ICML 2026 Papers

International Conference on Machine Learning

Decision breakdown

6,341papers

Counted from the official paper list; may differ slightly from the number the conference announced.

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    5,80591.5%

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Topic: AI Agents · 640 papers · Reset filters

Threat2Traffic: Multi-Agent Environment Synthesis for Malware Traffic Generation from Threat Intelligence

Haoyang Chen, Chang Liu, Zhong Guan, Junzheng Shi, Gaopeng Gou, Gang Xiong

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Data-driven cybersecurity research is fundamentally constrained by the scarcity of labeled datasets, yet acquiring authentic, large-scale malware traffic remains bottlenecked by obsolescent public datasets, unscalable manual construction, and inflexible sandboxes that fail to satisfy the sample-specific dependencies required for malware to exhibit malicious behavior. Threat intelligence documents these dependencies, and LLM agents offer a path to extract them for environment construction, yet directly applying such agents faces two challenges: input-side ambiguity and output-side fragility. In this paper, we propose Threat2Traffic, a multi-agent framework that extracts sample-specific dependencies from threat intelligence, reconstructs tailored environments, and captures malware traffic. To address input-side ambiguity, it formulates dependency extraction as structured multi-agent deliberation over an evidence graph. To overcome output-side fragility, it incorporates invariant-guided synthesis with dual-layer validation under syntactic and semantic constraints. Evaluated on 1,077 samples across eight malware families, Threat2Traffic achieves 83.1\% reproduction success, highlighting its effectiveness for scalable and realistic malware traffic generation. We release the core source code and traffic dataset at https://github.com/apos3637/Threat2Traffic

Poster
SCOUT: Active Information Foraging for Long-Text Understanding with Decoupled Epistemic States

Zhenliang Zhang, Wenqing Wang, Yong Hu, Yaming Yang, Jiaheng Gao, Chen Shen, Xiaojun Wan

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Long-Text Understanding (LTU) at million-token scale requires balancing reasoning fidelity with computational efficiency. Frontier long-context LLMs can process millions of token contexts end-to-end, but they suffer from high token consumption and attention dilution. In parallel, specialized LTU agents often sacrifice fidelity through task-agnostic abstractions like graph construction or indexing. We identify a key insight for LTU: query-relevant information is typically sparse relative to the full document, so effective reasoning should rely on a query-sufficient subset rather than the entire context. To address this, we propose SCOUT, a new paradigm for LTU that **shifts from passive processing to active information foraging**. It treats the document as an explorable environment and answers from a compact, provenance-grounded epistemic state. Guided by state-level gap diagnosis, SCOUT adaptively alternates between coarse-to-fine exploration and anchored state updates that progressively *contract* its epistemic state toward query sufficiency. Experiments show that SCOUT matches state-of-the-art proprietary models while reducing token consumption by up to 8 times. Moreover, SCOUT remains stable as context length scales, substantially alleviating the practical cost--capability trade-off in long-context reasoning. Resources are available at our [Project Page](https://xavierzhang2002.github.io/scout-page/).

Poster
MEnvAgent: Scalable Polyglot Environment Construction for Verifiable Software Engineering

Chuanzhe Guo, Jingjing Wu, Sijun He, Yang Chen, Zhaoqi Kuang, Shilong Fan, Bingjin Chen, Siqi Bao, Jing Liu, Hua Wu, Qingfu Zhu, Wanxiang Che, Haifeng Wang

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The evolution of Large Language Model (LLM) agents for software engineering (SWE) is constrained by the scarcity of verifiable datasets, a bottleneck stemming from the complexity of constructing executable environments across diverse languages. To address this, we introduce **MEnvAgent**, a **M**ulti-language framework for automated **Env**ironment construction that facilitates scalable generation of verifiable task instances. MEnvAgent employs a multi-agent Planning-Execution-Verification architecture to autonomously resolve construction failures and integrates a novel Environment Reuse Mechanism that reduces computational overhead by incrementally patching historical environments. Evaluations on MEnvBench, a new benchmark comprising 1,000 tasks across 10 languages, demonstrate that MEnvAgent outperforms baselines, improving Fail-to-Pass (F2P) rates by **8.6%** while reducing time costs by **43%**. Additionally, we demonstrate the utility of MEnvAgent by constructing MEnvData-SWE, the largest open-source polyglot dataset of realistic verifiable Docker environments to date, alongside solution trajectories that enable consistent performance gains on SWE tasks across a wide range of models.

Spotlight
Envy-Free Allocation of Indivisible Goods via Noisy Queries

Zihan Li, Yan Hao Ling, Jonathan Scarlett, Warut Suksompong

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We introduce a problem of fairly allocating indivisible goods (items) in which the agents' valuations cannot be observed directly, but instead can only be accessed via noisy queries. In the two-agent setting with Gaussian noise and bounded valuations, we derive upper and lower bounds on the required number of queries for finding an envy-free allocation in terms of the number of items, $m$, and the negative-envy of the optimal allocation, $\Delta$. In particular, when $\Delta$ is not too small (namely, $\Delta \gg m^{1/4}$), we establish that the optimal number of queries scales as $\frac{\sqrt m }{(\Delta / m)^2} = \frac{m^{2.5}}{\Delta^2}$ up to logarithmic factors. Our upper bound is based on non-adaptive queries and a simple thresholding-based allocation algorithm that runs in polynomial time, while our lower bound holds even under adaptive queries and arbitrary computation time.

Poster
CGRiC: Compositional Risk Certification for Structured LLM Outputs

Ibne Farabi Shihab, Sanjeda Akter, Anuj Sharma

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Large language models increasingly generate structured outputs, including citation-grounded summaries, multi-step reasoning chains, and tool-augmented responses, where correctness is inherently compositional: a single flawed claim can invalidate an otherwise accurate response. Existing certification methods treat outputs as atomic units, forcing a binary choice between unsafe acceptance and wasteful rejection. We introduce \textbf{Claim Graph Risk Control (CGRiC)}, a framework that decomposes responses into dependency graphs of verifiable claims and assigns calibrated per-claim risk bounds via information-lift statistics. By composing these bounds, CGRiC provides explicit guarantees on the probability that any incorrect claim passes verification undetected. When this composed risk exceeds a target threshold, the system triggers localized repairs rather than full abstention, preserving correct content while fixing problematic claims. Our approach explicitly models extraction noise and verifier imperfection, and exploits conditional independence structure for tighter certificates when validated. Empirically, CGRiC achieves target risk levels while reducing abstention by 31\% compared to atomic baselines across QA, summarization, and reasoning tasks.

Poster
Code2Worlds: Empowering Coding LLMs for 4D World Generation

Yi Zhang, Yunshuang Wang, Zeyu Zhang, Hao Tang

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Achieving spatial intelligence requires moving beyond visual plausibility to build world simulators grounded in physical laws. While coding LLMs have advanced static 3D scene generation, extending this paradigm to 4D dynamics remains a critical frontier. This task presents two fundamental challenges: multi-scale context entanglement, where monolithic generation fails to balance local object structures with global environmental layouts; and a semantic-physical execution gap, where open-loop code generation leads to physical hallucinations lacking dynamic fidelity. We introduce Code2Worlds, a framework that formulates 4D generation as language-to-simulation code generation. First, we propose a dual-stream architecture that disentangles retrieval-augmented object generation from hierarchical environmental orchestration. Second, to ensure dynamic fidelity, we establish a physics-aware closed-loop mechanism in which a PostProcess Agent scripts dynamics, coupled with a VLM-Motion Critic that performs self-reflection to iteratively refine simulation code. Evaluations on the Code4D benchmark show Code2Worlds outperforms baselines with a 41% SGS gain and 49% higher Richness, while uniquely generating physics-aware dynamics absent in prior static methods.

Poster
SWE-Compass: Towards Unified Evaluation of Agentic Coding Abilities for Large Language Models

Jingxuan Xu, Ken Deng, Weihao Li, Songwei Yu, Haoyang Huang, Xinping Lei, Yifan Yao, Huaixi Tang, Zhiyi Lai, Kepeng Lei, Zizheng Zhan, Yanan Wu, Chenchen Zhang, Wenqiang Zhu, Wen Xiang, Zongxian Feng, Han Li, Junqi Xiong, Dailin Li, Zuchen Gao, Kun Wu, Yuanxing Zhang, Wuxuan Gong, Ziyuan Gao, Guanxiang Wang, Yirong Xue, Mengfei Xie, Xiaojiang Zhang, Jinghui Wang, Wenhao Zhuang, Zheng Lin, Huiming Wang, Zhaoxiang Zhang, Yuqun Zhang, Haotian Zhang, Ming Sun, Chen Bin, Jiaheng Liu

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Evaluating large language models (LLMs) for software engineering has been limited by narrow task coverage, language bias, and insufficient alignment with real-world developer workflows. Existing benchmarks often focus on algorithmic problems or Python-centric bug fixing, leaving critical dimensions of software engineering underexplored. To address these gaps, we introduce SWE-Compass, a comprehensive benchmark that unifies heterogeneous code-related evaluations into a structured and production-aligned framework. SWE-Compass spans 8 task types, 8 programming scenarios, and 10 programming languages, with 2000 high-quality instances curated from authentic GitHub pull requests and refined through systematic filtering and validation. We benchmark ten state-of-the-art LLMs under two agentic frameworks, SWE-Agent and Claude Code, revealing a clear hierarchy of difficulty across task types, languages, and scenarios. Moreover, by aligning evaluation with real-world developer practices, we hope SWE-Compass can provide a rigorous and reproducible foundation for diagnosing and advancing agentic coding capabilities in large language models.

Poster
SafeHarbor: Defining Precise Decision Boundaries via Hierarchical Memory-Augmented Guardrail for LLM Agent Safety

Zhe Liu, Zonghao Ying, Wenxin Zhang, Quanchen Zou, Deyue Zhang, Dongdong Yang, Xiangzheng Zhang, Hao Peng

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Recent advances in foundation models have transformed LLMs from passive conversational systems into autonomous agents capable of reasoning and tool execution. While these capabilities unlock substantial practical value, they also introduce new security risks, as adversaries can manipulate agents into performing harmful actions in real-world environments. Existing defense strategies mitigate such threats but frequently struggle to balance safety and utility, resulting in over-refusal of benign user requests. To mitigate this trade-off, we propose SafeHarbor, a novel framework designed to establish precise decision boundaries for LLM agents. Unlike static guidelines, SafeHarbor extracts context-aware defense rules through enhanced adversarial generation. We design a local hierarchical memory system for dynamic rule injection, offering a training-free, efficient, and plug-and-play solution. Furthermore, we introduce an information entropy-based self-evolution mechanism that continuously optimizes the memory structure through dynamic node splitting and merging. Extensive experiments demonstrate that SafeHarbor achieves state-of-the-art performance on both ambiguous benign tasks and explicit malicious attacks, notably attaining a peak benign utility of 63.6\% on GPT-4o while maintaining a robust refusal rate exceeding 93\% against harmful requests. The source code is publicly available at https://github.com/ljj-cyber/SafeHarbor.

Poster
Profiling the Irrational Agent: Cognitive Modeling of LLM Behaviors in Sequential Jailbreaks

Xikang Yang, biyu zhou, Xuehai Tang, Jizhong Han, Songlin Hu

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Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly deployed in high-stakes settings, yet they remain vulnerable to sequential jailbreaks that exploit multi-turn interaction to circumvent safety mechanisms. Current safety evaluations are largely outcome-based, offering little insight into the latent decision processes that lead to unsafe compliance. We propose an interpretable cognitive modeling framework that couples a controlled elicitation paradigm, the Contextual Iowa Gambling Task (C-IGT), with a Generalized Rescorla--Wagner (GRW) architecture to decompose behavior into measurable mechanisms. Across a diverse set of mainstream LLMs, we find that sequential vulnerability is not explained by scale alone but emerges from interactions among cognitive factors, including optimism-biased learning, perceptual reward amplification, and choice inertia. Moreover, counterfactual feedback and psychologically framed rewards (e.g., regret, authority, threat) substantially accelerate the transition from refusal to compliance. These results yield principled cognitive profiles of LLM "irrationality" and provide insights for interdisciplinary research on LLM agents at the intersection of machine learning and human behavioral science.

Poster
Semantic Tube Prediction: Beating LLM Data Efficiency with JEPA

Hai Huang, Yann LeCun, Randall Balestriero

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Large Language Models (LLMs) obey consistent scaling laws---empirical power-law fits that predict how loss decreases with compute, data, and parameters. While predictive, these laws are descriptive rather than prescriptive: they characterize typical training, not optimal training. Surprisingly few works have successfully challenged the data-efficiency bounds implied by these laws---which is our primary focus. To that end, we introduce the Geodesic Hypothesis, positing that token sequences trace geodesics on a smooth semantic manifold and are therefore locally linear. Building on this principle, we propose a novel Semantic Tube Prediction (STP) task, a JEPA-style regularizer that confines hidden-state trajectories to a tubular neighborhood of the geodesic. STP generalizes JEPA to language without requiring explicit multi-view augmentations. We show this constraint improves signal-to-noise ratio, and consequently preserves diversity by preventing trajectory collisions during inference. Empirically, STP allows LLMs to match baseline accuracy with 16$\times$ less training data, directly violating the data term of fine-tuning scaling laws and demonstrating that principled geometric priors can surpass brute-force scaling. Code: \url{https://github.com/galilai-group/llm-jepa#stp}

Poster
Protein Design with Agent Rosetta: A Case Study for Specialized Scientific Agents

Jacopo Teneggi, SM Bargeen Alam Turzo, Tanya Marwah, Alberto Bietti, P. Douglas Renfrew, Vikram Khipple Mulligan, Siavash Golkar

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Large language models (LLMs) are capable of emulating reasoning and using tools, creating opportunities for autonomous agents that execute complex scientific tasks. Protein design provides a natural testbed: although machine learning (ML) methods achieve strong results, these are largely restricted to canonical amino acids and narrow objectives, leaving unfilled need for a generalist tool for broad design pipelines. We introduce Agent Rosetta, an LLM agent paired with a structured environment for operating Rosetta, the leading physics-based heteropolymer design software, capable of modeling non-canonical building blocks and geometries. Agent Rosetta iteratively refines designs to achieve user-defined objectives, combining LLM reasoning with Rosetta's generality. We evaluate Agent Rosetta on design with canonical amino acids, matching specialized models and expert baselines, and with non-canonical residues---where ML approaches fail---achieving comparable performance. Critically, prompt engineering alone often fails to generate Rosetta actions, demonstrating that environment design is essential for integrating LLM agents with specialized software. Our results show that properly designed environments enable LLM agents to make scientific software accessible while matching specialized tools and human experts.

Poster
Skill-Based Mixture-of-Experts: Adaptive Routing for Heterogeneous Reasoning via Inferred Skills

Justin Chen, Sukwon Yun, Elias Stengel-Eskin, Tianlong Chen, Mohit Bansal

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Combining existing pre-trained LLMs is a promising approach for diverse reasoning tasks. However, task-level expert selection is often too coarse-grained, since different instances may require different expertise. To address this, we propose Skill-MoE, a symbolic, skill-based, and gradient-free Mixture-of-Experts framework for instance-level expert selection. Skill-MoE infers skills (e.g., algebra in mathematics) from each query, selects experts based on skill relevance, and lets each expert generate its own reasoning. The resulting k outputs are then synthesized by an aggregator chosen for its ability to integrate diverse responses. While instance-level selection substantially improves performance, naively implementing it incurs heavy overhead from repeated model loading and offloading. We address this with a batch inference strategy that groups instances by assigned experts, allowing each model to be loaded only once. As a result, Skill-MoE integrates 16 expert models on a single GPU with runtime comparable to prior multi-agent baselines using 4 GPUs. Across diverse benchmarks (MMLU-Pro, GPQA, AIME, and MedMCQA), Skill-MoE achieves an average absolute improvement of 8.15% over the best baseline. It also generalizes well to unseen tasks and outperforms discussion-based methods without requiring expensive multi-round interactions.

Poster
Language Model Networks: Supervision-Efficient Learning through Dense Communication

Shiguang Wu, Yaqing Wang, Quanming Yao

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Language models are increasingly used not only as standalone predictors but also as components in larger inference systems, from test-time scaling to multi-agent collaboration. We study *language model networks*, where pre-trained language models serve as reusable nodes and intelligence emerges from their topology, communication, and optimization. Existing systems mostly communicate through natural language: easy to deploy, but discrete, inefficient, and hard to optimize from end-task supervision. We propose LMNet, a dense and differentiable realization of this paradigm. LMNet uses stripped LLMs as vertex modules and trainable seq2seq modules as communication edges, enabling intermediate nodes to exchange dense vectors while preserving natural-language input and output at the system boundary. By bypassing intermediate embedding and de-embedding, LMNet enables efficient information transfer, end-to-end gradient optimization, and learned communication beyond hand-designed protocols. Experiments show performance with small additional training cost and effective adaptation under limited supervision.

Poster
Dynamic Optimizations of LLM Ensembles with Two-Stage Reinforcement Learning Agents

Selim Furkan Tekin, Gaowen Liu, Ramana Rao Kompella, Ling Liu

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The advancement of LLMs and their accessibility have triggered renewed interest in multi-agent reinforcement learning as robust and adaptive frameworks for dynamically changing environments. This paper introduces RL-Focal, a two-stage RL agent framework that routes and ensembles LLMs. First, we develop the Decider RL-agent, which learns to dynamically select an ensemble of small size ($m_i$) among $N$ LLMs ($m_i \ll N$) for incoming queries from a user-defined downstream task $i$, by maximizing both error-diversity and reasoning-performance of the selected ensemble through iterative updates of task-adaptive rewards and policy. Second, to enable effective fusion of dynamically selected LLMs, we develop the stage-2 Fusion RL-agent, which learns to resolve reasoning conflicts from different LLMs and dynamically adapt to different ensemble teams composed by the Decider Agent for different downstream tasks. {\em Third}, we introduce the focal diversity metric to better model the error correlations among multiple LLMs further improving the generalization performance of the Decider Agent, which actively prunes the ensemble combinations. By focal diversity, we enhance performance across tasks by effectively promoting reward-aware and policy-adaptive ensemble selection and inference fusion. Extensive evaluations on five benchmarks show that RL-Focal achieves the performance improvement of 8.48\% with an ensemble of small size compared to the best individual LLM in a pool and offers stronger robustness. Code is available at \url{https://anonymous.4open.science/r/rl-focal-8DCF/}

Poster
Formalizing Learning from Language Feedback with Provable Guarantees

Wanqiao Xu, Allen Nie, Ruijie Zheng, Aditya Modi, Adith Swaminathan, Ching-An Cheng

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Interactively learning from observation and language feedback is an increasingly studied area driven by the emergence of large language model (LLM) agents. While impressive empirical demonstrations have been shown, so far a principled framing of these decision problems remains lacking. In this paper, we formalize the Learning from Language Feedback (LLF) problem, assert sufficient assumptions to enable learning despite latent rewards, and introduce *transfer eluder dimension* as a measure to characterize the hardness of LLF problems. We formalize the intuition that information in the feedback governs the learning complexity of LLF problems. We demonstrate cases where learning from rich language feedback can be exponentially faster than learning from reward. We develop a no-regret algorithm, called `HELiX`, that provably solves LLF problems through sequential interactions, with performance guarantees that scale with the transfer eluder dimension of the problem. Across several empirical domains, we show that `HELiX` performs well even when repeatedly prompting LLMs does not work reliably. Our contributions mark an important step towards designing principled interactive learning algorithms from generic language feedback.

Poster
Data Difficulty and the Generalization–Extrapolation Tradeoff in LLM Fine-Tuning

Siyuan Liu, Tinghong Chen, Xinghan Li, Yifei Wang, Jingzhao Zhang

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Data selection during supervised fine-tuning (SFT) can critically change the behavior of large language models (LLMs). Although existing work has studied the effect of selecting data based on heuristics such as perplexity, difficulty, or length, the reported findings are often inconsistent or context-dependent. In this work, we systematically study the role of data difficulty in fine-tuning from both empirical and theoretical perspectives, and find that there is no universally optimal difficulty level; rather, its effectiveness depends on the dataset size. We show that for a fixed data budget, there exists an optimal data difficulty for SFT, and that this optimal difficulty shifts toward harder data as the data budget increases. To explain this phenomenon, we conduct controlled synthetic experiments that reveal a simple underlying mechanism: the interplay between the (in-distribution) generalization gap and the extrapolation gap. We further support this mechanism through a theoretical analysis using PAC-Bayesian generalization bounds. Overall, our results clarify how data size and difficulty jointly affect the trade-off between generalization and extrapolation in SFT, providing guidance for difficulty-based data selection under certain model and data conditions.

Poster
Exploration Hacking: Can LLMs Learn to Resist RL Training?

Eyon Jang, Damon Falck, Joschka Braun, Nathalie Maria Kirch, Achyutha Menon, Perusha Moodley, Scott Emmons, Roland S. Zimmermann, David Lindner

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Reinforcement learning (RL) has become essential to the post-training of large language models (LLMs) for reasoning, agentic capabilities and alignment. Successful RL relies on sufficient exploration of diverse actions by the model during training, which creates a potential failure mode: a model could strategically alter its exploration during training to influence the subsequent training outcome. In this paper we study this behavior, called exploration hacking. First, we create model organisms of selective RL resistance by fine-tuning LLMs to follow specific underperformance strategies; these models can successfully resist our RL-based capability elicitation in agentic biosecurity and AI R&D environments while maintaining performance on related tasks. We then use our model organisms to evaluate detection and mitigation strategies, including monitoring, weight noising, and SFT-based elicitation. Finally, we show that current frontier models can exhibit explicit reasoning about suppressing their exploration when provided with sufficient information about their training context, with higher rates when this information is acquired indirectly through the environment. Together, our results suggest exploration hacking is a possible failure mode of RL on sufficiently capable LLMs.

Poster
$R^3$DAO: Reactive Recovery and Reconstruction for Long-horizon Data Agent Orchestration

Quanxin Liu, Rui Hao, Ruida Xu, Jianwei Zhong, Changhu Chen, Yijun Mo

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End-to-end data science agent workflows involve tightly coupled sub-processes with strong dynamic dependencies, posing a challenging long-horizon orchestration problem. Existing frameworks primarily rely on static, chain-like execution plans, which are prone to error propagation from early stages—often causing reasoning chain collapse and task failure, resulting in fragile inference and poor cost-effectiveness. To address these issues, we propose $\text{R}^3$DAO, a reactive data agent orchestration framework based on feedback-driven topology evolution, aiming to build a dynamic evolutionary closed-loop of "hierarchical exploration, iterative recovery, and empirical convergence." First, we introduce a dynamic hierarchical task network that recursively decomposes global intent into macro-logical anchors and micro-operators, enabling low-cost exploration through dimensionality reduction in the logical space. Second, we establish a reactive topology reconfiguration mechanism that leverages semantic reflection to map execution anomalies into diagnostic signals, replacing costly global resets with localized topological optimization for resilient self-healing. Finally, semantic experience distillation implements a dual-loop accumulation that compresses long-horizon trajectories into structured prior, steering execution efficiency toward the optimal regime. Evaluations on the MLE-bench show that $\text{R}^3$DAO achieves a 77.36\% improvement in success rate over advanced R\&D-Agent while maintaining competitive task scores. Notably, $\text{R}^3$DAO compresses the average execution time by 36$\times$ and limits token consumption to just 104k per task, showcasing superior reliability, efficiency, and cost-effectiveness.

Poster
From Weak Cues to Real Identities: Evaluating Inference-Driven De-Anonymization in LLM Agents

Myeongseob Ko, Jihyun Jeong, Sumiran Singh Thakur, Gyuhak Kim, Ruoxi Jia

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Anonymization is often assumed to protect privacy once explicit identifiers are removed, because re-identification has historically required specialized expertise, tailored algorithms, and manual corroboration. We show that LLM-based agents weaken this barrier: by combining scattered, individually non-identifying cues with public evidence, they reconstruct real-world identities, sometimes even during benign tasks. We evaluate this risk across three settings---classical linkage incidents, a controlled benchmark (\emph{InferLink}) that varies fingerprint type, task framing, and attacker knowledge, and open-ended human--AI interaction traces. In the sparsest regime of the Netflix Prize deanonymization setting, agents reconstruct 79.2\% of identities, against 56.0\% for a classical matching baseline; on \emph{InferLink}, they link individuals even without an explicit re-identification request, and more often once one is given. In redacted human--AI interaction traces, agents further resolve anonymized profiles to specific individuals by corroborating contextual cues with public evidence. These findings suggest that privacy evaluations for agentic systems should measure not only what information is accessed or disclosed, but also what identities can be inferred.

Poster
Causal Detection of Multi-Step LLM Agent Attacks

Viraaji Mothukuri, Reza M. Parizi

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Multi-step prompt injection attacks on LLM agents present a fundamental detection challenge because malicious intent emerges only after the workflow completes, while individual actions remain legitimate in isolation. Existing defenses, including input sanitization, output validation, and instruction hierarchy, operate on individual actions or content patterns and cannot capture this sequential structure. We present **CausalTrace**, a detection system that reframes prompt-injection defense as causal inference. It constructs Structural Causal Models from agent trajectories with typed edges capturing data dependency, trust transfer, and state enablement, then applies Pearl’s do-calculus to answer a counterfactual question, namely, whether the harmful outcome would have occurred if the injection had been blocked. This formalization enables a principled distinction between attacks that depend on injections and benign workflows that share surface-level features. Evaluation on a dataset spanning crowdsourced traces, LLM agent benchmarks, and semi-real and real scenarios demonstrates strong detection performance, outperforming content-based baselines while requiring minimal LLM inference cost; bidirectional slicing recovers complete attack chains with high edge recall, providing interpretable explanations that trace exploitation to its causal origins.

Poster