ICML 2026 Papers

International Conference on Machine Learning

Decision breakdown

6,341papers

Counted from the official paper list; may differ slightly from the number the conference announced.

  • Spotlight
    5368.5%
  • Poster
    5,80591.5%

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Flow for Future: Geometric SE(3)-Equivariant Flow Matching for 3D Trajectory Prediction

Junwei Wu, Yihang Liu, Ruixuan Yu, Jian Sun

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Predicting 3D geometric trajectory requires capturing complex spatiotemporal dependencies while preserving physical symmetries. While flow matching offers a powerful generative paradigm, extending it to SE(3)-equivariant dynamics is challenging due to the inherent gap between deterministic history and stochastic evolving flows. To address this, we introduce GSE-Flow, an SE(3)-equivariant flow matching framework. We first propose a Coherent Sequence Encoding and Time-Modulated Embedding strategy that unifies historical and evolving streams, incorporating velocity and flow time via equivariant affine transformations to guide continuous evolution. We further design a Geometry-Feature Tensorization mechanism that projects node states into a tensor product space, enabling Context-Flow Fusion to guide trajectory evolution with historical context. GSE-Flow guarantees theoretical SE(3)-equivariance and achieves SOTA accuracy on MD17, MD22, and CMU MoCap benchmarks for geometric trajectory prediction, while demonstrating generality by enhancing deterministic baselines. Code is available at https://github.com/aegine/GSE-Flow.

Poster
Deep sequence models tend to memorize geometrically; it is unclear why

Shahriar Noroozizadeh, Vaishnavh Nagarajan, Elan Rosenfeld, Sanjiv Kumar

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Deep sequence models are said to store atomic facts predominantly in the form of *associative* memory: a brute-force lookup of co-occurring entities. We identify a dramatically different form of storage of atomic facts that we term as *geometric* memory. Here, the model has synthesized embeddings encoding novel *global* relationships between all entities, including ones that do not co-occur in training. Such storage is powerful: for instance, we show how it transforms a hard reasoning task involving an $\ell$-fold composition into an easy-to-learn $1$-step navigation task. From this phenomenon, we extract fundamental aspects of neural embedding geometries that are hard to explain. We argue that the rise of such a geometry, as against a lookup of local associations, cannot be straightforwardly attributed to typical supervisory, architectural, or optimizational pressures. Counterintuitively, a geometry is learned even when it is more complex than the brute-force lookup. Then, by analyzing a connection to Node2Vec, we demonstrate how the geometry stems from a spectral bias that—in contrast to prevailing theories—indeed arises naturally despite the lack of various pressures. This analysis also points out to practitioners a visible headroom to make Transformer memory more strongly geometric. We hope the geometric view of parametric memory encourages revisiting the default intuitions that guide researchers in areas like knowledge acquisition, capacity, discovery, and unlearning.

Poster
Provably Label-Efficient Conformal Prediction

Andrew Ilyas, Joonhyuk Ko, Jingwu Tang, Steven Wu, Jiahao Zhang

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Conformal prediction converts any black-box predictor into one with finite-sample, distribution-free coverage guarantees, outputting prediction sets $T(x)$ that contain the true label with probability at least $1-\alpha$. To construct these prediction sets, conformal prediction relies on a randomly sampled ``calibration set'' of labeled examples. In many applications, however, this labeled calibration set is costly to collect, creating a tradeoff between upfront labeling cost and downstream utility of the conformal predictor. In this work, we study *conformal prediction with costly label queries*, where unlabeled examples arrive i.i.d. and labels can be queried one at a time. After $m$ queries, we form a conformal predictor; the upfront cost of this predictor is the calibration set size $m$, and its efficiency is the expected prediction set size $\mathbb{E}|T_m(X)|$. We design an online stopping rule $\hat{m}$ that automatically balances the upfront cost against conformal efficiency *while preserving the original conformal guarantee*. Theoretically, we show that under mild regularity assumptions, the expected total cost of our stopping rule matches the best fixed calibration size in hindsight. Experimentally, we find that our stopping rule reduces cost compared to standard choices of $m$ from the literature by 40.6% $\pm$ 2.3%. Finally, we demonstrate a reduction from the probably approximately correct labeling problem of Candès et al. (2025) to CP, under which our stopping rule minimizes the total labeling cost.

Poster