ICML 2026 Papers

International Conference on Machine Learning

Decision breakdown

6,341papers

Counted from the official paper list; may differ slightly from the number the conference announced.

  • Spotlight
    5368.5%
  • Poster
    5,80591.5%

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Flow-Based Density Ratio Estimation for Intractable Distributions with Applications in Genomics

Egor Antipov, Alessandro Palma, Lorenzo Consoli, Stephan Günnemann, Andrea Dittadi, Fabian J Theis

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Estimating density ratios between pairs of intractable data distributions is a core problem in probabilistic modeling, enabling principled comparisons of sample likelihoods under different data-generating processes across conditions. While exact-likelihood models such as normalizing flows offer a promising approach to density ratio estimation, naive evaluations are computationally expensive and prone to discretization errors because they require simulating each distribution's likelihood independently. In this work, we leverage condition-aware flow matching to derive a single dynamical formulation for tracking density ratios along generative trajectories. We demonstrate competitive performance on simulated benchmarks for closed-form ratio estimation, and show that our method supports versatile tasks in single-cell genomics data analysis, where likelihood-based comparisons of cellular states across experimental conditions enable treatment effect estimation and batch correction evaluation.

Poster
NExT-Guard: Training-Free Streaming Safeguard without Token-Level Labels

Junfeng Fang, Nachuan Chen, Houcheng Jiang, Dan Zhang, Xiangnan He, Tat-Seng Chua, Xiang Wang

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Large language models are increasingly deployed in streaming scenarios, rendering conventional post-hoc safeguards ineffective as they fail to interdict unsafe content in real-time. While streaming safeguards based on token-level supervised training could address this, they necessitate expensive annotations and suffer from severe overfitting. In this work, we challenge the paradigm that streaming safety must rely on token-level supervised training. Instead, it is an inherent capability of well-trained post-hoc safeguards, as they already encode token-level risk signals in hidden representations. Hence, we introduce NExT-Guard, a framework that achieves streaming safeguards by monitoring interpretable latent features from Sparse Autoencoders (SAEs). It uses pretrained SAEs from publicly available base LLMs, enabling flexible, low-cost deployment without token-level supervision. Experimental results show that NExT-Guard outperforms both post-hoc and streaming safeguards based on supervised training, with superior robustness across models, SAE variants, and risk scenarios. These results make NExT-Guard a universal and scalable paradigm for real-time safety, accelerating the practical deployment of streaming safeguards.

Poster
How Far Can LLM Agents Reason with Tables? Benchmarking Multi-Turn Agentic Table Question Answering in the Wild

Jingwang Huang, Jie Zhang, Haoyang Zeng, Changzai Pan, Xianjie Wu, Guanting Dong, Jiaheng Liu, Wei Zhang, Mingyu Zheng, Chunxiao Liu, Kaiwen Wei, Jiang Zhong, Jian Yang

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Recent advances in large language models (LLMs) have substantially expanded the scope of Table Question Answering (TableQA). However, existing benchmarks primarily treat TableQA as a passive, single-turn natural language understanding task, lacking the capacity to evaluate autonomous reasoning and tool-call trajectories in realistic, multi-turn scenarios. To bridge this gap, we introduce TableAgent-Bench, a large-scale bilingual benchmark that reformulates TableQA as proactive, agentic interactions over structurally complex, multi-table environments. With a topology-aware construction strategy, TableAgent-Bench captures dynamic intent evolution through 1,310 multi-turn dialogues grounded in 2,275 industrial tables. Furthermore, we propose the Table-centric Agent Evaluation Framework (TAEF) to assess agent interactions with complex table structures. Specifically, TAEF integrates a specialized agent toolset and 4 metric categories to systematically diagnose intermediate failure modes, assessing performance across table localization, tool-invocation rationality, and trajectory-level pass rate. Extensive experiments with 25 state-of-the-art LLM agents reveal a substantial capability gap, with even the strongest model Gemini-3-Pro-Preview achieving only 53.4% information coverage. We expect TableAgent-Bench to serve as a rigorous testbed for developing and evaluating agents capable of robust table-centric reasoning.

Poster
Calibrating Generative Models to Distributional Constraints

Henry Smith, Nathaniel Lee Diamant, Brian L. Trippe

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Generative models frequently suffer miscalibration, wherein statistics of the sampling distribution—such as the fraction of generations in a given class—deviate from desired values. We frame calibration as a constrained optimization problem and seek the closest model in Kullback-Leibler divergence satisfying a calibration constraint. To address the intractability of imposing these constraints exactly, we introduce two surrogate objectives for fine-tuning: (1) the relax loss, which replaces the constraint with a miscalibration penalty, and (2) the reward loss, which converts calibration into a reward fine-tuning problem. We demonstrate that these approaches substantially reduce calibration error across hundreds of simultaneous constraints and models with up to nine billion parameters, spanning applications in protein design, image generation, and language modeling. Code is available at https://github.com/smithhenryd/cgm.

Poster
On Expressive Power of Floating-Point Transformers

Sejun Park, Yeachan Park, Geonho Hwang

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Research on the expressive power of transformers shows that transformers are equivariant to permutations and can approximate all permutation-equivariant continuous functions on a compact domain. However, these results assume real parameters and exact operations, whereas real-world implementations on computers can only use a finite set of numbers and inexact machine operations with round-off errors. In this work, we investigate the representability of floating-point transformers that use floating-point parameters and floating-point operations. Unlike existing results under exact arithmetic, we first show that floating-point transformers can represent non-permutation-equivariant functions even without positional encoding. Furthermore, we prove that floating-point transformers can represent all permutation-equivariant functions when the sequence length is bounded, but they cannot when the sequence length is large. We also identify the minimal equivariance property in floating-point transformers, and show that all non-trivial additive positional encoding can harm the representability of floating-point transformers.

Poster
Theory of Minimal Weight Perturbations in Deep Networks and its Applications for Low-Rank Activated Backdoor Attacks

Bethan Evans, Jared Tanner

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The minimal norm weight perturbations of DNNs required to achieve a specified change in output are derived and the factors determining its size are discussed. These single-layer exact formulae are contrasted with more generic multi-layer Lipschitz constant based robustness guarantees; both are observed to be of the same order which indicates similar efficacy in their guarantees. These results are applied to precision-modification-activated backdoor attacks, establishing provable compression thresholds below which such attacks cannot succeed, and show empirically that low-rank compression can reliably activate latent backdoors while preserving full-precision accuracy. These expressions reveal how back-propagated margins govern layer-wise sensitivity and provide certifiable guarantees on the smallest parameter updates consistent with a desired output shift.

Poster
TextAtlas5M: A Large-Scale Dataset for Long Text Image Generation

Dongxing Mao, Alex Jinpeng Wang, Weiming Han, Jiawei Zhang, Zhuobai Dong, Linjie Li, Yiqi Lin, Zhengyuan Yang, Libo Qin, Fuwei Zhang, Lijuan Wang, Min Li

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Text-conditioned image generation has made rapid progress, yet rendering images with long-form text remains challenging due to the limitations of existing datasets, which predominantly focus on short and simple text. We introduce TextAtlas5M, a large-scale dataset designed to evaluate long-text rendering, where “long text” encompasses not only textual length but also layout complexity and semantic richness. TextAtlas5M contains 5 million generated and collected images across diverse data types, enabling comprehensive evaluation of large-scale generative models. We further curate 4,000 human-improved test cases (TextAtlasEval) spanning four domains, forming one of the most extensive benchmarks for text rendering. Evaluations show that TextAtlas5M poses substantial challenges even for state-of-the-art proprietary models (e.g., GPT-4o), with significantly larger gaps observed for open-source models. Training on TextAtlas5M consistently improves text rendering for both diffusion-based and autoregressive models, demonstrating its effectiveness for advancing text-rich image generation.

Poster
Parametrized Power-Iteration Clustering for Directed Graphs

Gwendal Debaussart-Joniec, Harry Sevi, Matthieu Jonckheere, Argyris Kalogeratos

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Vertex-level clustering for directed graphs (digraphs) remains challenging as edge directionality breaks the key assumptions underlying popular spectral methods, which also incur the overhead of eigen-decomposition. This paper proposes *Parametrized Power Iteration Clustering* (ParPIC), a random-walk-based clustering method for weakly connected digraphs. This builds over the Power-Iteration Clustering paradigm, which uses the rows of the iterated diffusion operator as a data embedding. ParPIC has three important features: the use of parametrized reversible random walk operators, the automatic tuning of the diffusion time, and the efficient truncation of the final embedding, which produces low-dimensional data representations and reduces complexity. Empirical results on synthetic and real-world graphs demonstrate that ParPIC achieves competitive clustering accuracy with improved scalability relative to spectral and teleportation-based methods.

Poster
KineFlow: Kinematic Second-Order Flow Matching for Time-Series Forecasting

Haiqi Jiang, Hui Xiong

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Conventional time-series discriminative forecasting relies on point-wise regression, which inherently induces over-smoothing and fails to capture stochastic volatility in complex systems. While first-order generative flow matching methods mitigate this issue, they ignore system inertia, resulting in phase-space ambiguities and high sensitivity to noise. We introduce KineFlow, a generative time-series forecasting framework that augments flow matching with a phase-space Neural Acceleration Field, treating exogenous inputs as driving forces that produce gradual momentum shifts rather than abrupt state perturbations. This second-order formulation serves as a structural filter via double integration, suppressing high-frequency noise and producing robust, physically consistent predictions. Extensive experiments on six real-world benchmarks demonstrate that KineFlow achieves an average 15% MSE improvement over discriminative baselines and an 8% gain in CRPS compared to state-of-the-art generative methods.

Poster
Sparser Block-Sparse Attention via Token Permutation

Xinghao Wang, Pengyu Wang, Dong Zhang, Chenkun Tan, Shaojun Zhou, Zhaoxiang Liu, Shiguo Lian, Fangxu Liu, Kai Song, Xipeng Qiu

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Scaling the context length of large language models (LLMs) offers significant benefits but is computationally expensive. This expense stems primarily from the self-attention mechanism, whose $O(N^2)$ complexity with respect to sequence length presents a major bottleneck for both memory and latency. Fortunately, the attention matrix is often sparse, particularly for long sequences, suggesting an opportunity for optimization. Block-sparse attention has emerged as a promising solution that partitions sequences into blocks and skips computation for a subset of these blocks. However, the effectiveness of this method is highly dependent on the underlying attention patterns, which can lead to sub-optimal block-level sparsity. For instance, important key tokens for queries within a single block may be scattered across numerous other blocks, leading to computational redundancy. In this work, we propose Permuted Block-Sparse Attention (**PBS-Attn**), a plug-and-play method that leverages the permutation properties of attention to increase block-level sparsity and enhance the computational efficiency of LLM prefilling. We conduct comprehensive experiments on challenging long-context datasets, demonstrating that PBS-Attn consistently outperforms existing block-sparse attention methods in model accuracy and closely matches the full attention baseline. Powered by our custom permuted-FlashAttention kernels, PBS-Attn achieves an end-to-end speedup of up to $\mathbf{2.75\times}$ in long-context prefilling, confirming its practical viability. Code available at \url{https://github.com/xinghaow99/pbs-attn}.

Poster
AREA: Attribute Extraction and Aggregation for CLIP-Based Class-Incremental Learning

Zhen-Hao Xie, Yu-Cheng Shi, Da-Wei Zhou

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Class-Incremental Learning (CIL) is important in building real-world learning systems. In CLIP-based CIL, the model performs classification by comparing similarity between visual and textual embeddings obtained from template prompts, e.g., ``a photo of a [CLASS]''. This seemingly monolithic matching process can be decomposed into two conceptually distinct stages: attribute extraction and attribute aggregation. For example, a model may recognize cat using attributes such as fur texture and whiskers. When learning a new class like car, the model must extract additional attributes like wheels and adjust how they are aggregated in the shared representation space. However, since only data from the current task is available, incremental updates can bias both attribute extraction and aggregation toward new classes, leading to catastrophic forgetting. Therefore, we propose AREA for attribute extraction and aggregation in CLIP-based CIL. To stabilize extraction, we anchor class-level visual and textual attributes on the hyperspherical embedding space via principal geodesic analysis. To stabilize aggregation, we learn lightweight task-specific experts with scoring and residual refinement, regularized by a variational information bottleneck objective. During inference, we perform routing over task attribute manifolds via optimal transport for more concise prediction. Experiments show that AREA consistently outperforms SOTA methods. Code is available at https://github.com/LAMDA-CL/ICML2026-AREA.

Poster
BiCrossNet with Decoupled Dual Generators: A Parameter‑Efficient and Generalizable Few‑Shot Custom Gesture Recognition Framework

Chunyang Yu, Ning SUN, Shenyue Wang

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Gesture interaction and touchless sensing is a natural and intuitive control method that allows users to control devices through natural hand or body movements, reducing reliance on physical input and enhancing convenience and functional efficiency. The biggest challenge is balancing accuracy and model parameter count for custom gesture tasks, while minimizing the number of data samples required for training. This paper proposes a novel IMU-based BiCrossNet model and two novel data augmentation models (delta-generator and embedding-generator) to address this challenge. Compared with existing methods, the model proposed in this article boosts accuracy by 11.7% and 12.7% in UMAHand (public datasets); and 8.85% and 5.25% in GRHand (self-developed datasets), with decreasing 27.8% pretrained feature-extractor model parameters. This research lays a solid foundation for deploying and implementing custome gesture recognition engineering on intelligent terminal devices.

Poster
Delving into Non-Exchangeability for Conformal Prediction in Graph-Structured Multivariate Time Series

Ruichao Guo, Xingyao Han, Luo Wenshui, Zhe Liu, Chen Gong, Hesheng Wang

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Point forecasting for graph-structured multivariate time series is a fundamental problem, but rigorous uncertainty quantification for such predictions is still underexplored. Conformal prediction (CP) offers uncertainty estimation with a solid coverage guarantee under the exchangeability assumption, which requires the joint data distribution to be unchanged under permutation. However, in graph-structured time series, inherent cross-node coupling can violate the exchangeability condition, making direct application of CP unreliable. Inspired by the spectral graph theory, such coupling resides in global trends and can be characterized by the low-frequency components, while high-frequency components are nearly exchangeable. Therefore, we propose a novel concept named **S**pectral **G**raph **C**onditional **E**xchangeability (SGCE), which conditions exchangeable high-frequency components on low-frequency ones to preserve global trends and enable effective CP in the spectral domain. Based on SGCE, we further propose **S**pectral **C**onformal prediction via w**A**ve**LE**t transform (SCALE). SCALE uses graph wavelets to decompose low/high-frequency components and conformalizes high-frequency residuals via adaptive gating over a low-frequency embedding. Experimental results on real-world benchmark datasets across multiple application domains show that SCALE not only achieves valid coverage but also consistently improves the coverage-efficiency trade-off over the state-of-the-art CP methods.

Poster
Return-Critic: Bridging Goal Discrepancy for Efficient Visual Reinforcement Learning

Ruyi Lu, Xuesong Wang, Hengrui Zhang, Yuhu Cheng

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Sample inefficiency remains a challenge in pixel-based visual reinforcement learning (RL), primarily due to ineffective state representation learning. While recent advances employ auxiliary tasks to improve representation learning, their representation goals (e.g., mask reconstruction, state prediction) are misaligned with the ultimate RL goal of maximizing return, constraining further improvements in representation quality. To achieve efficient visual reinforcement learning, we propose Return-Critic (RC), an auxiliary framework that bridges goal discrepancy by return prediction. RC samples partial frames from an episode, processes them through a shared visual encoder, and employs a lightweight Transformer to predict the episode's return, forcing the encoder to learn return-relevant representation. The attention weights naturally highlight important frames, enabling a key function for prioritized learning. Extensive experiments on both online (DMControl) and offline (V-D4RL) benchmarks demonstrate that RC significantly enhances the sample efficiency, particularly achieving 68% performance boost on average across nine challenging tasks from DMControl.

Poster
Rethinking Generative Image Pretraining: How Far Are We From Scaling Up Next-Pixel Prediction?

Xinchen Yan, Chen Liang, Lijun Yu, Adams Wei Yu, Yifeng Lu, Quoc V Le

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This paper investigates the scaling properties of autoregressive next-pixel prediction, a simple, end-to-end yet under-explored framework for unified vision models. Starting with images at resolutions of 32$\times$ 32, we train a family of Transformers using IsoFLOP profiles across compute budgets up to 7e19 FLOPs and evaluate three distinct target metrics: next-pixel prediction objective, ImageNet classification accuracy, and generation-based completion where top half of the image serves as a spatial prompt. First, optimal scaling strategy is critically task-dependent. At a fixed resolution of 32 $\times$ 32 alone, the optimal scaling properties for image classification and image generation diverge, where generation optimal setup requires the data size grow three to five times faster than for the classification optimal setup. Second, as image resolution increases, the optimal scaling strategy indicates that the model size must grow much faster than data size. Surprisingly, by projecting our findings, we discover that the primary bottleneck is compute rather than the amount of training data. As compute continues to grow four to five times annually, we forecast the feasibility of pixel-by-pixel modeling of images within the next five years.

Poster
Coloring the Noise: Adversarial Sobolev Alignment for Faithful Image Super Resolution

Hongbo Wang, Huaibo Huang, Pin Wang, Jinhua Hao, Chao Zhou, Ran He

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Generative priors in Image Super-Resolution (SR) often compromise faithful restoration, we attribute this limitation to a fundamental spectral misalignment between isotropic objectives and the intrinsic natural image manifold. While Direct Preference Optimization offers a path to alignment, its reliance on spectrally flat Gaussian noise fails to distinguish authentic high-frequency details from hallucinations. To bridge this geometric gap, we propose ASASR, a theoretically grounded framework that recasts the generative flow into a Sobolev-induced Riemannian geometry by explicitly coloring the noise transition kernel to mirror natural spectral decay. Driving this geometric alignment, we integrate a parametric adversary grounded in the Riesz Representation Theorem, which synthesizes targeted negative samples equivalent to worst-case Sobolev gradients to direct optimization along the tangent space of plausible structural failures. Extensive evaluations demonstrate that ASASR outperforms leading generative baselines, particularly in preserving spectral consistency and structural fidelity, offering a robust solution that effectively mitigates artifacts.

Poster
Divide and Contrast: Learning Robust Temporal Features without Augmentation

Abdul-Kazeem Shamba, Kerstin Bach, Gavin Taylor

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Self-supervised learning for time-series representation aims to reduce reliance on labeled data while maintaining strong downstream performance, yet many existing approaches incur high computational costs or rely on assumptions that do not hold across diverse temporal dynamics. In this work, we introduce Divide and Contrast (Di-COT), an unsupervised framework that avoids data augmentation and multiple encoder passes by contrasting informative substructures within a window rather than individual timesteps. Di-COT stochastically partitions each window into a small number of overlapping sub-blocks per iteration, enabling efficient and meaningful contrast while mitigating false positives during temporal transitions. To further improve scalability, we adopt a contrastive objective whose computation depends on the batch size and the number of sub-blocks, making loss computation independent of sequence length. Extensive experiments on six large-scale real-world datasets, as well as the UCR and UEA benchmarks, demonstrate that Di-COT learns transferable representations while achieving state-of-the-art performance with substantially reduced training time.

Poster
Causes and Consequences of Representational Similarity in Machine Learning Models

Zeyu Michael Li, Hung Anh Vu, Damilola Awofisayo, Emily Wenger

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Numerous works have noted similarities in how machine learning models represent the world, even across modalities. Although much effort has been devoted to uncovering properties and metrics on which these models align, surprisingly little work has explored causes of this similarity. To advance this line of inquiry, this work explores how two factors—dataset overlap and task overlap—influence downstream model similarity. We evaluate the effects of both factors through experiments across model sizes and modalities, from small classifiers to large language models. We find that dataset and task overlap are positively associated with higher representational similarity across many of our settings, with clear evidence in vision/language classification and weaker trends in language generation experiments. Finally, we consider downstream consequences of representational similarity, showing that greater similarity is associated with increased vulnerability to transferable adversarial attacks in vision models.

Poster
Asymptotic Theory of Iterated Empirical Risk Minimization, with Applications to Active Learning

Hugo Cui, Yue M. Lu

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We study a class of iterated empirical risk minimization (ERM) procedures in which two successive ERMs are performed on the same dataset, and the predictions of the first estimator enter as an argument in the loss function of the second. This setting, which arises naturally in active learning and reweighting schemes, introduces intricate statistical dependencies across samples and fundamentally distinguishes the problem from classical single-stage ERM analyses. For linear models trained with a broad class of convex losses on Gaussian mixture data, we derive a sharp asymptotic characterization of the test error in the high-dimensional regime where the sample size and ambient dimension scale proportionally. Our results provide explicit, fully asymptotic predictions for the performance of the second-stage estimator despite the reuse of data and the presence of prediction-dependent losses. We apply this theory to revisit a well-studied pool-based active learning problem, removing oracle and sample-splitting assumptions made in prior work. We uncover a fundamental tradeoff in how the labeling budget should be allocated across stages, and demonstrate a double-descent behavior of the test error driven purely by data selection, rather than model size or sample count.

Poster
How does Chain of Thought decompose complex tasks?

Amrut Nadgir, Vijay Balasubramanian, Pratik Chaudhari

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Many language tasks can be modeled as classification problems where a large language model (LLM) is given a prompt and selects one among many possible answers. We show that the classification error in such problems scales as a power law in the number of classes. This has a dramatic consequence: the prediction error can be reduced substantially by splitting the overall task into a sequence of smaller classification problems, each with the same number of classes ("degree"). This tree-structured decomposition models chain-of-thought (CoT). It has been observed that CoT-based predictors perform better when they "think", i.e., when they develop a deeper tree, thus decomposing the problem into a larger number of steps. We identify a critical threshold for the degree, below which thinking is detrimental, and above which there exists an optimal depth that minimizes the error. It is impossible to surpass this minimal error by increasing the depth of thinking.

Poster