains, 3 temperatures, 2 generator--scorer model pairs, and 1,680 generated documents. Our results demonstrate that information theoretic approaches to collapse mitigation are efficient, and suggest new approaches for maintaining multi-agent diversity.

Poster
No Free Alignment: Observability-Aware Alignment for Multimodal Heterogeneous Learning

Canran Xiao, Puning Zhao, Enneng Yang, Xiaochun Cao, Haobo Fu, Li Shen

Expand abstract

Multimodal heterogeneous learning aims to train reliable multimodal models when data sources differ in modality availability, semantic coverage, domain distribution, and missingness patterns. Although cross-modal alignment is widely used to mitigate such heterogeneity, we argue that alignment is not free: enforcing relations that are weakly supported by the observed data can amplify noise, over-transfer missing-modality information, and induce negative transfer. This paper studies when a modality--modality--semantic relation is sufficiently observable to be safely aligned and shared across heterogeneous sources. We propose **ObsAlign**, an observability-aware framework that summarizes visible modality--semantic evidence through compact source-level sketches and estimates relation-level support from bridge evidence, side support, cross-modal consistency, and prototype uncertainty. The resulting observability score gates co-observed alignment, calibrates weak missing-modality transfer, and guides evidence-aware source consolidation so that reliable relations are shared while unsupported variation remains local. Across image--text, audio--visual--text, action-recognition, sensor, and healthcare benchmarks under source-partitioned multimodal heterogeneity, ObsAlign achieves the best overall performance in both encoder-based and VLM-compatible regimes, while sharply reducing negative transfer on low-observability relations. These results suggest that relation-level observability provides a practical principle for deciding when cross-modal alignment should be strengthened, weakened, or avoided.

Poster
No Coin Left Behind: Maximizing Strategic Surplus Against No-Regret Dynamics

Yiheng Su, Emmanouil-Vasileios Vlatakis-Gkaragkounis

Expand abstract

We investigate the **strategic surplus** obtainable against a **Follow-the-Regularized-Leader (FTRL)** learner with constant step size $\eta$ in $n \times m$ two-player zero-sum games played over $T$ rounds against a clairvoyant optimizer. In contrast with prior analysis, we show that the extraction of such regret-scale surplus is an inherent feature of the FTRL family, rather than an artifact of specific instantiations. First, for a fixed max-min optimizer, we establish a sweeping law of order $\Omega(N/\eta)$, proving that utility surplus scales with the number of the learner's suboptimal actions $N$ and vanishes in their absence. Second, for an alternating optimizer, a surplus of $\Omega(\eta T/\text{poly}(n,m))$ can be guaranteed regardless of the equilibrium structure, with high probability, in random games. Our analysis uncovers a sharp geometric dichotomy: **non-steep** regularizers allow the optimizer to realize the maximal transient surplus via finite-time elimination of suboptimal actions, whereas **steep** regularizers introduce a vanishing tail correction that can delay surplus saturation. Finally, we discuss whether this leverage persists under bilateral payoff uncertainty and propose a susceptibility measure quantifying which regularizers are most vulnerable to learner-aware strategic steering.

Poster