ICML 2024 Papers

As Large Language Models (LLMs) rise in popularity, it is necessary to assess their capability in critically relevant domains. We present a comprehensive evaluation framework, grounded in science communication research, to assess LLM responses to questions about climate change. Our framework emphasizes both presentational and epistemological adequacy, offering a fine-grained analysis of LLM generations spanning 8 dimensions and 30 issues. Our evaluation task is a real-world example of a growing number of challenging problems where AI can complement and lift human performance. We introduce a novel protocol for scalable oversight that relies on AI Assistance and raters with relevant education. We evaluate several recent LLMs on a set of diverse climate questions. Our results point to a significant gap between surface and epistemological qualities of LLMs in the realm of climate communication.

Diverse studies in systems neuroscience begin with extended periods of curriculum training known as ‘shaping’ procedures. These involve progressively studying component parts of more complex tasks, and can make the difference between learning a task quickly, slowly or not at all. Despite the importance of shaping to the acquisition of complex tasks, there is as yet no theory that can help guide the design of shaping procedures, or more fundamentally, provide insight into its key role in learning. Modern deep reinforcement learning systems might implicitly learn compositional primitives within their multilayer policy networks. Inspired by these models, we propose and analyse a model of deep policy gradient learning of simple compositional reinforcement learning tasks. Using the tools of statistical physics, we solve for exact learning dynamics and characterise different learning strategies including primitives pre-training, in which task primitives are studied individually before learning compositional tasks. We find a complex interplay between task complexity and the efficacy of shaping strategies. Overall, our theory provides an analytical understanding of the benefits of shaping in a class of compositional tasks and a quantitative account of how training protocols can disclose useful task primitives, ultimately yielding faster and more robust learning.

Sleep is a complex physiological process evaluated through various modalities recording electrical brain, cardiac, and respiratory activities. We curate a large polysomnography dataset from over 14,000 participants comprising over 100,000 hours of multi-modal sleep recordings. Leveraging this extensive dataset, we developed SleepFM, the first multi-modal foundation model for sleep analysis. We show that a novel leave-one-out approach for contrastive learning significantly improves downstream task performance compared to representations from standard pairwise contrastive learning. A logistic regression model trained on SleepFM's learned embeddings outperforms an end-to-end trained convolutional neural network (CNN) on sleep stage classification (macro AUROC 0.88 vs 0.72 and macro AUPRC 0.72 vs 0.48) and sleep disordered breathing detection (AUROC 0.85 vs 0.69 and AUPRC 0.77 vs 0.61). Notably, the learned embeddings achieve 48% top-1 average accuracy in retrieving modality clip pairs from 90,000 candidates. This work demonstrates the value of holistic multi-modal sleep modeling to fully capture the richness of sleep recordings. SleepFM is open source and available at https://anonymous.4open.science/r/sleepfm.

Public models offer predictions to a variety of downstream tasks and have played a crucial role in various AI applications, showcasing their proficiency in accurate predictions. However, the exclusive emphasis on prediction accuracy may not align with the diverse end objectives of downstream agents. Recognizing the public model's predictions as a service, we advocate for integrating the objectives of downstream agents into the optimization process. Concretely, to address performance disparities and foster fairness among heterogeneous agents in training, we propose a novel Equitable Objective. This objective, coupled with a policy gradient algorithm, is crafted to train the public model to produce a more equitable/uniform performance distribution across downstream agents, each with their unique concerns. Both theoretical analysis and empirical case studies have proven the effectiveness of our method in advancing performance equity across diverse downstream agents utilizing the public model for their decision-making. Codes and datasets are released at https://github.com/Ren-Research/Socially-Equitable-Public-Models.

Satellite data has the potential to inspire a seismic shift for machine learning---one in which we rethink existing practices designed for traditional data modalities. As machine learning for satellite data (SatML) gains traction for its real-world impact, our field is at a crossroads. We can either continue applying ill-suited approaches, or we can initiate a new research agenda that centers around the unique characteristics and challenges of satellite data. This position paper argues that satellite data constitutes a distinct modality for machine learning research and that we must recognize it as such to advance the quality and impact of SatML research across theory, methods, and deployment. We outline research directions, critical discussion questions and actionable suggestions to transform SatML from merely an intriguing application area to a dedicated research discipline that helps move the needle on big challenges for machine learning and society.

We present the Liouville Flow Importance Sampler (LFIS), an innovative flow-based model for generating samples from unnormalized density functions. LFIS learns a time-dependent velocity field that deterministically transports samples from a simple initial distribution to a complex target distribution, guided by a prescribed path of annealed distributions. The training of LFIS utilizes a unique method that enforces the structure of a derived partial differential equation to neural networks modeling velocity fields. By considering the neural velocity field as an importance sampler, sample weights can be computed through accumulating errors along the sample trajectories driven by neural velocity fields, ensuring unbiased and consistent estimation of statistical quantities. We demonstrate the effectiveness of LFIS through its application to a range of benchmark problems, on many of which LFIS achieved state-of-the-art performance.

Attention is at the heart of the popular Transformer architecture, yet suffers from quadratic time and memory complexity. In a recent significant development, FlashAttention shows that the I/O complexity of attention is the true bottleneck in scaling Transformers. Given two levels of memory hierarchy, a fast cache (e.g. GPU on-chip SRAM) where computation happens and a slow memory (e.g. GPU high-bandwidth memory) where the data resides, the I/O complexity measures the number of accesses to the slow memory. FlashAttention is an I/O-aware algorithm for self-attention that requires $\frac{N^2d^2}{M}$ I/O operations where $N$ is the dimension of the attention matrix, $d$ is the head-dimension and $M$ is the size of cache. Naturally, to further reduce the computational costs of Attention, the authors ask the question: is FlashAttention's I/O complexity optimal for every value of $M$? We resolve the above question in its full generality by showing an I/O complexity lower bound that matches the upper bound provided by FlashAttention for any values of $M \geq d^2$ within any constant factors. Moreover, our lower bounds do not rely on using combinatorial matrix multiplication for computing the attention matrix: even if one uses fast matrix multiplication, the above I/O complexity bounds cannot be improved. Further, we give a better algorithm with lower I/O complexity for $M < d^2$, and show that it is optimal for combinatorial algorithms. We do so by introducing a new communication complexity protocol for matrix compression, and connecting communication complexity to I/O complexity. We believe this connection could be of independent interest and will find more applications in proving I/O complexity lower bounds in future.

We propose a generalization of the classical G-optimal design concept to non-linear function classes. The criterion, termed F -design, coincides with G-design in the linear case. We compute the value of the optimal design, termed the F-condition number, for several non-linear function classes. We further provide algorithms to construct designs with a bounded F -condition number. Finally, we employ the F-design in a variety of interactive machine learning tasks, where the design is naturally useful for data collection or exploration. We show that in four diverse settings of confidence band construction, contextual bandits, model-free reinforcement learning, and active learning, F-design can be combined with existing approaches in a black-box manner to yield state-of-the-art results in known problem settings as well as to generalize to novel ones.

In this work, we investigate the potential of large language models (LLMs) based agents to automate data science tasks, with the goal of comprehending task requirements, then building and training the best-fit machine learning models. Despite their widespread success, existing LLM agents are hindered by generating unreasonable experiment plans within this scenario. To this end, we present DS-Agent, a novel automatic framework that harnesses LLM agent and case-based reasoning (CBR). In the development stage, DS-Agent follows the CBR framework to structure an automatic iteration pipeline, which can flexibly capitalize on the expert knowledge from Kaggle, and facilitate consistent performance improvement through the feedback mechanism. Moreover, DS-Agent implements a low-resource deployment stage with a simplified CBR paradigm to adapt past successful solutions from the development stage for direct code generation, significantly reducing the demand on foundational capabilities of LLMs. Empirically, DS-Agent with GPT-4 achieves 100% success rate in the development stage, while attaining 36% improvement on average one pass rate across alternative LLMs in the deployment stage. In both stages, DS-Agent achieves the best rank in performance, costing $1.60 and \\$0.13 per run with GPT-4, respectively. Our data and code are open-sourced at https://github.com/guosyjlu/DS-Agent.

It is known that when the statistical models are singular, i.e., the Fisher information matrix at the true parameter is degenerate, the fixed step-size gradient descent algorithm takes polynomial number of steps in terms of the sample size $n$ to converge to a final statistical radius around the true parameter, which can be unsatisfactory for the practical application. To further improve that computational complexity, we consider utilizing the local curvature information for parameter estimation. Even though there is a rich literature in using the local curvature information for optimization, the statistical rate of these methods in statistical models, to the best of our knowledge, has not been studied rigorously. The major challenge of this problem is due to the non-convex nature of sample loss function. To shed light on these problems, we specifically study the normalized gradient descent (NormGD) algorithm, a variant of gradient descent algorithm whose step size is scaled by the maximum eigenvalue of the Hessian matrix of the empirical loss function, and deal with the aforementioned issue with a population-to-sample analysis. When the population loss function is homogeneous, the NormGD iterates reach a final statistical radius around the true parameter after a logarithmic number of iterations in terms of $n$. Therefore, for fixed dimension $d$, the NormGD algorithm achieves the optimal computational complexity $\mathcal{O}(n)$ to reach the final statistical radius, which is cheaper than the complexity $\mathcal{O}(n^{\tau})$ of the fixed step-size gradient descent algorithm for some $\tau > 1$.

The random feature (RF) approach is a well-established and efficient tool for scalable kernel methods, but existing literature has primarily focused on kernel ridge regression with random features (KRR-RF), which has limitations in handling heterogeneous data with heavy-tailed noises. This paper presents a generalization study of kernel quantile regression with random features (KQR-RF), which accounts for the non-smoothness of the check loss in KQR-RF by introducing a refined error decomposition and establishing a novel connection between KQR-RF and KRR-RF. Our study establishes the capacity-dependent learning rates for KQR-RF under mild conditions on the number of RFs, which are minimax optimal up to some logarithmic factors. Importantly, our theoretical results, utilizing a data-dependent sampling strategy, can be extended to cover the agnostic setting where the target quantile function may not precisely align with the assumed kernel space. By slightly modifying our assumptions, the capacity-dependent error analysis can also be applied to cases with Lipschitz continuous losses, enabling broader applications in the machine learning community. To validate our theoretical findings, simulated experiments and a real data application are conducted.

Dynamic regret minimization offers a principled way for non-stationary online learning, where the algorithm's performance is evaluated against changing comparators. Prevailing methods often employ a two-layer online ensemble, consisting of a group of base learners with different configurations and a meta learner that combines their outputs. Given the evident computational overhead associated with two-layer algorithms, this paper investigates how to attain optimal dynamic regret *without* deploying a model ensemble. To this end, we introduce the notion of *underlying dynamic regret*, a specific form of the general dynamic regret that can encompass many applications of interest. We show that almost optimal dynamic regret can be obtained using a single-layer model alone. This is achieved by an adaptive restart equipped with wavelet detection, wherein a novel streaming wavelet operator is introduced to online update the wavelet coefficients via a carefully designed binary indexed tree. We apply our method to the *online label shift* adaptation problem, leading to new algorithms with optimal dynamic regret and significantly improved computation/storage efficiency compared to prior arts. Extensive experiments validate our proposal.

Federated learning is widely used in medical applications for training global models without needing local data access, but varying computational capabilities and network architectures (system heterogeneity) across clients pose significant challenges in effectively aggregating information from non-independently and identically distributed (non-IID) data (statistic heterogeneity). Current federated learning methods using knowledge distillation require public datasets, raising privacy and data collection issues. Additionally, these datasets require additional local computing and storage resources, which is a burden for medical institutions with limited hardware conditions. In this paper, we introduce a novel federated learning paradigm, named Model Heterogeneous personalized Federated Learning via Injection and Distillation (MH-pFLID). Our framework leverages a lightweight messenger model, eliminating the need for public datasets and reducing the training cost for each client. We also develops receiver and transmitter modules for each client to separate local biases from generalizable information, reducing biased data collection and mitigating client drift. Our experiments on various medical tasks including image classification, image segmentation, and time-series classification, show MH-pFLID outperforms state-of-the-art methods in all these areas and has good generalizability.

Sequential importance sampling (SIS) is one of the prominent methods for estimating high-dimensional integrals. For example, it is empirically the most efficient method known for estimating the permanent of nonnegative matrices, a notorious problem with numerous applications in computer science, statistics, and other fields. Unfortunately, SIS typically fails to provide accuracy guarantees due to difficulties in bounding the variance of the importance weights; for estimating the permanent with accuracy guarantees, the most efficient practical methods known are based on rejection sampling. Taking the best of both worlds, we give a variant of SIS, in which sampling is proportional to the upper bound used in rejection sampling. We show that this method is provably more efficient than its rejection sampling counterpart, particularly in high accuracy regimes. On estimating the permanent, we empirically obtain up to two orders-of-magnitude speedups over a state-of-the-art rejection sampling method.

Despite their stellar performance on a wide range of tasks, including in-context tasks only revealed during inference, vanilla transformers and variants trained for next-token predictions (a) do not learn an explicit world model of their environment which can be flexibly queried and (b) cannot be used for planning or navigation. In this paper, we consider partially observed environments (POEs), where an agent receives perceptually aliased observations as it navigates, which makes path planning hard. We introduce a transformer with (multiple) discrete bottleneck(s), TDB, whose latent codes learn a compressed representation of the history of observations and actions. After training a TDB to predict the future observation(s) given the history, we extract interpretable cognitive maps of the environment from its active bottleneck(s) indices. These maps are then paired with an external solver to solve (constrained) path planning problems. First, we show that a TDB trained on POEs (a) retains the near-perfect predictive performance of a vanilla transformer or an LSTM while (b) solving shortest path problems exponentially faster. Second, a TDB extracts interpretable representations from text datasets, while reaching higher in-context accuracy than vanilla sequence models. Finally, in new POEs, a TDB (a) reaches near-perfect in-context accuracy, (b) learns accurate in-context cognitive maps (c) solves in-context path planning problems.

The lifted multicut problem has diverse applications in the field of computer vision. Exact algorithms based on linear programming require an understanding of lifted multicut polytopes. Despite recent progress, two fundamental questions about these polytopes have remained open: Which lower box inequalities define facets, and which cut inequalities define facets? In this article, we answer the first question by establishing conditions that are necessary, sufficient and efficiently decidable. Toward the second question, we show that deciding facet-definingness of cut inequalities is NP-hard. This completes the analysis of canonical facets of lifted multicut polytopes.

Model-based reinforcement learning (MBRL) has been a primary approach to ameliorating the sample efficiency issue as well as to make a generalist agent. However, there has not been much effort toward enhancing the strategy of dreaming itself. Therefore, it is a question *whether and how an agent can ``*dream better*''* in a more structured and strategic way. In this paper, inspired by the observation from cognitive science suggesting that humans use a spatial divide-and-conquer strategy in planning, we propose a new MBRL agent, called **Dr. Strategy**, which is equipped with a novel **Dr**eaming **Strategy**. The proposed agent realizes a version of divide-and-conquer-like strategy in dreaming. This is achieved by learning a set of latent landmarks and then utilizing these to learn a landmark-conditioned highway policy. With the highway policy, the agent can first learn in the dream to move to a landmark, and from there it tackles the exploration and achievement task in a more focused way. In experiments, we show that the proposed model outperforms prior pixel-based MBRL methods in various visually complex and partially observable navigation tasks.

Feature selection is a crucial task in settings where data is high-dimensional or acquiring the full set of features is costly. Recent developments in neural network-based embedded feature selection show promising results across a wide range of applications. Concrete Autoencoders (CAEs), considered state-of-the-art in embedded feature selection, may struggle to achieve stable joint optimization, hurting their training time and generalization. In this work, we identify that this instability is correlated with the CAE learning duplicate selections. To remedy this, we propose a simple and effective improvement: Indirectly Parameterized CAEs (IP-CAEs). IP-CAEs learn an embedding and a mapping from it to the Gumbel-Softmax distributions' parameters. Despite being simple to implement, IP-CAE exhibits significant and consistent improvements over CAE in both generalization and training time across several datasets for reconstruction and classification. Unlike CAE, IP-CAE effectively leverages non-linear relationships and does not require retraining the jointly optimized decoder. Furthermore, our approach is, in principle, generalizable to Gumbel-Softmax distributions beyond feature selection.

Hybrid models composing mechanistic ODE-based dynamics with flexible and expressive neural network components have grown rapidly in popularity, especially in scientific domains where such ODE-based modeling offers important interpretability and validated causal grounding (e.g., for counterfactual reasoning). The incorporation of mechanistic models also provides inductive bias in standard blackbox modeling approaches, critical when learning from small datasets or partially observed, complex systems. Unfortunately, as the hybrid models become more flexible, the causal grounding provided by the mechanistic model can quickly be lost. We address this problem by leveraging another common source of domain knowledge: *ranking* of treatment effects for a set of interventions, even if the precise treatment effect is unknown. We encode this information in a *causal loss* that we combine with the standard predictive loss to arrive at a *hybrid loss* that biases our learning towards causally valid hybrid models. We demonstrate our ability to achieve a win-win, state-of-the-art predictive performance *and* causal validity, in the challenging task of modeling glucose dynamics post-exercise in individuals with type 1 diabetes.