ICML 2026 Papers

International Conference on Machine Learning

Decision breakdown

6,341papers

Counted from the official paper list; may differ slightly from the number the conference announced.

  • Spotlight
    5368.5%
  • Poster
    5,80591.5%

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How Far Ahead Do LLMs Plan? Uncovering the Latent Horizon in Chain-of-Thought Reasoning

Liyan Xu, Mo Yu, Fandong Meng, Jie Zhou

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Chain-of-thought (CoT) reasoning has become a central mechanism for eliciting multi-step reasoning in Large Language Models (LLMs). Yet recent evidence presents a tension: hidden states appear to already encode future reasoning before CoT fully unfolds, while explicit steps still remain crucial for tasks requiring compositional computation. To deepen the understanding between LLM's internal states and its verbalized reasoning trajectories, we investigate the latent planning strength of LLMs, through our probing method, Tele-Lens, applying to hidden states across diverse task domains. Our empirical results indicate that LLMs exhibit a myopic horizon, primarily conducting incremental transitions without precise global planning. Leveraging this characteristic, we propose a hypothesis on enhancing uncertainty estimation of CoT, which we validate that a sparse set of pivot positions can effectively represent the uncertainty of the entire path. We further underscore the significance of exploiting CoT dynamics, and demonstrate that automatic recognition of CoT bypass can be achieved without performance degradation. Our code, data and models are released at https://github.com/lxucs/tele-lens.

Poster
Turbo Connection: Reasoning as Information Flow from Higher to Lower Layers

Tang Mohan, Sidi Lu

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Complex problems, whether in math, logic, or planning, are solved by humans through a sequence of steps where the result of one step informs the next. In this work, we adopt the perspective that the reasoning power of Transformers is fundamentally limited by a fixed maximum number of steps along any latent path of computation. To address this, we introduce Turbo Connection (TurboConn), a novel architecture that overcomes the fixed-depth constraint by routing multiple residual connections from the higher-layer hidden states of each token $t$ to the lower layers of token $t+1$. Fine-tuning pre-trained LLMs with our method not only yields accuracy gains of 0.9\% to over 10\% on benchmarks like GSM8K, Parity, and multi-step arithmetic, but also demonstrates that the density of these backward connections is critical; our dense interaction significantly outperforms "sparse" alternatives that only pass a single hidden state or vector. Notably, TurboConn can be integrated into pre-trained LLMs to overcome task-specific plateaus: while a fine-tuned Qwen-3-1.7B achieves only 53.78\% on Parity, adding our architectural modification enables the model to reach 100\% accuracy, all without the necessity to retrain the full model from scratch or sophisticated curriculum learning. Our results provide strong empirical evidence that the depth of the computational path is a key factor in reasoning ability, also offering a new mechanism to enhance LLMs without significantly affecting generation latency.

Poster
On the Intrinsic Limits of Transformer Image Embeddings in Non-Solvable Spatial Reasoning

Siyi Lyu, Quan Liu, Feng Yan

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Vision Transformers (ViTs) excel in semantic recognition but exhibit systematic failures in spatial reasoning tasks such as mental rotation. While often attributed to data scale, this work argues that the limitation arises from the intrinsic circuit complexity of the architecture. By formalizing spatial understanding as a **Group Homomorphism Problem**—where latent embeddings preserve the algebraic structure of physical transformations acting on images—we identify a fundamental computational bottleneck. Specifically, for non-solvable groups (e.g., $\mathrm{SO}(3)$), maintaining such structure-preserving embeddings is lower-bounded by the Word Problem, which is $\mathsf{NC^1}$-complete. In contrast, constant-depth ViTs with polynomial precision are strictly bounded by the complexity class $\mathsf{TC^0}$. Under the standard conjecture $\mathsf{TC^0} \subsetneq \mathsf{NC^1}$, a **complexity boundary** emerges: constant-depth architectures lack the logical depth required to capture non-solvable spatial structures in a single forward pass. To empirically validate this theoretical gap, we propose the **Latent Space Algebra (LSA)** benchmark, which reveals a significant degradation in ViT representations as the compositional depth of non-solvable tasks increases.

Poster
Wait, Wait, Wait... Why Do Reasoning Models Loop?

Charilaos Pipis, Shivam Garg, Vasilis Kontonis, Vaishnavi Shrivastava, Akshay Krishnamurthy, Dimitris Papailiopoulos

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Reasoning models (e.g., DeepSeek-R1) generate long chains of thought to solve harder problems, but they often loop, repeating the same text at low temperatures or with greedy decoding. We study why this happens and what role temperature plays. With open reasoning models, we find that looping is common at low temperature. Larger models tend to loop less, and distilled students loop significantly even when their teachers rarely do. This points to mismatches between the training distribution and the learned model, which we refer to as errors in learning, as a key cause. To understand how such errors cause loops, we introduce a synthetic graph reasoning task and demonstrate two mechanisms. First, risk aversion caused by hardness of learning: when the correct progress-making action is hard to learn but an easy cyclic action is available, the model puts relatively more probability on the cyclic action and gets stuck. Second, even when there is no hardness, Transformers show an inductive bias toward temporally correlated errors, so the same few actions keep being chosen and loops appear. Higher temperature reduces looping by promoting exploration, but it does not fix the errors in learning, so generations remain much longer than necessary at high temperature; in this sense, temperature is a stopgap rather than a holistic solution. We end with a discussion of training-time interventions aimed at directly reducing errors in learning.

Spotlight
Evaluating LLMs When They Do Not Know the Answer: Statistical Evaluation of Mathematical Reasoning via Comparative Signals

Zihan Dong, Zhixian Zhang, Yang Zhou, Can Jin, Ruijia Wu, Linjun Zhang

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Evaluating mathematical reasoning in LLMs is constrained by limited benchmark sizes and inherent model stochasticity, yielding high-variance accuracy estimates and unstable rankings across platforms. On difficult problems, an LLM may fail to produce a correct final answer, yet still provide reliable pairwise comparison signals indicating which of two candidate solutions is better. We leverage this observation to design a statistically efficient evaluation framework that combines standard labeled outcomes with pairwise comparison signals obtained by having models judge auxiliary reasoning chains. Treating these comparison signals as control variates, we develop a semiparametric estimator based on the efficient influence function (EIF) for the setting where auxiliary reasoning chains are observed. This yields a one-step estimator that achieves the semiparametric efficiency bound, guarantees strict variance reduction over naive sample averaging, and admits asymptotic normality for principled uncertainty quantification. Across simulations, our one-step estimator substantially improves ranking accuracy, with gains increasing as model output noise grows. Experiments on GPQA Diamond, AIME 2025, and GSM8K further demonstrate more precise performance estimation and more reliable model rankings, especially in small-sample regimes where conventional evaluation is pretty unstable.

Poster
Are Large Reasoning Models Interruptible?

Tsung-Han Wu, Mihran Miroyan, David M. Chan, Trevor Darrell, Narges Norouzi, Joseph E. Gonzalez

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Real-world applications of Large Reasoning Models (LRMs) often require reasoning about changing prompts or environments. In this work, we challenge the frozen world assumption and evaluate LRM robustness under two realistic dynamic scenarios: interruptions, which test the accuracy of model responses under budget-constrained outputs, and dynamic context, which tests model adaptation to in-flight changes. Across mathematics and programming benchmarks that require long-form reasoning, static evaluations consistently overestimate robustness: even state-of-the-art LRMs, which achieve high accuracy in static settings, can fail unpredictably when interrupted or exposed to changing context, with performance dropping by up to 60\% when updates are introduced late in the reasoning process. Our analysis further reveals several novel failure modes, including reasoning leakage, where models fold the reasoning into their final answer when interrupted; panic, where under time pressure models abandon reasoning entirely and return incorrect answers; and self-doubt, where performance degrades when trying to incorporate updated information. The project page is at https://dynamic-lm.github.io

Poster
Editable Proof Sketch for Automated Theorem Proving

Zikai Xiao, Hanzheng Wang, Meng-Hao Guo, Shi-min Hu, Shing-Tung Yau

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As large language models (LLMs) improve in mathematical reasoning and formal understanding, a promising approach for automated theorem proving (ATP) is to enable LLMs construct proof sketches, which plan a high-level proof strategy and decompose complex theorems into independently provable subgoals. However, most existing proof sketches are immutable. As a result, any revision typically requires rebuilding the entire sketch, which discards already proved subgoals and bring additional cost. In this paper, we address this limitation by introducing EditableSketch, an editable proof-sketch structure that supports in-place edits for error correction and further subgoal decomposition while preserving previously proved subgoals. Building on EditableSketch, we introduce SketchRefine, a proof-generation framework for ATP by iteratively refining proof sketches through localized, incremental edits. Experiments show that our method not only reduces the cost of the proof process, but also achieves superior performance. For example, our method realizes 76.0% pass rate on FormalMath-Lite (+14.1\% vs. DeepSeek-Prover-V2-671B). Meanwhile, compared with Hilbert, our method significantly reduces token overhead while achieving comparable performance.

Poster
Bridging On-Device and Cloud LLMs for Collaborative Reasoning: A Unified Methodology for Local Routing and Post-Training

Wenzhi Fang, Dong-Jun Han, Liangqi Yuan, Evan Chen, Christopher Brinton

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Device-cloud collaboration holds promise for deploying large language models (LLMs), leveraging lightweight on-device models for efficiency while relying on powerful cloud models for superior reasoning. A central challenge in this setting is determining, for each incoming query, whether it should be processed locally or offloaded to the cloud. Existing approaches typically rely on external routers, which often struggle to determine difficulty from the prompt itself, especially for tasks involving complex reasoning. Motivated by this limitation, we propose enabling on-device LLMs to decide internally whether to invoke cloud assistance at inference time, with this capability instilled through reinforcement learning based post-training. Casting on-device LLM post-training as a reward maximization problem, we design hierarchical rewards to encourage local problem solving and judicious cloud offloading. To solve the resulting problem, we develop an algorithm featuring a group-level policy gradient that stabilizes optimization, together with adaptive prompt filtering that provides complementary learning signals to mitigate policy collapse (i.e., exclusive local execution or exclusive cloud offloading). Extensive experiments on on-device-scale LLaMA and Qwen models across multiple reasoning benchmarks show that our method consistently outperforms baselines and significantly narrows the gap to full cloud LLMs.

Poster
Equilibrium Reasoners: Learning Attractors Enables Scalable Reasoning

Benhao Huang, Zhengyang Geng, J Zico Kolter

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Scaling test-time compute by iteratively updating a latent state has emerged as a powerful paradigm for reasoning. Yet, the internal mechanisms that enable these iterative models to generalize beyond memorized patterns remain fundamentally unclear. We hypothesize that such generalizable reasoning arises from learning task-conditioned attractors: a latent dynamical system where stable fixed points correspond to valid solutions. We formalize this process by introducing Equilibrium Reasoners (EqR). EqR enables test-time scaling without relying on external verifiers or task-specific priors. Instead, our models scale internal dynamics along two axes: depth by running more iterations and breadth by aggregating stochastic trajectories from multiple initializations. Empirically, performance gains from scaling test-time compute are tightly coupled with better convergence to attractors. This attractor perspective allows neural networks to adaptively allocate test-time compute based on task difficulty. While simple cases converge within 1 to 5 iteration steps, the hardest cases benefit from massive test-time scaling. By unrolling up to an equivalent of 40,000 layers, this scalable latent reasoning boosts accuracy from 2.6% for feedforward models to over 99% on Sudoku-Extreme. We hope our attractor perspective sheds light on scalable reasoning.

Poster
ResRL: Boosting LLM Reasoning via Negative Sample Projection Residual Reinforcement Learning

Zihan Lin, Xiaohan Wang, Jie Cao, Jiajun Chai, LI Wang, Xiaodong Lu, Wei Lin, Ran He, Guojun Yin

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Reinforcement Learning with Verifiable Rewards (RLVR) enhances reasoning of Large Language Models (LLMs) but usually exhibits limited generation diversity due to the over-incentivization of positive rewards. Although methods like Negative Sample Reinforcement (NSR) mitigate this issue by upweighting penalty from negative samples, they may suppress the semantic distributions shared between positive and negative responses. To boost reasoning ability without losing diversity, this paper proposes negative sample projection Residual Reinforcement Learning (ResRL) that decouples similar semantic distributions among positive and negative responses. We theoretically link Lazy Likelihood Displacement (LLD) to negative-positive head-gradient interference and derive a single-forward proxy that upper-bounds representation alignment to guide conservative advantage reweighting. ResRL then projects negative-token hidden representations onto an SVD-based low-rank positive subspace and uses projection residuals to modulate negative gradients, improving reasoning while preserving diversity and outperforming strong baselines on average across twelve benchmarks spanning Mathematics, Code, Agent Tasks, and Function Calling. Notably, ResRL surpasses NSR on mathematical reasoning by 9.4\% in Avg@16 and 7.0\% in Pass@128. Code is available at https://github.com/1229095296/ResRL.git.

Poster
Turning Drift into Constraint: Robust Reasoning Alignment in Non-Stationary Multi-Stream Environments

Xiaoyu Yang, En Yu, Wei Duan, Jie Lu

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This paper identifies a critical yet underexplored challenge in reasoning alignment from multiple multi-modal large language models (MLLMs): In non-stationary environments, the diverse reasoning distributions of source models often evolve unpredictably, transmitting systematic biases and drift to the target model. To address this, we formulate multi-source reasoning alignment as a constraint satisfaction problem under concept drift theory. We propose Autonomous Preference Optimization (APO), a novel framework that treats inter-model divergences not as noise, but as dynamic negative constraints. APO operates via a two-stage protocol: first, supervised bootstrapping projects the target model into the capability union of source models; second, constraint-aware optimization synthesizes a consistent consensus manifold by explicitly suppressing drifting trajectories via a multi-negative Plackett-Luce objective. Extensive experiments on chest X-ray interpretation demonstrate that our 7B model achieves superior robustness, outperforming even proprietary source models in average accuracy. Furthermore, we release CXR-MAX, a large-scale benchmark comprising 170,982 reasoning trajectories from seven large-scale MLLMs to facilitate research on reasoning alignment under drift. Code and data are available at: https://github.com/XiaoyuYoung/APO.

Poster
Demystifying Scientific Problem-Solving in LLMs by Probing Knowledge and Reasoning

Alan Li, Yixin Liu, Arpan Sarkar, Doug Downey, Arman Cohan

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Scientific problem solving poses unique challenges for LLMs, requiring both deep domain knowledge and the ability to apply such knowledge through complex reasoning. While automated scientific reasoners hold great promise for assisting human scientists, there is currently no widely adopted holistic benchmark for evaluating scientific reasoning, and few approaches systematically disentangle the distinct roles of knowledge and reasoning in these tasks. To address these gaps, we introduce **SciReas**, a diverse suite of existing benchmarks for scientific reasoning tasks, and **SciReas-Pro**, a selective subset that requires more complex reasoning. Our holistic evaluation surfaces insights about scientific reasoning performance that remain hidden when relying on individual benchmarks alone. We then propose **KRUX**, a probing framework for studying the distinct roles of reasoning and knowledge in scientific tasks. Combining the two, we conduct an in-depth analysis that yields several key findings: (1) Retrieving task-relevant knowledge from model parameters is a critical bottleneck for LLMs in scientific reasoning; (2) Reasoning models consistently benefit from external knowledge added in-context on top of the reasoning enhancement; (3) Enhancing verbalized reasoning improves LLMs' ability to surface task-relevant knowledge.

Poster
Inducing Overthink: Hierarchical Genetic Algorithm-based DoS Attack on Black-Box Large Language Reasoning Models

Shuqiang Wang, Wei Cao, Jiaqi Weng, Jialing Tao, Licheng Pan, Hui Xue, Zhixuan Chu

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Large Reasoning Models (LRMs) are increasingly integrated into systems requiring reliable multi-step inference, yet this growing dependence exposes new vulnerabilities related to computational availability. In particular, LRMs exhibit a tendency to “overthink’’—producing excessively long and redundant reasoning traces—when confronted with incomplete or logically inconsistent inputs. This behavior significantly increases inference latency and energy consumption, forming a potential vector for denial-of-service (DoS) style resource exhaustion. In this work, we investigate this attack surface and propose an automated black-box framework that induces overthinking in LRMs by systematically perturbing the logical structure of input problems. Our method employs a hierarchical genetic algorithm (HGA) operating on structured problem decompositions, and optimizes a composite fitness function designed to maximize both response length and reflective overthinking markers. Across four state-of-the-art reasoning models, the proposed method substantially amplifies output length, achieving up to a 26.1× increase on the MATH benchmark and consistently outperforming benign and manually crafted missing-premise baselines. We further demonstrate strong transferability, showing that adversarial inputs evolved using a small proxy model retain high effectiveness against large commercial LRMs. These findings highlight overthinking as a shared and exploitable vulnerability in modern reasoning systems, underscoring the need for more robust defenses.

Poster
Solving the Offline and Online Min-Max Problem of Non-smooth Submodular-Concave Functions: A Zeroth-Order Approach

Amir Ali Farzin, Yuen-Man Pun, Philipp Braun, Tyler Summers, Iman Shames

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We consider max-min and min-max problems with objective functions that are possibly non-smooth, submodular with respect to the minimiser and concave with respect to the maximiser. We investigate the performance of a zeroth-order method applied to this problem. The method is based on the subgradient of the Lovász extension of the objective function with respect to the minimiser and based on Gaussian smoothing to estimate the smoothed function gradient with respect to the maximiser. In expectation sense, we prove the convergence of the algorithm to an $\epsilon$-saddle point in the offline case. Moreover, we show that, in the expectation sense, in the online setting, the algorithm achieves $O(\sqrt{N\bar{P}_N})$ online duality gap, where $N$ is the number of iterations and $\bar{P}_N$ is the path length of the sequence of optimal decisions. The complexity analysis and hyperparameter selection are presented for all the cases. The theoretical results are illustrated via numerical examples.

Poster
Step-Level Sparse Autoencoder for Reasoning Process Interpretation

Xuan Yang, Jiayu Liu, Yuhang Lai, Hao Xu, Zhenya Huang, Ning Miao

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Large Language Models (LLMs) have achieved strong complex reasoning capabilities through Chain-of-Thought (CoT) reasoning. However, their reasoning patterns remain too complicated to analyze. While Sparse Autoencoders (SAEs) have emerged as a powerful tool for interpretability, existing approaches predominantly operate at the token level, creating a granularity mismatch when capturing more critical step-level information, such as reasoning direction and semantic transitions. In this work, we propose step-level sparse autoencoder (SSAE), which serves as an analytical tool to disentangle different aspects of LLMs' reasoning steps into sparse features. Specifically, by precisely controlling the sparsity of a step feature conditioned on its context, we form an information bottleneck in step reconstruction, which splits incremental information from background information and disentangles it into several sparsely activated dimensions. Experiments on multiple base models and reasoning tasks show the effectiveness of the extracted features. By linear probing, we can easily predict surface-level information, such as generation length and first token distribution, as well as more complicated properties, such as the correctness and logicality of the step. These observations indicate that LLMs should already at least partly know about these properties during generation, which provides the foundation for the self-verification ability of LLMs. Our code is available at https://github.com/Miaow-Lab/SSAE.

Poster
Towards Efficient Large Language Reasoning Models via Extreme-Ratio Chain-of-Thought Compression

Yuntian Tang, Bohan Jia, Wenxuan Huang, Lianyue Zhang, Jiao Xie, Wenxi Li, Wei Li, Jie Hu, Xinghao Chen, Rongrong Ji, Shaohui Lin

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Chain-of-Thought (CoT) reasoning successfully enhances the reasoning capabilities of Large Language Models (LLMs), yet it incurs substantial computational overhead for inference. Existing CoT compression methods often suffer from a critical loss of logical fidelity at high compression ratios, resulting in significant performance degradation. To achieve high-fidelity, fast reasoning, we propose a novel EXTreme-RAtio Chain-of-Thought Compression framework, termed Extra-CoT, which aggressively reduces the token budget while preserving answer accuracy. To generate reliable, high-fidelity supervision, we first train a dedicated semantically-preserved compressor on mathematical CoT data with fine-grained annotations. An LLM is then fine-tuned on these compressed pairs via a mixed-ratio supervised fine-tuning (SFT), teaching it to follow a spectrum of compression budgets and providing a stable initialization for reinforcement learning (RL). We further propose Constrained and Hierarchical Ratio Policy Optimization (CHRPO) to explicitly incentivize question-solving ability under lower budgets by a hierarchical reward. Experiments on three mathematical reasoning benchmarks show the superiority of Extra-CoT. For example, on MATH-500 using Qwen3-1.7B, Extra-CoT achieves over 73\% token reduction with an accuracy improvement of 0.6\%, significantly outperforming state-of-the-art (SOTA) methods. Our source codes are released in the Supplementaries.

Poster
Beyond Theorem Proving: Formulation, Framework and Benchmark for Formal Problem-Solving

Qi Liu, Xinhao Zheng, Renqiu Xia, Xingzhi Qi, Qinxiang Cao, Junchi Yan

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Large language models (LLMs) have achieved remarkable progress in mathematical reasoning, yet persistently suffer from hallucinations and erroneous logic. While formal theorem proving (FTP) shows promise in process-level reliability, it is limited to _verification_ (checking known propositions). This leaves constructive problem-solving (finding unknown terms that satisfy specific conditions) underexplored and disconnected from process-level verifiability. To bridge this gap, we introduce **FPS** (_**F**ormal **P**roblem-**S**olving_), a principled framework to encompass the end-to-end problem-solving process in Lean 4. In FPS, the answer is an unknown metavariable coupled with a proof obligation, forcing it to be mathematically derived and verified. We further present **D-FPS** (_**D**eductive **FPS**_), which structures solving into forward derivation and backward verification, aligning more closely with human reasoning steps. Three benchmarks of over 1,000 problems are constructed for evaluation: **FormalMath500**, **MiniF2F-Solving**, and **PutnamBench-Solving**. We further propose **RPE** (_**R**estricted **P**ropositional **E**quivalence_), a symbolic metric that evaluates semantic correctness beyond brittle string matching. Extensive experiments with state-of-the-art provers reveal that solving is significantly harder than proving, highlighting the ``alignment tax'' required to transition from loose validity checking to constructive, human-aligned reasoning. Code and data are available at [https://github.com/Purewhite2019/formal_problem_solving_main](https://github.com/Purewhite2019/formal_problem_solving_main).

Spotlight
CRPO: Character-centric Group Relative Policy Optimization for Role-aware Reasoning in Role-playing Agents

Yihong Tang, Kehai Chen, Liang Yue, Benyou Wang, Min Zhang

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Recent advancements in Reinforcement Learning (RL), particularly Group Relative Policy Optimization (GRPO), have significantly enhanced the reasoning capabilities of Large Language Models. However, applying these problem-centric optimization methods to role-playing agents often leads to a loss of character fidelity and style collapse, as they prioritize context-specific utility over persona alignment. To address this, we propose Character-Centric Group Relative Policy Optimization (CRPO), a framework designed to realign RL objectives with the role-playing task. CRPO improves character distinctiveness through three mechanisms: decoupling task logic from stylistic rewards to resolve gradient conflicts, dynamically adapting optimization constraints based on character complexity, and utilizing generic responses as negative baselines to prevent the model from reverting to a common distribution. Extensive experiments demonstrate that CRPO outperforms existing methods in consistency, emotion and others.

Poster
Advancing LLM Reasoning with Natural Language and Numerical Feedback

Xiaoying Zhang, Yipeng Zhang, Hao Sun, Kaituo Feng, Chaochao Lu, Chao Yang, Helen M. Meng

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Recent advances in reinforcement learning (RL) using numerical rewards have significantly enhanced the complex reasoning capabilities of large language models (LLMs). However, we identify three fundamental limitations of purely numerical feedback: performance plateaus, ineffective spontaneous self-reflection, and persistent failures. We show that plateaued RL models can successfully refine failed solutions when given natural language critiques. Motivated by this, we propose Critique-GRPO, an online RL framework that integrates both natural language and numerical feedback for policy optimization. This approach enables LLMs to learn simultaneously from initial responses and critique-guided refinements, effectively internalizing the exploration benefits of both stages. Extensive experiments show that Critique-GRPO outperforms all compared supervised and RL-based fine-tuning methods, achieving average Pass@1 improvements of approximately +15.0-21.6% on various Qwen models and +7.3% on Llama-3.2-3B-Instruct across eight challenging reasoning tasks. Notably, Critique-GRPO facilitates effective self-improvement through self-critiquing, achieving substantial gains over GRPO, e.g., a +16.7% Pass@1 improvement on AIME 2024. The code and models are released at: https://github.com/zhangxy-2019/critique-GRPO

Spotlight
Mind the Gap: Catching Hallucinations via Evidence Drop on the Reasoning Manifold

Qunjie Chen, Yufei Chen, Xiaodong Yue, Linye Li

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Large Language Models (LLMs) show strong reasoning abilities, yet their reliability is hindered by hallucinations, where fluent reasoning becomes factually or logically incorrect. Most existing uncertainty-based detectors rely on sequence-level averaging, which ignores the step-wise dynamics of reasoning and often misclassifies hard-but-correct or easy-but-wrong samples. We propose a dynamic perspective that models reasoning as a trajectory on a latent Evidence Manifold, where each step is supported by local evidence. Hallucinations are characterized as Evidence Drops, i.e., sudden declines in local evidence support that indicate topological deviations from this manifold. Based on this insight, we design a training-free and model-agnostic detector that identifies hallucinations via the worst-case Evidence Drop and enables step-level error localization. Experiments on GSM8K, MATH, and ProcessBench show consistent improvements over sequence-level uncertainty baselines in selective accuracy and risk–coverage trade-offs.

Poster