NeurIPS 2025 Papers

Conference on Neural Information Processing Systems

Decision breakdown

5,812papers

Counted from the official paper list; may differ slightly from the number the conference announced.

  • Oral
    931.6%
  • Spotlight
    73912.7%
  • Poster
    4,98085.7%

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Statistical Inference under Performativity

Xiang Li, Yunai Li, Huiying Zhong, Lihua Lei, Zhun Deng

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Performativity of predictions refers to the phenomenon where prediction-informed decisions influence the very targets they aim to predict—a dynamic commonly observed in policy-making, social sciences, and economics. In this paper, we initiate an end-to-end framework of statistical inference under performativity. Our contributions are twofold. First, we establish a central limit theorem for estimation and inference in the performative setting, enabling standard inferential tasks such as constructing confidence intervals and conducting hypothesis tests in policy-making contexts. Second, we leverage this central limit theorem to study prediction-powered inference (PPI) under performativity. This approach yields more precise estimates and tighter confidence regions for the model parameters (i.e., policies) of interest in performative prediction. We validate the effectiveness of our framework through numerical experiments. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first work to establish a complete statistical inference under performativity, introducing new challenges and inference settings that we believe will provide substantial value to policy-making, statistics, and machine learning.

Poster
Towards Robust Zero-Shot Reinforcement Learning

Kexin Zheng, Lauriane Teyssier, Yinan Zheng, Yu Luo, Xianyuan Zhan

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The recent development of zero-shot reinforcement learning (RL) has opened a new avenue for learning pre-trained generalist policies that can adapt to arbitrary new tasks in a zero-shot manner. While the popular Forward-Backward representations (FB) and related methods have shown promise in zero-shot RL, we empirically found that their modeling lacks expressivity and that extrapolation errors caused by out-of-distribution (OOD) actions during offline learning sometimes lead to biased representations, ultimately resulting in suboptimal performance. To address these issues, we propose Behavior-REgularizEd Zero-shot RL with Expressivity enhancement (BREEZE), an upgraded FB-based framework that simultaneously enhances learning stability, policy extraction capability, and representation learning quality. BREEZE introduces behavioral regularization in zero-shot RL policy learning, transforming policy optimization into a stable in-sample learning paradigm. Additionally, BREEZE extracts the policy using a task-conditioned diffusion model, enabling the generation of high-quality and multimodal action distributions in zero-shot RL settings. Moreover, BREEZE employs expressive attention-based architectures for representation modeling to capture the complex relationships between environmental dynamics. Extensive experiments on ExORL and D4RL Kitchen demonstrate that BREEZE achieves the best or near-the-best performance while exhibiting superior robustness compared to prior offline zero-shot RL methods. The official implementation is available at: https://github.com/Whiterrrrr/BREEZE.

Poster
QiMeng-SALV: Signal-Aware Learning for Verilog Code Generation

Yang Zhang, Rui Zhang, Jiaming Guo, Huang Lei, Di Huang, Yunpu Zhao, Shuyao Cheng, Pengwei Jin, Chongxiao Li, Zidong Du, Xing Hu, Qi Guo, Yunji Chen

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The remarkable progress of Large Language Models (LLMs) presents promising opportunities for Verilog code generation which is significantly important for automated circuit design. The lacking of meaningful functional rewards hinders the preference optimization based on Reinforcement Learning (RL) for producing functionally correct Verilog code. In this paper, we propose Signal-Aware Learning for Verilog code generation (QiMeng-SALV) by leveraging code segments of functionally correct output signal to optimize RL training. Considering Verilog code specifies the structural interconnection of hardware gates and wires so that different output signals are independent, the key insight of QiMeng-SALV is to extract verified signal-aware implementations in partially incorrect modules, so as to enhance the extraction of meaningful functional rewards. Roughly, we verify the functional correctness of signals in generated module by comparing with that of reference module in the training data. Then abstract syntax tree (AST) is employed to identify signal-aware code segments which can provide meaningful functional rewards from erroneous modules. Finally, we introduce signal-aware DPO which is optimized on the correct signal-level code segments, thereby preventing noise and interference from incorrect signals. The proposed QiMeng-SALV underscores the paradigm shift from conventional module-level to fine-grained signal-level optimization in Verilog code generation, addressing the issue of insufficient functional rewards. Experiments demonstrate that our method achieves state-of-the-art performance on VerilogEval and RTLLM, with a 7B parameter model matching the performance of the DeepSeek v3 671B model and significantly outperforming the leading open-source model CodeV trained on the same dataset.

Poster
Let Brain Rhythm Shape Machine Intelligence for Connecting Dots on Graphs

Jiaqi Ding, Tingting Dan, Zhixuan Zhou, Guorong Wu

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In both neuroscience and artificial intelligence (AI), it is well-established that neural “coupling” gives rise to dynamically distributed systems. These systems exhibit self-organized spatiotemporal patterns of synchronized neural oscillations, enabling the representation of abstract concepts. By capitalizing on the unprecedented amount of human neuroimaging data, we propose that advancing the theoretical understanding of rhythmic coordination in neural circuits can offer powerful design principles for the next generation of machine learning models with improved efficiency and robustness. To this end, we introduce a physics-informed deep learning framework for \underline{B}rain \underline{R}hythm \underline{I}dentification by \underline{K}uramoto and \underline{C}ontrol (coined \modelname{}) to characterize the synchronization of neural oscillations that shapes the dynamics of evolving cognitive states. Recognizing that brain networks are structurally connected yet behaviorally dynamic, we further conceptualize rhythmic neural activity as an artificial dynamical system of coupled oscillators, offering a shared mechanistic bridge to brain-inspired machine intelligence. By treating each node as an oscillator interacting with its neighbors, this approach moves beyond the conventional paradigm of graph heat diffusion and establishes a new regime of representation compression through oscillatory synchronization. Empirical evaluations demonstrate that this synchronization-driven mechanism not only mitigates over-smoothing in deep GNNs but also enhances the model’s capacity for reasoning and solving complex graph-based problems.

Poster
Decompile-Bench: Million-Scale Binary-Source Function Pairs for Real-World Binary Decompilation

Hanzhuo Tan, Xiaolong Tian, Hanrui Qi, Jiaming Liu, Siyi Wang, GAO Zuchen, Qi Luo, Jing Li, Yuqun Zhang

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Recent advances in LLM-based decompilers have been shown effective to convert low-level binaries into human-readable source code. However, there still lacks a comprehensive benchmark that provides large-scale binary-source function pairs, which is critical for advancing the LLM decompilation technology. Creating accurate binary-source mappings incurs severe issues caused by complex compilation settings and widespread function inlining that obscure the correspondence between binaries and their original source code. Previous efforts have either relied on used contest‐style benchmarks, synthetic binary–source mappings that diverge significantly from the mappings in real world, or partially matched binaries with only code lines or variable names, compromising the effectiveness of analyzing the binary functionality. To alleviate these issues, we introduce Decompile-Bench, the first open-source dataset comprising two million binary-source function pairs condensed from 100 million collected function pairs, i.e., 450GB of binaries compiled from permissively licensed GitHub projects. For the evaluation purposes, we also developed a benchmark Decompile-Bench-Eval including manually crafted binaries from the well-established HumanEval and MBPP, alongside the compiled GitHub repositories released after 2025 to mitigate data leakage issues. We further explore commonly-used evaluation metrics to provide a thorough assessment of the studied LLM decompilers and find that fine-tuning with Decompile-Bench causes a 20% improvement over previous benchmarks in terms of the re-executability rate. Our code and data has been released in HuggingFace and Github. https://github.com/anonepo/LLM4Decompile

Poster
FSEO: Few-Shot Evolutionary Optimization via Meta-Learning for Expensive Multi-Objective Optimization

Xunzhao Yu

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Meta-learning has been demonstrated to be useful to improve the sampling efficiency of Bayesian optimization (BO) and surrogate-assisted evolutionary algorithms (SAEAs) when solving expensive optimization problems (EOPs). Existing studies mainly focus on either combinations of existing meta-learning modeling methods with optimization algorithms, or the development of meta-learning acquisition functions for specific meta BO. However, the meta-learning models used in the literature are not designed for optimization purpose, and the generalization ability of meta-learning acquisition functions is limited. In this work, we develop a novel architecture of meta-learning model for optimization purpose and propose a generalized few-shot evolutionary optimization (FSEO) framework to solve EOPs. We focus on the scenario of expensive multi-objective EOPs (EMOPs) in the context of few-shot optimization as there are few studies on it and its high requirement on surrogate modeling performance. The surrogates in FSEO framework combines neural network with Gaussian Processes (GPs), their network parameters and some parameters of GPs represent task-independent experience and are meta-learned across related optimization tasks, the remaining GPs parameters are task-specific parameters that represent unique features of the target task. We demonstrate that our FSEO framework is able to improve the sampling efficiency of existing SAEAs on EMOPs.

Poster
Constrained Feedback Learning for Non-Stationary Multi-Armed Bandits

Shaoang Li, Jian Li

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Non-stationary multi-armed bandits (nsMAB) enable agents to adapt to changing environments by incorporating mechanisms to detect and respond to shifts in reward distributions, making them well-suited for dynamic settings. However, existing approaches typically assume that reward feedback is available at every round—an assumption that overlooks many real-world scenarios where feedback is limited. In this paper, we take a significant step forward by introducing a new model of *constrained feedback in non-stationary multi-armed bandits* (ConFee-nsMAB), where the availability of reward feedback is restricted. We propose the first prior-free algorithm—that is, one that does not require prior knowledge of the degree of non-stationarity—that achieves near-optimal dynamic regret in this setting. Specifically, our algorithm attains a dynamic regret of $\tilde {\mathcal{O}}({K^{1/3} V_T^{1/3} T }/{ B^{1/3}})$, where $T$ is the number of rounds, $K$ is the number of arms, $B$ is the query budget, and $V_T$ is the variation budget capturing the degree of non-stationarity.

Poster
Data-Dependent Regret Bounds for Constrained MABs

Gianmarco Genalti, Francesco Emanuele Stradi, Matteo Castiglioni, Alberto Marchesi, Nicola Gatti

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This paper initiates the study of data-dependent regret bounds in constrained MAB settings. These are bounds that depend on the sequence of losses that characterize the problem instance. Thus, in principle they can be much smaller than classical $\widetilde{\mathcal{O}}(\sqrt{T})$ regret bounds, while being equivalent to them in the worst case. Despite this, data-dependent regret bounds have been completely overlooked in constrained MABs. The goal of this paper is to answer the question: Can data-dependent regret bounds be derived in the presence of constraints? We provide an affirmative answer in constrained MABs with adversarial losses and stochastic constraints. Specifically, our main focus is on the most challenging and natural settings with hard constraints, where the learner must ensure that the constraints are always satisfied with high probability. We design an algorithm with a regret bound consisting of two data-dependent terms. The first one captures the difficulty of satisfying the constraints, while the second one encodes the complexity of learning independently of their presence. We also prove a lower bound showing that these two terms are not artifacts of our specific approach and analysis, but rather the fundamental components that inherently characterize the problem complexity. Finally, in designing our algorithm, we also derive some novel results in the related (and easier) soft constraints settings, which may be of independent interest.

Poster
Scaling Laws for Optimal Data Mixtures

Mustafa Shukor, Louis Béthune, Dan Busbridge, David Grangier, Enrico Fini, Alaaeldin El-Nouby, Pierre Ablin

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Large foundation models are typically trained on data from multiple domains, with the data mixture--the proportion of each domain used--playing a critical role in model performance. The standard approach to selecting this mixture relies on trial and error, which becomes impractical for large-scale pretraining. We propose a systematic method to determine the optimal data mixture for any target domain using scaling laws. Our approach accurately predicts the loss of a model of size $N$ trained with $D$ tokens and a specific domain weight vector $h$. We validate the universality of these scaling laws by demonstrating their predictive power in three distinct and large-scale settings: large language model (LLM), native multimodal model (NMM), and large vision models (LVM) pretraining. We further show that these scaling laws can extrapolate to new data mixtures and across scales: their parameters can be accurately estimated using a few small-scale training runs, and used to estimate the performance at larger scales and unseen domain weights. The scaling laws allow to derive the optimal domain weights for any target domain under a given training budget ($N$,$D$), providing a principled alternative to costly trial-and-error methods.

Poster
DataRater: Meta-Learned Dataset Curation

Dan A. Calian, Gregory Farquhar, Iurii Kemaev, Luisa Zintgraf, Matteo Hessel, Jeremy Shar, Junhyuk Oh, András György, Tom Schaul, Jeff Dean, Hado Van Hasselt, David Silver

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The quality of foundation models depends heavily on their training data. Consequently, great efforts have been put into dataset curation. Yet most approaches rely on manual tuning of coarse-grained mixtures of large buckets of data, or filtering by hand-crafted heuristics. An approach that is ultimately more scalable (let alone more satisfying) is to \emph{learn} which data is actually valuable for training. This type of meta-learning could allow more sophisticated, fine-grained, and effective curation. Our proposed \emph{DataRater} is an instance of this idea. It estimates the value of training on any particular data point. This is done by meta-learning using `meta-gradients', with the objective of improving training efficiency on held out data. In extensive experiments across a range of model scales and datasets, we find that using our DataRater to filter data is highly effective, resulting in significantly improved compute efficiency.

Poster
Beyond Accuracy: Dissecting Mathematical Reasoning for LLMs Under Reinforcement Learning

Jiayu Wang, Yifei Ming, Zixuan Ke, Caiming Xiong, Shafiq Joty, Aws Albarghouthi, Frederic Sala

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Reinforcement learning (RL) has become the dominant paradigm for improving the performance of language models on complex reasoning tasks. Despite the substantial empirical gains demonstrated by RL-based training methods like GRPO, a granular understanding of why and how RL enhances performance is still lacking. To bridge this gap, we introduce SPARKLE, a fine-grained analytic framework to dissect the effects of RL across three key dimensions: (1) plan following and execution, (2) knowledge integration, and (3) chain of subproblems. Using this framework, we gain insights beyond mere accuracy. For instance, providing models with explicit human-crafted, step-by-step plans can surprisingly degrade performance on the most challenging benchmarks, yet RL-tuned models exhibit greater robustness, experiencing markedly smaller performance drops than base or SFT models. This suggests that RL may not primarily enhance the execution of external plans but rather empower models to formulate and follow internal strategies better suited to their reasoning processes. Conversely, we observe that RL enhances models' ability to integrate provided knowledge into their reasoning process, yielding consistent gains across diverse tasks. Finally, we study whether difficult problems---those yielding no RL signals and mixed-quality reasoning traces---can still be effectively used for training. We introduce SparkleRL-PSS, a multi-stage RL pipeline that reuses hard problems with partial step scaffolding, guiding exploration effectively without additional data generation. Together, our findings provide a principled foundation for understanding how RL shapes model behavior, offering practical insights for building more adaptive, data-efficient, and interpretable RL pipelines for reasoning tasks. Our code, data, and checkpoints are available at: https://sparkle-reasoning.github.io/.

Poster
Tackling Feature-Classifier Mismatch in Federated Learning via Prompt-Driven Feature Transformation

Xinghao Wu, Xuefeng Liu, Jianwei Niu, Guogang Zhu, Mingjia Shi, Shaojie Tang, Jing Yuan

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Federated Learning (FL) faces challenges due to data heterogeneity, which limits the global model’s performance across diverse client distributions. Personalized Federated Learning (PFL) addresses this by enabling each client to process an individual model adapted to its local distribution. Many existing methods assume that certain global model parameters are difficult to train effectively in a collaborative manner under heterogeneous data. Consequently, they localize or fine-tune these parameters to obtain personalized models. In this paper, we reveal that both the feature extractor and classifier of the global model are inherently strong, and the primary cause of its suboptimal performance is the mismatch between local features and the global classifier. Although existing methods alleviate this mismatch to some extent and improve performance, we find that they either (1) fail to fully resolve the mismatch while degrading the feature extractor, or (2) address the mismatch only post-training, allowing it to persist during training. This increases inter-client gradient divergence, hinders model aggregation, and ultimately leaves the feature extractor suboptimal for client data. To address this issue, we propose FedPFT, a novel framework that resolves the mismatch during training using personalized prompts. These prompts, along with local features, are processed by a shared self-attention-based transformation module, ensuring alignment with the global classifier. Additionally, this prompt-driven approach offers strong flexibility, enabling task-specific prompts to incorporate additional training objectives (\eg, contrastive learning) to further enhance the feature extractor. Extensive experiments show that FedPFT outperforms state-of-the-art methods by up to 5.07%, with further gains of up to 7.08% when collaborative contrastive learning is incorporated.

Poster
OWMM-Agent: Open World Mobile Manipulation With Multi-modal Agentic Data Synthesis

Junting Chen, Haotian Liang, Lingxiao Du, Weiyun Wang, Mengkang Hu, Yao Mu, Wenhai Wang, Jifeng Dai, Ping Luo, Wenqi Shao, Lin Shao

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The rapid progress of navigation, manipulation, and vision models has made mobile manipulators capable in many specialized tasks. However, the open-world mobile manipulation (OWMM) task remains a challenge due to the need for generalization to open-ended instructions and environments, as well as the systematic complexity to integrate high-level decision making with low-level robot control based on both global scene understanding and current agent state. To address this complexity, we propose a novel multi-modal agent architecture that maintains multi-view scene frames and agent states for decision-making and controls the robot by function calling. A second challenge is the hallucination from domain shift. To enhance the agent performance, we further introduce an agentic data synthesis pipeline for the OWMM task to adapt the VLM model to our task domain with instruction fine-tuning. We highlight our fine-tuned OWMM-VLM as the first dedicated foundation model for mobile manipulators with global scene understanding, robot state tracking, and multi-modal action generation in a unified model. Through experiments, we demonstrate that our model achieves SOTA performance compared to other foundation models including GPT-4o and strong zero-shot generalization in real world. The project page is at https://hhyhrhy.github.io/owmm-agent-project.

Poster
MLE-STAR: Machine Learning Engineering Agent via Search and Targeted Refinement

Jaehyun Nam, Jinsung Yoon, Jiefeng Chen, Jinwoo Shin, Sercan O Arik, Tomas Pfister

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Agents based on large language models (LLMs) for machine learning engineering (MLE) can automatically implement ML models via code generation. However, existing approaches to build such agents often rely heavily on inherent LLM knowledge and employ coarse exploration strategies that modify the entire code structure at once. This limits their ability to select effective task-specific models and perform deep exploration within specific components, such as experimenting extensively with feature engineering options. To overcome these, we propose MLE-STAR, a novel approach to build MLE agents. MLE-STAR first leverages external knowledge by using a search engine to retrieve effective models from the web, forming an initial solution, then iteratively refines it by exploring various strategies targeting specific ML components. This exploration is guided by ablation studies analyzing the impact of individual code blocks. Furthermore, we introduce a novel ensembling method using an effective strategy suggested by MLE-STAR. Our experimental results show that MLE-STAR achieves medals in 64% of the Kaggle competitions on the MLE-bench, significantly outperforming the best alternative.

Poster
Incentivizing Reasoning for Advanced Instruction-Following of Large Language Models

Yulei Qin, Gang Li, Zongyi Li, Zihan Xu, Yuchen Shi, Zhekai Lin, Xiao Cui, Ke Li, Xing Sun

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Existing large language models (LLMs) face challenges of following complex instructions, especially when multiple constraints are present and organized in paralleling, chaining, and branching structures. One intuitive solution, namely chain-of-thought (CoT), is expected to universally improve capabilities of LLMs. However, we find that the vanilla CoT exerts a negative impact on performance due to its superficial reasoning pattern of simply paraphrasing the instructions. It fails to peel back the compositions of constraints for identifying their relationship across hierarchies of types and dimensions. To this end, we propose RAIF, a systematic method to boost LLMs in dealing with complex instructions via incentivizing reasoning for test-time compute scaling. First, we stem from the decomposition of complex instructions under existing taxonomies and propose a reproducible data acquisition method. Second, we exploit reinforcement learning (RL) with verifiable rule-centric reward signals to cultivate reasoning specifically for instruction following. We address the shallow, non-essential nature of reasoning under complex instructions via sample-wise contrast for superior CoT enforcement. We also exploit behavior cloning of experts to facilitate steady distribution shift from fast-thinking LLMs to skillful reasoners. Extensive evaluations on seven comprehensive benchmarks confirm the validity of the proposed method, where a 1.5B LLM achieves 11.74% gains with performance comparable to a 8B LLM. Evaluation on OOD constraints also confirms the generalizability of our RAIF.

Poster
Subgraph Federated Learning via Spectral Methods

Javad Aliakbari, Johan Östman, Ashkan Panahi, Alexandre Graell i Amat

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We consider the problem of federated learning (FL) with graph-structured data distributed across multiple clients. In particular, we address the common scenario of interconnected subgraphs, where interconnections between clients significantly influence the learning process. Existing approaches suffer from critical limitations, either requiring the exchange of sensitive node embeddings, thereby posing privacy risks, or relying on computationally-intensive steps, which hinders scalability. To tackle these challenges, we propose FedLap, a novel framework that leverages global structure information via Laplacian smoothing in the spectral domain to effectively capture inter-node dependencies while ensuring privacy and scalability. We provide a formal analysis of the privacy of FedLap, demonstrating that it preserves privacy. Notably, FedLap is the first subgraph FL scheme with strong privacy guarantees. Extensive experiments on benchmark datasets demonstrate that the proposed method achieves competitive or superior utility compared to existing techniques.

Poster
Backdoor Mitigation via Invertible Pruning Masks

Kealan Dunnett, Reza Arablouei, Volkan Dedeoglu, Dimity Miller, Raja Jurdak

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Model pruning has gained traction as a promising defense strategy against backdoor attacks in deep learning. However, existing pruning-based approaches often fall short in accurately identifying and removing the specific parameters responsible for inducing backdoor behaviors. Despite the dominance of fine-tuning-based defenses in recent literature, largely due to their superior performance, pruning remains a compelling alternative, offering greater interpretability and improved robustness in low-data regimes. In this paper, we propose a novel pruning approach featuring a learned \emph{selection} mechanism to identify parameters critical to both main and backdoor tasks, along with an \emph{invertible} pruning mask designed to simultaneously achieve two complementary goals: eliminating the backdoor task while preserving it through the inverse mask. We formulate this as a bi-level optimization problem that jointly learns selection variables, a sparse invertible mask, and sample-specific backdoor perturbations derived from clean data. The inner problem synthesizes candidate triggers using the inverse mask, while the outer problem refines the mask to suppress backdoor behavior without impairing clean-task accuracy. Extensive experiments demonstrate that our approach outperforms existing pruning-based backdoor mitigation approaches, maintains strong performance under limited data conditions, and achieves competitive results compared to state-of-the-art fine-tuning approaches. Notably, the proposed approach is particularly effective in restoring correct predictions for compromised samples after successful backdoor mitigation.

Poster
Learning to Reason under Off-Policy Guidance

Jianhao Yan, Yafu Li, Zican Hu, Zhi Wang, Ganqu Cui, Xiaoye Qu, Yu Cheng, Yue Zhang

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Recent advances in large reasoning models (LRMs) demonstrate that sophisticated behaviors such as multi-step reasoning and self-reflection can emerge via reinforcement learning with verifiable rewards~(RLVR). However, existing RLVR approaches are inherently ``on-policy'', limiting learning to a model's own outputs and failing to acquire reasoning abilities beyond its initial capabilities. To address this issue, we introduce LUFFY (Learning to reason Under oFF-policY guidance), a framework that augments RLVR with off-policy reasoning traces. LUFFY dynamically balances imitation and exploration by combining off-policy demonstrations with on-policy rollouts during training. Specifically, LUFFY combines the Mixed-Policy GRPO framework, which has a theoretically guaranteed convergence rate, alongside policy shaping via regularized importance sampling to avoid superficial and rigid imitation during mixed-policy training. Compared with previous RLVR methods, LUFFY achieves an over +6.4 average gain across six math benchmarks and an advantage of over +6.2 points in out-of-distribution tasks. Most significantly, we show that LUFFY successfully trains weak models in scenarios where on-policy RLVR completely fails. These results provide compelling evidence that LUFFY transcends the fundamental limitations of on-policy RLVR and demonstrates the great potential of utilizing off-policy guidance in RLVR.

Poster
Aux-Think: Exploring Reasoning Strategies for Data-Efficient Vision-Language Navigation

Shuo Wang, Yongcai Wang, Wanting Li, Xudong Cai, Yucheng Wang, Maiyue Chen, kaihui.wang, Zhizhong Su, Deying Li, Zhaoxin Fan

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Vision-Language Navigation is a critical task for developing embodied agents that can follow natural language instructions to navigate in complex real-world environments. Recent advances by finetuning large pretrained models have significantly improved generalization and instruction grounding compared to traditional approaches. However, the role of reasoning strategies in navigation—an action-centric, long-horizon task—remains underexplored, despite Chain-of-Thought reasoning's demonstrated success in static tasks like question answering and visual reasoning. To address this gap, we conduct the first systematic evaluation of reasoning strategies for VLN, including No-Think (direct action prediction), Pre-Think (reason before action), and Post-Think (reason after action). Surprisingly, our findings reveal the Inference-time Reasoning Collaps issue, where inference-time reasoning degrades navigation accuracy, highlighting the challenges of integrating reasoning into VLN. Based on this insight, we propose Aux-Think, a framework that trains models to internalize structured reasoning patterns through CoT supervision during training, while preserving No-Think inference for efficient action prediction. To support this framework, we release R2R-CoT-320k, a large-scale Chain-of-Thought annotated dataset. Empirically, Aux-Think significantly reduces training effort without compromising performance.

Poster
Causal Spatio-Temporal Prediction: An Effective and Efficient Multi-Modal Approach

Yuting Huang, Ziquan Fang, Zhihao Zeng, Lu Chen, Yunjun Gao

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Spatio-temporal prediction plays a crucial role in intelligent transportation, weather forecasting, and urban planning. While integrating multi-modal data has shown potential for enhancing prediction accuracy, key challenges persist: (i) inadequate fusion of multi-modal information, (ii) confounding factors that obscure causal relations, and (iii) high computational complexity of prediction models. To address these challenges, we propose E$^2$-CSTP, an Effective and Efficient Causal multi-modal Spatio-Temporal Prediction framework. E$^2$-CSTP leverages cross-modal attention and gating mechanisms to effectively integrate multi-modal data. Building on this, we design a dual-branch causal inference approach: the primary branch focuses on spatio-temporal prediction, while the auxiliary branch mitigates bias by modeling additional modalities and applying causal interventions to uncover true causal dependencies. To improve model efficiency, we integrate GCN with the Mamba architecture for accelerated spatio-temporal encoding. Extensive experiments on 4 real-world datasets show that E$^2$-CSTP significantly outperforms 9 state-of-the-art methods, achieving up to 9.66% improvements in accuracy as well as 17.37%-56.11% reductions in computational overhead.

Poster