ICML 2026 Papers

International Conference on Machine Learning

Decision breakdown

6,341papers

Counted from the official paper list; may differ slightly from the number the conference announced.

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    5,80591.5%

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Topic: Deep learning · large language models · 1,131 papers · Reset filters

Enhancing Numerical Prediction in LLMs via Smooth MMD Alignment

Zhuo Zuo, Li Yue, Wenhao Zheng, Chenpeng Wang, Xianggen Liu

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Despite their strong general capabilities, large language models (LLMs) often remain unreliable when outputs must be numerically precise. A key reason is the training objective: standard cross-entropy treats numeric tokens as unstructured categories and ignores the metric structure of their values. We address this mismatch by proposing **S**mooth **M**aximum **M**ean **D**iscrepancy (**SMMD**), which builds on the classic MMD by incorporating value-distance kernels over numeric tokens and graph-based smoothness. With this kernel defined over a numeric sub-vocabulary, SMMD aligns the predicted numeric distribution to the target via kernel matching and smooths the prediction--target residual over the induced kernel graph to encourage local consistency. We evaluate SMMD on four numeric-target tasks---mathematical reasoning, arithmetic calculation, clock-time recognition, and chart question answering---across multiple open-weight LLM and VLM backbones. SMMD consistently improves accuracy over both cross-entropy and recent numeric-target losses; analyses show complementary effects between MMD and smoothness and underscore the importance of distance-based kernel design.

Poster
ZipMoE: Efficient On-Device MoE Serving via Lossless Compression and Cache-Affinity Scheduling

Yuchen Yang, Yaru Zhao, Pu Yang, Shaowei Wang, Zhi-Hua Zhou

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While Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) architectures substantially bolster the expressive power of large-language models, their prohibitive memory footprint severely impedes the practical deployment on resource-constrained edge devices, especially when model behavior must be preserved without relying on lossy quantization. In this paper, we present ZipMoE, an efficient and semantically lossless on-device MoE serving system. ZipMoE exploits the synergy between the hardware properties of edge devices and the statistical redundancy inherent to MoE parameters via a caching-scheduling co-design with provable performance guarantee. Fundamentally, our design shifts the paradigm of on-device MoE inference from an I/O-bound bottleneck to a compute-centric workflow that enables efficient parallelization. We implement a prototype of ZipMoE and conduct extensive experiments on representative edge computing platforms using popular open-source MoE models and real-world workloads. Our evaluation reveals that ZipMoE achieves up to 72.77% inference latency reduction and up to $6.76\times$ higher throughput than the state-of-the-art systems. Our code is available at: https://github.com/npnothard/ZipMoE-ICML26.

Poster
Experience Augmented Policy Optimization for LLM Reasoning

Jinda Lu, Kexin Huang, Junkang Wu, Shuo Yang, Jinghan Li, Chiyu Ma, Shaohang Wei, Xiang Wang, Guoyin Wang, Jingren Zhou

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Reinforcement Learning with Verifiable Rewards (RLVR) is a powerful paradigm for improving the reasoning capabilities of large language models (LLMs). However, existing RLVR methods typically rely on on-policy optimization from scratch, resulting in high sampling costs and inefficient utilization of accumulated experience. As model capabilities and policy behaviors evolve during training, recent attempts to reuse experience via fixed reasoning trajectories further suffer from policy mismatch. Motivated by these limitations, we argue that experience in RLVR should not be reused as fixed reasoning trajectories, but instead expressed in a policy-adaptive manner. In this work, we propose Experience-Augmented Policy Optimization (EAPO), which leverages a prior RL-optimized policy as an action-level experience prior and selectively injects experience at critical decision points during rollout. To ensure stable and unbiased learning from experience-augmented rollouts, EAPO further incorporates an adapted importance sampling scheme. Experiments on using Qwen-2.5-math 7b and Qwen-3-8B on five different benchmarks demonstrate that EAPO consistently improves reasoning performance over state-of-the-art RLVR methods.

Poster
Scaling Prompt Synthesis for Large Language Model Reasoning

Xueliang Zhao, Wei Wu, Jian Guan, Zhuocheng Gong, Lingpeng Kong

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Large language models (LLMs) are evolving from conversational systems into strong reasoners for tasks such as Olympiad mathematics and competitive programming. While scaling parameters and test-time computation has driven progress, a key bottleneck is the lack of high-quality training problems: human-curated datasets are costly and limited, while existing synthetic corpora are often too easy or narrow. PromptCoT showed that injecting rationales into prompt synthesis increases problem difficulty. Building on this, we present PromptScale, a scalable framework that replaces hand-crafted heuristics with an expectation-maximization (EM) loop, where rationales are iteratively refined to guide prompt construction. This produces problems that are both harder and more diverse than prior corpora. The synthetic prompts support two post-training regimes: (1) \emph{Self-Play}, where strong models improve autonomously via verifiable feedback without stronger teachers; and (2) \emph{Supervised Fine-Tuning (SFT)}, where weaker models learn from teacher-distilled traces. Extensive experiments demonstrate the effectiveness of this approach. In self-play, applying PromptScale to \texttt{Qwen3-30B-A3B-Thinking-2507} sets new state-of-the-art results \emph{at the 30B scale}, with +4.4, +4.8, and +5.3 on AIME 24/25 and HMMT 25, +6.1 and +5.0 on LiveCodeBench v5/v6, and +35 Elo on Codeforces. In SFT, training \texttt{Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct} solely on synthetic prompts boosts accuracy to 73.1 (AIME 24), 65.6 (AIME 25), and 53.4 (LiveCodeBench v5), surpassing models trained on human or hybrid data. Analyses further confirm that PromptScale yields fundamentally harder and distributionally distinct problems. These results establish prompt synthesis as a new axis for scaling reasoning and position PromptScale as a scalable foundation for future open-source models. The implementation is available at \url{https://github.com/inclusionAI/PromptCoT}.

Poster
ConFu: Contemplate the Future for Better Speculative Sampling

Zongyue Qin, Raghavv Goel, Mukul Gagrani, Risheek Garrepalli, Mingu Lee, Yizhou Sun

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Speculative decoding has emerged as a powerful approach to accelerate large language model (LLM) inference by employing lightweight draft models to propose candidate tokens that are subsequently verified by the target model. The effectiveness of this paradigm critically depends on the quality of the draft model. While recent advances such as the EAGLE series achieve state-of-the-art speedup, existing draft models remain limited by error accumulation: they condition only on the current prefix, causing their predictions to drift from the target model over steps. In this work, we propose ConFu (Contemplate the Future), a novel speculative decoding framework that enables draft models to anticipate the future direction of generation. ConFu introduces (i) contemplate tokens and soft prompts that allow the draft model to leverage future-oriented signals from the target model at negligible cost, (ii) a dynamic contemplate token mechanism with MoE to enable context-aware future prediction, and (iii) a training framework with anchor token sampling and future prediction replication that learns robust future prediction. Experiments demonstrate that ConFu improves token acceptance rates and generation speed over EAGLE-3 by 8-11%, across various downstream tasks with Llama-3 3B and 8B models. We believe our work is the first to bridge speculative decoding with continuous reasoning tokens, offering a new direction for accelerating LLM inference.

Poster
Implicit Turn-Wise Policy Optimization for Proactive User-LLM Interaction

Haoyu Peter Wang, Yuxin Chen, Liang Luo, Buyun Zhang, Ellie Dingqiao Wen, Pan Li

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Multi-turn human-AI collaboration is fundamental to deploying interactive services such as adaptive tutoring, conversational recommendation, and professional consultation. However, optimizing these interactions via reinforcement learning is hindered by the sparsity of verifiable intermediate rewards and the high stochasticity of user responses. To address these challenges, we introduce Implicit Turn-wise Policy Optimization (ITPO). ITPO leverages an implicit process reward model to derive fine-grained, turn-wise process rewards from sparse outcome signals. Unlike volatile token-level rewards, these turn-level signals exhibit superior robustness and may utilize a normalization mechanism to further enhance training stability. We evaluate ITPO across three representative multi-turn collaborative tasks: math tutoring, document writing, and medical recommendation. Empirical results demonstrate that ITPO, when combined with PPO, GRPO, or RLOO, consistently achieves improved convergence than existing baselines. Elaborate trajectory analysis confirms that ITPO infers turn-wise preferences that are semantically aligned with human judgment.

Poster
A Minimal Agent for Automated Theorem Proving

Borja Requena, Austin Letson, Krystian Nowakowski, Izan Beltran Ferreiro, Leopoldo Sarra

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We propose a minimal agentic baseline that enables systematic comparison across different AI-based theorem prover architectures. This design implements the core features shared among state-of-the-art systems: iterative proof refinement, library search and context management. We evaluate this agentic approach using qualitatively different benchmarks and compare various frontier language models and design choices. Our results show competitive performance compared to state-of-the-art approaches, while using a significantly simpler architecture and a fraction of their cost. Additionally, we demonstrate consistent advantages of an iterative approach over multiple single-shot generations, especially in terms of sample efficiency and cost effectiveness. The implementation is released open-source as a candidate reference for future research and as an accessible prover for the community.

Poster
TIME: Tensor-Factorized Mixture-of-Experts with Intrinsic Routing for Lifelong Multimodal Knowledge Editing

Dexuan Xu, Jieyi Wang, Shijie Li, Hanpin Wang, Yongzhi Cao, Yu Huang

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Lifelong multimodal knowledge editing allows vision language models to continuously adapt to dynamic updates to avoid catastrophic forgetting. To mitigate interference between sequential updates, recent paradigms have shifted towards modular parameter isolation. However, this strategy faces a critical scalability bottleneck: accumulating dense parameter blocks can lead to excessive memory growth, and managing these independent modules often uses decoupled routing mechanisms, resulting in architectural redundancy. To address this issue, we propose **TIME** (**T**ensor-Factorized **I**ntrinsic **M**ixture-of-**E**xperts), a unified framework harmonizing parameter efficiency with structural self-routing. TIME parameterizes each knowledge edit as a compact CP-decomposed tensor, significantly reducing complexity compared to low-rank matrices. Furthermore, departing from auxiliary semantic retrievers, we introduce an intrinsic routing mechanism that utilizes the tensor's input factors to directly define the active subspace, effectively enabling expert parameters to serve simultaneously as the routing logic. Extensive experiments demonstrate that TIME achieves state-of-the-art performance on lifelong editing benchmarks while successfully reducing memory usage and inference latency.

Poster
Maximizing Mutual Information Between Prompt and Response Improves LLM Performance With No Additional Data

HyunJi Nam, Haoran Li, Natasha Jaques

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While post-training has successfully improved large language models (LLMs) across a variety of domains, these gains heavily rely on human-labeled data or external verifiers. Existing data has already been exploited, and new data is expensive to collect. Moreover, true intelligence goes far beyond verifiable tasks. Therefore, we need self-improvement frameworks that are less dependent on external signals and more broadly applicable to both verifiable and non-verifiable domains. We propose **Mutual Information Preference Optimization (MIPO)**, a contrastive data augmentation method that constructs preference pairs by generating a positive response conditioning on the correct prompt, and a negative response by conditioning on a random, unrelated prompt. We show that using Direct Preference Optimization to learn from this paired data maximizes pointwise mutual information *under the base LLM* between prompts and model responses. Experiments with with 1-7B parameter Llama and Qwen instruct models show that MIPO achieves 3-16% gains (and 51% increase for Qwen2.5-1.5B-Instruct) on personalization compared to prompting baselines. Surprisingly, MIPO can also be useful in verifiable domains, such as math and multiple-choice question answering, yielding 1-20% gains *without any additional data or external supervision*. These results suggest a promising direction for self-improvement using intrinsic signals derived from contrastive data pairs.

Poster
Short Chains, Deep Thoughts: Balancing Reasoning Efficiency and Intra-Segment Capability via Split-Merge Optimization

Runquan Gui, Jie Wang, Zhihai Wang, Chi Ma, Jianye Hao, Feng Wu

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While Large Reasoning Models (LRMs) have demonstrated impressive capabilities in solving complex tasks through the generation of long reasoning chains, this reliance on verbose generation results in significant latency and computational overhead. To address these challenges, we propose \textbf{CoSMo} (\textbf{Co}nsistency-Guided \textbf{S}plit-\textbf{M}erge \textbf{O}ptimization), a framework designed to eliminate structural redundancy rather than indiscriminately restricting token volume. Specifically, CoSMo utilizes a split-merge algorithm that dynamically refines reasoning chains by merging redundant segments and splitting logical gaps to ensure coherence. We then employ structure-aligned reinforcement learning with a novel segment-level budget to supervise the model in maintaining efficient reasoning structures throughout training. Extensive experiments across multiple benchmarks and backbones demonstrate that CoSMo achieves superior performance, improving accuracy by \textbf{3.3} points while reducing segment usage by \textbf{28.7\%} on average compared to reasoning efficiency baselines.

Poster
CLAA: Cross-Layer Attention Aggregation for Accelerating LLM Prefill

Bradley McDanel, Steven Li, Harshit Khaitan

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Token-ranking heuristics accelerate the prefill bottleneck in long-context LLM inference by selectively processing semantically relevant tokens. However, current evaluation relies on end-to-end benchmarks, making it difficult to isolate the quality of the token ranking itself. To address this, we introduce an Answer-Informed Reference framework with two variants: a Model Reference (Model-Ref) that measures token importance using the model generated answer, and a Ground-Truth Reference (GT-Ref) that uses human reference answers. Using GT-Ref, we establish that as few as 10% of prompt tokens suffice to match full-context performance on LongBench across all three evaluated models. The framework also reveals that existing heuristics exhibit variance across layers, with rankings degrading sharply at specific layers. Motivated by this instability, we propose Cross-Layer Attention Aggregation (CLAA), which aggregates importance scores across consecutive layers, eliminating the layer-dependent accuracy collapse observed in single-layer methods. A meaningful gap remains between the best heuristic and GT-Ref, indicating theoretical room for improved token selection.

Poster
When RAG Hurts: Diagnosing and Mitigating Attention Distraction in Retrieval-Augmented LVLMs

Beidi Zhao, Wenlong Deng, Xinting Liao, Yushu Li, Nazim Shaikh, Yao Nie, Xiaoxiao Li

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While Retrieval-Augmented Generation (RAG) is one of the dominant paradigms for enhancing Large Vision-Language Models (LVLMs) on knowledge-based VQA tasks, recent work attributes RAG failures to insufficient attention towards the retrieved context, proposing to reduce the attention allocated to image tokens. In this work, we identify a distinct failure mode that previous study overlooked: Attention Distraction (AD). When the retrieved context is sufficient (highly relevant or including the correct answer), the retrieved text suppresses the visual attention globally, and the attention on image tokens shifts away from question-relevant regions. This leads to failures on questions the model could originally answer correctly without the retrieved text. To mitigate this issue, we propose MAD-RAG, a training-free intervention that decouples visual grounding from context integration through a dual-question formulation, combined with attention mixing to preserve image-conditioned evidence. Extensive experiments on OK-VQA, E-VQA, and InfoSeek demonstrate that MAD-RAG consistently outperforms existing baselines across different model families, yielding absolute gains of up to 4.76%, 9.20%, and 6.18% over the vanilla RAG baseline. Notably, MAD-RAG rectifies up to 74.68% of failure cases with negligible computational overhead.

Poster
RSPO: Regularized Self-Play Alignment of Large Language Models

Xiaohang Tang, Sangwoong Yoon, Seongho Son, Huizhuo Yuan, Quanquan Gu, Ilija Bogunovic

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Self-play-based policy optimization has emerged as an effective approach for fine-tuning large language models (LLMs), formulating preference optimization as a two-player game. However, the regularization with respect to the reference policy, which is crucial for mitigating over-optimization, has been insufficiently investigated in self-play alignment. To study the impact of different regularization strategies, we propose \textbf{Regularized Self-Play Policy Optimization (RSPO)}, a novel framework that unifies prior methods and enables simple plug-and-play regularizers, meanwhile preserving convergence to Nash equilibrium of the corresponding regularized game. We empirically show that RSPO with appropriate regularizers can substantially improve the length-controlled win rate (LCWR) on AlpacaEval-2 across a range of base models, while also achieving consistently superior performance on Arena-Hard, MT-Bench, ArmoRM, and response diversity. In particular, RSPO improves unregularized self-play baseline (SPPO) on AlpacaEval-2 LCWR from $28.5\%$ to $ 35.4\%$ with base model Mistral-7B, from $38.77\%$ to $43.66\%$ with LLaMA-8B, and from $50.54\%$ to $51.83\%$ with Gemma-2B. Combining simplicity, convergence guarantees, and significant empirical gains, RSPO offers a strong foundation for exploring regularized self-play in alignment.

Poster
Beyond Test-Time Memory: State-Space Optimal Control for LLM Reasoning

Peihao Wang, Shan Yang, Xijun Wang, Tesi Xiao, Xin Liu, Changlong Yu, Yu Lou, Pan Li, Zhangyang Wang, Ming Lin, Rene Vidal

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Associative memory has long underpinned the design of sequential models. Beyond recall, humans reason by *projecting future states and selecting goal-directed actions*, a capability that modern language models increasingly require but do not natively encode. While prior work uses reinforcement learning or test-time training, planning remains external to the model architecture. We formulate reasoning as *optimal control* and introduce the *Test-Time Control (TTC)* layer, which performs finite-horizon *LQR* planning over latent states at inference time, represents a *value function* within neural architectures, and leverages it as the nested objective to enable *planning before prediction*. To ensure scalability, we derive a hardware-efficient LQR solver based on a symplectic formulation and implement it as a fused CUDA kernel, enabling parallel execution with minimal overhead. Integrated as an adapter into pretrained LLMs, TTC layers improve mathematical reasoning performance by up to +27.8% on MATH-500 and 2-3$\times$ Pass@8 improvements on AMC and AIME, demonstrating that embedding optimal control as an architectural component provides an effective and scalable mechanism for reasoning beyond test-time training.

Poster
Training–Inference Consistent Segmented Execution for Long-Context LLMs

Xianpeng Shang, Jiang Li, Zehua Duo, Qianyi Cai, Xiangdong Su

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Transformer-based large language models face severe scalability challenges in long-context generation due to the computational and memory costs of full-context attention. Under practical computation and memory constraints, many inference-efficient long-context methods improve efficiency by adopting bounded-context or segment-level execution only during inference, while continuing to train models under full-context attention, resulting in a mismatch between training and inference execution and state-transition semantics. Based on this insight, we propose a training-consistent segment-level generation framework, in which training and inference follow the same segment-level forward execution semantics. During training, consistency with inference is enforced by restricting gradient propagation to KV states carried over from the immediately preceding segment, while permitting head-specific access to past KV states during the forward pass without involving them in gradient propagation. Across long-context benchmarks, our approach achieves performance comparable to full-context attention, while achieving competitive latency--memory trade-offs against strong inference-efficient baselines, and substantially improving scalability at very long context lengths (e.g., approximately $6\times$ lower peak prefill memory at 128K compared to full-context attention with FlashAttention).

Poster
On Training Large Language Models for Long-Horizon Tasks: An Empirical Study of Horizon Length

Sunghwan Kim, Junhee Cho, Beong-woo Kwak, Taeyoon Kwon, Liang Wang, Nan Yang, Xingxing Zhang, Furu Wei, Jinyoung Yeo

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Large language models (LLMs) have shown promise as interactive agents that solve tasks through extended sequences of environment interactions. While prior work has primarily focused on system-level optimizations or algorithmic improvements, the role of task horizon length in shaping training dynamics remains poorly understood. In this work, we present a systematic empirical study that examines horizon length through controlled task constructions. Specifically, we construct controlled tasks in which agents face identical decision rules and reasoning structures, but differ only in the length of action sequences required for successful completion. Our results reveal that increasing horizon length alone constitutes a training bottleneck, inducing severe training instability driven by exploration difficulties and credit assignment challenges. We demonstrate that horizon reduction is a key principle to address this limitation, stabilizing training and achieving better performance in long-horizon tasks. Moreover, we find that horizon reduction is related to stronger generalization across horizon lengths: models trained under reduced horizons generalize more effectively to longer-horizon variants at inference time, a phenomenon we refer to as horizon generalization.

Poster
Who can we trust? LLM-as-a-jury for Comparative Assessment

Mengjie Qian, Guangzhi Sun, Mark Gales, Kate Knill

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Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly applied as automatic evaluators for natural language generation assessment often using pairwise comparative judgements. Existing approaches typically rely on single judges or aggregate multiple judges assuming equal reliability. In practice, LLM judges vary substantially in performance across tasks and aspects, and their judgment probabilities may be biased and inconsistent. Furthermore, human-labelled supervision for judge calibration may be unavailable. We first empirically demonstrate that inconsistencies in LLM comparison probabilities exist and show that it limits the effectiveness of direct probability-based ranking. To address this, we study the \emph{LLM-as-a-jury} setting and propose BT-$\sigma$, a judge-aware extension of the Bradley-Terry model that introduces a discriminator parameter for each judge to jointly infer item rankings and judge reliability from pairwise comparisons alone. Experiments on benchmark NLG evaluation datasets show that \textit{BT-$\sigma$} consistently outperforms averaging-based aggregation methods, and that the learned discriminators strongly correlate with independent measures of the cycle consistency of LLM judgments. Further analysis reveals that \textit{BT-$\sigma$} can be interpreted as an unsupervised calibration mechanism that improves aggregation by modelling judge reliability.

Poster
SLAT: Segment-Level Adaptive Trimming for Efficient CoT Reasoning

Jian Yao, Xiongcai Luo, Ran Cheng, KC Tan

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Recent advances in Large Reasoning Models have significantly improved chain-of-thought (CoT) capabilities via reinforcement learning (RL). However, generated reasoning chains frequently suffer from structural redundancy (i.e., \emph{overthinking}), incurring high computational overhead without improving answer correctness. Existing mitigation strategies typically rely on token-uniform length penalties, which provide coarse, segment-agnostic pressure toward shorter outputs and can inadvertently suppress useful reasoning alongside redundancy. To address this, we demonstrate that inefficiency concentrates in high-probability segments with low marginal utility. We derive a theoretical characterization of segment suboptimality under the correctness-length trade-off objective and propose \textsc{SLAT} (Segment-Level Adaptive Trimming), an RL framework that selectively suppresses redundant segments based on this criterion. Empirical results on standard benchmarks indicate that \textsc{SLAT} establishes a superior accuracy-efficiency Pareto frontier, reducing reasoning length by 50\% relative to uncompressed baselines while maintaining competitive accuracy. Overall, our results suggest that theoretically grounded, segment-aware trimming is a promising direction for efficient CoT reasoning in large language models.

Poster
Large-Scale Terminal Agentic Trajectory Generation from Dockerized Environments

Siwei Wu, Yizhi Li, Yuyang Song, Wei Zhang, Yang Wang, Riza Batista-Navarro, Xian Yang, Mingjie Tang, Bryan Dai, Jian Yang, Chenghua Lin

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Training agentic models for terminal-based tasks critically depends on high-quality terminal trajectories that capture realistic long-horizon interactions across diverse domains. However, constructing such data at scale remains challenging due to two key requirements: \textbf{\emph{Executability}}, since each instance requires a suitable and often distinct Docker environment; and \textbf{\emph{Verifiability}}, because heterogeneous task outputs preclude unified, standardized verification. To address these challenges, we propose \textbf{TerminalTraj}, a scalable pipeline that (i) filters high-quality repositories to construct Dockerized execution environments, (ii) generates Docker-aligned task instances, and (iii) synthesizes agent trajectories with executable validation code. Using TerminalTraj, we curate 32K Docker images and generate 50,733 verified terminal trajectories across eight domains. Models trained on this data with the Qwen2.5-Coder backbone achieve consistent performance improvements on TerminalBench (TB), with gains of up to 20\% on TB 1.0 and 10\% on TB 2.0 over their respective backbones. Notably, \textbf{TerminalTraj-32B} achieves strong performance among models with fewer than 100B parameters, reaching 35.30\% on TB 1.0 and 22.00\% on TB 2.0, and demonstrates improved test-time scaling behavior.

Spotlight
Causal Dependency-Aware Unsupervised Routing for Large Reasoning Models

Jiacheng Liu, Hao Liu, Xiaofeng Hou, Wei Xue, Yike Guo

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As Large Language Model (LLM) ecosystems grow, routing queries to the most suitable model in a diverse pool has become a critical strategy for building efficient and high-performing AI systems. A common approach is to train a supervised router; however, this requires vast, expensive human-annotated preference data and creates models that are notoriously brittle, failing to generalize when faced with inevitable distribution shifts in user queries. Consequently, developing robust, unsupervised routing methods that adapt without retraining is a crucial research frontier. This challenge is severely amplified by Large Reasoning Models (LRMs), which introduce a dual problem for any label-free method: their outputs have a causal thinking $\to$ answer structure that must be modeled, and a structural imbalance where long reasoning text can dominate the final answer signal. We introduce ReasoningRouter, a novel framework that resolves these issues with a length-balanced embedding strategy and a probabilistic model capturing the thinking-to-answer dependency. The proposed Causal Triangulation Property enables the label-free estimation of component qualities and their causal link. Beyond competitive routing accuracy, ReasoningRouter offers unprecedented insights into model behavior, enabling separate quality assessment of reasoning and answer components while maintaining computational efficiency.

Poster