ICML 2025 Papers

International Conference on Machine Learning

Decision breakdown

3,342papers

Counted from the official paper list; may differ slightly from the number the conference announced.

  • Oral
    1213.6%
  • Spotlight
    2256.7%
  • Poster
    2,99689.6%

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Why Has Predicting Downstream Capabilities of Frontier AI Models with Scale Remained Elusive?

Rylan Schaeffer, Hailey Schoelkopf, Brando Miranda, Gabriel Mukobi, Varun Madan, Adam Ibrahim, Herbie Bradley, Stella Biderman, Sanmi Koyejo

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Predictable behavior from scaling advanced AI systems is an extremely desirable property for engineers, companies, economists and governments alike, and while a well-established literature exists on how pretraining performance scales, predictable scaling behavior on downstream capabilities remains elusive. While many factors are certainly responsible, this paper shines a light on a significant factor that makes predicting scaling behavior on widely used multiple-choice question answering benchmarks challenging and illuminates a path towards making such downstream evaluations predictable with scale. Using five model families and twelve well-established multiple-choice benchmarks, we show that downstream performance is computed from negative log likelihoods via a sequence of transformations that progressively degrades the statistical relationship between performance and scale. We then reveal the mechanism causing this degradation: downstream metrics require comparing the correct choice against a small number of specific incorrect choices, meaning accurately predicting downstream capabilities requires predicting not just how probability mass concentrates on the correct choice with scale, but also how probability mass fluctuates on specific incorrect choices with scale. We empirically study how probability mass on the correct choice co-varies with probability mass on incorrect choices with increasing compute, suggesting that scaling laws for \textit{incorrect} choices might be achievable. Our work also explains why pretraining scaling laws are commonly regarded as more predictable than downstream capabilities and contributes towards establishing scaling-predictable evaluations of frontier AI models.

Poster
QuEST: Stable Training of LLMs with 1-Bit Weights and Activations

Andrei Panferov, Jiale Chen, Soroush Tabesh, Mahdi Nikdan, Dan Alistarh

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One approach to reducing the massive costs of large language models (LLMs) is the use of quantized or sparse representations for training or deployment. While post-training compression methods are very popular, the question of obtaining even more accurate compressed models by *directly training* over such representations, i.e., *Quantization-Aware Training (QAT)*, is still open: for example, a recent study put the "optimal" bit-width at which models can be trained using QAT, while staying accuracy-competitive with standard FP16/BF16 precision, at 8-bits weights and activations. We advance this state-of-the-art via a new method called QuEST, for which we demonstrate optimality at 4-bits and stable convergence as low as 1-bit weights and activations. QuEST achieves this by improving two key aspects of QAT methods: (1) accurate and fast quantization of the (continuous) distributions of weights and activations via Hadamard normalization and MSE-optimal fitting; (2) a new *trust gradient estimator* based on the idea of explicitly minimizing the error between the noisy gradient computed over quantized states and the "true" (but unknown) full-precision gradient. Experiments on Llama-type architectures show that QuEST induces stable scaling laws across the entire range of hardware-supported precisions, and can be extended to sparse representations. We provide GPU kernel support showing that models produced by QuEST can be executed efficiently. Our code is available at [https://github.com/IST-DASLab/QuEST](https://github.com/IST-DASLab/QuEST).

Poster
CoMemo: LVLMs Need Image Context with Image Memory

Shi Liu, Weijie Su, Xizhou Zhu, Wenhai Wang, Jifeng Dai

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Recent advancements in Large Vision-Language Models built upon Large Language Models have established aligning visual features with LLM representations as the dominant paradigm. However, inherited LLM architectural designs introduce suboptimal characteristics for multimodal processing. First, LVLMs exhibit a bimodal distribution in attention allocation, leading to the progressive neglect of middle visual content as context expands. Second, conventional positional encoding schemes fail to preserve vital 2D structural relationships when processing dynamic high-resolution images. To address these limitations, we propose **CoMemo** - a dual-path architecture that combines a **Co**ntext image path with an image **Memo**ry path for visual processing, effectively alleviating visual information neglect. Additionally, we introduce RoPE-DHR, a novel positional encoding mechanism that employs thumbnail-based positional aggregation to maintain 2D spatial awareness while mitigating remote decay in extended sequences. Evaluations across seven benchmarks,including long-context comprehension, multi-image reasoning, and visual question answering, demonstrate CoMemo's superior performance compared to conventional LVLM architectures. Project page is available at [https://lalbj.github.io/projects/CoMemo/](https://lalbj.github.io/projects/CoMemo/).

Poster
Automatic Reward Shaping from Confounded Offline Data

Mingxuan Li, Junzhe Zhang, Elias Bareinboim

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Reward shaping has been demonstrated to be an effective technique for accelerating the learning process of reinforcement learning (RL) agents. While successful in empirical applications, the design of a good shaping function is less well understood in principle and thus often relies on domain expertise and manual design. To overcome this limitation, we propose a novel automated approach for designing reward functions from offline data, possibly contaminated with the unobserved confounding bias.We propose to use causal state value upper bounds calculated from offline datasets as a conservative optimistic estimation of the optimal state value, which is then used as state potentials in Potential-Based Reward Shaping (PBRS). When applying our shaping function to a model-free learner based on UCB principles, we show that it enjoys a better gap-dependent regret bound than the learner without shaping. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first gap-dependent regret bound for PBRS in model-free learning with online exploration. Simulations support the theoretical findings.

Poster
Universal Biological Sequence Reranking for Improved De Novo Peptide Sequencing

Zijie Qiu, Jiaqi Wei, Xiang Zhang, Sheng Xu, Kai Zou, Zhi Jin, Zhiqiang Gao, Nanqing Dong, Siqi Sun

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De novo peptide sequencing is a critical task in proteomics. However, the performance of current deep learning-based methods is limited by the inherent complexity of mass spectrometry data and the heterogeneous distribution of noise signals, leading to data-specific biases. We present RankNovo, the first deep reranking framework that enhances de novo peptide sequencing by leveraging the complementary strengths of multiple sequencing models. RankNovo employs a list-wise reranking approach, modeling candidate peptides as multiple sequence alignments and utilizing axial attention to extract informative features across candidates. Additionally, we introduce two new metrics, PMD (**P**eptide **M**ass **D**eviation) and RMD (**R**esidual**M**ass **D**eviation), which offer delicate supervision by quantifying mass differences between peptides at both the sequence and residue levels. Extensive experiments demonstrate that RankNovo not only surpasses its base models used to generate training candidates for reranking pre-training, but also sets a new state-of-the-art benchmark. Moreover, RankNovo exhibits strong zero-shot generalization to unseen models—those whose generations were not exposed during training, highlighting its robustness and potential as a universal reranking framework for peptide sequencing. Our work presents a novel reranking strategy that fundamentally challenges existing single-model paradigms and advances the frontier of accurate de novo sequencing. Our source code is provided on GitHub.

Poster
Improving Generalization in Federated Learning with Highly Heterogeneous Data via Momentum-Based Stochastic Controlled Weight Averaging

Junkang Liu, Yuanyuan Liu, Fanhua Shang, Hongying Liu, Jin Liu, Wei Feng

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For federated learning (FL) algorithms such as FedSAM, their generalization capability is crucial for real-word applications. In this paper, we revisit the generalization problem in FL and investigate the impact of data heterogeneity on FL generalization. We find that FedSAM usually performs worse than FedAvg in the case of highly heterogeneous data, and thus propose a novel and effective federated learning algorithm with Stochastic Weight Averaging (called \texttt{FedSWA}), which aims to find flatter minima in the setting of highly heterogeneous data. Moreover, we introduce a new momentum-based stochastic controlled weight averaging FL algorithm (\texttt{FedMoSWA}), which is designed to better align local and global models. Theoretically, we provide both convergence analysis and generalization bounds for \texttt{FedSWA} and \texttt{FedMoSWA}. We also prove that the optimization and generalization errors of \texttt{FedMoSWA} are smaller than those of their counterparts, including FedSAM and its variants. Empirically, experimental results on CIFAR10/100 and Tiny ImageNet demonstrate the superiority of the proposed algorithms compared to their counterparts.

Poster
LEAPS: A discrete neural sampler via locally equivariant networks

Peter Holderrieth, Michael Samuel Albergo, Tommi Jaakkola

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We propose *LEAPS*, an algorithm to sample from discrete distributions known up to normalization by learning a rate matrix of a continuous-time Markov chain (CTMC). LEAPS can be seen as a continuous-time formulation of annealed importance sampling and sequential Monte Carlo methods, extended so that the variance of the importance weights is offset by the inclusion of the CTMC. To derive these importance weights, we introduce a set of Radon-Nikodym derivatives of CTMCs over their path measures. Because the computation of these weights is intractable with standard neural network parameterizations of rate matrices, we devise a new compact representation for rate matrices via what we call \textit{locally equivariant} functions. To parameterize them, we introduce a family of locally equivariant multilayer perceptrons, attention layers, and convolutional networks, and provide an approach to make deep networks that preserve the local equivariance. This property allows us to propose a scalable training algorithm for the rate matrix such that the variance of the importance weights associated to the CTMC are minimal. We demonstrate the efficacy of LEAPS on problems in statistical physics. We provide code in https://github.com/malbergo/leaps/.

Poster
FSL-SAGE: Accelerating Federated Split Learning via Smashed Activation Gradient Estimation

Srijith Nair, Michael Lin, Peizhong Ju, Amirreza Talebi, Elizabeth Serena Bentley, Jia Liu

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Collaborative training methods like Federated Learning (FL) and Split Learning (SL) enable distributed machine learning without sharing raw data. However, FL assumes clients can train entire models, which is infeasible for large-scale models. In contrast, while SL alleviates the client memory constraint in FL by offloading most training to the server, it increases network latency due to its sequential nature. Other methods address the conundrum by using local loss functions for parallel client-side training to improve efficiency, but they lack server feedback and potentially suffer poor accuracy. We propose FSL-SAGE (Federated Split Learning via Smashed Activation Gradient Estimation), a new federated split learning algorithm that estimates server-side gradient feedback via auxiliary models. These auxiliary models periodically adapt to emulate server behavior on local datasets. We show that FSL-SAGE achieves a convergence rate of $\mathcal{O}(1/\sqrt{T})$, where $T$ is the number of communication rounds. This result matches FedAvg, while significantly reducing communication costs and client memory requirements. Our empirical results also verify that it outperforms existing state-of-the-art FSL methods, offering both communication efficiency and accuracy.

Poster
What If We Recaption Billions of Web Images with LLaMA-3?

Xianhang Li, Haoqin Tu, Mude Hui, Zeyu Wang, Bingchen Zhao, Junfei Xiao, Sucheng Ren, Jieru Mei, Qing Liu, Huangjie Zheng, Yuyin Zhou, Cihang Xie

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Web-crawled image-text pairs are inherently noisy. Prior studies demonstrate that semantically aligning and enriching textual descriptions of these pairs can significantly enhance model training across various vision-language tasks, particularly text-to-image generation. However, large-scale investigations in this area remain predominantly closed-source. Our paper aims to bridge this community effort, leveraging the powerful and $\textit{open-sourced}$ LLaMA-3, a GPT-4 level LLM. Our recaptioning pipeline is simple: first, we fine-tune a LLaMA-3-8B powered LLaVA-1.5 and then employ it to recaption ~1.3 billion images from the DataComp-1B dataset. Our empirical results confirm that this enhanced dataset, Recap-DataComp-1B, offers substantial benefits in training advanced vision-language models. For discriminative models like CLIP, we observe an average of 3.1% enhanced zero-shot performance cross four cross-modal retrieval tasks using a mixed set of the original and our captions. For generative models like text-to-image Diffusion Transformers, the generated images exhibit a significant improvement in alignment with users' text instructions, especially in following complex queries. Our project page is https://www.haqtu.me/Recap-Datacomp-1B/.

Poster
Measuring Variable Importance in Heterogeneous Treatment Effects with Confidence

Joseph Paillard, Angel David REYERO LOBO, Vitaliy Kolodyazhniy, Bertrand Thirion, Denis-Alexander Engemann

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Causal machine learning (ML) promises to provide powerful tools for estimating individual treatment effects. While causal methods have placed some emphasis on heterogeneity in treatment response, it is of paramount importance to clarify the nature of this heterogeneity, by highlighting which variables drive it. We propose PermuCATE, an algorithm based on the Conditional Permutation Importance (CPI) method, for statistically rigorous global variable importance assessment in the estimation of the Conditional Average Treatment Effect (CATE). Theoretical analysis of the finite sample regime and empirical studies show that PermuCATE has lower variance than the Leave-One-Covariate-Out (LOCO) method and provides a reliable measure of variable importance. This property increases statistical power, which is crucial for causal inference applications with finite sample sizes. We empirically demonstrate the benefits of PermuCATE in simulated and real datasets, including complex settings with high-dimensional, correlated variables.

Poster
WMarkGPT: Watermarked Image Understanding via Multimodal Large Language Models

Songbai Tan, Xuerui Qiu, Yao Shu, Gang Xu, Linrui Xu, Xiangyu Xu, Huiping Zhuang, Ming Li, Fei Yu

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Invisible watermarking is widely used to protect digital images from unauthorized use. Accurate assessment of watermarking efficacy is crucial for advancing algorithmic development. However, existing statistical metrics, such as PSNR, rely on access to original images, which are often unavailable in text-driven generative watermarking and fail to capture critical aspects of watermarking, particularly visibility. More importantly, these metrics fail to account for potential corruption of image content. To address these limitations, we propose WMarkGPT, the first multimodal large language model (MLLM) specifically designed for comprehensive watermarked image understanding, without accessing original images. WMarkGPT not only predicts watermark visibility but also generates detailed textual descriptions of its location, content, and impact on image semantics, enabling a more nuanced interpretation of watermarked images. Tackling the challenge of precise location description and understanding images with vastly different content, we construct three visual question-answering (VQA) datasets: an object location-aware dataset, a synthetic watermarking dataset, and a real watermarking dataset. We introduce a meticulously designed three-stage learning pipeline to progressively equip WMarkGPT with the necessary abilities. Extensive experiments on synthetic and real watermarking QA datasets demonstrate that WMarkGPT outperforms existing MLLMs, achieving significant improvements in visibility prediction and content description. The datasets and code are released at https://github.com/TanSongBai/WMarkGPT.

Poster
De-AntiFake: Rethinking the Protective Perturbations Against Voice Cloning Attacks

Wei Fan, Kejiang Chen, Chang Liu, Weiming Zhang, Nenghai Yu

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The rapid advancement of speech generation models has heightened privacy and security concerns related to voice cloning (VC). Recent studies have investigated disrupting unauthorized voice cloning by introducing adversarial perturbations. However, determined attackers can mitigate these protective perturbations and successfully execute VC. In this study, we conduct the first systematic evaluation of these protective perturbations against VC under realistic threat models that include perturbation purification. Our findings reveal that while existing purification methods can neutralize a considerable portion of the protective perturbations, they still lead to distortions in the feature space of VC models, which degrades the performance of VC. From this perspective, we propose a novel two-stage purification method: (1) Purify the perturbed speech; (2) Refine it using phoneme guidance to align it with the clean speech distribution. Experimental results demonstrate that our method outperforms state-of-the-art purification methods in disrupting VC defenses. Our study reveals the limitations of adversarial perturbation-based VC defenses and underscores the urgent need for more robust solutions to mitigate the security and privacy risks posed by VC. The code and audio samples are available at https://de-antifake.github.io.

Poster
Overcoming Non-monotonicity in Transducer-based Streaming Generation

Zhengrui Ma, Yang Feng, Min Zhang

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Streaming generation models are utilized across fields, with the Transducer architecture being popular in industrial applications. However, its input-synchronous decoding mechanism presents challenges in tasks requiring non-monotonic alignments, such as simultaneous translation. In this research, we address this issue by integrating Transducer's decoding with the history of input stream via a learnable monotonic attention. Our approach leverages the forward-backward algorithm to infer the posterior probability of alignments between the predictor states and input timestamps, which is then used to estimate the monotonic context representations, thereby avoiding the need to enumerate the exponentially large alignment space during training. Extensive experiments show that our MonoAttn-Transducer effectively handles non-monotonic alignments in streaming scenarios, offering a robust solution for complex generation tasks. Code is available at https://github.com/ictnlp/MonoAttn-Transducer.

Poster
LAION-C: An Out-of-Distribution Benchmark for Web-Scale Vision Models

Fanfei Li, Thomas Klein, Wieland Brendel, Robert Geirhos, Roland S. Zimmermann

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Out-of-distribution (OOD) robustness is a desired property of computer vision models. Improving model robustness requires high-quality signals from robustness benchmarks to quantify progress. While various benchmark datasets such as ImageNet-C were proposed in the ImageNet era, most ImageNet-C corruption types are no longer OOD relative to today's large, web-scraped datasets, which already contain common corruptions such as blur or JPEG compression artifacts. Consequently, these benchmarks are no longer well-suited for evaluating OOD robustness in the era of web-scale datasets. Indeed, recent models show saturating scores on ImageNet-era OOD benchmarks, indicating that it is unclear whether models trained on web-scale datasets truly become better at OOD generalization or whether they have simply been exposed to the test distortions during training. To address this, we introduce LAION-C as a benchmark alternative for ImageNet-C. LAION-C consists of six novel distortion types specifically designed to be OOD, even for web-scale datasets such as LAION. In a comprehensive evaluation of state-of-the-art models, we find that the LAION-C dataset poses significant challenges to contemporary models, including MLLMs such as Gemini and GPT-4o. We additionally conducted a psychophysical experiment to evaluate the difficulty of our corruptions for human observers, enabling a comparison of models to lab-quality human robustness data. We observe a paradigm shift in OOD generalization: from humans outperforming models, to the best models now matching or outperforming the best human observers.

Poster
UniMC: Taming Diffusion Transformer for Unified Keypoint-Guided Multi-Class Image Generation

Qin Guo, Ailing Zeng, Dongxu Yue, Ceyuan Yang, Yang Cao, Hanzhong Guo, Fei Shen, Wei Liu, Xihui Liu, Dan Xu

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Although significant advancements have been achieved in the progress of keypoint-guided Text-to-Image diffusion models, existing mainstream keypoint-guided models encounter challenges in controlling the generation of more general non-rigid objects beyond humans (e.g., animals). Moreover, it is difficult to generate multiple overlapping humans and animals based on keypoint controls solely. These challenges arise from two main aspects: the inherent limitations of existing controllable methods and the lack of suitable datasets. First, we design a DiT-based framework, named UniMC, to explore unifying controllable multi-class image generation. UniMC integrates instance- and keypoint-level conditions into compact tokens, incorporating attributes such as class, bounding box, and keypoint coordinates. This approach overcomes the limitations of previous methods that struggled to distinguish instances and classes due to their reliance on skeleton images as conditions. Second, we propose HAIG-2.9M, a large-scale, high-quality, and diverse dataset designed for keypoint-guided human and animal image generation. HAIG-2.9M includes 786K images with 2.9M instances. This dataset features extensive annotations such as keypoints, bounding boxes, and fine-grained captions for both humans and animals, along with rigorous manual inspection to ensure annotation accuracy. Extensive experiments demonstrate the high quality of HAIG-2.9M and the effectiveness of UniMC, particularly in heavy occlusions and multi-class scenarios.

Poster
Exploring Invariance in Images through One-way Wave Equations

Yinpeng Chen, Dongdong Chen, Xiyang Dai, mengchen liu, Yinan Feng, Youzuo Lin, Lu Yuan, Zicheng Liu

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In this paper, we empirically demonstrate that natural images can be reconstructed with high fidelity from compressed representations using a simple first-order norm-plus-linear autoregressive (FINOLA) process—without relying on explicit positional information. Through systematic analysis, we observe that the learned coefficient matrices ($\mathbf{A}$ and $\mathbf{B}$) in FINOLA are typically invertible, and their product, $\mathbf{AB}^{-1}$, is diagonalizable across training runs. This structure enables a striking interpretation: FINOLA’s latent dynamics resemble a system of one-way wave equations evolving in a compressed latent space. Under this framework, each image corresponds to a unique solution of these equations. This offers a new perspective on image invariance, suggesting that the underlying structure of images may be governed by simple, invariant dynamic laws. Our findings shed light on a novel avenue for understanding and modeling visual data through the lens of latent-space dynamics and wave propagation.

Poster
Janus: Dual-Server Multi-Round Secure Aggregation with Verifiability for Federated Learning

Lang Pu, Jingjing Gu, Chao Lin, Xinyi Huang

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Secure Aggregation (SA) is a cornerstone of Federated Learning (FL), ensuring that user updates remain hidden from servers. The advanced Flamingo (S\&P'23) has realized multi-round aggregation and improved efficiency. However, it still faces several key challenges: scalability issues with dynamic user participation, a lack of verifiability for server-side aggregation results, and vulnerability to Model Inconsistency Attacks (MIA) caused by a malicious server distributing inconsistent models. To address these issues, we propose $\textit{Janus}$, a generic SA scheme based on dual-server architecture. Janus ensures security against up to $n-2$ colluding clients (where $n$ is the total client count), which prevents privacy breaches for non-colluders. Additionally, Janus is model-independent, ensuring applicability across any FL model without specific adaptations. Furthermore, Janus introduces a new cryptographic primitive, Separable Homomorphic Commitment, which enables clients to efficiently verify the correctness of aggregation. Finally, extensive experiments show that Janus not only significantly enhances security but also reduces per-client communication and computation overhead from logarithmic to constant scale, with a tolerable impact on model performance.

Poster
Learning Robust Neural Processes with Risk-Averse Stochastic Optimization

Huafeng Liu, Yiran Fu, Liping Jing, Hui Li, Shuyang Lin, Jingyue Shi, Deqiang Ouyang, Jian Yu

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Neural processes (NPs) are a promising paradigm to enable skill transfer learning across tasks with the aid of the distribution of functions. The previous NPs employ the empirical risk minimization principle in optimization. However, the fast adaption ability to different tasks can vary widely, and the worst fast adaptation can be catastrophic in risk-sensitive tasks. To achieve robust neural processes modeling, we consider the problem of training models in a risk-averse manner, which can control the worst fast adaption cases at a certain probabilistic level. By transferring the risk minimization problem to a two-level finite sum minimax optimization problem, we can easily solve it via a double-looped stochastic mirror prox algorithm with a task-aware variance reduction mechanism via sampling samples across all tasks. The mirror prox technique ensures better handling of complex constraint sets and non-Euclidean geometries, making the optimization adaptable to various tasks. The final solution, by aggregating prox points with the adaptive learning rates, enables a stable and high-quality output. The proposed learning strategy can work with various NPs flexibly and achieves less biased approximation with a theoretical guarantee. To illustrate the superiority of the proposed model, we perform experiments on both synthetic and real-world data, and the results demonstrate that our approach not only helps to achieve more accurate performance but also improves model robustness.

Poster
Efficient Parallel Training Methods for Spiking Neural Networks with Constant Time Complexity

Wanjin Feng, Xingyu Gao, Wenqian Du, Hailong Shi, Peilin Zhao, Pengcheng Wu, Chunyan Miao

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Spiking Neural Networks (SNNs) often suffer from high time complexity $O(T)$ due to the sequential processing of $T$ spikes, making training computationally expensive. In this paper, we propose a novel Fixed-point Parallel Training (FPT) method to accelerate SNN training without modifying the network architecture or introducing additional assumptions. FPT reduces the time complexity to $O(K)$, where $K$ is a small constant (usually $K=3$), by using a fixed-point iteration form of Leaky Integrate-and-Fire (LIF) neurons for all $T$ timesteps. We provide a theoretical convergence analysis of FPT and demonstrate that existing parallel spiking neurons can be viewed as special cases of our approach. Experimental results show that FPT effectively simulates the dynamics of original LIF neurons, significantly reducing computational time without sacrificing accuracy. This makes FPT a scalable and efficient solution for real-world applications, particularly for long-duration simulations.

Poster
ReFrame: Layer Caching for Accelerated Inference in Real-Time Rendering

Lufei Liu, Tor M. Aamodt

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Graphics rendering applications increasingly leverage neural networks in tasks such as denoising, supersampling, and frame extrapolation to improve image quality while maintaining frame rates. The temporal coherence inherent in these tasks presents an opportunity to reuse intermediate results from previous frames and avoid redundant computations. Recent work has shown that caching intermediate features to be reused in subsequent inferences is an effective method to reduce latency in diffusion models. We extend this idea to real-time rendering and present ReFrame, which explores different caching policies to optimize trade-offs between quality and performance in rendering workloads. ReFrame can be applied to a variety of encoder-decoder style networks commonly found in rendering pipelines. Experimental results show that we achieve 1.4$\times$ speedup on average with negligible quality loss in three real-time rendering tasks. Code available: https://ubc-aamodt-group.github.io/reframe-layer-caching/

Poster