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Efficient Training
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Your VAR Model is Secretly an Efficient and Explainable Generative Classifier
Yi-Chung Chen, David I. Inouye, Jing Gao
Generative classifiers, which leverage conditional generative models for classification, have recently demonstrated desirable properties such as robustness to distribution shifts. However, recent progress in this area has been largely driven by diffusion-based models, whose substantial computational cost limits their scalability in practice. To address the efficiency concern, we investigate generative classifier built upon recent advances in visual autoregressive (VAR) modeling. Owing to their tractable likelihood, VAR-based generative classifier enable significantly more efficient inference compared to diffusion-based counterparts. Building on this foundation, we introduce the Adaptive VAR Classifier$^+$ (A-VARC$^+$), which further improves accuracy while reducing computational cost, substantially enhancing practical usability. Beyond efficiency, we also study several properties of VAR-based generative classifiers that distinguish them from conventional discriminative models. In particular, the tractable likelihood facilitates visual explainability via token-wise mutual information, and the model naturally adapts to class-incremental learning without requiring additional replay data.
Channel-Aware Mixed-Precision Quantization for Efficient Long-Context Inference
Chengxi Liao, Zeyi Wen
The key-value (KV) cache plays a vital role in accelerating autoregressive inference for large language models (LLMs). However, its linear memory growth with sequence length poses significant memory bottlenecks, especially in long-context scenarios. Quantization offers a promising solution for memory efficiency. While existing methods typically apply channel-wise quantization to the key cache and token-wise quantization to the value cache, they suffer from severe performance degradation under low-bit configurations. Our analysis reveals that quantization sensitivity varies across individual KV channels, presenting an opportunity for non-uniform bit allocation. Following this finding, we propose ChanMix, a mixed-precision quantization framework that supports channel-wise quantization on 2-bit setting with FP8 precision with a custom Triton kernel implementation. To improve low-bit quantization performance, we introduce a channel-aware bit reallocation strategy, which allocates bits across channel sensitivity. Through extensive evaluation, ChanMix demonstrates superior performance across the NIAH, RULER, and InfiniteBench benchmarks for the Llama, Mistral, and Qwen model families, achieving improvements of at least 5 absolute percentage points on RULER compared to all baseline methods. Additionally, ChanMix enables a 2.3× increase in batch size and supports a 1.5× longer context length during inference.
Efficient Quantization of Mixture-of-Experts with Theoretical Generalization Guarantees
Mohammed Nowaz Rabbani Chowdhury, Kaoutar El Maghraoui, Hsinyu Tsai, Naigang Wang, Geoffrey W. Burr, Liu Liu, Meng Wang
Sparse Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) allows scaling of language and vision models efficiently by activating only a small subset of experts per input. While this reduces computation, the large number of parameters still incurs substantial memory overhead during inference. Post-training quantization has been explored to address this issue. Because uniform quantization suffers from significant accuracy loss at low bit-widths, mixed-precision methods have been recently explored; however, they often require substantial computation for bit-width allocation and overlook the varying sensitivity of model performance to the quantization of different experts. We propose a theoretically grounded expert-wise mixed-precision strategy that assigns bit-width to each expert primarily based on their *change in router’s* $l_2$ *norm* during training. Experts with smaller changes are shown to capture less frequent but critical features, and model performance is more sensitive to the quantization of these experts, thus requiring higher precision. Furthermore, to avoid allocating experts to lower precision that inject high quantization noise, experts with large *maximum intra-neuron variance* are also allocated higher precision. Experiments on large-scale MoE models, including Switch Transformer and Mixtral, show that our method achieves higher accuracy than existing approaches, while also reducing inference cost and incurring only negligible overhead for bit-width assignment.
How to train data-efficient LLMs
Noveen Sachdeva, Benjamin Coleman, Wang-Cheng Kang, Jianmo Ni, Lichan Hong, Ed H. Chi, James Caverlee, Julian McAuley, Derek Zhiyuan Cheng
The training of large language models (LLMs) is expensive. In this paper, we study data-efficient approaches for pre-training LLMs, \ie, techniques that aim to optimize the Pareto frontier of model quality and training resource/data consumption. We seek to understand the tradeoffs associated with data selection routines based on (i) expensive-to-compute data-quality estimates, and (ii) maximization of coverage and diversity-based measures in the feature space. Our first technique, AskLLM, leverages the zero-shot reasoning capabilities of instruction-tuned LLMs to directly assess the quality of a training example. To target coverage, we propose density sampling, which models the data distribution to select a diverse sample. Testing the effect of $22$ different data curation techniques on the pre-training of T5-style of models, involving hundreds of pre-training runs and post fine-tuning evaluation tasks, we find that AskLLM and density are the best methods in their respective categories. While coverage sampling techniques often recover the performance of training on the entire dataset, training on data curated via AskLLM consistently outperforms full-data training---even when we sample only $10$\% of the original dataset, while converging up to $70$\% faster.
Quantized Gradient Projection for Memory-Efficient Continual Learning
Dongjun Kim, Seohyeon Cha, Huancheng Chen, Chianing Wang, Haris Vikalo
Real-world deployment of machine learning models requires the ability to continually learn from non-stationary data while preserving prior knowledge and user privacy. Therefore, storing knowledge acquired from past data in a resource- and privacy-friendly manner is a crucial consideration in determining their viability. We introduce Quantized Gradient Projection Memory (QGPM), a systematic framework for continual learning that compresses and preserves the previous gradient subspace. QGPM integrates three key components: (i) distribution-aware, basis-wise quantization to minimize storage overhead, (ii) a Quantization Error-Aware (QEA) gradient projection that selectively relaxes orthogonality to mitigate gradient drift caused by accumulated quantization noise, and (iii) an on-the-fly sparse sketching strategy that improves runtime memory and computational efficiency. Experiments across multiple benchmarks demonstrate that QGPM achieves state-of-the-art performance under fixed memory budgets, highlighting its effectiveness in scalable, privacy-preserving continual learning.
Optimal Aggregation of LLM and PRM Signals for Efficient Test-Time Scaling
Peng Kuang, Yanli Wang, Xiaoyu Han, Yaowenqi Liu, Kaidi Xu, Haohan Wang
Process reward models (PRMs) are a cornerstone of test-time scaling (TTS), designed to verify and select the best responses from large language models (LLMs). However, this promise is challenged by recent benchmarks where simple majority voting, which ignores PRM signals, occasionally outperforms standard PRM-based selection. This raises a critical question: How can we effectively utilize verification signals from PRMs for TTS? To address this, we start by developing a theoretical framework for optimally combining signals from both the LLM and the PRM. Our framework reveals that the optimal strategy is a weighted aggregation of responses, a strategy whose effectiveness hinges on estimating weights that capture the complex interplay between the models. Based on our theoretical results, we empirically show that these optimal weighting functions differ significantly across LLM-PRM pairs and, notably, often assign substantial negative weights. Motivated by these insights, we propose efficient pre-computation methods to calibrate these weighting functions. Extensive experiments across 5 LLMs and 7 PRMs demonstrate that our calibration method significantly boosts the TTS efficiency, surpassing the performance of vanilla weighted majority voting while using only $\sim 21.3\\%$ of the computation. Ultimately, our work demonstrates that investing in a more intelligent aggregation strategy can be a more convincing path to performance gains than simply scaling test-time computation.
ZeroSiam: An Efficient Siamese for Test-Time Entropy Optimization without Collapse
Guohao Chen, Shuaicheng Niu, Deyu Chen, Jiahao Yang, Zitian Zhang, Mingkui Tan, Pengcheng Wu, Zhiqi Shen
Test-time entropy minimization helps adapt a model to novel environments and incentivize its reasoning capability, unleashing the model's potential during inference by allowing it to evolve and improve in real-time using its own predictions. However, pure test-time entropy minimization can favor non-generalizable shortcuts, such as inflating the logit norm and driving all predictions to a dominant class to reduce entropy, risking collapsed solutions (e.g., constant one-hot outputs) that trivially minimize the objective without meaningful learning. In this paper, we introduce ZeroSiam, an efficient asymmetric Siamese architecture tailored for test-time entropy minimization. ZeroSiam prevents collapse through asymmetry learning, which is efficiently achieved by a learnable predictor and a stop-gradient operator before the classifier. Beyond the collapse prevention effect, we provide empirical and theoretical evidence that ZeroSiam also absorbs and regularizes biases at testing, enhancing TTA effectiveness even when no collapse occurs. Despite its simplicity, extensive results show that ZeroSiam can avoid collapse and perform more stably over prior methods using negligible overhead, demonstrating efficacy on both vision and language tasks across challenging test scenarios and diverse models, e.g., tiny based models that are particularly collapse-prone.
Scaling Laws Revisited: Modeling the Role of Data Quality in Language Model Pretraining
Anirudh Subramanyam, Yuxin Chen, Robert L. Grossman
Scaling laws for language model training traditionally characterize how performance scales with model size and dataset volume. Prior work has explored architecture variants and data treatments such as dataset filtering and noise injection in language model pretraining; however, these studies have not formalized data quality within a principled scaling law. We introduce a dimensionless data-quality parameter Q, and propose a quality-aware scaling law extending the Chinchilla framework to predict loss as a joint function of model size, data volume, and data quality. The law is motivated by an effective-sample-size and information-theoretic view of noisy or redundant corpora, and it admits two practical estimators for Q: (i) a corruption rate proxy and (ii) a deficiency measure. Through synthetic experiments in neural machine translation and autoregressive modeling--where we systematically control data quality via multiple levels of noise injection--we show that loss scales predictably with data quality and that higher-quality data can substantially reduce model size and hence compute requirements. Our results demonstrate a sublinear decay of effective data with quality and robustness to moderate data corruption; out-of-sample evaluations further validate the predictive form of the law. Unlike prior empirical analyses, our work establishes an explicit, generalizable law for data quality, offering concrete guidance for balancing data curation effort and model scale in large-scale pretraining.
Cascadia: An Efficient Cascade Serving System for Large Language Models
Youhe Jiang, Fangcheng Fu, Wanru Zhao, Stephan Rabanser, Jintao Zhang, Nicholas D. Lane, Binhang Yuan
Recent advances in large language models (LLMs) have intensified the need to deliver both rapid responses and high-quality outputs. More powerful models yield better results but incur higher inference latency, whereas smaller models are faster yet less capable. Recent work proposes balancing this latency–quality trade-off using model cascades, which route simpler queries to smaller models and more complex ones to larger models. However, enabling efficient cascade serving remains challenging. Current frameworks lack effective mechanisms for handling (i) the huge and varying resource demands of different LLMs, (ii) the inherent heterogeneity of LLM workloads, and (iii) the co-optimization of system deployment and routing strategy. Motivated by these observations, we introduce Cascadia, a novel cascade serving framework designed explicitly to schedule request routing and deploy model cascades for fast, quality-preserving LLM serving. Cascadia employs a bi-level optimization method: at the deployment level, it uses a mixed-integer linear program to select resource allocations and parallelism strategies based on LLM information and workload characteristics; at the routing level, it applies a Chebyshev-guided method to iteratively co-optimize the routing strategy and the system deployment produced by the deployment level. Our extensive evaluation on diverse workload traces and different model cascades (DeepSeek and the Llama series) demonstrates that Cascadia significantly outperforms both single-model deployments and the state-of-the-art cascade serving baseline, achieving up to 4$\times$ (2.3$\times$ on average) tighter latency SLOs and up to 5$\times$ (2.4$\times$ on average) higher throughput while maintaining target answer quality.
Flatter Tokens are More Valuable for Speculative Draft Model Training
Jiaming Fan, CAO DAMING, Xiangzhong Luo, Jiale Fu, Chonghan Liu, Xu Yang
Speculative Decoding (SD) is a key technique for accelerating Large Language Model (LLM) inference, but it typically requires training a draft model on a large dataset. We approach this problem from a data-centric perspective, finding that not all training samples contribute equally to the SD acceptance rate. Specifically, our theoretical analysis and empirical validation reveals that tokens inducing flatter predictive distributions from the target model are more valuable than those yielding sharply peaked distributions. Based on this insight, we propose flatness, a new metric to quantify this property, and develop the Sample-level-flatness-based Dataset Distillation (SFDD) approach, which filters the training data to retain only the most valuable samples. Experiments on the EAGLE framework demonstrate that SFDD can achieve over 2$\times$ training speedup using only 50\% of the data, while keeping the final model's inference speedup within 4\% of the full-dataset baseline. This work introduces an effective, data-centric approach that substantially improves the training efficiency for Speculative Decoding. Our code is available at https://github.com/fjm9933/Flatness.
FreeKV: Boosting KV Cache Retrieval for Efficient LLM Inference
Guangda Liu, Chengwei Li, Zhenyu Ning, Jing Lin, Yiwu Yao, Danning Ke, Minyi Guo, Jieru Zhao
Large language models (LLMs) have been widely deployed with rapidly expanding context windows to support increasingly demanding applications. However, long contexts pose significant deployment challenges, primarily due to the KV cache whose size grows proportionally with context length. While KV cache compression methods are proposed to address this issue, KV dropping methods incur considerable accuracy loss, and KV retrieval methods suffer from significant efficiency bottlenecks. We propose FreeKV, an algorithm-system co-optimization framework to enhance KV retrieval efficiency while preserving accuracy. On the algorithm side, FreeKV introduces speculative retrieval to shift the KV selection and recall processes out of the critical path, combined with fine-grained correction to ensure accuracy. On the system side, FreeKV employs hybrid KV layouts across CPU and GPU memory to eliminate fragmented data transfers, and leverages double-buffered streamed recall to further improve efficiency, enabling effective overlap with computation, full latency hiding, and practical speedups from speculative recall. Experiments demonstrate that FreeKV achieves near-lossless accuracy across various scenarios and models, delivering up to 13$\times$ speedup compared to SOTA KV retrieval methods.
A universal compression theory: Lottery ticket hypothesis and superpolynomial scaling laws
Hong-Yi Wang, Di Luo, Tomaso Poggio, Isaac L. Chuang, Liu Ziyin
When training large-scale models, the performance typically scales with the number of parameters and the dataset size according to a slow power law. A fundamental theoretical and practical question is whether comparable performance can be achieved with significantly smaller models and substantially less data. In this work, we provide a positive and constructive answer. We prove that a generic permutation-invariant function of $d$ objects can be asymptotically compressed into a function of $\operatorname{polylog} d$ objects with vanishing error. This theorem yields two key implications: (Ia) a large neural network can be compressed to polylogarithmic width while preserving its learning dynamics; (Ib) a large dataset can be compressed to polylogarithmic size while leaving the loss landscape of the corresponding model unchanged. (Ia) directly establishes a proof of the \textit{dynamical} lottery ticket hypothesis, which states that any ordinary network can be strongly compressed such that the learning dynamics and result remain unchanged. (Ib) shows that a neural scaling law of the form $L\sim d^{-\alpha}$ can be boosted to an arbitrarily fast power law decay, and ultimately to $\exp(-\alpha' \sqrt[m]{d})$.
Image is All You Need: Towards Efficient and Effective Large Language Model-Based Recommender Systems
Kibum Kim, Sein Kim, HongSeok Kang, Jiwan Kim, Heewoong Noh, Yeonjun In, Kanghoon Yoon, Jinoh Oh, Julian McAuley, Chanyoung Park
Large Language Models (LLMs) have recently emerged as a powerful backbone for recommender systems. Existing LLM-based recommender systems take two different approaches for representing items in natural language, i.e., Attribute-based Representation and Description-based Representation. In this work, we aim to address the trade-off between efficiency and effectiveness that these two approaches encounter, when representing items consumed by users. Based on our observation that there is a significant information overlap between images and descriptions associated with items, we propose a novel method, **I**mage is all you need for **LLM**-based **Rec**ommender system (I-LLMRec). Our main idea is to leverage images as an alternative to lengthy textual descriptions for representing items, aiming at reducing token usage while preserving the rich semantic information of item descriptions. Through extensive experiments on real-world Amazon datasets, we demonstrate that I-LLMRec outperforms existing methods that leverage textual descriptions for representing items in both efficiency and effectiveness by leveraging images. Moreover, a further appeal of I-LLMRec is its ability to reduce sensitivity to noise in descriptions, leading to more robust recommendations.
KBVQ-MoE: KLT-guided SVD with Bias-Corrected Vector Quantization for MoE Large Language Models
Zukang Xu, Zhixiong Zhao, Xing Hu, Zhixuan Chen, Dawei Yang
Mixture of Experts (MoE) models have achieved great success by significantly improving performance while maintaining computational efficiency through sparse expert activation. However, their enormous parameter sizes and memory demands pose significant challenges for deployment in resource-constrained environments. Vector Quantization (VQ) offers a promising approach for ultra-low-bit compression in Large Language Models (LLMs) by constructing and leveraging a codebook—where weight vectors are mapped to the most similar discrete codewords within the codebook. However, its direct application to MoEs suffers from significant performance degradation caused by two critical obstacles: (1) redundant representation among experts leads to VQ repeatedly quantizing similar representations for each expert, resulting in inefficient utilization of the limited codebook capacity; and (2) cumulative outputs bias, amplified by expert aggregation, leads to distributional shifts in the quantized outputs, resulting in degraded model accuracy. To this end, we propose KBVQ-MoE, a novel VQ framework to enhance extremely low-bit quantization for MoE-based LLMs. KBVQ-MoE introduces two lightweight and offline techniques that introduce negligible runtime computational and memory overhead: (1) Input-driven redundancy elimination, where a Karhunen–Loève Transform (KLT) guided singular value decomposition (SVD) extracts and shares dominant weight components across experts. (2) Bias-corrected output stabilization, where vector quantization is applied to expert-specific (i.e., non-redundant) representations and the quantized outputs are corrected with channel-wise affine compensation. Experiments on various MoE LLMs demonstrate that KBVQ-MoE preserves accuracy substantially better than existing quantization methods. For instance, 3-bit quantization of Qwen1.5-MoE-A2.7B achieves an average accuracy of 67.99, nearly identical to the FP16 baseline of 68.07, underscoring the potential of KBVQ-MoE for efficient deployment on edge devices and other resource-constrained platforms.
EffiVMT: Video Motion Transfer via Efficient Spatial-Temporal Decoupled Finetuning
Yue Ma, Yulong Liu, Qiyuan Zhu, Xiangpeng Yang, Kunyu Feng, Xinhua Zhang, Zexuan Yan, Zhifeng Li, Sirui Han, Chenyang Qi, Qifeng Chen
Recently, breakthroughs in the video diffusion transformer have shown remarkable capabilities in diverse motion generations. As for the motion-transfer task, current methods mainly use two-stage Low-Rank Adaptations (LoRAs) finetuning to obtain better performance. However, existing adaptation-based motion transfer still suffers from **motion inconsistency** and **tuning inefficiency** when applied to large video diffusion transformers. Naive two-stage LoRA tuning struggles to maintain motion consistency between generated and input videos due to the inherent spatial-temporal coupling in the 3D attention operator. In addition, they require time-consuming fine-tuning processes in both stages. To tackle these issues, we propose EffiVMT, an efficient **three-stage** video motion transfer framework that finetunes a powerful video diffusion transformer to synthesize complex motion. In **stage 1**, we propose a spatial-temporal head classification technique to decouple the heads of 3D attention to distinct groups for spatial-appearance and temporal motion processing. We then finetune the spatial heads in the **stage 2**. In the **stage 3** of temporal head tuning, we design the sparse motion sampling and adaptive RoPE to accelerate the tuning speed. To address the lack of a benchmark for this field, we introduce MotionBench, a comprehensive benchmark comprising diverse motion, including creative camera motion, single object motion, multiple object motion, and complex human motion. We show extensive evaluations on MotionBench to verify the superiority of EffiVMT.
MOSS: Efficient and Accurate FP8 LLM Training with Microscaling and Automatic Scaling
Yu Zhang, Hui-Ling Zhen, Mingxuan Yuan, Bei Yu
Training large language models with FP8 formats offers significant efficiency gains. However, the reduced numerical precision of FP8 poses challenges for stable and accurate training. Current frameworks preserve training performance using mixed-granularity quantization, i.e., applying per-group quantization for activations and per-tensor/block quantization for weights. While effective, per-group quantization requires scaling along the inner dimension of matrix multiplication, introducing additional dequantization overhead. Moreover, these frameworks often rely on just-in-time scaling to dynamically adjust scaling factors based on the current data distribution. However, this online quantization is inefficient for FP8 training, as it involves multiple memory reads and writes that negate the performance benefits of FP8. To overcome these limitations, we propose MOSS, a novel FP8 training framework that ensures both efficiency and numerical stability. MOSS introduces two key innovations: (1) a two-level microscaling strategy for quantizing sensitive activations, which balances precision and dequantization cost by combining a high-precision global scale with compact, power-of-two local scales; and (2) automatic scaling for weights in linear layers, which eliminates the need for costly max-reduction operations by predicting and adjusting scaling factors during training. Leveraging these techniques, MOSS enables efficient FP8 training of a 7B parameter model, achieving performance comparable to the BF16 baseline while achieving up to 34\% higher training throughput. Our code is available at: https://anonymous.4open.science/r/MOSS-1CAF.
RainPro-8: An Efficient Deep Learning Model to Estimate Rainfall Probabilities Over 8 Hours
Rafael Pablos Sarabia, Joachim Nyborg, Morten Birk, Jeppe Liborius Sjørup, Anders Lillevang Vesterholt, Ira Assent
We present a deep learning model for high-resolution probabilistic precipitation forecasting over an 8-hour horizon in Europe, overcoming the limitations of radar-only deep learning models with short forecast lead times. Our model efficiently integrates multiple data sources - including radar, satellite, and physics-based numerical weather prediction (NWP) - while capturing long-range interactions, resulting in accurate forecasts with robust uncertainty quantification through consistent probabilistic maps. Featuring a compact architecture, it enables more efficient training and faster inference than existing models. Extensive experiments demonstrate that our model surpasses current operational NWP systems, extrapolation-based methods, and deep-learning nowcasting models, setting a new standard for high-resolution precipitation forecasting in Europe, ensuring a balance between accuracy, interpretability, and computational efficiency.
STaMP: Sequence Transformation and Mixed Precision for Low-Precision Activation Quantization
Marco Federici, Riccardo Del Chiaro, Boris van Breugel, Paul N. Whatmough, Markus Nagel
Quantization is the key method for reducing inference latency, power and memory footprint of generative AI models. However, accuracy often degrades sharply when activations are at low bit widths. Recent work suggests that invertible linear transformations (e.g. rotations) can aid quantization, by reparameterizing feature channels and weights. In this paper, we propose Sequence Transformation and Mixed Precision (STaMP) quantization, a novel strategy that applies linear transformations along the sequence dimension to exploit the strong local correlation in language and visual data. By keeping a small number of tokens in each intermediate activation at higher precision, we can maintain model accuracy at lower (average) activations bit-widths. We evaluate STaMP on recent LVM and LLM architectures, demonstrating that it significantly improves low bit width activation quantization and complements established activation and weight quantization methods including recent feature transformations.
RMAAT: Astrocyte-Inspired Memory Compression and Replay for Efficient Long-Context Transformers
Md Zesun Ahmed Mia, Malyaban Bal, Abhronil Sengupta
The quadratic complexity of self-attention mechanism presents a significant impediment to applying Transformer models to long sequences. This work explores computational principles derived from astrocytes—glial cells critical for biological memory and synaptic modulation—as a complementary approach to conventional architectural modifications for efficient self-attention. We introduce the Recurrent Memory Augmented Astromorphic Transformer (RMAAT), an architecture integrating abstracted astrocyte functionalities. RMAAT employs a recurrent, segment-based processing strategy where persistent memory tokens propagate contextual information. An adaptive compression mechanism, governed by a novel retention factor derived from simulated astrocyte long-term plasticity (LTP), modulates these tokens. Attention within segments utilizes an efficient, linear-complexity mechanism inspired by astrocyte short-term plasticity (STP). Training is performed using Astrocytic Memory Replay Backpropagation (AMRB), a novel algorithm designed for memory efficiency in recurrent networks. Evaluations on the Long Range Arena (LRA) benchmark demonstrate RMAAT's competitive accuracy and substantial improvements in computational and memory efficiency, indicating the potential of incorporating astrocyte-inspired dynamics into scalable sequence models.
NAIPv2: Debiased Pairwise Learning for Efficient Paper Quality Estimation
Penghai Zhao, Jinyu Tian, Qinghua Xing, Xin Zhang, Zheng Li, Jianjun Qian, Ming-Ming Cheng, Xiang Li
The ability to estimate the quality of scientific papers is central to how both humans and AI systems will advance scientific knowledge in the future. However, existing LLM-based estimation methods suffer from high inference cost, whereas the faster direct score regression approach is limited by scale inconsistencies. We present NAIPv2, a debiased and efficient framework for paper quality estimation. NAIPv2 employs pairwise learning within domain-year groups to reduce inconsistencies in reviewer ratings and introduces the Review Tendency Signal (RTS) as a probabilistic integration of reviewer scores and confidences. To support training and evaluation, we further construct NAIDv2, a large-scale dataset of 24,276 ICLR submissions enriched with metadata and detailed structured content. Trained on pairwise comparisons but enabling efficient pointwise prediction at deployment, NAIPv2 achieves state-of-the-art performance (78.2\% AUC, 0.432 Spearman), while maintaining scalable, linear-time efficiency at inference. Notably, on unseen NeurIPS submissions, it further demonstrates strong generalization, with predicted scores increasing consistently across decision categories from Rejected to Oral. These findings establish NAIPv2 as a debiased and scalable framework for automated paper quality estimation, marking a step toward future scientific intelligence systems.