ICML 2024 Papers

A recent theory shows that a multi-player decentralized partially observable Markov decision process can be transformed into an equivalent single-player game, enabling the application of Bellman's principle of optimality to solve the single-player game by breaking it down into single-stage subgames. However, this approach entangles the decision variables of all players at each single-stage subgame, resulting in backups with a double-exponential complexity. This paper demonstrates how to disentangle these decision variables while maintaining optimality under hierarchical information sharing, a prominent management style in our society. To achieve this, we apply the principle of optimality to solve any single-stage subgame by breaking it down further into smaller subgames, enabling us to make single-player decisions at a time. Our approach reveals that extensive-form games always exist with solutions to a single-stage subgame, significantly reducing time complexity. Our experimental results show that the algorithms leveraging these findings can scale up to much larger multi-player games without compromising optimality.

This paper studies uncertainty set estimation for unknown linear systems. Uncertainty sets are crucial for the quality of robust control since they directly influence the conservativeness of the control design. Departing from the confidence region analysis of least squares estimation, this paper focuses on set membership estimation (SME). Though good numerical performances have attracted applications of SME in the control literature, the non-asymptotic convergence rate of SME for linear systems remains an open question. This paper provides the first convergence rate bounds for SME and discusses variations of SME under relaxed assumptions. We also provide numerical results demonstrating SME's practical promise.

Comparing two samples of data, we observe a change in the distribution of an outcome variable. In the presence of multiple explanatory variables, how much of the change can be explained by each possible cause? We develop a new estimation strategy that, given a causal model, combines regression and re-weighting methods to quantify the contribution of each causal mechanism. Our proposed methodology is multiply robust, meaning that it still recovers the target parameter under partial misspecification. We prove that our estimator is consistent and asymptotically normal. Moreover, it can be incorporated into existing frameworks for causal attribution, such as Shapley values, which will inherit the consistency and large-sample distribution properties. Our method demonstrates excellent performance in Monte Carlo simulations, and we show its usefulness in an empirical application. Our method is implemented as part of the Python library ``DoWhy`` (Sharma & Kiciman, 2020; Blöbaum et al., 2022).

We study how to make decisions that minimize Bayesian regret in offline linear bandits. Prior work suggests that one must take actions with maximum lower confidence bound (LCB) on their reward. We argue that reliance on LCB is inherently flawed in this setting and propose a new algorithm that directly minimizes upper-bounds on the Bayesian regret using efficient conic optimization solvers. Our bounds build heavily on new connections to monetary risk measures. Proving a matching lower-bound, we show that our upper-bounds are tight, and by minimizing them we are guaranteed to outperform the LCB approach. Our numerical results on synthetic domains confirm that our approach is superior to maximizing LCB.

Training reinforcement learning (RL) agents directly from high-dimensional image observations continues to be a challenging problem. Recent line of work on behavioral distances proposes to learn representations that encode behavioral similarities quantified by the bisimulation metric. By learning an isometric mapping to a lower dimensional space that preserves this metric, such methods attempt to learn representations that group together functionally similar states. However, such an isometric mapping may not exist, making the learning objective ill-defined. We propose an alternative objective that allows distortions in long-range distances, while preserving *local* metric structure -- inducing representations that highlight natural clusters in the state space. This leads to new representations, which we term Behavioral Eigenmaps (BeigeMaps), corresponding to the eigenfunctions of similarity kernels induced by behavioral distances. We empirically demonstrate that when added as a drop-in modification, BeigeMaps improve the policy performance of prior behavioral distance based RL algorithms.

Trustworthy ML systems should not only return accurate predictions, but also a reliable representation of their uncertainty. Bayesian methods are commonly used to quantify both aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty, but alternative approaches, such as evidential deep learning methods, have become popular in recent years. The latter group of methods in essence extends empirical risk minimization (ERM) for predicting second-order probability distributions over outcomes, from which measures of epistemic (and aleatoric) uncertainty can be extracted. This paper presents novel theoretical insights of evidential deep learning, highlighting the difficulties in optimizing second-order loss functions and interpreting the resulting epistemic uncertainty measures. With a systematic setup that covers a wide range of approaches for classification, regression and counts, it provides novel insights into issues of identifiability and convergence in second-order loss minimization, and the relative (rather than absolute) nature of epistemic uncertainty measures.

Offline design optimization problem arises in numerous science and engineering applications including material and chemical design, where expensive online experimentation necessitates the use of *in silico* surrogate functions to predict and maximize the target objective over candidate designs. Although these surrogates can be learned from offline data, their predictions are often inaccurate outside the offline data regime. This challenge raises a fundamental question about the impact of imperfect surrogate model on the performance gap between its optima and the true optima, and to what extent the performance loss can be mitigated. Although prior work developed methods to improve the robustness of surrogate models and their associated optimization processes, a provably quantifiable relationship between an imperfect surrogate and the corresponding performance gap, as well as whether prior methods directly address it, remain elusive. To shed light on this important question, we present a theoretical framework to understand offline black-box optimization, by explicitly bounding the optimization quality based on how well the surrogate matches the latent gradient field that underlines the offline data. Inspired by our theoretical analysis, we propose a principled black-box gradient matching algorithm to create effective surrogate models for offline optimization, improving over prior approaches on various real-world benchmarks.

Model compression is one of the most popular approaches to improve the accessibility of Large Language Models (LLMs) by reducing their memory footprint. However, the gaining of such efficiency benefits often simultaneously demands extensive engineering efforts and intricate designs to mitigate the performance decline. In this work, we leverage *(Soft) Prompt Tuning* in its most vanilla form and discover such conventionally learned soft prompts can recover the performance of compressed LLMs. More surprisingly, we observe such recovery effect to be transferable among different tasks and models (albeit natural tokenizer and dimensionality limitations), resulting in further overhead reduction and yet, subverting the common belief that learned soft prompts are task-specific. Our work is fully orthogonal and compatible with model compression frameworks such as pruning and quantization, where we enable up to $8\times$ compressed LLM (with a joint 4-bit quantization and 50% weight pruning compression) to match its uncompressed counterparts on popular benchmarks. We note that we are the first to reveal vanilla Parameter-Efficient Fine-Tuning (PEFT) techniques have the potential to be utilized under a compression recovery context, opening a new line of opportunities for model accessibility advancement while freeing our fellow researchers from the previously present engineering burdens and constraints. The code is available at https://github.com/zirui-ray-liu/compress-then-prompt.

Multi-agent reinforcement learning (MARL) remains difficult to scale to many agents. Recent MARL using Mean Field Control (MFC) provides a tractable and rigorous approach to otherwise difficult cooperative MARL. However, the strict MFC assumption of many independent, weakly-interacting agents is too inflexible in practice. We generalize MFC to instead simultaneously model many similar and few complex agents – as Major-Minor Mean Field Control (M3FC). Theoretically, we give approximation results for finite agent control, and verify the sufficiency of stationary policies for optimality together with a dynamic programming principle. Algorithmically, we propose Major-Minor Mean Field MARL (M3FMARL) for finite agent systems instead of the limiting system. The algorithm is shown to approximate the policy gradient of the underlying M3FC MDP. Finally, we demonstrate its capabilities experimentally in various scenarios. We observe a strong performance in comparison to state-of-the-art policy gradient MARL methods.

Causal dynamics learning has recently emerged as a promising approach to enhancing robustness in reinforcement learning (RL). Typically, the goal is to build a dynamics model that makes predictions based on the causal relationships among the entities. Despite the fact that causal connections often manifest only under certain contexts, existing approaches overlook such fine-grained relationships and lack a detailed understanding of the dynamics. In this work, we propose a novel dynamics model that infers fine-grained causal structures and employs them for prediction, leading to improved robustness in RL. The key idea is to jointly learn the dynamics model with a discrete latent variable that quantizes the state-action space into subgroups. This leads to recognizing meaningful context that displays sparse dependencies, where causal structures are learned for each subgroup throughout the training. Experimental results demonstrate the robustness of our method to unseen states and locally spurious correlations in downstream tasks where fine-grained causal reasoning is crucial. We further illustrate the effectiveness of our subgroup-based approach with quantization in discovering fine-grained causal relationships compared to prior methods.

In this paper, we study the feature learning ability of two-layer neural networks in the mean-field regime through the lens of kernel methods. To focus on the dynamics of the kernel induced by the first layer, we utilize a two-timescale limit, where the second layer moves much faster than the first layer. In this limit, the learning problem is reduced to the minimization problem over the intrinsic kernel. Then, we show the global convergence of the mean-field Langevin dynamics and derive time and particle discretization error. We also demonstrate that two-layer neural networks can learn a union of multiple reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces more efficiently than any kernel methods, and neural networks aquire data-dependent kernel which aligns with the target function. In addition, we develop a label noise procedure, which converges to the global optimum and show that the degrees of freedom appears as an implicit reguralization.

In decentralized optimization, $m$ agents form a network and only communicate with their neighbors, which gives advantages in data ownership, privacy, and scalability. At the same time, decentralized stochastic gradient descent ($\texttt{SGD}$) methods, as popular decentralized algorithms for training large-scale machine learning models, have shown their superiority over centralized counterparts. Distributed stochastic gradient tracking $\texttt{DSGT}$ has been recognized as the popular and state-of-the-art decentralized $\texttt{SGD}$ method due to its proper theoretical guarantees. However, the theoretical analysis of $\texttt{DSGT}$ shows that its iteration complexity is $\tilde{\mathcal{O}} \left(\frac{\bar{\sigma}^2}{m\mu \varepsilon} + \frac{\sqrt{L}\bar{\sigma}}{\mu(1 - \lambda_2(W))^{1/2} C_W \sqrt{\varepsilon} }\right)$, where the doubly stochastic matrix $W$ represents the network topology and $ C_W $ is a parameter that depends on $W$. Thus, it indicates that the convergence property of $\texttt{DSGT}$ is heavily affected by the topology of the communication network. To overcome the weakness of $\texttt{DSGT}$, we resort to the snap-shot gradient tracking skill and propose two novel algorithms, snap-shot $\texttt{DSGT}$ ($\texttt{SS-DSGT}$) and accelerated snap-shot $\texttt{DSGT}$ ($\texttt{ASS-DSGT}$). We further justify that $\texttt{SS-DSGT}$ exhibits a lower iteration complexity compared to $\texttt{DSGT}$ in the general communication network topology. Additionally, $\texttt{ASS-DSGT}$ matches $\texttt{DSGT}$'s iteration complexity $\mathcal{O}\left( \frac{\bar{\sigma}^2}{m\mu \varepsilon} + \frac{\sqrt{L}\bar{\sigma}}{\mu (1 - \lambda_2(W))^{1/2}\sqrt{\varepsilon}} \right)$ under the same conditions as $\texttt{DSGT}$. Numerical experiments validate $\texttt{SS-DSGT}$'s superior performance performance in the general communication network topology and exhibit better practical performance of $\texttt{ASS-DSGT}$ on the specified $W$ compared to $\texttt{DSGT}$.

Speculative decoding is a relatively new decoding framework that leverages small and efficient draft models to reduce the latency of LLMs. In this study, we introduce GliDe and CaPE, two low-hassle modifications to vanilla speculative decoding to further improve the decoding speed of a frozen LLM. Specifically, GliDe is a modified draft model architecture that reuses the cached keys and values from the target LLM, while CaPE is a proposal expansion method that uses the draft model's confidence scores to help select additional candidate tokens for verification. Extensive experiments on different benchmarks demonstrate that our proposed GliDe draft model significantly reduces the expected decoding latency. Additional evaluation using walltime reveals that GliDe can accelerate Vicuna models up to 2.17x and further extend the improvement to 2.61x with CaPE. We will release our code, data, and the trained draft models.

Large-scale sequence modeling has sparked rapid advances that now extend into biology and genomics. However, modeling genomic sequences introduces challenges such as the need to model long-range token interactions, the effects of upstream and downstream regions of the genome, and the reverse complementarity (RC) of DNA. Here, we propose an architecture motivated by these challenges that builds off the long-range Mamba block, and extends it to a BiMamba component that supports bi-directionality, and to a MambaDNA block that additionally supports RC equivariance. We use MambaDNA as the basis of Caduceus, the first family of RC equivariant bi-directional long-range DNA language models, and we introduce pre-training and fine-tuning strategies that yield Caduceus DNA foundation models. Caduceus outperforms previous long-range models on downstream benchmarks; on a challenging long-range variant effect prediction task, Caduceus exceeds the performance of 10x larger models that do not leverage bi-directionality or equivariance. Code to reproduce our experiments is available here: https://github.com/kuleshov-group/caduceus.

Given the critical role of graphs in real-world applications and their high-security requirements, improving the ability of graph neural networks (GNNs) to detect out-of-distribution (OOD) data is an urgent research problem. The recent work GNNSAFE proposes a framework based on the aggregation of negative energy scores that significantly improves the performance of GNNs to detect node-level OOD data. However, our study finds that score aggregation among nodes is susceptible to extreme values due to the unboundedness of the negative energy scores and logit shifts, which severely limits the accuracy of GNNs in detecting node-level OOD data. In this paper, we propose NODESAFE: reducing the generation of extreme scores of nodes by adding two optimization terms that make the negative energy scores bounded and mitigate the logit shift. Experimental results show that our approach dramatically improves the ability of GNNs to detect OOD data at the node level, e.g., in detecting OOD data induced by Structure Manipulation, the metric of FPR95 (lower is better) in scenarios without (with) OOD data exposure are reduced from the current SOTA by 28.4% ( 22.7% ). The code is available via https://github.com/ShenzhiYang2000/NODESAFE-Bounded-and-Uniform-Energy-based-Out-of-distribution-Detection-for-Graphs.

Large language models (LLMs) show excellent performance in difficult tasks, but they often require massive memories and computational resources. How to reduce the parameter scale of LLMs has become research hotspots. In this study, we get an important observation that the multi-head self-attention (MHA) sub-layer of Transformer exhibits noticeable low-rank structure, while the feed-forward network (FFN) sub-layer does not. With this regard, we design a novel structured compression method LoRAP, which organically combines **Lo**w-**R**ank matrix approximation **A**nd structured **P**runing. For the MHA sub-layer, we proposal an input activation weighted singular value decomposition method and allocate different parameter amounts for each weight matrix based on the differences in low-rank properties of matrices.For the FFN sub-layer, we propose a gradient-free structured channel pruning method and save the least important 1% of parameters which actually play a vital role in model performance. Extensive evaluations on zero-shot perplexity and zero-shot task classification indicate that our proposal is superior to previous structured compression rivals under multiple compression ratios. Our code will be released soon.

Decentralized Gradient Descent (D-GD) allows a set of users to perform collaborative learning without sharing their data by iteratively averaging local model updates with their neighbors in a network graph. The absence of direct communication between non-neighbor nodes might lead to the belief that users cannot infer precise information about the data of others. In this work, we demonstrate the opposite, by proposing the first attack against D-GD that enables a user (or set of users) to reconstruct the private data of other users outside their immediate neighborhood. Our approach is based on a reconstruction attack against the gossip averaging protocol, which we then extend to handle the additional challenges raised by D-GD. We validate the effectiveness of our attack on real graphs and datasets, showing that the number of users compromised by a single or a handful of attackers is often surprisingly large. We empirically investigate some of the factors that affect the performance of the attack, namely the graph topology, the number of attackers, and their position in the graph.

Measuring human feedback via randomized experimentation is a cornerstone of data-driven decision-making. The methodology used to estimate user preferences from their online behaviours is critically dependent on user identifiers. However, in today's digital landscape, consumers frequently interact with content across multiple devices, which are often recorded with different identifiers for the same consumer. The inability to match different device identities across consumers poses significant challenges for accurately estimating human preferences and other causal effects. Moreover, without strong assumptions about the device-user graph, the causal effects might not be identifiable. In this paper, we propose HIFIVE, a variational method to solve the problem of estimating global average treatment effects (GATE) from a fragmented view of exposures and outcomes. Experiments show that our estimator is superior to standard estimators, with a lower bias and greater robustness to network uncertainty.

Models trained on ultrasound images from one institution typically experience a decline in effectiveness when transferred directly to other institutions. Moreover, unlike natural images, dense and overlapped structures exist in fetus ultrasound images, making the detection of structures more challenging. Thus, to tackle this problem, we propose a new Unsupervised Domain Adaptation (UDA) method named ToMo-UDA for fetus structure detection, which consists of the Topology Knowledge Transfer (TKT) and the Morphology Knowledge Transfer (MKT) module. The TKT leverages prior knowledge of the medical anatomy of fetal as topological information, reconstructing and aligning anatomy features across source and target domains. Then, the MKT formulates a more consistent and independent morphological representation for each substructure of an organ. To evaluate the proposed ToMo-UDA for ultrasound fetal anatomical structure detection, we introduce **FUSH$^2$**, a new **F**etal **U**ltra**S**ound benchmark, comprises **H**eart and **H**ead images collected from **Two** health centers, with 16 annotated regions. Our experiments show that utilizing topological and morphological anatomy information in ToMo-UDA can greatly improve organ structure detection. This expands the potential for structure detection tasks in medical image analysis.